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Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

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Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />

Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />

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Fig. 4 a) Trends of potential evaporation during 1971-2000. b) Trends of observed pan evaporation during 1971-2000.<br />

Changes in storm track activity were identified to<br />

examine how these changes affect the seasonal mean<br />

flow over northern Eurasia associated with an interannual<br />

seesaw in summer precipitation between east and west<br />

Siberia (ES and WS). In the two extreme phases of this<br />

oscillation, an east-west dipole pattern of precipitation<br />

anomalies prevails over much of Siberia. We focused on<br />

the years from – when such spatial–temporal<br />

characteristics of the oscillation are clear and consistent,<br />

as noted by Fukutomi et al. (). The two precipitation<br />

regimes that are manifest as out-of-phase dipole<br />

patterns are represented as the ES-wet--WS-dry regime<br />

and the WS-wet--ES-dry regime. We documented largescale<br />

atmospheric patterns and storm track activities<br />

associated with these contrasting regimes using linear<br />

regression and compositing, and highlighted the synoptic-scale<br />

eddy forcing on the mean circulations.<br />

The climatic distribution and its long-term variability<br />

of the low-level cloud observed by the surface<br />

observer over the Eurasian continent were investigated.<br />

The frequency of appearance of low-level clouds<br />

over China and Mongolia obviously decreased during<br />

the last two decades. While the suppressing of cumuliform<br />

clouds was evident over the whole of China,<br />

stratiform clouds increased in the southern China during<br />

the summer season (Fig. ). However these longterm<br />

trends of low-level cloud have small correlation<br />

to the precipitation trends over China.<br />

Decadal-scale SST variations in the mid-latitude<br />

North Pacific were examined to diagnose the relative<br />

importance between surface and subsurface forcing on<br />

FRQ<br />

FRQ<br />

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The Lower Reaches of Yangtze River Valley<br />

The Coastal Region of South China Sea<br />

Cu<br />

Clear<br />

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YEAR<br />

Fig. 5 Time series data showing the frequency of appearance of<br />

lower-level clouds in the lower reach of Yangtze River valley<br />

(top) and the coastal region of South China Sea (bottom)<br />

from 1971 to 1996. The linear trends which are significant<br />

at the 95% level are also shown (dashed lines).<br />

the variations. For quantitative discussion, a diagnostic<br />

equation based on the annual integration considering<br />

the large seasonal change of ocean mixed layer<br />

was proposed. It was found that ocean dynamics<br />

played an important role for the low-frequency SST<br />

variation in the Kuroshio-Oyashio extension where the<br />

ocean mixed layer is deep.<br />

b. The Hydrological Process on Land Group<br />

Sensitivity of frozen soil permeability and surface<br />

water storage was investigated using a one-dimensional<br />

land surface model that can be implemented in a climate<br />

model. The atmospheric conditions were<br />

assumed to be those in frozen ground regions of<br />

Russia. The results shows that evaporation is quite<br />

sensitive in these processes. The annual evaporation is<br />

Sc<br />

Cb<br />

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