Robust Decision Making (RDM) - GFDRR

Evaluate Impact of Extreme Climate Events
on Policy Choice Similarly to Recent Work
• Project for Port of Los Angeles considered effect of abrupt sea
level rise on infrastructure investment decisions
• Similarly, in this analysis we will
– Use modeling to identify scenarios where
• Combinations of future extreme event frequencies and future
socio-economic factors
• Cause proposed flood risk management strategy to increase
population (RI) or economic (DI) risk over current levels
– Estimate probability thresholds for those scenarios beyond which
HCMC might choose to alter its flood risk management strategy
– Compare these probability thresholds to the best available
scientific evidence
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