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Improving Global Quality of Life

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New discoveries tend to be in deepwater (>300 m) harsh environments (both climate and product-wise)<br />

Transportation <strong>of</strong> fuels will become <strong>of</strong> increasing strategic importance. These challenges for exploitation<br />

necessitate the wide-spread use <strong>of</strong> new materials, both in terms <strong>of</strong> strength to weight ratio and corrosion<br />

resistance. With novel materials, or materials combinations, comes the requirement for reliable, enduring<br />

and cost-effective joining methods as the key enabling technologies for their successful introduction.<br />

IIW’s position as a worldwide expert network contributes significantly to the dissemination <strong>of</strong> relevant<br />

know-how and experience. Of particular relevance are: new developments in high-productivity arc welding,<br />

especially for pipelines; repair technologies; advanced manufacturing concepts; power beam and hybrid<br />

processes; and dissimilar materials joining. In addition to the needs and challenges for joining processes,<br />

there is the requirement for the safe through-life performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>fshore structures. Hence, in this sector,<br />

improved weldability and life-long structural integrity <strong>of</strong> new high strength materials and welded advanced<br />

structures operating in extreme service conditions will continue to be key issues in future applications.<br />

9.1.1 Energy consumption and power generation<br />

The Exxon forecasts <strong>of</strong> the energy consumption per energy source (Figure 9.2) and region (Figure 9.3) and as<br />

well the development <strong>of</strong> light vehicle fleet (Figure 9.4) show a very high growth in Asia and specially in China.<br />

The economic drivers such as gross domestic product and population are the main ones.<br />

Oil and gas remain predominant<br />

Total energy Other energy Wind & solar<br />

MBDOE<br />

350<br />

80<br />

MBDOE<br />

4<br />

Average Growth / Yr<br />

2000 - 2030<br />

300<br />

1.6%<br />

11.1%<br />

60<br />

3<br />

250<br />

1.6%<br />

Wind & Solar<br />

200<br />

1.8%<br />

40<br />

2<br />

Other<br />

1.3%<br />

150<br />

Coal 1.8%<br />

Biomass,<br />

100<br />

12.4%<br />

20 MSW<br />

Gas<br />

1.9% 1<br />

50<br />

Hydro<br />

Oil 1.4%<br />

1.4%<br />

Wind<br />

9.5%<br />

Nuclear<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Solar<br />

1980 2005 2030 1980 2005 2030 1980 2005 2030<br />

Figure 9.2 Forecast <strong>of</strong> the energy consumption per energy source<br />

(Note: MBDOE stands for million barrels per day <strong>of</strong> oil equivalents)<br />

(Reproduced courtesy: ExxonMobil)<br />

1<br />

9<br />

S<br />

The energy demand will increase 50% by 2030. 80% <strong>of</strong> energy demand growth is forecast to be in non-OECD<br />

countries. Oil, gas and coal will remain predominant energy sources with roughly an 80% share <strong>of</strong> total<br />

energy. Wind power has a high annual growth 11.1% and it is attracting a lot <strong>of</strong> interest and very ambitious<br />

investments plans are set. There are experts, however, judging these as unrealistic. Instead, there are beliefs<br />

that investment in nuclear power will be more acceptable even with the recent problems in Japan. This will<br />

definitely result in increased demand for R&D in materials and processes to meet the stricter requirements<br />

for quality and safety.<br />

84 <strong>Improving</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Quality</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Life</strong> Through Optimum Use and Innovation <strong>of</strong> Welding and Joining Technologies

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