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A Revolution in R&D

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16<br />

Cellomics are well positioned to exploit the expected<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g demand for screen<strong>in</strong>g resources.<br />

Aurora is a likely w<strong>in</strong>ner <strong>in</strong> the race to resolve chemical<br />

genomics-related bottlenecks, s<strong>in</strong>ce it boasts<br />

some of the most advanced screen<strong>in</strong>g and assay<br />

technologies <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry. It has an unusual bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

model, <strong>in</strong> that it provides tools and discovery<br />

services but does not engage <strong>in</strong> any drug discovery<br />

of its own.<br />

* * *<br />

So much for the imm<strong>in</strong>ent efficiency sav<strong>in</strong>gs across<br />

the R&D value cha<strong>in</strong>. They are hardly the end of<br />

TECHNOLOGIES IN WAITING—OTHER TECHNOLOGIES EXAMINED,<br />

BUT OMITTED FROM OUR REPORT<br />

In this report we have focused on the technologies<br />

and approaches that are hav<strong>in</strong>g the greatest impact<br />

on R&D economics today. Several other excit<strong>in</strong>g advances<br />

appear likely to make a comparable impact<br />

beyond the next three to five years (too far ahead for<br />

<strong>in</strong>clusion <strong>in</strong> our analysis for this report), <strong>in</strong> particular,<br />

the use of proteomics <strong>in</strong> target identification,<br />

conditional gene <strong>in</strong>hibition <strong>in</strong> target validation, and<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrialized structural biology <strong>in</strong> screen<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

drug design.<br />

Proteomics is the study of prote<strong>in</strong> expression and<br />

prote<strong>in</strong>-prote<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>teractions. Its aim is an understand<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

and ultimately exploitation, of prote<strong>in</strong> function.<br />

Identify<strong>in</strong>g prote<strong>in</strong>s through sequence or structure<br />

homology has recently become much more efficient,<br />

thanks to bio<strong>in</strong>formatics’ role <strong>in</strong> analyz<strong>in</strong>g largescale<br />

experiments. One example of a genomics company<br />

apply<strong>in</strong>g proteomics is Oxford Glycosciences,<br />

which is engaged <strong>in</strong> identify<strong>in</strong>g targets and surrogate<br />

markers, both <strong>in</strong> collaboration with pharmaceutical<br />

companies and <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>dependent pipel<strong>in</strong>e. But proteomics<br />

is not really <strong>in</strong>dustrialized yet, and has high<br />

hurdles to overcome before it is.<br />

We exam<strong>in</strong>ed the economics of proteomic expression<br />

studies us<strong>in</strong>g two-dimensional gel analysis, followed<br />

the story, of course. Other technological advances<br />

are bound to improve R&D productivity further <strong>in</strong><br />

due course. Important emerg<strong>in</strong>g technologies<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude proteomics, partial target <strong>in</strong>hibition, and<br />

structural biology. (See sidebar, “Technologies <strong>in</strong><br />

Wait<strong>in</strong>g.”)<br />

Improv<strong>in</strong>g Decision Mak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The economics of R&D h<strong>in</strong>ge on success rates, and<br />

success rates depend largely on a cascade of decisions<br />

that have to be made aga<strong>in</strong> and aga<strong>in</strong>:<br />

whether or not to pursue a target or lead, and if so,<br />

how—to what extent and with what approach.<br />

by identification of <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g prote<strong>in</strong>s through mass<br />

spectrometry.<br />

Under optimal conditions today, this approach has<br />

the potential to save about as much <strong>in</strong> cost as<br />

genomics-based approaches do, though not as much<br />

<strong>in</strong> time (about six months less). As the technology<br />

becomes <strong>in</strong>dustrialized, proteomics could well surpass<br />

genomics-based approaches, but that is still<br />

several years away.<br />

The aim of the second promis<strong>in</strong>g technology we<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestigated, conditional gene <strong>in</strong>hibition, is to overcome<br />

a common problem <strong>in</strong> target validation. Here<br />

is the background. A standard technique for target<br />

validation uses “target knockouts.” The potential target<br />

is removed, or “knocked out,” from an animal at<br />

conception; this results <strong>in</strong> the total <strong>in</strong>hibition of the<br />

target’s function from embryo to adult. The trouble is<br />

that drugs work differently. Very seldom do they<br />

<strong>in</strong>hibit target function fully, and they are taken only<br />

after genes have already fulfilled their developmental<br />

role <strong>in</strong> utero. So the use of target knockouts as a target<br />

validation technique does run the risk of creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

false negatives (<strong>in</strong> some cases <strong>in</strong>dicated by death,<br />

because of the unnatural disruption of embryonic<br />

development). What is needed <strong>in</strong>stead of total gene

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