Transport Modelling - Growth Areas Authority

Northern Growth Corridor Transport Modelling
1 INTRODUCTION
This report provides an overview of the strategic transport model developed by
Sinclair Knight Merz (SKM) for Melbourne’s Northern Growth Region (see Figure
1). The purpose of the model is to provide a 2046 reference case for the Growth
Areas Authority to investigate future land use and transport scenarios for the
region. These will in turn feed into the Precinct Structure Plans (PSPs) of individual
development areas.
The model is based on the Department of Transport’s Victorian Integrated
Transport Model (VITM). As part of the model’s development, SKM reviewed the
network and land use assumptions for the base 2011 scenario from the VITM and
validated this against recent traffic counts and public transport patronage. The
model’s validation is reported separately in Northern Growth Corridor Transport
Model Validation – Final Report.
The model was developed in consultation with a stakeholder group that comprised
the three municipalities that form the Northern Growth Corridor – Hume City
Council, Whittlesea Council and Mitchell Shire – as well as VicRoads, the
Department of Transport and GAA.
This report presents a summary of the updates to the 2046 model, and a summary
of key model inputs. The report also provides a selection of outputs from the
model, but these are intended only to illustrate the model’s performance, and
should not be taken as definitive forecasts of future conditions.
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