Transport Modelling - Growth Areas Authority

Northern Growth Corridor 

2046 Strategic Transport Model

Northern Growth Corridor Strategic Transport Modelling 

CONTENTS 

1 Introduction 2 

1.1 Limitation Statement 3 

1.2 Glossary 4 

2 Model Updates 6 

2.1 Zone System 6 

2.1.1 Model Extension 6 

2.1.2 Zone Disaggregation 7 

2.1.3 External Car Zones 7 

2.1.4 External PT Zones 8 

2.2 Land Use 8 

2.2.1 Melbourne Airport 10 

2.3 Public Transport 10 

2.3.1 Rail 10 

2.3.2 Bus 11 

2.4 Road Networks 12 

2.1 Other Model Updates 13 

2.1.1 Speed-flow curves 13 

2.1.2 External trip matrices 13 

2.1.3 Freight matrices 14 

2.1.4 Catalogue keys 14 

3 2046 Outputs 15 

3.1 Traffic Volumes 15 

3.2 Volume to Capacity Ratios 17 

3.1 Public Transport Loads 18 

3.2 Trips by mode and LGA 20 

4 Sensitivity testing 22 

4.1 Inputs 22 

4.2 Outputs 22 

5 Conclusion 26 

Appendix A 27 

Appendix B 28 

Appendix C 32 

Appendix D 33 

Appendix E 34 

PAGE i

Northern Growth Corridor Transport Modelling 

1 INTRODUCTION 

This report provides an overview of the strategic transport model developed by 

Sinclair Knight Merz (SKM) for Melbourne’s Northern Growth Region (see Figure 

1). The purpose of the model is to provide a 2046 reference case for the Growth 

Areas Authority to investigate future land use and transport scenarios for the 

region. These will in turn feed into the Precinct Structure Plans (PSPs) of individual 

development areas. 

The model is based on the Department of Transport’s Victorian Integrated 

Transport Model (VITM). As part of the model’s development, SKM reviewed the 

network and land use assumptions for the base 2011 scenario from the VITM and 

validated this against recent traffic counts and public transport patronage. The 

model’s validation is reported separately in Northern Growth Corridor Transport 

Model Validation – Final Report. 

The model was developed in consultation with a stakeholder group that comprised 

the three municipalities that form the Northern Growth Corridor – Hume City 

Council, Whittlesea Council and Mitchell Shire – as well as VicRoads, the 

Department of Transport and GAA. 

This report presents a summary of the updates to the 2046 model, and a summary 

of key model inputs. The report also provides a selection of outputs from the 

model, but these are intended only to illustrate the model’s performance, and 

should not be taken as definitive forecasts of future conditions. 

PAGE ii


Figure 1: Northern Growth Region Transport Modelling Boundary 

1.1 LIMITATION STATEMENT 

The sole purpose of this report and the associated services performed by Sinclair 

Knight Merz (SKM) is to provide a strategic transport model in connection with the 

Northern Growth Corridor of Melbourne. The services were provided in accordance 

with the scope of services set out in the contract between SKM and the Growth 

Areas Authority (the ‘Client’). That scope of services, as described in this report, 

was developed with the Client. 

Modelling and forecasting is not a precise science. Forecasts are only an indication 

of what might happen in the future and they may not be achieved. They rely upon 

complex sets of input data and assumptions. There is no guarantee that these 

assumptions will in fact be correct or accurate and there are numerous factors 

which can influence the actual future traffic volumes of the Project. 

This report has been prepared on behalf of and for the exclusive use of, SKM’s 

Client, and is subject to, and issued in accordance with, the provisions of the 

agreement between SKM and its Client. SKM accepts no liability or responsibility 

whatsoever for, or in respect of, any use of, or reliance upon this report by any third 

party. 

PAGE iii


1.2 GLOSSARY 

This is a technical report; therefore to aid the reader a glossary of technical terms 

has been defined below along with the acronyms used. 

AM Peak: The model used for this project produces results that represent the 

volume of trips made within four distinct periods of an average weekday. Each 

period covers a different length of time, therefore to standardise outputs 

volumes shown are two-hourly volumes. These can be factored up to calculate 

daily traffic. The AM Peak represents 7-9am. 

Calibration: The act of checking or adjusting a model to better reflect observed 

travel data. 

PM Peak: The PM Peak represents 3-6pm. Volumes shown on maps are twohourly 

volumes. Also see AM peak. 

Posted speed: The actual speed limit of a road as denoted by physical sign posts. 

Screenline: An arbitrary line drawn across a transport corridor used to calculate 

the total volume of traffic travelling from one side of the line to the other. It is a 

useful method to validate the overall quantum of traffic in a demand matrix, as 

it aggregates traffic that is travelling in a similar direction but on different 

(sometimes competing) routes. 

Speed-flow curve: A mathematical relationship used to represent congestion 

effects on road links. It is typically depicted as a curved line which represents 

the effect on average speed as the volume of traffic on a road increases. For 

example, most roads tend to allow traffic to travel at close to the posted speed 

limit until the volume of traffic increases to a point where vehicles must travel 

slower due to safety and congestion issues. The shape of this curve indicates 

when the speed begins to decrease and how rapidly it decreases. 

Validation: The process of determining the degree to which a model is an accurate 

representation of the real world from the perspective of the intended uses of 

the model. 

V/C ratios: The ratio of traffic volume at a point on a road to the theoretical 

capacity of the road. A value close to one indicates the road is heavily 

congested and the traffic on that road is expected to suffer significant delays. 

Technically values greater than one should not be permitted, however if no 

other suitable routes are available VITM will permit V/C ratios greater than one. 

Acronyms 

COW – City of Whittlesea 

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DOT – Department of Transport 

GAA – Growth Areas Authority 

HCC – Hume City Council 

MATRS – Melbourne Airport Transport Requirements Study 

PSP – Precinct Structure Plan 

PTV – Public Transport Victoria 

SKM – Sinclair Knight Merz 

VIF – Victoria in Future 

VITM – Victorian Integrated Transport Model 

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2 MODEL UPDATES 

This section details the changes made to the 2046 VITM reference scenario 

provided by the Department of Transport for this study. 

2.1 ZONE SYSTEM 

A key requirement of this study was to introduce a more detailed zone system into 

VITM. The purpose of the zone refinement was to enable more detailed modelling 

of currently rural areas that will be developed into urban residential and 

employment precincts. This involved two types of changes to the model: 

disaggregation of existing large zones into smaller zones, roughly 800m by 800m 

with some smaller zones to represent special zones such as town centres, and an 

extension of the model to include Wallan. These changes are described below. 

2.1.1 Model Extension 

The 2046 Northern Growth Corridor model includes an extension of the VITM 

boundary northwards to incorporate Wallan. The Wallan extension includes 30 new 

zones with associated land use inputs and road network as shown in Figure 2. 

These zones are numbered 2894 -2923. 

Figure 2: Wallan extension to VITM 

Extension 

 

Original 

VITM 

Kilmore 

Wallan 

Wandong 

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2.1.2 Zone Disaggregation 

GAA developed a notional 2046 land use plan (see Figure 3) which was discussed 

and agreed with stakeholders. GAA then developed a zone system based on the 

land use plan which separately identified areas of different land use. SKM 

developed an equivalence table to equate original VITM zones to the new zone 

system. This became the key tool for transforming the many inputs in VITM to the 

new zone system. In total an additional 261 zones were added to VITM through 

this disaggregation process. These zones are numbered 2924 -3184. 

Figure 3: Northern Growth Corridor Land Use - 2046 

2.1.3 External Car Zones 

The northern extent of VITM (before the Wallan extension) contained three external 

zones which fed a fixed number of car trips into the model from outside the model 

boundary. In the new model, the total volumes of external trips from these three 

PAGE vii


zones were relocated north of Wallan and reduced by 20% 1 . The reduction is to 

account for the traffic generated by Wallan that is included in the external car trips 

and no longer required since Wallan is now part of the model. The traffic growth 

rate along both the Northern Highway and Hume Highway north of Wallan is 

assumed to be 2% per annum between 2011 and 2046. 

The three original external zones fed traffic into the highway network at the 

following locations: 

Epping-Kilmore Road and Hadfield Road West; 

Wallan-Whittlesea Road and Hadfield Road; and 

Hume Highway and Northern Freeway interchange. 

In the new model, these have been relocated to the following two locations: 

Hume Highway north of Wandong (zone 3194) 

Northern Highway south of Kilmore (zone 3193) 

Based on observed traffic volumes from the report “Traffic Modelling for the 

Kilmore-Wallan Bypass Options Examination” two-thirds of the external trips have 

been allocated to the Hume Highway with the remaining one-third to the Northern 

Highway. 

The same split of traffic has been applied to the fixed freight matrix. External zones 

are now numbered 3185-3203. 

2.1.4 External PT Zones 

External public transport zones have a similar function to the external car zones 

and typically account for V/Line travel to and from stations outside the model 

boundary. A small change was made to these zones with Wallan now included in 

the main model. 

External PT zones are now numbered 3204-3250. 

2.2 LAND USE 

The 2046 land use plan developed by GAA (see Figure 3) was reviewed by 

stakeholders, and the following land use attributes added by GAA to each of the 

new zones: 

1 

The approximate difference between observed traffic screenline counts north and south of Wallan as 

part of the Kilmore-Wallan Bypass Study. 

PAGE viii


Number of households 

Retail jobs 

Total jobs 

Primary school enrolments 

Secondary school enrolments 

As VITM uses a more detailed disaggregation of demographic and employment 

data (such as population by age category and number of dependants by age 

category) the following set of rules were developed to generate appropriate inputs 

for the model: 

Persons per household were assumed to be as per VIF2046 projections for 

each LGA 

Age category splits were assumed to be as per VIF2046 projections for each 

LGA 

Number of dependents by age category were assumed to be as per VIF2046 

projections for each LGA 

No tertiary enrolments were assumed in new zones 

Zones in the Beveridge area were assumed to take on the characteristics of 

the Hume LGA 

For existing zones, the land use inputs were taken from the VIF2046 projections 

with the following exceptions: 

Sunbury town centre employment was specified by HCC at 8,866 total jobs 

Broadmeadows activity centre employment was specified by HCC at 8,490 

total jobs 

Epping central employment and population was specified by CoW in the form 

of the Epping Central Structure Plan Precincts 

Wandong overall growth projections are consistent with forecasts produced by 

id for the Shire of Mitchell. 

A summary of the 2046 land use inputs compared against the 2011 inputs is 

shown in Table 1. There are no figures included for Mitchell in 2011 as Wallan and 

areas to the north were outside of the 2011 VITM study area. The ‘Wallan-Kilmore 

Bypass Study, 2007’ indicates that the population of the region containing Wallan, 

Wandong and Kilmore was 14,758 in 2006. This is less than one tenth of the 2046 

projection. 

Maps of the assumed number of households and employment for each of the new 

zones is shown in Appendix A. 

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Table 1: Land use input summary, 2011 and 2046 

2011 2046 

Input 

Hume Whittlesea Hume Whittlesea Mitchell 

Population 176,687 163,172 438,418 366,029 190,859 

Households 

Retail 

57,137 54,660 151,170 133,466 66,036 

Employment 

Total 

7,325 4,599 31,464 13,588 6,834 

Employment 

Primary 

85,221 39,032 177,435 114,594 18,358 

Enrolments 

Secondary 

17,384 14,038 32,538 26,628 8,789 

Enrolments 

Tertiary 

11,985 9,018 29,311 17,858 9,600 

Enrolments 37,865 12,026 47,970 15,653 ‐ 

2.2.1 Melbourne Airport 

VITM includes a separate module (MATRS) to forecast trips generated by air 

passengers to and from Melbourne Airport. The number of trip attractions and 

productions per day assumed by the MATRS module in 2046 is 234,496 persons; 

this represents a conservative long-term growth rate of 2.1% p.a since 2011. It is 

noted that PTV is currently planning an overhaul of the MATRS module to better 

incorporate future air passenger forecasts. Once these changes are complete, we 

recommend that they be applied to the Northern Growth Corridor model. 

In the interim, we have updated one input to MATRS – the assumed time period 

split of air passengers – to better match observed passenger time profiles at the 

airport. 

The forecast number of employees at the airport remains unchanged at 32,783. 

2.3 PUBLIC TRANSPORT 

In general the public transport service patterns included in the model were taken 

from DOT’s 2031 reference case along with a selection of expected improvements 

to the network as detailed in the following sections. The 2031 reference case was 

used as it was seen to contain a more realistic set of assumptions about service 

frequencies, particularly buses. 

2.3.1 Rail 

Two metropolitan train lines currently serve part of the study area (Craigieburn and 

Upfield lines) and two regional lines pass through the study area (Bendigo and 

Seymour lines). 

PAGE x


Headways and service patterns were taken from the 2031 reference case as 

shown in Table 2. In addition, the following changes were made to the network: 

Metropolitan services extended from Craigieburn to Wallan with 10 minute 

services for all time periods 

New stations at South Morang, Lockerbie, Jackson’s Hill and Raes Road 

Donnybrook, Beveridge and Wallan stations added to the electrified rail 

network 

Services from north of Craigieburn run via the Upfield line as the 

Broadmeadows line is too congested 

VLine services will stop at Wallan, Roxburgh Park then Southern Cross 

Beveridge and Donnybrook coded as the major park-and-ride stations 

Lockerbie coded as a non park-and-ride station. 

Small park-and-ride catchment for Wallan station 

Reduce park-and-ride at Craigieburn (as it is no longer the end of the line) 

Sunbury rail services left as per the 2031 reference case, with stops at 

Jackson’s Hill and Raes Road 

Table 2 Modelled rail headways (2046) 

Average headway across period 

Station 

TO CITY 

AM IP PM OP 

Craigieburn 4 10 4 10 

Upfield 5 10 5 10 

Sunbury 7.5 10 7.5 10 

Wallan Metro 10 10 10 10 

Wallan V/Line 

FROM CITY 

30 60 60 60 

Craigieburn 4 10 4 10 

Upfield 5 10 5 10 

Sunbury 7.5 10 7.5 10 

Wallan Metro 10 10 10 10 

Wallan V/Line 60 60 30 60 

2.3.2 Bus 

All services contained in DOT’s 2031 reference case were retained along with an 

additional 15 routes to cater for the growth areas north of Mount Ridley Road and 

two further services in Sunbury. The additional routes were extracted from the 

2046+ public transport network currently under development by PTV. 

The new services included and their frequencies are as follows: 

Mickleham – Mernda (20 mins) 

Donnybrook - Craigieburn TC (20 mins) 

PAGE xi


Lockerbie – Donnybrook (20 mins) 

Lockerbie West – Lockerbie (20 mins) 

Mandalay – Lockerbie (30 mins) 

Lockerbie South – Lockerbie (60 mins) 

Lockerbie – Donnybrook (60 mins) 

Lockerbie North – Lockerbie (30 mins) 

Mickleham – Craigieburn (60 mins) 

Mickleham - Craigieburn TC (30 mins) 

Donnybrook – Craigieburn (60 mins) 

Mt Ridley – Craigieburn (60 mins) 

Whittlesea and Lockerbie – Broadmeadows (10 mins) 

Mernda Extension – Whittlesea (10 mins) 

Moonee Ponds to Sunbury (60 mins) 

Sunbury to Diggers Rest (60 mins) 

Wallan Town Centre to Wallan Station (30mins) 

2.4 ROAD NETWORKS 

GAA developed a notional network of arterial roads (2, 4 or 6 lanes) and collector 

streets (2 lanes) which was circulated amongst the three councils and VicRoads for 

comments. Once the network was agreed, the changes were coded using the 

VicRoads 2046+ network as the basis for speed limits and link classes. 

A record of all comments on the network is provided in Appendix B along with a list 

of SKM’s responses to the comments. The final road network as coded in the 

Northern Growth Area model is shown in Figure 4. For further details refer to 

Appendix C. 

PAGE xii


Figure 4: 2046 ultimate highway network – final 

2.1 OTHER MODEL UPDATES 

This section lists other changes made to the model. 

2.1.1 Speed-flow curves 

The VITM speed-flow curves were updated with a revised curve for unsealed 

roads. This was provided by VicRoads / DOT and has the effect of lowering the 

volume of traffic on unsealed roads to more realistic totals. 

A new road classification 2 was added specifically for rural highways such as 

Sunbury Road which are observed to carry much higher volumes of traffic at higher 

speeds than urban arterial roads with the equivalent number of lanes. The different 

speed-flow profile is mainly due to the long stretches of road without traffic signals 

and higher posted speeds. 

2.1.2 External trip matrices 

No changes were made to the volumes contained in the car and PT external trip 

matrices as these were recently updated by VicRoads. The trips were redistributed 

2 Linkclass = 26, Capacity = 1600, Ja = 1.0, % posted speed = 0.9 

PAGE xiii


based on the equivalence table between the new disaggregated zone system and 

existing VITM zones. 

2.1.3 Freight matrices 

No changes were made to the freight matrix volumes as part of this model update. 

Future changes to freight demand will be made by the Department of Transport. 

The existing trips were re-distributed based on the equivalence table between the 

new disaggregated zone system and existing VITM zones. 

2.1.4 Catalogue keys 

An additional four catalogue keys 3 were added to enable the total number of trips 

in each time period to be factored for the study area if necessary. The only factor 

used was for the off-peak period where the model was found to underestimate the 

observed number of trips in the 2011 validation . In line with the findings of the 

validation, a factor of 1.33 was used for the off-peak period. 

3 

Catalogue keys refer to global inputs that are specified separately for each scenario modelled in the 

Cube software package. 

PAGE xiv


3 2046 OUTPUTS 

This section contains high level summary outputs for the 2046 Northern Growth 

Corridor Model. Refer to Appendix D for A3 versions of the maps. A large scale 

electronic version of the map has also been produced for detailed analysis of traffic 

volumes. 

3.1 TRAFFIC VOLUMES 

Volume bandwidth plots have been produced for each time period. In these plots, 

thicker lines represent higher traffic volumes. Figure 5 to Figure 7 show sample 

plots for the AM peak, PM peak and daily respectively. 

Figure 5: AM peak (7-9am) one-way modelled volumes (‘000) 

PAGE xv


Figure 6: PM peak (3-6pm) one-way modelled volumes (‘000) 

Figure 7: Daily one-way modelled volumes (‘000) 

PAGE xvi


3.2 VOLUME TO CAPACITY RATIOS 

Volume to capacity plots have been produced for the peak periods (Figure 8 and 

Figure 9). These indicate the main congestion points in the study area. With the 

2046 ultimate road network that has been adopted there is very little congestion in 

the Northern Growth Corridor, although quite significant congestion in the inner 

suburbs. In the Northern Growth Corridor, the model suggests that the main 

congestion points will be around train stations due to the high volumes of rail users 

parking at these stations. 

Figure 8: AM peak (7-9am) volume to capacity ratios 

PAGE xvii


Figure 9: PM peak (3pm-6pm) volume to capacity ratios 

3.1 PUBLIC TRANSPORT LOADS 

Public transport bandwidth plots have been produced for the AM and PM peak 

periods; thicker lines represent higher passenger volumes. The forecast rail 

patronage between Wallan and Roxburgh Park (where the Upfield and Craigieburn 

Lines merge) is very high and is unlikely to be accommodated by the future rail 

network capacity. We recommend that the model be run with public transport 

capacity constraints so that forecasts are within more reasonable bounds. 

PAGE xviii


Figure 10: AM peak (7-9am) one-way modelled public transport patronage (‘000) 

Figure 11: PM peak (3-6pm) one-way modelled public transport patronage (‘000) 

PAGE xix


Figure 12: Daily one-way modelled public transport patronage (‘000) 

3.2 TRIPS BY MODE AND LGA 

The number of trips within the Hume and Whittlesea municipalities is forecast to 

increase by over 250% between 2011 and 2046 as shown in Table 3. The Shire of 

Mitchell was not included in the 2011 model, but part of the municipality is now 

included in the updated Northern Growth Corridor Model to cover the areas of 

Beveridge, Wallan and Wandong. These three areas alone account for over 

900,000 trips on an average weekday, more than the volume of trips generated by 

Whittlesea in 2011. 

The share of trips made by public transport increases from around 5% in 2011 to 

9.4% in Hume and 7.6% in Whittlesea. Public transport mode shares have not 

been quoted for Mitchell because only a portion of this municipality is included in 

the model. The included portion is in close proximity to the rail corridor, so 

modelled public transport patronage is not likely to be representative for the 

municipality as a whole. 

PAGE xx


Table 3: Mode shares and total trips to and from each LGA 

2011 2046 

LGA % CAR % PT TOTAL % CAR % PT TOTAL 

Hume 94.7% 5.3% 1,077,587 90.7% 9.3% 2,699,652 

Whittlesea 95.5% 4.5% 786,549 92.5% 7.5% 1,789,852 

Mitchell n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a* 932,319** 

* The likely %PT for the Shire of Mitchell is likely to be higher than for Hume due to the close proximity 

of residential and employment precincts to train stations (Wallan, Beveridge, Lockerbie and Donnybrook 

stations) and a frequent service running to the CBD. 

* *The Mitchell trip volumes only apply to the portion of the municipality within the model. 

PAGE xxi


4 SENSITIVITY TESTING 

The VITM base model does not include any constraints on public transport 

capacity. Given the high volumes of public transport usage forecast for 2046, 

concerns were raised by the stakeholder group about the realism of the 

unconstrained forecasts. A sensitivity test was therefore carried out to determine 

how constraints on public transport capacity would influence traffic forecasts and 

public transport patronage 4 . This chapter summarises the assumptions and 

outcomes of the constrained sensitivity test. 

4.1 INPUTS 

All future train services were assumed to operate with nine car carriages with a 

total seating capacity of 650 and a crush capacity of 2100. V/Line service 

capacities varied by line, from 296 seats and 326 crush capacity on the Seymour 

Line to 518 seats and 570 crush capacity on the Geelong line. Buses were 

assumed to have seats for 50 people and a crush capacity of 75. 

All other inputs to the model remain the same as described in Section 2 of this 

report. 

4.2 OUTPUTS 

Running the VITM under constrained public transport conditions resulted in a 

decrease in rail patronage on the section of line between Wallan and Roxburgh 

Park of about 11,000 people (23%) in the AM peak and 7,000 (17%) in the PM 

peak. This is shown in Figure 13 and Figure 14 and can be compared against the 

unconstrained versions in Figure 10 and Figure 11 respectively. . 

4 It should be noted that the public transport service assumptions made in the sensitivity test are not a 

State Government endorsed plan for future public transport provision. 

PAGE xxii


Figure 13: Public transport patronage, AM peak, constrained public transport scenario 

Figure 14: Public transport patronage, PM peak, constrained public transport scenario 

Most of these displaced public transport trips shifted to private vehicles, causing a 

small but noticeable negative impact on the road network. Five links in the AM 

PAGE xxiii


peak period became significantly more congested as shown in Figure 15. The 

specific locations where traffic becomes heavily congested are: 

Sunbury Road approach to OMR from Sunbury 

Melbourne Airport, all access routes except Sunbury Road 

Roads around Craigieburn Road / Hume Highway interchange 

4-lane arterial parallel and to the west of Hume Highway at the OMR 

interchange 

Around Beveridge train station 

Broadmeadows town centre 

Figure 15: Volume/Capacity Ratios, AM peak, constrained public transport scenario 

The impact on overall mode shares is negligible for Whittlesea, and public transport 

usage in the Hume municipality reduces by one percentage point as shown in 

Table 4. The model indicated that overall motorised trip making would increase as 

a result of the increase in car mode share. This was due to additional non homebased 

trips being made in the model when a car was available during the day, for 

example a commuter driving a car to work might make a shopping trip with the car 

during a lunch break. 

PAGE xxiv


Table 4: Daily mode shares by LGA, 2046 scenarios 

2046 Unconstrained 2046 Constrained 

LGA % CAR % PT TOTAL % CAR % PT TOTAL 

Hume 90.7% 9.3% 2,699,652 91.7% 8.3% 2,715,097 

Whittlesea 92.5% 7.5% 1,789,852 92.6% 7.4% 1,795,304 

Mitchell n/a n/a* 932,319** n/a n/a* 946,593** 

* The likely %PT for the Shire of Mitchell is likely to be higher than for Hume due to the close proximity 

of residential and employment precincts to train stations (Wallan, Beveridge, Lockerbie and Donnybrook 

stations) and a frequent service running to the CBD. 

* *The Mitchell trip volumes only apply to the portion of the municipality within the model. 

A3 plots of the outputs are provided in Appendix E 

PAGE xxv


5 CONCLUSION 

The Victorian Integrated Transport Model was validated against 2011 observed 

data in the northern metropolitan area and updated to represent a 2046 Northern 

Growth Corridor scenario as envisaged by the Growth Areas Authority. Through 

consultation with stakeholders the scenario incorporates: 

Land use consistent with GAA and council plans 

An aspirational ultimate road network which includes a wide range of projects 

that have been considered by stakeholders, except for projects that were not 

seen as feasible by VicRoads 

Public transport improvements to existing areas and new services to cater for 

the growth areas 

The model has been tested to ensure it operates appropriately, with checks made 

to traffic volumes, congestion levels, public transport volumes and public transport 

mode shares. The outputs of the model are consistent with the inputs used and it 

provides a suitable starting point for further analysis of specific projects and earlier 

years. 

An additional scenario was modelled to assess the sensitivity of the model to 

capacity constraints on public transport services. This arose as a result of very high 

train patronage forecast from the growth areas north of Craigieburn. The results 

indicated that train patronage in the busiest time period, the AM peak, would 

reduce by around 11,000 people with capacity constraints in place. 

Our view is that the model is now fit for use as a study area model for the Northern 

Growth Corridor of Melbourne. There are some opportunities for further 

improvements to the model, as listed below. The potential improvements are: 

Include the updated Melbourne Airport module (MATRS) once completed by 

PTV 

Review the distribution of freight in the Northern Growth Corridor, particularly 

around the proposed Beveridge Intermodal Freight Terminal 

PAGE xxvi


APPENDIX A 

2046 land use inputs 

Refer to AppendixA_landuse.pdf 

PAGE xxvii


APPENDIX B 

The following table is a summary of suggested changes to the 2046 ultimate road 

network and the actual changes made. 

Also refer to AppendixB_Comments on GAA road network.pdf 

Road Name From To Stakeholder Comment Change made 

‐ Sunbury Road Lancefield Question feasibility given Link removed 

Road 

drainage and topography 

Southern Link Vineyard Road Sunbury Road Question whether is best 4 lanes, aligned 

alignment if logical inclusion area 

not developed. 6 lane probably 

not feasible or needed. 

as per GAA map 

Jacksons Hill Sunbury Need a connection from 

Lind added as 

South Jacksons Hill to Sunbury South connector 

Gap Road Sunbury Town Calder Question feasibility and need for 4 lanes 

Centre Freeway 6 lanes when have extensive 

service lanes 

Riddell Road Town Centre Calder Question feasibility and need for 4 lanes 

Freeway 6 lanes when have extensive 

service lanes 

Racecourse Road Town Centre Northwards Question need and desirability of 

4 lanes from town centre. 

Certainly no need to be more 

than 2 lanes north of Elizabeth 

Drive extension 

2 lanes 

Northern Link Racecourse Lancefield Probably can't be 6 lanes given 4 lanes 

Road 

Road 

topography. Suggest aligns to 

train station to enable good bus 

connectivity 

Sunbury Road Town Centre OMR Question need for 6 lanes 6 lanes 

Sunbury Road OMR Western Ring Critical that this appropriately 

Rd 

included 

Bulla Bypass OMR Sunbury Road Critical that this appropriately 

included 

Airport Link OMR Sunbury Road Critical that this appropriately 

included 

Somerton Road Bulla Bypass Mickleham Rd Critical that this appropriately 

included 

Intersection of Calder 

Critical that this appropriately overpass 

Freeway and Diggers Rest 

Road 

included 

Diggers Rest Rd Calder 

Sunbury Road Question feasibility given bridge 2 lanes 

Freeway 

and need given OMR 

Road Layout in Greenvale 

Central PSP 

Is Ok. Ignore 

East West Connector Aitken 

Hume Development Plan is only 4 4 lanes, and kept 

Boulevard Freeway lanes. Is located in wrong at location in 

location. 

VITM which was 

further north 

than GAA 

Mt Ridley Rd Bridge over 

Will this bridge happen? 

overpass, 4 to 

Hume 

Question if should be 6 lanes. west, 6 to east 

New Arterials around 

Would this dog leg happen? Is 6 6 lanes, aligned 

Donnybrook Road 

lanes necessary? 

as per VITM 

O’herns Road Hume Freeway Westwards Not 6 lane ‐ where does it go? removed, but 

local connector 

left in for 

centroid access 

PAGE xxviii



Mickleham Road Donnybrook Northwards No need for 6 lanes 4 lanes to Old 

Road 

Sydney Road 

‐ OMR Northwards Question need for 6 lanes 6 lanes 

Hume Highway Craigieburn Rd Western Ring Should be arterial. Is it 6 lanes 6 lane arterial to 

Rd 

the whole way or just south of 

Somerton? 

metro Ring Road 

Barry Road Across Hume 

Suggest not feasible. Link not added 

Freeway 

as wouldn't go 

anywhere 

Lancefield Road Sunbury Road Northwards Should 6 lanes not 4 6 lanes 

William St Northern Hwy Just before No connection to Hume Fwy 2 lane local 

Hume 

connector 

William St Northern Hwy West Wallan 4 lane arterial 

Northern Highway Hume Kilmore Wallan 4 lanes 

New Local connector William St Watson St Wallan 2 lane local 

connector 

Watson St Northern Hwy Epping 

Kilmore Road 

Grade sep not possible 4 lanes 

Epping Kilmore Watson St North 2 lane rural 

arterial 

Epping Kilmore Watson St South see no. 5 from Whittlesea 4 lane arterial 

North South Arterials Hadfield Watson St North south arterials either side 

of rail line 

4 lanes 

Hadfields Road Entire length 4 lanes and 

grade seperated 

Beveridge Road Entire length 4 lanes and 

grade seperated, 

Freeway 

interchange 

added 

Stewart Street OMR north 4 lanes north of 

OMR 

Hume fwy/OMR 

Access 

interchange 

restoration roads 

kept for ultimate 

network 

Beveridge interchange Interchange 

relocated 

E14 (Aitken Blvd) Taylors Road Merrifield 

(DonnyBrook 

Road 

6 lanes 

E14 (Aitken Blvd) Merrifield 

(DonnyBrook 

Road 

South Transit lanes 6 lanes 

Old Sydney Road Taylors Road Gunns Gully 

Road 

4 lanes 

Old Sydney Road Gunns Gully north rural 2 lane 

Road 

arterial 

Gunns Gully Road connection to 

Scanlon 

6 lanes 

east west road south of Donnybrook, west of 4 lane arterial, 

Scanlon 

not connector 

Masons Road OMR East 4 lanes 

BodyCoats rd 4 lanes 

Edgars Rd O'herns South kept as 4 for consistency 4 lanes 

Harvest Home Road remove arterial section west of 

scanlon, and east of OMR 

4 lanes 

Hume Hwy length 6 lane arterial, 

not highway 

Cooper St Edgars Road Hume Hwy 6 lanes 

Cooper St Edgars Road East 4 lanes 

PAGE xxix



O herns road entire length 4 lanes 

High st see Epping Road directly below 4 lanes 

Epping Road Cooper Street Watson St 4 lanes 

Mcdonalds Road 4 lanes 

Bindts Road 4 lanes 

O'herns road West of Hume Fwy (Bridge over 

creek) 

remove 

Edgars Rd O'Herns Road North 2 lane 

North South North off 

Craigieburn 

road 

between Edgars and Epping 4 lanes 

east west road 

Harvest Home Road 

North of 

Craigieburn 

Road 

4 lanes 

East West connector West of Wallan Link removed 

New north south 

connector 

Watson St William St Connector added 

OMR/Hume Fwy 

interchange, remove 

access restoration roads. 

Access roads 

retained in 

network. 

Edgars Road O'Herns Road South 6 lanes Retained as 4 

lanes. Not clear 

where 6 lanes 

will end 

Atwood Conenctor Not mentioned, but not in GAA 

network 

removed 

Hume/OMR interchange Done Delete the 2 roads coded as 2 

lane arterials that run north 

south at the Hume/OMR 

interchange. 

Deleted 

Donovans Lane All Delete Donovans Lane and the 

collector distributor roads at the 

Hume/OMR interchange 

Deleted 

Stewart Street 1km South of 

OMR 

Northern Highway/Hume 

Fwy interchange 

1km north of 

OMR 

Extend the 6 lane section on 

Stewart Street further north to 

the first intersection north of the 

OMR/E6 

Check the Northern 

Highway/Hume Fwy interchange 

– it looks like there is a 6 lane 

road, a collector road and 

freeway ramps overlain 

Brookville Drive The collector road shown on the 

current Brookville Drive 

alignment should be deleted. 

Brookville Drive is realigned to 

intersect with Dwyer Street at 

Donnybrook Road and is a 6 lane 

road (as shown correctly on your 

plan) 

Sunbury north and south 

orbital 

Not that it matters much, but 

let’s code the two new creek 

crossings in Sunbury (ie north of 

and south of Sunbury township) 

as 2 lanes within general four 

lane roads 

Various Change the roads in Diggers Rest 

to collectors, aside from 

Vineyard Road and Diggers Rest 

– Comodai Road 

Extension of 6 

lane section 

Off ramps 

reduced from 3 

lanes to 1 lane 

per direction 

Link to 

Donnybrook Rd 

broken 

Bridges coded as 

2 lanes 

Changed to 

collectors 

The road between Sunbury and Removed 

PAGE xxx


Road Name From To Stakeholder Comment 

Craigieburn will probably carry 

too much traffic if left as a 2 lane 

arterial – may need downgrading 

Change made 

Various A couple of funny bits of two 

lane arterials in Whittlesea – 

please clean these up 

Changed 

Findon Road/O’Herns 

Should be coded as a 4 lane 4 lanes 

Road 

arterial 

Epping Road O'Hern's Road Craigieburn 

Road East 

To be coded as a 6 lane road or 

whatever is in the 2046plus VITM 

network 

The road network in South 

Sunbury should be essentially 

deleted outside the Urban 

Growth Boundary 

Delete the short blue north‐ 

south link north of Hadfields 

Road and to the east of the 

Hume Freeway (just north of the 

Whittlesea boundary corner) 

Have you got new train stations 

at Beveridge & Lockerbie in the 

2046 model 

4 lanes 

Collectors 

removed around 

Bulla‐Diggers 

Rest Road 

Deleted 

Confirmed 

Harvest Home Road all Code as 4 lane arterial 4 lanes 

Reduce 2 lane arterials to coded as 

collectors around Lalor 

collectors 

Patullos Lane Train line Hume 

Highway 

Remove Removed 

The Lakes Boulevard Gordons Road Plenty Road Include as collector Included as 

collector 

Melbourne‐Lancefield Sunbury North North of Reduce to 4 lane arterial 4 lanes 

Road 

Station Model 

Redstone Hill Road Orbital link to 

Orbital route rather than link to Orbital as 4 lane 

Melbourne‐ 

Sunbury Rd east of Melboure‐ arterial 

Lancefield Rd 

Lancefield Road 

Additional collector into 

Folkestone 

Added 

South Station Road Macsfield Road Next road 

south 

Delete Deleted 

New connection South of OMR Scanlon St Add 2 lane arterial Added 

E14 (Aitken Blvd) Johnstone St Western Ring Stop E14 at Johnstone St Removed 

Rd 

(Johnstone St at 4 lanes) 

(Johnstone St at 

4 lanes) 

West Gate Bridge East side West side Code as 5 lanes per direction as Changed to 5 

per the recent upgrade 

lanes 

West Gate Tunnel East side West side Remove link ‐ tunnel will never 

be built 

Deleted 

Main St Improve distribution of traffic Centroid moved 

around Broadmeadows shopping closer to Main st, 

centre 

connectors re‐ 

arranged 

Station St Horne St Barkly St Increase attractiveness of Station Level crossing 

St to reflect observed conditions delay halved 

Barkly St Station St Riddel's Road Upgrade to reflect signed route Changed 

to Sunbury Rd 

linkclass, posted 

speed increased 

to 60km/h 

APAC Drive On Ramp APAC Drive Tullamarine The bridge is currently under Added to 

Freeway construction, and shown as a 

dotted line in the Melways (Mel 

Ref 5 E6) 

network 

PAGE xxxi


APPENDIX C 

Final 2046 VITM road network maps 

Refer to AppendixC_Road Networks.pdf 

PAGE xxxii


APPENDIX D 

VITM outputs – highway volumes, volume/capacity ratios and public transport 

patronage. 

Refer to AppendixD_2046outputs.pdf 

PAGE xxxiii


APPENDIX E 

2046 constrained PT sensitivity test outputs 

Refer to AppendixE_constrained.pdf 

PAGE xxxiv

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2046 Northern Growth Corridor 

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13600 

13500 

12000 

12300 

2000 

1500 

300 

400 

12200 

12500 

11200 

11300 

300 

300 

1300 

1100 

11100 

10800 

300 

400 

200 

200 

300 

300 

1500 

1200 

22000 

0 

100 

2100 

1500 

23000 

21500 

200 

200 

400 

500 

100 

100 

700 

21500 

1500 

1300 

2400 

1800 

1800 

2200 

1500 

1600 

300 

500 

2000 

2800 

800 

600 

800 

800 

2000 

2800 

20800 

20900 21400 

2200 

2100 

20800 500 

3500 

3300 

2100 

2000 

1300 

1300 

2000 

1800 

1800 

2000 

21400 

700 

700 

21300 

1200 

1200 

2000 

1800 

1800 

2000 

2000 

1800 

1400 

1200 

2000 

1800 

1800 

2000 

1800 

2000 

21400 

2800 

3000 

21300 

1800 

2000 

1800 

2000 

2000 

1800 1800 

2000 

21400 

21300 

21300 

21300 

21300 

21300 

21300 

21300 21300 21300 21300 

500 

500 

22200 

22200 

22200 

22200 

22200 

22200 

21300 

23000 23000 23000 23000 2300023000 

300 

500 

21400 

21400 

21400 

21400 

21400 

21400 

21400 

21400 21400 

900 

700 

900 

700 

11100 

10800 

10300 

9900 

4000 

4000 

3700 

3500 

3700 

3500 

4800 

4600 

900 

1000 

4800 

4600 

900 

800 

900 

800 

200 

200 

200 

200 

200 

200 

800 

800 

800 

800 

800 

800 

800 

800 

900 

800 

800 

800 

200 

200 

1100 

900 

900 

900 

600 

400 

600 

400






V_1_DAY=50842.681 

V_1_DAY=101685.36 

V_1_DAY 60000 

400 

400 

700 

700 

6700 

6800 

1000 

1100 

300 

300 

200 

200 

300 

300 

800 

800 

3400 

3400 

3000 

2900 

4200 

4800 

200 

200 

600 

600 

1200 

1100 

2400 

2600 

600 

600 

100 

200 

900 

900 

900 

900 

200 

200 

600 

600 

100 

100 

400 

400 

200 

200 

800 

700 

400 

400 

1600 

1800 

400 

300 

400 

400 

200 

200 

400 

400 

200 

200 

200 

200 

500 

500 

300 

300 

200 

200 

400 

400 

1800 

1800 

300 

300 

100 

100 

300 

300 

200 

200 

1300 

1300 

2700 

1600 

600 

600 

100 

600 

600 

200 

200 

400 

400 

100 

100 

100 

100 

600 

600 

400 

400 

1700 

1900 

700 

600 

700 

700 

400 

400 

600 

700 

700 

700 

600 

700 

1800 

1900 

4900 

5000 

200 

200 

6300 

6100 

900 

900 

10500 

10100 

5300 

5500 

800 

900 

100 

100 

400 

400 

300 

300 

500 

500 

400 

500 

300 

300 

6700 

7100 

200 

200 

4400 

4700 

900 

1000 

600 

700 

800 

800 

100 

100 

100 

100 

500 

400 

1100 

1200 

700 

700 

800 

800 

2300 

2300 

600 

600 

1400 

1200 

25400 

25900 

4100 

4400 

11100 

10700 

100 

200 

800 

800 

800 

1000 

400 

400 

800 

700 

1900 

2000 

2800 

2600 

700 

800 

1100 

1200 

2900 

2800 400 

500 

400 

400 

600 

600 

800 

800 

800 

800 

800 

700 

1100 

1000 

600 

500 

300 

300 

300 

400 

0 

1000 

1000 

500 

500 

0 

500 

400 

600 

700 

900 

2300 

2600 

1900 

1700 

1900 

1700 

400 

400 

1500 

1500 

70700 

900 

700 

500 

500 

700 

700 

2700 

2600 

200 

200 

1400 

1500 

2300 

2600 6800 

6800 

400 

400 

800 

800 

49000 

11900 

12100 

2300 

1700 

2300 

1700 

2100 

1800 

2100 

1800 

400 

400 

4700 

4600 

700 

700 

100 

100 

600 

600 

1400 

1200 

1400 

1200 

1400 

1200 

1300 

1100 

900 

700 

1600 

1500 

700 

700 

900 

700 

900 

700 

1800 

1700 

2900 

2900 

1300 

1100 

1600 

1500 

1800 

1700 

1900 

1800 

1200 

1200 

2200 

2300 

900 

700 

2700 

2400 

4000 

4500 

400 

400 

2400 

2700 

4400 

4100 

5900 

6200 

100 

100 

900 

700 

6100 

5700 

2700 

2400 

2500 

2200 

300 

300 

3600 

4800 

3100 

2100 

42200 

9300 

8500 

2300 

2300 

400 

200 

200 

200 

800 

800 

4300 

4500 

4500 

4700 

2200 

2300 

900 

1000 

5400 

5300 

1800 

1700 

900 

1000 

700 

700 

18300 

17200 

0 

0 

2300 

2200 

1300 

1600 

13100 

12100 

5400 

5400 

900 

12900 

12300 

10700 

10600 

1100 

1100 

300 

300 

8000 

7700 

1200 

1200 

1500 

1500 1600 

1500 

300 

300 

3100 

2700 

1500 

1100 

1900 

1800 

1400 

1500 

1400 

1200 

7400 

400 

300 

1800 

1800 

1000 

900 12800 

12200 

1500 

700 

47600 

600 

600 

10600 

10300 

2000 

1800 

3800 

3800 

1900 

1700 

1800 

1600 

37000 

1000 

1100 

300 

200 

200 

3500 

3500 

2600 

2200 

34900 

1000 

1100 

1700 

1600 

0 

900 

900 

1700 

1600 

15900 

15000 

4000 

3900 

1500 

1500 

4900 

4900 

2400 

3300 

2500 

2500 

3000 

3100 

800 

800 

500 

600 

0 

0 

3800 

4500 

3700 

4400 

45400 

1100 

0 

13100 

11100 

68800 

2900 

2000 

1600 

1300 

1800 

1600 

1800 

1400 

0 

0 

200 

200 

200 

300 

200 

200 

300 

300 

27800 23000 

7800 23200 

2600 

2200 

400 

900 

24800 

2200 

2300 

2200 

2500 

700 

24900 

300 

300 

300 

300 

34700 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

400 

400 

200 

200 

800 

900 

44800 

0 

3100 

3300 

700 

800 

900 

800 

500 

500 

0 

400 

400 

300 

300 

900 

900 

900 

900 

1500 

700 

1800 

1000 

7200 

7400 

1400 

1300 

4100 

3500 

3600 

3300 

1700 

1700 

200 

200 

500 

400 

500 

500 

900 

1000 

200 

200 

900600 

500 

700 

700 

5200 

4700 

1200 

1300 

900 

800 

200 

300 

400 

300 

600 

600 

400 

400 

100 

200 

100 

200 

700 

700 

500 

500 

200 

200 

1300 

1000 

10600 

10300 

500 

400 

1200 

1000 

500 

400 

500 

400 

0 

500 

400 

700 

700 

2000 

1800 

1800 

2000 

21300 

21400



Hume Corridor North 




V_1_DAY=50842.681 

V_1_DAY=101685.36 

V_1_DAY 60000 

200 

200 

600 

600 

500 

500 

300 

300 

200 

200 

400 

400 

5600 

5900 

1800 

1800 

200 

200 

1500 

1400 

500 

600 

1600 

1700 

300 

300 

100 

100 

600 

600 

1600 

1700 

1300 

1400 

2200 

2200 

1000 

1100 

2900 

2800 

1900 

2000 

500 

400 

7100 

6600 

600 

600 

500 

600 

2800 

2700 

500 

500 

3000 

2900 

1600 

1700 

4500 

4800 

3200 

3500 

2700 

2700 

800 

800 

1100 

1200 

1400 

1400 

1700 

1800 

200 

100 

600 

700 

100 

100 

700 

700 

100 

100 

2900 

2700 

800 

800 

1000 

1100 

300 

300 

2000 

2100 

1700 

1800 

1400 

1400 

2200 

2500 

3800 

3500 

1700 

1800 

500 

500 

2500 

2700 

1200 

2500 

2300 

1800 

1600 

500 

500 

1500 

1400 

1300 

1300 

300 

300 

500 

500 

500 

500 

600 

700 

700 

600 

500 

500 

200 

200 

800 

800 

200 

200 200 

100 

600 

500 

800 

800 500 

500 

900 

1000 

1800 

1900 

700 

800 

5600 

6000 

4100 

2900 

2800 

1200 

1200 

2800 

3100 

400 

400 

2500 

2700 

2200 

2000 

2400 

2600 

3100 

2900 

1200 

1200 

1700 

1600 

1500 

1600 

1100 

1100 

30800 

1400 

1400 

2300 

2600 

2100 

2400 

4800 

4000 

3000 

2800 

13700 

12900 

2600 

2100 

15000 

14500 

1900 

2100 

5400 

5400 

5900 

5700 

10600 

11000 

5500 

5100 

7500 

3600 

700 

700 

4400 

4700 

4500 

4700 

500 

500 

1000 

1000 

700 

700 

1000 

1000 

2400 

2500 

700 

700 

2300 

2600 

1400 

700 

700 

2900 

2900 

700 

700 

2300 

2300 

2900 

2900 

1200 

1200 

2900 

2900 

2200 

2300 

1200 

1200 

2200 

2300 

2200 

2300 

2200 

2300 

2200 

2300 

170 

190 

12200 

2000 

2000 

22300 

200 

8900 

9700 

3100 

2100 

10300 

10200 

12900 

12400 

10400 

10000 

2100 

2000 

5300 

5200 

13500 

12700 20100 

9300 

8500 

4200 

3900 

14900 

9300 

6900 

9100 

8500 

3400 

3400 7000 

5200 

10200 

8100 

4200 

4500 

2300 

2300 

9100 

8300 

400 

200 

11000 

10300 

2500 

2200 

2500 

2200 

4 

4 

4500 

4700 

400 

800 

2500 

2200 

3900 

4300 

700 

900 

12000 

11100 

30800 

13400 

3100 

3300 

17100 13700 

2300 

2300 

11800 

11500 

2200 

2000 

13200 

12400 

800 

800 

4100 

4000 

3400 

3300 

14000 

13200 

13300 

14100 

1800 

1700 

0 

0 

0 

10100 

9300 

400 

400 

2200 

2900 

2000 

3100 

2100 

2300 

1800 

800 

400 

2300 

1800 

2300 

1800 

2300 

1800 

2300 

1800 

14900 

16400 

16400 

16400 

37900 

33800 

34100 

33300 

12700 

20600 

12700 

12700 

11600 

1100 

14200 

15300 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5800 

1800 

1600 

6200 

5900 

800 

800 

2000 

1800 

3300 

3100 

2600 

2700 

700 

3000 

3000 

400 

300 

2100 

1600 

1800 

1400 

1200 

1100 

600 

600 

1800 

1600 

7400 

7200 

6800 

6500 

2500 

2300 

5400 

4200 

1700 

2600 

2100 

1700 

2400 

2500 

2400 

2500 

10400 

9500 

0 

0 

9700 

11000 

8700 

7900 

2200 

2300 

300 

1100 

1000 

200 

200 

2100 

2000 

1200 

1200 

4700 

5600 

5600 

4500 

5800 

4700 

16400 

17300 

5700 

5900 

10200 

9800 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5700 

5500 

5700 

5400 

6600 

2300 

2400 

200 

300 

900 

400 

900 

23600 23600 

22900 

23600 23600 23600 23600 23600 23600 

22900 

22900 

22900 

11300 

11000 

16100 

7500 

23200 

15300 6100 

22900 

22900 

7100 

23200 12400 

21400 

21400 

10800 11600 11600 11600 11600 

9300 

9300 

9300 

9300 

8600 

600 

8600 

2200 9400 

2200 

13400 

13700 

13400 

2200 2200 16200 

2300 

12700 

2300 

2300 

2300 

2300 

2300 

2200 

2200 

2300 

2200 

2500 

2500 

2200 

29000 

2700 

2800 

2700 

2800 

21500 

9200 

9100 

12300 

11100 

5300 

12300 

11800 

16500 

16500 

19800 19800 

22300 

18100 

1700 

29000 

14000 

16300 

13400 

16300 

7000 

7000 

7000 

7000 

12700 

500 

400 

400 

400 

400 

500 

500 

500 

1300 

1200 

1300 

1200 

2700 

2600 

2300 

19100 19100 

23400 

1000 

22400 

18000 

18000 

15000 

15000 

27400 

21400 

6000 

22400 

2750027400 27000 

500 

500 

500 

27000 

1000 

27000 

1700 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

11400 

9600 

5300 

6600 

9800 

9000 

9600 

9200 

9600 

0 

2200 

9200 

9600 

9200 

9600 

8300 

7700 

4200 

4400 

4300 

4700 

12700 

12400 

12500 

12500 

10100 

10000 

4400 

4200 

10200 

10700 

3100 

7200 

7400 

6900 

7000 

900 

900 

11900 

13100 

4000 

4200 

4200 

4300 

800 

800 

6000 5700 

5900 

14900 

13500 

800 

400 

14900 

13500 

14200 

13000 

12400 

11100 

1200 

1300 

2800 

2800 

10800 

10400 

6900 

6200 

2000 

2300 

7600 

7100 

4700 

4800 

1400 

1400 

1100 

1000 

900 

1900 

1600 

900 

900 

6300 

7300 

5200 

5400 

3100 

2500 

3400 

2700 

3400 

2700 

500 

500 

3200 

2500 

9000 

9500 

7100 

6400 

11300 

11300 

1800 

1600 

5500 

5000 

6900 

6200 

200 

100 

600 

600 

200 

300 

9100 

8400 

13100 

11400 

13000 

11300 

3500 

3400 

2400 

2300 

1600 

1500 

12000 

10400 

10900 

11000 12500 

11500 

11300 

10400 

1100 

1200 10700 

9900 

500 

500 

12200 

13400 

100 

700 

700 

700 30200 

29600 

700 

800 

800 

800 

300 

300 

400 

300 

600 

500 

800 

800 

300 

300 

300 

300 

500 

400 

1000 

900 

600 

500 

400 

300 

9800 

8100 

7900 

5400 

7500 

6800 

9200 

6500 

1400 

1100 

8600 

6100 

4300 

4400 

2500 

2300 

9200 

6600 

1800 

1600 

5900 

6200 

5200 

8400 

9400 

500 

500 

8600 

8200 

2300 

2200 

2100 

1600 

200 

100 

1000 

900 

8700 

7700 

10000 

9200 

3100 

3100 

5400 

4900 

2600 

2400 

1100 

900 

0 

0 

2200 

0 

2500 

2500 

1400 

1300 

7700 

8300 

1000 

5100 

2600 

5200 

1500 

800 

12800 

7600 

2400 

2000 

9200 

6900 

8700 

7000 

13900 

15100 

3100 

2400 

9800 

8100 

5500 

5800 

9200 

6600 

7200 

7400 

3900 

4200 

500 

500 

7300 

7500 

400 

600 

300 

1800 

1900 

3600 

3900 

3600 

1300 

1100 

1600 

1700 

900 

1000 

600 

500 

3400 

3400 

1600 

1600 

1800 

1700 

20800 

18200 

6500 

6400 

3100 

3000 

2200 

2400 

2300 

2300 

12900 

13500 

2900 

2900 

5700 

5900 

9300 

8700 

9300 

8700 

3000 

2800 

180 

210 

400 

7000 

7700 

14500 

14500 

2200 

2300 

700 

900 

700 

900 

900 

700 

500 

400 

2900 

2800 

3400 

4600 

4500 

4100 

10700 

9500 

3000 

3000 

3100 

200 

300 

1300 

1200 

1300 

4000 

40002200 

3000 

2600 

3500 

3400 

2000 

1900 

2100 

1900 

1000 

900 

1000 

900 

1700 

1800 900 

1100 

1000 

1100 

5000 

5000 

7700 

7300 

7600 

6800 

3900 

3500 

1300 

1400 

5300 

4900 

800 

700 

800 

3500 

3100 

800 

800 

1200 

1300 

400 

500 

2300 

2200 

800 

900 

3200 

2900 

1800 

1900 

1600 

1700 

2600 

2300 

15100 

16500 5600 

5400 

1600 

1700 

700 

600 

1100 

1100 

1800 

1600 

800 

800 

200 

200 

600 

700 

1700 

1700 

1000 

900 

400 

400 

100 

100 

500 

500 300 

300 

200 

200 

1000 

900 

1700 

1800 

1200 

1100 

1600 

1600 

300 

300 

1800 

1800 

600 

600 

2100 

2100 

1600 

1600 

2700 

2600 

1100 

1200 

1200 

1100 

600 

600 

400 

400 

1100 

1000 

800 

800 

1200 

1100 

1300 

1400 

3000 

2900 

200 

200 

200 

5800 

5300 

200 

3500 

3700 2500 

2700 

1500 

1500 

2000 

2000 

2400 

2400 

700 

700 

600 

700 

900 

800 

800 

700 

100 

100 

1900 

1800 

200 

200 

1300 

1200 

3000 

5500 

4400 

4600 

1100 

1100 

100 

200 

1000 

1000 

500 

500 1000 

1000 

7200 

6900 

600 

600 

3000 

3100 

2100 

2000 

7600 

7400 

200 

200 

3000 

2800 

3500 

3800 

2600 

2100 

2800 

3200 1300 

1200 

3700 

5600 

200 

200 

200 

200 

200 

200 

1800 

1700 

700 

700 

700 

700 

300 

300 

1700 

1600 

1700 

1600 

700 

700 

1300 

1200 

1200 

1300 

700 

700 

1000 

1100 

200 

100 

200 

100 

500 

500 

600 

500 

100 

100 

300 

300 

1600 

1700 

1000 

900 

400 

400 

300 

300 

1700 

1700 

1200 

1100 

5300 

5100



Hume Corridor South 




V_1_DAY=50842.681 

V_1_DAY=101685.36 

V_1_DAY 60000 

7100 

2900 

2600 

2800 

5600 

5700 

1900 

1900 

3000 

2900 

4900 

4500 

2700 

2700 

5600 

5600 

4200 

4800 

7500 

7500 

7300 

7000 

2300 

2000 

8000 

8700 

1600 

1600 

3000 

2900 

6400 

6600 

1700 

1700 

700 

700 

2900 

3100 

6200 

5900 

2700 

2700 

5400 

5200 

1200 

1100 

2400 

2600 

2400 

2600 

6500 

6000 

1400 

1300 

600 

600 

500 

500 

1700 

1800 

1100 

1000 

100 

200 

900 

900 

3000 

3200 

4000 

3800 

800 

900 

700 

700 

3700 

4000 

7800 

7400 

1900 

1800 

5200 

5200 

2100 

2100 

1200 

1200 

700 

700 

4300 

4400 

3100 

2800 

2800 

2800 

4500 

4000 8300 

8300 

6300 

6500 

700 

700 

6000 

5900 

1400 

1300 

3000 

3000 

1500 

1100 

5500 

5500 

2700 

2600 

2300 

2300 

800 

800 

1500 

1200 

9300 

9000 

6600 

6100 

5200 

5100 

5000 

5100 

3600 

3500 

3000 

2900 

4600 

4400 

11700 

12300 

2900 

3500 

3400 

3200 

3900 

4000 

2900 

2900 

2800 

2900 

8700 

8700 

400 

500 

1800 

1800 

2500 

2600 

4500 

4400 

7000 

6700 

7500 

7200 

7100 

7300 

490 

500 

13200 

13400 

6400 

6200 

2200 

2100 

4600 

4800 

10400 

10200 

1900 

1900 

200 

300 

400 

400 

100 

100 

1800 

1300 

1500 

1400 

200 

200 

1300 

1400 

2200 

2200 

1000 

1100 

2900 

2800 

1900 

1900 

2000 

1900 

400 

300 

3300 

3200 

1200 

1300 

300 

300 

3700 

3400 

6900 

7000 

5900 

570 

13600 

13500 

9200 

9500 

3200 

3000 

14700 

14700 

2300 

2400 

6700 

7100 

6900 

7200 

1400 

1500 

2100 

1900 

3700 

3800 

1200 

1200 1400 

1500 

800 

800 

700 

800 

900 

2300 

2300 

100 

100 

100 

100 

2600 

2500 

4200 

4200 

500 

400 

600 

600 

500 

600 

2800 

2700 

5600 

6000 

4300 

4100 

1200 

1300 

1900 

2000 

2500 

2600 

1600 

1700 

2900 

2800 

2600 

2600 1600 

1600 

4700 

4800 

400 

400 

900 

700 

700 

4300 

4100 

1300 

1200 

2200 

2100 

100 

200 

700 

900 

200 

300 

23100 

21700 

23100 

21700 

1200 

1000 

500 

200 

12100 

11900 11800 

11900 

14500 

14400 

16000 

15300 

1300 

1300 

4300 

4200 

3100 

3300 

4800 

4700 

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V_1_DAY=50842.681 

V_1_DAY=101685.36 

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V_1_DAY=101685.36 

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900 

800


Blue bandwidths = rail volumes 

Orange bandwidths = bus volumes 

Blue circles = train stations 

33700 

33700 

33700 

26100 

25700 

30100 

29600 

30100 

29600 

33200 

32200 

Daily Public Transport Patronage (24 hours) 


42900 

42500 

79900 

126300 

69900 

79700 

94700 

69900 

127000 

70200 

71400 

70300 

80400 

94300 

71900 

70400 

79000 

26300 

26300 

67700 

25900 

25900 

23100 

27200 

5400 

7900 

Legend 

PT_TRAIN_DAY=50000 

PT_TRAIN_DAY=100000 

PT_BUS_DAY=50000 

PT_BUS_DAY=100000 

Licensed to Sinclair Knight Merz Pty Ltd



700 

600 

800 

500 

500 

600 

900 

500 

500 

800 

900 

500 

900 

800 

800 

700 

1000 

1300 

800 

2800 

600 

6600 

5300 

8000 

6300 

700 700 

1400 

8800 

600 

2500 

800 

800 

900 

700 

700 

700 

700 

900 

700 700 

600 

1900 

1900 

600 

700 

600 

800 

6400 

1700 

1900 

900 

600 

700 

700 

700 

700 

900 

1600 

3500 

7100 5100 

3600 

900 

600 

1800 

900 

1400 

600 

500 

800 

600 500 

1000 

8700 

3100 

500 

900 

5000 

13200 

700 

900 

800 

900 

AM Peak Traffic Volumes (7-9am) 


900 600 600 

1500 

500 

500 

3500 

900900 

900 

4700 

3200 

13800 

900 

600 

1900 

500 

2800 

2100 

2200 

2700 

1900 

1500 

900 

500 

1200 

900 

600 

3600 

700 

800 

800 

600 

3400 

600 

800 

1200 

1800 

4500 

700 

1700 

700 

600 

1800 

600 

1700 

800 

1200 

2600 

1000 

1300 

2600 

3500 

1800 

3800 

3000 

700 

600 

2100 

2500 

700 

700 

700 700 

6200 

5300 

4600 

700 

500 

800 

700 

600 

1300 

800 

800 

2700 

700 

4400 

800 

800 

1900 

600 

1300 

3700 

700 

3000 

900 

700 

2400 

900 

900 

1300 

500 

900 

7800 

2400 

800 

1400 

700 

800 

500 

4600 

1900 

1800 

500 

1700 

1900 

500 

500 

800 

700 

500 

700 

3900 

900 

800 

500 

4300 

600 

500 

900 

1000 

500 

2300 

2700 

7400 

500 

10500 

1000 

500 

500 500 

900 

1000 

15000 

600 

1200 

500 

600 

1600 

2000 

2900 

2000 

600 

500 

1700 

600 

1300 

600 

500 

1300 

1300 

800 

1100 

500 

700 

600 

1000 

600 

2500 800 

1100 

3400 

900 

500 

800 

800 

500 

800 

700 

800 

900 

600 

700 

800 

1300 

800 

800 

700 

600 

600 

700 

700 

1400 

Legend 

V_1=7078.0151 

V_1=14156.03 

V_1 6000 



Volume/Capacity Ratios (AM Peak, 7-9am) 


Legend 

VC_1=1 

VC_1=2 

VC_1 1.2 






8400 

200 

13700 

400 

13700 

300 

300 

300 

100 

10700 

300 

100 

5300 

12600 

300 

12600 

300 

13300 

700 

AM Public Transport Volumes (7-9am) 


17600 

2800 

3100 

1800 

700 

800 

800 

500 

700 

32800 

600 

21500 

800 

800 

600 

21300 

46800 

46800 

400 

32100 

21700 

200 

200 

25900 

8300 

21600 

8300 

400 

500 

600 

13700 

200 

5100 

0 

0 

Legend 

PT_BUS=5000 

PT_BUS=10000 

PT_TRAIN=5000 

PT_TRAIN=10000 


500 

900 

600 



700 

500 

500 

700 

500 

800 

1500 

500 

900 

600 

900 

900 

800 

1100 

800 

1300 

5300 

3500 

600 7300 

9100 

9800 

700 700 

7500 

1500 

600 

700 

1300 

2600 

900 

500 

500 

900 

800 

900 

1200 

900 

800 

2200 

2400 

900 

600 

1200 

1300 

3600 

2200 

2300 

900 

800 

700 

700 

900 

500 

1700 

1500 

8600 

1000 

4100 3700 

7300 

1000 

2100 

900 

900 

1000 

4800 

5500 

700 

12900 

1100 600 

500 

6700 

800 

700 

700 

600 

1200 

1200 

900 

600 

PM Peak Traffic Volumes (3-6pm) 


1200 900 900 

600 

600 

1400 

3500 

4900 

1100 

5000 

900 

2100 

3100 

2400 

2600 

2100 

3100 

1600 

800 

1300 

500 

500 

700 

700 

700 

4300 

2300 

700 

700 

700 

4100 

700 

500 

700 

4400 

500 

1600 

600 

800 800 

1900 

600 

2800 

800 

600 

1200 

2700 

2000 

2700 

1500 

800 

700 

800 

1700 

600 600 

6300 

5200 

800 

4900 

2800 

2800 

1600 

600 

700 

1600 

3100 

600 

4000 

500 

4000 

800 

700 

600 

900 

2900 

900 

600 

800 

1900 

3100 

2100 

7700 

4300 

3200 

900 

700 

900 

3400 

4800 

900 

500 

1400 

1800 

600 

4800 

800 

600 

1500 

700 

700 

700 

700 

2100 

700 

700 

2500 

2300 

2200 

500 

600 

800 

500 

800 

2100 

900 

700 

5100 

500 

600 

600 

700 

1400 

1000 

1000 

600 

1100 

600 

1300 

1000 

700 

700 

11700 

600 

500 

1000 1300 

7100 

3200 

2600 

5200 

15100 

2000 

800 

1800 

2900 

700 

2500 

1400 

1300 

800 

600 

700 

700 

600 

1200 

2600 

600 

500 

1100 

1600 

3100 

500 

500 

1200 

700 

800 

1300 

800 

800 

500 

800 

600 

900 

500 

600 

700 

900 

800 

500 

900 

600 

600 

500500 

700 

800 

800 

1300 

600 

900 

900 

800 

600 

1400 

700 

Legend 

V_1=7078.0151 

V_1=14156.03 

V_1 6000 

500 

500 

500 



Volume/Capacity Ratios (PM Peak, 3-6pm) 


Legend 

VC_1=1 

VC_1=2 

VC_1 1.2 






600 

6800 

1000 

11300 

1000 

8800 

700 

600 

700 

10300 

300 

4500 

800 

300 

10300 

800 

11300 

800 

14300 

1400 

PM Public Transport Volumes (3-6pm) 


2700 

2700 

27700 

40200 

40200 

19400 

3700 

29200 

2400 

19200 

4100 

4100 

2200 

19600 

24600 

2400 

3200 

21500 

2500 

3000 

8000 

8000 

2300 

1000 

1000 

7600 

8100 

8600 

800 

800 

1000 

2000 

300 

0 

0 

Legend 

PT_BUS=5000 

PT_BUS=10000 

PT_TRAIN=5000 







200 

13000 

300 

13000 

300 

300 

23000 

300 

300 

100 

9600 

300 

AM Public Transport Volumes (7-9am) 

Northern Growth Corridor - Constrained PT scenario 

100 

5100 

10900 

300 

10900 

300 

11600 

600 

15800 

700 

900 

1400 

600 

600 

600 

400 

600 

500 

14900 

700 

600 

500 

35900 

35900 

300 

24900 

200 

18200 

200 

3800 

16300 

3800 

400 

600 600 400 

200 

5300 

0 0 

Legend 

PT_BUS=5000 

PT_BUS=10000 

PT_TRAIN=5000 




Volume/Capacity Ratios (AM Peak, 7-9am) 


Legend 

VC_1=1 

VC_1=2 

VC_1 1.2 




1100 

1100 

500 

500 

1100 

500 

800 

500 

900 

1000 

700 

500 

1000 

1300 

800 

2800 

600 

6600 

700 

5300 

8100 

700 700 

8900 

1800 

2500 

600 

800 

900 

700 

700 

700 

700 700 

1500 

1900 

2000 

600 

700 

800 

800 

1900 

2000 

700 

700 

700 

800 

800 

800 

500 

600 

3500 

7200 5300 

2100 

700 

3600 

900 

1400 

AM Peak Traffic Volumes (7-9am) 


500 

1000 

800 

700 

1000 

9000 

3100 

900 

600 

900 

5000 

1000 

800 

600 

1000 

3500 

4700 

3300 

700 700 

800 

700 

3100 

1900 

500 

2100 

2100 

800 

600 

600 

1500 

3000 

1900 

900 

600 

1300 

900 

1600 

900 

900 

600 

1200 

800 

800 

600 

1800 

4600 

900 

2500 

900 

600 

1800 

600 

1700 

2700 

3900 

2600 

1800 

2200 

2900 

2500 

700 

700 

700 700 

6200 

4600 

900 

1200 

600 

1400 

800 

800 

2700 

700 

4700 

800 

800 

3000 

500 

1200 

3800 

2700 

800 

900 

8600 

2400 

1600 

600 

4600 

600 

600 

1700 

700 

600 

500500 500 

600 

1900 

900 

600 

500 

500 

500 

500 

500 500 

2100 

500 

4200 

900 

1000 

2400 

2600 

7600 

10500 

10800 

1000 

500 

900 

900 

15100 

700 

12900 

1200 

600 

1600 

2000 

600 

500 

1800 

600 

1300 

3200 

600 

1300 

800 

1200 

1200 

500 

600 

600 

2800 900 

1000 

500 

800 

800 

900 

700 

500 

700 

800 

1300 

800 

800 

600 

800 

700 

1400 

500 

Legend 

500 

600 

V_1=7078.0151 

V_1=14156.03 

V_1 6000 

600 

600 

1100 

600 

600 

700 

500 

900 

600 

600 

500 

600 


1000 

600 

900




Red circles = train stations 

500 

900 

10700 

900 

10700 

19400 

1300 

7200 

600 

600 

8300 

300 

PM Public Transport Volumes (3-6pm) 


4200 

600 

300 

8300 

600 

9300 

600 

12300 

1200 

1400 

1800 

33200 

33200 

13700 

3200 

21500 

2000 

3300 

3300 

18000 

2000 

2400 

16500 

18002100 

2300 

4400 

4400 

1900 

900 

900 

8300 

8700 

700 

800 

900 

2000 

300 

0 

0 

Legend 

PT_BUS=5000 

PT_BUS=10000 

PT_TRAIN=5000

Transport Modelling - Growth Areas Authority

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