manual for social impact assessment of land-based ... - Forest Trends
manual for social impact assessment of land-based ... - Forest Trends manual for social impact assessment of land-based ... - Forest Trends
Step 5: Creating the narratives In the next stage, the participants use the starting points (Step 4) to create coherent and plausible narratives or stories. Participants can be divided into several groups of 4-6 people with a facilitator for each group. Each group receives a different set of starting points. Various questions can be asked to get the group started: • What happens if … insert scenario starting point (e.g., the price of Brazil nuts falls and transport to the community gets worse)? Then what? • What happens next? • What will be the consequence of that? • How will people react if that happens? • What will they do next? • Who will push for what kind of change? These questions can be continued to deepen the story. It can be useful to use time lines to help build the scenarios – people can be asked to think about what happens at each point in time. This can help them write a story. Each group should develop at least two scenarios - this will stimulate their thinking about different outcomes or impacts. The facilitator should also point out any inconsistencies and ask the participants to reconcile them. It is important that the story includes the entire cast of characters as well as other identified driving forces. If the group loses focus, the facilitator needs to bring the discussion back on track. A good way of breaking a roadblock is to get the breakout groups to come up with outlines for a set of three to four stories in 45 minutes or less. This process can be repeated a few times, with full group discussions in between, to deepen the stories. Once the group has reached the logical end of a story, someone from the group should read it to the rest of the group which should review and correct it. Finally it is essential to have a note taker (not the facilitator) recording the discussions as the scenarios are developed. Main Sources and Further Guidance Evans, K., Velarde, S.J., Prieto, R.P., Rao, S.N., Sertzen, S., Davila, K., Cronkleton, P. and de Jong, W. 2006. Field guide to the future: four ways for communities to think ahead. CIFOR, ASB, ICRAF, Nairobi. http://www.asb.cgiar.org/PDFwebdocs/Evans-et-al-2006-Field-guide-to-the-future.pdf Wollenberg, E., Edmunds, D., Buck, L. 2000. Anticipating change: scenarios as a tool for adaptive forest management: a guide. CIFOR, Bogor, Indonesia. http://www.cifor.cgiar.org/acm/methods/fs.html Social Impact Assessment of Land-Based Carbon Projects (1.0) – Part II | 79
Maack, J.N. 2001. Scenario analysis: a tool for task managers. From social analysis: Selected tools and techniques. Social Development Papers Number 36. The World Bank, Washington DC.http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTSOCIALDEV/Resources/31773941167940794463/Sce narioAnalysisMaack.pdf Peterson, G.D., Beard Jr., T.D., Beisner, B.E., Bennett, E.M., Carpenter, S.R., Cumming, G.S., Dent, C.L., and Havlicek, T.D. 2003. Assessing future ecosystem services: a case study of the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsin. Conservation Ecology 7(3) Social Impact Assessment of Land-Based Carbon Projects (1.0) – Part II | 80
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Maack, J.N. 2001. Scenario analysis: a tool <strong>for</strong> task managers. From <strong>social</strong> analysis: Selected tools and<br />
techniques. Social Development Papers Number 36. The World Bank, Washington<br />
DC.http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTSOCIALDEV/Resources/31773941167940794463/Sce<br />
narioAnalysisMaack.pdf<br />
Peterson, G.D., Beard Jr., T.D., Beisner, B.E., Bennett, E.M., Carpenter, S.R., Cumming, G.S., Dent, C.L.,<br />
and Havlicek, T.D. 2003. Assessing future ecosystem services: a case study <strong>of</strong> the Northern<br />
High<strong>land</strong>s Lake District, Wisconsin. Conservation Ecology 7(3)<br />
Social Impact Assessment <strong>of</strong> Land-Based Carbon Projects (1.0) – Part II | 80