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manual for social impact assessment of land-based ... - Forest Trends

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The strategies can now be put into the conceptual model – this will show the intervention point and<br />

the chain <strong>of</strong> factors that the project hopes to alter. For example, in Figure T3, the strategy ‘improve<br />

<strong>land</strong> use planning’ directly addresses two key intervention points: ‘inadequate zoning regulations’<br />

and ‘limited government capacity <strong>for</strong> <strong>land</strong> use planning’. It is assumed that a change in <strong>land</strong> use<br />

planning will also lead to changes in other factors.<br />

Figure T3: Conceptual Model Example with Key Factors and Strategies Identified<br />

Media<br />

campaign<br />

Improve<br />

<strong>land</strong> use<br />

planning<br />

Lobby<br />

government on<br />

dev. policies<br />

Strategy<br />

KEY<br />

Indirect<br />

Threat or<br />

Opportunity<br />

Traditions &<br />

consumer<br />

preferences<br />

Limited gov’t<br />

capacity <strong>for</strong> <strong>land</strong><br />

use planning<br />

Gov’t policies<br />

favorable to<br />

urban dev.<br />

Failure <strong>of</strong> rural<br />

economy<br />

Direct<br />

Threat<br />

Need to<br />

generate<br />

income<br />

Rapid<br />

urbanization<br />

Population<br />

growth<br />

Target<br />

Demand <strong>for</strong><br />

caviar<br />

Inadequate<br />

zoning<br />

regulations<br />

Cheap <strong>land</strong><br />

High price <strong>for</strong><br />

caviar<br />

Need <strong>for</strong><br />

electricity<br />

Demand <strong>for</strong><br />

second homes<br />

Harvesting <strong>for</strong><br />

caviar<br />

Dams<br />

Pollution from<br />

domestic<br />

sewage<br />

Global warming<br />

Clearing <strong>for</strong><br />

new home<br />

construction<br />

Re<strong>for</strong>estation<br />

with native<br />

species<br />

Source: Reproduced with permission from Conservation Measures Partnership, 2007. Open Standards the<br />

Practice <strong>of</strong> Conservation. Version 2.0. October 2007. The Conservation Measures Partnership.<br />

www.conservationmeasures.org/CMP/products.cfm<br />

Scope:<br />

Blue River<br />

watershed<br />

Sturgeon<br />

Blue River &<br />

tributaries<br />

Riparian<br />

<strong>for</strong>est<br />

<strong>Forest</strong><br />

corridors<br />

In order to be clear about how the strategy will help achieve the planned project <strong>impact</strong>s, it is<br />

necessary to be explicit about the assumptions involved in the project theory <strong>of</strong> change. A ‘results<br />

chain’ (equivalent to a causal model) is a graphical description <strong>of</strong> these assumptions. Figure T4<br />

shows how the results chain relates to the action plan.<br />

Social Impact Assessment <strong>of</strong> Land-Based Carbon Projects (1.0) – Part II | 7

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