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Figure T22: Additional Potential Social Change Processes and Negative Outcomes and Impacts <strong>of</strong> REDD (with Strict Protection)<br />

OUTCOMES OUTCOMES<br />

SOCIAL CHANGE PROCESSES<br />

Decrease in availability <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>land</strong> <strong>for</strong> poor <strong>land</strong>less, due<br />

to access restrictions<br />

Decrease or loss <strong>of</strong><br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal/customary rights<br />

over <strong>for</strong>est resources and<br />

<strong>land</strong><br />

Increase in cash income<br />

(from carbon payments)<br />

<strong>for</strong> project participants<br />

Increase in cost <strong>of</strong> food<br />

(due to decreased local<br />

agricultural production)<br />

Loss <strong>of</strong> employment and<br />

incomes (from<br />

agriculture, charcoal<br />

production, NTFP<br />

harvesting, logging, and<br />

other restricted<br />

economic activities)<br />

Market dynamic altered:<br />

Increase in competition<br />

within the community <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>land</strong><br />

Class relations altered:<br />

Inequity grows between the<br />

poorest local people and<br />

others in the community<br />

(e.g. due to exclusion <strong>of</strong><br />

poor from participation in<br />

carbon scheme) and lost<br />

access to <strong>land</strong>.<br />

Social relations are altered:<br />

Envy and jealousy develop<br />

between non-participants<br />

and project participants,<br />

and <strong>social</strong> tensions rise due<br />

to disproportionate<br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> opportunity<br />

costs.<br />

IMPACTS<br />

Increase in <strong>social</strong><br />

conflict due to <strong>land</strong><br />

speculation and/or inmigration<br />

in the<br />

carbon project area.<br />

Displacement <strong>of</strong> poor<br />

from project area due<br />

to increased<br />

competition <strong>for</strong> <strong>land</strong><br />

and <strong>social</strong> conflict and<br />

Social Impact Assessment <strong>of</strong> Land-Based Carbon Projects (1.0) – Part II | 102

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