Evaluating the Marketing Opportunities for Banana & its ... - Foodnet
Evaluating the Marketing Opportunities for Banana & its ... - Foodnet Evaluating the Marketing Opportunities for Banana & its ... - Foodnet
Evaluating the Marketing Opportunities for Banana & its Products in the Principle Banana Growing Countries of ASARECA (Uganda) J.S. Spilsbury J.N. Jagwe R.S.B. Ferris November, 2002
- Page 2 and 3: Table of Contents Table of Contents
- Page 4 and 5: Executive Summary This report provi
- Page 6 and 7: 1 INTRODUCTION This report represen
- Page 8 and 9: 3.3 Types Of Banana Rubaihayo (1993
- Page 10 and 11: South-western production areas tend
- Page 12 and 13: Table Two Ugandan Banana Production
- Page 14 and 15: 3.8 Production Constraints 3.8.1 So
- Page 16 and 17: Symptoms similar to those of Fusari
- Page 18 and 19: Access to Credit The initial capita
- Page 20 and 21: 4 DEMAND ANALYSIS 4.1 Size of Natio
- Page 22 and 23: 4.2 Size and Growth Rates of Region
- Page 24 and 25: 4.3 Size and Growth Rates of World
- Page 26 and 27: Results show a twin peaked pattern
- Page 28 and 29: There are various temporary depots
- Page 30 and 31: and fairtrade markets are suggested
- Page 32 and 33: the past this was seen to have food
- Page 34 and 35: Bicycle Transporters Bicycle transp
- Page 36 and 37: 5.2 Market Linkages To measure mark
- Page 38 and 39: Table Twelve. Trading Costs and Mar
- Page 40 and 41: high rates of loss. Over ripe sukal
- Page 42 and 43: Regional Markets 5. Ugandan regiona
- Page 44 and 45: 7 RECOMMENDATIONS The first priorit
- Page 46 and 47: How Provision of gross and net marg
- Page 48 and 49: (iii) Government efforts to ensure
- Page 51 and 52: Information Gathered with Businesse
<strong>Evaluating</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marketing</strong> <strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> & <strong>its</strong> Products<br />
in <strong>the</strong> Principle <strong>Banana</strong> Growing Countries of ASARECA<br />
(Uganda)<br />
J.S. Spilsbury<br />
J.N. Jagwe<br />
R.S.B. Ferris<br />
November, 2002
Table of Contents<br />
Table of Contents 2<br />
List of Figures 3<br />
List of Tables 3<br />
Executive Summary 4<br />
1 INTRODUCTION 6<br />
2 METHODOLOGY 6<br />
3 SUB SECTOR ANALYSIS 6<br />
3.1 Rapid Overview Of The Economic Status Of The Countries 6<br />
3.2 Trade And Competitiveness: Recent Re<strong>for</strong>ms, Per<strong>for</strong>mance 7<br />
And Market Access<br />
3.3 Types Of <strong>Banana</strong> 7<br />
3.4 Production Zones 9<br />
3.5 Production Levels 11<br />
3.6 Importance Of The Sub-Sector To Earnings, Rural Livelihoods, 12<br />
Poverty Alleviation And Economic Growth<br />
3.7 Consumption 13<br />
3.8 Production Constraints 14<br />
3.8.1 Soil fertility 14<br />
3.8.2 Pests and Diseases 14<br />
3.9 <strong>Marketing</strong> Constraints 17<br />
4 DEMAND ANALYSIS 20<br />
4.1 Size of National Markets 20<br />
4.2 Size and Growth Rates of Regional Markets 22<br />
4.3 Size and Growth Rates of World Markets 24<br />
4.4 Market Price Trends 25<br />
4.5 Major Products 27<br />
4.6 Overview of Market Potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and <strong>Banana</strong> Based Products 29<br />
5 SUPPLY ANALYSIS 33<br />
5.1 Analyse of <strong>the</strong> supply chain 33<br />
5.2 Market Linkages 36<br />
5.3 Production costs 37<br />
5.4 Trading Costs and Margins in <strong>the</strong> Supply Chain 37<br />
6 MAJOR FINDINGS 41<br />
7 RECOMMENDATIONS 44<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation Ga<strong>the</strong>red with Businesses involved in <strong>Banana</strong> Markets 50<br />
References 53<br />
Appendix 56<br />
2
List of Figures<br />
Figure One Production of Matooke by Region 10<br />
Figure Two Volume of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and 22<br />
Bogoya Exports to Kenya<br />
Figure Three Value of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and 22<br />
Bogoya Exports to Kenya<br />
Figure Four Fresh Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Export Volumes 24<br />
Figure Five Real Retail Prices <strong>for</strong> Selected Commodities (Kampala) 25<br />
Figure Six Grand Seasonal Index from Kampala Matooke Retail Prices 26<br />
Figure Seven The <strong>Banana</strong> Supply Chain 33<br />
List of Tables<br />
Table One Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Area Planted and Production Level 11<br />
Table Two Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Production (Tonnes) 12<br />
Table Three Crop Area, Plot Number and Size 12<br />
Table Four Percentage of Staple Food Consumption as a Percentage 13<br />
of Household Monthly Consumption<br />
Table Five Volume and Market Values For Three Main Kampala Markets 20<br />
Table Six Combined Present and Future Volumes <strong>for</strong> Three 21<br />
Main Kampala Markets<br />
Table Seven World Markets <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain 24<br />
Table Eight Approximate Kampala Prices of Local Waragi 27<br />
Table Nine Approximate Kampala Prices of Tonto 28<br />
Table Ten Correlation Coefficients <strong>for</strong> Matooke Prices in Selected Towns 36<br />
Table Eleven Gross Margins Under Hired and Family Labour <strong>for</strong> Matooke 37<br />
Table Twelve Trading Costs and Margins 38<br />
3
Executive Summary<br />
This report provides a review of banana production, processing and marketing in<br />
Uganda. The report specifically explores <strong>the</strong> current market status and investment<br />
options <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> sub-sector. Market coverage includes banana and banana-based<br />
products in local, regional and international markets. This Ugandan study represents<br />
one component of a regional initiative that includes Tanzania, Kenya, and Rwanda.<br />
The methodology employed by <strong>the</strong> study was based on a rapid assessment technique<br />
using primary and secondary data. Primary data has been obtained through interviews<br />
with producers, traders, retailers and exporters. Secondary data was acquired by<br />
literature review and <strong>the</strong> collection of available statistics.<br />
Major findings include evidence <strong>for</strong> continuing shifts in <strong>the</strong> location of matooke<br />
production. New areas are planted fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west of Uganda increasing<br />
transport distances to urban consumption centres. In established production areas<br />
planting is moving away from main roads increasing reliance on muram tracks that<br />
become difficult to use in <strong>the</strong> wet season. The main reason <strong>for</strong> production area shifts<br />
is declining soil fertility. Additional production constraints are weevils, nematodes<br />
and black sigatoka. Fusarium wilt is a major threat to sukali ndizi and bogoya (Gros<br />
Michel) production and hence a deterrent to investment in <strong>the</strong>se dessert bananas.<br />
Analysis of net and gross margins <strong>for</strong> supply chain participants reveals that brokers<br />
who organise transport from rural to urban areas can make attractive daily incomes.<br />
Price peaks <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> food staple matooke are found in April and December as demand<br />
increases with Easter and Christmas festivals. Farmers show little or no production<br />
response to <strong>the</strong>se predictable and significant price movements.<br />
Regional export opportunities appear <strong>for</strong> matooke in Rwanda and <strong>for</strong> dessert varieties<br />
to Kenya.<br />
International banana markets appear as increasingly competitive. Recent changes in<br />
European Union banana policy reducing preferential access are seen to fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
increase competition. Within this context market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas is<br />
seen in markets segments including organic or health focused fruit and ‘naturally’<br />
solar dried dessert bananas. Sales of matooke to Europe have almost doubled in <strong>the</strong><br />
past five years with potential seen <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r increase. However exports of fresh<br />
sukali ndizi to Europe have declined due to quality issues. European markets require<br />
sukali ndizi to have large unblemished fingers of uni<strong>for</strong>m ripening and size. If <strong>the</strong>se<br />
quality requirements can be achieved European market prices appear as attractive.<br />
Recommendations highlight <strong>the</strong> importance of addressing soil fertility issues to<br />
guarantee sustainable production systems. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research is suggested to better<br />
establish what changes in soil fertility status are occurring and to determine why<br />
farmers do not manage soils in a sustainable manner through recognised soil<br />
management practices.<br />
Continued research and support to extension in encouraging better pest and disease<br />
cultural control is suggested <strong>for</strong> weevils, nematodes and black sigatoka.<br />
4
To reduce excessive margins existing within <strong>the</strong> market chain <strong>the</strong> involvement of<br />
government is recommended to find ways of reducing in<strong>for</strong>mal collusion between<br />
brokers, which may lead to <strong>the</strong> restriction of new entrants into <strong>the</strong> broker role.<br />
Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential entrepreneurs is suggested,<br />
as is contact with micro finance providers to ensure potential new entrants can access<br />
credit. In urban markets ef<strong>for</strong>ts should be made to allow sufficient space <strong>for</strong> retailers.<br />
This is seen to be increasingly important as significant volume increases are expected<br />
with <strong>the</strong> increasing urbanisation of a growing population.<br />
Recommendations are made to maintain and improve roads and reduce <strong>the</strong>ft<br />
especially in rural areas.<br />
To increase farm incomes, improve consistency in monthly volumes and reduce<br />
consumer price peaks development of a production response to seasonal price<br />
variation is recommended. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research into <strong>the</strong> timing of planting new gardens,<br />
timing of de-suckering to control new growth and <strong>the</strong> use of appropriate irrigation<br />
systems to control water stress that stimulates fruiting is suggested.<br />
To support regional exports of matooke to Rwanda and dessert varieties to Kenya <strong>the</strong><br />
provision of regional market price in<strong>for</strong>mation using mediums currently giving<br />
Ugandan price in<strong>for</strong>mation is put <strong>for</strong>ward.<br />
Recommendations <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> involvement and lobbying of regional governments to<br />
reduce border barriers including tariffs with ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure quick and efficient<br />
boarder crossing are made.<br />
On international markets focus is given to health focused naturally dried dessert<br />
banana markets, exports of fresh organic sukali ndizi and <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r growth of<br />
matooke markets in Europe. Recommendations include better design of product<br />
packaging to compete in snack and sweet market outlets and improving <strong>the</strong><br />
appearance of naturally dried banana through better drying techniques with plant<br />
breeding <strong>for</strong> visual characteristics.<br />
To improve <strong>the</strong> quality of fresh sukali ndizi destined <strong>for</strong> international markets fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
research is recommended into <strong>the</strong> control of fruit ripening after harvest by exploring<br />
post harvest packaging and temperature control. This research should actively involve<br />
private sector exporters. In addition improvement of fruit handling through out <strong>the</strong><br />
supply chain is <strong>for</strong>warded by use of capacity building approaches with fruit handlers.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r research is suggested to determine possibilities <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r expansion of<br />
matooke sales in European markets particularly into UK based West Indian and<br />
Belgium based Congolese ethnic markets.<br />
To benefit all Ugandan fresh fruit and vegetable exports it is suggested that <strong>the</strong> Civil<br />
Aviation Authority and relevant government representatives are encouraged to<br />
facilitate competition in <strong>the</strong> airfreight market and ensure efficient airport freight<br />
administration and handling. This report should be used as a lobby tool to emphasis<br />
<strong>the</strong> importance of Entebbe airport in <strong>the</strong> export of fresh fruit and vegetables.<br />
5
1 INTRODUCTION<br />
This report represents one output from a regional banana study that includes Tanzania,<br />
Kenya, and Rwanda. The purpose of <strong>the</strong> study is to provide a review of <strong>the</strong> current<br />
status and investment options <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> banana sub-sector. To achieve this <strong>the</strong> project<br />
reviewed market segments that include:<br />
(i) Fresh cooking bananas<br />
(ii) Dessert bananas<br />
(iii) Processed banana fruit products<br />
(iv) Non-food banana based products.<br />
The market coverage includes local, regional and overseas markets. An important<br />
element of <strong>the</strong> work is to examine <strong>the</strong> comparative and competitive advantages of<br />
specific products both spatially and in terms of economic gain based on investment.<br />
2 METHODOLOGY<br />
As with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r commodity studies in this series <strong>the</strong> methodology is based upon a<br />
rapid assessment technique developed by Holzman (1995). Due to it’s rapid nature <strong>the</strong><br />
review is illustrative as opposed to rigorous. It uses both secondary and primary data<br />
to determine <strong>the</strong> market prospects <strong>for</strong> bananas and banana products. Primary data has<br />
been obtained through limited interviews using a structured in<strong>for</strong>mal questionnaire<br />
(see appendix one) with producers, traders, retailers and exporters (see appendix two).<br />
Secondary data was acquired through literature review and <strong>the</strong> collection of available<br />
statistics.<br />
The report begins with a broad overview of <strong>the</strong> economic situation of Uganda. It <strong>the</strong>n<br />
examines production zones, <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> sub-sector, principle production and<br />
marketing constraints, demand and supply side analysis and <strong>the</strong> medium and long<br />
term market outlooks across <strong>the</strong> sub-sector, <strong>for</strong> national, regional and export trade.<br />
Major findings are summarised with recommendations made in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m of suggested<br />
ways <strong>for</strong>ward.<br />
3 SUB SECTOR ANALYSIS<br />
3.1 Rapid Overview Of The Economic Status Of The Countries<br />
Uganda’s per capita GDP measured in constant prices has risen by an average of 3.2<br />
% per annum from 1990 to 2000 (Collinson et al 2000). The countries population of<br />
24 million people is growing at approximately 2.5% per annum. There<strong>for</strong>e it is<br />
suggested that food demand will continue to rise through both a population and<br />
income effect.<br />
Urbanisation is occurring with 16% of <strong>the</strong> population living in urban areas in 2000<br />
and <strong>for</strong>ecasts predicting this will rise to 22% by 2010 (Collinson et al 2000). An<br />
increasingly urban population will lead to higher volumes of bananas being<br />
transported from rural to urban areas. Requirements placed on road infrastructure and<br />
transport vehicles will rise as will <strong>the</strong> need to deal with banana related refuse in major<br />
cities.<br />
6
3.2 Trade And Competitiveness: Recent Re<strong>for</strong>ms, Per<strong>for</strong>mance And Market<br />
Access<br />
The main dessert banana exporters to world markets are <strong>the</strong> Caribbean, Central and<br />
South America countries that supply importers in North America and Europe. These<br />
exporters have a comparative advantage over East African producers due to<br />
production economies of scale and lower sea based transportation costs.<br />
Two of <strong>the</strong> main European consumers are <strong>the</strong> UK and Germany. The UK traditionally<br />
buys bananas from <strong>the</strong> Caribbean while German purchases from Central and South<br />
America.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> imports to <strong>the</strong> European Union are influenced by <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement,<br />
which replaced <strong>the</strong> Lome Convention in February 2000 after a lengthy dispute with<br />
<strong>the</strong> USA. The Cotonou agreement substantially altered Lome banana protocol<br />
arrangements, which had given preferential access to EU markets <strong>for</strong> Africa,<br />
Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) country bananas. Since <strong>the</strong> signing of <strong>the</strong> Cotonou<br />
agreement <strong>the</strong> EU has made special provisions <strong>for</strong> Least Developed Countries under<br />
an ‘Everything but Arms’ measure. This amends <strong>the</strong> EU General Scheme of<br />
Preferences to extend duty free access to all LDC imports. For bananas this will be<br />
phased in with a gradual reduction of import tariffs on fresh bananas to zero by<br />
cutting <strong>the</strong> tariff rate by 20% every year between 1 st January 2002 and 1 st January<br />
2006 (P. Robbins and S. Ferris 2002). Chiquta are currently looking <strong>for</strong> possible<br />
production sites in African Less Developed Countries from which to supply European<br />
Union markets.<br />
Potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Uganda to benefit as an LDC from tariff reductions <strong>for</strong> fresh<br />
bananas exports to <strong>the</strong> EU under <strong>the</strong> ‘Everything but Arms’ measure. However, <strong>the</strong><br />
removal of preferential access arrangements under <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement is seen to<br />
place pressure on some ACP countries to improve <strong>the</strong>ir competitive strength in<br />
bananas and find new market outlets. These pressures will be felt most by Caribbean<br />
countries whose economies rely heavily on banana exports to Europe. International<br />
markets <strong>for</strong> banana products such as flours, fibres and essences could <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e<br />
become increasingly competitive.<br />
The past disputes over Lome and bananas is seen to relate to protection of <strong>for</strong>mer<br />
traditional colony based supplies and European attitudes to genetically modified<br />
foodstuffs. European consumers are cautious with regard to <strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong>ir food is<br />
produced. This stems from a background of food scares, salmonella, botulism and<br />
most notably <strong>the</strong> BSE crisis.<br />
With reference to fresh fruit a number of trends in European consumer demand have<br />
been distinguished by (Abbenhuijs 2001). These include rising consumption trends<br />
<strong>for</strong> food perceived as being healthy, organic food and food produced in an<br />
environmentally conscious manner. These trends would appear to offer potential <strong>for</strong><br />
Ugandan banana producers who currently use largely organic methods of production.<br />
7
3.3 Types Of <strong>Banana</strong><br />
Rubaihayo (1993) classified four major types of bananas as cooking, brewing,<br />
roasting and dessert types. Production in Uganda is dominated by <strong>the</strong> East African<br />
Highland cooking banana (Gold et al 2002), which includes both cooking (‘matooke’)<br />
and brewing (‘mbidde’) types.<br />
Cooking <strong>Banana</strong>s (Matooke)<br />
The mature fru<strong>its</strong> are harvested when green. They are peeled, boiled or steamed and<br />
can be mashed be<strong>for</strong>e eating. This group constitutes <strong>the</strong> majority of <strong>the</strong> East African<br />
Highland <strong>Banana</strong>s (AAA-EA group).<br />
Brewing bananas (Mbidde)<br />
The fruit is harvested when mature, ripened and squeezed to produce juice that is<br />
fermented with sorghum to make beer. Beer bananas are found in <strong>the</strong> AAA, AB and<br />
ABB groups. Farmers plant brewing types where soil fertility has declined.<br />
Interviewees suggested <strong>the</strong> increasing numbers of brewing bananas particularly seen<br />
at roadsides are an indication of reductions in matooke yields.<br />
Roasting bananas<br />
These belong to <strong>the</strong> plantain (AAB) group. The fruit is harvested and ripened be<strong>for</strong>e<br />
roasting and eating.<br />
Sweet (Dessert) bananas<br />
These are eaten when ripe. Those commonly found are sukali ndizi (AB group, also<br />
known as <strong>the</strong> apple banana), gros michel (AAA group) and cavendish (AAA group).<br />
As Lynam (2001) points out <strong>the</strong> marketing of <strong>the</strong>se fruit (dessert) types is more<br />
exacting that cooking types because of increased importance of bruising to fruit<br />
quality during <strong>the</strong> ripening process.<br />
8
3.4 Production Zones<br />
Matooke production is primarily in <strong>the</strong> southwest of <strong>the</strong> country focused around<br />
Mbarara and Masaka as shown in <strong>the</strong> map below.<br />
Key<br />
Areas of Major Matooke Production<br />
Areas of Major Beer Production<br />
Areas of Major Dessert <strong>Banana</strong><br />
Significant quantities of <strong>the</strong> dessert types bogoya (Gros Michel) and apple banana<br />
(Sukali Ndizi) are produced in Mukono to <strong>the</strong> east of Kampala. Kibale on <strong>the</strong><br />
Congolese border is a notable producer of banana beer.<br />
Until <strong>the</strong> 1970’s matooke production was traditionally per<strong>for</strong>med in <strong>the</strong> central region<br />
of Uganda. Since that time production has shifted south and west due to a combination<br />
of:<br />
i. Declining soil fertility<br />
ii. Increase in pest and disease levels<br />
iii. Changes in migrational labour patterns<br />
iv. Increased competitiveness of growers in <strong>the</strong> west<br />
v. Cultural attitudes of central region farmers being against own family<br />
labour input<br />
9
South-western production areas tend to be at higher altitudes meaning lower incidence<br />
of <strong>the</strong> major pest and diseases namely weevil, black sigatoka and <strong>the</strong> most damaging<br />
nematode species. Soils around Mbarara are currently seen as being fertile.<br />
Market traders stated that south-western areas closer to Kampala, where matooke<br />
production has taken place <strong>for</strong> a longer period of time, are now suffering yield<br />
reduction. This perception is corroborated by traders in Owino market who sell<br />
matooke in two grades called ‘Masaka’ and ‘Mbarara’. These names refer to different<br />
sized banana fingers that are from <strong>the</strong> two different areas in <strong>the</strong> southwest. ‘Masaka’<br />
is a smaller banana from an area closer to Kampala where matooke production has<br />
been longer established. ‘Mbarara’ refers to a large finger and is from an area fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
from Kampala where matooke production is comparatively new.<br />
Ugandan National Household Survey statistics presented in figure one show matooke<br />
production to be focused in <strong>the</strong> west region of <strong>the</strong> country, which accounts <strong>for</strong> 61% of<br />
total matooke output. The Central region produces 1,687,000 tonnes or 30% of total<br />
matooke output. The survey also shows <strong>the</strong> Central region as producing <strong>the</strong> highest<br />
levels of ‘o<strong>the</strong>r’ banana types. This suggests <strong>the</strong> presence of beer types, verified by<br />
field observation, which are grown where soil fertility has declined and dessert<br />
varieties reported by traders as focused in Mukono district. <strong>Banana</strong> production is<br />
significantly less common in Eastern and Nor<strong>the</strong>rn regions where agro-climatic<br />
factors constrain production.<br />
Production ('000 tonnes)<br />
4000<br />
3500<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
1687<br />
360<br />
Figure One Production of Matooke by Region<br />
481<br />
18 14 15<br />
3363<br />
192<br />
Central Eastern Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Western<br />
Source UBOS Ugandan National Household Survey 1999/2000<br />
Matooke<br />
O<strong>the</strong>rs <strong>Banana</strong> Types<br />
Major routes <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> movement of bananas are show on <strong>the</strong> map below. Major trade<br />
flows destined <strong>for</strong> Kampala originate from <strong>the</strong> southwest. Significant movement is<br />
seen to consumption zones east of Kampala as far as <strong>the</strong> Kenyan border. Major<br />
Ugandan matooke exports cross into Rwanda with minor flows of roasting bananas<br />
reported entering from <strong>the</strong> Congo.<br />
10
3.5 Production Levels<br />
Ugandan production levels appear to be gradually increasing (see table one below).<br />
The statistics presented appear to suggest that over <strong>the</strong> past decade more land is being<br />
allocated to banana production, however this cannot be fully confirmed.<br />
Table One Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Area Planted and Production Level<br />
2001<br />
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 (estimate)<br />
(Projection)<br />
Area Planted ('000 Hectares) 1,524 1,538 1,553 1,570 1,598 1,622<br />
Production ('000 Tonnes) 9,144 9,303 9,318 8,949 9,428 9,732<br />
Source; UBOS Statistical Abstract June 2001<br />
National household survey figures (Table two) show how production is divided<br />
between banana types. Matooke is <strong>the</strong> main banana produced, followed by brewing<br />
and dessert bananas. This data also shows a significant decline in total production<br />
levels. The National Household Survey report attributes <strong>the</strong> fall over <strong>the</strong> past five<br />
years to drought and <strong>the</strong> ‘dynamics’ in <strong>the</strong> producer market.<br />
11
Table Two Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Production (Tonnes)<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> Type 1995/1996 1999/2000 % (1999/2000)<br />
Matooke 7,908,984 5,545,134 90%<br />
Brewing bananas 1,164,887 538,304 9%<br />
Sweet (Dessert) bananas 383,949 46,286 1%<br />
Total 9,457,820 6,129,724 100%<br />
Source: Ugandan National Household Survey 1999/2000<br />
3.6 Importance Of The Sub-Sector To Earnings, Rural Livelihoods, Poverty<br />
Alleviation And Economic Growth<br />
Most bananas are produced on small plots of
3.7 Consumption<br />
The East African Highland Cooking <strong>Banana</strong> is an important food staple in Uganda.<br />
The FAO estimated average per capita consumption at 207 kg/year in 1999. With a<br />
total population of twenty-two million people this suggests total consumption of<br />
4,554,000 tonnes. As no wastage of production has been found as part of this study,<br />
<strong>the</strong> above total consumption figure supports Ugandan annual production figures of<br />
five to six million tonnes as opposed to estimates of approximately ten million tonnes.<br />
Household survey data in Table four shows matooke as <strong>the</strong> main staple food in<br />
Kampala. It also displays <strong>the</strong> traditional high consumption zones in <strong>the</strong> western and<br />
central regions of <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
Table Four Percentage of Staple Food Consumption as a Percentage of Household<br />
Monthly Consumption<br />
Region Matooke Cassava Sweet<br />
Potato<br />
Maize Millet<br />
Western 17.95 4.84 8.4 4.31 5.35<br />
Central 8.69 5.56 4.83 4.7 0.54<br />
Eastern 5.57 7.58 6.04 5.87 5.15<br />
Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 0.57 8.93 4.27 4.77 8.32<br />
Kampala 6.55 1.91 2.15 2.46 0.35<br />
Uganda 8.67 6.22 5.64 4.79 3.7<br />
Source: Integrated household survey 1992-1993<br />
A report by <strong>the</strong> CTA (2001) suggests that per capita consumption in urban areas of<br />
354.4 – 493.5 kg/year has surpassed that of rural consumption levels. It should be<br />
noted that matooke is a high cost staple compared with cassava and sweet potato.<br />
13
3.8 Production Constraints<br />
3.8.1 Soil fertility<br />
<strong>Banana</strong>s remove large amounts of soil nutrients with <strong>the</strong> harvest of fruit bunches.<br />
Lack of nutrient replenishment can lead to a non-sustainable situation reducing yields<br />
and productive life. Studies exploring <strong>the</strong> shifts in Ugandan production found<br />
Magnesium as a key constraint with Nitrogen and Potassium deficient on most farms<br />
in central Uganda. Results and observations from fieldwork conducted as part of this<br />
study support existing concerns expressed by Gold et al <strong>for</strong> a lack of nutrient<br />
replenishment leading to a non-sustainable situation evolving in southwest Uganda.<br />
Given <strong>the</strong> important position of matooke in <strong>the</strong> diet of Ugandans, ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure<br />
sustainability and improve production methods have a high priority. To achieve<br />
sustainable production, areas of soil fertility and pest and disease should continue to<br />
be addressed.<br />
Interventions<br />
Existing evidence <strong>for</strong> continued declining in soil fertility caused by bananas is<br />
contested and appears, within <strong>the</strong> time frame of this study, as an unresolved issue.<br />
Priorities exist to establish what changes in soil fertility status are being caused by<br />
banana production and what production location shifts are continuing to occur.<br />
If soil fertility levels are continuing to decline a priority is to establish why and design<br />
appropriate responses. It is suggested this may include establishing why farmers do<br />
not manage soils in a sustainable manner through recognised practices of mulching,<br />
manuring, rotating cropping and improved livestock integration.<br />
Lack of re-investment in soils suggests farmers view future benef<strong>its</strong> from any<br />
investment as smaller than <strong>the</strong> current investment cost. Fur<strong>the</strong>r exploration is<br />
suggested of farmer’s current knowledge of soil management, incentives to farmers<br />
regarding reinvestment in bananas and farmer attitudes particularly towards risk and<br />
<strong>the</strong> future.<br />
Weevils<br />
3.8.2 Pests and Diseases<br />
Weevils are commonly seen as <strong>the</strong> most destructive pest of matooke and are<br />
considered <strong>the</strong> most economically important pest in East African Highland banana<br />
plantations. O<strong>the</strong>r banana types (Cavendish, Beer, Bogoya) appear less susceptible to<br />
weevil attack. Reduced levels of Magnesium and Potassium may have weakened<br />
resistance to banana weevil (Bosch et al 1995).<br />
Interventions<br />
Support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />
including:<br />
- Use of clean healthy planting material<br />
14
- Paring of corms at planting<br />
- Destruction of post-harvest residues<br />
- Trapping of adult weevils.<br />
- Good crop husbandry such as weeding, desuckering, pruning, manuring and<br />
mulching to produce vigorous plants.<br />
- Sward strips<br />
Nematodes<br />
Nematodes are an important banana production constraint worldwide. The pest is less<br />
easily recognised than <strong>the</strong> weevil, which is sometimes incorrectly blamed by farmers<br />
<strong>for</strong> nematode damage. This factor may lead to an underestimation of yield loss caused<br />
by nematodes.<br />
Interventions<br />
Support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />
including:<br />
- Crop rotation<br />
- Use of clean planting material (removal of roots and outer layer of <strong>the</strong> corm)<br />
- Soil amendments through weeding and manuring<br />
Continued research into and promotion of resistant cultivars. Development of<br />
nematode resistant banana cultivars is a priority objective of <strong>the</strong> Ugandan bananabreeding<br />
project.<br />
Black Sigatoka<br />
This air borne fungal disease was first reported in Uganda in 1989 when it made an<br />
economically important impact by causing incomplete fruit filling. Black sigatoka is<br />
considered a key constraint to banana production worldwide and is sensitive to<br />
altitude and temperature. Diagnostic survey results show black sigatoka to be absent<br />
at elevations above 1450 m .asl and where mean minimum temperatures exceeded 15<br />
Ο C (Tushemereirwe et al 1993 and 1996 from CTA).<br />
Interventions<br />
Continued development of resistant cultivars. (Resistant highland bananas are being<br />
developed. Resistant hybrids developed from exotic banana do exist with ongoing<br />
work suggesting some of <strong>the</strong>se are acceptable to consumers (CTA 2001)).<br />
Support to extension services encouraging good crop husbandry that is seen to lead to<br />
a more vigorous plant better able to outgrow attack.<br />
Fusarium wilt (Panama disease)<br />
In Uganda Fusarium wilt is prevalent on introduced banana cultivars that are used<br />
primarily as dessert bananas (bogoya, sukila ndizi) and <strong>for</strong> brewing, e.g. kayanja<br />
(Kangire and Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d). To avoid this disease, large plantation owners in South and<br />
Central America replaced bogoya (Gros Michel) with resistant Cavendish varieties.<br />
15
Symptoms similar to those of Fusarium wilt have also been observed on endemic<br />
AAA highland banana cultivars, which have previously been considered to be<br />
resistant to <strong>the</strong> disease (Kangire et al). Wilt of highland cultivars was only observed<br />
in western Uganda at altitudes greater than 1300 meters above sea level and mainly<br />
within 30 meters of homesteads, animal kraals and garbage dumps (Kangire et al).<br />
Interventions<br />
Development of host plant resistance<br />
Cultural approaches, including sanitary practices and <strong>the</strong> use of pathogen-free<br />
planting material, may reduce losses and should be used in support of host resistance<br />
wherever possible.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r development and widespread implementation of appropriate management<br />
strategies.<br />
Note on Chemical Control of <strong>Banana</strong> Pest and Disease<br />
Interventions relating to inorganic inputs have not been included in <strong>the</strong> suggested<br />
interventions. This is due to <strong>the</strong> following considerations:<br />
- <strong>Banana</strong> production in Uganda is largely organic with export opportunities seen to<br />
exist in this market niche.<br />
- Availability of chemicals is limited in many rural areas<br />
- Chemicals are largely unaf<strong>for</strong>dable to small-scale producers<br />
- Farmers in Tanzania (Kagera) are reported as not being willing to apply inorganic<br />
inputs due to previous bad experiences when inappropriate chemical input<br />
destroyed crops (Blomme G, personal comment).<br />
- With <strong>the</strong> shift in production zones in Uganda to higher altitude fertile soils, less<br />
susceptible to pests and diseases <strong>the</strong> use of inorganic inputs is questioned.<br />
16
3.9 <strong>Marketing</strong> Constraints<br />
Bulkiness<br />
<strong>Banana</strong>s have a relatively low value compared to <strong>the</strong>ir volume/weight which<br />
influences transportation cost making commodities with higher value but lower<br />
volume and/or weight more attractive.<br />
Perishability<br />
<strong>Banana</strong>s are a perishable crop with limited time between harvest and <strong>the</strong> onset of<br />
deterioration.<br />
The constraints of perishability and bulkiness have led to ef<strong>for</strong>ts to reduce bulk and<br />
improve storage through drying and alcohol production.<br />
Poor Infrastructure<br />
Those involved in transporting bananas highlighted feeder roads as areas <strong>for</strong> attention<br />
as <strong>the</strong>y become impassable in times of rain. The declining yields of plots close to<br />
main roads and planting of new areas with poorer transport access will increase <strong>the</strong><br />
importance of feeder roads.<br />
Embrecht et al (1996) ranked poor infrastructure as <strong>the</strong> number one constraint limiting<br />
market development in <strong>the</strong> majority of rural areas in Uganda. Uganda currently has<br />
some main roads in relatively good condition leading to <strong>the</strong> southwest and central<br />
regions. Any fur<strong>the</strong>r movement of production areas fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west will<br />
increase importance of main roads.<br />
Previous commodity studies in this series and <strong>the</strong> recent Transaction Cost Analysis<br />
Report (2002 NRI, IITA) have called <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> appraisal of, and investment in, feeder<br />
and trunk road, which this study supports.<br />
Security<br />
Traders and Brokers entering rural areas are recognised targets <strong>for</strong> thieves as <strong>the</strong>y<br />
carry large amounts of money. A regularly mentioned deterrent to traders is risk of<br />
thuggery.<br />
Legal requirements<br />
Traders, wholesalers and retailers of bananas and banana products require:<br />
- Trading license from <strong>the</strong> city authority (K.C.C.).<br />
- Permit from <strong>the</strong> area local council from where <strong>the</strong> bananas, waragi or tonto (beer)<br />
is purchased.<br />
17
Access to Credit<br />
The initial capital required to enter many of <strong>the</strong> trading roles in <strong>the</strong> supply chain<br />
represents a barrier to entry to those with insufficient funds to make initial<br />
investments.<br />
In additions to <strong>the</strong> above constraints of bulk, perishability, poor infrastructure and<br />
security <strong>the</strong> following constraints apply to exports.<br />
Air Freight Cost to European Markets<br />
Airfreight charges from Entebbe to London are currently US$ 1.50 to 1.70 / kg<br />
making Ugandan bananas uncompetitive with Caribbean countries who have better<br />
access to <strong>the</strong> sea ports as a cheaper means of transport. Mombassa to Felixstowe sea<br />
freight costs approximately $0.40 / kg. Research by Merck and Icemark – Africa Ltd<br />
suggest transport by sea from Kamala to Felixstowe takes approximately thirty-five<br />
days. Icemark – Africa Ltd consider this time period as too long to allow sale in<br />
Europe be<strong>for</strong>e fruit deterioration begins.<br />
Continuity of Supply (Market Organisation)<br />
For export produce targeting retail or supermarket outlets via air freight <strong>the</strong>re is a need<br />
<strong>for</strong> a regular and reliable flow of produce to meet defined buyer and air carriers’<br />
timetable requirements. A need exists <strong>for</strong> producers to plan ahead to ensure <strong>the</strong>y<br />
supply what <strong>the</strong> market wants in terms of quality and quantity when it is required.<br />
For small-scale producers to meet <strong>the</strong>se market requirements marketing group / cooperative<br />
<strong>for</strong>mation is one way of combining and coordinating selling of required<br />
volumes. Farmers involved in this planned coordinated marketing will require<br />
appropriate capacities that some key in<strong>for</strong>mants felt were currently absent. Cooperative<br />
marketing arrangements have had a poor past record as incentives exist <strong>for</strong><br />
individuals to sell independently especially at times of high prices.<br />
Ano<strong>the</strong>r alternative would be exporters developing contractual arrangements with<br />
large farmers. These people are seen to possess <strong>the</strong> resources necessary to produce<br />
sufficient volumes, <strong>the</strong> management skills <strong>for</strong> contractual negotiation and production<br />
planning and have incentives to maintain long-term contractual relationships.<br />
Certification <strong>for</strong> Organic Produce<br />
To sell organic produce in Europe a certificate of au<strong>the</strong>ntication is required. This has<br />
a high cost ($US 5,000 per farm) and is controlled by European institutions. The<br />
process of attaining a certificate can take from one to five years. The National<br />
Organic Agricultural Movement of Uganda (NOGAMU) is currently active in<br />
drawing up a Ugandan national standard with local group accreditation to reduce<br />
certification costs.<br />
A number of exporters currently cover or subsidize farmer’s organic certification<br />
costs. Depending of which European institution is involved; inspectors may have to<br />
visit every farm so costs rise with <strong>the</strong> number of farmers.<br />
18
Specific Constraints of Sukali Ndizi Exports to Europe<br />
Exports to Europe of sukali ndizi are currently seen to face three main barriers related<br />
to inconsistent and poor quality fruit supplied to wholesale markets. These are:<br />
1. Difficulty in controlling and predicting <strong>the</strong> ripening of sukali ndizi<br />
2. Rough and untrained handling from growers and transporters damaging fru<strong>its</strong> that<br />
are very susceptible to blemish<br />
3. Current Ugandan varieties having <strong>the</strong> characteristic of <strong>for</strong>ming unattractive skin<br />
blotches as opposed to giving a speckled appearance on ripening<br />
Investment in research into ripening control and plant breeding <strong>for</strong> skin colouration<br />
characteristic could overcome two of <strong>the</strong>se barriers. Increased farmer / transporter<br />
training in handling requirements should assist <strong>the</strong>se people to receive higher prices<br />
<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir products.<br />
One possible answer to <strong>the</strong> above hurdles is slicing and drying. This opportunity is<br />
discussed in section 4.6.<br />
19
4 DEMAND ANALYSIS<br />
4.1 Size of National Markets<br />
The three main markets <strong>for</strong> bananas were visited in Kampala. Volumes of <strong>the</strong> three<br />
main banana types traded in <strong>the</strong>se markets are shown below in table five. Prices and<br />
daily volumes are averages that vary according to season.<br />
Table Five Volume and Market Values For Three Main Kampala Markets<br />
Kalerwe Market (Approx number of bunches / day)<br />
Locations at Market<br />
In Fresh Items<br />
Section (Within<br />
Market)<br />
Total Daily<br />
Volume<br />
(bunches)<br />
Total<br />
Annual<br />
Volume<br />
(Tonnes)*<br />
Total Annual<br />
Retail Value<br />
US<br />
Dollars<br />
^^<br />
At<br />
Roadside At Entrance<br />
(Ug Sh)**<br />
Matooke 1,200 800 1,800 3,800 34,675 6,241,500,000 3,467,500<br />
Bogoya 20 20 50 90 821 344,925,000 191,625<br />
S Ndizi 150 150 200 500 2,281 730,000,000 405,556<br />
Total 1,370 970 2,050 4,390 37,778 7,316,425,000 4,064,681<br />
Nakawa Market<br />
Total Annual<br />
Volume<br />
(Tonnes)*<br />
Total Annual<br />
Retail Value<br />
(Ug Sh)**<br />
Total Daily<br />
US<br />
Volume<br />
Dollars^^<br />
Bunches 1500 13,688 2,463,750,000 1,368,750<br />
Matooke Sacks^ 35 1,278 127,750,000 70,972<br />
Bogoya Bunches 385 3,513 1,475,512,500 819,729<br />
S Ndizi Bunches 430 1,962 627,800,000 348,778<br />
Total 20,440 4,694,812,500 2,608,229<br />
Owino / Balikuddembe Market<br />
Locations at Market<br />
Total<br />
Annual Total Annual<br />
Volume Retail Value<br />
(Tonnes)* (Ug Sh)**<br />
Fresh Commodity<br />
yard<br />
Kafumbe Road<br />
spot<br />
Total Daily<br />
Volume<br />
US<br />
Dollars^^<br />
Bunches 1,000 650 1,650 15,056 2,710,125,000 1,505,625<br />
Matooke Sacks^ 250 40 290 10,585 1,058,500,000 588,056<br />
Bogoya Bunches 145 145 1,323 555,712,500 308,729<br />
S Ndizi Bunches 250 250 1,141 365,000,000 202,778<br />
Total 1,645 690 2,335 28,105 4,689,337,500 2,605,188<br />
* Annual volume in tonnes is calculated at:<br />
Matooke and Bogoya: 40 x 25kg bunches equals one tonne<br />
Ndizi: 80 x 12.5 kg bunches equals one tonne<br />
** Values are retail, calculated at Matooke 4500/bunch, Ndizi 4000/bunch, Bogoya 10500/bunch<br />
^ One sack of Matooke equals approximately 100kg with a value of Ug Sh 10,000<br />
^^ US $1 = Ug Sh 1800<br />
20
In Nakawa market major delivery days <strong>for</strong> bogoya and sukali ndizi are Saturdays,<br />
Mondays and Wednesdays. Main sources of supply to this market <strong>for</strong> dessert banana<br />
are Mbarara and Kyagwe (Mukono).<br />
Table Six Combined Present and Future Volumes <strong>for</strong> Three Main Kampala Markets<br />
Total Number of Total Weight Total Number of Total Weight<br />
Bunches 2002 2002 (Tonnes) Bunches 2010 2010 (Tonnes)<br />
Matooke 75,282 1,882 99,247 2,481<br />
Bogoya 5,657 141 7,458 186<br />
S Ndizi 5,384 67 7,098 89<br />
Total 86,323 2,091 113,803 2,756<br />
Combined volume figures <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> three markets are given in table six. It is suggested<br />
that <strong>the</strong> three markets represent approximately twenty percent of total Kampala<br />
consumption.<br />
Predicted annual volume figure calculations <strong>for</strong> market turnovers in 2010 are based on<br />
2002 volumes, annual population growth of three percent and an increase in<br />
urbanisation from sixteen percent to twenty two percent of <strong>the</strong> population. These<br />
population dynamics are seen to raise market turnover that is closely related to<br />
consumption by 27,480 tonnes per annum. This represents a healthy rate of demand<br />
growth of thirty two percent over eight years.<br />
21
4.2 Size and Growth Rates of Regional Markets<br />
Kenya<br />
Data is ga<strong>the</strong>red by <strong>the</strong> USAID funded Agribusiness Development Centre (ADC)<br />
IDEA project at selected Ugandan border points <strong>for</strong> volumes and values of bananas.<br />
Kenyan figures are presented in two figures below. ADC data shows fluctuating trade<br />
with Rwanda with data not collected since mid 2001, a period of political tension<br />
between <strong>the</strong> two states. Results from <strong>the</strong> Rwandan component of this regional study<br />
suggest significant volumes of Ugandan matooke entering Rwanda. Minimal banana<br />
trade is seen with Tanzania. Key in<strong>for</strong>mants report small levels of Ugandan imports of<br />
roasting banana from Congo. Some observers view <strong>the</strong> Congo as a potential export<br />
market <strong>for</strong> Ugandan matooke if Congolese purchasing power increases. The tastes of<br />
Congolese Bantu related tribes favour matooke as a dietary staple.<br />
Tonnes<br />
Value Millions Ugandan Shillings<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Figure Two Volume of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and Bogoya<br />
to Kenya<br />
2000 2001 2002<br />
Figure Three Value of Ugandan Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and Bogoya Exports<br />
to Kenya<br />
Data Source: ADC IDEA Project<br />
Year<br />
Year<br />
2002<br />
22
Figures <strong>for</strong> Ugandan exports to Kenya, which include matooke, sukali ndizi and<br />
bogoya banana passing through Busia, Lwakhakha and Malaba border points show a<br />
fall in total export volumes of 27% from 9,000 tonnes in 1997 to 6,600 tonnes in<br />
2001. Disaggregated data shows sukali ndizi and bogoya types to <strong>for</strong>m over ninety<br />
five percent of <strong>the</strong>se exports.<br />
Interestingly, trends in available data (2000 to mid 2002 shown in figure two) suggest<br />
volumes of sukali ndizi and bogoya are flat with volumes increasing towards <strong>the</strong> end<br />
of <strong>the</strong> year. Trends in <strong>the</strong> total value of monthly trade appear to be rising (figure<br />
three). Exchange rate movements between <strong>the</strong> Kenyan and Ugandan Shilling between<br />
2000 and mid 2002 suggest a slight depreciation of <strong>the</strong> Ugandan Shilling making<br />
Ugandan exports more attractive. Figure two and three support ADC field staff<br />
observation of rising prices <strong>for</strong> bananas in Kenya. It should be noted that data sets<br />
include in<strong>for</strong>mal estimates of both quantities moving by minor trade routes and values<br />
of bananas. ADC data collectors suggested trade with Kenya in sukali ndizi and<br />
bogoya had improved. Uganda is seen as having few competitors in supplying<br />
bananas to western Kenya where <strong>the</strong> environment is unsuitable <strong>for</strong> production.<br />
The following taxes existed on Ugandan banana exports to Kenya at January 2000:<br />
3.5% Import duty<br />
2.75% Declaration <strong>for</strong>m payment<br />
1 Kenyan shilling per kilogram horticultural tax.<br />
Trade Point:- Ugandan dessert banana exports to Kenya appear to present a good<br />
long-term opportunity <strong>for</strong> Uganda. Ugandan dessert banana exports can be<br />
consolidated by improvements in product quality and in<strong>for</strong>mation flows. Fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
exploration of volumes and prices is suggested to increase <strong>the</strong> time span and quality of<br />
available data.<br />
Rwanda<br />
Data ga<strong>the</strong>red at Katuna border point <strong>for</strong> nine months from January to September<br />
1999 shows 2,433 tonnes of matooke exports crossing to Rwanda (ADC Idea Project).<br />
Trade Point:- According to findings from <strong>the</strong> Rwandan marketing survey in this<br />
series an approximate total of 12,500 tonnes of bananas crosses from Uganda into<br />
Rwanda annually. This mainly comprises matooke. The Rwandan banana market<br />
study suggests this export market as having potential <strong>for</strong> expansion.<br />
23
4.3 Size and Growth Rates of World Markets<br />
The world export market <strong>for</strong> bananas is increasingly competitive. FAO data presented<br />
in table seven shows an increase in volumes from 1995 to 2000 of seven percent<br />
while total market value has declined over <strong>the</strong> same period by eight percent.<br />
Table Seven World Markets <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain<br />
Year<br />
<strong>Banana</strong>s and Plantains 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />
Exports - Qty (Mt) 13,674,981 14,237,533 14,878,530 14,338,569 14,479,990 14,654,317<br />
Exports - Val (1000$)<br />
Source FAO<br />
4,789,993 4,950,122 5,185,447 5,038,131 4,786,861 4,413,357<br />
In this increasingly competitive market ADC IDEA project figures suggest that<br />
Ugandan matooke volumes have risen. The main export market <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas<br />
in Spitalfield, London. In 2001 Uganda exported 832 tonnes of matooke from a level<br />
of 451 tonnes in 1997 (see appendix three). The value of 2001 matooke exports is<br />
approximately US $2,080,000 (at one tonne equals US $2,500) Sukali ndizi exports<br />
have not per<strong>for</strong>med so well with volumes shrinking from 144 tonnes in 1997 to 92<br />
tonnes in 2001 (Prices are discussed in section 4.4). The approximate annual value of<br />
this volume fall <strong>for</strong> sukali ndizi is US$ 156,000 (52 tonnes multiplied by US$ 3/kg).<br />
Kg<br />
90000<br />
80000<br />
70000<br />
60000<br />
50000<br />
40000<br />
30000<br />
20000<br />
10000<br />
0<br />
Figure Four Fresh Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Export Volumes<br />
JFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASOND<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Source: Civil Aviation Figures supplied by IDEA project<br />
Matooke Apple <strong>Banana</strong><br />
The UK market <strong>for</strong> matooke is considered fixed, dependant upon <strong>the</strong> number of<br />
Ugandans living in <strong>the</strong> UK. However <strong>the</strong> export volume rises seen above question this<br />
hypo<strong>the</strong>sis. Suggested answers are increased consumption by expatriate Ugandans,<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r ethnic groups such as West Indians increasing matooke consumption and<br />
matooke increasingly being transported to o<strong>the</strong>r European countries. A small expatriate<br />
Congolese based market is suggested in Belgium. Although matooke exports are a<br />
small proportion of total Ugandan production, reduction of EU tariffs under <strong>the</strong><br />
‘Everything but Arms’ arrangement could assist fur<strong>the</strong>r sales growth.<br />
24
4.4 Market Price Trends<br />
Local Markets<br />
The following analysis of Kampala matooke prices follows methodologies used in <strong>the</strong><br />
FoodNet Cassava market study per<strong>for</strong>med in 2000. Details of <strong>the</strong>se methodologies<br />
can be found in Trotter (1992).<br />
Figure five below shows real retail food prices (adjusted <strong>for</strong> inflation) <strong>for</strong> matooke,<br />
and <strong>the</strong> two o<strong>the</strong>r frequently harvested crops of fresh cassava and sweet potatoes.<br />
Data is <strong>for</strong> Kampala between September 1989 and January 2000.<br />
Real matooke prices appear to slightly decline over <strong>the</strong> time period suggesting supply<br />
increasing faster than demand. Matooke prices exhibit less price variation compared<br />
to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two commodities. This suggests supply volumes have been more stable<br />
over <strong>the</strong> time period considered and not as subject to pest and disease attack or<br />
abnormal wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions as <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two crops.<br />
Price Ugandan Shillings<br />
500.00<br />
450.00<br />
400.00<br />
350.00<br />
300.00<br />
250.00<br />
200.00<br />
150.00<br />
100.00<br />
50.00<br />
0.00<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
Figure Five. Real Retail Prices <strong>for</strong> Selected Commodities (Kampala)<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
y = 0.6055x + 169.55<br />
y = -0.3824x + 245.15<br />
1998<br />
y = -0.285x + 214.6<br />
Matoke Sweet potatoes Cassava, fresh Linear (Cassava, fresh) Linear (Matoke) Linear (Sweet potatoes)<br />
Data Source: Ugandan Bureau of Statistics<br />
Seasonal retail price movements <strong>for</strong> matooke in Kampala are shown in figure xx<br />
below. The grand seasonal index (GSI) shows seasonal patterns that remain once<br />
random, cyclical and trend elements have been removed from price series. The GSI<br />
result shown below is again based on data from September 1989 to January 2000.<br />
1999<br />
25<br />
2000
Results show a twin peaked pattern with high prices in April and December and<br />
notably low prices experienced in June to September. Price movements are significant<br />
with index results showing a <strong>for</strong>ty percent rise (based on <strong>the</strong> mean price) between<br />
August and December. These results confirm responses from key in<strong>for</strong>mant<br />
interviews.<br />
This price pattern is due to two main reasons. Firstly, prices are highest at Christmas<br />
and Easter when consumers increase consumption. Matooke appears to be a preferred<br />
food as people who would normally consume cheaper alternatives are said to save<br />
money to eat matooke during <strong>the</strong>se festival periods. Secondly supply is highest from<br />
June to September, a period of normally dry wea<strong>the</strong>r that puts plants under water<br />
stress and stimulates bunch production. Some traders felt farmers exhibited some<br />
production response to price by withholding supply <strong>for</strong> relatively short periods<br />
leading up to Christmas. O<strong>the</strong>rwise farmers are not seen to take any action to attain<br />
<strong>the</strong> higher prices <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir production.<br />
Trade Point:- Potential exists to increase production to meet highest price periods.<br />
Additionally any processing of matooke could best be designed to take advantage of<br />
low cost price periods.<br />
GSI<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
Figure Six. Grand Seasonal Index from Kampala Matooke Retail<br />
Prices<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec<br />
Data Source: Ugandan Bureau of Statistics<br />
International Markets<br />
Prices <strong>for</strong> matooke over a two-year period to March 2002 in Spitalfield market,<br />
London appear as relatively stable throughout <strong>the</strong> year varying approximate between<br />
US$ 2.00 to US$ 2.70 per kilogram (see appendix four).<br />
Sukali ndizi prices fluctuate widely between US$ 0.50 and US$ 4.46 per kilogram<br />
over <strong>the</strong> same period and markets. Market reports suggest this is due to variable<br />
quality, which appears as a major constraint. Sukali ndizi marketing constraints are<br />
discussed in section 4.6.<br />
26
4.5 Major Products<br />
The only pronounced <strong>for</strong>m of banana processing is beverage production (Aked and<br />
Kyamuhangire, 1996 from CTA). These beverages are waragi a distilled spirit and<br />
tonto a banana beer. There are two types of waragi, a local banana based waragi<br />
called ‘Kasese’ and a factory processed waragi.<br />
Local Waragi “Kasese”<br />
Production areas <strong>for</strong> local waragi include Kibaalee Fort Portal, Kiboga, Mubende,<br />
Masaka, Mbarara, Mpigi and Kasese. Kampala is <strong>the</strong> centre of trade. Transport is by<br />
truck with Saturday, Monday and Sunday being <strong>the</strong> main delivery days. Jinja is a<br />
centre <strong>for</strong> distribution to Eastern Uganda. Trade extends to Gulu, Lira and Kitgum in<br />
<strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn region. Regional exports to Rwanda, D.R.Congo and Kenya are illegal<br />
but are seen to occur. Volumes of illegal exports are not known.<br />
Consumption is reportedly increasing especially in <strong>the</strong> heavily populated urban areas<br />
of Kampala including: Kamwokya, Rubaga Road, Ndeeba, Kisenyi, Kibuli,<br />
Namuwongo and Nsambya. It is estimated that approximately two million litres of<br />
local waragi are traded in Kampala with a retail value in <strong>the</strong> region of three billion<br />
shillings (US $1,744,000). Kampala trade depots, with approximate volumes and<br />
values of local waragi traded are shown in appendix five.<br />
Pricing differs according to <strong>the</strong> level of distillation. There are two main levels of<br />
distilling called ‘regular’ and a higher alcohol content version named ‘super’. Trade<br />
is done in twenty litre jerry cans. Approximate prices are shown below.<br />
Table Eight Approximate Kampala Prices of Local Waragi<br />
Off Lorry Wholesale Retail<br />
‘Regular’ 20 -22,000 25,000 27,000<br />
‘Super’ 27, 000-28,000 29, 000-30,000 32, 000<br />
Prices are <strong>for</strong> twenty litre jerry cans<br />
Factory processed Waragi<br />
Factory produced waragi can use banana based raw alcohol. Alternatives include<br />
sugar or molasses based material. Uganda Breweries is a significant producer of<br />
factory-produced waragi and currently use sugar based raw alcohol with added<br />
flavourings. This company used to use local banana based waragi in <strong>the</strong> production<br />
process, discontinuing this practice <strong>for</strong> cheaper sugar based alternatives.<br />
Tonto Locally brewed banana beer<br />
Tonto is made from <strong>the</strong> juice of beer bananas. Rural households in banana growing<br />
regions traditionally brew this beer, which may be consumed at home, during<br />
different traditional ceremonies or sold.<br />
Main production areas include Mityana, Kibaale, Wakiso, Luwero, Masaka, Fort<br />
Portal, Mpigi, Mbarara and Rakai. Millet is added during <strong>the</strong> brewing process. The<br />
brew is transported in twenty litre jerry cans on trucks of sale.<br />
27
There are various temporary depots in Kampala where retailers collect tonto. Main<br />
trading days are Monday, Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday.<br />
Estimated weekly trade volumes and values <strong>for</strong> Kampala markets are shown in<br />
appendix five. It is estimated that approximately 1.4 million litres of tonto are<br />
annually traded in Kampala with a retail value in <strong>the</strong> region of eight hundred million<br />
shillings (US $437,000).<br />
The major consumption areas in Kampala are <strong>the</strong> poorer more densely populated parts<br />
of <strong>the</strong> city namely Kasubi, Nsambya, Kibuli, Namuwongo, Rubaga. Road, Natete,<br />
Bunamwaya, Bwaayise, Makerere and Banda. Prices in Kampala are shown in table<br />
xx below. Rural prices are around Uh Sh 200 per litre.<br />
Table Nine Approximate Kampala Prices of Tonto<br />
Off Lorry Wholesale Retail<br />
‘1 st grade’ 6 - 7,000 9 - 10,000 12 - 13,000<br />
‘Regular’ 5,000 6 - 7,000 8 - 10, 000<br />
Prices are <strong>for</strong> twenty litre jerry cans<br />
One large bunch of beer bananas valued at Ug Sh 1,000 is capable of making 20 to 22<br />
liters of tonto. O<strong>the</strong>r raw materials used include water and sorghum. Twenty two litres<br />
of tonto requires approximately 1.2 kg of sorghum<br />
Tonto can be stored <strong>for</strong> approximately seven days be<strong>for</strong>e it becomes bitter. However,<br />
it can be distilled to waragi when past <strong>its</strong> shelve life.<br />
Because of <strong>its</strong> mode of preparation, tonto is largely considered to be an inferior drink.<br />
People are seen to switch to alternative <strong>for</strong>ms of alcohol as incomes rise. Rising<br />
average incomes in Uganda, assuming equitable income distribution, would suggest a<br />
decline in tonto consumption.<br />
Roasting <strong>Banana</strong><br />
According to <strong>the</strong> findings from <strong>the</strong> survey, it is estimated that 750 bunches of roasting<br />
bananas are sold retail through major roadside markets every week. If a bunch weighs<br />
25 kg, this means sales volumes of 18.75 tonnes per week or 975 tonnes per annum.<br />
The total demand <strong>for</strong> roasting banana countrywide could reach 1,500 – 1,700 Tons<br />
per annum, considering that some it doesn’t go through <strong>for</strong>mal markets.<br />
One bunch has <strong>for</strong>ty to fifty fingers that are bought by retailers at an off lorry price of<br />
Ug Sh.100 - 125 per finger. Following roasting on a charcoal fire <strong>the</strong> retail price is Ug<br />
Sh. 125 - 167 per finger. Using <strong>the</strong>se figures an approximate annual retail value <strong>for</strong><br />
this roadside market is Ug Sh 263,250,000 (US $ 150,000).<br />
28
4.6 Overview of Market Potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and <strong>Banana</strong> Based Products<br />
This section provides a summary of <strong>the</strong> market potential <strong>for</strong> banana and banana based<br />
products in a range of uses locally, regionally and internationally.<br />
Areas with Good Potential to Increase <strong>Banana</strong> Sales in <strong>the</strong> Near Future (
and fairtrade markets are suggested by Carlton et al as areas <strong>for</strong> technology,<br />
managerial and operational development.<br />
Rwandan Market <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />
The Rwandan banana market survey (Ferris et al 2002) suggests a growing market <strong>for</strong><br />
Ugandan matooke in Rwanda.<br />
West Kenyan Market <strong>for</strong> Bogoya (Gros Michel)<br />
Ugandan based survey results suggest rising prices and values particularly <strong>for</strong> bogoya<br />
exports to Western Kenya.<br />
Ugandan Market <strong>for</strong> Locally Brewed Waragi ‘Kasese’<br />
Traders involved in supply of local waragi felt demand was increasing. No official /<br />
reliable price or volume records were found as part of this study to confirm growth<br />
trends. Research investment in this area is seen as having negative social implications.<br />
Sectors Currently Viewed as having Moderate Potential <strong>for</strong> Growth in <strong>the</strong><br />
Foreseeable Future (>5 years)<br />
Local Market <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />
The local Ugandan market is viewed as stable with low levels of volume growth and<br />
constant to falling real prices providing no serious disturbance to production occurs.<br />
Urbanisation will increase demand with any income growth especially by poorer and<br />
middle-income families viewed as beneficial to matooke market prospects by making<br />
unexpressed demand effective.<br />
Pancakes (Kabalagala)<br />
A traditional food made from ripe bananas and cassava flour. Seen as an inferior good<br />
compared to wheat flour based cakes and biscu<strong>its</strong>. Similar market prospects to<br />
matooke, constant to moderate growth <strong>for</strong>eseen.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> paper<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> paper made from banana fibres. Large banana producing countries are seen to<br />
have a competitive advantage on international markets. Locally a relatively small<br />
market is seen selling to tourists, expatriates and wealthy Ugandans. Future growth in<br />
Ugandan incomes and tourism are seen to influence market potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se product<br />
types.<br />
Local Roasting Market<br />
Plantain (‘Gonja’) is roasted and sold at roadsides or in markets by small traders.<br />
Increase in traffic along major routes has potential to increase consumption of this<br />
type of banana.<br />
30
Sectors Currently Viewed as having Low Potential <strong>for</strong> Growth in <strong>the</strong> Foreseeable<br />
Future (>5 years)<br />
Juice<br />
Selected highland and exotic types can be ripened and squeezed <strong>for</strong> juice, which can<br />
be consumed fresh or fermented to local beer/wine. Short storage period lim<strong>its</strong> market<br />
to a local rural level.<br />
Tonto (beer)<br />
Viewed as an inferior good compared to bottled beers because of <strong>its</strong> mode of<br />
preparation. People are seen to switch to alternative <strong>for</strong>ms of alcohol as incomes rise.<br />
Rising average incomes in Uganda, assuming equitable income distribution, would<br />
suggest a decline in tonto consumption.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> flavourings / essences<br />
Bi-products from Uganda will have to compete on world markets against products<br />
from <strong>the</strong> large plantation countries. These countries are seen to have significant cost<br />
advantages<br />
Cosmetics i.e. use in Body shop products<br />
Large plantation countries are seen to have <strong>the</strong> advantage. To compete Uganda would<br />
have to make advantage of <strong>its</strong> largely organic production systems.<br />
Replacement flour in bakery products.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> flour is used experimentally as a potential partial replacement <strong>for</strong> more<br />
expensive flours in bread, cakes and biscu<strong>its</strong>. No evidence <strong>for</strong> commercial uptake has<br />
been discovered by <strong>the</strong> study in Uganda <strong>for</strong> this alternative.<br />
In local markets, cassava flour represents an alternative that is easier to grow on poor<br />
soils and requires minimum crop husbandry / management.<br />
On international markets large scale producers such as South and Central American<br />
countries are seen to have a competitive advantage in bi-product markets as <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
quantity of fresh banana rejects gives <strong>the</strong>m a negligible raw material cost <strong>for</strong> making<br />
flour.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> flour used as a constituent in baby/weaning foods<br />
Constituent banana flour is seen to have to meet significant health and hygiene<br />
requirements to be used in baby and weaning foods. Again cheaper raw material costs<br />
in from South and Central American countries are seen to have cost advantages on<br />
world markets.<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> pulp<br />
Research at Makerere University has taken place to produce a dried banana pulp<br />
(flour) that can be stored and later re-hydrated and eaten as a matooke substitute. In<br />
31
<strong>the</strong> past this was seen to have food security enhancing potential as a food reserve<br />
against famine. Since this research, Ugandan food production has risen, largely<br />
removing <strong>the</strong> threat of famine. Fresh matooke is preferred to <strong>the</strong> re-hydrated product<br />
by consumers.<br />
32
5 SUPPLY ANALYSIS<br />
5.1 Analyse of <strong>the</strong> supply chain<br />
Figure seven below shows a generalised picture of <strong>the</strong> major participants in <strong>the</strong><br />
banana supply chain. These participants are discussed individually below.<br />
Figure Seven. The <strong>Banana</strong> Supply Chain<br />
Exporter<br />
Export<br />
Market<br />
Farmers<br />
Farmer<br />
Wholesaler<br />
Bicycle<br />
Transporter<br />
Broker at Road<br />
Side Collection<br />
Centre<br />
Urban<br />
Retailer<br />
Urban Consumer<br />
Rural<br />
Retailer<br />
Key<br />
Major Flow<br />
Minor Flow<br />
Rural<br />
Consumer<br />
Many small scale producers exist who sell bunches of bananas to bicycle traders, if<br />
<strong>the</strong> farm is conveniently situated next to a road, sales can be made to passing vehicles<br />
including those of brokers or wholesalers. Price negotiation is usually per<strong>for</strong>med<br />
be<strong>for</strong>e <strong>the</strong> bunch is cut from <strong>the</strong> plant after which cash is paid and <strong>the</strong> bunch removed.<br />
Negotiation is based on finger and bunch size, banana type and variety. Farmers were<br />
aware of consumer preferences <strong>for</strong> different varieties of matooke such as Nakitembe<br />
and Kibuzi. The farmer is seen to have limited bargaining power as bunches cannot<br />
be retained <strong>for</strong> any significant period of time. Traders mentioned some producers<br />
holding back supply <strong>for</strong> two to four weeks at times of rising prices. A general picture<br />
was of producers having to sell bunches when ready to meet necessary household<br />
expenditure. Farmers were found to receive price in<strong>for</strong>mation from visiting collection<br />
centres, <strong>the</strong> radio or interaction with o<strong>the</strong>r traders.<br />
33
Bicycle Transporters<br />
Bicycle transporters buy from dispersed farmer plots and sell to brokers at collection<br />
centres or traders in towns. Many bicycle transporters supply each collection centre.<br />
Competition exists between <strong>the</strong>se people and barriers to entry appear low.<br />
Transporters have some control over price in negotiations with farmers especially if<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r traders do not visit that farm. However at <strong>the</strong> collection centre <strong>the</strong>y have less<br />
power as <strong>the</strong>y cannot store bananas or easily take <strong>the</strong>m elsewhere. Large bunches are<br />
preferred with one bicycle able to carry up to seven bunches depending on bunch size.<br />
Brokers<br />
A small number of brokers usually operate at collection centres in production zones<br />
where <strong>the</strong>y purchase sufficient bunches to fill rented trucks that are usually destined<br />
<strong>for</strong> Kampala. Typically trucks contain at least ninety percent matooke with bogoya<br />
and sukali ndizi filling <strong>the</strong> remaining space. Bunches purchased are graded according<br />
to size and type. Matooke bunches with small fingers have <strong>the</strong> fingers removed and<br />
put in sacks. These sacks allow more small bananas to be carried on trucks.<br />
Some brokers have repeated delivery schedules whereby regular numbers of bunches<br />
are delivered to different urban-based wholesalers at different locations usually in and<br />
around Kampala. In this case, <strong>the</strong> broker will rent <strong>the</strong> lorry and organise loading.<br />
Wholesalers can contact brokers to adjust amounts using phones or truck drivers to<br />
deliver messages.<br />
Brokers are in regular contact with farmers who visit collection centres, bicycle<br />
transporters, truck drivers and wholesalers. They are seen to have good price<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation from urban centres, interaction with o<strong>the</strong>r traders and <strong>the</strong> radio. Mobile<br />
phones are seen to have improved broker to wholesaler contact.<br />
The small number of brokers and <strong>the</strong> market in<strong>for</strong>mation available to <strong>the</strong>m give<br />
brokers some ability to influence price. Barriers to entry <strong>for</strong> people wanting to enter<br />
this role include <strong>the</strong> capital required to rent and fill a truck. This is estimated at<br />
approximately Ug Sh 1.5 million (US $ 850) <strong>for</strong> a ten tonne truck capable of carrying<br />
six hundred bunches. A disincentive <strong>for</strong> brokers is that having to carry relatively large<br />
amounts of cash makes <strong>the</strong>m a target <strong>for</strong> thieves.<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mal collusion between brokers is seen to increase <strong>the</strong>ir market power allowing<br />
<strong>the</strong>m to maintain <strong>the</strong>ir high gross and net margins (see table xx). Collusion and<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mal cartels between brokers can also restrict new entrants wishing to transport<br />
bananas.<br />
Wholesaler<br />
Kampala based wholesalers purchase bananas from broker lorries and sell bunches to<br />
urban retailers or directly to consumers. Wholesalers may engage in vertical<br />
integration by renting trucks to collect bananas from production areas to capture<br />
brokers margins. This occurs at times of high urban prices when wholesalers and<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r traders will transport bananas. These activities should be encouraged as a way to<br />
reduce broker margins, increasing prices to farmers and reducing final consumer<br />
price.<br />
34
Trucks usually arrive in Kampala in <strong>the</strong> early morning when unloading and<br />
distribution of bunches to retailers is per<strong>for</strong>med. Wholesalers may extend credit to<br />
retailers <strong>for</strong> a day allowing <strong>the</strong>m time <strong>for</strong> sale.<br />
A wide variation of between one to two hundred wholesalers can operate in a large<br />
Kampala market who trade around eighty bunches per day. Interviews suggested<br />
stronger competition between wholesalers than between brokers. No significant<br />
collusion occurs between different wholesalers to fix prices.<br />
Urban Retailer<br />
Relatively large numbers of specialised banana retailers sell at roadsides or within<br />
markets sites. They grade bananas by type, variety and size. For matooke large<br />
bunches with big fingers are generally sold to wealthier people who have <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />
transport. Small matooke fingers tend to be arranged in piles and sold in smaller<br />
quantities to people who use public transport. Bogoya and sukali ndizi are sold in<br />
hands, usually by separate specialised traders <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se banana types.<br />
Matooke retailers buy from wholesalers in <strong>the</strong> morning at a price largely determined<br />
by market levels of supply and demand. The final consumer price is negotiable.<br />
Consumer price will rise through <strong>the</strong> day if demand is strong or fall if few buyers are<br />
present in <strong>the</strong> market. Most consumer trade is done in <strong>the</strong> evening and matooke<br />
bunches are not usually stored overnight. Some market retailers were found to have<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir own associations, which are reported to be new in some cases (i.e. Luwero). No<br />
evidence of price collusion between retailers was found as part of <strong>the</strong> study. Some<br />
retailers access credit from micro finance institutions o<strong>the</strong>rs receive daily credit from<br />
wholesalers. Barriers to entry include a local council letter of approval, market<br />
authority registration and space in <strong>the</strong> market place.<br />
Exporters<br />
Regional exports to Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania or <strong>the</strong> Congo can be per<strong>for</strong>med by<br />
brokers, wholesalers or producers / bicycle transporters living close to borders.<br />
For European markets, it is estimated that ten to fifteen trading organisations arrange<br />
matooke and sukali ndizi exports. These organisations purchase in urban or rural<br />
markets or receive deliveries by farmers or traders to <strong>the</strong>ir premises. The exporters<br />
vary in <strong>the</strong>ir levels of sorting, grading and packaging of produce. For matooke <strong>the</strong><br />
variety Kibuzi is preferred by UK based consumers.<br />
Three main exporting organisations exist <strong>for</strong> organic bananas. One of <strong>the</strong>se exporters<br />
deals in fresh sukali ndizi and all three companies export solar dried sukali ndizi<br />
and/or bogoya. These bananas may be grown by <strong>the</strong> exporter or purchased from out<br />
growers who <strong>the</strong> exporter registers as organic producers. These exporters grade, pack<br />
and label produce which is flown to Europe.<br />
35
5.2 Market Linkages<br />
To measure market linkage, correlation coefficients are used to examine if price<br />
movements from different towns are consistent with one ano<strong>the</strong>r. Correlation coefficient<br />
values close to one indicate movements are similar, while those close to zero<br />
show no similarity in <strong>the</strong> direction of movement. Following conventional practice<br />
(from Collinson et al), coefficients of over 0.8 suggest high correlation, while<br />
coefficients between 0.6 and 0.8 are said to show moderate levels of correlation.<br />
Table ten gives correlation coefficients <strong>for</strong> towns in south-western and central Uganda<br />
where we would expect to see moderate and strong correlations between market<br />
prices. High correlation levels are shown in blue with moderate levels given in green.<br />
The majority of market co-efficients show moderate integration suggesting price<br />
movements and <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e supply and demand patterns are similar.<br />
Table Ten. Correlation Coefficients <strong>for</strong> Matooke Prices in Selected Towns<br />
KABALE KASESE LUWERO MASAKA MBARARA RAKAI<br />
KABALE 1.00<br />
KASESE 0.65 1.00<br />
LUWERO 0.61 0.70 1.00<br />
MASAKA 0.74 0.76 0.62 1.00<br />
MBARARA 0.62 0.76 0.82 0.55 1.00<br />
RAKAI 0.56 0.59 0.18 0.69 0.33 1.00<br />
Source: Calculations based on FoodNet price data Sept 1999 to April 2002<br />
The correlation co-efficient levels found suggest good in<strong>for</strong>mation flow between<br />
markets. Fieldwork per<strong>for</strong>med during this study shows brokers as having <strong>the</strong> best<br />
market in<strong>for</strong>mation due to interaction with and connection to most parts of <strong>the</strong> market<br />
chain. Mobile phones and text messaging have potential to improve in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
exchange between participants in <strong>the</strong> different markets, which has potential to fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
increase levels of market integration discussed above.<br />
Isolated farmers who do not visit markets possess <strong>the</strong> least up-to-date market<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation. Bicycle traders visiting <strong>the</strong>se people are viewed as having an advantage<br />
in price negotiations.<br />
36
5.3 Production costs<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> production in Uganda is associated with a number of farming systems<br />
including, banana-coffee and banana-millet. Pure stands are not common among<br />
smallholders (CTA). To provide an indication of production costs, <strong>the</strong> following gross<br />
margin analysis uses figures collected by NARO / ADC in 1998 <strong>for</strong> Kisekka subcounty<br />
in Masaka district.<br />
Table Eleven. Gross Margins Under Hired and Family Labour <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />
Under hired<br />
labour<br />
Under family<br />
labour<br />
Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha<br />
Total Revenue 1,370,000 1,370,000<br />
Costs<br />
Labour 479,300<br />
Animal manure 296,400 296,400<br />
Mulch 237,400 237,400<br />
TOTAL COSTS 1,013,100 533,800<br />
Gross margin 356,900 836,200<br />
Notes:<br />
Total revenue calculation is based on production of 27.4 tonnes per hectare sold at Ug Sh 50,000 per tonne<br />
Animal manure calculation is based on a cost of Ug Sh. 889,000 incurred once in three years.<br />
Mulch calculation is based on a cost of Ug Sh 712,200 incurred once in three years.<br />
Source: <strong>Banana</strong> Production Manual NARO / ADC IDEA project<br />
Figures used are illustrative as prices and volumes fluctuate. Fieldwork interviews<br />
suggest that <strong>the</strong> above gross margins may be understated as labour costs <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
limited number of farmers interviewed were approximately Ug Sh 200,000 per hectare<br />
per year. These farmers were also unlikely to pay <strong>for</strong> manure or mulch instead using<br />
on-farm waste. This suggests possible producer gross margins in excess of one million<br />
shillings per hectare. These margins would appear to be attractive to farmers with<br />
fieldwork and secondary data suggesting production as rising.<br />
5.4 Trading Costs and Margins in <strong>the</strong> Supply Chain<br />
The in<strong>for</strong>mation provided below in Table twelve is an indication of <strong>the</strong> costs and<br />
margins incurred by participants in <strong>the</strong> banana marketing chain, as found by a rapid<br />
survey per<strong>for</strong>med in May 2002. Costs and returns are <strong>for</strong> banana trading between<br />
south western Uganda (Mbarara and Masaka) and Kampala.<br />
37
Table Twelve. Trading Costs and Margins<br />
Farmer<br />
Selling price 750<br />
Bicycle Transporter<br />
Matooke Sukali Ndizi Bogoya<br />
Ug Sh / % Of selling<br />
Bunch price<br />
Ug Sh /<br />
Bunch<br />
% Of<br />
selling<br />
price<br />
Ug Sh /<br />
Bunch<br />
400 3250<br />
% Of<br />
selling<br />
price<br />
Purchase price 750<br />
400 3250<br />
Selling price 1500<br />
700 4000<br />
Gross margin 750 50% 300 43% 750 19%<br />
Costs<br />
Market Cost 100<br />
TOTAL COSTS 100<br />
100 100<br />
100 100<br />
Net margin 650 43% 200 29% 650 16%<br />
Broker<br />
Purchase price 1500<br />
700 4000<br />
Selling price 3000 2000 6000<br />
Gross margin 1500 50% 1300 65% 2000 33%<br />
Costs<br />
Market Costs at Collection Center 200 200 200<br />
Labour to Load Truck*<br />
33 33 33<br />
Truck rental** 667 667 667<br />
Damaged during Transport^^^ 0 70 400<br />
TOTAL COSTS<br />
900 970 1300<br />
Net margin 600 20% 330 17% 700 12%<br />
Wholesaler<br />
Purchase price 3000<br />
2000 6000<br />
Selling price<br />
3750 3000 7000<br />
Gross margin 750 20% 1000 33% 1000 14%<br />
Costs<br />
Market Tax at Kampala<br />
Labour to Unload Truck***<br />
TOTAL COSTS<br />
100 100 100<br />
50 50 50<br />
150 150 150<br />
Net margin^ 600 16% 850 28% 850 12%<br />
38
Urban Retailer<br />
Purchase price 3750<br />
3000 7000<br />
Selling price 4500 4000 10500<br />
Gross margin 750 17% 1000 25% 3500 33%<br />
Costs<br />
Market fee^^ 50<br />
Storage loss^^^<br />
0<br />
TOTAL COSTS 50<br />
50 50<br />
300 700<br />
350 750<br />
Net margin^ 700 16% 650 16% 2750 26%<br />
* Based on Ug Sh 20,000 total cost to load 600 bunches<br />
** Based on Ug Sh 400,000 total cost per truck carrying 600 bunches<br />
*** Based on Ug Sh 30,000 total cost to unload 600 bunches<br />
^ Be<strong>for</strong>e income tax and payment of trading licence<br />
^^ Based on Ug Sh 7000 pre month selling five bunches per day <strong>for</strong> twenty seven days<br />
^^^ 10% of purchase price <strong>for</strong> S. ndizi and bogoya<br />
Prices and costs shown above are mid point values based on supply chain participant<br />
responses.<br />
Bicycle transporters are reported to be able to carry up to eighteen bunches of<br />
matooke per day depending on season, distance and bunch size. This suggests daily<br />
net margins of Ug Sh 11,700 as achievable.<br />
Brokers can carry approximately 600 bunches per truck. If this is assumed as all<br />
matooke a net profit of Ug Sh 360,000 per load is possible. A broker may be able to<br />
organise more than one truck per day and if so can make attractive daily incomes.<br />
Wholesalers in Kampala (Kalerwe market) are said to deal in <strong>for</strong>ty-to-eighty bunches<br />
of matooke per day. These figures suggest net daily profit of between Ug Sh 24,000<br />
and Ug 48,000 as possible.<br />
Retailers of matooke bunches make approximately Ug Sh 700 per bunch. These are<br />
generally large bunches of large fingered bananas which command a price premium<br />
per bunch. Retailers sell small fingers in piles that weight 4.5 to 5 kg <strong>for</strong> Ug Sh 500.<br />
These are purchased from wholesalers in bags of 100 to 110 kg that cost around Ug<br />
Sh 8,000 per bag. Breakdown of <strong>the</strong> bunch and bagging is per<strong>for</strong>med at <strong>the</strong> collection<br />
centre in <strong>the</strong> production zone to reduce transport bulk. Sales of two to four bags per<br />
day suggest retailer daily net prof<strong>its</strong> of Ug Sh 4,000 to 8,000. Transport and storage<br />
losses <strong>for</strong> matooke are reported as minimal.<br />
Gross and net margins per bunch be<strong>for</strong>e storage loss <strong>for</strong> retailers of sukali ndizi and<br />
bogoya are expected to be greater than those of matooke as losses from ripening can<br />
be significant (fifty percent was quoted during interviews although a more<br />
conservative ten percent loss is allowed <strong>for</strong> in <strong>the</strong> above calculations). Lack of coordination<br />
by wholesalers was mentioned as a reason <strong>for</strong> oversupply and subsequent<br />
39
high rates of loss. Over ripe sukali ndizi can be sold to makers of pancakes. Recent<br />
en<strong>for</strong>cement of government regulations banning street vendors (hawkers) was said to<br />
have negatively influenced sales, as street vendors no longer buy from retailers <strong>for</strong><br />
this trade.<br />
Results from <strong>the</strong> analysis suggest that brokers can make attractive daily net profit<br />
margins, depending on volumes traded. Ensuring low barriers to entry into <strong>the</strong>se<br />
markets should ensure excessive margins are eroded through competition.<br />
Discouraging cartel type collusion between existing brokers and ensuring credit<br />
agencies can operate in <strong>the</strong>se markets to provide necessary working capital are ways<br />
of lowering barriers to new entrants. Encouraging farmers (or <strong>the</strong>ir family members)<br />
to per<strong>for</strong>m <strong>the</strong> bicycle transport role would help producers capture additional margins<br />
and give <strong>the</strong>m improved market in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />
40
6 MAJOR FINDINGS<br />
Local Markets<br />
1. Results suggest falling matooke yields in areas where production is well<br />
established (Masaka) with new areas being planted in <strong>the</strong> southwest fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
from urban centres (beyond Mbarara).<br />
– Production appears to be moving fur<strong>the</strong>r southward and westward away from<br />
Kampala due to declining soil fertility. Land next to main tarmac roads is<br />
increasingly planted with beer varieties that tolerate lower soil fertility levels.<br />
Matooke varieties are being planted fur<strong>the</strong>r from main roads increasing reliance<br />
on muram roads which are more susceptible to rain damage.<br />
– If soil fertility is continually eroded it has serious negative food security<br />
implications related to this staple crop.<br />
2. Daily incomes <strong>for</strong> brokers appear as attractive when compared to average<br />
Ugandan income levels.<br />
– Brokers renting ten tonne trucks holding six hundred bunches can make net prof<strong>its</strong><br />
in excess of Ug Sh 300,000 (US $ 168) per load.<br />
– In<strong>for</strong>mal collusion by brokers is suggested as a means of reducing competition<br />
from new entrants and ensuring margins.<br />
– Barriers to entry <strong>for</strong> supply chain participants include local council approval,<br />
market authority registration and sufficient space in <strong>the</strong> market place.<br />
– Brokers and traders carrying large sums of money are targets <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ft, particularly<br />
in rural areas.<br />
3. Farmers show little or no production response to predictable and significant<br />
annual price movements.<br />
– Significant annual price variation is seen to follow a cycle reaching a peak in<br />
December and lows in August.<br />
– Farmers do not time <strong>the</strong>ir production to meet <strong>the</strong>se predictable price spikes<br />
4. Fusarium wilt is a major deterrent to investment in sukali ndizi and bogoya<br />
(Gros Michel) production.<br />
– Sukali ndizi and bogoya are susceptible to Fusarium wilt that currently has no<br />
known cure and can devastate plantations.<br />
41
Regional Markets<br />
5. Ugandan regional export opportunities appear <strong>for</strong> matooke to Rwanda and<br />
dessert varieties to Kenya<br />
– Increasing potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Ugandan exports of matooke to Rwanda. Current<br />
volumes are estimated at twelve thousand tonnes per year.<br />
– Rising prices and falling volumes of bogoya and sukali ndizi exports to Kenya are<br />
found due to exchange rate changes?? Check exchange rates<br />
International Markets<br />
6. World banana markets appear as increasingly competitive. Recent changes<br />
in European Union banana policy reducing preferential access are seen to<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r increase competition.<br />
– International banana markets are found as having increasing volumes and<br />
decreasing total values.<br />
– Introduction of <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement will open new markets in <strong>the</strong> European<br />
Union <strong>for</strong> Latin American producers and increase pressure on large Caribbean<br />
producers to be more competitive. Increasing international competition is <strong>for</strong>eseen<br />
in banana alternative product markets including fibre craft products and processed<br />
goods.<br />
– Minimal potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas in alternative food / industrial uses<br />
that compete on, or are influenced by, world markets.<br />
7. Market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas is suggested in markets segments that<br />
include organic or health focused fruit and ‘naturally’ solar dried bananas.<br />
– The recent ‘Everything but Arms’ measure will reduce EU tariffs on fresh bananas<br />
to zero <strong>for</strong> Uganda by 2006.<br />
– European consumers are seen to favour food perceived as being healthy, organic<br />
food and food produced in an environmentally conscious manner. Ugandan<br />
banana production is currently largely organic.<br />
8. International market potential is suggested <strong>for</strong> ‘naturally’ dried sukali ndizi.<br />
– Exporters of dried sukali ndizi suggest most potential exists <strong>for</strong> organic solar dried<br />
produce.<br />
– Solar drying technology challenges exist <strong>for</strong> Uganda to dry increasingly large<br />
volumes consistently when wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions may not be favourable.<br />
42
9. Export volumes to Europe <strong>for</strong> fresh sukali ndizi have fallen due to supply of a<br />
poor quality product. UK importers require large unblemished fingers of<br />
uni<strong>for</strong>m ripening and size. If quality can be improved UK market prices<br />
appear as attractive.<br />
– UK prices <strong>for</strong> Ugandan sukali ndizi fluctuate widely between US$ 0.50 and US$<br />
4.46 per kilogram over a two-year period to March 2002. Market reports suggest<br />
this is due to variable quality.<br />
– Export volumes of sukali ndizi from Entebbe airport have fallen by thirty six<br />
percent from 1997 to 2001.<br />
– Quality issues include difficulty in controlling post harvest ripening, rough<br />
handling and current Ugandan varieties <strong>for</strong>ming unattractive skin blotches as<br />
opposed to developing a speckled appearance on ripening.<br />
10. Sales volumes of fresh matooke exported to <strong>the</strong> UK have almost doubled in<br />
<strong>the</strong> past five years<br />
– Matooke volumes into <strong>the</strong> UK have increased by eighty five percent to 832 tonnes<br />
from 1997 to 2001.<br />
– UK matooke prices have been stable over <strong>the</strong> last two years.<br />
– Future sales growth <strong>for</strong> matooke is suggested into UK West Indian and Belgium<br />
Congolese ethnic markets.<br />
43
7 RECOMMENDATIONS<br />
The first priority <strong>for</strong> Uganda is to ensure sustainable banana production systems and<br />
increase <strong>the</strong> efficiency of <strong>the</strong> banana marketing chain from rural production areas to<br />
urban consumption zones. A second priority is to capture regional market<br />
opportunities that currently appear in Rwanda and Kenya. Finally international market<br />
opportunities should be addressed. International ef<strong>for</strong>ts should be seen a part of<br />
general initiative to increase exports of fresh and dried fruit and vegetables<br />
particularly to Europe.<br />
Domestic Markets – Ensuring Sustainable Production and Increasing Market<br />
Efficiency<br />
1. Matooke Sustainable Production Systems<br />
Matooke is an important food security crop in Uganda. Population growth rates of<br />
three percent per annum suggest significant increases in future demand. Addressing<br />
soil fertility and pest and disease issues are essential to ensure sustainable long-term<br />
production.<br />
Interventions include:<br />
Soil fertility<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to:<br />
– Establish what changes in soil fertility status are being caused by banana<br />
production and what production location shifts are continuing to occur.<br />
– Establish why farmers do not manage soils in a sustainable manner through<br />
recognised practices of mulching, manuring, rotating cropping and improved<br />
livestock integration with design of appropriate responses.<br />
Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Providers<br />
How (i) Fur<strong>the</strong>r consultation with research and relevant stakeholders to access<br />
available soil fertility data.<br />
Depending on <strong>the</strong> quality of existing data:<br />
(ii) Establishment of sites to measure changes in soil fertility levels caused by<br />
matooke production.<br />
(iii) Participatory research with farmers to better understand <strong>the</strong>ir choice of<br />
soil management techniques with subsequent recommendations <strong>for</strong><br />
maintaining soil fertility levels.<br />
Pests and Diseases<br />
Weevils<br />
44
Continued support to extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural<br />
control including:<br />
- Use of clean healthy planting material<br />
- Paring of corms at planting<br />
- Destruction of post-harvest residues<br />
- Trapping of adult weevils.<br />
- Good crop husbandry such as weeding, desuckering, pruning, manuring and<br />
mulching to produce vigorous plants.<br />
Nematodes<br />
Continued support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />
including:<br />
- Crop rotation<br />
- Use of clean planting material (removal of roots and outer layer of <strong>the</strong> corm)<br />
- Soil amendments through weeding and manuring<br />
- Continued research into and promotion of resistant cultivars.<br />
Black Sigatoka<br />
- Continued development of resistant cultivars.<br />
- Support to extension services encouraging good crop husbandry that is seen to<br />
lead to a more vigorous plant better able to outgrow attack.<br />
Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Providers<br />
How Continuation and enhancement of existing initiatives<br />
2. Ensure and encourage competition through out <strong>the</strong> banana marketing<br />
chain<br />
Any restriction of competition is seen to allow existing traders to achieve excessive<br />
margins with resultant lower returns to farmers and higher consumer prices. To<br />
prevent excessive broker or trader margins existing in <strong>the</strong> medium and long term, new<br />
entrants should face minimal barriers to entry. These should include:<br />
(i) Ensure existing brokers and traders do not restrict competition through<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mal cartels that prevent entry of potential competitors<br />
Who FoodNet, Government of Uganda<br />
How Use of this report as a lobbying tool to engage government in finding methods<br />
of facilitating competition especially at a broker / wholesale level.<br />
(ii) Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential new entrants and<br />
entrepreneurs<br />
Who FoodNet, Market Authorities, Government and Non Government Extension<br />
Providers<br />
45
How Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential new entrants to<br />
increase competition where excessive margins occur. Potential entrants to <strong>the</strong><br />
banana marketing chain are suggested as farmers, farmer groups, cooperatives<br />
and associations, existing wholesalers and truck operators.<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation on banana margins could be part of an initiative covering a range<br />
of commodities. Delivery of <strong>the</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation should be through extension<br />
providers, regular posters / flyers placed in markets or use of radio broadcasts.<br />
(iii) Providing an enabling environment <strong>for</strong> micro finance organisations<br />
Who FoodNet, Credit Providers<br />
How Contact with micro finance providers and credit institutions to fur<strong>the</strong>r explore<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir role and ensure potential new entrants can access credit.<br />
(iv) Ensuring markets offer sufficient space <strong>for</strong> traders<br />
Who FoodNet, Market Authorities, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of<br />
Uganda<br />
How Fur<strong>the</strong>r contact with market authorities and government to discuss and plan<br />
accordingly <strong>for</strong> growing markets<br />
In addition, market site management should encourage trading within <strong>the</strong><br />
market ra<strong>the</strong>r than on roadsides. This would reduce traffic congestion caused<br />
by roadside unloading.<br />
(v) Ensuring legal / administrative requirements <strong>for</strong> trader do not unduly restrict<br />
new entrants. Examples are local council letters of approval and market<br />
authority registration<br />
Who FoodNet, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda and<br />
Market Authorities.<br />
How Fur<strong>the</strong>r contact with relevant government and market authorities aimed at<br />
minimising barriers of entry to new entrants.<br />
3. Infrastructure development: maintenance and improvement of road<br />
transport<br />
Appraisal and investment in feeder and main roads is necessary to reduce transport<br />
costs and ensure bananas can get to market especially in times of rain when <strong>the</strong>se<br />
roads become impassable. Declining yields of plots close to main roads and planting<br />
of new areas with poorer access is seen to increase <strong>the</strong> importance of feeder roads.<br />
Any fur<strong>the</strong>r movement of production areas fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west will fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
increase <strong>the</strong> importance of main roads. These initiatives would also enhance<br />
marketing of o<strong>the</strong>r commodities as suggested in a recent market study using a<br />
transaction cost approach.<br />
Who FoodNet, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda<br />
How Lobbying of government to maintain and improve road infrastructure<br />
46
4. Security<br />
Risk of thuggery acts as a deterrent <strong>for</strong> brokers, traders and transporters particularly in<br />
rural areas. Removal of this disincentive <strong>for</strong> trade should increase coverage and levels<br />
of trading activity.<br />
Who FoodNet, relevant donor / technical assistance, relevant representatives from<br />
<strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda, Communities, Police.<br />
How Relevant lobby groups should encourage local government, communities and<br />
police services to meet and find ways of reducing rural crime rates.<br />
5. Farmer Production Response to Annual Price Spikes<br />
Development of a farmer production response to predictable annual price variation is<br />
a way to increase farm incomes, improve consistency in annual market volumes and<br />
reduce consumer price peaks.<br />
Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Services, Farmers,<br />
relevant NGO’s.<br />
How Participatory research with producers, research and extension into controlling<br />
<strong>the</strong> timing of sucker development and <strong>the</strong> timing of fruiting is suggested to<br />
enable farmers to produce <strong>for</strong> periods of high demand.<br />
Potential study areas include timing of planting new gardens, timing desuckering<br />
to control new growth and use of appropriate irrigation systems to<br />
control water stress that stimulates fruiting. Research should include a farmerbased<br />
cost benefit analysis to ensure interventions increase farmer<br />
profitability.<br />
Regional Market <strong>Opportunities</strong><br />
6. Support to Regional Export Markets of matooke to Rwanda and Dessert<br />
Varieties to Kenya.<br />
Interventions to enhance <strong>the</strong>se markets include:<br />
(i) Provision of regional market price in<strong>for</strong>mation using mediums currently<br />
giving Ugandan price in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />
Who FoodNet<br />
How Inclusion of regional price in<strong>for</strong>mation using existing channels.<br />
(ii) Improvement or reduction of border barriers including tariffs and quotas.<br />
Who FoodNet, Relevant Government representatives from regional countries.<br />
How Lobbying of governments to jointly reduce regional barriers to trade.<br />
47
(iii) Government ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure quick and efficient boarder crossing.<br />
Who FoodNet, Relevant Government representatives from regional countries.<br />
How Work with governments to facilitate trade by looking <strong>for</strong> realistic ways to<br />
enhance border crossing.<br />
International Markets<br />
7. Addressing Dessert <strong>Banana</strong>s susceptibility to Fusarium Wilt.<br />
Threat of Fusarium wilt attack is a significant disincentive to investment in bogoya<br />
and sukali ndizi.<br />
Required interventions to remove this disincentive include:<br />
– Development of host plant resistance.<br />
– Improved cultural practices include <strong>the</strong> use of pathogen-free planting material<br />
with <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r development and widespread implementation of appropriate<br />
management strategies.<br />
Who Relevant International, Regional and National research programmes.<br />
How Continuation and enhancement of existing activities<br />
8. Organic / health focused naturally dried dessert banana markets.<br />
Study results suggest attractive prices and growing export markets exist <strong>for</strong> organic<br />
health focused naturally dried banana products. A study exploring European markets<br />
suggests opportunities if packaging and appearance can be made appealing. Options<br />
include:<br />
i. Improving <strong>the</strong> appearance of product packaging to compete in snack and<br />
sweet market outlets.<br />
ii. Improving <strong>the</strong> appearance of naturally dried banana through improved drying<br />
techniques and plant breeding <strong>for</strong> appearance characteristics.<br />
Who IDEA Project, FoodNet, Amfri Farms, TEFU and Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile<br />
How Return vis<strong>its</strong> to Amfri Farms, TEFU and Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile to explore interest<br />
in addressing <strong>the</strong> above areas. Based on responses fur<strong>the</strong>r joint research and<br />
market trials are suggested.<br />
9. Fresh exports of sukali ndizi.<br />
Potential economic gain from successfully overcoming quality barriers <strong>for</strong> sukali<br />
ndizi is estimated to be approximately US$ 156,000 per annum calculated on <strong>the</strong> basis<br />
of lost sales in <strong>the</strong> past five years.<br />
Requirements are <strong>the</strong> development of a consistent supply of a quality product.<br />
Interventions should address:<br />
48
(i) Control of fruit ripening after harvest by exploring post harvest packaging and<br />
temperature control<br />
Who IDEA Project, FoodNet, Amfri Farms<br />
How Return vis<strong>its</strong> to Amfri Farms to explore interest in addressing <strong>the</strong> above area.<br />
Based on response, fur<strong>the</strong>r joint research is suggested.<br />
(ii) Improving fruit handling through out <strong>the</strong> supply chain by capacity building<br />
approaches with fruit handlers<br />
Who FoodNet, ADC IDEA Project, Agricultural Extension, Relevant Private sector<br />
businesses<br />
How It is suggested that fruit handling issues exist <strong>for</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r fruit and vegetables.<br />
The above-mentioned actors should be contacted to coordinate and focus<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r initiatives.<br />
10. Reducing airfreight cost at Entebbe will increase Ugandan competitive<br />
advantage in international fresh produce markets<br />
Suggested initiatives are to lobby government and airport authorities to:<br />
– Facilitate competition in <strong>the</strong> airfreight market by preventing any evolution of<br />
monopoly by encouraging new airfreight carriers to enter <strong>the</strong> freight market.<br />
– Ensure efficient airport freight administration and handling<br />
Who IDEA Project, U-Trade, UpTop, FoodNet, Civil Aviation Authority, Relevant<br />
Government Representatives<br />
How This document should be used as a lobby tool to emphasis <strong>the</strong> importance of<br />
Entebbe airports position in <strong>the</strong> export of fresh fruit and vegetables. If this<br />
lobbying is successful action to ensure competition and improve handling<br />
should occur.<br />
11. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to determine possibilities <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r expansion of<br />
matooke sales in European markets<br />
Potential is suggested <strong>for</strong> increased sales of fresh matooke to UK based West Indian<br />
and Belgium based Congolese markets in Europe. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to determine<br />
actual sales potential and how market requirements can best be met is suggested. This<br />
could most efficiently <strong>for</strong>m part of a wider study exploring Uganda fresh produce<br />
potential in Europe.<br />
Who FoodNet<br />
How Fur<strong>the</strong>r market research into <strong>the</strong> market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan fresh fruit and<br />
vegetables, including bananas, in Europe.<br />
49
In<strong>for</strong>mation Ga<strong>the</strong>red with Businesses involved in <strong>Banana</strong> Markets<br />
Organization &<br />
Key Persons<br />
Amfri Farms / African<br />
Organics<br />
PO Box 29078<br />
Kampala<br />
Uganda.<br />
Amin Shivji<br />
Managing Director<br />
077 506644<br />
aminjshivji@yahoo.com<br />
Fritz Plattner<br />
Consultant<br />
077 502330<br />
fripla@yahoo.com<br />
Fritzao@africaonline.co.ug<br />
Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />
research<br />
Organic fruit and Export fresh and Exports:<br />
Collaboration on<br />
vegetable exporters solar dried sukali Fresh -<br />
ndizi to<br />
approximately 2 Fusarium wilt<br />
Own farm in Germany (Frankfurt) tonnes per week (Panama disease)<br />
Luwero and 62 Out and Switzerland<br />
Research a cure /<br />
growers in Rakai<br />
Solar Dried – prevention of<br />
and Bugurari. Solar dried fru<strong>its</strong> about 400 kg / spread<br />
used in Breakfast month s. ndizi.<br />
cereal, ice cream and Volume is growing Need to know<br />
snacks.<br />
how to control<br />
ripening. How to<br />
start, stop and<br />
restart ripening<br />
(Problem is<br />
irregular<br />
insufficient<br />
sunshine)<br />
Suggest could<br />
double volume if<br />
overcome drying<br />
problem<br />
Suggest research<br />
into temperature<br />
control and<br />
packaging<br />
Interest in<br />
exploring EU<br />
tastes<br />
Next steps/ Follow<br />
up<br />
Return visit to<br />
explore interest in<br />
research into control<br />
of fresh sukali ndizi<br />
fruit ripening and<br />
packaging of dried<br />
products<br />
General Remarks<br />
51
Organization &<br />
Key Persons<br />
Icemark – Africa Ltd<br />
Bukoto Street<br />
PO Box 40122<br />
Kampala<br />
Uganda.<br />
Kristjan Erlingsson<br />
Managing Director<br />
077748798<br />
kristjan@icemarkafrica.com<br />
Organization &<br />
Key Persons<br />
Tropical Ecological<br />
Fru<strong>its</strong> Uganda (TEFU)<br />
PO Box 123<br />
Mityana<br />
Sam Nyanze<br />
077 469003, 046 2102, 046<br />
2442<br />
kulikaug@imul.com<br />
Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />
research<br />
Fish, Fruit and Export matooke and Exports:<br />
May be interested<br />
vegetable exporters s. ndizi to UK<br />
in controlling<br />
Spitalfield market Matooke – approx ripening of s.<br />
Trade only no<br />
6 to 7 tonnes / ndizi.<br />
production<br />
month<br />
Cautious when<br />
Ndizi – approx 1 working with<br />
tonne / month research<br />
Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />
research<br />
Solar Dried Fruit S. Ndizi – collect Export<br />
Interest in<br />
Exporters to from organically approximately one Increased<br />
Denmark<br />
registered farmers, tonne per month efficiency in<br />
Main products are ripen, slice, dry, pack dry weight drying process<br />
S. ndizi (Apple and transport to Sell to a Danish<br />
<strong>Banana</strong>) and Entebbe<br />
supermarket <strong>for</strong><br />
Pineapple<br />
use in snacks,<br />
breakfast cereal,<br />
plan <strong>for</strong> use in<br />
baby food<br />
Next steps/ Follow<br />
up<br />
Next steps/ Follow<br />
up<br />
Return visit to<br />
explore interest in<br />
development of<br />
packaging <strong>for</strong> dried<br />
products<br />
Requested copy of<br />
report<br />
General Remarks<br />
Sees Ugandan<br />
competitive advantage<br />
in Hot peppers, Okra,<br />
French beans, Passion<br />
fruit<br />
General Remarks<br />
52
Organization &<br />
Key Persons<br />
Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile<br />
Angello Ndyaguma MD<br />
071 467499<br />
Office 041 273274<br />
Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />
research<br />
Export of Solar Export solar dried Sell approx five Fusarium and<br />
Dried Fru<strong>its</strong> Sukila ndizi and tonnes per month Bacterial<br />
Buy dried fruit Bogoya<br />
of a mix of S Ndizi Wilt<br />
from contact<br />
and Bogoya. Seen as problem<br />
farmers/groups<br />
Ndizi seeing <strong>for</strong> research<br />
increasing involvement<br />
Sort, pack and<br />
volumes.<br />
export in<br />
Sell solely to On farm drying<br />
containers via<br />
Tropical<br />
quality is poor.<br />
Mombassa<br />
Wholefru<strong>its</strong> a UK Improving<br />
organic importer wastage reduction<br />
and distributor viewed as<br />
important<br />
extension /<br />
research issue<br />
Next steps/ Follow<br />
up<br />
General Remarks<br />
53
References<br />
Agriculture in Uganda Volume II Crops (2001) Edited by Mukiibi, J.K. Fountain<br />
Publishers / CTA / NARO<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> Production Manual, A Guide to Successful <strong>Banana</strong> Production in Uganda.<br />
NARO, ADC IDEA Project<br />
Craenen, K., Ortiz, R., Karamura, E.B. and Vuylsteke, D.R. (2000) Proceedings of <strong>the</strong><br />
First International Conference on <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa. International<br />
Society <strong>for</strong> Horticultural Science<br />
Dijkstra, T. (2001) Export Diversification in Uganda: Developments in Non-<br />
Traditional Agricultural Exports, African Studies Centre, Working Paper 47<br />
Embrechts, J., Bananuka, J.A., Couvreur, Y., Bagamba, F and Lallemand, D. (1996)<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> Sub-Sector Review. Service Contract NoSC/26/96 Final Report, Republic of<br />
Uganda / European Union.<br />
Gold, C.S. and Gemmill, B. (1991) Biological and Integrated Control of Highland<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain Pests and Disease. Proceedings of a Research Coordination<br />
Meeting. International Institute of Tropical Agriculture.<br />
Gold, C.S., Karamura, E.B., Kiggundu, A., Bagamba, F., and Abera, A.M.K.<br />
Monograph on geographic shifts in highland cooking banana (Musa, group AAA-EA)<br />
production in Uganda. African Crop Science Journal September 1999 vol. 7 No. 3<br />
Gold, C.S., Kiggundu, A., Abera, A.M.K., and Karamura, D. (2002) Selection Criteria<br />
of Musa Cultivars through a Farmer Participatory Appraisal Survey in Uganda.<br />
Experimental Agriculture: 38 Cambridge University Press.<br />
Gold, C.S., Kiggundu, A., Abera, A.M.K., and Karamura, D. (2002) Diversity,<br />
Distribution and Farmer Preference of Musa Cultivars in Uganda. Experimental<br />
Agriculture: 38 Cambridge University Press.<br />
Holtzman, J.S. et al. Using Rapid Appraisal to Examine Course Grain Processing and<br />
Utilisation in Mali. From Scott, G.J. (1995), Prices Products and People Analysing<br />
Agricultural Markets in Developing Countries. Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc.<br />
Kangire, A. Karamura, E.B. Gold, C.S. Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M.A. (1996) Fusarium wilt of<br />
banana in Uganda, with special emphasis on wilt-like symptoms observed on East<br />
African highland cooking cultivars. From: Proceedings of <strong>the</strong> first international<br />
conference on banana and plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa - Craenen, K. (ed.); Ortiz, R. (ed.);<br />
Karamura, E.B. (ed.); Vuylsteke, D. (ed.) First International Conference on <strong>Banana</strong><br />
and Plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa, Kampala (UGA), International Society <strong>for</strong> Horticultural<br />
Science, Leuven (BEL)<br />
Kangire, A. Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M. (2001) Wilt-like disorders of <strong>Banana</strong>s in Uganda. Musa<br />
Disease Fact sheet No 10. INIBAP France<br />
54
Makerere University <strong>Banana</strong> – Based Cropping Systems Research Project No Ref<br />
91056 (1994) Final Report Phase II<br />
Mugisha, J. (1994) Evaluation of <strong>the</strong> Cooking <strong>Banana</strong> <strong>Marketing</strong> Structure in Uganda.<br />
Thesis <strong>for</strong> Masters Degree of Science in Agricultural Economics of Makerere<br />
University<br />
Robbins, P. Ferris, R.S.B. (2002) The Impact of Globalisation on <strong>the</strong> Agricultural<br />
Sectors of East and Central African Countries. FoodNet IITA.<br />
Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M.A. Kangire, A. (1998) Prospects <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> management of fusarium wilt<br />
of banana (Panama disease) in Africa. From: Mobilizing IPM <strong>for</strong> sustainable banana<br />
production in Africa: Proceedings of a workshop on banana IPM - Frison, E.A. (ed.);<br />
Gold, C.S. (ed.); Karamura, E.B. (ed.); Sikora, R.A. (ed.) Workshop on banana IPM,<br />
Nelspruit (ZAF), 1998 INIBAP, Montpellier (FRA) 1999<br />
Working Document. Diagnostic Survey on Key Constraints of <strong>Banana</strong> Production in<br />
Uganda. Preliminary data on Socio-economics, Soils and Agronomy, Pest, diseases<br />
and plant growth, Germplasm, Post harvest. (1994) Ugandan National <strong>Banana</strong><br />
R001.esearch Programme, IITA and NRI<br />
Zake, J.Y.K., Nkwiine, C., Sessanga, S.M., Kasenge, V and Bwamiki, D.P. (2000)<br />
Soil Research <strong>for</strong> Sustainable <strong>Banana</strong> Production in <strong>the</strong> Heavy Soils of Uganda.<br />
Faculty of Agriculture, Makerere University. Uganda.<br />
55
Appendix 1<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> Survey Checklist<br />
Topic Sub-Topics Questions / Comments<br />
Personal In<strong>for</strong>mation Name<br />
Physical Address<br />
Telephone<br />
Type of business Value addition<br />
Physical functions<br />
Experience<br />
Demand Quantity<br />
Type of buyer<br />
Seasonality<br />
Variety<br />
Consumer Preferences<br />
Price data<br />
Supply -Source by area<br />
-Source by type of<br />
person<br />
-Price<br />
-Quality<br />
For established firms try to get a business card, or<br />
mobile phone No. <strong>for</strong> purposes of future reference<br />
How does <strong>the</strong> respondent add value along <strong>the</strong> market<br />
chain? Does he change <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m of product<br />
(processor) or just move <strong>the</strong> product (transporter)<br />
or just store <strong>the</strong> product (wholesaler) or is he a<br />
retailer or consumer. Is <strong>the</strong>re any vertical<br />
integration?<br />
-Quantity sold normally e.g. Per day, week,<br />
-To whom do you sell?<br />
-Are <strong>the</strong>re changes in volume of sale over time?<br />
-Are <strong>the</strong>re different varieties?<br />
-If so what is <strong>the</strong>ir respective demand / preference<br />
-What is <strong>the</strong> price variation as per variety differences<br />
-Are <strong>the</strong>re changes in prices over time?<br />
-If so what are <strong>the</strong> reasons?<br />
-Do you find problems selling your products?<br />
-If so which ones?<br />
-Which are your supply areas (geographically)<br />
-From whom do you buy?<br />
-From where do you buy? (Meeting pt.)<br />
-At what price do you buy <strong>the</strong> variety?<br />
-Does <strong>the</strong> price change over time? If so why? &<br />
How?<br />
-Do you have problems getting products? If so which<br />
are <strong>the</strong>y?<br />
-What is <strong>the</strong> quality of products along <strong>the</strong> chain?<br />
Quality -Perishability<br />
-Post harvest issues -What is <strong>the</strong> shelf life of <strong>the</strong> products<br />
Storage -Quantity<br />
-How much do you usually store?<br />
-Time<br />
-For how long?<br />
-Storage problems -Do you have any storage problems?<br />
-Do you experience storage losses?<br />
Transaction costs -Forms<br />
-What are your transaction costs?<br />
-Proportions<br />
-What is <strong>the</strong>ir proportion?<br />
Grading & Sorting Grading incentive -Do you grade or sort?<br />
-Do better grades fetch higher prices?<br />
Market In<strong>for</strong>mation -Sources<br />
-Do you get market info? (e.g. on prices?)<br />
-Spatial arbitrage -If so from whom and how?<br />
-Is <strong>the</strong>re a relationship between prices in different<br />
areas at a given time<br />
Price Formation Market power -Who determines <strong>the</strong> price?<br />
-How is <strong>the</strong> price determined?<br />
-If firm / individual is a price taker, find out why?<br />
Institutional & legal Associations -Do you belong to an association?<br />
framework<br />
-Are <strong>the</strong>re any market regulations? If so which are<br />
<strong>the</strong>y and how do <strong>the</strong>y affect your business?<br />
Market Structure Competition No of sellers<br />
-Is <strong>the</strong>re price competition<br />
-Is <strong>the</strong>re non-price competition? If so how<br />
(interlocking markets)<br />
Credit availability Sources & Type -Are <strong>the</strong>re any credit institutions<br />
-Do you use <strong>the</strong>m?<br />
-What are <strong>the</strong>ir rates of interest?<br />
56
Appendix 2<br />
Market Chain Interviewees Contact Name<br />
Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile Angelo Ndyaguma, Nathan Production Manager<br />
Africa Organics / Amfri Farm Amin Ahivji (MD) / Moses Kigundo (Prod Manager)<br />
Sun-Trade and Consulting Int (U) Ltd Mr Fritz Plattner<br />
TEFU (Tropical Ecological Foods Uganda) Sam Nyanze is chairperson<br />
Icemark Africa Ltd Kristjan Erlingsson<br />
Ugandan Breweries George Farmu (Distilleries Manager)<br />
Owino Market Mr Kayiira (Market master), various traders<br />
Kalerwi Market Jakob Kwakonye, various traders<br />
Nakawa Market Various traders<br />
Luwero Two producers, two traders<br />
Kyazanga One producer<br />
Masaka Beer producer and farmer<br />
Mbizzinnya road side market<br />
Roasting banana traders<br />
Rubaare Collection Center<br />
Various traders<br />
Ruti<br />
Bicycle Traders and Broker<br />
Kampala Waragi and Tonto Markets Various traders<br />
Institutions / Organisations Contacted<br />
ADC IDEA Project Steve New, Harriet Nsubuga, Fred Ssango<br />
FIT Uganda Mark Blackett<br />
IITA Dr CS Gold<br />
INIBAP Guy Bloome<br />
Kulika Charitable Trust Alistar Taylor<br />
Makerere University Dr J Mugisha<br />
Makerere University Dr Serie Maranga<br />
Makerere University JW Muwanga<br />
Makerere University Prof PR Rubaihayo<br />
NARO Tushemereirwe W.K.<br />
NARO Coordinator of On-Farm <strong>Banana</strong> Research Ngambeki Dezi<br />
57
Appendix Three<br />
Volumes Exported Uganda<br />
Matooke Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Total<br />
Matooke<br />
Total<br />
Fresh<br />
Exports<br />
% Of Total<br />
Fresh Export<br />
Volume<br />
1997 26,188 33,663 41,002 31,126 18,225 27,197 41,258 55,655 49,960 45,978 44,847 36,129 451,228 1,174,850 38%<br />
1998 48,124 32,871 40,349 30,887 30,288 42,434 42,697 40,892 31,796 35,406 52,702 59,066 487,512 1,717,472 28%<br />
1999 52,019 53,577 48,904 32,217 43,434 58,188 67,830 60,853 58,131 68,390 58,926 62,090 664,559 2,424,217 27%<br />
2000 66,556 64,560 74,290 76,689 72,509 68,728 62,058 63,789 61,510 82,879 76,788 84,542 854,898 2,598,854 33%<br />
2001 59,731 48,344 51,652 74,663 73,413 59,535 84,377 84,621 75,328 73,291 73,050 71,060 829,065 2,311,243 36%<br />
Apple<br />
<strong>Banana</strong> Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Total<br />
Apple<br />
<strong>Banana</strong><br />
Total<br />
Fresh<br />
Exports<br />
% Of Total<br />
Fresh Export<br />
Volume<br />
1997 7984 6018 17441 11320 10463 17554 11493 11415 16859 14437 12286 6454 143,724 1,174,850 12%<br />
1998 12432 5484 6067 7772 11933 8986 11581 7180 12643 8564 8300 6067 107,009 1,717,472 6%<br />
1999 9769 9751 7270 5818 6046 8859 9502 8260 6222 7300 6677 5490 90,964 2,424,217 4%<br />
2000 5536 5064 3762 4614 7907 8712 8202 5424 5230 7047 6529 4662 72,689 2,598,854 3%<br />
2001 3648 3461 4254 6498 5528 6936 9881 11694 10439 10764 9187 6628 88,918 2,311,243 4%<br />
Source: Civil Aviation Figures supplied by IDEA project<br />
58
Appendix Four<br />
US$ / kg<br />
5<br />
4.5<br />
4<br />
3.5<br />
3<br />
2.5<br />
2<br />
1.5<br />
1<br />
0.5<br />
0<br />
Figure xx UK Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Prices<br />
M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />
2000 2001 2002<br />
Matooke Apple <strong>Banana</strong><br />
59
Appendix Five<br />
Volumes and Values of Waragi Market in Kampala<br />
Kampala<br />
Depot<br />
Estimated<br />
Litres Waragi /<br />
Week<br />
Total<br />
Annual<br />
Volume<br />
(Litres)<br />
Total Retail Annual<br />
Value (Ug Sh)<br />
Nankulabye 22,000 1,144,000 1,716,000,000<br />
Kisenyi 8,000 416,000 624,000,000<br />
Rubaga Road 2,000 104,000 156,000,000<br />
Kamwokya 4,000 208,000 312,000,000<br />
Ndeeba 2,000 104,000 156,000,000<br />
Kawempe 1,800 93,600 140,400,000<br />
Total 39,800 2,069,600 3,104,400,000<br />
Waragi Values calculated at an estimated retail value of Ug Sh 1,500 / litre<br />
Volumes and Values of Tonto Market in Kampala<br />
Estimated<br />
Litres Tonto /<br />
Total<br />
Annual<br />
Volume<br />
(Litres)<br />
Kampala<br />
Total Retail Annual<br />
Depot Week<br />
Value (Ug Sh)<br />
Kisenyi 20,000 1,040,000 572,000,000<br />
Ndeeba 1,600 83,200 45,760,000<br />
Kawempe 4,000 208,000 114,400,000<br />
Nakulabye 1,600 83,200 45,760,000<br />
Total 27,200 1,414,400 777,920,000<br />
Tonto Values calculated at an estimated retail value of Ug Sh 550 / litre<br />
60