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Evaluating the Marketing Opportunities for Banana & its Products in the Principle Banana Growing Countries of ASARECA (Uganda) J.S. Spilsbury J.N. Jagwe R.S.B. Ferris November, 2002

<strong>Evaluating</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marketing</strong> <strong>Opportunities</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> & <strong>its</strong> Products<br />

in <strong>the</strong> Principle <strong>Banana</strong> Growing Countries of ASARECA<br />

(Uganda)<br />

J.S. Spilsbury<br />

J.N. Jagwe<br />

R.S.B. Ferris<br />

November, 2002


Table of Contents<br />

Table of Contents 2<br />

List of Figures 3<br />

List of Tables 3<br />

Executive Summary 4<br />

1 INTRODUCTION 6<br />

2 METHODOLOGY 6<br />

3 SUB SECTOR ANALYSIS 6<br />

3.1 Rapid Overview Of The Economic Status Of The Countries 6<br />

3.2 Trade And Competitiveness: Recent Re<strong>for</strong>ms, Per<strong>for</strong>mance 7<br />

And Market Access<br />

3.3 Types Of <strong>Banana</strong> 7<br />

3.4 Production Zones 9<br />

3.5 Production Levels 11<br />

3.6 Importance Of The Sub-Sector To Earnings, Rural Livelihoods, 12<br />

Poverty Alleviation And Economic Growth<br />

3.7 Consumption 13<br />

3.8 Production Constraints 14<br />

3.8.1 Soil fertility 14<br />

3.8.2 Pests and Diseases 14<br />

3.9 <strong>Marketing</strong> Constraints 17<br />

4 DEMAND ANALYSIS 20<br />

4.1 Size of National Markets 20<br />

4.2 Size and Growth Rates of Regional Markets 22<br />

4.3 Size and Growth Rates of World Markets 24<br />

4.4 Market Price Trends 25<br />

4.5 Major Products 27<br />

4.6 Overview of Market Potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and <strong>Banana</strong> Based Products 29<br />

5 SUPPLY ANALYSIS 33<br />

5.1 Analyse of <strong>the</strong> supply chain 33<br />

5.2 Market Linkages 36<br />

5.3 Production costs 37<br />

5.4 Trading Costs and Margins in <strong>the</strong> Supply Chain 37<br />

6 MAJOR FINDINGS 41<br />

7 RECOMMENDATIONS 44<br />

In<strong>for</strong>mation Ga<strong>the</strong>red with Businesses involved in <strong>Banana</strong> Markets 50<br />

References 53<br />

Appendix 56<br />

2


List of Figures<br />

Figure One Production of Matooke by Region 10<br />

Figure Two Volume of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and 22<br />

Bogoya Exports to Kenya<br />

Figure Three Value of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and 22<br />

Bogoya Exports to Kenya<br />

Figure Four Fresh Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Export Volumes 24<br />

Figure Five Real Retail Prices <strong>for</strong> Selected Commodities (Kampala) 25<br />

Figure Six Grand Seasonal Index from Kampala Matooke Retail Prices 26<br />

Figure Seven The <strong>Banana</strong> Supply Chain 33<br />

List of Tables<br />

Table One Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Area Planted and Production Level 11<br />

Table Two Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Production (Tonnes) 12<br />

Table Three Crop Area, Plot Number and Size 12<br />

Table Four Percentage of Staple Food Consumption as a Percentage 13<br />

of Household Monthly Consumption<br />

Table Five Volume and Market Values For Three Main Kampala Markets 20<br />

Table Six Combined Present and Future Volumes <strong>for</strong> Three 21<br />

Main Kampala Markets<br />

Table Seven World Markets <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain 24<br />

Table Eight Approximate Kampala Prices of Local Waragi 27<br />

Table Nine Approximate Kampala Prices of Tonto 28<br />

Table Ten Correlation Coefficients <strong>for</strong> Matooke Prices in Selected Towns 36<br />

Table Eleven Gross Margins Under Hired and Family Labour <strong>for</strong> Matooke 37<br />

Table Twelve Trading Costs and Margins 38<br />

3


Executive Summary<br />

This report provides a review of banana production, processing and marketing in<br />

Uganda. The report specifically explores <strong>the</strong> current market status and investment<br />

options <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> sub-sector. Market coverage includes banana and banana-based<br />

products in local, regional and international markets. This Ugandan study represents<br />

one component of a regional initiative that includes Tanzania, Kenya, and Rwanda.<br />

The methodology employed by <strong>the</strong> study was based on a rapid assessment technique<br />

using primary and secondary data. Primary data has been obtained through interviews<br />

with producers, traders, retailers and exporters. Secondary data was acquired by<br />

literature review and <strong>the</strong> collection of available statistics.<br />

Major findings include evidence <strong>for</strong> continuing shifts in <strong>the</strong> location of matooke<br />

production. New areas are planted fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west of Uganda increasing<br />

transport distances to urban consumption centres. In established production areas<br />

planting is moving away from main roads increasing reliance on muram tracks that<br />

become difficult to use in <strong>the</strong> wet season. The main reason <strong>for</strong> production area shifts<br />

is declining soil fertility. Additional production constraints are weevils, nematodes<br />

and black sigatoka. Fusarium wilt is a major threat to sukali ndizi and bogoya (Gros<br />

Michel) production and hence a deterrent to investment in <strong>the</strong>se dessert bananas.<br />

Analysis of net and gross margins <strong>for</strong> supply chain participants reveals that brokers<br />

who organise transport from rural to urban areas can make attractive daily incomes.<br />

Price peaks <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> food staple matooke are found in April and December as demand<br />

increases with Easter and Christmas festivals. Farmers show little or no production<br />

response to <strong>the</strong>se predictable and significant price movements.<br />

Regional export opportunities appear <strong>for</strong> matooke in Rwanda and <strong>for</strong> dessert varieties<br />

to Kenya.<br />

International banana markets appear as increasingly competitive. Recent changes in<br />

European Union banana policy reducing preferential access are seen to fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

increase competition. Within this context market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas is<br />

seen in markets segments including organic or health focused fruit and ‘naturally’<br />

solar dried dessert bananas. Sales of matooke to Europe have almost doubled in <strong>the</strong><br />

past five years with potential seen <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r increase. However exports of fresh<br />

sukali ndizi to Europe have declined due to quality issues. European markets require<br />

sukali ndizi to have large unblemished fingers of uni<strong>for</strong>m ripening and size. If <strong>the</strong>se<br />

quality requirements can be achieved European market prices appear as attractive.<br />

Recommendations highlight <strong>the</strong> importance of addressing soil fertility issues to<br />

guarantee sustainable production systems. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research is suggested to better<br />

establish what changes in soil fertility status are occurring and to determine why<br />

farmers do not manage soils in a sustainable manner through recognised soil<br />

management practices.<br />

Continued research and support to extension in encouraging better pest and disease<br />

cultural control is suggested <strong>for</strong> weevils, nematodes and black sigatoka.<br />

4


To reduce excessive margins existing within <strong>the</strong> market chain <strong>the</strong> involvement of<br />

government is recommended to find ways of reducing in<strong>for</strong>mal collusion between<br />

brokers, which may lead to <strong>the</strong> restriction of new entrants into <strong>the</strong> broker role.<br />

Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential entrepreneurs is suggested,<br />

as is contact with micro finance providers to ensure potential new entrants can access<br />

credit. In urban markets ef<strong>for</strong>ts should be made to allow sufficient space <strong>for</strong> retailers.<br />

This is seen to be increasingly important as significant volume increases are expected<br />

with <strong>the</strong> increasing urbanisation of a growing population.<br />

Recommendations are made to maintain and improve roads and reduce <strong>the</strong>ft<br />

especially in rural areas.<br />

To increase farm incomes, improve consistency in monthly volumes and reduce<br />

consumer price peaks development of a production response to seasonal price<br />

variation is recommended. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research into <strong>the</strong> timing of planting new gardens,<br />

timing of de-suckering to control new growth and <strong>the</strong> use of appropriate irrigation<br />

systems to control water stress that stimulates fruiting is suggested.<br />

To support regional exports of matooke to Rwanda and dessert varieties to Kenya <strong>the</strong><br />

provision of regional market price in<strong>for</strong>mation using mediums currently giving<br />

Ugandan price in<strong>for</strong>mation is put <strong>for</strong>ward.<br />

Recommendations <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> involvement and lobbying of regional governments to<br />

reduce border barriers including tariffs with ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure quick and efficient<br />

boarder crossing are made.<br />

On international markets focus is given to health focused naturally dried dessert<br />

banana markets, exports of fresh organic sukali ndizi and <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r growth of<br />

matooke markets in Europe. Recommendations include better design of product<br />

packaging to compete in snack and sweet market outlets and improving <strong>the</strong><br />

appearance of naturally dried banana through better drying techniques with plant<br />

breeding <strong>for</strong> visual characteristics.<br />

To improve <strong>the</strong> quality of fresh sukali ndizi destined <strong>for</strong> international markets fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

research is recommended into <strong>the</strong> control of fruit ripening after harvest by exploring<br />

post harvest packaging and temperature control. This research should actively involve<br />

private sector exporters. In addition improvement of fruit handling through out <strong>the</strong><br />

supply chain is <strong>for</strong>warded by use of capacity building approaches with fruit handlers.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>r research is suggested to determine possibilities <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r expansion of<br />

matooke sales in European markets particularly into UK based West Indian and<br />

Belgium based Congolese ethnic markets.<br />

To benefit all Ugandan fresh fruit and vegetable exports it is suggested that <strong>the</strong> Civil<br />

Aviation Authority and relevant government representatives are encouraged to<br />

facilitate competition in <strong>the</strong> airfreight market and ensure efficient airport freight<br />

administration and handling. This report should be used as a lobby tool to emphasis<br />

<strong>the</strong> importance of Entebbe airport in <strong>the</strong> export of fresh fruit and vegetables.<br />

5


1 INTRODUCTION<br />

This report represents one output from a regional banana study that includes Tanzania,<br />

Kenya, and Rwanda. The purpose of <strong>the</strong> study is to provide a review of <strong>the</strong> current<br />

status and investment options <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> banana sub-sector. To achieve this <strong>the</strong> project<br />

reviewed market segments that include:<br />

(i) Fresh cooking bananas<br />

(ii) Dessert bananas<br />

(iii) Processed banana fruit products<br />

(iv) Non-food banana based products.<br />

The market coverage includes local, regional and overseas markets. An important<br />

element of <strong>the</strong> work is to examine <strong>the</strong> comparative and competitive advantages of<br />

specific products both spatially and in terms of economic gain based on investment.<br />

2 METHODOLOGY<br />

As with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r commodity studies in this series <strong>the</strong> methodology is based upon a<br />

rapid assessment technique developed by Holzman (1995). Due to it’s rapid nature <strong>the</strong><br />

review is illustrative as opposed to rigorous. It uses both secondary and primary data<br />

to determine <strong>the</strong> market prospects <strong>for</strong> bananas and banana products. Primary data has<br />

been obtained through limited interviews using a structured in<strong>for</strong>mal questionnaire<br />

(see appendix one) with producers, traders, retailers and exporters (see appendix two).<br />

Secondary data was acquired through literature review and <strong>the</strong> collection of available<br />

statistics.<br />

The report begins with a broad overview of <strong>the</strong> economic situation of Uganda. It <strong>the</strong>n<br />

examines production zones, <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> sub-sector, principle production and<br />

marketing constraints, demand and supply side analysis and <strong>the</strong> medium and long<br />

term market outlooks across <strong>the</strong> sub-sector, <strong>for</strong> national, regional and export trade.<br />

Major findings are summarised with recommendations made in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m of suggested<br />

ways <strong>for</strong>ward.<br />

3 SUB SECTOR ANALYSIS<br />

3.1 Rapid Overview Of The Economic Status Of The Countries<br />

Uganda’s per capita GDP measured in constant prices has risen by an average of 3.2<br />

% per annum from 1990 to 2000 (Collinson et al 2000). The countries population of<br />

24 million people is growing at approximately 2.5% per annum. There<strong>for</strong>e it is<br />

suggested that food demand will continue to rise through both a population and<br />

income effect.<br />

Urbanisation is occurring with 16% of <strong>the</strong> population living in urban areas in 2000<br />

and <strong>for</strong>ecasts predicting this will rise to 22% by 2010 (Collinson et al 2000). An<br />

increasingly urban population will lead to higher volumes of bananas being<br />

transported from rural to urban areas. Requirements placed on road infrastructure and<br />

transport vehicles will rise as will <strong>the</strong> need to deal with banana related refuse in major<br />

cities.<br />

6


3.2 Trade And Competitiveness: Recent Re<strong>for</strong>ms, Per<strong>for</strong>mance And Market<br />

Access<br />

The main dessert banana exporters to world markets are <strong>the</strong> Caribbean, Central and<br />

South America countries that supply importers in North America and Europe. These<br />

exporters have a comparative advantage over East African producers due to<br />

production economies of scale and lower sea based transportation costs.<br />

Two of <strong>the</strong> main European consumers are <strong>the</strong> UK and Germany. The UK traditionally<br />

buys bananas from <strong>the</strong> Caribbean while German purchases from Central and South<br />

America.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> imports to <strong>the</strong> European Union are influenced by <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement,<br />

which replaced <strong>the</strong> Lome Convention in February 2000 after a lengthy dispute with<br />

<strong>the</strong> USA. The Cotonou agreement substantially altered Lome banana protocol<br />

arrangements, which had given preferential access to EU markets <strong>for</strong> Africa,<br />

Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) country bananas. Since <strong>the</strong> signing of <strong>the</strong> Cotonou<br />

agreement <strong>the</strong> EU has made special provisions <strong>for</strong> Least Developed Countries under<br />

an ‘Everything but Arms’ measure. This amends <strong>the</strong> EU General Scheme of<br />

Preferences to extend duty free access to all LDC imports. For bananas this will be<br />

phased in with a gradual reduction of import tariffs on fresh bananas to zero by<br />

cutting <strong>the</strong> tariff rate by 20% every year between 1 st January 2002 and 1 st January<br />

2006 (P. Robbins and S. Ferris 2002). Chiquta are currently looking <strong>for</strong> possible<br />

production sites in African Less Developed Countries from which to supply European<br />

Union markets.<br />

Potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Uganda to benefit as an LDC from tariff reductions <strong>for</strong> fresh<br />

bananas exports to <strong>the</strong> EU under <strong>the</strong> ‘Everything but Arms’ measure. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

removal of preferential access arrangements under <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement is seen to<br />

place pressure on some ACP countries to improve <strong>the</strong>ir competitive strength in<br />

bananas and find new market outlets. These pressures will be felt most by Caribbean<br />

countries whose economies rely heavily on banana exports to Europe. International<br />

markets <strong>for</strong> banana products such as flours, fibres and essences could <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e<br />

become increasingly competitive.<br />

The past disputes over Lome and bananas is seen to relate to protection of <strong>for</strong>mer<br />

traditional colony based supplies and European attitudes to genetically modified<br />

foodstuffs. European consumers are cautious with regard to <strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong>ir food is<br />

produced. This stems from a background of food scares, salmonella, botulism and<br />

most notably <strong>the</strong> BSE crisis.<br />

With reference to fresh fruit a number of trends in European consumer demand have<br />

been distinguished by (Abbenhuijs 2001). These include rising consumption trends<br />

<strong>for</strong> food perceived as being healthy, organic food and food produced in an<br />

environmentally conscious manner. These trends would appear to offer potential <strong>for</strong><br />

Ugandan banana producers who currently use largely organic methods of production.<br />

7


3.3 Types Of <strong>Banana</strong><br />

Rubaihayo (1993) classified four major types of bananas as cooking, brewing,<br />

roasting and dessert types. Production in Uganda is dominated by <strong>the</strong> East African<br />

Highland cooking banana (Gold et al 2002), which includes both cooking (‘matooke’)<br />

and brewing (‘mbidde’) types.<br />

Cooking <strong>Banana</strong>s (Matooke)<br />

The mature fru<strong>its</strong> are harvested when green. They are peeled, boiled or steamed and<br />

can be mashed be<strong>for</strong>e eating. This group constitutes <strong>the</strong> majority of <strong>the</strong> East African<br />

Highland <strong>Banana</strong>s (AAA-EA group).<br />

Brewing bananas (Mbidde)<br />

The fruit is harvested when mature, ripened and squeezed to produce juice that is<br />

fermented with sorghum to make beer. Beer bananas are found in <strong>the</strong> AAA, AB and<br />

ABB groups. Farmers plant brewing types where soil fertility has declined.<br />

Interviewees suggested <strong>the</strong> increasing numbers of brewing bananas particularly seen<br />

at roadsides are an indication of reductions in matooke yields.<br />

Roasting bananas<br />

These belong to <strong>the</strong> plantain (AAB) group. The fruit is harvested and ripened be<strong>for</strong>e<br />

roasting and eating.<br />

Sweet (Dessert) bananas<br />

These are eaten when ripe. Those commonly found are sukali ndizi (AB group, also<br />

known as <strong>the</strong> apple banana), gros michel (AAA group) and cavendish (AAA group).<br />

As Lynam (2001) points out <strong>the</strong> marketing of <strong>the</strong>se fruit (dessert) types is more<br />

exacting that cooking types because of increased importance of bruising to fruit<br />

quality during <strong>the</strong> ripening process.<br />

8


3.4 Production Zones<br />

Matooke production is primarily in <strong>the</strong> southwest of <strong>the</strong> country focused around<br />

Mbarara and Masaka as shown in <strong>the</strong> map below.<br />

Key<br />

Areas of Major Matooke Production<br />

Areas of Major Beer Production<br />

Areas of Major Dessert <strong>Banana</strong><br />

Significant quantities of <strong>the</strong> dessert types bogoya (Gros Michel) and apple banana<br />

(Sukali Ndizi) are produced in Mukono to <strong>the</strong> east of Kampala. Kibale on <strong>the</strong><br />

Congolese border is a notable producer of banana beer.<br />

Until <strong>the</strong> 1970’s matooke production was traditionally per<strong>for</strong>med in <strong>the</strong> central region<br />

of Uganda. Since that time production has shifted south and west due to a combination<br />

of:<br />

i. Declining soil fertility<br />

ii. Increase in pest and disease levels<br />

iii. Changes in migrational labour patterns<br />

iv. Increased competitiveness of growers in <strong>the</strong> west<br />

v. Cultural attitudes of central region farmers being against own family<br />

labour input<br />

9


South-western production areas tend to be at higher altitudes meaning lower incidence<br />

of <strong>the</strong> major pest and diseases namely weevil, black sigatoka and <strong>the</strong> most damaging<br />

nematode species. Soils around Mbarara are currently seen as being fertile.<br />

Market traders stated that south-western areas closer to Kampala, where matooke<br />

production has taken place <strong>for</strong> a longer period of time, are now suffering yield<br />

reduction. This perception is corroborated by traders in Owino market who sell<br />

matooke in two grades called ‘Masaka’ and ‘Mbarara’. These names refer to different<br />

sized banana fingers that are from <strong>the</strong> two different areas in <strong>the</strong> southwest. ‘Masaka’<br />

is a smaller banana from an area closer to Kampala where matooke production has<br />

been longer established. ‘Mbarara’ refers to a large finger and is from an area fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

from Kampala where matooke production is comparatively new.<br />

Ugandan National Household Survey statistics presented in figure one show matooke<br />

production to be focused in <strong>the</strong> west region of <strong>the</strong> country, which accounts <strong>for</strong> 61% of<br />

total matooke output. The Central region produces 1,687,000 tonnes or 30% of total<br />

matooke output. The survey also shows <strong>the</strong> Central region as producing <strong>the</strong> highest<br />

levels of ‘o<strong>the</strong>r’ banana types. This suggests <strong>the</strong> presence of beer types, verified by<br />

field observation, which are grown where soil fertility has declined and dessert<br />

varieties reported by traders as focused in Mukono district. <strong>Banana</strong> production is<br />

significantly less common in Eastern and Nor<strong>the</strong>rn regions where agro-climatic<br />

factors constrain production.<br />

Production ('000 tonnes)<br />

4000<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

1687<br />

360<br />

Figure One Production of Matooke by Region<br />

481<br />

18 14 15<br />

3363<br />

192<br />

Central Eastern Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Western<br />

Source UBOS Ugandan National Household Survey 1999/2000<br />

Matooke<br />

O<strong>the</strong>rs <strong>Banana</strong> Types<br />

Major routes <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> movement of bananas are show on <strong>the</strong> map below. Major trade<br />

flows destined <strong>for</strong> Kampala originate from <strong>the</strong> southwest. Significant movement is<br />

seen to consumption zones east of Kampala as far as <strong>the</strong> Kenyan border. Major<br />

Ugandan matooke exports cross into Rwanda with minor flows of roasting bananas<br />

reported entering from <strong>the</strong> Congo.<br />

10


3.5 Production Levels<br />

Ugandan production levels appear to be gradually increasing (see table one below).<br />

The statistics presented appear to suggest that over <strong>the</strong> past decade more land is being<br />

allocated to banana production, however this cannot be fully confirmed.<br />

Table One Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Area Planted and Production Level<br />

2001<br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 (estimate)<br />

(Projection)<br />

Area Planted ('000 Hectares) 1,524 1,538 1,553 1,570 1,598 1,622<br />

Production ('000 Tonnes) 9,144 9,303 9,318 8,949 9,428 9,732<br />

Source; UBOS Statistical Abstract June 2001<br />

National household survey figures (Table two) show how production is divided<br />

between banana types. Matooke is <strong>the</strong> main banana produced, followed by brewing<br />

and dessert bananas. This data also shows a significant decline in total production<br />

levels. The National Household Survey report attributes <strong>the</strong> fall over <strong>the</strong> past five<br />

years to drought and <strong>the</strong> ‘dynamics’ in <strong>the</strong> producer market.<br />

11


Table Two Ugandan <strong>Banana</strong> Production (Tonnes)<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> Type 1995/1996 1999/2000 % (1999/2000)<br />

Matooke 7,908,984 5,545,134 90%<br />

Brewing bananas 1,164,887 538,304 9%<br />

Sweet (Dessert) bananas 383,949 46,286 1%<br />

Total 9,457,820 6,129,724 100%<br />

Source: Ugandan National Household Survey 1999/2000<br />

3.6 Importance Of The Sub-Sector To Earnings, Rural Livelihoods, Poverty<br />

Alleviation And Economic Growth<br />

Most bananas are produced on small plots of


3.7 Consumption<br />

The East African Highland Cooking <strong>Banana</strong> is an important food staple in Uganda.<br />

The FAO estimated average per capita consumption at 207 kg/year in 1999. With a<br />

total population of twenty-two million people this suggests total consumption of<br />

4,554,000 tonnes. As no wastage of production has been found as part of this study,<br />

<strong>the</strong> above total consumption figure supports Ugandan annual production figures of<br />

five to six million tonnes as opposed to estimates of approximately ten million tonnes.<br />

Household survey data in Table four shows matooke as <strong>the</strong> main staple food in<br />

Kampala. It also displays <strong>the</strong> traditional high consumption zones in <strong>the</strong> western and<br />

central regions of <strong>the</strong> country.<br />

Table Four Percentage of Staple Food Consumption as a Percentage of Household<br />

Monthly Consumption<br />

Region Matooke Cassava Sweet<br />

Potato<br />

Maize Millet<br />

Western 17.95 4.84 8.4 4.31 5.35<br />

Central 8.69 5.56 4.83 4.7 0.54<br />

Eastern 5.57 7.58 6.04 5.87 5.15<br />

Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 0.57 8.93 4.27 4.77 8.32<br />

Kampala 6.55 1.91 2.15 2.46 0.35<br />

Uganda 8.67 6.22 5.64 4.79 3.7<br />

Source: Integrated household survey 1992-1993<br />

A report by <strong>the</strong> CTA (2001) suggests that per capita consumption in urban areas of<br />

354.4 – 493.5 kg/year has surpassed that of rural consumption levels. It should be<br />

noted that matooke is a high cost staple compared with cassava and sweet potato.<br />

13


3.8 Production Constraints<br />

3.8.1 Soil fertility<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>s remove large amounts of soil nutrients with <strong>the</strong> harvest of fruit bunches.<br />

Lack of nutrient replenishment can lead to a non-sustainable situation reducing yields<br />

and productive life. Studies exploring <strong>the</strong> shifts in Ugandan production found<br />

Magnesium as a key constraint with Nitrogen and Potassium deficient on most farms<br />

in central Uganda. Results and observations from fieldwork conducted as part of this<br />

study support existing concerns expressed by Gold et al <strong>for</strong> a lack of nutrient<br />

replenishment leading to a non-sustainable situation evolving in southwest Uganda.<br />

Given <strong>the</strong> important position of matooke in <strong>the</strong> diet of Ugandans, ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure<br />

sustainability and improve production methods have a high priority. To achieve<br />

sustainable production, areas of soil fertility and pest and disease should continue to<br />

be addressed.<br />

Interventions<br />

Existing evidence <strong>for</strong> continued declining in soil fertility caused by bananas is<br />

contested and appears, within <strong>the</strong> time frame of this study, as an unresolved issue.<br />

Priorities exist to establish what changes in soil fertility status are being caused by<br />

banana production and what production location shifts are continuing to occur.<br />

If soil fertility levels are continuing to decline a priority is to establish why and design<br />

appropriate responses. It is suggested this may include establishing why farmers do<br />

not manage soils in a sustainable manner through recognised practices of mulching,<br />

manuring, rotating cropping and improved livestock integration.<br />

Lack of re-investment in soils suggests farmers view future benef<strong>its</strong> from any<br />

investment as smaller than <strong>the</strong> current investment cost. Fur<strong>the</strong>r exploration is<br />

suggested of farmer’s current knowledge of soil management, incentives to farmers<br />

regarding reinvestment in bananas and farmer attitudes particularly towards risk and<br />

<strong>the</strong> future.<br />

Weevils<br />

3.8.2 Pests and Diseases<br />

Weevils are commonly seen as <strong>the</strong> most destructive pest of matooke and are<br />

considered <strong>the</strong> most economically important pest in East African Highland banana<br />

plantations. O<strong>the</strong>r banana types (Cavendish, Beer, Bogoya) appear less susceptible to<br />

weevil attack. Reduced levels of Magnesium and Potassium may have weakened<br />

resistance to banana weevil (Bosch et al 1995).<br />

Interventions<br />

Support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />

including:<br />

- Use of clean healthy planting material<br />

14


- Paring of corms at planting<br />

- Destruction of post-harvest residues<br />

- Trapping of adult weevils.<br />

- Good crop husbandry such as weeding, desuckering, pruning, manuring and<br />

mulching to produce vigorous plants.<br />

- Sward strips<br />

Nematodes<br />

Nematodes are an important banana production constraint worldwide. The pest is less<br />

easily recognised than <strong>the</strong> weevil, which is sometimes incorrectly blamed by farmers<br />

<strong>for</strong> nematode damage. This factor may lead to an underestimation of yield loss caused<br />

by nematodes.<br />

Interventions<br />

Support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />

including:<br />

- Crop rotation<br />

- Use of clean planting material (removal of roots and outer layer of <strong>the</strong> corm)<br />

- Soil amendments through weeding and manuring<br />

Continued research into and promotion of resistant cultivars. Development of<br />

nematode resistant banana cultivars is a priority objective of <strong>the</strong> Ugandan bananabreeding<br />

project.<br />

Black Sigatoka<br />

This air borne fungal disease was first reported in Uganda in 1989 when it made an<br />

economically important impact by causing incomplete fruit filling. Black sigatoka is<br />

considered a key constraint to banana production worldwide and is sensitive to<br />

altitude and temperature. Diagnostic survey results show black sigatoka to be absent<br />

at elevations above 1450 m .asl and where mean minimum temperatures exceeded 15<br />

Ο C (Tushemereirwe et al 1993 and 1996 from CTA).<br />

Interventions<br />

Continued development of resistant cultivars. (Resistant highland bananas are being<br />

developed. Resistant hybrids developed from exotic banana do exist with ongoing<br />

work suggesting some of <strong>the</strong>se are acceptable to consumers (CTA 2001)).<br />

Support to extension services encouraging good crop husbandry that is seen to lead to<br />

a more vigorous plant better able to outgrow attack.<br />

Fusarium wilt (Panama disease)<br />

In Uganda Fusarium wilt is prevalent on introduced banana cultivars that are used<br />

primarily as dessert bananas (bogoya, sukila ndizi) and <strong>for</strong> brewing, e.g. kayanja<br />

(Kangire and Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d). To avoid this disease, large plantation owners in South and<br />

Central America replaced bogoya (Gros Michel) with resistant Cavendish varieties.<br />

15


Symptoms similar to those of Fusarium wilt have also been observed on endemic<br />

AAA highland banana cultivars, which have previously been considered to be<br />

resistant to <strong>the</strong> disease (Kangire et al). Wilt of highland cultivars was only observed<br />

in western Uganda at altitudes greater than 1300 meters above sea level and mainly<br />

within 30 meters of homesteads, animal kraals and garbage dumps (Kangire et al).<br />

Interventions<br />

Development of host plant resistance<br />

Cultural approaches, including sanitary practices and <strong>the</strong> use of pathogen-free<br />

planting material, may reduce losses and should be used in support of host resistance<br />

wherever possible.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>r development and widespread implementation of appropriate management<br />

strategies.<br />

Note on Chemical Control of <strong>Banana</strong> Pest and Disease<br />

Interventions relating to inorganic inputs have not been included in <strong>the</strong> suggested<br />

interventions. This is due to <strong>the</strong> following considerations:<br />

- <strong>Banana</strong> production in Uganda is largely organic with export opportunities seen to<br />

exist in this market niche.<br />

- Availability of chemicals is limited in many rural areas<br />

- Chemicals are largely unaf<strong>for</strong>dable to small-scale producers<br />

- Farmers in Tanzania (Kagera) are reported as not being willing to apply inorganic<br />

inputs due to previous bad experiences when inappropriate chemical input<br />

destroyed crops (Blomme G, personal comment).<br />

- With <strong>the</strong> shift in production zones in Uganda to higher altitude fertile soils, less<br />

susceptible to pests and diseases <strong>the</strong> use of inorganic inputs is questioned.<br />

16


3.9 <strong>Marketing</strong> Constraints<br />

Bulkiness<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>s have a relatively low value compared to <strong>the</strong>ir volume/weight which<br />

influences transportation cost making commodities with higher value but lower<br />

volume and/or weight more attractive.<br />

Perishability<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>s are a perishable crop with limited time between harvest and <strong>the</strong> onset of<br />

deterioration.<br />

The constraints of perishability and bulkiness have led to ef<strong>for</strong>ts to reduce bulk and<br />

improve storage through drying and alcohol production.<br />

Poor Infrastructure<br />

Those involved in transporting bananas highlighted feeder roads as areas <strong>for</strong> attention<br />

as <strong>the</strong>y become impassable in times of rain. The declining yields of plots close to<br />

main roads and planting of new areas with poorer transport access will increase <strong>the</strong><br />

importance of feeder roads.<br />

Embrecht et al (1996) ranked poor infrastructure as <strong>the</strong> number one constraint limiting<br />

market development in <strong>the</strong> majority of rural areas in Uganda. Uganda currently has<br />

some main roads in relatively good condition leading to <strong>the</strong> southwest and central<br />

regions. Any fur<strong>the</strong>r movement of production areas fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west will<br />

increase importance of main roads.<br />

Previous commodity studies in this series and <strong>the</strong> recent Transaction Cost Analysis<br />

Report (2002 NRI, IITA) have called <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> appraisal of, and investment in, feeder<br />

and trunk road, which this study supports.<br />

Security<br />

Traders and Brokers entering rural areas are recognised targets <strong>for</strong> thieves as <strong>the</strong>y<br />

carry large amounts of money. A regularly mentioned deterrent to traders is risk of<br />

thuggery.<br />

Legal requirements<br />

Traders, wholesalers and retailers of bananas and banana products require:<br />

- Trading license from <strong>the</strong> city authority (K.C.C.).<br />

- Permit from <strong>the</strong> area local council from where <strong>the</strong> bananas, waragi or tonto (beer)<br />

is purchased.<br />

17


Access to Credit<br />

The initial capital required to enter many of <strong>the</strong> trading roles in <strong>the</strong> supply chain<br />

represents a barrier to entry to those with insufficient funds to make initial<br />

investments.<br />

In additions to <strong>the</strong> above constraints of bulk, perishability, poor infrastructure and<br />

security <strong>the</strong> following constraints apply to exports.<br />

Air Freight Cost to European Markets<br />

Airfreight charges from Entebbe to London are currently US$ 1.50 to 1.70 / kg<br />

making Ugandan bananas uncompetitive with Caribbean countries who have better<br />

access to <strong>the</strong> sea ports as a cheaper means of transport. Mombassa to Felixstowe sea<br />

freight costs approximately $0.40 / kg. Research by Merck and Icemark – Africa Ltd<br />

suggest transport by sea from Kamala to Felixstowe takes approximately thirty-five<br />

days. Icemark – Africa Ltd consider this time period as too long to allow sale in<br />

Europe be<strong>for</strong>e fruit deterioration begins.<br />

Continuity of Supply (Market Organisation)<br />

For export produce targeting retail or supermarket outlets via air freight <strong>the</strong>re is a need<br />

<strong>for</strong> a regular and reliable flow of produce to meet defined buyer and air carriers’<br />

timetable requirements. A need exists <strong>for</strong> producers to plan ahead to ensure <strong>the</strong>y<br />

supply what <strong>the</strong> market wants in terms of quality and quantity when it is required.<br />

For small-scale producers to meet <strong>the</strong>se market requirements marketing group / cooperative<br />

<strong>for</strong>mation is one way of combining and coordinating selling of required<br />

volumes. Farmers involved in this planned coordinated marketing will require<br />

appropriate capacities that some key in<strong>for</strong>mants felt were currently absent. Cooperative<br />

marketing arrangements have had a poor past record as incentives exist <strong>for</strong><br />

individuals to sell independently especially at times of high prices.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r alternative would be exporters developing contractual arrangements with<br />

large farmers. These people are seen to possess <strong>the</strong> resources necessary to produce<br />

sufficient volumes, <strong>the</strong> management skills <strong>for</strong> contractual negotiation and production<br />

planning and have incentives to maintain long-term contractual relationships.<br />

Certification <strong>for</strong> Organic Produce<br />

To sell organic produce in Europe a certificate of au<strong>the</strong>ntication is required. This has<br />

a high cost ($US 5,000 per farm) and is controlled by European institutions. The<br />

process of attaining a certificate can take from one to five years. The National<br />

Organic Agricultural Movement of Uganda (NOGAMU) is currently active in<br />

drawing up a Ugandan national standard with local group accreditation to reduce<br />

certification costs.<br />

A number of exporters currently cover or subsidize farmer’s organic certification<br />

costs. Depending of which European institution is involved; inspectors may have to<br />

visit every farm so costs rise with <strong>the</strong> number of farmers.<br />

18


Specific Constraints of Sukali Ndizi Exports to Europe<br />

Exports to Europe of sukali ndizi are currently seen to face three main barriers related<br />

to inconsistent and poor quality fruit supplied to wholesale markets. These are:<br />

1. Difficulty in controlling and predicting <strong>the</strong> ripening of sukali ndizi<br />

2. Rough and untrained handling from growers and transporters damaging fru<strong>its</strong> that<br />

are very susceptible to blemish<br />

3. Current Ugandan varieties having <strong>the</strong> characteristic of <strong>for</strong>ming unattractive skin<br />

blotches as opposed to giving a speckled appearance on ripening<br />

Investment in research into ripening control and plant breeding <strong>for</strong> skin colouration<br />

characteristic could overcome two of <strong>the</strong>se barriers. Increased farmer / transporter<br />

training in handling requirements should assist <strong>the</strong>se people to receive higher prices<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir products.<br />

One possible answer to <strong>the</strong> above hurdles is slicing and drying. This opportunity is<br />

discussed in section 4.6.<br />

19


4 DEMAND ANALYSIS<br />

4.1 Size of National Markets<br />

The three main markets <strong>for</strong> bananas were visited in Kampala. Volumes of <strong>the</strong> three<br />

main banana types traded in <strong>the</strong>se markets are shown below in table five. Prices and<br />

daily volumes are averages that vary according to season.<br />

Table Five Volume and Market Values For Three Main Kampala Markets<br />

Kalerwe Market (Approx number of bunches / day)<br />

Locations at Market<br />

In Fresh Items<br />

Section (Within<br />

Market)<br />

Total Daily<br />

Volume<br />

(bunches)<br />

Total<br />

Annual<br />

Volume<br />

(Tonnes)*<br />

Total Annual<br />

Retail Value<br />

US<br />

Dollars<br />

^^<br />

At<br />

Roadside At Entrance<br />

(Ug Sh)**<br />

Matooke 1,200 800 1,800 3,800 34,675 6,241,500,000 3,467,500<br />

Bogoya 20 20 50 90 821 344,925,000 191,625<br />

S Ndizi 150 150 200 500 2,281 730,000,000 405,556<br />

Total 1,370 970 2,050 4,390 37,778 7,316,425,000 4,064,681<br />

Nakawa Market<br />

Total Annual<br />

Volume<br />

(Tonnes)*<br />

Total Annual<br />

Retail Value<br />

(Ug Sh)**<br />

Total Daily<br />

US<br />

Volume<br />

Dollars^^<br />

Bunches 1500 13,688 2,463,750,000 1,368,750<br />

Matooke Sacks^ 35 1,278 127,750,000 70,972<br />

Bogoya Bunches 385 3,513 1,475,512,500 819,729<br />

S Ndizi Bunches 430 1,962 627,800,000 348,778<br />

Total 20,440 4,694,812,500 2,608,229<br />

Owino / Balikuddembe Market<br />

Locations at Market<br />

Total<br />

Annual Total Annual<br />

Volume Retail Value<br />

(Tonnes)* (Ug Sh)**<br />

Fresh Commodity<br />

yard<br />

Kafumbe Road<br />

spot<br />

Total Daily<br />

Volume<br />

US<br />

Dollars^^<br />

Bunches 1,000 650 1,650 15,056 2,710,125,000 1,505,625<br />

Matooke Sacks^ 250 40 290 10,585 1,058,500,000 588,056<br />

Bogoya Bunches 145 145 1,323 555,712,500 308,729<br />

S Ndizi Bunches 250 250 1,141 365,000,000 202,778<br />

Total 1,645 690 2,335 28,105 4,689,337,500 2,605,188<br />

* Annual volume in tonnes is calculated at:<br />

Matooke and Bogoya: 40 x 25kg bunches equals one tonne<br />

Ndizi: 80 x 12.5 kg bunches equals one tonne<br />

** Values are retail, calculated at Matooke 4500/bunch, Ndizi 4000/bunch, Bogoya 10500/bunch<br />

^ One sack of Matooke equals approximately 100kg with a value of Ug Sh 10,000<br />

^^ US $1 = Ug Sh 1800<br />

20


In Nakawa market major delivery days <strong>for</strong> bogoya and sukali ndizi are Saturdays,<br />

Mondays and Wednesdays. Main sources of supply to this market <strong>for</strong> dessert banana<br />

are Mbarara and Kyagwe (Mukono).<br />

Table Six Combined Present and Future Volumes <strong>for</strong> Three Main Kampala Markets<br />

Total Number of Total Weight Total Number of Total Weight<br />

Bunches 2002 2002 (Tonnes) Bunches 2010 2010 (Tonnes)<br />

Matooke 75,282 1,882 99,247 2,481<br />

Bogoya 5,657 141 7,458 186<br />

S Ndizi 5,384 67 7,098 89<br />

Total 86,323 2,091 113,803 2,756<br />

Combined volume figures <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> three markets are given in table six. It is suggested<br />

that <strong>the</strong> three markets represent approximately twenty percent of total Kampala<br />

consumption.<br />

Predicted annual volume figure calculations <strong>for</strong> market turnovers in 2010 are based on<br />

2002 volumes, annual population growth of three percent and an increase in<br />

urbanisation from sixteen percent to twenty two percent of <strong>the</strong> population. These<br />

population dynamics are seen to raise market turnover that is closely related to<br />

consumption by 27,480 tonnes per annum. This represents a healthy rate of demand<br />

growth of thirty two percent over eight years.<br />

21


4.2 Size and Growth Rates of Regional Markets<br />

Kenya<br />

Data is ga<strong>the</strong>red by <strong>the</strong> USAID funded Agribusiness Development Centre (ADC)<br />

IDEA project at selected Ugandan border points <strong>for</strong> volumes and values of bananas.<br />

Kenyan figures are presented in two figures below. ADC data shows fluctuating trade<br />

with Rwanda with data not collected since mid 2001, a period of political tension<br />

between <strong>the</strong> two states. Results from <strong>the</strong> Rwandan component of this regional study<br />

suggest significant volumes of Ugandan matooke entering Rwanda. Minimal banana<br />

trade is seen with Tanzania. Key in<strong>for</strong>mants report small levels of Ugandan imports of<br />

roasting banana from Congo. Some observers view <strong>the</strong> Congo as a potential export<br />

market <strong>for</strong> Ugandan matooke if Congolese purchasing power increases. The tastes of<br />

Congolese Bantu related tribes favour matooke as a dietary staple.<br />

Tonnes<br />

Value Millions Ugandan Shillings<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Figure Two Volume of Ugandan Exports of Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and Bogoya<br />

to Kenya<br />

2000 2001 2002<br />

Figure Three Value of Ugandan Apple <strong>Banana</strong> and Bogoya Exports<br />

to Kenya<br />

Data Source: ADC IDEA Project<br />

Year<br />

Year<br />

2002<br />

22


Figures <strong>for</strong> Ugandan exports to Kenya, which include matooke, sukali ndizi and<br />

bogoya banana passing through Busia, Lwakhakha and Malaba border points show a<br />

fall in total export volumes of 27% from 9,000 tonnes in 1997 to 6,600 tonnes in<br />

2001. Disaggregated data shows sukali ndizi and bogoya types to <strong>for</strong>m over ninety<br />

five percent of <strong>the</strong>se exports.<br />

Interestingly, trends in available data (2000 to mid 2002 shown in figure two) suggest<br />

volumes of sukali ndizi and bogoya are flat with volumes increasing towards <strong>the</strong> end<br />

of <strong>the</strong> year. Trends in <strong>the</strong> total value of monthly trade appear to be rising (figure<br />

three). Exchange rate movements between <strong>the</strong> Kenyan and Ugandan Shilling between<br />

2000 and mid 2002 suggest a slight depreciation of <strong>the</strong> Ugandan Shilling making<br />

Ugandan exports more attractive. Figure two and three support ADC field staff<br />

observation of rising prices <strong>for</strong> bananas in Kenya. It should be noted that data sets<br />

include in<strong>for</strong>mal estimates of both quantities moving by minor trade routes and values<br />

of bananas. ADC data collectors suggested trade with Kenya in sukali ndizi and<br />

bogoya had improved. Uganda is seen as having few competitors in supplying<br />

bananas to western Kenya where <strong>the</strong> environment is unsuitable <strong>for</strong> production.<br />

The following taxes existed on Ugandan banana exports to Kenya at January 2000:<br />

3.5% Import duty<br />

2.75% Declaration <strong>for</strong>m payment<br />

1 Kenyan shilling per kilogram horticultural tax.<br />

Trade Point:- Ugandan dessert banana exports to Kenya appear to present a good<br />

long-term opportunity <strong>for</strong> Uganda. Ugandan dessert banana exports can be<br />

consolidated by improvements in product quality and in<strong>for</strong>mation flows. Fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

exploration of volumes and prices is suggested to increase <strong>the</strong> time span and quality of<br />

available data.<br />

Rwanda<br />

Data ga<strong>the</strong>red at Katuna border point <strong>for</strong> nine months from January to September<br />

1999 shows 2,433 tonnes of matooke exports crossing to Rwanda (ADC Idea Project).<br />

Trade Point:- According to findings from <strong>the</strong> Rwandan marketing survey in this<br />

series an approximate total of 12,500 tonnes of bananas crosses from Uganda into<br />

Rwanda annually. This mainly comprises matooke. The Rwandan banana market<br />

study suggests this export market as having potential <strong>for</strong> expansion.<br />

23


4.3 Size and Growth Rates of World Markets<br />

The world export market <strong>for</strong> bananas is increasingly competitive. FAO data presented<br />

in table seven shows an increase in volumes from 1995 to 2000 of seven percent<br />

while total market value has declined over <strong>the</strong> same period by eight percent.<br />

Table Seven World Markets <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain<br />

Year<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>s and Plantains 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

Exports - Qty (Mt) 13,674,981 14,237,533 14,878,530 14,338,569 14,479,990 14,654,317<br />

Exports - Val (1000$)<br />

Source FAO<br />

4,789,993 4,950,122 5,185,447 5,038,131 4,786,861 4,413,357<br />

In this increasingly competitive market ADC IDEA project figures suggest that<br />

Ugandan matooke volumes have risen. The main export market <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas<br />

in Spitalfield, London. In 2001 Uganda exported 832 tonnes of matooke from a level<br />

of 451 tonnes in 1997 (see appendix three). The value of 2001 matooke exports is<br />

approximately US $2,080,000 (at one tonne equals US $2,500) Sukali ndizi exports<br />

have not per<strong>for</strong>med so well with volumes shrinking from 144 tonnes in 1997 to 92<br />

tonnes in 2001 (Prices are discussed in section 4.4). The approximate annual value of<br />

this volume fall <strong>for</strong> sukali ndizi is US$ 156,000 (52 tonnes multiplied by US$ 3/kg).<br />

Kg<br />

90000<br />

80000<br />

70000<br />

60000<br />

50000<br />

40000<br />

30000<br />

20000<br />

10000<br />

0<br />

Figure Four Fresh Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Export Volumes<br />

JFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASOND<br />

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />

Source: Civil Aviation Figures supplied by IDEA project<br />

Matooke Apple <strong>Banana</strong><br />

The UK market <strong>for</strong> matooke is considered fixed, dependant upon <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

Ugandans living in <strong>the</strong> UK. However <strong>the</strong> export volume rises seen above question this<br />

hypo<strong>the</strong>sis. Suggested answers are increased consumption by expatriate Ugandans,<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r ethnic groups such as West Indians increasing matooke consumption and<br />

matooke increasingly being transported to o<strong>the</strong>r European countries. A small expatriate<br />

Congolese based market is suggested in Belgium. Although matooke exports are a<br />

small proportion of total Ugandan production, reduction of EU tariffs under <strong>the</strong><br />

‘Everything but Arms’ arrangement could assist fur<strong>the</strong>r sales growth.<br />

24


4.4 Market Price Trends<br />

Local Markets<br />

The following analysis of Kampala matooke prices follows methodologies used in <strong>the</strong><br />

FoodNet Cassava market study per<strong>for</strong>med in 2000. Details of <strong>the</strong>se methodologies<br />

can be found in Trotter (1992).<br />

Figure five below shows real retail food prices (adjusted <strong>for</strong> inflation) <strong>for</strong> matooke,<br />

and <strong>the</strong> two o<strong>the</strong>r frequently harvested crops of fresh cassava and sweet potatoes.<br />

Data is <strong>for</strong> Kampala between September 1989 and January 2000.<br />

Real matooke prices appear to slightly decline over <strong>the</strong> time period suggesting supply<br />

increasing faster than demand. Matooke prices exhibit less price variation compared<br />

to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two commodities. This suggests supply volumes have been more stable<br />

over <strong>the</strong> time period considered and not as subject to pest and disease attack or<br />

abnormal wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions as <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two crops.<br />

Price Ugandan Shillings<br />

500.00<br />

450.00<br />

400.00<br />

350.00<br />

300.00<br />

250.00<br />

200.00<br />

150.00<br />

100.00<br />

50.00<br />

0.00<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

Figure Five. Real Retail Prices <strong>for</strong> Selected Commodities (Kampala)<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

y = 0.6055x + 169.55<br />

y = -0.3824x + 245.15<br />

1998<br />

y = -0.285x + 214.6<br />

Matoke Sweet potatoes Cassava, fresh Linear (Cassava, fresh) Linear (Matoke) Linear (Sweet potatoes)<br />

Data Source: Ugandan Bureau of Statistics<br />

Seasonal retail price movements <strong>for</strong> matooke in Kampala are shown in figure xx<br />

below. The grand seasonal index (GSI) shows seasonal patterns that remain once<br />

random, cyclical and trend elements have been removed from price series. The GSI<br />

result shown below is again based on data from September 1989 to January 2000.<br />

1999<br />

25<br />

2000


Results show a twin peaked pattern with high prices in April and December and<br />

notably low prices experienced in June to September. Price movements are significant<br />

with index results showing a <strong>for</strong>ty percent rise (based on <strong>the</strong> mean price) between<br />

August and December. These results confirm responses from key in<strong>for</strong>mant<br />

interviews.<br />

This price pattern is due to two main reasons. Firstly, prices are highest at Christmas<br />

and Easter when consumers increase consumption. Matooke appears to be a preferred<br />

food as people who would normally consume cheaper alternatives are said to save<br />

money to eat matooke during <strong>the</strong>se festival periods. Secondly supply is highest from<br />

June to September, a period of normally dry wea<strong>the</strong>r that puts plants under water<br />

stress and stimulates bunch production. Some traders felt farmers exhibited some<br />

production response to price by withholding supply <strong>for</strong> relatively short periods<br />

leading up to Christmas. O<strong>the</strong>rwise farmers are not seen to take any action to attain<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher prices <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir production.<br />

Trade Point:- Potential exists to increase production to meet highest price periods.<br />

Additionally any processing of matooke could best be designed to take advantage of<br />

low cost price periods.<br />

GSI<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

Figure Six. Grand Seasonal Index from Kampala Matooke Retail<br />

Prices<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec<br />

Data Source: Ugandan Bureau of Statistics<br />

International Markets<br />

Prices <strong>for</strong> matooke over a two-year period to March 2002 in Spitalfield market,<br />

London appear as relatively stable throughout <strong>the</strong> year varying approximate between<br />

US$ 2.00 to US$ 2.70 per kilogram (see appendix four).<br />

Sukali ndizi prices fluctuate widely between US$ 0.50 and US$ 4.46 per kilogram<br />

over <strong>the</strong> same period and markets. Market reports suggest this is due to variable<br />

quality, which appears as a major constraint. Sukali ndizi marketing constraints are<br />

discussed in section 4.6.<br />

26


4.5 Major Products<br />

The only pronounced <strong>for</strong>m of banana processing is beverage production (Aked and<br />

Kyamuhangire, 1996 from CTA). These beverages are waragi a distilled spirit and<br />

tonto a banana beer. There are two types of waragi, a local banana based waragi<br />

called ‘Kasese’ and a factory processed waragi.<br />

Local Waragi “Kasese”<br />

Production areas <strong>for</strong> local waragi include Kibaalee Fort Portal, Kiboga, Mubende,<br />

Masaka, Mbarara, Mpigi and Kasese. Kampala is <strong>the</strong> centre of trade. Transport is by<br />

truck with Saturday, Monday and Sunday being <strong>the</strong> main delivery days. Jinja is a<br />

centre <strong>for</strong> distribution to Eastern Uganda. Trade extends to Gulu, Lira and Kitgum in<br />

<strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn region. Regional exports to Rwanda, D.R.Congo and Kenya are illegal<br />

but are seen to occur. Volumes of illegal exports are not known.<br />

Consumption is reportedly increasing especially in <strong>the</strong> heavily populated urban areas<br />

of Kampala including: Kamwokya, Rubaga Road, Ndeeba, Kisenyi, Kibuli,<br />

Namuwongo and Nsambya. It is estimated that approximately two million litres of<br />

local waragi are traded in Kampala with a retail value in <strong>the</strong> region of three billion<br />

shillings (US $1,744,000). Kampala trade depots, with approximate volumes and<br />

values of local waragi traded are shown in appendix five.<br />

Pricing differs according to <strong>the</strong> level of distillation. There are two main levels of<br />

distilling called ‘regular’ and a higher alcohol content version named ‘super’. Trade<br />

is done in twenty litre jerry cans. Approximate prices are shown below.<br />

Table Eight Approximate Kampala Prices of Local Waragi<br />

Off Lorry Wholesale Retail<br />

‘Regular’ 20 -22,000 25,000 27,000<br />

‘Super’ 27, 000-28,000 29, 000-30,000 32, 000<br />

Prices are <strong>for</strong> twenty litre jerry cans<br />

Factory processed Waragi<br />

Factory produced waragi can use banana based raw alcohol. Alternatives include<br />

sugar or molasses based material. Uganda Breweries is a significant producer of<br />

factory-produced waragi and currently use sugar based raw alcohol with added<br />

flavourings. This company used to use local banana based waragi in <strong>the</strong> production<br />

process, discontinuing this practice <strong>for</strong> cheaper sugar based alternatives.<br />

Tonto Locally brewed banana beer<br />

Tonto is made from <strong>the</strong> juice of beer bananas. Rural households in banana growing<br />

regions traditionally brew this beer, which may be consumed at home, during<br />

different traditional ceremonies or sold.<br />

Main production areas include Mityana, Kibaale, Wakiso, Luwero, Masaka, Fort<br />

Portal, Mpigi, Mbarara and Rakai. Millet is added during <strong>the</strong> brewing process. The<br />

brew is transported in twenty litre jerry cans on trucks of sale.<br />

27


There are various temporary depots in Kampala where retailers collect tonto. Main<br />

trading days are Monday, Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday.<br />

Estimated weekly trade volumes and values <strong>for</strong> Kampala markets are shown in<br />

appendix five. It is estimated that approximately 1.4 million litres of tonto are<br />

annually traded in Kampala with a retail value in <strong>the</strong> region of eight hundred million<br />

shillings (US $437,000).<br />

The major consumption areas in Kampala are <strong>the</strong> poorer more densely populated parts<br />

of <strong>the</strong> city namely Kasubi, Nsambya, Kibuli, Namuwongo, Rubaga. Road, Natete,<br />

Bunamwaya, Bwaayise, Makerere and Banda. Prices in Kampala are shown in table<br />

xx below. Rural prices are around Uh Sh 200 per litre.<br />

Table Nine Approximate Kampala Prices of Tonto<br />

Off Lorry Wholesale Retail<br />

‘1 st grade’ 6 - 7,000 9 - 10,000 12 - 13,000<br />

‘Regular’ 5,000 6 - 7,000 8 - 10, 000<br />

Prices are <strong>for</strong> twenty litre jerry cans<br />

One large bunch of beer bananas valued at Ug Sh 1,000 is capable of making 20 to 22<br />

liters of tonto. O<strong>the</strong>r raw materials used include water and sorghum. Twenty two litres<br />

of tonto requires approximately 1.2 kg of sorghum<br />

Tonto can be stored <strong>for</strong> approximately seven days be<strong>for</strong>e it becomes bitter. However,<br />

it can be distilled to waragi when past <strong>its</strong> shelve life.<br />

Because of <strong>its</strong> mode of preparation, tonto is largely considered to be an inferior drink.<br />

People are seen to switch to alternative <strong>for</strong>ms of alcohol as incomes rise. Rising<br />

average incomes in Uganda, assuming equitable income distribution, would suggest a<br />

decline in tonto consumption.<br />

Roasting <strong>Banana</strong><br />

According to <strong>the</strong> findings from <strong>the</strong> survey, it is estimated that 750 bunches of roasting<br />

bananas are sold retail through major roadside markets every week. If a bunch weighs<br />

25 kg, this means sales volumes of 18.75 tonnes per week or 975 tonnes per annum.<br />

The total demand <strong>for</strong> roasting banana countrywide could reach 1,500 – 1,700 Tons<br />

per annum, considering that some it doesn’t go through <strong>for</strong>mal markets.<br />

One bunch has <strong>for</strong>ty to fifty fingers that are bought by retailers at an off lorry price of<br />

Ug Sh.100 - 125 per finger. Following roasting on a charcoal fire <strong>the</strong> retail price is Ug<br />

Sh. 125 - 167 per finger. Using <strong>the</strong>se figures an approximate annual retail value <strong>for</strong><br />

this roadside market is Ug Sh 263,250,000 (US $ 150,000).<br />

28


4.6 Overview of Market Potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>Banana</strong> and <strong>Banana</strong> Based Products<br />

This section provides a summary of <strong>the</strong> market potential <strong>for</strong> banana and banana based<br />

products in a range of uses locally, regionally and internationally.<br />

Areas with Good Potential to Increase <strong>Banana</strong> Sales in <strong>the</strong> Near Future (


and fairtrade markets are suggested by Carlton et al as areas <strong>for</strong> technology,<br />

managerial and operational development.<br />

Rwandan Market <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />

The Rwandan banana market survey (Ferris et al 2002) suggests a growing market <strong>for</strong><br />

Ugandan matooke in Rwanda.<br />

West Kenyan Market <strong>for</strong> Bogoya (Gros Michel)<br />

Ugandan based survey results suggest rising prices and values particularly <strong>for</strong> bogoya<br />

exports to Western Kenya.<br />

Ugandan Market <strong>for</strong> Locally Brewed Waragi ‘Kasese’<br />

Traders involved in supply of local waragi felt demand was increasing. No official /<br />

reliable price or volume records were found as part of this study to confirm growth<br />

trends. Research investment in this area is seen as having negative social implications.<br />

Sectors Currently Viewed as having Moderate Potential <strong>for</strong> Growth in <strong>the</strong><br />

Foreseeable Future (>5 years)<br />

Local Market <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />

The local Ugandan market is viewed as stable with low levels of volume growth and<br />

constant to falling real prices providing no serious disturbance to production occurs.<br />

Urbanisation will increase demand with any income growth especially by poorer and<br />

middle-income families viewed as beneficial to matooke market prospects by making<br />

unexpressed demand effective.<br />

Pancakes (Kabalagala)<br />

A traditional food made from ripe bananas and cassava flour. Seen as an inferior good<br />

compared to wheat flour based cakes and biscu<strong>its</strong>. Similar market prospects to<br />

matooke, constant to moderate growth <strong>for</strong>eseen.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> paper<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> paper made from banana fibres. Large banana producing countries are seen to<br />

have a competitive advantage on international markets. Locally a relatively small<br />

market is seen selling to tourists, expatriates and wealthy Ugandans. Future growth in<br />

Ugandan incomes and tourism are seen to influence market potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se product<br />

types.<br />

Local Roasting Market<br />

Plantain (‘Gonja’) is roasted and sold at roadsides or in markets by small traders.<br />

Increase in traffic along major routes has potential to increase consumption of this<br />

type of banana.<br />

30


Sectors Currently Viewed as having Low Potential <strong>for</strong> Growth in <strong>the</strong> Foreseeable<br />

Future (>5 years)<br />

Juice<br />

Selected highland and exotic types can be ripened and squeezed <strong>for</strong> juice, which can<br />

be consumed fresh or fermented to local beer/wine. Short storage period lim<strong>its</strong> market<br />

to a local rural level.<br />

Tonto (beer)<br />

Viewed as an inferior good compared to bottled beers because of <strong>its</strong> mode of<br />

preparation. People are seen to switch to alternative <strong>for</strong>ms of alcohol as incomes rise.<br />

Rising average incomes in Uganda, assuming equitable income distribution, would<br />

suggest a decline in tonto consumption.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> flavourings / essences<br />

Bi-products from Uganda will have to compete on world markets against products<br />

from <strong>the</strong> large plantation countries. These countries are seen to have significant cost<br />

advantages<br />

Cosmetics i.e. use in Body shop products<br />

Large plantation countries are seen to have <strong>the</strong> advantage. To compete Uganda would<br />

have to make advantage of <strong>its</strong> largely organic production systems.<br />

Replacement flour in bakery products.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> flour is used experimentally as a potential partial replacement <strong>for</strong> more<br />

expensive flours in bread, cakes and biscu<strong>its</strong>. No evidence <strong>for</strong> commercial uptake has<br />

been discovered by <strong>the</strong> study in Uganda <strong>for</strong> this alternative.<br />

In local markets, cassava flour represents an alternative that is easier to grow on poor<br />

soils and requires minimum crop husbandry / management.<br />

On international markets large scale producers such as South and Central American<br />

countries are seen to have a competitive advantage in bi-product markets as <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

quantity of fresh banana rejects gives <strong>the</strong>m a negligible raw material cost <strong>for</strong> making<br />

flour.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> flour used as a constituent in baby/weaning foods<br />

Constituent banana flour is seen to have to meet significant health and hygiene<br />

requirements to be used in baby and weaning foods. Again cheaper raw material costs<br />

in from South and Central American countries are seen to have cost advantages on<br />

world markets.<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> pulp<br />

Research at Makerere University has taken place to produce a dried banana pulp<br />

(flour) that can be stored and later re-hydrated and eaten as a matooke substitute. In<br />

31


<strong>the</strong> past this was seen to have food security enhancing potential as a food reserve<br />

against famine. Since this research, Ugandan food production has risen, largely<br />

removing <strong>the</strong> threat of famine. Fresh matooke is preferred to <strong>the</strong> re-hydrated product<br />

by consumers.<br />

32


5 SUPPLY ANALYSIS<br />

5.1 Analyse of <strong>the</strong> supply chain<br />

Figure seven below shows a generalised picture of <strong>the</strong> major participants in <strong>the</strong><br />

banana supply chain. These participants are discussed individually below.<br />

Figure Seven. The <strong>Banana</strong> Supply Chain<br />

Exporter<br />

Export<br />

Market<br />

Farmers<br />

Farmer<br />

Wholesaler<br />

Bicycle<br />

Transporter<br />

Broker at Road<br />

Side Collection<br />

Centre<br />

Urban<br />

Retailer<br />

Urban Consumer<br />

Rural<br />

Retailer<br />

Key<br />

Major Flow<br />

Minor Flow<br />

Rural<br />

Consumer<br />

Many small scale producers exist who sell bunches of bananas to bicycle traders, if<br />

<strong>the</strong> farm is conveniently situated next to a road, sales can be made to passing vehicles<br />

including those of brokers or wholesalers. Price negotiation is usually per<strong>for</strong>med<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e <strong>the</strong> bunch is cut from <strong>the</strong> plant after which cash is paid and <strong>the</strong> bunch removed.<br />

Negotiation is based on finger and bunch size, banana type and variety. Farmers were<br />

aware of consumer preferences <strong>for</strong> different varieties of matooke such as Nakitembe<br />

and Kibuzi. The farmer is seen to have limited bargaining power as bunches cannot<br />

be retained <strong>for</strong> any significant period of time. Traders mentioned some producers<br />

holding back supply <strong>for</strong> two to four weeks at times of rising prices. A general picture<br />

was of producers having to sell bunches when ready to meet necessary household<br />

expenditure. Farmers were found to receive price in<strong>for</strong>mation from visiting collection<br />

centres, <strong>the</strong> radio or interaction with o<strong>the</strong>r traders.<br />

33


Bicycle Transporters<br />

Bicycle transporters buy from dispersed farmer plots and sell to brokers at collection<br />

centres or traders in towns. Many bicycle transporters supply each collection centre.<br />

Competition exists between <strong>the</strong>se people and barriers to entry appear low.<br />

Transporters have some control over price in negotiations with farmers especially if<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r traders do not visit that farm. However at <strong>the</strong> collection centre <strong>the</strong>y have less<br />

power as <strong>the</strong>y cannot store bananas or easily take <strong>the</strong>m elsewhere. Large bunches are<br />

preferred with one bicycle able to carry up to seven bunches depending on bunch size.<br />

Brokers<br />

A small number of brokers usually operate at collection centres in production zones<br />

where <strong>the</strong>y purchase sufficient bunches to fill rented trucks that are usually destined<br />

<strong>for</strong> Kampala. Typically trucks contain at least ninety percent matooke with bogoya<br />

and sukali ndizi filling <strong>the</strong> remaining space. Bunches purchased are graded according<br />

to size and type. Matooke bunches with small fingers have <strong>the</strong> fingers removed and<br />

put in sacks. These sacks allow more small bananas to be carried on trucks.<br />

Some brokers have repeated delivery schedules whereby regular numbers of bunches<br />

are delivered to different urban-based wholesalers at different locations usually in and<br />

around Kampala. In this case, <strong>the</strong> broker will rent <strong>the</strong> lorry and organise loading.<br />

Wholesalers can contact brokers to adjust amounts using phones or truck drivers to<br />

deliver messages.<br />

Brokers are in regular contact with farmers who visit collection centres, bicycle<br />

transporters, truck drivers and wholesalers. They are seen to have good price<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mation from urban centres, interaction with o<strong>the</strong>r traders and <strong>the</strong> radio. Mobile<br />

phones are seen to have improved broker to wholesaler contact.<br />

The small number of brokers and <strong>the</strong> market in<strong>for</strong>mation available to <strong>the</strong>m give<br />

brokers some ability to influence price. Barriers to entry <strong>for</strong> people wanting to enter<br />

this role include <strong>the</strong> capital required to rent and fill a truck. This is estimated at<br />

approximately Ug Sh 1.5 million (US $ 850) <strong>for</strong> a ten tonne truck capable of carrying<br />

six hundred bunches. A disincentive <strong>for</strong> brokers is that having to carry relatively large<br />

amounts of cash makes <strong>the</strong>m a target <strong>for</strong> thieves.<br />

In<strong>for</strong>mal collusion between brokers is seen to increase <strong>the</strong>ir market power allowing<br />

<strong>the</strong>m to maintain <strong>the</strong>ir high gross and net margins (see table xx). Collusion and<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal cartels between brokers can also restrict new entrants wishing to transport<br />

bananas.<br />

Wholesaler<br />

Kampala based wholesalers purchase bananas from broker lorries and sell bunches to<br />

urban retailers or directly to consumers. Wholesalers may engage in vertical<br />

integration by renting trucks to collect bananas from production areas to capture<br />

brokers margins. This occurs at times of high urban prices when wholesalers and<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r traders will transport bananas. These activities should be encouraged as a way to<br />

reduce broker margins, increasing prices to farmers and reducing final consumer<br />

price.<br />

34


Trucks usually arrive in Kampala in <strong>the</strong> early morning when unloading and<br />

distribution of bunches to retailers is per<strong>for</strong>med. Wholesalers may extend credit to<br />

retailers <strong>for</strong> a day allowing <strong>the</strong>m time <strong>for</strong> sale.<br />

A wide variation of between one to two hundred wholesalers can operate in a large<br />

Kampala market who trade around eighty bunches per day. Interviews suggested<br />

stronger competition between wholesalers than between brokers. No significant<br />

collusion occurs between different wholesalers to fix prices.<br />

Urban Retailer<br />

Relatively large numbers of specialised banana retailers sell at roadsides or within<br />

markets sites. They grade bananas by type, variety and size. For matooke large<br />

bunches with big fingers are generally sold to wealthier people who have <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />

transport. Small matooke fingers tend to be arranged in piles and sold in smaller<br />

quantities to people who use public transport. Bogoya and sukali ndizi are sold in<br />

hands, usually by separate specialised traders <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se banana types.<br />

Matooke retailers buy from wholesalers in <strong>the</strong> morning at a price largely determined<br />

by market levels of supply and demand. The final consumer price is negotiable.<br />

Consumer price will rise through <strong>the</strong> day if demand is strong or fall if few buyers are<br />

present in <strong>the</strong> market. Most consumer trade is done in <strong>the</strong> evening and matooke<br />

bunches are not usually stored overnight. Some market retailers were found to have<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir own associations, which are reported to be new in some cases (i.e. Luwero). No<br />

evidence of price collusion between retailers was found as part of <strong>the</strong> study. Some<br />

retailers access credit from micro finance institutions o<strong>the</strong>rs receive daily credit from<br />

wholesalers. Barriers to entry include a local council letter of approval, market<br />

authority registration and space in <strong>the</strong> market place.<br />

Exporters<br />

Regional exports to Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania or <strong>the</strong> Congo can be per<strong>for</strong>med by<br />

brokers, wholesalers or producers / bicycle transporters living close to borders.<br />

For European markets, it is estimated that ten to fifteen trading organisations arrange<br />

matooke and sukali ndizi exports. These organisations purchase in urban or rural<br />

markets or receive deliveries by farmers or traders to <strong>the</strong>ir premises. The exporters<br />

vary in <strong>the</strong>ir levels of sorting, grading and packaging of produce. For matooke <strong>the</strong><br />

variety Kibuzi is preferred by UK based consumers.<br />

Three main exporting organisations exist <strong>for</strong> organic bananas. One of <strong>the</strong>se exporters<br />

deals in fresh sukali ndizi and all three companies export solar dried sukali ndizi<br />

and/or bogoya. These bananas may be grown by <strong>the</strong> exporter or purchased from out<br />

growers who <strong>the</strong> exporter registers as organic producers. These exporters grade, pack<br />

and label produce which is flown to Europe.<br />

35


5.2 Market Linkages<br />

To measure market linkage, correlation coefficients are used to examine if price<br />

movements from different towns are consistent with one ano<strong>the</strong>r. Correlation coefficient<br />

values close to one indicate movements are similar, while those close to zero<br />

show no similarity in <strong>the</strong> direction of movement. Following conventional practice<br />

(from Collinson et al), coefficients of over 0.8 suggest high correlation, while<br />

coefficients between 0.6 and 0.8 are said to show moderate levels of correlation.<br />

Table ten gives correlation coefficients <strong>for</strong> towns in south-western and central Uganda<br />

where we would expect to see moderate and strong correlations between market<br />

prices. High correlation levels are shown in blue with moderate levels given in green.<br />

The majority of market co-efficients show moderate integration suggesting price<br />

movements and <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e supply and demand patterns are similar.<br />

Table Ten. Correlation Coefficients <strong>for</strong> Matooke Prices in Selected Towns<br />

KABALE KASESE LUWERO MASAKA MBARARA RAKAI<br />

KABALE 1.00<br />

KASESE 0.65 1.00<br />

LUWERO 0.61 0.70 1.00<br />

MASAKA 0.74 0.76 0.62 1.00<br />

MBARARA 0.62 0.76 0.82 0.55 1.00<br />

RAKAI 0.56 0.59 0.18 0.69 0.33 1.00<br />

Source: Calculations based on FoodNet price data Sept 1999 to April 2002<br />

The correlation co-efficient levels found suggest good in<strong>for</strong>mation flow between<br />

markets. Fieldwork per<strong>for</strong>med during this study shows brokers as having <strong>the</strong> best<br />

market in<strong>for</strong>mation due to interaction with and connection to most parts of <strong>the</strong> market<br />

chain. Mobile phones and text messaging have potential to improve in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

exchange between participants in <strong>the</strong> different markets, which has potential to fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

increase levels of market integration discussed above.<br />

Isolated farmers who do not visit markets possess <strong>the</strong> least up-to-date market<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mation. Bicycle traders visiting <strong>the</strong>se people are viewed as having an advantage<br />

in price negotiations.<br />

36


5.3 Production costs<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> production in Uganda is associated with a number of farming systems<br />

including, banana-coffee and banana-millet. Pure stands are not common among<br />

smallholders (CTA). To provide an indication of production costs, <strong>the</strong> following gross<br />

margin analysis uses figures collected by NARO / ADC in 1998 <strong>for</strong> Kisekka subcounty<br />

in Masaka district.<br />

Table Eleven. Gross Margins Under Hired and Family Labour <strong>for</strong> Matooke<br />

Under hired<br />

labour<br />

Under family<br />

labour<br />

Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha Ug Sh / Ha<br />

Total Revenue 1,370,000 1,370,000<br />

Costs<br />

Labour 479,300<br />

Animal manure 296,400 296,400<br />

Mulch 237,400 237,400<br />

TOTAL COSTS 1,013,100 533,800<br />

Gross margin 356,900 836,200<br />

Notes:<br />

Total revenue calculation is based on production of 27.4 tonnes per hectare sold at Ug Sh 50,000 per tonne<br />

Animal manure calculation is based on a cost of Ug Sh. 889,000 incurred once in three years.<br />

Mulch calculation is based on a cost of Ug Sh 712,200 incurred once in three years.<br />

Source: <strong>Banana</strong> Production Manual NARO / ADC IDEA project<br />

Figures used are illustrative as prices and volumes fluctuate. Fieldwork interviews<br />

suggest that <strong>the</strong> above gross margins may be understated as labour costs <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

limited number of farmers interviewed were approximately Ug Sh 200,000 per hectare<br />

per year. These farmers were also unlikely to pay <strong>for</strong> manure or mulch instead using<br />

on-farm waste. This suggests possible producer gross margins in excess of one million<br />

shillings per hectare. These margins would appear to be attractive to farmers with<br />

fieldwork and secondary data suggesting production as rising.<br />

5.4 Trading Costs and Margins in <strong>the</strong> Supply Chain<br />

The in<strong>for</strong>mation provided below in Table twelve is an indication of <strong>the</strong> costs and<br />

margins incurred by participants in <strong>the</strong> banana marketing chain, as found by a rapid<br />

survey per<strong>for</strong>med in May 2002. Costs and returns are <strong>for</strong> banana trading between<br />

south western Uganda (Mbarara and Masaka) and Kampala.<br />

37


Table Twelve. Trading Costs and Margins<br />

Farmer<br />

Selling price 750<br />

Bicycle Transporter<br />

Matooke Sukali Ndizi Bogoya<br />

Ug Sh / % Of selling<br />

Bunch price<br />

Ug Sh /<br />

Bunch<br />

% Of<br />

selling<br />

price<br />

Ug Sh /<br />

Bunch<br />

400 3250<br />

% Of<br />

selling<br />

price<br />

Purchase price 750<br />

400 3250<br />

Selling price 1500<br />

700 4000<br />

Gross margin 750 50% 300 43% 750 19%<br />

Costs<br />

Market Cost 100<br />

TOTAL COSTS 100<br />

100 100<br />

100 100<br />

Net margin 650 43% 200 29% 650 16%<br />

Broker<br />

Purchase price 1500<br />

700 4000<br />

Selling price 3000 2000 6000<br />

Gross margin 1500 50% 1300 65% 2000 33%<br />

Costs<br />

Market Costs at Collection Center 200 200 200<br />

Labour to Load Truck*<br />

33 33 33<br />

Truck rental** 667 667 667<br />

Damaged during Transport^^^ 0 70 400<br />

TOTAL COSTS<br />

900 970 1300<br />

Net margin 600 20% 330 17% 700 12%<br />

Wholesaler<br />

Purchase price 3000<br />

2000 6000<br />

Selling price<br />

3750 3000 7000<br />

Gross margin 750 20% 1000 33% 1000 14%<br />

Costs<br />

Market Tax at Kampala<br />

Labour to Unload Truck***<br />

TOTAL COSTS<br />

100 100 100<br />

50 50 50<br />

150 150 150<br />

Net margin^ 600 16% 850 28% 850 12%<br />

38


Urban Retailer<br />

Purchase price 3750<br />

3000 7000<br />

Selling price 4500 4000 10500<br />

Gross margin 750 17% 1000 25% 3500 33%<br />

Costs<br />

Market fee^^ 50<br />

Storage loss^^^<br />

0<br />

TOTAL COSTS 50<br />

50 50<br />

300 700<br />

350 750<br />

Net margin^ 700 16% 650 16% 2750 26%<br />

* Based on Ug Sh 20,000 total cost to load 600 bunches<br />

** Based on Ug Sh 400,000 total cost per truck carrying 600 bunches<br />

*** Based on Ug Sh 30,000 total cost to unload 600 bunches<br />

^ Be<strong>for</strong>e income tax and payment of trading licence<br />

^^ Based on Ug Sh 7000 pre month selling five bunches per day <strong>for</strong> twenty seven days<br />

^^^ 10% of purchase price <strong>for</strong> S. ndizi and bogoya<br />

Prices and costs shown above are mid point values based on supply chain participant<br />

responses.<br />

Bicycle transporters are reported to be able to carry up to eighteen bunches of<br />

matooke per day depending on season, distance and bunch size. This suggests daily<br />

net margins of Ug Sh 11,700 as achievable.<br />

Brokers can carry approximately 600 bunches per truck. If this is assumed as all<br />

matooke a net profit of Ug Sh 360,000 per load is possible. A broker may be able to<br />

organise more than one truck per day and if so can make attractive daily incomes.<br />

Wholesalers in Kampala (Kalerwe market) are said to deal in <strong>for</strong>ty-to-eighty bunches<br />

of matooke per day. These figures suggest net daily profit of between Ug Sh 24,000<br />

and Ug 48,000 as possible.<br />

Retailers of matooke bunches make approximately Ug Sh 700 per bunch. These are<br />

generally large bunches of large fingered bananas which command a price premium<br />

per bunch. Retailers sell small fingers in piles that weight 4.5 to 5 kg <strong>for</strong> Ug Sh 500.<br />

These are purchased from wholesalers in bags of 100 to 110 kg that cost around Ug<br />

Sh 8,000 per bag. Breakdown of <strong>the</strong> bunch and bagging is per<strong>for</strong>med at <strong>the</strong> collection<br />

centre in <strong>the</strong> production zone to reduce transport bulk. Sales of two to four bags per<br />

day suggest retailer daily net prof<strong>its</strong> of Ug Sh 4,000 to 8,000. Transport and storage<br />

losses <strong>for</strong> matooke are reported as minimal.<br />

Gross and net margins per bunch be<strong>for</strong>e storage loss <strong>for</strong> retailers of sukali ndizi and<br />

bogoya are expected to be greater than those of matooke as losses from ripening can<br />

be significant (fifty percent was quoted during interviews although a more<br />

conservative ten percent loss is allowed <strong>for</strong> in <strong>the</strong> above calculations). Lack of coordination<br />

by wholesalers was mentioned as a reason <strong>for</strong> oversupply and subsequent<br />

39


high rates of loss. Over ripe sukali ndizi can be sold to makers of pancakes. Recent<br />

en<strong>for</strong>cement of government regulations banning street vendors (hawkers) was said to<br />

have negatively influenced sales, as street vendors no longer buy from retailers <strong>for</strong><br />

this trade.<br />

Results from <strong>the</strong> analysis suggest that brokers can make attractive daily net profit<br />

margins, depending on volumes traded. Ensuring low barriers to entry into <strong>the</strong>se<br />

markets should ensure excessive margins are eroded through competition.<br />

Discouraging cartel type collusion between existing brokers and ensuring credit<br />

agencies can operate in <strong>the</strong>se markets to provide necessary working capital are ways<br />

of lowering barriers to new entrants. Encouraging farmers (or <strong>the</strong>ir family members)<br />

to per<strong>for</strong>m <strong>the</strong> bicycle transport role would help producers capture additional margins<br />

and give <strong>the</strong>m improved market in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />

40


6 MAJOR FINDINGS<br />

Local Markets<br />

1. Results suggest falling matooke yields in areas where production is well<br />

established (Masaka) with new areas being planted in <strong>the</strong> southwest fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

from urban centres (beyond Mbarara).<br />

– Production appears to be moving fur<strong>the</strong>r southward and westward away from<br />

Kampala due to declining soil fertility. Land next to main tarmac roads is<br />

increasingly planted with beer varieties that tolerate lower soil fertility levels.<br />

Matooke varieties are being planted fur<strong>the</strong>r from main roads increasing reliance<br />

on muram roads which are more susceptible to rain damage.<br />

– If soil fertility is continually eroded it has serious negative food security<br />

implications related to this staple crop.<br />

2. Daily incomes <strong>for</strong> brokers appear as attractive when compared to average<br />

Ugandan income levels.<br />

– Brokers renting ten tonne trucks holding six hundred bunches can make net prof<strong>its</strong><br />

in excess of Ug Sh 300,000 (US $ 168) per load.<br />

– In<strong>for</strong>mal collusion by brokers is suggested as a means of reducing competition<br />

from new entrants and ensuring margins.<br />

– Barriers to entry <strong>for</strong> supply chain participants include local council approval,<br />

market authority registration and sufficient space in <strong>the</strong> market place.<br />

– Brokers and traders carrying large sums of money are targets <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ft, particularly<br />

in rural areas.<br />

3. Farmers show little or no production response to predictable and significant<br />

annual price movements.<br />

– Significant annual price variation is seen to follow a cycle reaching a peak in<br />

December and lows in August.<br />

– Farmers do not time <strong>the</strong>ir production to meet <strong>the</strong>se predictable price spikes<br />

4. Fusarium wilt is a major deterrent to investment in sukali ndizi and bogoya<br />

(Gros Michel) production.<br />

– Sukali ndizi and bogoya are susceptible to Fusarium wilt that currently has no<br />

known cure and can devastate plantations.<br />

41


Regional Markets<br />

5. Ugandan regional export opportunities appear <strong>for</strong> matooke to Rwanda and<br />

dessert varieties to Kenya<br />

– Increasing potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Ugandan exports of matooke to Rwanda. Current<br />

volumes are estimated at twelve thousand tonnes per year.<br />

– Rising prices and falling volumes of bogoya and sukali ndizi exports to Kenya are<br />

found due to exchange rate changes?? Check exchange rates<br />

International Markets<br />

6. World banana markets appear as increasingly competitive. Recent changes<br />

in European Union banana policy reducing preferential access are seen to<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r increase competition.<br />

– International banana markets are found as having increasing volumes and<br />

decreasing total values.<br />

– Introduction of <strong>the</strong> Cotonou agreement will open new markets in <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Union <strong>for</strong> Latin American producers and increase pressure on large Caribbean<br />

producers to be more competitive. Increasing international competition is <strong>for</strong>eseen<br />

in banana alternative product markets including fibre craft products and processed<br />

goods.<br />

– Minimal potential is seen <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas in alternative food / industrial uses<br />

that compete on, or are influenced by, world markets.<br />

7. Market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan bananas is suggested in markets segments that<br />

include organic or health focused fruit and ‘naturally’ solar dried bananas.<br />

– The recent ‘Everything but Arms’ measure will reduce EU tariffs on fresh bananas<br />

to zero <strong>for</strong> Uganda by 2006.<br />

– European consumers are seen to favour food perceived as being healthy, organic<br />

food and food produced in an environmentally conscious manner. Ugandan<br />

banana production is currently largely organic.<br />

8. International market potential is suggested <strong>for</strong> ‘naturally’ dried sukali ndizi.<br />

– Exporters of dried sukali ndizi suggest most potential exists <strong>for</strong> organic solar dried<br />

produce.<br />

– Solar drying technology challenges exist <strong>for</strong> Uganda to dry increasingly large<br />

volumes consistently when wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions may not be favourable.<br />

42


9. Export volumes to Europe <strong>for</strong> fresh sukali ndizi have fallen due to supply of a<br />

poor quality product. UK importers require large unblemished fingers of<br />

uni<strong>for</strong>m ripening and size. If quality can be improved UK market prices<br />

appear as attractive.<br />

– UK prices <strong>for</strong> Ugandan sukali ndizi fluctuate widely between US$ 0.50 and US$<br />

4.46 per kilogram over a two-year period to March 2002. Market reports suggest<br />

this is due to variable quality.<br />

– Export volumes of sukali ndizi from Entebbe airport have fallen by thirty six<br />

percent from 1997 to 2001.<br />

– Quality issues include difficulty in controlling post harvest ripening, rough<br />

handling and current Ugandan varieties <strong>for</strong>ming unattractive skin blotches as<br />

opposed to developing a speckled appearance on ripening.<br />

10. Sales volumes of fresh matooke exported to <strong>the</strong> UK have almost doubled in<br />

<strong>the</strong> past five years<br />

– Matooke volumes into <strong>the</strong> UK have increased by eighty five percent to 832 tonnes<br />

from 1997 to 2001.<br />

– UK matooke prices have been stable over <strong>the</strong> last two years.<br />

– Future sales growth <strong>for</strong> matooke is suggested into UK West Indian and Belgium<br />

Congolese ethnic markets.<br />

43


7 RECOMMENDATIONS<br />

The first priority <strong>for</strong> Uganda is to ensure sustainable banana production systems and<br />

increase <strong>the</strong> efficiency of <strong>the</strong> banana marketing chain from rural production areas to<br />

urban consumption zones. A second priority is to capture regional market<br />

opportunities that currently appear in Rwanda and Kenya. Finally international market<br />

opportunities should be addressed. International ef<strong>for</strong>ts should be seen a part of<br />

general initiative to increase exports of fresh and dried fruit and vegetables<br />

particularly to Europe.<br />

Domestic Markets – Ensuring Sustainable Production and Increasing Market<br />

Efficiency<br />

1. Matooke Sustainable Production Systems<br />

Matooke is an important food security crop in Uganda. Population growth rates of<br />

three percent per annum suggest significant increases in future demand. Addressing<br />

soil fertility and pest and disease issues are essential to ensure sustainable long-term<br />

production.<br />

Interventions include:<br />

Soil fertility<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to:<br />

– Establish what changes in soil fertility status are being caused by banana<br />

production and what production location shifts are continuing to occur.<br />

– Establish why farmers do not manage soils in a sustainable manner through<br />

recognised practices of mulching, manuring, rotating cropping and improved<br />

livestock integration with design of appropriate responses.<br />

Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Providers<br />

How (i) Fur<strong>the</strong>r consultation with research and relevant stakeholders to access<br />

available soil fertility data.<br />

Depending on <strong>the</strong> quality of existing data:<br />

(ii) Establishment of sites to measure changes in soil fertility levels caused by<br />

matooke production.<br />

(iii) Participatory research with farmers to better understand <strong>the</strong>ir choice of<br />

soil management techniques with subsequent recommendations <strong>for</strong><br />

maintaining soil fertility levels.<br />

Pests and Diseases<br />

Weevils<br />

44


Continued support to extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural<br />

control including:<br />

- Use of clean healthy planting material<br />

- Paring of corms at planting<br />

- Destruction of post-harvest residues<br />

- Trapping of adult weevils.<br />

- Good crop husbandry such as weeding, desuckering, pruning, manuring and<br />

mulching to produce vigorous plants.<br />

Nematodes<br />

Continued support extension and delivery of in<strong>for</strong>mation to encourage cultural control<br />

including:<br />

- Crop rotation<br />

- Use of clean planting material (removal of roots and outer layer of <strong>the</strong> corm)<br />

- Soil amendments through weeding and manuring<br />

- Continued research into and promotion of resistant cultivars.<br />

Black Sigatoka<br />

- Continued development of resistant cultivars.<br />

- Support to extension services encouraging good crop husbandry that is seen to<br />

lead to a more vigorous plant better able to outgrow attack.<br />

Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Providers<br />

How Continuation and enhancement of existing initiatives<br />

2. Ensure and encourage competition through out <strong>the</strong> banana marketing<br />

chain<br />

Any restriction of competition is seen to allow existing traders to achieve excessive<br />

margins with resultant lower returns to farmers and higher consumer prices. To<br />

prevent excessive broker or trader margins existing in <strong>the</strong> medium and long term, new<br />

entrants should face minimal barriers to entry. These should include:<br />

(i) Ensure existing brokers and traders do not restrict competition through<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal cartels that prevent entry of potential competitors<br />

Who FoodNet, Government of Uganda<br />

How Use of this report as a lobbying tool to engage government in finding methods<br />

of facilitating competition especially at a broker / wholesale level.<br />

(ii) Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential new entrants and<br />

entrepreneurs<br />

Who FoodNet, Market Authorities, Government and Non Government Extension<br />

Providers<br />

45


How Provision of gross and net margin in<strong>for</strong>mation to potential new entrants to<br />

increase competition where excessive margins occur. Potential entrants to <strong>the</strong><br />

banana marketing chain are suggested as farmers, farmer groups, cooperatives<br />

and associations, existing wholesalers and truck operators.<br />

In<strong>for</strong>mation on banana margins could be part of an initiative covering a range<br />

of commodities. Delivery of <strong>the</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation should be through extension<br />

providers, regular posters / flyers placed in markets or use of radio broadcasts.<br />

(iii) Providing an enabling environment <strong>for</strong> micro finance organisations<br />

Who FoodNet, Credit Providers<br />

How Contact with micro finance providers and credit institutions to fur<strong>the</strong>r explore<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir role and ensure potential new entrants can access credit.<br />

(iv) Ensuring markets offer sufficient space <strong>for</strong> traders<br />

Who FoodNet, Market Authorities, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of<br />

Uganda<br />

How Fur<strong>the</strong>r contact with market authorities and government to discuss and plan<br />

accordingly <strong>for</strong> growing markets<br />

In addition, market site management should encourage trading within <strong>the</strong><br />

market ra<strong>the</strong>r than on roadsides. This would reduce traffic congestion caused<br />

by roadside unloading.<br />

(v) Ensuring legal / administrative requirements <strong>for</strong> trader do not unduly restrict<br />

new entrants. Examples are local council letters of approval and market<br />

authority registration<br />

Who FoodNet, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda and<br />

Market Authorities.<br />

How Fur<strong>the</strong>r contact with relevant government and market authorities aimed at<br />

minimising barriers of entry to new entrants.<br />

3. Infrastructure development: maintenance and improvement of road<br />

transport<br />

Appraisal and investment in feeder and main roads is necessary to reduce transport<br />

costs and ensure bananas can get to market especially in times of rain when <strong>the</strong>se<br />

roads become impassable. Declining yields of plots close to main roads and planting<br />

of new areas with poorer access is seen to increase <strong>the</strong> importance of feeder roads.<br />

Any fur<strong>the</strong>r movement of production areas fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> south and west will fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

increase <strong>the</strong> importance of main roads. These initiatives would also enhance<br />

marketing of o<strong>the</strong>r commodities as suggested in a recent market study using a<br />

transaction cost approach.<br />

Who FoodNet, relevant representatives from <strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda<br />

How Lobbying of government to maintain and improve road infrastructure<br />

46


4. Security<br />

Risk of thuggery acts as a deterrent <strong>for</strong> brokers, traders and transporters particularly in<br />

rural areas. Removal of this disincentive <strong>for</strong> trade should increase coverage and levels<br />

of trading activity.<br />

Who FoodNet, relevant donor / technical assistance, relevant representatives from<br />

<strong>the</strong> Government of Uganda, Communities, Police.<br />

How Relevant lobby groups should encourage local government, communities and<br />

police services to meet and find ways of reducing rural crime rates.<br />

5. Farmer Production Response to Annual Price Spikes<br />

Development of a farmer production response to predictable annual price variation is<br />

a way to increase farm incomes, improve consistency in annual market volumes and<br />

reduce consumer price peaks.<br />

Who National, Regional and International Research, Extension Services, Farmers,<br />

relevant NGO’s.<br />

How Participatory research with producers, research and extension into controlling<br />

<strong>the</strong> timing of sucker development and <strong>the</strong> timing of fruiting is suggested to<br />

enable farmers to produce <strong>for</strong> periods of high demand.<br />

Potential study areas include timing of planting new gardens, timing desuckering<br />

to control new growth and use of appropriate irrigation systems to<br />

control water stress that stimulates fruiting. Research should include a farmerbased<br />

cost benefit analysis to ensure interventions increase farmer<br />

profitability.<br />

Regional Market <strong>Opportunities</strong><br />

6. Support to Regional Export Markets of matooke to Rwanda and Dessert<br />

Varieties to Kenya.<br />

Interventions to enhance <strong>the</strong>se markets include:<br />

(i) Provision of regional market price in<strong>for</strong>mation using mediums currently<br />

giving Ugandan price in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />

Who FoodNet<br />

How Inclusion of regional price in<strong>for</strong>mation using existing channels.<br />

(ii) Improvement or reduction of border barriers including tariffs and quotas.<br />

Who FoodNet, Relevant Government representatives from regional countries.<br />

How Lobbying of governments to jointly reduce regional barriers to trade.<br />

47


(iii) Government ef<strong>for</strong>ts to ensure quick and efficient boarder crossing.<br />

Who FoodNet, Relevant Government representatives from regional countries.<br />

How Work with governments to facilitate trade by looking <strong>for</strong> realistic ways to<br />

enhance border crossing.<br />

International Markets<br />

7. Addressing Dessert <strong>Banana</strong>s susceptibility to Fusarium Wilt.<br />

Threat of Fusarium wilt attack is a significant disincentive to investment in bogoya<br />

and sukali ndizi.<br />

Required interventions to remove this disincentive include:<br />

– Development of host plant resistance.<br />

– Improved cultural practices include <strong>the</strong> use of pathogen-free planting material<br />

with <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r development and widespread implementation of appropriate<br />

management strategies.<br />

Who Relevant International, Regional and National research programmes.<br />

How Continuation and enhancement of existing activities<br />

8. Organic / health focused naturally dried dessert banana markets.<br />

Study results suggest attractive prices and growing export markets exist <strong>for</strong> organic<br />

health focused naturally dried banana products. A study exploring European markets<br />

suggests opportunities if packaging and appearance can be made appealing. Options<br />

include:<br />

i. Improving <strong>the</strong> appearance of product packaging to compete in snack and<br />

sweet market outlets.<br />

ii. Improving <strong>the</strong> appearance of naturally dried banana through improved drying<br />

techniques and plant breeding <strong>for</strong> appearance characteristics.<br />

Who IDEA Project, FoodNet, Amfri Farms, TEFU and Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile<br />

How Return vis<strong>its</strong> to Amfri Farms, TEFU and Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile to explore interest<br />

in addressing <strong>the</strong> above areas. Based on responses fur<strong>the</strong>r joint research and<br />

market trials are suggested.<br />

9. Fresh exports of sukali ndizi.<br />

Potential economic gain from successfully overcoming quality barriers <strong>for</strong> sukali<br />

ndizi is estimated to be approximately US$ 156,000 per annum calculated on <strong>the</strong> basis<br />

of lost sales in <strong>the</strong> past five years.<br />

Requirements are <strong>the</strong> development of a consistent supply of a quality product.<br />

Interventions should address:<br />

48


(i) Control of fruit ripening after harvest by exploring post harvest packaging and<br />

temperature control<br />

Who IDEA Project, FoodNet, Amfri Farms<br />

How Return vis<strong>its</strong> to Amfri Farms to explore interest in addressing <strong>the</strong> above area.<br />

Based on response, fur<strong>the</strong>r joint research is suggested.<br />

(ii) Improving fruit handling through out <strong>the</strong> supply chain by capacity building<br />

approaches with fruit handlers<br />

Who FoodNet, ADC IDEA Project, Agricultural Extension, Relevant Private sector<br />

businesses<br />

How It is suggested that fruit handling issues exist <strong>for</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r fruit and vegetables.<br />

The above-mentioned actors should be contacted to coordinate and focus<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r initiatives.<br />

10. Reducing airfreight cost at Entebbe will increase Ugandan competitive<br />

advantage in international fresh produce markets<br />

Suggested initiatives are to lobby government and airport authorities to:<br />

– Facilitate competition in <strong>the</strong> airfreight market by preventing any evolution of<br />

monopoly by encouraging new airfreight carriers to enter <strong>the</strong> freight market.<br />

– Ensure efficient airport freight administration and handling<br />

Who IDEA Project, U-Trade, UpTop, FoodNet, Civil Aviation Authority, Relevant<br />

Government Representatives<br />

How This document should be used as a lobby tool to emphasis <strong>the</strong> importance of<br />

Entebbe airports position in <strong>the</strong> export of fresh fruit and vegetables. If this<br />

lobbying is successful action to ensure competition and improve handling<br />

should occur.<br />

11. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to determine possibilities <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r expansion of<br />

matooke sales in European markets<br />

Potential is suggested <strong>for</strong> increased sales of fresh matooke to UK based West Indian<br />

and Belgium based Congolese markets in Europe. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research to determine<br />

actual sales potential and how market requirements can best be met is suggested. This<br />

could most efficiently <strong>for</strong>m part of a wider study exploring Uganda fresh produce<br />

potential in Europe.<br />

Who FoodNet<br />

How Fur<strong>the</strong>r market research into <strong>the</strong> market potential <strong>for</strong> Ugandan fresh fruit and<br />

vegetables, including bananas, in Europe.<br />

49


In<strong>for</strong>mation Ga<strong>the</strong>red with Businesses involved in <strong>Banana</strong> Markets<br />

Organization &<br />

Key Persons<br />

Amfri Farms / African<br />

Organics<br />

PO Box 29078<br />

Kampala<br />

Uganda.<br />

Amin Shivji<br />

Managing Director<br />

077 506644<br />

aminjshivji@yahoo.com<br />

Fritz Plattner<br />

Consultant<br />

077 502330<br />

fripla@yahoo.com<br />

Fritzao@africaonline.co.ug<br />

Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />

research<br />

Organic fruit and Export fresh and Exports:<br />

Collaboration on<br />

vegetable exporters solar dried sukali Fresh -<br />

ndizi to<br />

approximately 2 Fusarium wilt<br />

Own farm in Germany (Frankfurt) tonnes per week (Panama disease)<br />

Luwero and 62 Out and Switzerland<br />

Research a cure /<br />

growers in Rakai<br />

Solar Dried – prevention of<br />

and Bugurari. Solar dried fru<strong>its</strong> about 400 kg / spread<br />

used in Breakfast month s. ndizi.<br />

cereal, ice cream and Volume is growing Need to know<br />

snacks.<br />

how to control<br />

ripening. How to<br />

start, stop and<br />

restart ripening<br />

(Problem is<br />

irregular<br />

insufficient<br />

sunshine)<br />

Suggest could<br />

double volume if<br />

overcome drying<br />

problem<br />

Suggest research<br />

into temperature<br />

control and<br />

packaging<br />

Interest in<br />

exploring EU<br />

tastes<br />

Next steps/ Follow<br />

up<br />

Return visit to<br />

explore interest in<br />

research into control<br />

of fresh sukali ndizi<br />

fruit ripening and<br />

packaging of dried<br />

products<br />

General Remarks<br />

51


Organization &<br />

Key Persons<br />

Icemark – Africa Ltd<br />

Bukoto Street<br />

PO Box 40122<br />

Kampala<br />

Uganda.<br />

Kristjan Erlingsson<br />

Managing Director<br />

077748798<br />

kristjan@icemarkafrica.com<br />

Organization &<br />

Key Persons<br />

Tropical Ecological<br />

Fru<strong>its</strong> Uganda (TEFU)<br />

PO Box 123<br />

Mityana<br />

Sam Nyanze<br />

077 469003, 046 2102, 046<br />

2442<br />

kulikaug@imul.com<br />

Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />

research<br />

Fish, Fruit and Export matooke and Exports:<br />

May be interested<br />

vegetable exporters s. ndizi to UK<br />

in controlling<br />

Spitalfield market Matooke – approx ripening of s.<br />

Trade only no<br />

6 to 7 tonnes / ndizi.<br />

production<br />

month<br />

Cautious when<br />

Ndizi – approx 1 working with<br />

tonne / month research<br />

Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />

research<br />

Solar Dried Fruit S. Ndizi – collect Export<br />

Interest in<br />

Exporters to from organically approximately one Increased<br />

Denmark<br />

registered farmers, tonne per month efficiency in<br />

Main products are ripen, slice, dry, pack dry weight drying process<br />

S. ndizi (Apple and transport to Sell to a Danish<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>) and Entebbe<br />

supermarket <strong>for</strong><br />

Pineapple<br />

use in snacks,<br />

breakfast cereal,<br />

plan <strong>for</strong> use in<br />

baby food<br />

Next steps/ Follow<br />

up<br />

Next steps/ Follow<br />

up<br />

Return visit to<br />

explore interest in<br />

development of<br />

packaging <strong>for</strong> dried<br />

products<br />

Requested copy of<br />

report<br />

General Remarks<br />

Sees Ugandan<br />

competitive advantage<br />

in Hot peppers, Okra,<br />

French beans, Passion<br />

fruit<br />

General Remarks<br />

52


Organization &<br />

Key Persons<br />

Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile<br />

Angello Ndyaguma MD<br />

071 467499<br />

Office 041 273274<br />

Basic In<strong>for</strong>mation Relation to <strong>Banana</strong> Current Situation Potential links to<br />

research<br />

Export of Solar Export solar dried Sell approx five Fusarium and<br />

Dried Fru<strong>its</strong> Sukila ndizi and tonnes per month Bacterial<br />

Buy dried fruit Bogoya<br />

of a mix of S Ndizi Wilt<br />

from contact<br />

and Bogoya. Seen as problem<br />

farmers/groups<br />

Ndizi seeing <strong>for</strong> research<br />

increasing involvement<br />

Sort, pack and<br />

volumes.<br />

export in<br />

Sell solely to On farm drying<br />

containers via<br />

Tropical<br />

quality is poor.<br />

Mombassa<br />

Wholefru<strong>its</strong> a UK Improving<br />

organic importer wastage reduction<br />

and distributor viewed as<br />

important<br />

extension /<br />

research issue<br />

Next steps/ Follow<br />

up<br />

General Remarks<br />

53


References<br />

Agriculture in Uganda Volume II Crops (2001) Edited by Mukiibi, J.K. Fountain<br />

Publishers / CTA / NARO<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> Production Manual, A Guide to Successful <strong>Banana</strong> Production in Uganda.<br />

NARO, ADC IDEA Project<br />

Craenen, K., Ortiz, R., Karamura, E.B. and Vuylsteke, D.R. (2000) Proceedings of <strong>the</strong><br />

First International Conference on <strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa. International<br />

Society <strong>for</strong> Horticultural Science<br />

Dijkstra, T. (2001) Export Diversification in Uganda: Developments in Non-<br />

Traditional Agricultural Exports, African Studies Centre, Working Paper 47<br />

Embrechts, J., Bananuka, J.A., Couvreur, Y., Bagamba, F and Lallemand, D. (1996)<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> Sub-Sector Review. Service Contract NoSC/26/96 Final Report, Republic of<br />

Uganda / European Union.<br />

Gold, C.S. and Gemmill, B. (1991) Biological and Integrated Control of Highland<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> and Plantain Pests and Disease. Proceedings of a Research Coordination<br />

Meeting. International Institute of Tropical Agriculture.<br />

Gold, C.S., Karamura, E.B., Kiggundu, A., Bagamba, F., and Abera, A.M.K.<br />

Monograph on geographic shifts in highland cooking banana (Musa, group AAA-EA)<br />

production in Uganda. African Crop Science Journal September 1999 vol. 7 No. 3<br />

Gold, C.S., Kiggundu, A., Abera, A.M.K., and Karamura, D. (2002) Selection Criteria<br />

of Musa Cultivars through a Farmer Participatory Appraisal Survey in Uganda.<br />

Experimental Agriculture: 38 Cambridge University Press.<br />

Gold, C.S., Kiggundu, A., Abera, A.M.K., and Karamura, D. (2002) Diversity,<br />

Distribution and Farmer Preference of Musa Cultivars in Uganda. Experimental<br />

Agriculture: 38 Cambridge University Press.<br />

Holtzman, J.S. et al. Using Rapid Appraisal to Examine Course Grain Processing and<br />

Utilisation in Mali. From Scott, G.J. (1995), Prices Products and People Analysing<br />

Agricultural Markets in Developing Countries. Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc.<br />

Kangire, A. Karamura, E.B. Gold, C.S. Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M.A. (1996) Fusarium wilt of<br />

banana in Uganda, with special emphasis on wilt-like symptoms observed on East<br />

African highland cooking cultivars. From: Proceedings of <strong>the</strong> first international<br />

conference on banana and plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa - Craenen, K. (ed.); Ortiz, R. (ed.);<br />

Karamura, E.B. (ed.); Vuylsteke, D. (ed.) First International Conference on <strong>Banana</strong><br />

and Plantain <strong>for</strong> Africa, Kampala (UGA), International Society <strong>for</strong> Horticultural<br />

Science, Leuven (BEL)<br />

Kangire, A. Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M. (2001) Wilt-like disorders of <strong>Banana</strong>s in Uganda. Musa<br />

Disease Fact sheet No 10. INIBAP France<br />

54


Makerere University <strong>Banana</strong> – Based Cropping Systems Research Project No Ref<br />

91056 (1994) Final Report Phase II<br />

Mugisha, J. (1994) Evaluation of <strong>the</strong> Cooking <strong>Banana</strong> <strong>Marketing</strong> Structure in Uganda.<br />

Thesis <strong>for</strong> Masters Degree of Science in Agricultural Economics of Makerere<br />

University<br />

Robbins, P. Ferris, R.S.B. (2002) The Impact of Globalisation on <strong>the</strong> Agricultural<br />

Sectors of East and Central African Countries. FoodNet IITA.<br />

Ru<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>d, M.A. Kangire, A. (1998) Prospects <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> management of fusarium wilt<br />

of banana (Panama disease) in Africa. From: Mobilizing IPM <strong>for</strong> sustainable banana<br />

production in Africa: Proceedings of a workshop on banana IPM - Frison, E.A. (ed.);<br />

Gold, C.S. (ed.); Karamura, E.B. (ed.); Sikora, R.A. (ed.) Workshop on banana IPM,<br />

Nelspruit (ZAF), 1998 INIBAP, Montpellier (FRA) 1999<br />

Working Document. Diagnostic Survey on Key Constraints of <strong>Banana</strong> Production in<br />

Uganda. Preliminary data on Socio-economics, Soils and Agronomy, Pest, diseases<br />

and plant growth, Germplasm, Post harvest. (1994) Ugandan National <strong>Banana</strong><br />

R001.esearch Programme, IITA and NRI<br />

Zake, J.Y.K., Nkwiine, C., Sessanga, S.M., Kasenge, V and Bwamiki, D.P. (2000)<br />

Soil Research <strong>for</strong> Sustainable <strong>Banana</strong> Production in <strong>the</strong> Heavy Soils of Uganda.<br />

Faculty of Agriculture, Makerere University. Uganda.<br />

55


Appendix 1<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> Survey Checklist<br />

Topic Sub-Topics Questions / Comments<br />

Personal In<strong>for</strong>mation Name<br />

Physical Address<br />

Telephone<br />

Type of business Value addition<br />

Physical functions<br />

Experience<br />

Demand Quantity<br />

Type of buyer<br />

Seasonality<br />

Variety<br />

Consumer Preferences<br />

Price data<br />

Supply -Source by area<br />

-Source by type of<br />

person<br />

-Price<br />

-Quality<br />

For established firms try to get a business card, or<br />

mobile phone No. <strong>for</strong> purposes of future reference<br />

How does <strong>the</strong> respondent add value along <strong>the</strong> market<br />

chain? Does he change <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m of product<br />

(processor) or just move <strong>the</strong> product (transporter)<br />

or just store <strong>the</strong> product (wholesaler) or is he a<br />

retailer or consumer. Is <strong>the</strong>re any vertical<br />

integration?<br />

-Quantity sold normally e.g. Per day, week,<br />

-To whom do you sell?<br />

-Are <strong>the</strong>re changes in volume of sale over time?<br />

-Are <strong>the</strong>re different varieties?<br />

-If so what is <strong>the</strong>ir respective demand / preference<br />

-What is <strong>the</strong> price variation as per variety differences<br />

-Are <strong>the</strong>re changes in prices over time?<br />

-If so what are <strong>the</strong> reasons?<br />

-Do you find problems selling your products?<br />

-If so which ones?<br />

-Which are your supply areas (geographically)<br />

-From whom do you buy?<br />

-From where do you buy? (Meeting pt.)<br />

-At what price do you buy <strong>the</strong> variety?<br />

-Does <strong>the</strong> price change over time? If so why? &<br />

How?<br />

-Do you have problems getting products? If so which<br />

are <strong>the</strong>y?<br />

-What is <strong>the</strong> quality of products along <strong>the</strong> chain?<br />

Quality -Perishability<br />

-Post harvest issues -What is <strong>the</strong> shelf life of <strong>the</strong> products<br />

Storage -Quantity<br />

-How much do you usually store?<br />

-Time<br />

-For how long?<br />

-Storage problems -Do you have any storage problems?<br />

-Do you experience storage losses?<br />

Transaction costs -Forms<br />

-What are your transaction costs?<br />

-Proportions<br />

-What is <strong>the</strong>ir proportion?<br />

Grading & Sorting Grading incentive -Do you grade or sort?<br />

-Do better grades fetch higher prices?<br />

Market In<strong>for</strong>mation -Sources<br />

-Do you get market info? (e.g. on prices?)<br />

-Spatial arbitrage -If so from whom and how?<br />

-Is <strong>the</strong>re a relationship between prices in different<br />

areas at a given time<br />

Price Formation Market power -Who determines <strong>the</strong> price?<br />

-How is <strong>the</strong> price determined?<br />

-If firm / individual is a price taker, find out why?<br />

Institutional & legal Associations -Do you belong to an association?<br />

framework<br />

-Are <strong>the</strong>re any market regulations? If so which are<br />

<strong>the</strong>y and how do <strong>the</strong>y affect your business?<br />

Market Structure Competition No of sellers<br />

-Is <strong>the</strong>re price competition<br />

-Is <strong>the</strong>re non-price competition? If so how<br />

(interlocking markets)<br />

Credit availability Sources & Type -Are <strong>the</strong>re any credit institutions<br />

-Do you use <strong>the</strong>m?<br />

-What are <strong>the</strong>ir rates of interest?<br />

56


Appendix 2<br />

Market Chain Interviewees Contact Name<br />

Fru<strong>its</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Nile Angelo Ndyaguma, Nathan Production Manager<br />

Africa Organics / Amfri Farm Amin Ahivji (MD) / Moses Kigundo (Prod Manager)<br />

Sun-Trade and Consulting Int (U) Ltd Mr Fritz Plattner<br />

TEFU (Tropical Ecological Foods Uganda) Sam Nyanze is chairperson<br />

Icemark Africa Ltd Kristjan Erlingsson<br />

Ugandan Breweries George Farmu (Distilleries Manager)<br />

Owino Market Mr Kayiira (Market master), various traders<br />

Kalerwi Market Jakob Kwakonye, various traders<br />

Nakawa Market Various traders<br />

Luwero Two producers, two traders<br />

Kyazanga One producer<br />

Masaka Beer producer and farmer<br />

Mbizzinnya road side market<br />

Roasting banana traders<br />

Rubaare Collection Center<br />

Various traders<br />

Ruti<br />

Bicycle Traders and Broker<br />

Kampala Waragi and Tonto Markets Various traders<br />

Institutions / Organisations Contacted<br />

ADC IDEA Project Steve New, Harriet Nsubuga, Fred Ssango<br />

FIT Uganda Mark Blackett<br />

IITA Dr CS Gold<br />

INIBAP Guy Bloome<br />

Kulika Charitable Trust Alistar Taylor<br />

Makerere University Dr J Mugisha<br />

Makerere University Dr Serie Maranga<br />

Makerere University JW Muwanga<br />

Makerere University Prof PR Rubaihayo<br />

NARO Tushemereirwe W.K.<br />

NARO Coordinator of On-Farm <strong>Banana</strong> Research Ngambeki Dezi<br />

57


Appendix Three<br />

Volumes Exported Uganda<br />

Matooke Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Total<br />

Matooke<br />

Total<br />

Fresh<br />

Exports<br />

% Of Total<br />

Fresh Export<br />

Volume<br />

1997 26,188 33,663 41,002 31,126 18,225 27,197 41,258 55,655 49,960 45,978 44,847 36,129 451,228 1,174,850 38%<br />

1998 48,124 32,871 40,349 30,887 30,288 42,434 42,697 40,892 31,796 35,406 52,702 59,066 487,512 1,717,472 28%<br />

1999 52,019 53,577 48,904 32,217 43,434 58,188 67,830 60,853 58,131 68,390 58,926 62,090 664,559 2,424,217 27%<br />

2000 66,556 64,560 74,290 76,689 72,509 68,728 62,058 63,789 61,510 82,879 76,788 84,542 854,898 2,598,854 33%<br />

2001 59,731 48,344 51,652 74,663 73,413 59,535 84,377 84,621 75,328 73,291 73,050 71,060 829,065 2,311,243 36%<br />

Apple<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Total<br />

Apple<br />

<strong>Banana</strong><br />

Total<br />

Fresh<br />

Exports<br />

% Of Total<br />

Fresh Export<br />

Volume<br />

1997 7984 6018 17441 11320 10463 17554 11493 11415 16859 14437 12286 6454 143,724 1,174,850 12%<br />

1998 12432 5484 6067 7772 11933 8986 11581 7180 12643 8564 8300 6067 107,009 1,717,472 6%<br />

1999 9769 9751 7270 5818 6046 8859 9502 8260 6222 7300 6677 5490 90,964 2,424,217 4%<br />

2000 5536 5064 3762 4614 7907 8712 8202 5424 5230 7047 6529 4662 72,689 2,598,854 3%<br />

2001 3648 3461 4254 6498 5528 6936 9881 11694 10439 10764 9187 6628 88,918 2,311,243 4%<br />

Source: Civil Aviation Figures supplied by IDEA project<br />

58


Appendix Four<br />

US$ / kg<br />

5<br />

4.5<br />

4<br />

3.5<br />

3<br />

2.5<br />

2<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

Figure xx UK Matooke and Apple <strong>Banana</strong> Prices<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

2000 2001 2002<br />

Matooke Apple <strong>Banana</strong><br />

59


Appendix Five<br />

Volumes and Values of Waragi Market in Kampala<br />

Kampala<br />

Depot<br />

Estimated<br />

Litres Waragi /<br />

Week<br />

Total<br />

Annual<br />

Volume<br />

(Litres)<br />

Total Retail Annual<br />

Value (Ug Sh)<br />

Nankulabye 22,000 1,144,000 1,716,000,000<br />

Kisenyi 8,000 416,000 624,000,000<br />

Rubaga Road 2,000 104,000 156,000,000<br />

Kamwokya 4,000 208,000 312,000,000<br />

Ndeeba 2,000 104,000 156,000,000<br />

Kawempe 1,800 93,600 140,400,000<br />

Total 39,800 2,069,600 3,104,400,000<br />

Waragi Values calculated at an estimated retail value of Ug Sh 1,500 / litre<br />

Volumes and Values of Tonto Market in Kampala<br />

Estimated<br />

Litres Tonto /<br />

Total<br />

Annual<br />

Volume<br />

(Litres)<br />

Kampala<br />

Total Retail Annual<br />

Depot Week<br />

Value (Ug Sh)<br />

Kisenyi 20,000 1,040,000 572,000,000<br />

Ndeeba 1,600 83,200 45,760,000<br />

Kawempe 4,000 208,000 114,400,000<br />

Nakulabye 1,600 83,200 45,760,000<br />

Total 27,200 1,414,400 777,920,000<br />

Tonto Values calculated at an estimated retail value of Ug Sh 550 / litre<br />

60

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