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SUB-CUSTODY<br />
46<br />
In a hard hitting article, Tim Steel posits the<br />
view that the outlook for sub-custodian services<br />
in Europe will be much tougher than before. In<br />
an increasingly sophisticated and complex<br />
market, the resolve of many sub-custody<br />
providers will be tested as their infrastructure,<br />
reach and product set are stretched and tested<br />
again and again.<br />
SUB-<br />
CUSTODY<br />
RACING<br />
TO<br />
THE<br />
FINISH<br />
THERE IS PLENTY of anecdotal evidence to suggest<br />
that a significant number of sub-custodians in<br />
Continental Europe have yet to wake up to certain<br />
unpalatable realities. Market consensus has it that the<br />
majority of the region’s agent banks face a challenging<br />
future. Unable to offer the breadth of product set and<br />
geographic reach now demanded by an increasingly<br />
sophisticated and diversified client base – or indeed to fund<br />
the sort of infrastructure investment necessary to rectify<br />
those shortcomings – it is argued that the genus of monomarket<br />
sub-custodian that have traditionally serviced the<br />
local custody, clearing and settlement needs of institutional<br />
investors and intermediaries face imminent extinction.<br />
The past few years have seen the inexorable rise of pan-<br />
European providers, notably Citigroup and BNP Paribas,<br />
offering multiple product lines across multiple markets.<br />
While Europe remains a deeply fragmented proposition as<br />
far as post-trade processing is concerned – a tangle of<br />
diverse and at times flat out contradictory regulatory,<br />
legislative and tax environments give the lie to any notions<br />
of a single common market – it is still possible for these<br />
pan-regional players to build and leverage economies of<br />
scale.<br />
As Brian Todd, head of network management, EMEA for<br />
JPMorgan Investor Services – which is principally a buyer<br />
of sub-custody services in Continental Europe – notes:<br />
“Sub-custody is bought on the basis of service, but that<br />
service is pretty well defined in terms of what it takes to be<br />
a sub-custodian: custody, settlement, corporate actions,<br />
income collection, securities lending and borrowing. So<br />
ultimately it comes down to being a commercial<br />
conversation around price, settlement cut-offs, systems, the<br />
number of markets a provider can service – and if you buy<br />
in bulk, you can get a better price.”<br />
Consolidation in the sub-custody sphere in recent years<br />
has been driven by two engines: strategic reviews within<br />
individual banks – pace the merger of BNP and Paribas in<br />
France – and by banks deciding that they only to want to<br />
compete in those lines of business where they can build<br />
significant scale and/or market leadership. For many, this<br />
product set no longer includes sub-custody. “As a result<br />
we are now down to two or three quality providers in<br />
each market and at the same time we are seeing<br />
emergence of the pan-regional sub-custodians,” says<br />
Todd.“This trend is not one that is going to go away, and<br />
over time we will see the consolidation of individual subcustodians<br />
into those groups.”<br />
Stephen Brown, regional head of network management,<br />
Europe, Middle East, Africa and Americas at Northern Trust –<br />
another buyer of sub-custody services in Europe – stresses<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
that the shift towards pan-regional providers does not mean<br />
there are no longer any good indigenous mono-market<br />
providers to be found. Brown concedes that Northern’s<br />
network today largely comprises regional providers. “Over<br />
the last few years we have changed our custodians in a<br />
number of markets and on all but one occasion we have<br />
consolidated with a regional provider,”he says.<br />
Lack of scale and geographic reach is a problem for monomarket<br />
providers, he adds, while strong pan-regional players<br />
can boast credit and service quality across more than one<br />
location. “The fact that they are regional providers<br />
demonstrates clear commitment to the business,” Brown<br />
says. “They also tend to evidence greater investment in<br />
technology based upon capability and contingency planning,<br />
and typically also have broader experience and client base.<br />
For us as a global custodian we can certainly derive<br />
relationship, servicing and pricing advantages from using a<br />
single provider across multiple markets.”<br />
While sub-custody clients might give the impression that<br />
service is less important than cost, in reality they want the<br />
best of both worlds: top quality service allied to a keen price.<br />
“That is not an easy balance to strike,”says Jon Lloyd, head<br />
of clearing, settlement and custody at BNP Paribas<br />
Securities Services. “European integration and<br />
harmonisation is taking longer to achieve than predicted<br />
and it is also proving very expensive – 25-30% of my IT<br />
budget for the coming year is being spent on implementing<br />
mandatory market changes. Now, I have a broad franchise<br />
across Europe to amortise that against, but for a monomarket<br />
provider that is a huge amount of cost to take<br />
onboard. Factor in Basel II and TARGET 2, and the monomarket<br />
provider is extremely exposed.”<br />
Factor in the commercial aspirations of the region’s<br />
depositories (of which more later), and it is easy to<br />
understand why many of those sub-custodians that have<br />
not quit the business – casualties include Dresdner in<br />
Germany, Bank Leu in Switzerland, CSFB in Russia and<br />
most recently ABN AMRO, which sold out to Citigroup –<br />
are looking to alliances and white labelling in order to<br />
survive. Both ING Bank and Allied Irish Bank, for example,<br />
have tied the knot with The Bank of New York. The global<br />
custodian has also just signed a custody deal with Natexis<br />
Banques Populaires which is expected to evolve into a fully<br />
fledged alliance in due course.<br />
Giulio di Cerbo, managing director, Citigroup Global<br />
Transaction Services, sees white labelling as an important<br />
growth area going forward. “Sub-custodians are asking<br />
themselves whether they have the necessary scale and how<br />
core the business is to them,” he says. “They could<br />
obviously choose to sell or to enter a joint venture but a<br />
number of banks, while recognising there is a need for a<br />
pan-European solution, are looking to retain their clients<br />
and their business. In that situation we can white label the<br />
offering on their behalf.<br />
“They continue to service their client base and distribution<br />
channels, but rather than investing in other European<br />
linkages, they can leverage our scale and single common<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Stephen Brown, regional head of network management, Europe,<br />
Middle East, Africa and Americas at Northern Trust<br />
technology across multiple jurisdictions. It makes little<br />
difference to Citigroup whether the volumes coming in<br />
originate from Germany, France or Italy, so we can provide<br />
one price across multiple jurisdictions, one set of standards,<br />
one set of reporting, one communication methodology – and<br />
those save costs both for the client and us,”says di Cerbo.<br />
New European directives mean major clients no longer<br />
buy or sell through a local country broker but rather are<br />
members of exchanges, he continues. “However, for many<br />
broker-dealers and banks that is an unwelcome cost burden.<br />
So we now provide on-exchange clearing and, in addition,<br />
peripheral services such as cross-border margining and<br />
access to multiple CCPs and depositories. Should securities<br />
not come in as expected, we will deliver them from our<br />
lendable portfolio to the exchange on behalf of our client, and<br />
we also provide inter-day liquidity and inventory financing<br />
where banks and brokers have residuals in their account at<br />
the end of the day.”<br />
Asian sub-custody<br />
In Asia, however, there are no such concerns.As Paul Hedges,<br />
global head of securities services at Standard Chartered Bank,<br />
notes a key difference between the post-trade environments<br />
in Asia and Europe is the harmony at the depository level.“I<br />
sit on the Asia Pacific Central Securities Depository Group<br />
(ACG) and while the depositories do communicate with each<br />
other, the level of harmonisation and linkages you see in<br />
Europe simply does not exist here,”says Hedges.“The ACG is<br />
talking about hammering out various Memorandums of<br />
Understanding between CSDs, but we are a long way away<br />
from that becoming a reality – and for the right reasons, as<br />
every market in Asia is clearly very different, with no common<br />
currency or regulatory framework.”<br />
For his part, Colin Brooks, deputy head of custody and<br />
47
SUB-CUSTODY<br />
48<br />
Giulio di Cerbo,<br />
managing director,<br />
Citigroup Global<br />
Transaction Services<br />
clearing at HSBC in Hong Kong, feels that Asia has come a<br />
long way in the last five or six years in terms of uniformity –<br />
“settlement cycles have come into line and all the markets<br />
are dematerialised, there is an overall view that markets<br />
need to be more transparent and there must be a level<br />
playing field between market participants” – but he agrees<br />
that the region remains some way away from seeing the sort<br />
of linkages between exchanges and depositories now so<br />
common in Europe.<br />
As for the sub-custody product in Asia, Brooks says it too<br />
has matured considerably in recent years. “In the past you<br />
were judged on your ability to settle a trade efficiently and<br />
process a corporate action,” he says. “These days, however,<br />
our clients want much more of us – they expect us to truly act<br />
as their eyes and ears on the ground, to act as their business<br />
partner and to really understand what their business entails<br />
and provide them with a customised suite of products.”<br />
Paul Hedges says that, whereas the region’s subcustodians<br />
have traditionally serviced ‘Western’ clients, there<br />
is now a fast growing Asian client base as a result of<br />
demographic changes, the rise of provident funds and<br />
personal retirement plans as well as new investment by Asian<br />
non-government and government institutions both within<br />
and without the region. He believes this shift will directly<br />
benefit pan-regional players like Standard Chartered and<br />
HSBC. “In Europe we have seen a move<br />
towards pan-regional sub-custody provision<br />
for a number of reasons: commonality of<br />
currency; harmonisation on the regulatory<br />
front but primarily due to acquisitions,” says<br />
Hedges. In Asia, however, the growth of the<br />
pan-regional providers has primarily been<br />
driven by consumer banking presence and<br />
latterly wholesale banking activities, he adds.<br />
“Certain markets – Malaysia, Korea,<br />
Indonesia, Japan – have traditionally been<br />
dominated by mono-market banks with<br />
immense local influence stemming from<br />
huge, predominantly corporate businesses,”<br />
says Hedges.“In addition, in some markets –<br />
Singapore for instance – the mono-market<br />
players have been protected by the regulatory<br />
environment and ownership rules, as we<br />
were restricted from offering certain services.<br />
“What has changed over the last couple of<br />
years, and indeed has gained significant<br />
momentum in the past 6-8 months, is that<br />
due to demographic and other changes the<br />
buyers of sub-custody services are starting to<br />
look at Asia as an investment destination in<br />
itself – but they only want to access the<br />
region through a single window. So the<br />
region will follow the same path as Europe –<br />
but for different reasons, and at a different<br />
level of intensity.”<br />
Colin Brooks believes that the traditional<br />
strengths of pan-regional providers – scale<br />
economies, deeper pockets, streamlined access to multiple<br />
markets – will prove compelling going forward.“The truth is<br />
that these days there are really only a few markets – such as<br />
Japan, Australia and Singapore – where you still have serious<br />
mono-market providers,” he says. “There was a huge<br />
shakeout during the Asian crisis at the end of the Nineties, at<br />
which time a lot of local banks saw their credit ratings<br />
lowered and they consequently lost a lot of business. As a<br />
result, many no longer offer sub-custody as a product, and we<br />
have since seen an approximate halving in the number of<br />
active sub-custody providers in the region.”<br />
As a pan-regional provider will often already be servicing a<br />
particular client in multiple markets, when that client comes<br />
to review their arrangements in another market, it is simpler<br />
to go with the provider they already know, adds Brooks.“We<br />
already know their priorities, and so are able to tailor our<br />
services to those requirements in a new market,”he says.“We<br />
are also very much aware of not just regional but also global<br />
best practice, which again puts us at an advantage.”<br />
Nonetheless, Brooks acknowledges that competition in<br />
the sub-custody arena remains fierce, with continued<br />
downward pressure on margins.“That said, I have been in<br />
this business 15 years and that has always been the case,”<br />
he adds. “One way to manage that is to bring on more<br />
clients and expand the breadth of product we offer to<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
include higher margin offerings. If you are just offering<br />
vanilla custody, the attraction of investing in that product in<br />
isolation is far more limited than it was a few years ago, but<br />
if you view it as an essential foundation supporting other<br />
products it makes a lot more sense.”<br />
Flexible services and solutions<br />
Jon Lloyd believes there is now a greater appreciation of the<br />
role of the sub-custodian as a risk manager, a source of<br />
lobbying expertise and connectivity and a source of cost<br />
avoidance.“Clients also see us as a very important cushion<br />
against the volatility in the marketplace,” he adds. “As we<br />
push for consolidation and harmonisation in Europe, the<br />
sheer volume of change is so much greater than before and<br />
that leads to higher levels of risk. The fact that the client can<br />
avoid getting involved in that day-to-day, with us taking<br />
away that pain, is becoming an important part of the<br />
relationship.”Lloyd cites recent examples of market changes<br />
in two key markets: “In Italy there have been a number of<br />
issues with the Express II platform which we have sought to<br />
minimise; similarly there are currently changes going on in<br />
Spain which are causing major market disruption.”<br />
However, Lloyd feels it is important to strike a balance<br />
between consolidation and the competition issues it raises –<br />
not least on the depository front. As JPMorgan’s Brian Todd<br />
notes, the ability to access markets directly, in the process<br />
lowering costs and streamlining operations by eliminating<br />
multiple clearing and settlement interfaces, is a perennial<br />
threat to sub-custodians.“There are two types of clients,”he<br />
says.“Global custodians like ourselves who are buying subcustody<br />
for our traditional ‘buy and hold’ markets, and then<br />
there are the broker-dealers who are buying it in order to pass<br />
trades through the market in real time and support a trading<br />
operation – and they are opening up to the idea of becoming<br />
direct remote member participants.”<br />
This impingement by depositories into the sphere of<br />
commercial banking is seen as fundamentally uncompetitive<br />
by Lloyd. “There are ways and means of competing: either<br />
directly by attracting your competitors’ clients through the<br />
quality of your product offering; or you can compete via<br />
pricing,”he says.“While there has been a lot of fanfare in the<br />
UK market with CREST bringing down the cost of<br />
settlement, we are seeing the Dutch, French and Belgium<br />
central securities depositories (CSDs) all increasing prices.<br />
That is a great way to make the sub-custodian suffer, because<br />
they are being squeezed on one side by clients wanting lower<br />
prices and then on the other by rising prices at CSD level.<br />
That is not a healthy dynamic – depository consolidation was<br />
supposed to be about economies of scale, harmonisation and<br />
driving down costs for the market.”<br />
Over at Citigroup – which, like BNP Paribas, is a leading<br />
light within the Fair & Clear pressure group opposed to<br />
what its members see as the CSD’s unchecked<br />
expansionist tendencies – Giulio di Cerbo is equally blunt.<br />
“There are commercial entities like banks and then there<br />
are utilities, such as depositories, which should be user<br />
owned,”he says.“We want a strongly regulated post-trade<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
environment just as there is the pre-trade world, and we<br />
do not want to see utilities running commercial or liquidity<br />
risks.” (The depositories, on the other hand, reject any<br />
suggestion that their move up the value chain is in any<br />
way uncompetitive or inappropriate).<br />
Stephen Brown says that Northern Trust already self-clears<br />
and self-custodies in the United States, United Kingdom and<br />
Canada. The bank will also have to consider this option in<br />
Europe “if the market can create a single quality asset<br />
servicing European CSD”.“Certainly Euroclear’s plans for its<br />
integrated custody and settlement engine for its markets – is<br />
on paper an attractive proposition, although it will no doubt<br />
also bring some new operational challenges,” he says.<br />
However, Brown concedes that, for now, sub-custodians still<br />
have an edge to servicing the more sophisticated and<br />
demanding global custodians. “Sub-custodians offer the<br />
experience, understanding, and broad local knowledge and<br />
expertise that depositories do not generally have,” he says.<br />
“However, some depositories, including Euroclear, are<br />
already in the sub-custody space, and they are working hard<br />
to offer the premier sub-custody service that global<br />
custodians demand.”<br />
“Providing core services is fundamental. But just as<br />
important is the ability to be flexible and create flexible<br />
solutions. That is not something depositories are not known<br />
for – they tend to provide a ‘one size fits all’ service, whereas<br />
as global custodians our clients are constantly challenging us<br />
to do different things, and so we need our sub-custodians to<br />
be flexible and innovative.That is not something depositories<br />
can yet offer,”Brown adds.<br />
Colin Brooks, deputy head of<br />
custody and clearing at<br />
HSBC in Hong Kong<br />
49
STRAIGHT THROUGH PROCESSING<br />
50<br />
Tony Freeman, head of European industry relations at Omgeo<br />
STP<br />
puts<br />
on a<br />
mature<br />
mantle<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
Once considered the holy grail of securities<br />
trading, Straight Through processing (STP), the<br />
automated passage of a securities trade from<br />
execution to settlement, is no longer in the<br />
limelight these days. These days, say market<br />
watchers, there is a much more mature<br />
appreciation of what straight through<br />
processing is about. Firms are now focusing<br />
more at the business objectives underlying STP<br />
such as increasing efficiency between trade<br />
counterparties, improving margins, reducing<br />
transaction costs and minimising failed trades.<br />
Rekha Menon reports.<br />
WITH THE DEMISE of the Global Straight<br />
Through Processing Association (GSTPA),<br />
coupled with the indefinite postponement of the<br />
drive to reduce trade settlement cycles to T+1, it would<br />
appear that the industry’s romance with straight through<br />
processing has gone sour. However, this interpretation<br />
could not be further from the truth. While the term STP<br />
may have lost some of its shine, the proposition it offers –<br />
to reduce costs and operational risk through increased<br />
automation – is still as applicable today as it was earlier.<br />
“The reason why people<br />
aren’t actively talking about<br />
STP is because there are no<br />
grandiose initiatives in the<br />
pipeline such as GSTPA.<br />
Straight through processing<br />
is actually a stream of<br />
developments. Some events<br />
might grab the headlines,<br />
but the process continues<br />
unabated,” explains John<br />
Gubert, global head of HSBC Securities Services. “The<br />
securities industry is inherently inefficient and with<br />
continuously increasing volumes, the imperative is to<br />
increase the level of automation to reduce the cost and<br />
risks involved,”he says.<br />
STP might no longer be the buzzword in the securities<br />
industry, but the earlier intensity has given way to a more<br />
mature appreciation of what straight through processing is<br />
all about. Firms are now focusing more at the business<br />
objectives underlying STP such as increasing efficiency<br />
between trade counterparties, improving margins, reducing<br />
transaction costs and minimising failed trades. Despite<br />
there no longer being a pressing requirement to shorten<br />
settlement cycle times to trade plus one day (T+1), last year<br />
the Securities Industry Association (SIA) in the US<br />
reiterated its commitment to efforts to move the industry to<br />
an STP environment.<br />
According to Gubert there are three key imperatives for<br />
the industry to achieve an STP environment –<br />
harmonisation of market practices, message<br />
standardisation and reference data management.<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
“Improving back end operational<br />
efficiency is, more often than not,<br />
considered secondary,” explains Guy<br />
Eden, solutions director at Sungard<br />
Business Integration.”<br />
“Harmonisation of market practice is essential to eliminate<br />
unnecessary differences between markets and thus enable<br />
single developments to accommodate the needs of<br />
different markets. Message standardisation too is<br />
extremely important for STP. The ISO 15022 standard for<br />
instance, is a very powerful tool that has enabled<br />
automation in areas such as corporate actions where it was<br />
not possible earlier," he says.<br />
The securities industry is currently involved in a variety<br />
of STP-related projects, right from implementing<br />
messaging protocols like FIX to automating the trade<br />
allocation, confirmation and matching process. While the<br />
sell-side is broadly acknowledged as having invested<br />
heavily in STP, the buy-side has often been the target of<br />
criticism for its reliance on fax machines to interact with<br />
counterparties.“The buy-side’s primary goal is to pick the<br />
right investment, manage investment performance and<br />
manage client relationships. Improving back end<br />
operational efficiency is, more often than not, considered<br />
secondary,” explains Guy Eden, solutions director at<br />
Sungard Business Integration.<br />
However, it would be unfair to tar the entire buy-side<br />
with the same brush. UBS Global Asset Management, for<br />
instance, is currently in the process of implementing a<br />
global STP hub for the firm’s global trade confirmation<br />
system based on STP<br />
vendor Checkfree’s trade<br />
confirmation and settlement<br />
solution. Another large asset<br />
management firm T. Rowe<br />
Price is working on a large<br />
internal in-house STP<br />
project and is in the process<br />
of implementing STP<br />
vendor Smartstream’s<br />
solution for reconciliation,<br />
confirmation and settlement. In fact, a buy-side survey<br />
conducted last year by Investit, a UK-based investment<br />
management consultancy, revealed that in equities and<br />
fixed income, most large investment managers are<br />
achieving acceptable levels of STP in the post-trade<br />
processing environment. “The UK is one of the most<br />
advanced countries in terms of buy-side automation for<br />
equities trading, with a large majority of the trade<br />
allocation-confirmation process in London being<br />
automated. In contrast, the US has a much lower level of<br />
automation with continental Europe falling somewhere in<br />
between. In the US, even some of the large investment<br />
managers use paper to manage the allocationconfirmation<br />
process,”says Eden of Sungard.<br />
In the current economic environment, cost is the biggest<br />
deterrent for investment managers looking to automate<br />
their manual processes. The effort and expense involved in<br />
automating the trade process is just too high. Operating<br />
under tight budget constraints, many investment managers<br />
are now choosing to focus on their core competencies<br />
while outsourcing their back office operations. The last few<br />
51
STRAIGHT THROUGH PROCESSING<br />
52<br />
years has seen a rapid rise in the number of such<br />
outsourcing deals among the buy-side, with the main<br />
beneficiaries of this trend being the large custodian banks<br />
such as State Street, Bank of New York, BNP Paribas, JP<br />
Morgan and Mellon. For instance, JP Morgan Investor<br />
Services (JPMIS), the custody arm of JP Morgan, provides<br />
middle and back office<br />
outsourcing to leading buy-<br />
side firms such as Schroders<br />
and Morley Fund<br />
Management, while State<br />
Street provides outsourcing<br />
services to firms including<br />
ABN Amro Asset<br />
Management, Investec and<br />
AXA Investment Managers.<br />
Recently ING Investment Management in Europe<br />
announced that it would be outsourcing its investment<br />
operations from post-trade to settlement to Bank of New<br />
York (BNY).<br />
By providing access to better technology than they could<br />
otherwise afford, outsourcing provides investment<br />
managers with the opportunity to achieve high levels of<br />
automation. ”While cost reduction and risk mitigation are<br />
the main triggers for such outsourcing deals, STP is an<br />
“While cost reduction and risk<br />
mitigation are the main triggers for<br />
such outsourcing deals, STP is an<br />
important by-product for the asset<br />
management firms”<br />
John Gubert, global head of HSBC Securities Services<br />
important by-product for the asset management firms,”<br />
says Pamela Brewster, senior analyst at research firm,<br />
Celent Communications.<br />
The number of investment management transactions<br />
that can be concentrated within an outsourcing<br />
organisation is ultimately the key to achieving high STP<br />
levels, says Tony Freeman,<br />
head of European industry<br />
relations at Omgeo, the joint<br />
venture company of<br />
Thomson and the US<br />
Depository Trust & Clearing<br />
Corporation (DTCC) which<br />
provides technology for the<br />
post-trade pre-settlement<br />
arena. Freeman believes that<br />
although currently outsourcing is still an immature<br />
business idea, it does have the potential to significantly<br />
improve STP levels in the future.<br />
Omgeo itself has recently come out with a new product<br />
that is directly targeted at low-to-medium volume<br />
investment managers that are still using manual processes.<br />
This light web based interface to Omgeo’s central trade<br />
matching solution, CTM (Central Trade Manager) will<br />
allow small buy-side firms to process their domestic and<br />
cross-border trade allocations electronically.“Omgeo CTM<br />
allocation interface will provide an easier and cheaper<br />
route for lower volume fund managers to realise the<br />
significant cost savings and risk reductions that come with<br />
automated trade processing,”explains Freeman.The launch<br />
of this new service is the result of extensive collaboration<br />
between Omgeo and six leading broker/dealers, ABN<br />
AMRO, Citigroup, Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB),<br />
JPMorgan, SG Corporate & Investment Banking and UBS.<br />
Recent analysis conducted between Omgeo and a<br />
number of clients indicates that by capturing details earlier<br />
in the life-cycle of a trade and through the electronic<br />
automation of the trade allocation process, operating costs<br />
and trade failures can be reduced by up to 70%, with sameday<br />
affirmation rates rising by as much as 80% or higher.<br />
Roddy Scotland, investment admin manager at Edinburgh<br />
Partners, an investment management firm piloting Omgeo<br />
CTM allocation interface, voices the firm’s expectations<br />
from the service,“Using Omgeo’s new solution will enable<br />
us to achieve same or next day settlement for cross-border,<br />
domestic equity and fixed income trades. This means that<br />
we can focus on maximising returns and delivering<br />
superior customer service to our clients.”<br />
With a similar aim of helping investment managers<br />
achieve higher levels of automation, JP Morgan Investor<br />
Services (JPMIS), the custody arm of JP Morgan, has<br />
launched a thin, web-enabled solution for the entry and<br />
transmission of global custody instructions by fund<br />
managers called ‘Browser Trade Input’ (BTI). “Straight<br />
through processing has already been achieved by major<br />
financial institutions, largely through SWIFT ISO15022<br />
progress. Now smaller players who are not on the SWIFT<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
network can be brought into an electronic age using tools<br />
such as BTI,” says David Kane, securities processing<br />
executive at JPMIS.<br />
The industry is finally waking up to the potential of<br />
improving the STP environment by involving smaller<br />
players. Keeping the classic 80/20 rule in view - small nonautomated<br />
firms contribute only 20% of the volume, but<br />
account for nearly 80% of the total population of firms<br />
active in the investment management space – the<br />
potential efficiency gains achieved by automating small<br />
buy-side firms are bound to be enormous.<br />
James Daniels, head of European client service team<br />
at CSFB sums it up,“One of the reasons why I think this<br />
solution (Omgeo Allocation Interface) is important is<br />
that it offers another choice for the smaller investment<br />
managers who until now have had very few choices. If<br />
they were unable to invest in heavyweight technology<br />
like the full Omgeo product or to build a FIX link with<br />
their brokers, their only option was to continue ‘as is’ or<br />
to outsource. Now they have another option. The<br />
investment manager community is diverse and has<br />
different needs and we need to provide as many options<br />
as we can for those investment managers to improve<br />
their processes.”<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
David Kane,<br />
securities processing<br />
executive at JPMIS<br />
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53
PORTFOLIO TRADING<br />
54<br />
It is a truth universally acknowledged that a basket of shares in need of rebalancing is in want of<br />
a good portfolio trader. These are lambent days, as demand for their specialist (and sometimes<br />
arcane expertise) is on the rise. But even while portfolio trading grows apace, the sector is itself in<br />
transition – facing a new set of opportunities and challenges. Trading strategies, benchmarks and<br />
the market structure are set to become even more sophisticated and competitive.<br />
Zachary Tuckwell,<br />
global head of portfolio<br />
trading at Dresdner<br />
Kleinwort Wasserstein (DrKW)<br />
AFTER A PERIOD of lacklustre growth throughout<br />
the 1990s a noticeable uptick in volumes has<br />
occurred during the last four years. Market talk has<br />
it that in 2005 portfolio (or program) trading is finally<br />
walking tall. Back in 1995 portfolio trading accounted for<br />
barely 12% of all trades on the New York Stock Exchange<br />
(NYSE). By 2000 this ratio had crept up to just under 20%.<br />
According to specialist research house Greenwich<br />
Associates, the proportion of portfolio trades in relation to<br />
total trades now executed on the exchange rose from 44%<br />
in 2003 to 50% last year. That percentage appears to be on<br />
the rise again, as in early March the NYSE reported that<br />
portfolio trading accounted for 52.8% of its average daily<br />
trading volume.<br />
Money managers routinely use portfolio trading to<br />
invest cash inflows, implement tactical asset allocations,<br />
manager or portfolio transitions and rebalance portfolios.<br />
There are myriad reasons why portfolio trading is gaining.<br />
Not least is the increased availability of technology, a<br />
THE UPSIDE OF<br />
PORTFOLIO<br />
TRADING<br />
trend towards quantitative ‘top down’ portfolio<br />
management, a greater focus on transactions costs, and a<br />
growing requirement for asset managers to respond<br />
quickly to market movements explains Emad Morrar,<br />
managing director, Lehman Brothers International<br />
(Europe). In that context he says, “portfolio trading is a<br />
critical execution method.” Portfolio trading also allows<br />
asset managers to help control commission payments, the<br />
market impact and the opportunity costs associated with<br />
their trades. And “put simply, the price of program trading<br />
is lower than that of single stock trading,” says Stavros<br />
Siokos, head of alternative execution sales at Citigroup.<br />
The ability to deliver high quality executions for a large<br />
list of stocks is one of the main reasons for its increasing<br />
acceptance. Efficiency is a cornerstone of the business and<br />
automation of portfolio traders is of particular benefit to<br />
asset managers and bankers both. The ability to break<br />
down a sizeable (and otherwise market-seismic) block of<br />
shares into different combinations (say into specific<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
countries or sectors) which can be traded more easily, is a<br />
plus for asset owners and the market, explains Garth<br />
Ritchie, head of European equities trading at Deutsche<br />
Bank in London. The algorithms used in automated<br />
trading facilitate easier and more liquid orders and also<br />
give traders the time needed to structure and effect the<br />
trading of more complex baskets, he adds. Automation<br />
also helps keep the business efficient – a point noted by<br />
the rather tight numbers of traders in portfolio trading<br />
operations. However, as important is the fact that<br />
customers are sensitive to execution quality and prefer a<br />
greater degree of discretion when entering the market,<br />
something which automation confers effectively.<br />
One of the benefits of a good portfolio trading desk is<br />
to be able to understand and accommodate diverse<br />
investment styles and approaches. In some instances, for<br />
example, orders from clients have special limitations, such<br />
as cash neutrality, sector neutrality, derivative overlays, or<br />
volume-controlled execution.<br />
“The flexibility provided by computer-based portfolio<br />
trading systems means we can meet our customer’s<br />
requirements precisely,” explains Ritchie. Lehman’s<br />
Morrar agrees. A key element of using portfolio trading is<br />
its ability to handle the complexity that results from<br />
intra-day market volatility. “Managing a quantity of<br />
futures to trade throughout the day while staying market<br />
neutral is a complexity easily handled,” he notes. The<br />
speed with which a trader can prepare a list and get it to<br />
the exchange is considerably faster than if done via block<br />
trades, he adds.<br />
Two approaches to execution dominate the business.<br />
The first is risk execution, which incorporates a variety of<br />
trading strategies specific to benchmarks or specific prices<br />
set by the client. It is also quite common for trades to be<br />
accompanied by a ‘best<br />
efforts’ mandate. Generally<br />
these are referred to as<br />
agency trades, where the<br />
prices the asset manager<br />
gets are the prices the broker<br />
achieves on his behalf. “In<br />
this case, no particular<br />
benchmark is given and<br />
execution decisions will be<br />
made directly by the<br />
portfolio trader on a multitude of factors, including<br />
liquidity and expected market direction,”explains Andrew<br />
Freyre-Sanders, vice president, portfolio trading at<br />
JP Morgan Securities Ltd. At DrKW, explains says Zachary<br />
Tuckwell, global head of portfolio trading at Dresdner<br />
Kleinwort Wasserstein (DrKW), the business is split three<br />
ways: “with the bulk being a combination of pure agency,<br />
where the client takes the risk, and pure risk, where the<br />
bank takes the risk. The remainder is a mix that includes<br />
guaranteed close and guaranteed volume weighted<br />
average price [VWAP], where the risk is generally split<br />
equally between either the bank or the client.”<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Leading index providers have steadily<br />
moved to free float adjusted indices –<br />
a move designed to avoid supply and<br />
demand distortion of share prices.<br />
Stavros Siokos,<br />
head of alternative execution<br />
sales at Citigroup<br />
Like a number of houses, Deutsche Bank and DrKW<br />
have aligned the portfolio trading business with cash<br />
equities. Ritchie, prior to being promoted to head of<br />
European equities trading was in fact head of portfolio<br />
trading.“Our focus is for our FPT client base to mirror our<br />
cash client base,” expands DrKW’s Tuckwell, though he<br />
points out that this is a relatively recent phenomenon as<br />
previously the bank’s global portfolio trading operations<br />
had been aligned to the bank’s derivatives business.<br />
“DrKW offers clients an<br />
integrated and bespoke<br />
approach where our GPT<br />
cash equity teams will visit<br />
clients together and<br />
strategise together, whether<br />
it is a transition or agency<br />
deal. We listen to a client’s<br />
objectives and then provide<br />
a best fit trading strategy to<br />
accommodate their needs.”<br />
This linkage with cash equities has invariably created<br />
opportunities for small, niche players to leverage business,<br />
particularly among the rising independent brokerages.<br />
Competition is invariably growing and the established<br />
historical dominance of houses such as Citigroup, Lehman<br />
Brothers, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan and others in the<br />
portfolio trading segment is beginning to come under fire<br />
from quarters such as ITG and Instinet. These are not your<br />
typical custody firms with natural access to portfolios from<br />
either custody or transition management flow. ITG does<br />
claim transition management expertise, but Instinet for<br />
one sells its portfolio trading services instead” on being a<br />
55
PORTFOLIO TRADING<br />
56<br />
Emad Morrar,<br />
managing director,<br />
Lehman Brothers<br />
International (Europe)<br />
pure agency broker, with the same sophisticated tools and<br />
expertise, but without the conflicts of interest,” explains<br />
Natan Tiefenbrun, president of Instinet Europe,“we earn<br />
our money entirely through commissions and never by<br />
competing with clients”. It is a pivotal selling point for the<br />
specialist broker. Tiefenbrun would have it that some of<br />
the investment banks do not, in fact, act in the best<br />
interests of clients. He cites the potential for front-running<br />
or pre-hedging which, which he says, could compromise<br />
the relationship between the client and broker. He<br />
explains: “If a portfolio trade is undertaken on a risk basis<br />
(where the broker guarantees the price) then how the<br />
broker subsequently unwinds the portfolio is his own<br />
business. However, in seeking risk bids for a portfolio, the<br />
client has already given them the information on the<br />
characteristics and constituents of the portfolio, and that<br />
can allow them to trade against the client, if they wanted<br />
to do so, even before the risk-price has been set. For<br />
agency trading, the question is whether you can get a true<br />
agency execution from a firm that conducts agency and<br />
principal trading side by side – data mining of customers’<br />
algorithmic trading to fee a<br />
bank’s own proprietary<br />
trading decisions is<br />
commonplace.”<br />
Instinet’s business model is<br />
different, says Tiefenbrun. “The<br />
way we pay our staff ensures it is<br />
aligned with our customer’s best<br />
interest. We do not undertake<br />
principal trading, we preserve<br />
anonymity and confidentiality<br />
and an assured code of conduct<br />
ensures fair treatment, whether<br />
you are a large or small<br />
customer,” he explains.<br />
The response of most of the<br />
houses to the gauntlet of<br />
Instinet is phlegmatic.“DrKW<br />
offers a comprehensive and<br />
high quality GPT service and<br />
our risk offering is, as with<br />
other houses, very competitive<br />
and therefore our client<br />
business has been increasing<br />
steadily – we do not preposition<br />
trades,” says plain<br />
speaking Tuckwell, at DrKW,<br />
agency, guaranteed VWAP,<br />
and exchange for principal, or<br />
EFP.“Our risk offering, as with<br />
other houses, is very<br />
competitive and our business<br />
has been increasing steadily.<br />
We have no need and are not<br />
going to pre-position.”<br />
For some, the competitive<br />
argument is on a different plane. To compete at a high<br />
level in this business investment banks now provide a<br />
comprehensive range of execution services including<br />
“global agency and risk portfolio trading, hybrids,<br />
derivative portfolio strategies with futures and<br />
exchange-traded funds (ETFs) quantitative portfolio<br />
trades,”says Ritchie. Within that the portfolio trader also<br />
has to provide liquidity, comprehensive risk<br />
management services, cash collateral financing and<br />
various analytic tools which can be applied before and<br />
after trading. Though Tiefenbrun concedes that there are<br />
significant differentials in structure and form and even<br />
breadth of total product offering between firms such as<br />
Instinet and the global investment banks, he believes<br />
that trade for trade Instinet provides the same if not<br />
more degree of care and support. Tiefenbrun insists “on<br />
an unprecedented level of transparency and we also<br />
have the advantage of not undertaking principal trading,<br />
which gives our customers comfort.”<br />
But there are other competitive considerations. Instinet,<br />
just like the investment banks, has a high level proprietary<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
portfolio trading system, “built up over many years,” says<br />
Tiefenbrun. He concedes however that new entrants in<br />
today’s market would require a significant investment in<br />
technology, “which would<br />
put the business out of the<br />
hands of the smaller<br />
investment banks wanting to<br />
enter the business, for sure.”<br />
Perhaps the highest<br />
degree of competitive<br />
pressure has been felt most<br />
in the area of analytics. “A<br />
few years ago, for example,<br />
very few offered pre-post<br />
trade tools. Now, it is a sine<br />
qua non,” interjects JP<br />
Morgan’s Freyre-Sanders.<br />
Pre trade analysis gives<br />
investors “the necessary data to make informed trading<br />
decisions at both a macro and micro level and provides<br />
the necessary inputs for trading algorithms,” explains<br />
Adam Toms executive director, global portfolio trading<br />
and advisory at Lehman Brothers. “Post trade analysis<br />
meanwhile concentrates on cost measurement and the<br />
performance of the trading algorithms.”<br />
Mounting complexity means few banks can compete at<br />
these service levels, suggests Freyre-Sanders, who<br />
explains that “the launch of structured portfolio trading<br />
involves producing an all-encompassing service, which<br />
invariably means high barriers for entry.”Technology is a<br />
particular consideration, he suggests “because our clients<br />
have differing technology preferences and security<br />
concerns we can deliver our analytics either as a desktop<br />
application or through a web-based browser. It helps<br />
make us single stop guys. The underlying premise is the<br />
search for execution to live on its own.”<br />
Given the breadth of service it makes sense that more<br />
often than not portfolio trading services are provided in<br />
conjunction with global custody business and transition<br />
management services and because of that, most<br />
investment banks provide a multi-asset execution<br />
capability, although portfolio trading is, specifically, an<br />
“equities-only business,”explains Lehman’s Toms.“From<br />
that point of view, we note a dealing desk progression,”<br />
adds Seema Arora, vice president, portfolio trading, JP<br />
Morgan Securities in London.“These days most buy side<br />
firms will use a centralised dealing desk to manage the<br />
execution of trades. However, we are now seeing a<br />
different breed of buy side dealer, especially on larger<br />
dealing desks, who require a variety of trading tools<br />
including: direct access to the market and the use of sell<br />
side algorithms for greater control and anonymity.” As<br />
early as the spring of 2003 Fidelity Capital Markets, the<br />
institutional trading arm of Fidelity Investments largely<br />
began the direct access trend, utilising the enhanced the<br />
quantitative modelling capabilities of its portfolio trading<br />
operation as a key selling point of its service.<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Mounting complexity means few banks<br />
can compete at these service levels,<br />
suggests Freyre-Sanders, who explains<br />
that “the launch of structured portfolio<br />
trading involves producing an allencompassing<br />
service, which invariably<br />
means high barriers for entry.<br />
On the surface that kind of development appears to be<br />
every traditional portfolio trader’s nightmare.<br />
Nevertheless increasing customer sophistication is seen<br />
as a benefit rather than a<br />
challenge. For one, “at<br />
Citigroup portfolio trading<br />
allows institutional<br />
investors to implement<br />
simultaneous investment<br />
decisions across a large<br />
number of securities<br />
throughout the world,”<br />
maintains Stavros Siokos at<br />
Citigroup.“That by itself can<br />
not be achieved by direct<br />
market access. Asset<br />
managers will invariably<br />
have to access that global<br />
capability through us and houses like us.”Like Deutsche<br />
Bank, Lehman Brothers, and JP Morgan, Citigroup’s<br />
portfolio trading group encompasses around key teams<br />
situated around the world. “The bank’s global market<br />
share provides a distinct advantage in our ability to<br />
service our clients,”says Siokos.<br />
Although Siokos notes “significant direct market access<br />
Adam Toms, executive<br />
director, global portfolio<br />
trading and advisory at<br />
Lehman Brothers.<br />
57
PORTFOLIO TRADING<br />
58<br />
flow” it is “not as popular as<br />
you might expect.” To be<br />
effective, he points out, you<br />
need a big sized trading desk<br />
and not every buy side<br />
institution can afford ten to<br />
fifteen traders to hand, backed<br />
by a small quant team.<br />
Equally, if something does go<br />
wrong you have no broker to<br />
help cover your position – so<br />
there is the added comfort of<br />
transferring those operational<br />
risks to the specialist.”<br />
While portfolio trading<br />
remains a high volume, low margin business, it will<br />
continue to suffer particular stresses. The downside to the<br />
changes in portfolio construction is the transactions costs<br />
There are myriad reasons why portfolio<br />
trading is gaining. Not least is the<br />
increased availability of technology, a<br />
trend towards quantitative ‘top down’<br />
portfolio management, a greater focus<br />
on transactions costs, and a growing<br />
requirement for asset managers to<br />
respond quickly to market movements.<br />
Natan Tiefenbrun, president<br />
of Instinet Europe<br />
that investors are subject to<br />
in rebalancing portfolios.<br />
Combine that with<br />
regulatory pressures to<br />
understand the costs and<br />
fees that are being charged<br />
in the industry and the<br />
strain builds and builds.<br />
Consequently, “there is<br />
incessant pressure on<br />
margins and margins are<br />
being pressed to<br />
sub-economic levels,”<br />
acknowledges Deutsche<br />
Bank’s Ritchie. “There is<br />
always a new entrant to break ranks and come in at a<br />
favourable price, to win business,” – a point not lost<br />
in the market. “It is question of positioning, expands<br />
Lehman Brothers’ Morrar. We compete on<br />
product quality, not price – that is a losing<br />
game.” DrKW’s Tuckwell agrees. “Relationships<br />
are an incredibly important consideration,<br />
putting a human face on the trade and then<br />
trying to add value at every level. Everyone<br />
has their particular strength. You can win<br />
business just on price, but you can not keep it, if<br />
you are not adding value throughout the<br />
execution chain.”<br />
It is a complex balance, suggest Lehman<br />
Brothers’ Toms between “people, systems such<br />
as algorithms and the value-added analytics<br />
and advisory on a pre and post trade basis and<br />
getting the balance right all the time.” Morrar<br />
expands, saying that portfolio trading cannot be<br />
commoditised.“If you do that, there is no need<br />
for the quant teams or the analytics. Once you<br />
have made the decision to commoditise the<br />
business you have lost the game.”Utilisation of<br />
algorithmic trading strategies alone does not, in<br />
fact, guarantee better results. Investors need to<br />
specify appropriate macro level strategies and<br />
select brokers who can align micro level pricing<br />
algorithms with their overall objectives. Ritchie<br />
meanwhile takes the pragmatic stance that “at<br />
some level market forces will prevail and the<br />
buyside will comprehend the level of service<br />
they get for the price they pay.”<br />
For the time being however portfolio trading<br />
volumes are pushing through at a heady rate<br />
and volumes are still compensating for the lack<br />
of really healthy margins. “We have seen<br />
geometric growth,” admits Ritchie,<br />
acknowledging “portfolio transitions a key<br />
customer of the portfolio trading desk.” For<br />
Deutsche Bank this note has particular<br />
resonance as the bank remains one of the top<br />
two transition management houses in the world<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
y volume of portfolio assets<br />
transited.“It certainly gives us<br />
an edge,”he concedes.<br />
The importance of an inhouse<br />
transition management<br />
business however is neither<br />
ubiquitous, nor always<br />
fundamental to portfolio<br />
trading volumes. Siokos, for<br />
example, anticipates that only<br />
around 20% of portfolio<br />
trading undertaken by<br />
Citigroup this year will be a<br />
direct result of portfolio<br />
transitions. “In our firm,” he<br />
says, “‘Chinese walls’ exist<br />
between the transition<br />
management team and<br />
portfolio tracing.”However, he<br />
concedes that “transition<br />
management is a particularly<br />
strong element this year as a<br />
number of major indices have<br />
undergone a restructuring.<br />
Imagine how many index<br />
funds have had to readjust<br />
because of this.”<br />
Since 2000, leading index<br />
providers have steadily moved<br />
to free float adjusted indices –<br />
a move designed to avoid<br />
supply and demand distortion<br />
of share prices. In turn,<br />
capitalisation weight has<br />
shifted from low free-float<br />
companies to high free-float<br />
companies, requiring<br />
significant change or<br />
rebalancing of passive<br />
investment portfolios benchmarked against specific<br />
indices. Index providers <strong>FTSE</strong> and MSCI were early<br />
movers, moving to free float adjusted indices in stages<br />
between 2001 and 2002. Now a broad range of free float<br />
calculated indices are available in the market, ranging<br />
from the Dow Wilshire Indices to the SENSEX (Malaysia)<br />
and TSE (Japan) indices in Asia. Last year Standard &<br />
Poor’s (S&P) announced it was moving to free float index<br />
calculations in two stages: half the float adjustments for<br />
each constituent were made in March, with the remainder<br />
scheduled for September.<br />
As portfolios are continually rebalanced to compensate<br />
for changes, there is no doubt that portfolio traders have<br />
benefited and continue to benefit from portfolio<br />
transitions. At the top end explains Lehman Brothers’<br />
Morrar “with more complex multi-asset business, we<br />
would work directly with our transition team, which has<br />
separate reporting lines from our portfolio trading<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Garth Ritchie, head of European<br />
equities trading at Deutsche<br />
Bank in London<br />
business. If it is equity only then it is in practice just a big<br />
portfolio trade, unless the client specifically wants a<br />
transition management project team around it.” It is not<br />
an uncommon request, adds Adam Toms, “some clients<br />
want the trades undertaken behind Chinese walls. And<br />
with the equity markets on something of a rebound we<br />
are seeing more equity-only transitions.”<br />
The relationship between portfolio trades and portfolio<br />
transitions would suggest seasonal peaks and troughs<br />
though DrKW’s Tuckwell notes that traditional trading<br />
patterns are in flux as “many passive managers are<br />
working smarter. There are a lot of people, both active<br />
and passive, who are looking at index make-up and<br />
starting to anticipate which way things will move. Some<br />
managers are not waiting for specific announcements<br />
and are moving slightly before or after an expected<br />
rebalancing of an index. It is changing the pace and<br />
tempo of the business.”<br />
59
SECURITIES LENDING<br />
60<br />
Andy Clayton,<br />
head of<br />
securities lending<br />
at Northern Trust<br />
CUSTODIAN<br />
LENDERS<br />
FIGHT BACK<br />
The big changes in the $2trn securities lending market have perhaps already<br />
happened as increased competition from new lenders and the umbilical cord<br />
which largely kept securities lending and custody tied together was finally cut.<br />
Today’s market is living with the consequence of those changes. Diverse lending<br />
routes and new providers of liquidity are changing the structure of the market.<br />
But now the custodians are fighting back, arguing that they alone are the true<br />
providers of transparency and proper risk management and, they say,<br />
regulatory requirements are playing onside. Francesca Carnevale reports.<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
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rights to the optimal bidders.<br />
Our clients receive more lending revenue<br />
over their traditional programs, because<br />
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the traditional “best efforts” approach, our<br />
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because borrowers pay guaranteed fees<br />
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eSecLending clients achieve all this while<br />
maintaining conservative risk parameters and<br />
close control over their lending programs.<br />
United States +1.617.204.4500<br />
Europe +44 (0) 207.002.6700<br />
info@eseclending.com<br />
www.eseclending.com
SECURITIES LENDING<br />
62<br />
NORTH OF THE River Thames, Wayne Burlingham,<br />
head of securities lending, institutional fund<br />
services, EMEA, at custodian lender HSBC’s<br />
Mariner House offices in London, ruminates as he ponders<br />
the evolving structure of today’s market. “I think we all<br />
agree the big concern these days is the effect of competition.<br />
Margins have been drifting down for years and it is a<br />
challenge to construct operations to handle higher volume<br />
and lower margins.” Meanwhile, almost in frustration, Tim<br />
Smollen, managing director and global co-head, agency<br />
securities lending at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein<br />
(DrKW) in London, says “tell me something different about<br />
securities lending. It has been about the same issues for too<br />
long.” Both cut to the heart of the matter. That is that the<br />
growing segment of third party agent lenders is successfully<br />
challenging the traditional foundations of the business, but<br />
at a price. How that challenge will pan out over the next few<br />
years is still to be decided. According to Andy Clayton, head<br />
of securities lending at Northern Trust, “competition isn’t<br />
necessarily a bad thing. Custodian lenders are doing a good<br />
job for clients but need to spend more time telling them<br />
about it. Securities lending being item 7 on a custody service<br />
review agenda is not the way to respond to the threat of<br />
third party agent lender sales professionals.”<br />
Securities lending involves the temporary exchange of<br />
securities, generally for cash or other securities of equal or<br />
greater value. Borrowers of the securities are also obliged to<br />
redeliver the same quantity of the same securities at a<br />
determined future date. Equities, government bonds and<br />
other fixed income instruments are all included in the asset<br />
mix. Bonds are among the largest area of securities lent,<br />
though equities “are more lucrative,” says Burlingham.<br />
“Portfolio return is affected by the utilisation rate (the<br />
proportion of securities out on loan),” explains Smollen,<br />
and that depends on the demand for particular stocks.<br />
Securities ‘borrowers’ borrow on an ‘open’competing basis<br />
with other counterparties or sometimes on an exclusive<br />
basis. The assets they borrow are generally used to supply<br />
two areas of demand. First is the demand from banks and<br />
brokers (including the securities borrower’s proprietary<br />
Fredrik Carstens, DrKW’s<br />
managing director of<br />
agency lending and head<br />
of EMEA marketing<br />
trading desk) who will need the securities to support market<br />
positions. A second and fast growing area of demand is from<br />
prime brokers which provide support for the wide varieties<br />
of trading strategies employed by hedge funds.<br />
Until a few years ago the securities lending market was<br />
pretty linear and straightforward. Securities lending was a<br />
key component of the custody offering. Asset (or beneficial)<br />
owners bundled their custody and securities lending<br />
mandates and custodians, such as State Street, Citigroup,<br />
HSBC, Northern Trust and JP Morgan, competed on price<br />
knowing they could pick up additional fee revenue for<br />
lending securities in their client’s portfolio on a ‘best efforts’<br />
basis. It created relative cosy relationships as each side<br />
benefited from the structure. It was a classic ‘win-win’<br />
relationship as the lender paid the client revenue resulting<br />
from securities on loan and the client paid fees to the<br />
lender for the privilege of lending out the assets.<br />
Even in recent days, custodian lenders have benefited from<br />
the tendency for asset managers to outsource back office<br />
operations, with securities lending mandates often part of the<br />
package. There are various examples that can be quoted.<br />
Mellon was selected by F&C to provide investment<br />
administration services, the functions outsourced included<br />
securities lending, among others. AXA Investment<br />
Management, meanwhile, agreed an outsourcing<br />
arrangement with State Street in March, with a securities<br />
lending arrangement attached. Equally, HSBC recently<br />
scored ‘the double’ with UK fund management company<br />
Gartmore. With that kind of stickiness inherent in the<br />
business, it is no wonder that custodian lenders are peddling<br />
hard to retain their dominance. Ed O’Brien, executive vice<br />
president and head of State Street’s securities finance/lending<br />
business thinks the issue is clear cut.“In today’s market an<br />
established player with expertise and inventory becomes a<br />
valuable player. We work as a custodian lender, but also as a<br />
third party lender. People choose us not only because of the<br />
synergy we have with our custody operation, but also<br />
because of our robust reporting capabilities, cash investment<br />
processes and our large client base.”<br />
Even so, both O’Brien and Burlingham acknowledge<br />
growing competition for securities<br />
mandates from other sources. Pure third<br />
party lending agents such as DrKW (that<br />
act as a specialist lending agent and do not<br />
provide custody securities) for instance, are<br />
picking up substantial business volumes.<br />
Some of that business is resulting from new<br />
clients bringing in new liquidity. Equally<br />
some of the business is coming at the<br />
expense of the custodian lenders. There is<br />
much to play for – particularly outside the<br />
United States. “There’s a big push with<br />
pension plans and insurance companies in<br />
Europe,”agrees State Street’s O’Brien. Asia<br />
is also opening up, he adds. Today<br />
approximately 20% of Japanese funds lend.<br />
There are growing opportunities out there.”<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
But the custodian lenders are not just discomfited by the<br />
loss of fee revenue. Burlingham explains, “The rise of the<br />
third party agents invariably adds to operational risk. If a<br />
third party lender is included in a chain handling corporate<br />
actions, dividend payments and recalls, it all adds up to the<br />
potential for mistakes being made.” Certainly, “the<br />
avoidance of the additional challenges of supporting a third<br />
party agent provides extra incentive to win the business,”<br />
adds Clayton. DrKW’s Smollen is quick to disagree.“With<br />
advances in technology, particularly on the SWIFT front,<br />
there is a minimal amount of operational risk in what, in<br />
many instances, is a straight-through process.”<br />
Nonetheless, business for the third party agents is brisk<br />
and building apace. For example, from a standing start in<br />
August of 2002, DrKW’s third party agent lending business<br />
is now approaching $100bn out on loan, says Smollen.<br />
Third party agents vary widely in service offering and in<br />
market expertise. DrKW’s market position, for instance, is<br />
built upon the securities lending team’s extensive capital<br />
markets expertise.“We started this business at JP Morgan,”<br />
explains Fredrik Carstens, DrKW’s managing director of<br />
agency lending and head of EMEA marketing, “then at<br />
Deutsche Bank and then here.”One of DrKW’s competitive<br />
advantages is the positioning of the agency business in<br />
capital markets alongside the bank’s trading desks which<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
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<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
provide invaluable access to services such as research as<br />
well as trading and risk management tools. Carstens states<br />
that DrKW is now the world’s second biggest repo house.<br />
“We compete on performance,” says Smollen and “we<br />
simply have more assets on loan at better spreads,<br />
benefiting from the fact that we are smaller and are able to<br />
maximise revenues on every portfolio,” adds Carstens.<br />
DrKW’s specialist niche however is difficult to replicate and<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Wayne Burlingham,<br />
head of securities<br />
lending, institutional<br />
fund services, EMEA<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
63
SECURITIES LENDING<br />
64<br />
Tim Smollen,<br />
managing director<br />
and global co-head,<br />
agency securities<br />
lending at Dresdner<br />
Kleinwort Wasserstein<br />
the contenders in the securities lending market often hover<br />
in both the custody and third party agent camps.<br />
RBC’s third party agent business has a totally different<br />
approach and model. RBC’s approach is based around the<br />
concept of broker-dealer as principal.“Clients authorise us<br />
to on-lend on a discretionary basis within our<br />
programme,” explains Fred Francis, vice president, RBC<br />
Global Services. RBC acts as a principal and “borrowers<br />
only see RBC as the counterparty,” he explains. “Record<br />
keeping and documentation is simpler in that legally we<br />
areliable. This programme model is a big seller to both<br />
borrowers and lenders. Clients clearly understand where<br />
the risk lies,” he adds. What this means however is that<br />
RBC is particularly careful with whom it deals and secondly<br />
that cash as collateral is limited to small portion of the total<br />
collateral it accepts. “While some borrowers will want to<br />
Ed O’Brien,<br />
executive vice president<br />
and head of State Street’s<br />
securities finance/lending<br />
business<br />
provide cash as collateral, cash is the most expensive<br />
commodity there is,” explains Francis. However, he<br />
continues, for this approach to work effectively the<br />
technology infrastructure supporting the business must be<br />
extensive. On a proprietary basis,“RBC has created a loan<br />
and collateral inventory that provides it with the asset<br />
management capability required to handle large volume<br />
business. We’ve made sizeable investments to ensure a<br />
seamless process with our third party clients,”he says. The<br />
bank is also making strides in conduit lending – another<br />
variation on the overall theme. Francis explains: “a client<br />
can hire us to direct the securities lending programmes of<br />
other custodians,”which, he says, is gaining in popularity.<br />
A different handle again is provided by Swiss American<br />
Securities Inc., in New York (SASI), whose special niche is<br />
introducing US securities from non US institutions – “supply<br />
that is not typically available,”says Ed Anselmin, senior vicepresident<br />
of operations. Anselmin explains that the key<br />
opportunity for his operation is the institution’s ability to<br />
bring in substantial new liquidity. However, while acting as<br />
an “intermediary”in the securities lending market, Anselmin<br />
acknowledges that supply often originates from its custodial<br />
operations, particularly in Europe. Anselmin says that SASI<br />
adopts a highly aggressive market approach. “It hangs on<br />
level of service, and the ability to pay the best rate. We will<br />
trade at spreads that maybe other people don’t want to do.”<br />
Enter then eSecLending, majority-owned by financial<br />
services firm Old Mutual plc, with its specialist auction<br />
process. Known as eSecAuction, it provides principal<br />
borrowing arrangements with multiple users through a<br />
proprietary web application. “We are providing borrowers<br />
with access to reliable supply – under circumstances where<br />
borrowers bid competitively for access in a blind auction,”<br />
explains Susan C. Peters, eSecLending’s chief executive<br />
officer. To date, the firm has auctioned just over $500bn of<br />
securities since its inception back in 2000 and in January<br />
this year was utilised by the Ohio Public Employees<br />
Retirement System, in a mega-auction which allowed a<br />
group of major financial institutions to access $31bn in US<br />
equities, for a period up to one year – after which time the<br />
rights to the securities will be auctioned again.<br />
Direct lending or direct market access (DMA) is also a<br />
feature of the market, though few fund managers<br />
undertake the activity themselves, given the investment in<br />
technology and business volumes required to justify a goit-alone<br />
strategy. Dutch mutual fund giant Robeco has<br />
gone down this route, having obtained the necessary<br />
regulatory clearance. According to RBC’s Francis,“DMA is<br />
growing in the North American market, but in Europe it is<br />
diminishing as few houses could really extract value. The<br />
prospect of single digit returns, the focus on outsourcing<br />
and the increasing demands on performance and<br />
innovation will drive outsourcing of securities lending. I<br />
think the trend to outsource by European beneficial owners<br />
will gather pace for some time to come.”As a consequence<br />
of this diversity clients too, view the business differently.“In<br />
these revenue and cost conscious days, a few extra basis points<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
here and there really mean something and this is feeding the<br />
competitive cycle,”explains Burlingham.<br />
Change has come about for a confluence of reasons. In<br />
some cases, fund management firms have themselves<br />
become more sophisticated and complex structures; more<br />
insistent on separating different churches and states within<br />
their organisation. Consequently, securities lending<br />
mandates are not necessary awarded by the same managers<br />
that award custody mandates. Smollen backs this approach:<br />
“our view is that custody is a back office function and<br />
securities lending is increasingly a front office activity.”<br />
Burlingham thinks the issue is less clear cut.“Much depends<br />
on the approach of the asset owners,” he maintains.<br />
“Significant UK funds such as Morley and M&G see<br />
securities lending as core fund management business – that<br />
is, front office. AXA on the back of their reported discussions<br />
with State Street, seem to be viewing it as more of a back<br />
office business that is suitable for potentially outsourcing to a<br />
custodian lender,” Burlingham says. According to Northern<br />
Trust’s Clayton,“for a large client, the selection of a securities<br />
lending agent should be considered in the same manner as<br />
an investment manager appointment, particularly given the<br />
value a good lending agent can add.”Jamie M. Ball, managing<br />
director and head of capital markets of ABN AMRO Mellon<br />
Global Securities Services, agrees.“Different fund managers<br />
YOU’LL ENJOY MANY ADVANTAGES WORKING WITH<br />
US. SLEEPING NIGHTS IS JUST THE BEGINNING.<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
view securities lending in different ways. And that fact that<br />
proxy voting is very important to fund managers does define<br />
how they are willing to have their portfolios lent. Third party<br />
lending structures do not generally work when managers<br />
actively seek to vote their holdings.“<br />
eSEcLending’s Peters thinks that it is less of an issue in<br />
the United States, where more beneficial owners are<br />
prepared to lend out their portfolios.“We are seeing both a<br />
greater number of clients as well as the continued<br />
expansion of existing client mandates,” she says. “It’s an<br />
exciting time as we work with managers directly to<br />
optimise their overall investment returns.”<br />
Burlingham also points to the structural differences<br />
between the United States (US) and European markets.“It<br />
would be more unusual for US asset owners to handle<br />
securities lending operations internally. In the United<br />
Kingdom, it is the exact opposite,” and that he thinks is a<br />
key driver of the rise of third party lenders in the US.<br />
Equally, in the US, large pension funds such as the<br />
CalPERS at one time would have often outsourced all their<br />
securities lending requirement to one custodian lender.<br />
“Now that’s changed and CalPERS uses a multitude of<br />
securities lenders,”he adds.<br />
DrKW’s Smollen is adamant about the advantages<br />
inherent in the third party agent offering. “The business<br />
Peace of mind is just one of the rewards of working<br />
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65
SECURITIES LENDING<br />
66<br />
Jamie M. Ball,<br />
managing director<br />
and head of capital<br />
markets of ABN<br />
AMRO Mellon<br />
Global Securities<br />
Services<br />
becomes more transparent,” he maintains – a key<br />
consideration these days. “We also compete on<br />
performance, as there is generally better revenue generated<br />
and the interests of the parties are more effectively aligned<br />
as a high degree of customisation is possible.”<br />
Stephane Haot, global head of securities lending at Dexia<br />
Fund Services, thinks that while in the short term there is<br />
room for everyone, over the medium to long term important<br />
market developments will once again push the business<br />
back into the hands of the custodians.“Our belief is that not<br />
everyone will be able to cope with new regulations, new<br />
trading strategies, IT investments and risk concerns,<br />
particularly in the light of Basel II implementation,”he says.<br />
“The market is becoming more challenging, will lead to<br />
concentrations, and custodians will eventually win the battle<br />
for business.”Jamie Ball adds that custodian lenders are also<br />
increasing the flexibility of their offerings to clients.“As an<br />
example, we have I-Bid, our own internet auction product.<br />
With 297 clients, we find they range across the spectrum of<br />
client types. We need to be as flexible as possible in order to<br />
meet their needs, particularly those of the largest, who often<br />
want to have different approaches to the market.“<br />
Haot believes the battleground in the marketplace rests in<br />
the large beneficial ownership sector. “At the moment,<br />
everyone is tempted to try the various methods of lending<br />
available to them, internal methods, third parties, auctions<br />
and via custodians,”he adds.“For the time being the market is<br />
assisted by generally bearish conditions and the<br />
acknowledgement by asset managers that these days<br />
securities lending is part of the strategic investment equation.”<br />
HSBC’s Burlingham concurs. “The obvious connotation<br />
of that is an increased awareness of risk,” he says,<br />
explaining that these days the bank provides<br />
indemnification, if required. For banks with such a large<br />
balance sheet, indemnification is an easy sell, but says<br />
Burlingham “if someone does not have that level of balance<br />
sheet backing, what is their indemnity worth?”<br />
Ed O’Brien acknowledges the advantages that custodian<br />
lenders have in this regard.“We are Basel II compliant already,<br />
having introduced an advanced risk management system. We<br />
have also received exemption from the US Federal Reserve<br />
Bank to net certain activities because we have already met the<br />
Basel II criteria. But we know there are institutions out there<br />
working under a Basel II lite [sic] scenario because full<br />
compliance is proving a challenge to some.”Northern Trust’s<br />
Clayton, meanwhile, says “custodian lenders should always be<br />
strong on risk management – it is a key attraction to many<br />
clients of Northern Trust that we have not experienced a loss<br />
in our lending business. Staying in step with regulatory<br />
changes is key to business retention, but custodians need to<br />
evolve from this base and be more innovative in order to grow<br />
the business.”<br />
Minimising risk is a key component of Dexia’s approach<br />
and compartmentalising its onshore and offshore businesses<br />
per similar client types. “Our strategic view is that<br />
considering lending advances, tax harmonisation trends,<br />
cost contingents coupled with risk regulation, we believe you<br />
need a large supplier for all these developments,”says Haot.<br />
He cites as an example of the attention to detail the way the<br />
bank operates its offshore securities lending operations.“We<br />
treat it separately, and build up specific baskets which we<br />
trade, on an internal auction basis, with prime brokers to<br />
maximise utilisations and related revenues. Of course the<br />
follow up work is more complex and detailed.”The bank has<br />
also built up an extensive internal grading system for all<br />
counterparties to extract the best value for its clients. He<br />
acknowledges Dexia has a highly risk averse approach,“but<br />
it gives clients an exceptional degree of comfort in all the<br />
lending stages,”he states.<br />
An added consideration says SASI’s Anselmin is that in<br />
the US market regulation has resulted “in some tightening<br />
away from anticipated settlement failures.There used to be a<br />
market,” he explains, “in securities which were difficult to<br />
settle.” The passage of the Securities and Exchange<br />
Commission’s SHO regulation last August, which defines<br />
ownership of securities and specifies aggregation of long<br />
and short positions and which also requires broker-dealers<br />
to market sales in all equity securities as long, or short, or<br />
short exempt, has changed the willingness of clients to<br />
“short those transactions,”he says. As well, he points out the<br />
same regulation has insisted on real transparency in the<br />
market.“I am in full support of the SEC’s efforts in increasing<br />
transparency,” says Anselmin, “especially regarding the<br />
technical reporting of beneficial ownership – an initiative<br />
backed by the SIA Securities Lending Division.”<br />
Stephane Haot,<br />
global head of<br />
securities lending at<br />
Dexia Fund Services<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
change<br />
discontinuous<br />
The pharmaceutical industry faces a critical five<br />
years ahead. After its spectacular bull run<br />
which lasted from 1994 to 2001 and which saw<br />
the market valuations of big US and European<br />
companies in the sector soar by more than<br />
400% – share prices have stagnated or fallen<br />
over the past four years as investor confidence<br />
has ebbed away. While profits remain high,<br />
there is little incentive to change. Is there a<br />
new approach in the offing? Andrew<br />
Cavenagh reports.<br />
INVESTORS FEAR ESTABLISHED drug manufacturers<br />
are poorly positioned to cope with the pressures of a<br />
changing world, in which the demand for wider access<br />
to an acceptable level of healthcare is growing year on year.<br />
A continuing supply of innovative, life-enhancing – and<br />
affordable – prescription drugs is clearly vital to realising<br />
this goal. If the industry fails to deliver them, more<br />
government intervention is inevitable.<br />
Last year a group of 15 private-sector industry<br />
‘stakeholders’ undertook a detailed investigation into the<br />
challenges that confront the sector and its likely future<br />
direction. The Pharma Futures group was set up and<br />
sponsored by three of the world's largest pension funds –<br />
Algemeen Burgerlijk Pensioenfonds (ABP) of the<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Netherlands, the Ohio Public Employees Retirement<br />
System, and the UK's Universities Superannuation<br />
Scheme, which – as long-term owners of pharmaceutical<br />
stocks – have a substantial interest in the sector's<br />
continuing profitability.<br />
The findings of the Pharma Futures report, published in<br />
December last year, made uncomfortable reading for<br />
everyone involved in the business. The report finds that<br />
fundamental change for the industry is inevitable since<br />
“muddling through” on the basis of the current business<br />
model will mean increasingly unsuccessful fire-fighting on<br />
a growing number of fronts. The report also highlights<br />
ways that the sector can manage this change and emerge<br />
profitable and successful. Critically, the report shows that<br />
these challenges will only be met if both the sector and its<br />
institutional investors change their thinking and adapt to<br />
the new circumstances.<br />
It concluded that unless the companies manage to bring<br />
innovative treatments to the market more quickly, the<br />
decline in the sector’s value will continue – as will the<br />
growing pressure from a broader society to see it<br />
overhauled. As well, the report said investor confidence in<br />
the sector’s ability to deliver sustainable shareholder value<br />
had eroded. Perhaps most worryingly – the report added<br />
that “trust is a key issue for this highly regulated sector and<br />
is under serious threat”.<br />
“People really are going through a crisis of confidence<br />
SECTOR REPORT: PHARMACEUTICALS<br />
67
SECTOR REPORT: PHARMACEUTICALS<br />
68<br />
with this sector,”says Stewart Adkins,<br />
senior pharmaceuticals analyst at<br />
Lehman Brothers and one of the 15<br />
members of the Pharma Futures<br />
panel.“In a global context, I think it is<br />
going down.” He suggests that<br />
annual growth rates in the sector will<br />
drop from 10% to 6-7%, unless the<br />
big companies make drastic changes<br />
to their business models.<br />
The companies are all too aware<br />
that a watershed looms. As Hank<br />
McKinnell, chairman and chief<br />
executive officer (CEO) of the US<br />
world-leader Pfizer, told his<br />
shareholders in February at the<br />
presentation of the company's 2004<br />
results,“there can be no doubt that<br />
Pfizer, along with other researchbased<br />
pharmaceutical companies, is<br />
facing the headwinds of an<br />
operating environment quite unlike<br />
any we have ever seen.” McKinnell<br />
explained that “We face severe<br />
pricing pressures, a contentious<br />
political atmosphere, and a maze of<br />
new regulatory demands. We are in<br />
a period of ‘discontinuous change’<br />
– where many of the assumptions<br />
of the last half century no longer<br />
hold true”.<br />
Bizarrely, the sector’s current<br />
financial performance gives no<br />
inclination of such impending crisis.<br />
Pfizer and the other three US and<br />
European giants –<br />
GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, and Merck – collectively<br />
made profits of over US$30bn in 2004 on a combined<br />
turnover of more than US$130bn [see table]. Furthermore,<br />
Pfizer’s net income of US$11.36bn came from sales of<br />
US$52.5bn – double the level of just five years ago – and<br />
the sector continues to command high credit ratings.“The<br />
highly rated US pharmaceutical industry reflects strong<br />
credit profiles due to healthy balance sheets, superior<br />
margins, excellent liquidity and solid cash-flow<br />
generation,”Fitch concluded in a report on the sector at the<br />
end of last year.<br />
“Even the more troubled credits are still in the single-A<br />
category,” adds Michael Zbinovec, the Fitch analyst in<br />
Chicago who wrote the report.<br />
So why does this performance fail so utterly to impress<br />
the investment community? Despite its figures for 2004,<br />
Pfizer’s share price dropped 24% over the year. According<br />
to Adkins at Lehman Brothers, the disparity between the<br />
sector’s financial performance and investor sentiment<br />
reflects the difference between its last 10 years and future<br />
prospects. “They’ve got huge legacy balance sheets and<br />
Stewart Adkins, senior pharmaceuticals analyst<br />
at Lehman Brothers<br />
“People really are going<br />
through a crisis of<br />
confidence with this<br />
sector,” says Stewart<br />
Adkins, senior<br />
pharmaceuticals analyst at<br />
Lehman Brothers.<br />
huge legacy cash flows from the<br />
glory years,”he explains.<br />
Looking forward, by contrast,<br />
investors see mounting pressures<br />
on drug company revenues and<br />
profits from a number of sources –<br />
the fast-approaching expiry of<br />
patents of a number of ‘blockbuster’<br />
drugs, increasing pressure to<br />
regulate prices in the US and a<br />
proliferation of expensive lawsuits –<br />
arising from both civil litigation and<br />
regulatory investigations. “Longer<br />
term, I do not have a positive view<br />
in pharmaceuticals,” says Martin<br />
Eijgenhuijsen, the senior portfolio<br />
manager at ABP Investments who is<br />
responsible for the fund’s equity<br />
investments in healthcare (about<br />
4% of €156bn) and was another<br />
member of the Pharma Futures<br />
panel. “I think it is a lot more<br />
attractive than a couple of years ago,<br />
but I don’t see real signs that the<br />
industry is recovering.”<br />
The big concern on the near<br />
horizon is the expiry of patents,<br />
which undoubtedly represent a clear<br />
and present danger to companies’<br />
earnings. The loss of revenue on an<br />
‘expired’drug is now estimated to be<br />
between 70% and 80% within a<br />
matter of months, as opposed to the<br />
figure of around 50% that was<br />
generally assumed a few years ago.<br />
“Investors and analysts consistently<br />
underestimate the impact this can have on earnings,”<br />
maintains Adkins at Lehman Brothers. He adds that there<br />
has been no “meaningful pick-up”in new patent approvals<br />
to replace the revenue streams that are about to be lost.<br />
Zbinovec at Fitch, on the other hand, says expirations<br />
will not be too much of an industry-wide issue this year.<br />
The loss of patent protection for Abbott Laboratories’<br />
immediate-release form of Biaxin and Johnson & Johnson’s<br />
Duragesic are likely to be the two largest instances.<br />
However, he acknowledges, there will be a large number of<br />
significant expiries in 2006.“That concerns me quite a bit,”<br />
comments Eijgenhuijsen at ABP. Affected companies will<br />
include Merck, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer. McKinnell<br />
warned his shareholders in February that the company<br />
would “lose patent protection on several of its best-selling<br />
medicines between this year and the end of 2007”.<br />
The impact of expirations will not be uniform across the<br />
sector, however, and Zbinovec at Fitch says: “You almost<br />
have to look at it on a company-by-company basis.”<br />
At the same time, the companies will have to face up to<br />
a big change in the drug-purchasing arrangements in the<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
US. This is significant. The US alone accounts for 48% of<br />
the industry’s global sales and probably nearer two thirds<br />
of its profits.<br />
Further, it is the only significant market that is not<br />
subject to price controls<br />
The Medicare Drug Improvement and Modernisation<br />
Act (MMA) will offer senior citizens – who are incurring<br />
increasing out-of-pocket expense for their medications –<br />
a comprehensive drug benefits package for a premium<br />
from the beginning of 2006 and is expected to lead<br />
millions of retired people to abandon the private pension<br />
plans that presently meet part of their requirements.<br />
This will, in effect, turn the Federal government into the<br />
drug companies’ biggest customer in the US. "The<br />
Government will become the largest funder [sic] of drugs<br />
from 2006," says Adkins. “That changes the outlook for<br />
the market quite considerably.”<br />
Although the Bush Administration is not in favour of the<br />
government setting drug prices and believes the task is<br />
better left to the private<br />
sector – and the MMA<br />
restricts government<br />
interference in pricing<br />
decisions – it does seem<br />
inconceivable that the<br />
government will hand over<br />
tens of billions of dollars to<br />
the industry without some<br />
scrutiny of costs.<br />
Adkins says the federal<br />
authorities are unlikely, for<br />
example, to pay the prices<br />
needed to support the<br />
massive sales operations<br />
that the drug companies<br />
currently maintain – the<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
sector spends twice as much on marketing as it does on<br />
research and development.“It will define corporate strategy<br />
[going forwards],”he says.“I think the industry has backed<br />
itself into a corner."<br />
While the pricing model for the MMA has yet to be<br />
determined, Fitch suggests that the pressure for price cuts<br />
should be offset in part by the greater volumes of drugs<br />
that will be distributed through the programme. However,<br />
it concedes that the overall effect on earnings remains<br />
“uncertain”.<br />
Meanwhile, product liability claims against drug<br />
manufacturers continue to rise and the trend shows no<br />
sign of abating. The litigation industry received a big boost<br />
from Merck’s decision to withdraw its Vioxx COX-2<br />
selective inhibitor for arthritis and pain in September 2004,<br />
after studies showed that the remedy increased risk of<br />
heart attacks and strokes. The company is now facing more<br />
than 800 individual law suits over Vioxx, and the number of<br />
claims could expand exponentially. Allegedly officials at the<br />
US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) estimate that up<br />
to 55,000 deaths may be attributable to the drug.Testimony<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
The Pharmaceuticals Sector – Surviving the Crisis of Confidence<br />
Dec-93<br />
Dec-94<br />
Dec-95<br />
Dec-96<br />
Dec-97<br />
Dec-98<br />
Dec-99<br />
Dec-00<br />
Johnson & Johnson Pfitzer GlaxoSmithKline<br />
Novartis (REGD) Sanofi-Aventis<br />
by the FDA’s deputy director, Dr Sandra Kweder, to a US<br />
Senate panel on March 2 seems unlikely to help the<br />
company’s cause. Kweder reportedly indicated that it had<br />
taken over a year for warnings about the increased risk to<br />
appear on Vioxx labels because of protracted negotiations<br />
with the company over the wording.<br />
Zbinovec at Fitch observes that product liability<br />
awareness in the industry had already been heightened in<br />
2004 – by Wyeth’s ongoing litigation of its diet drug, Bayer’s<br />
continuing liability for Baycol, and Pfizer’s agreement in<br />
July to pay US$60m to settle a class action for the diabetes<br />
drug Rezulin (which it inherited when it acquired Warner-<br />
Lambert in 2000). Further says Zbinovec, the overall level<br />
of litigation is now at record levels. “I would say it far<br />
exceeds the norm for the industry.”<br />
In terms of its financial impact on the sector, however,<br />
Zbinovec says one encouraging sign is that the drug<br />
companies are adopting a tougher stance to such claims.<br />
“Now the industry is fighting these cases tooth and nail.”<br />
Dec-01<br />
Dec-02<br />
Dec-03<br />
Dec-04<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Pharmaceuticals Index<br />
Data as at 31 March 2005. Source: <strong>FTSE</strong> Group<br />
Official investigations into<br />
industry practices are also<br />
rising sharply. Through<br />
2003 and 2004 the US<br />
government secured<br />
penalties and fines<br />
totalling US$2.5bn from<br />
the sector. Elsewhere, it is<br />
a similar story. In the last<br />
week of March, for<br />
example, police in London<br />
arrested Ajit and Kirti<br />
Patel, respectively chief<br />
executive and chief<br />
executive officer of the<br />
Goldshields Group. Their<br />
arrest and release on<br />
police bail was the latest development in an investigation<br />
the Serious Fraud Office began in 2002 into suspected price<br />
fixing of generic medicines by companies supplying the<br />
National Health Service.<br />
Zbinovec says the increasing number of investigations<br />
(the US Attorney’s office is currently looking into claims<br />
against Pfizer, Schering-Plough, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli<br />
Lilly, Johnson & Johnson and Wyeth) will inevitably raise<br />
the industry’s exposure to fines. But he adds that the<br />
impact of an adverse ruling on the companies’credit rating<br />
would be minimal in most cases.<br />
The only way the industry can sustain its long-term<br />
profitability in the face of these internal and external<br />
pressures is to develop – and secure approval for – new<br />
patented drugs. However, there has been a marked decline<br />
in applications and approvals over recent years. The<br />
number of new molecular entities (NMEs) approved by the<br />
FDA fell from 35 in 1999 to 21 in 2003, while the total of<br />
new active substances (NAS) sanctioned by the European<br />
Agency for the Evaluation of Medicinal Products dropped<br />
from 27 to 17 over the same period.<br />
69
SECTOR REPORT: PHARMACEUTICALS<br />
70<br />
The trend led the European Commission last year to<br />
investigate whether there was a “worldwide crisis” in<br />
innovation in the pharmaceutical sector. It commissioned a<br />
study from Charles River Associates, which concluded that<br />
the downturn was cyclical rather than permanent and that<br />
the level of authorisations was likely to pick up in 2005.<br />
However, investors still have reservations about the<br />
market value of the drugs that companies are currently<br />
developing. Eijgenhuijsen at ABP Investments worries<br />
that most are “product-line extensions” that will not<br />
provide the sort of returns that companies look for. “If I<br />
look at the potential profitability of the pipeline, that may<br />
be an issue going forward,” he says. “The industry really<br />
has to be innovative.”<br />
Adkins at Lehman Brothers says another problem is that<br />
the research is now going into new areas, where the failure<br />
or “redundancy”rate is much higher. He points to genomics<br />
as an example where it is taking much longer than first<br />
thought to develop treatments because there are so many<br />
“blind alleys” for researchers to follow. “Has the lowhanging<br />
fruit been plucked?”he asks.“Getting a biologically<br />
valid target for a drug is getting very difficult these days.”<br />
In the shorter to medium term, the drug companies also<br />
need to reduce their costs. Part of this will involve<br />
reducing overheads, and several companies – including<br />
Merck, Eli Lilly, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Schering-<br />
Plough – have embarked on restructuring exercises that<br />
include scaling back the large sales forces in primary care.<br />
Pfizer announced a big restructuring plan at the<br />
beginning of April, and Fitch’s Zbinovec says he expects<br />
more to follow throughout this year. “It’s moving in the<br />
right direction,” agrees Eijgenhuijsen at ABP. “All the<br />
others are following as well.”<br />
The other way for the industry to make meaningful<br />
savings will be to outsource more of its operations to lowcost,<br />
but fast-developing pharmaceutical jurisdictions such<br />
as China, India and Eastern Europe. The huge cost<br />
differentials have led most of the big companies to set up<br />
manufacturing operations in these countries – Adkins<br />
points to the example of a Czech generic drug producer<br />
that can manufacture products for 20% of the price of a<br />
German counterpart yet still make a 60% gross margin –<br />
but there is scope to farm out a lot more.<br />
Adkins says, for example it would be quite feasible for US<br />
companies to conduct the Phase I and II clinical trials in<br />
Asia – and achieve an overall saving of around 3% of<br />
ultimate sales. “You could still probably do 25% of your<br />
research and development in India at 20% of the cost.”<br />
If the short-term horizon looks bleak for the sector,<br />
however, long-term demographics are certainly in its<br />
favour as a continually ageing global population should<br />
ensure a growing demand for a vast range of existing and<br />
new treatments.<br />
As Pfizer’s chief McKinnell observes: “Widespread<br />
chronic conditions such as hypertension, depression, and<br />
lipid imbalances remain largely undiagnosed and<br />
untreated. People are beginning to realise that it makes far<br />
David Schwartz, stock market historian<br />
more sense to invest in disease prevention and early<br />
treatment rather than to accept the human misery and high<br />
cost of events such as heart attacks and strokes.”<br />
This has led some analysts to take a bullish view of the<br />
sector in the longer-term.“I think the demographics really<br />
look good for the pharma companies,” says David<br />
Schwartz, the independent stock market historian who<br />
wrote a strong recommendation for the sector on the<br />
London Stock Exchange’s web site in February.<br />
“I think these things go in cycles,” Schwartz says.<br />
“Pharmaceuticals were riding high for a long time and then<br />
they hit a bad patch, but all the reasons for these<br />
companies to fly as they did in the 1990s are still with us. I<br />
think for a long-term player this is a great place to be.”<br />
For an experienced investor like Eijgenhuijsen, however,<br />
the key to success in the sector will depend on the<br />
development on innovative – and more sophisticated –<br />
treatments that will be able to maintain attractive profit<br />
margins for a considerable length of time. “If you look at<br />
specific cancer drugs, if the industry develops a diagnostic<br />
tool with the drug then I think there will not be price<br />
pressure on the product.”<br />
Table 1: Financial Performance of Leading US<br />
and European Drug Companies in 2004<br />
Company Turnover Profit<br />
(US$bn) (US$bn)<br />
Pfizer 52.5 11.4*<br />
GlaxoSmithKline 37.2 11.1**<br />
Merck 22.9 5.8*<br />
AstraZeneca 21.4 5.1**<br />
* Net income<br />
Source: Various News Clips ** Profit before taxation<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
A SIMPLE<br />
QUESTION<br />
OF<br />
LIFESTYLE FUNDS<br />
Times change. Only a few years ago, 401(k) plan<br />
participants were clamouring for more<br />
investment choices. As a result, plan sponsors<br />
added more mutual funds, more asset classes<br />
(even windows) into self-directed brokerage<br />
accounts. Soon participants were complaining<br />
they had so many choices they could not decide<br />
what to do. Enter the life cycle fund, a product<br />
designed for those who want to keep it simple.<br />
Neil A. O’Hara reports from New York on a<br />
product that is taking the 401(k) world by storm.<br />
DEFINED CONTRIBUTION PENSIONS and 401(k)<br />
plans offer one distinct advantage over defined<br />
benefit plans: participants control the investment<br />
policy for their own retirement nest egg. Unfortunately,<br />
most people do a lousy job. “Participants in these plans<br />
rarely change their asset allocations once initially set,”says<br />
Michael Porter, senior research analyst at Reuters’<br />
subsidiary, Lipper Inc., a provider of fund research and<br />
Table 1: Asset Allocation for 2030 Funds<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
fund intelligence which in March this year acquired two<br />
specialist hedge fund research houses: Hedgeworld and<br />
(in a separate deal) TASS Research, the institutional<br />
quality research house previously owned by Tremont<br />
Capital Management. “Yet if they don't reallocate their<br />
assets the system is going to fail. Most participants are not<br />
on course to achieving the 75% of pre-retirement income<br />
said to be needed to maintain their lifestyle in retirement,”<br />
explains Porter.<br />
Faced with an array of equity mutual funds offering<br />
growth, value or income in large, medium or small<br />
capitalisations, bond funds offering short, intermediate or<br />
long maturities, not to mention high yield bonds, real<br />
estate or alternative asset choices, many investors choose<br />
unwisely or throw up their hands. In the mid-1990s, fund<br />
advisers tried to simplify asset allocation decisions by<br />
offering lifestyle funds based on static risk profiles, typically<br />
aggressive, moderate or conservative. Each fund contains a<br />
different mix of equities, bonds and cash tailored to a<br />
particular risk tolerance that does not change over time and<br />
is automatically rebalanced.<br />
Fund Domestic International Fixed Income Money Market<br />
Stock Funds Stock Funds Funds Funds<br />
Fidelity Freedom 2030 69% 13% 19% 0%<br />
Putnam Retirement Ready 2030 59% 25% 12% 4%<br />
Wells Fargo Outlook 2030 60% 5% 20% 16%<br />
Source: Lipper Inc., March 2005<br />
FUNDS PROFILE<br />
71
FUNDS PROFILE<br />
72<br />
Michael Porter,<br />
senior research analyst at<br />
Reuters’ subsidiary, Lipper Inc.<br />
A small but growing number of plan<br />
sponsors are using them as the default<br />
option for participants who do not make<br />
investment choices when they enrol.<br />
“It’s happening very gradually,” says<br />
Lucas, “Most fiduciaries are not as<br />
comfortable as they need to be to make<br />
that move.” If automatic enrolment<br />
takes hold, life cycle funds will grab an<br />
even larger share of the 401(k) market.<br />
Lori Lucas, director of<br />
participant research at Hewitt<br />
“They allow someone to say, ‘How much risk do I need<br />
to be taking?’” says Gina Sanchez, a portfolio manager at<br />
American Century,“It assumes they understand that when<br />
they are younger they can take more risk and when they<br />
are older they should take less risk.” In practice, many<br />
investors ducked the question. Almost half the assets in<br />
American Century’s three Strategic Asset Allocation funds<br />
are in the moderate portfolio.<br />
Plan sponsors discovered participants did not<br />
understand how to use lifestyle funds; some people bought<br />
all three risk profiles.“We had to do some education,”says<br />
Sanchez, “These days the majority of people pick one<br />
fund.” That helps, but investors still have to switch funds<br />
on their own as their risk tolerance changes.<br />
The variety of available life cycle funds is growing, with<br />
attendant diversity in the asset allocation mix, giving<br />
investors increasing choice. A recent Wall Street Journal<br />
report analysed lifecycle funds available from fund<br />
companies such as the Vanguard Group and T. Rowe Price<br />
as a sample of what is on offer. According to the report,<br />
the Vanguard fund blends 80% stock funds and 20% bond<br />
funds for investors who set a retirement target date of<br />
2030. Not everyone uses the same strategies. For an<br />
investor who chooses the same 2030 retirement date, for<br />
example, T. Rowe Price invests 90% of an investor’s<br />
money in stocks.<br />
There are also lifecycle funds for people who are already<br />
retired. In these instances Vanguard puts 20% of the<br />
investor’s money into stocks, 75% in bonds and 5% into<br />
money-market funds. But, for the same retiree group, T.<br />
Rowe Price will put 40% in stocks, 30% in bonds and 30%<br />
in short-term bonds and money-market funds. Retirees<br />
can also stay with the lifecycle concept for up to 30 years<br />
after retirement so that they eventually have 20% of their<br />
money in short-term bond and money-market funds; 60%<br />
in other bond funds and 20% in stock funds.<br />
Sponsors have meanwhile started asking for a complete<br />
turnkey solution that would build a portfolio, automatically<br />
rebalance it and lower the risk profile over time. Fund<br />
advisers responded with target maturity date funds, such as<br />
American Century’s My Retirement series.“If you’re going<br />
to retire right around, say, 2045, you don’t even have to<br />
think about it,”says Sanchez,“We’re going to start you in an<br />
aggressive portfolio and we're going to end you up in a<br />
conservative portfolio. We’ll do all the work for you.” In<br />
effect, these funds provide basic financial planning as well<br />
as professional investment management.<br />
Life cycle funds of both kinds have attracted increasing<br />
interest among plan sponsors and participants. A March<br />
2005 report by Lipper shows assets under management<br />
and inflows to these funds have jumped in the past two<br />
years (please refer to Figure 1: Total Life Cycle Fund Assets<br />
1999-2004 and Figure 2: Estimated Net Inflows: 1998-2004)<br />
as more sponsors offer them.<br />
Back in October 2003 a study by Hewitt Associates, LLC<br />
found that 55% of 401(k) plans offered static risk lifestyle<br />
funds and 33% offered target maturity portfolios. On<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
average, 37% of participants held life cycle funds in plans<br />
where they were available, skewed toward younger, shorter<br />
tenure employees likely to have the least investment<br />
experience (Please refer to the graph: Percent of Participants<br />
Holding a Lifestyle Funds – by Age).<br />
The Hewitt study also revealed that most investors do<br />
not use life cycle funds as a turnkey solution. “They've<br />
heard so often that you shouldn’t put all your eggs in one<br />
basket,” says Lori Lucas, director of participant research<br />
at Hewitt,“They have a hard time grasping that it’s okay<br />
in lifestyle funds because they are designed to be a<br />
complete portfolio.”<br />
She believes sponsors are trying to get the point across.<br />
Some advisors direct participants to either life cycle funds or<br />
to a menu of traditional funds during the sign-up process.<br />
“It makes it very clear that you take one path or the other<br />
but it is really not appropriate to combine them,”she says.<br />
Despite sponsors’ efforts, many participants still mix life<br />
cycle funds with other funds. “It defeats their intended<br />
purpose,” says Porter, “They over diversify and screw up<br />
what their asset allocation should be.”<br />
Life cycle funds do have some flaws. Most portfolios are<br />
funds of funds that give shareholders exposure to several<br />
other funds in the same family. “They’re only as good as<br />
that family’s lineup,” Porter says. Fund advisers use<br />
different asset allocation models for the same risk profile or<br />
target maturity date too (please refer to the table: Asset<br />
Allocation for 2030 Funds).<br />
The fees for these funds can be deceptive.“Some of the<br />
reported expense ratios include the weighted impact of the<br />
underlying expense ratios and some don’t,”Porter explains.<br />
The cheapest providers, including American Century, T.<br />
Rowe Price and Vanguard, simply pass through fees<br />
associated with the underlying funds, while others add a<br />
wrap fee at the fund of funds level that ranges from 0.05%<br />
at Principal to 0.20% at Frank Russell. “A small fee can<br />
make a significant difference in an investor’s balance by<br />
retirement age,”says Porter.<br />
Managers of the underlying funds do not necessarily<br />
coordinate their investments, which can distort the fund of<br />
funds' asset allocation.“We do check the overall positions<br />
to make sure we don’t have a whopper exposure in<br />
Microsoft, for example, because growth thinks it is growth,<br />
value thinks it is value and everybody owns it,” says<br />
Sanchez. For its static risk funds, American Century holds<br />
quarterly meetings among the managers for each asset<br />
class. “We make sure that we don’t have conflicting<br />
strategies within the same fund,”she says.<br />
Life cycle funds offer a cheap and effective way for<br />
investors with modest means to diversify their portfolios. A<br />
small but growing number of plan sponsors are using them<br />
as the default option for participants who do not make<br />
investment choices when they enrol. “It’s happening very<br />
gradually,” says Lucas, “Most fiduciaries are not as<br />
comfortable as they need to be to make that move.” If<br />
automatic enrolment takes hold, life cycle funds will grab<br />
an even larger share of the 401(k) market.<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Total Life Cycle Fund Assets 1999-2004 ($bn)<br />
$160<br />
$140<br />
$120<br />
$100<br />
$80<br />
$60<br />
$40<br />
$20<br />
$0<br />
$57.9<br />
$63.3<br />
$69.2 $68.2<br />
$101.4<br />
$139.7<br />
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004<br />
Source: Lipper Inc., March 2005<br />
Estimated Net Inflows: 1998-2004 ($bn)<br />
$30<br />
$25<br />
$20<br />
$15<br />
$10<br />
$5<br />
$0<br />
$6.3<br />
$4.7<br />
$5.5<br />
$6.7 $6.8<br />
$21.4<br />
$24.2<br />
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004<br />
17.4%<br />
12.6%<br />
11.6%<br />
Source: Lipper Inc., March 2005<br />
Percent of Participants Holding a Lifestyle Funds – by Age<br />
Percent of Participants<br />
Percent of Participants<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
20%<br />
18%<br />
16%<br />
14%<br />
12%<br />
10%<br />
8%<br />
6%<br />
4%<br />
2%<br />
0%<br />
40.7%<br />
5.4<br />
38.8%<br />
5.6<br />
36.6%<br />
Lifestyle Fund Utilisation – by Age<br />
5.5<br />
5.2<br />
12.8%<br />
35.0%<br />
17.3%<br />
20-29 30-39 40-49<br />
Age<br />
50-59 60+<br />
33.0%<br />
20-29 30-39 40-49<br />
Age<br />
50-59 60+<br />
Percentage of Participants with All Balances in a Lifestyle Fund Average Number of Funds Held<br />
4.6<br />
6<br />
5.5<br />
5<br />
4.5<br />
4<br />
3.5<br />
3<br />
Average Number of Funds<br />
Source: Hewitt Associates, LLC<br />
73
ALTERNATIVES<br />
74<br />
Alternating<br />
current<br />
There are more than 8,700 hedge funds today,<br />
representing nearly $1trn in global assets,<br />
with over 5,000 domiciled in the United States<br />
(US) alone according to Van Hedge Fund<br />
Advisors International LLC, an advisory firm<br />
that consults with institutional investors and<br />
high net worth individuals for hedge fund<br />
portfolio construction and manager selection.<br />
That said, small but growing institutional<br />
investor allocations, proposed Securities and<br />
Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations and<br />
new management strategies are subtly<br />
changing the $480bn US hedge fund industry.<br />
By Karen Jones<br />
DAVID FRIEDLAND, PRESIDENT of Magnum US<br />
Investments Inc., and a director of the Hedge Fund<br />
Association, says that when Magnum entered the<br />
hedge fund business in 1994,“it was largely dominated by<br />
high net worth individuals and private Swiss banks. If you<br />
spoke to an institutional investor about hedge funds their<br />
eyes would glaze over, and they would say ‘no, no, we’re<br />
conservative and don’t like hedge funds’”. Magnum<br />
manages $250m in assets with both offshore and domestic<br />
fund of funds, including private label fund of funds and<br />
sponsors several single manager hedge funds managed by<br />
third party managers.<br />
Lacklustre returns in the traditional equity markets have<br />
pushed some institutional investors into allocating a small<br />
portion of their portfolios to hedge funds, particularly fund<br />
of funds. Friedland says it has been a “painstaking process”<br />
over many years to get the institutional investor<br />
comfortable with the idea that hedge funds are, in many<br />
instances, “more conservative than mutual funds from an<br />
investment performance/risk analysis view-meaning the<br />
performance of the actual investment, taking aside factors<br />
such as manager risk, fraud, blowups, etc”.<br />
He also credits the spectacular “blow up” of Long Term<br />
Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998 with helping turn the<br />
tide of perception. “For years the media dismissed hedge<br />
funds as the exclusive club of the super rich and when<br />
LTCM blew up they learned that it was not a typical hedge<br />
fund but a highly speculative overleveraged vehicle that<br />
really got greedy,”he explains.<br />
Although the SEC stepped in afterwards, creating a<br />
major effect on financial markets, Friedland calls the LTCM<br />
debacle “a positive event for the growth of the hedge fund<br />
industry because it forced the media, uninformed investors<br />
and institutional investors to really look at what hedge<br />
funds are”. With a broad spectrum of investment strategies,<br />
both aggressive and conservative, he says, “any investor<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
could find a piece of their portfolio to<br />
allocate to a hedge fund”.<br />
Founded by D. Dixon Boardman in<br />
1988 as a response to the US stock<br />
market crash of 1987, Optima Fund<br />
Management (Optima) is a SECregistered<br />
$3.8bn investment advisor.<br />
The firm has a strong institutional<br />
focus with an experienced team of<br />
approximately 50 employees. Robert<br />
Picard, managing director, chief<br />
investment officer and director of<br />
research says that most US corporate<br />
and public pension funds “have to<br />
seek out the best active management<br />
in the world. And it is our view that<br />
the best active managers, by<br />
definition, are those with the most<br />
tools available to make money and<br />
generate alpha.”<br />
He adds that since hedge fund<br />
managers have the ability to enter<br />
any number of strategies precluded<br />
by the traditional long only equity<br />
and fixed income investing, they are a<br />
“natural fit” for institutional<br />
investors. The incentive fee offered<br />
many hedge fund managers on top of<br />
their management fee also tends to<br />
help attract “the best and the<br />
brightest in this space.”<br />
Picard predicts that increased<br />
allocation to alternatives will<br />
continue for the next four to five<br />
years regardless of what the market<br />
does.“I think the pain endured from<br />
2000-2002 was so severe that many<br />
state and or corporate pension funds<br />
are realising it would be very shortsighted<br />
to disqualify investment.”<br />
David Anderson, managing<br />
director of GAM, one of the world's<br />
largest managers of fund of funds,<br />
says that historically GAM has been<br />
more focused on the private side and<br />
not active in the institutional space.<br />
However, they see it as a growth trend which they will now<br />
be a part of. "The US institutional market is the world's<br />
largest. Clearly there is an appetite for alternatives and we<br />
hope to be able to capitalise on it." GAM has $37.2bn<br />
under management and of that $19.3bn is in fund of funds.<br />
He also notes a distinct shift over the last few years in the<br />
consultant community.“Three or four years ago many did<br />
not know hedge funds and were not equipped to<br />
recommend them to clients. That has all changed. Now all<br />
the major firms have either a dedicated resource or are<br />
much better at analysing and recommending.”<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
David Friedland, president of Magnum US<br />
Investments Inc.<br />
Robert Picard, managing director,<br />
Optima Fund Management<br />
David Anderson, managing director of GAM<br />
Meanwhile, industry attitudes<br />
regarding proposed SEC regulations<br />
depend on the current size of the<br />
hedge fund organisation, the<br />
strategies they utilise and whether or<br />
not they are currently registered (as<br />
approximately 50% are). Since GAM<br />
is SEC registered, Anderson calls the<br />
proposed regulation that hedge fund<br />
advisors managing over $25m in<br />
assets will be required to register by<br />
February 2006, a “non-issue”for GAM.<br />
He adds however, that certain US<br />
hedge funds might “go with the twoyear<br />
lockup route or not except any<br />
US investors to avoid registration.”<br />
Friedland says that though the<br />
proposed regulation is forcing the<br />
manager to be a registered<br />
investment advisor, “there is still no<br />
regulation of the industry. No one is<br />
telling the manager how often he<br />
needs to report his numbers to<br />
investors, what portfolio information<br />
he needs to disclose and how much<br />
leverage he should use.”He does not<br />
think the SEC will ever “go down this<br />
path” and if they did, it would be<br />
“dangerous”for the industry.<br />
What is clear about SEC<br />
regulations and chasing institutional<br />
investor allocations is that the ability<br />
to run a business will be as essential<br />
as performance. This is not<br />
necessarily the case with high net<br />
worth individuals who know they<br />
may invest in an occasional “blow<br />
up” over time and do not have a<br />
board of directors to answer to or<br />
media headlines to contend with.<br />
That said, consolidation of smaller<br />
hedge funds into fund of funds or<br />
multi-manager firms that offer an<br />
operational business umbrella of<br />
legal, marketing, accounting,<br />
compliance and other services for a<br />
stake in each individual fund may become more prevalent.<br />
“In 2002 it became more difficult for new startups to<br />
manage overhead and generate the types of returns<br />
needed to survive from a business perspective,”says Picard.<br />
“Many of these groups have naturally polarised and<br />
formed loose associations so they can rationalise their<br />
accounting, legal and marketing and receptionist fees.”<br />
James Bianco, president of Bianco Research LLC, an<br />
independent research organisation, feels that regulation<br />
will “do what all government agencies do, hurt<br />
entrepreneurship”. He adds that it will be “harder for three<br />
75
ALTERNATIVES<br />
76<br />
guys to raise $50m and set<br />
up shop. It protects the<br />
interests of the $5bn, 300person<br />
shop because it is<br />
easy for those guys to hire<br />
an attorney and spread<br />
their costs over 300 people<br />
to register.”<br />
He says the way the<br />
hedge fund industry is<br />
structured innovation has<br />
traditionally grown out of<br />
small shops. “A lot of the<br />
hottest funds are the guys<br />
that just opened their<br />
doors because they are<br />
going to have hands on<br />
experience with the fund<br />
and the ability to convince<br />
investors they know what<br />
they are doing and give<br />
them the ability to get in<br />
on the ground floor.”<br />
The <strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Index Series<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
Regulation will “stifle creativity”for the startups and Bianco<br />
thinks that bigger firms will profit from that.“A lot of hedge<br />
fund managers come from bigger firms so they have a more<br />
difficult time holding onto their best talent who leave and<br />
start their own funds. Now with regulations putting up<br />
hurdles, it is easier to stay where you are.”<br />
Bianco’s definition of the quintessential ‘alpha’ hedge<br />
fund manager is one whose returns “have nothing to do<br />
with whether the market is having a good year. A lot of<br />
‘alphas’will try to return 7-8% in every environment so that<br />
is why they go off into exotic land with bonds,<br />
commodities, emerging markets, credit defaults,<br />
convertible arbitrage and more.”Though alpha managers<br />
are “not supposed to chase the latest hot market trends like<br />
the public did in the 1990s,” he sees a small migration in<br />
the hedge fund industry towards what he defines as a<br />
traditional “beta” type of manager, typical of the mutual<br />
fund manager, which is tied to the equity markets.<br />
Picard also notes a subtle shift in hedge fund strategies,<br />
which he believes will continue in 2005. “We will see the<br />
distinctions between private equity, hedge funds and<br />
mutual funds slowly changing. Hedge funds are starting to<br />
drift into mutual fund land with long-only management. It<br />
is a very interesting trend.” He adds that as some private<br />
equity firms have started hedge fund like products and<br />
some hedge funds have introduced private equity-like<br />
features such as three to 5 year lockups.<br />
As large amounts of capital flow into hedge funds in<br />
general, says Picard, traditional hedge fund strategies such as<br />
fixed income arbitrage, convertible arbitrage or merger<br />
arbitrage are “becoming more difficult areas to generate<br />
returns.” He feels the best active managers are seeking out<br />
new areas and opportunities to make money. One of these is<br />
in the emerging markets and Optima has a dedicated fund of<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
Mar-00<br />
Sep-00<br />
Mar-01<br />
Sep-01<br />
Mar-02<br />
Sep-02<br />
Mar-03<br />
Sep-03<br />
Mar-04<br />
Sep-04<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Index <strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Directional Index<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Non-Directional Index <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Index<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Event Driven Index<br />
Mar-05<br />
Data as at 31 March 2005. Source: <strong>FTSE</strong> Group<br />
Alpha managers are “not supposed to<br />
chase the latest hot market trends like<br />
the public did in the 1990s”.<br />
funds “to capture that.”<br />
However, he cautions that<br />
they are “extremely<br />
conscious of the liquidity or<br />
illiquidity of the underlying<br />
countries,” and that if an<br />
investor is looking for an<br />
allocation to emerging<br />
markets, “rather than<br />
investing in long only, they<br />
should be doing emerging<br />
markets in a hedged<br />
fashion with a very limited<br />
amount of their portfolio.”<br />
Bianco cautions that to<br />
avoid capacity in “certain<br />
strategies devised over the<br />
last years”, hedge fund<br />
managers should not get<br />
caught in a “group think”.<br />
He states that according<br />
to a recent Greenwich<br />
Associates’ study, 82% of<br />
all distressed securities and about 33% of futures are now<br />
traded by hedge funds.“If you have too many guys in credit<br />
default, convertible arbitrage, distressed securities, the over<br />
concentration of ideas can become horribly mispriced.<br />
Whole sectors of strategies could wind up killing everybody<br />
when they stop working because we don’t have the proper<br />
mix of retail investors, beta-only institutional investors and<br />
hedge funds playing off each other.”He adds that he does<br />
not think this is a concern for long/short equity because<br />
“the universe you are dealing with is so much larger.”<br />
As far as the outlook for 2005, Friedman feels volatility of<br />
the markets will dictate much of what happens. If they go<br />
up and down for the right reasons, as opposed to a<br />
cataclysmic event such as a terrorist attack, hedge fund<br />
managers can profit. “Last year was a pretty difficult year<br />
for hedge funds in general, part of that is too much money<br />
in the industry today and some of the strategies are almost<br />
maxed out. If we have increased volatility, it will have a<br />
positive impact on many different strategies. If we continue<br />
to have low volatility, many of the relative value, arbitrage<br />
and spread strategies will find it quite difficult.”<br />
Meanwhile Anderson says GAM’s viewpoint is that<br />
hedge funds are “the ballast in a portfolio, not the high<br />
octane,” and that is particularly true of fund of funds.“Its<br />
idea is to diversify and lower risk by not trying to provide<br />
80% returns and then crash and burn next year. I think that<br />
with a single manager hedge fund, you take a lot of risk. In<br />
general, I think fund of funds are a lower risk option if done<br />
right and managed professionally.”<br />
He adds that the world is changing in recognising “you<br />
simply can’t be in long in stocks or bonds through all<br />
economic cycles. Hedge funds provide the opportunity to<br />
not only provide absolute returns, which most say they are<br />
trying to do, but also lower the correlation in portfolios.”<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
The regulatory landscape is now beginning to have an impact on global business and capital<br />
markets – including the Operating and Financial Review (OFR) in the UK; the Tabaksblat Code in<br />
The Netherlands and the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) in the United States, which relates to all SEC<br />
registered companies. Companies are now asking a vital question: what is the return on investment<br />
of corporate governance? In simple terms, the answer for fund managers buying stock in listed<br />
companies is increased confidence. Research shows there is a correlation between poor corporate<br />
governance practices and higher investment risk. Stanley Dubiel, director of international research,<br />
Institutional Shareholder Services explains.<br />
GLOBAL PENSIONS:<br />
RISKY BUSINESS OR<br />
RISKING BUSINESS?<br />
REGULATORS AND GOVERNANCE advocates argue<br />
that the stock price collapse of such former corporate<br />
stalwarts as Adelphia, Enron, Parmalat, Tyco, and<br />
WorldCom was due in part to poor governance. These<br />
corporate scandals, along with other factors such as<br />
directors’remuneration, have combined to turn the spotlight<br />
on the way publicly-listed companies are run, and their<br />
impact on pension funds. While the public’s interest is<br />
driven by concerns about the final levels of their pensions,<br />
there is broader concern surrounding the important role<br />
pension funds’ play in the stability of the economy.<br />
According to figures published by UBS Global Management,<br />
around 25% of UK pension funds’ assets were invested in<br />
overseas equities in 2001, compared with just 10% in 1981.<br />
The global nature of the pensions industry means poor<br />
corporate governance in the US, and other countries,<br />
matters to the UK pensions market because, at some point<br />
it will affect that market and indeed affect the individual<br />
pensions of many UK citizens. Furthermore investors are<br />
increasingly recognising the fact that ownership<br />
responsibilities do not end at national borders, especially in<br />
light of Parmalat, Ahold and others.<br />
Poor corporate governance, through a lack of checks and<br />
balances on the board, or inadequate reporting by auditors,<br />
can ultimately wipe out the assets within a given pension<br />
fund. The anxiety surrounding UK’s so called ‘pensions<br />
crisis’ has led pension holders to demand assurances that<br />
their assets are invested in a low risk manner. The<br />
recommendation is to avoid investing in companies that<br />
have poor governance standards, structures and practices.<br />
Fund managers need to have complete confidence that<br />
the companies they invest in are run in accordance with<br />
good corporate governance standards. By adopting<br />
practices such as having at least two-thirds of independent<br />
directors on the board, establishing an independent<br />
nominating committee, making the compensation<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
committee fully independent, companies can take<br />
significant steps towards giving confidence to wary<br />
institutional investors who manage their portfolios in the<br />
interests of pension holders.<br />
So, the implications for the UK economy, as a whole, are<br />
clear. Good corporate governance will lead to more<br />
sustainable economic growth, because the economy is less<br />
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE<br />
77
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE<br />
78<br />
vulnerable to a systemic risk. However, ultimately, it is the<br />
question “does poor governance put investments at higher<br />
risk?” that will make pension fund managers sit up, take<br />
notice, and invest in companies that do not carry the<br />
baggage of a bad governance structure.<br />
In the first academic study of its kind, research<br />
undertaken by Lawrence Brown, Ph.D. and Marcus Caylor<br />
of Georgia State University clearly demonstrated the<br />
impact that board composition and practices can have on<br />
company performance. The study revealed that<br />
companies with weaker corporate governance perform<br />
more poorly, are less profitable and have higher volatility<br />
than firms with stronger corporate governance structures.<br />
The study showed a correlation between corporate<br />
governance and stock price volatility; with issuers in the<br />
bottom decile of industry-adjusted Corporate Governance<br />
Quotient (CGQ), a database and ratings service used by<br />
institutional investors as a governance-based risk tool,<br />
having share price volatility that is 6.20% above their<br />
industry-adjusted average.The research found that those in<br />
the top decile of industry-adjusted CGQ have share price<br />
volatility that is 5.63% below their industry-adjusted<br />
average – a risk difference of 11.83%.<br />
The examination of profitability, risk and dividend<br />
payouts showed that return on investment (ROI) and<br />
return on equity (ROE) in the top decile of CGQ rated<br />
companies outperformed the bottom decile companies by<br />
18.7 % and 23.8%, while dividends payouts of companies<br />
in the top decile outperformed bottom decile companies by<br />
more than 10.4%. This<br />
research clearly<br />
demonstrated the financial 130 130<br />
impact bad boards can 125 125<br />
have on shareholder value. 120 120<br />
When we examine the 115 115<br />
issue of shareholder<br />
110 110<br />
rights, companies that<br />
105 105<br />
diminish shareholder<br />
rights by, for example,<br />
protecting directors from<br />
the need to seek reelection<br />
or the issuing of<br />
100 100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
shares with restricted<br />
voting rights, are generally<br />
worse investments than<br />
those with stronger<br />
120<br />
- One Month<br />
shareholder rights.<br />
Gompers, Ishii, and<br />
100<br />
Metrick (2001) found that 80<br />
firms with strong<br />
shareholders' rights in 60<br />
relation to provisions for<br />
defending against 40<br />
WorldCom<br />
Enron Corp<br />
86%<br />
99%<br />
takeovers perform better<br />
Tyco 65%<br />
and have a higher market<br />
valuation. Bertrand and<br />
20<br />
Parmalat 96%<br />
Mullainathan (2003)<br />
0<br />
0<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> ISS Corporate Governance Index Series<br />
Oct-03<br />
Dec-03<br />
Feb-04<br />
Apr-04<br />
found that the presence of state takeover laws decreases<br />
plant-level efficiency in terms of total factor productivity or<br />
return on capital. They showed that this result is, at least<br />
partly, due to increased agency costs evidenced by<br />
increased compensation for CEOs and employees.<br />
Further research also demonstrates that board size does<br />
matter. A fairly clear negative relationship appears to exist<br />
between board size and firm value by market capitalisation<br />
(Eisenberg, Sundgren, and Wells 1998; Yermack 1996). Too<br />
big a board is likely to be less effective in substantive<br />
discussion of major issues (Jensen 1993; Lipton and Lorsch<br />
1992) and to suffer from free-rider problems among<br />
directors in their supervision of management (Hermalin<br />
and Weisbach 2001).<br />
When examining the composition of boards, a lack of<br />
independence, with boards dominated by insiders, suggests<br />
that they are not expected to play their role as effective<br />
monitors and supervisors of management. This is<br />
particularly the case when the board chairperson is also the<br />
firm’s chief executive officer (CEO). Put simply, two jobs into<br />
one ‘does not go’. In addition, outside directors provide firms<br />
with windows or links to the outside world, thereby helping<br />
to secure critical resources and expand networking. That<br />
outside viewpoint or perspective is fundamental in ensuring<br />
a better approach to adopting good corporate governance<br />
practices because those individuals are bringing more varied<br />
experience and insights to the corporate table. Also research<br />
by Core, Holthausen and Larcker (1999) suggests that CEO<br />
compensation is lower when the CEO and board chair<br />
positions are separate.<br />
At the end of the day,<br />
how can you guarantee<br />
that corporate governance<br />
is providing a system or<br />
structure which ensures<br />
the creation of a safe pair<br />
of hands or the creation of<br />
a safety net for a given<br />
company? Currently, the<br />
level of corporate<br />
governance expertise<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> ISS Euro CGI (USD) required of fund managers<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> ISS Japan CGI (USD) is simply to carry out their<br />
duties as if they owned<br />
the assets themselves.<br />
They must set out their<br />
investment policy in a<br />
Statement of Investment<br />
Principles (SIP), which<br />
includes a section on<br />
corporate governance.<br />
However, a typical UK<br />
equity portfolio contains<br />
shares in 100 different<br />
companies and it can be<br />
difficult therefore for a<br />
fund manager to make<br />
Jun-04<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> ISS Developed CGI (USD) <strong>FTSE</strong> ISS Europe CGI (USD)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> ISS US CGI (USD) <strong>FTSE</strong> ISS UK CGI (USD)<br />
Aug-04<br />
- Two Months One Month Two Months Three Months Four Months<br />
-40 -30 -20 -10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />
Trading Days<br />
Oct-04<br />
Data as at 31 March 2005. Source: <strong>FTSE</strong> Group<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
informed decisions about a single company’s corporate<br />
governance practices. This problem is starting to be<br />
resolved however as governments begin to set standards<br />
for corporate governance. It cannot just be the markets that<br />
impose a solution, lawmakers and regulators also have<br />
their part to play in this debate.<br />
Currently best practice principles for UK corporations are<br />
set out in the Financial Services Authority’s (FSA’s)<br />
Combined Code on Corporate Governance. The Code provides<br />
a framework that is intended to minimise risks to<br />
shareholders created by poor company organisation and<br />
management. This is considered prudent for the<br />
achievement of long-term growth in shareholder value<br />
sought by pension funds and indeed all investors.<br />
The code deals with the management’s role in structuring<br />
and remunerating the board, and also institutional<br />
investors’ role with regard to the company. The ‘comply or<br />
explain’approach of the Code recognises that circumstances<br />
will vary from company-to-company and situations may<br />
make it difficult or inappropriate to implement all of the<br />
Code’s recommendations. While a minority of companies<br />
appear to consider the Combined Code to be of little<br />
importance and do not give the Code’s corporate<br />
governance recommendations priority, it has certainly gone<br />
some way in ensuring long term shareholder value.<br />
Additionally this year the largest 1,000 UK companies will<br />
be required to publish an operating and financial review as<br />
part of their annual report that will include a section on<br />
corporate governance. These regulations allow fund<br />
managers to factor in information about a company’s<br />
corporate governance in their investment choices. Again, this<br />
particular requirement demonstrates the growing demand<br />
for companies to paint a fuller picture of what they do, how<br />
they operate within a given environment and how their<br />
business impacts on other stakeholders. Nowadays<br />
companies are not solely being judged by their balance sheet.<br />
However, outside the UK, the situation for pension fund<br />
managers has been complicated by standards of corporate<br />
governance that vary according to a country’s legal,<br />
regulatory and tax regime. For instance, while most of the<br />
boards and board committees in the US and UK are<br />
composed of a majority of independent directors, the<br />
boards of utilities in continental Europe and Japan most<br />
often are not.<br />
Corporate governance in the US came in for sharp<br />
criticism following a series of high profile corporate<br />
failures. The response came in the form of the Sarbanes-<br />
Oxley Act. The act tightened public companies’ reporting<br />
obligations and accountability standards for their directors,<br />
executives and auditors considerably. In Europe, the EU has<br />
indicated that it is keen for Europe’s big investors to be<br />
more active in defending shareholder rights, and has<br />
embarked on a strategy of harmonising standards among<br />
member states.The European Commission’s plan has three<br />
main cornerstones: strengthening the role of nonexecutive<br />
directors, increasing the transparency of<br />
directors’ remuneration, and ensuring the collective<br />
responsibility of board members for financial statements<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
BOX 1: WHAT CORPORATE GOVERNANCE<br />
ISSUES SHOULD BE MONITORED?<br />
Here are some areas that trustees and fund<br />
managers should be aware of regarding the<br />
management of companies in their portfolios:<br />
• Independent nominating committees and boards<br />
of directors<br />
• Distinction and separation between chief executive<br />
officers and board chairmen<br />
• Accountability of executive managers to boards of<br />
directors<br />
• The appropriateness of executive remuneration<br />
and dividend policy<br />
• The extent to which auditors are truly independent<br />
• Openness to take-overs and buyouts (against<br />
poison pill defences)<br />
and key non-financial information. Either way, you can see<br />
that there is a growing trend for the convergence of many<br />
of these new requirement or disciplines.<br />
Gradually, opinion on good corporate governance is<br />
beginning to converge as well. Beyond localised standards,<br />
the interests of pension fund managers, and the wider<br />
institutional investment community, in transparent,<br />
comparable and consistent international standards may<br />
well force large firms to converge upon a common<br />
framework. The Anglo-American model of corporate<br />
governance depending, as it does, on global financial<br />
markets may well become the reference standard for all<br />
firms whatever their national origins.<br />
As corporate governance issues continue to rise in<br />
prominence, pension fund managers will increasingly have<br />
to adopt a new low risk approach to investment<br />
management. By taking corporate governance into account<br />
when making investment choices, fund managers can<br />
protect pension holders from the unnecessary risks<br />
associated with poor executive structures.<br />
79
REITS<br />
80<br />
Christopher Laxton,<br />
chairman of APUT and<br />
specialist real estate<br />
investment fund manager<br />
at Morley Fund<br />
Growing<br />
Management.<br />
REITs<br />
Growing<br />
The<br />
World of<br />
In mid-March the United Kingdom government<br />
published a second discussion paper for the<br />
introduction of REITs, in the lead up to the 2006<br />
Finance Bill. The paper has been very warmly<br />
received, with many of the property industry’s wish<br />
list seemingly taken on board by the Treasury and<br />
it is a timely move as other European countries are<br />
also preparing to introduce REITs enabling<br />
legislation. In parallel, however, the rise of offshore<br />
pooled property vehicles is offering investors a<br />
broader range of tax efficient investment vehicles.<br />
Is the European real estate party about to heat up?<br />
Francesca Carnevale reports.<br />
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT trusts (REITs)<br />
legislation will likely be a recurring theme in the<br />
European real-estate landscape for the rest of this<br />
year. After three years of steadily declining office rental<br />
values, European office markets are beginning to stabilise.<br />
Improved economic growth figures and corporate profits<br />
through 2004 have once more encouraged increased<br />
investment in the sector. At the top end of the market rental<br />
decline has been countered by an up-tick in demand in the<br />
UK, France and Central Europe says a recent CB Richard<br />
Ellis data release. However, in some cities, such as Brussels,<br />
Lisbon and (even) the City of London, investors continue to<br />
be dogged by oversupply as growth in city-related<br />
employment and new construction starts remain low.<br />
Even so, European real estate has seen more than €50bn<br />
of new investment dollars over the last five years, according<br />
to recent DTZ Research. In particular, investors are<br />
targeting new locations – particularly in the higher yielding<br />
EU accession states, such as the Baltic countries, Hungary<br />
and the Czech Republic – evidenced by a 23% increase in<br />
cross-border activity, mostly acquisitions by US and Middle<br />
Eastern investors. Around 70% of the European real estate<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
market is owned by<br />
governments and<br />
3000<br />
corporations. Privatisation<br />
of land assets will be a 2500<br />
notable feature of the<br />
2000<br />
European market over the<br />
coming decade, says 1500<br />
Fraser Hughes, research<br />
director at the European 1000<br />
Public Real Estate<br />
500<br />
Association (EPRA), the<br />
not for profit trade<br />
association, established in<br />
1999 and based in<br />
Amsterdam. EPRA’s<br />
members include the<br />
majority of the leading real estate companies and<br />
investment institutions in Europe. The French government,<br />
for example, intends to dispose of €1.5bn of its real estate<br />
assets over the next three to four years.<br />
Investments by Europeans are also on the rise, propelled<br />
by the growing diversity of available property investment<br />
vehicles. Capital-raising is also likely to increase in 2005 as<br />
the rise in real estate equity prices through 2004 means the<br />
sector is trading on a much narrower discount to net asset<br />
value (NAV). For some years, most companies have relied<br />
heavily on debt as a source of new capital and a number of<br />
those companies currently trading at premiums close to<br />
NAV may now want to rebalance their capital structure.<br />
However,“direct investment still dominates the European<br />
landscape,”explains Judy Hill, chief executive officer (CEO)<br />
at the European Association for Investors in Non-listed<br />
Real Estate Vehicles (INREV). Launched only in May 2003,<br />
INREV now has over 150 members, principally major<br />
institutional investors, fund managers and advisers across<br />
Europe and concentrates on the unlisted market.<br />
Investors have lobbied consistently for REITs-enabling<br />
legislation in Europe, as they are considered an optimal<br />
vehicle to introduce more liquidity and tax efficiency into<br />
the marketplace. Publicly traded REITs also open up the<br />
commercial real estate sector to smaller, retail investors.<br />
However, INREV’s Hill points out that, “REITs do not<br />
necessarily have the best correlations with the property<br />
market, but are better correlated with the equity market.”<br />
Hill maintains that “if REITs are genuinely tax efficient<br />
structures, they will sit alongside other non-listed vehicles<br />
very well.”She sees opportunities for the REITs market to<br />
become an important exit route for “limited partnerships,<br />
say with a finite life, seven years for example. It may make<br />
sense for them to convert to a REIT rather than liquidate.”<br />
For the time being the European REITs market remains<br />
small compared with that of the United States where, in<br />
2004, they carried a total market value of approximately<br />
$290bn (although in the context of the total US $4.5trn<br />
property investment market, it too remains a relative<br />
minnow, accounting for around 3% of total real estate<br />
market capitalisation). In contrast the entire European<br />
Dec-99<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
The <strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series<br />
Dec-00<br />
Dec-01<br />
market in listed REITs was<br />
estimated by Morgan<br />
Stanley to be worth<br />
around $70bn last year,<br />
although they are<br />
increasingly popular as an<br />
investment asset. The<br />
Asian REITs market,<br />
centred in Singapore,<br />
South Korea, Japan, Hong<br />
Kong, New Zealand and<br />
Australia is similarly<br />
valued. Compare that with<br />
Australia, which on a<br />
standalone basis accounts<br />
for 10% of the global<br />
market and which,“proportionally has the largest and most<br />
sophisticated market,”according to Hughes.<br />
A REIT is a company that buys, develops, manages and<br />
sells real estate assets. REITs – unlike traditional real estate<br />
companies – do not pay tax as long as they pass their<br />
profits on to investors in the form of dividends. In general,<br />
they are restricted to generating property rental income.<br />
REITs enjoy some important benefits however. They are<br />
more liquid than traditional private real estate ownership<br />
as their shares are usually traded on stock exchanges.<br />
Other advantages, such as high dividends and<br />
transparency, have only added to their appeal.<br />
For the time being interest is squarely focused on the<br />
UK, where, in his March budget, chancellor Gordon Brown<br />
took a positive step towards the introduction of REITs. To<br />
be precise, Mr Brown has not given an unqualified<br />
assurance that a UK REIT will be introduced. Instead the<br />
Exchequer indicated that if a workable solution to<br />
"challenging issues" referred to in the March 2005<br />
discussion paper on UK Real Estate Investment Trusts, a<br />
discussion paper, issued jointly by the Treasury and the<br />
Inland Revenue can be resolved without additional loss of<br />
tax revenue, it aims to legislate for REITs in the upcoming<br />
Finance Bill 2006.<br />
The discussion paper is the result of over nine months of<br />
consultation with the market, which ended in July last year.<br />
A leading role was played by the Association of Property<br />
Unit Trusts (APUT), giving valuable input on the<br />
establishment of tax efficient listed vehicles. Market makers<br />
had expected the government to have accepted REITs by<br />
now, but the paper was warmly received. “What it boils<br />
down to now is a further period of consultation,” says<br />
Christopher Laxton, chairman of APUT and specialist real<br />
estate investment fund manager at Morley Fund<br />
Management. Originally, the Exchequer was known to<br />
favour calling the vehicles Property Investment Funds<br />
(PIFs) but now appears to have swung around popular<br />
thinking that the UK should adopt the internationally<br />
recognised REITs moniker. As well, says Laxton, the<br />
government is also reviewing the rules governing collective<br />
property investment schemes as part of a broader market<br />
Dec-02<br />
Dec-03<br />
Dec-04<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT North America Index <strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Europe Index<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Asia Index <strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Index<br />
Data as at 31 March 2005. Source: <strong>FTSE</strong> Group<br />
REITS<br />
81
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eview exercise.“Two kinds of scheme are under review,”he<br />
explains, “retail and qualified investment schemes. The<br />
revision of both these vehicles could be very successful, as<br />
at the moment neither is very tax efficient.”<br />
The issue is pressing. While much of the UK real estate<br />
market is publicly listed, the rise of offshore real-estate<br />
holdings, particularly in the Channel Islands, continues<br />
Laxton has “affected the Inland Revenue’s intake.”Property<br />
unit trusts (PUTs) and in particular, the UK offshore realestate<br />
market, have become popular, having grown in value<br />
from £1bn back in 1998 to around £20bn today. In part this<br />
is a result of changes to stamp duty tax.Tax received in 1998<br />
from the UK listed property sector was about £350m, which<br />
fell to about £200m in 2003, largely the result of property<br />
investment firms moving assets offshore. Interest in<br />
offshore vehicles was prompted by an increase in<br />
government stamp duty payable by UK property funds<br />
“from 0% to 4%” says Laxton, particularly as transfers of<br />
UK-situated land to and from partnerships offshore were<br />
expressly excluded from this tax. The result “was a<br />
stampede to set up pooled vehicles offshore,”he says. Any<br />
delay by the government will further spur the growth of<br />
pooled vehicles and also raises the probability that the<br />
market will develop other products that offer investors a<br />
proxy for UK REITs.“The Channel Island regimes are very<br />
tax efficient,” says INREV’s Hill, “If eventual legislation is<br />
positive for REITs and there are no penalties on conversion,<br />
there may be an incentive to change. If not, then things will<br />
remain as they are.”<br />
Hill notes that a tremendous momentum has built up,<br />
“We noted rapid market growth in 2004 with a record<br />
number of vehicles.” Already, the launch of UK-listed,<br />
Channel Island-registered structures that are typically<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT: A WORKING RELATIONSHIP<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Judy Hill,<br />
chief executive officer<br />
(CEO) at the European<br />
Association for Investors<br />
in Non-listed Real<br />
Estate Vehicles (INREV).<br />
closed-end, modestly geared, accessible to retail investors<br />
and have tax characteristics similar to those envisaged<br />
under the proposed REIT structure are already opening up<br />
new investment avenues. More pertinently perhaps for the<br />
Exchequer, it may have inadvertently prompted the<br />
development of an unregulated offshore real estate<br />
investment market and the introduction of REITs could<br />
slow the trend.<br />
A PUT is a collective investment scheme where the<br />
underlying properties (mainly direct property investments,<br />
though indirect investments can also be undertaken) are<br />
held on trust for participants. There are two types of PUTs,<br />
E arly in the year, <strong>FTSE</strong> Group assumed responsibility for the calculation of the EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series. New<br />
index rules and data enhancements presaged the launch of a new <strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series, which is<br />
structured in so that it can be considered to represent general trends in all eligible real estate stocks worldwide. A key feature of the<br />
index series is that it is calculated on a real time basis. The index series is broken down into three index families and 37 separate<br />
indices is designed to reflect the stock performance of companies engaged in specific aspects of the North American, European and<br />
Asian real estate markets. Some 274 property companies, REITs and property development companies form the basis of the index<br />
series. The companies spread across three regions (Asia, Europe and North America) and some 28 countries.<br />
Prior to <strong>FTSE</strong> taking over the calculation of the index series, it had been undertaken by Euronext. According to EPRA’s research director<br />
Fraser Hughes, the move to <strong>FTSE</strong> provisions of global real time calculations for the indices was “a natural evolution of the success of the<br />
series.” In May 2000, the EPRA-Europe index was launched, in conjunction with the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. The original<br />
EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index was then launched in 2001 and very quickly became the recognised benchmark for dedicated<br />
global real estate investors.<br />
The move comes at a significant time in the market, as transparency in the European real estate market is increasing. This has<br />
been driven, in part, by the widespread introduction of performance benchmarks, which provide investors with a long-term analytical<br />
framework for portfolio appraisal. It has also has increased the credibility of real estate as an institutional asset class and reduced<br />
the risk premium it commands. Over the medium term, the opportunities opened up by the new indices are immense, says<br />
Hughes. “Last year we began work on the development of a derivatives market and more latterly at the end of 2004, we launched<br />
the AXA Eurozone ETF, which is listed on Euronext in Paris. This vehicle ensured that investors with real estate capability could buy<br />
exposure to the whole of the European market through the ETF.” The next stage, continues Hughes, is the development of a suite<br />
of ETFs as a step towards the development of a fully-fledged derivatives market in European real estate.<br />
83
REITS<br />
84<br />
authorised and unauthorised. Authorised PUTs are<br />
regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and are<br />
primarily designed for private investors, who pay<br />
corporation tax on income, but not capital gains tax.<br />
Unauthorised PUTs are available to both exempt and nonexempt<br />
investors and income and capital gains are subject<br />
to tax at the basic rate of income tax. Exempt investors are<br />
able to reclaim the tax suffered by the trust. Non-exempt<br />
investors are subject to tax on the gross amount of the<br />
distributions they receive. Unauthorised PUTs can be sited<br />
onshore or offshore. Offshore PUTs are resident outside<br />
the UK, commonly Jersey, Guernsey and Ireland, are<br />
managed locally and not liable for UK tax and are normally<br />
structured to be tax transparent.<br />
It is difficult to make a direct comparison between PUTs<br />
and listed property stocks.“The valuation of PUTs is based<br />
on net asset value,” says the APUT website, whereas<br />
property stocks are affected by a number of other factors,<br />
such as gearing and stock market fluctuations. APUT is the<br />
collective voice of the UK property unit trust sector. It<br />
currently has 31 member funds, with current combined total<br />
assets of around £10bn. Pooled property trusts are high on<br />
its agenda, rather than REITs at present, though Laxton,<br />
wearing his Morley hat, “welcomes the development of<br />
other property investment vehicles as they are likely to<br />
encourage wider investment in property as a whole”.<br />
APUT and INREV last year announced their intention to<br />
collaborate closely to drive forward best practice and<br />
transparency amongst pooled property vehicles across<br />
Europe. INREV’s Hill explains “APUT and INREV share<br />
many common objectives, such as encouraging<br />
transparency among pooled property funds. Together we<br />
form a much stronger voice.” Among the initiatives<br />
pursued by the associations is the linking of the<br />
APUT/HSBC/IPD Pooled Property Index with the soon to<br />
be launched INREV Index for European non-listed<br />
vehicles and to develop the APUT Code of Practice to<br />
encompass a far broader range of funds, such as UK<br />
Limited Partnerships.<br />
For the time being the continental European REITs<br />
market has coalesced around supporting legislation in the<br />
Netherlands, Belgium and France. And irrespective of what<br />
is happening in the UK, other European countries, namely<br />
Italy, Finland, Sweden and Spain, are expected to adopt<br />
REITs enabling legislation some time this year or next.<br />
REITs have been particularly strong performers over the<br />
past few years – although with higher volatility than<br />
privately held real estate. In the United States, for<br />
example, REITs as a whole traded consistently at a<br />
significant premium to the underlying net asset values of<br />
their holdings between 2000 and 2003, with the NAREIT<br />
Equity Index earning an annualised total return of 19.7%<br />
during this period. Last year was not as good however<br />
and in general, US REITs suffered some volatility<br />
beginning in April 2004. As a whole though the sector<br />
managed to stay within a more equitable price range;<br />
trading on or near net asset value.<br />
WHAT’S LIKELY IN THE ANTICIPATED UK<br />
REITS STRUCTURE?<br />
What’s likely?<br />
• Most likely investments will not be confined to UK<br />
property; all property types (commercial or industrial for<br />
example) and property located anywhere in the world will<br />
be eligible. The REIT may be externally or internally<br />
managed—the government thinks this is something that<br />
should be decided by the market.<br />
• The new vehicle will be named UK-REIT and will be<br />
structured as a corporation, business trust, or similar<br />
association, managed by a board of directors or trustees.<br />
There had been talk that it would be referred to as a private<br />
investment fund (with the unfortunate acronym PIF), but<br />
that was abandoned so as not to isolate investor choice in<br />
an increasingly global market place by differentiating the UK<br />
REIT vehicle in this way. It is unlikely however that a single<br />
property vehicle will qualify for REIT status.<br />
• The activities of the UK REIT will either be classified as<br />
non-taxable ("ring-fenced property letting business") or<br />
taxable ("non-ring-fenced business"). At least 75% of<br />
the total gross income (and at least 75% of the gross<br />
value of the assets) must relate to the ring-fenced<br />
property letting business. The precise demarcation of<br />
activities into ring-fenced and non ring-fenced business<br />
is still open to discussion however. Limited development<br />
activity within the 75% tests will be allowed, but will<br />
attract corporation tax. Have no more than 20% of its<br />
assets consist of stocks in taxable REIT subsidiaries.<br />
• At least 95% of the REITs net ring-fenced income after<br />
appropriate deductions and capital allowances will have<br />
to be distributed. There will not be a minimum holding<br />
period set for assets held in a REITs structure.<br />
• No more than 50 percent of the shares can be held by<br />
five or fewer individuals during the last half of each<br />
taxable year and shares need to be fully transferable.<br />
“There is a growing perception that the European market<br />
with REIT developments still in their infancy is becoming even<br />
more attractive than the American one,”says EPRA’s Hughes.<br />
In 2004, says Hughes, European REITs outperformed their US<br />
counterparts. The European benchmark, the EPRA index,<br />
generated a total return of 41.73% in 2004, measured in euros,<br />
while the US benchmark, the EPRA/National Association of<br />
Real Estate Investment Trusts (NAREIT) index, returned<br />
24.19%, also in euro terms. On average, the gross dividend<br />
yield for European REITs is expected to rise to 4.7% in 2006<br />
from 4.5% this year, according to a UBS research report. The<br />
average gross dividend yield for US REITs, in contrast, is<br />
expected to fall to 4.0% in 2006 from 4.7% this year.<br />
So far, interest in European REITs has come mostly from<br />
banks and institutional investors, but says Hughes, a<br />
notable trend is increasing interest from overseas investors.<br />
The explanation is clear; European REITs are still cheaper<br />
than those in the US and Asia.<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global Markets Company Directory<br />
Company Name Page Company Name Page Company Name Page Company Name Page<br />
Abbott Laboratories 68<br />
ABN AMRO 47<br />
ABN Amro Asset Management 52<br />
Adelphia 77<br />
Ahold<br />
Algemeen Burgerlijk<br />
77<br />
Pensioenfonds 67<br />
Allied Irish Bank 47<br />
America Movil 24<br />
American Century 72<br />
Apple 36<br />
Apple Computer<br />
Asia Pacific Central Securities<br />
37<br />
Depository Group 47<br />
AstraZeneca 68<br />
Athens Stock Exchange 17<br />
AXA Investment Management 62<br />
AXA Investment Managers 52<br />
Bank Leu 47<br />
Bank of Ireland 9<br />
Bank of New York 6<br />
Barclays Global Investors 8<br />
Bertrand and Mullainathan 78<br />
Biaxin 68<br />
Bimbo 24<br />
BNP Paribas 46<br />
Bristol-Myers Squibb 68<br />
Cedel 44<br />
Celent Communications 52<br />
Cemex 24<br />
Charles River Associates 70<br />
Citadel Investment Group 18<br />
Citigroup<br />
Citigroup Global Transaction<br />
6<br />
Services 47<br />
Citywire 21<br />
Clearstream 44<br />
CNBC 16<br />
Creative 39<br />
Credit Agricole 32<br />
Credit Suisse First Boston 6<br />
CRESTCo 42<br />
CVC Capital Partners 14<br />
Dell<br />
Depository Trust & Clearing<br />
39<br />
Corporation 52<br />
Deutsche Bank 8<br />
Deutsche Börse 44<br />
Deutsche Börse Clearing 44<br />
Dexia 63<br />
Dow Jones Indexes 16<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
DPM Mellon 13<br />
Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein 55<br />
Driehaus Emerging Markets 26<br />
DuPont Capital 28<br />
DWS Investments 32<br />
Ecanal 22<br />
Ecrossnet 8<br />
ECSDA 43<br />
Eli Lilly 69<br />
EM Applications 11<br />
Enron 77<br />
eSecAuction 64<br />
eSecLending 64<br />
Euroclear 7<br />
Euroclear Bank 42<br />
Euroclear France 42<br />
Euroclear Nederland 42<br />
Euromoney 6<br />
Euronext<br />
European Agency for the<br />
17<br />
Evaluation of Medicinal Products 69<br />
European Commission 70<br />
European Community 43<br />
Fair & Clear 49<br />
Federal Reserve 22<br />
Fidelity Investments 57<br />
Fitch 68<br />
Frank Russell 16<br />
Frank Russell Securities, Inc. 6<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Group 16<br />
GAM 75<br />
GlaxoSmithKline 68<br />
Goldman Sachs 8<br />
Goldshields Group 69<br />
Gompers 78<br />
Greenwich Associates 76<br />
Grupo Mexico 24<br />
Hang Seng 16<br />
Harvard Business School 18<br />
Hedge Fund Association 74<br />
Hewitt Associates, LLC 72<br />
HSBC 16<br />
HSBC Securities Services 51<br />
Inalytics 8<br />
ING Bank 47<br />
ING Barings 16<br />
ING Investment Management 52<br />
Instinet 6<br />
Institutional Shareholder Services 77<br />
International Monetary Fund 28<br />
Investec 52<br />
IOSCO 43<br />
iRiver 39<br />
Ishii 78<br />
ISSA 43<br />
ITG 6<br />
Johannesburg Stock Exchange 17<br />
Johnson & Johnson’s Duragesic 68<br />
JP Morgan 6<br />
JPMorgan Investor Services 46<br />
Jupiter Research 39<br />
Land Securities 14<br />
Lehman Brothers 6<br />
Lipper Inc. 71<br />
Lloyds TSB Capital Markets 12<br />
London Stock Exchange 17<br />
Long Term Capital Management 74<br />
Magnum US Investments Inc. 74<br />
Mellon 6<br />
Mercer Investment Consulting 6<br />
Merck 68<br />
Metrick 78<br />
Microsoft 38<br />
MiFD 43<br />
MLIM<br />
Morgan Stanley Capital<br />
8<br />
International 17<br />
Morley Fund Management 52<br />
Napster 36<br />
NASD 15<br />
NASDAQ<br />
National Association of<br />
20<br />
Pension Funds 10<br />
National Health Service 69<br />
New York Life 15<br />
New York Stock Exchange<br />
Nicholas Applegate Capital<br />
17<br />
Management 16<br />
NOREX<br />
North American Free Trade<br />
17<br />
Agreement 16<br />
Northeastern University 37<br />
Northern Trust<br />
Ohio Public Employees Retirement<br />
6<br />
System 67<br />
Old Mutual 28<br />
Omgeo 52<br />
Optima Fund Management 75<br />
Parmalat 77<br />
Permira Europe 14<br />
Pfizer 68<br />
Pharma Futures 67<br />
Piper Jaffray 39<br />
Principal 73<br />
Prudential Annuities 15<br />
Prudential Financial, Inc. 15<br />
Reuters 16<br />
Riverfield 32<br />
Roxio 38<br />
RWE 12<br />
Salzburger Sparkasse 32<br />
Samsung 39<br />
SAPPI 30<br />
SASOL 30<br />
Schroders<br />
Securities and Exchange<br />
52<br />
Commission 18<br />
Securities Industry Association 51<br />
Serious Fraud Office<br />
SG Corporate & Investment<br />
69<br />
Banking 52<br />
SmartMoney Magazine 16<br />
Standard & Poor’s 17<br />
State Street 6<br />
STOXX Ltd 16<br />
Sungard Business Integration 51<br />
SWIFT 43<br />
Swiss Exchange 17<br />
T. Rowe Price 51<br />
Taiwan Greater China Fund 25<br />
Taiwan Stock Exchange 25<br />
TASS Research 71<br />
Telkom 30<br />
Telmex 24<br />
The Bank of New York 47<br />
The Financial Times 16<br />
The Wall Street Journal 16<br />
Thomson Corporation 16<br />
Thomson Financial 16<br />
Tremont Capital Management 71<br />
Tyco 77<br />
UBS 52<br />
UBS Global Management 77<br />
US Food and Drug Administration 69<br />
Vanguard Group 72<br />
Veolia 12<br />
Vera Research 22<br />
Veritas SG Investment Trust 32<br />
WestLB 22<br />
Wharton Business School<br />
Wilmer Cutler Pickering<br />
18<br />
Hale & Dorr 18<br />
COMPANIES IN THIS ISSUE<br />
85
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
86<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global Equity Index Series – Global Q1 2005<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Regional Indices Performance (USD)<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Regional Indices Capital Returns (USD)<br />
%<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
-6<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Index<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Large Cap<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Mid Cap<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Small Cap<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Adv Emerging AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Emerging AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Latin America AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Middle East & Africa<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> North America AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Country Indices Capital Returns<br />
%<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
-6<br />
-8<br />
-10<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Australia AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Austria AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Belgium/Lux AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Canada AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Denmark AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Finland AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> France AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Germany AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Greece AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hong Kong China AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Ireland AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Italy AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Netherlands AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Emerging Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific ex Japan AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Dev Europe AC<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> New Zealand AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Norway AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Portugal AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Singapore AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Spain AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Sweden AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Swizerland AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> United Kingdom AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> USA AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific AC ex Japan<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Middle East & Africa AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Emerging Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Latin America AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> North America AC<br />
Dollar Value<br />
Local Currency Value<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging Country Indices Capital Returns<br />
%<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global All Cap Sector Indices Capital Returns (USD)<br />
%<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
-10<br />
Stock Performance<br />
Best Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Index Stocks (USD) Worst Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Index Stocks (USD)<br />
Hyundai Hysco 78.9% Elan Corporation -88.3%<br />
Orascom Construction 72.4% LG Card -66.2%<br />
Orascom Telecom Holdings 71.7% Mosenergo -58.6%<br />
NET Servicos de Comunicacao PN 65.5% Doral Financial -55.6%<br />
Oriental Weavers 64.2% Delphi Corporation -50.3%<br />
Overall Index Return No. of Value 1 M 3 M Actual<br />
Consts Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC 7,843 301.87 0.8% -1.3% 2.05%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global LC 1,103 295.80 0.5% -1.9% 2.20%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global MC 1,877 395.19 2.2% 0.4% 1.73%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global SC 4,863 356.98 0.8% -0.8% 1.65%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-World 2,980 180.61 0.8% -1.3% 2.10%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific AC ex Japan 1,877 346.66 0.6% 0.8% 2.95%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Latin America AC 174 473.91 2.7% 0.8% 3.56%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All Emerging Europe AC 84 442.94 1.7% 3.7% 1.73%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe AC 1,525 326.19 1.9% 0.1% 2.76%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Middle East & Africa AC 173 401.04 -1.6% -5.2% 2.72%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> North Americas AC 2,680 280.76 0.4% -2.3% 1.68%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan AC 1,330 311.68 0.0% -1.5% 0.98%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Dollar Value<br />
Local Currency Value<br />
Capital<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Argentina AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Brazil AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Chile AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> China AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Columbia AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Czech Republic AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Egypt AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hungary AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> India AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Indonesia AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Israel AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Korea AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Malaysia AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Mexico AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Morocco AC<br />
Mining<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Pakistan AC<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Chemicals<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Peru AC<br />
Construction & Building Materials<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Philippines AC<br />
Forestry & Paper<br />
Steel & Other Metals<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Poland AC<br />
Aerospace & Defence<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Russia AC<br />
Diversified Industrials<br />
Electronic & Electrical Equipment<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> South Africa AC<br />
Engineering & Machinery<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Taiwan AC<br />
Automobiles & Parts<br />
Household Goods & Textiles<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Thailand AC<br />
Beverages<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Turkey AC<br />
Food Producers & Processors<br />
Health<br />
Personal Care & Household Products<br />
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology<br />
Tobacco<br />
General Retailers<br />
Leisure & Hotels<br />
Media & Entertainment<br />
Support Services<br />
Transport<br />
Food & Drug Retailers<br />
Telecommunication Services<br />
Electricity<br />
Utilities - Other<br />
Banks<br />
Insurance<br />
Life Assurance<br />
Investment Companies<br />
Real Estate<br />
Speciality & Other Finance<br />
Information Technology Hardware<br />
Software & Computer Services<br />
Total Return<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
87
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
88<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global Equity Index Series – Developed ex US Q1 2005<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Regional Indices Performance (USD)<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
%<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Regional Indices Capital Returns (USD)<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed<br />
%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurozone<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US Indices Sector Capital Returns (USD)<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
-6<br />
-8<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> US<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed AC ex US<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed LC ex US<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed MC ex US<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed SC ex US<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
Mining<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Chemicals<br />
Construction & Building Materials<br />
Forestry & Paper<br />
Steel & Other Metals<br />
Aerospace & Defence<br />
Diversified Industrials<br />
Electronic & Electrical Equipment<br />
Engineering & Machinery<br />
Automobiles & Parts<br />
Household Goods & Textiles<br />
Beverages<br />
Food Producers & Processors<br />
Health<br />
Personal Care & Household Products<br />
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology<br />
Tobacco<br />
General Retailers<br />
Leisure & Hotels<br />
Media & Entertainment<br />
Support Services<br />
Transport<br />
Food & Drug Retailers<br />
Telecommunication Services<br />
Electricity<br />
Utilities - Other<br />
Banks<br />
Insurance<br />
Life Assurance<br />
Investment Companies<br />
Real Estate<br />
Speciality & Other Finance<br />
Information Technology Hardware<br />
Software & Computer Services<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> US (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific<br />
ex Japan (LC/MC)<br />
Capital<br />
Total Return<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
Stock Performance<br />
Best Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US Index Stocks (USD) Worst Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US Index Stocks (USD)<br />
ISS A/S 45.9% Elan Corporation -88.3%<br />
Chiyoda Corp 42.9% Net One -38.3%<br />
Kingboard Chemical Holdings 41.2% Creative Technology -35.5%<br />
Caltex Australia 40.8% Abitibi-Consolidated -32.9%<br />
Sembcorp Marine 40.5% Fisher & Paykel Appliances Holdings -31.8%<br />
Overall Index Return No. of Value 1 M 3 M Actual<br />
Consts Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed ex US (LC/MC) 1,365 195.53 1.6% -0.5% 2.45%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> USA (LC/MC) 743 484.10 0.1% -2.3% 1.73%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed (LC/MC) 2,108 177.54 0.8% -1.5% 2.07%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging (LC/MC) 872 264.53 1.0% 0.5% 2.70%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe (LC/MC) 511 196.80 1.8% -0.2% 2.82%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific (LC/MC) 779 179.96 -0.3% -1.9% 1.74%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan (LC/MC) 300 290.74 0.1% -0.5% 3.45%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed All-Cap ex US (LC/MC) 3,733 328.53 1.6% -0.1% 2.40%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed LC ex US 527 308.28 1.4% -1.1% 2.55%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed MC ex US 1,877 376.88 2.4% 2.0% 1.73%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed SC ex US 4,863 409.66 2.3% 3.8% 1.65%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global Equity Index Series – Asia Pacific Q1 2005<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific Regional Indices Performance (USD)<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed<br />
Asia Pacific (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific<br />
ex Japan (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging<br />
Asia Pacific AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan (LC/MC)<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
89
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
90<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific Regional Indices Capital Returns (USD)<br />
%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific All Cap Sector Indices Capital Returns (USD)<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
-10<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific AC<br />
%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC<br />
Mining<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Chemicals<br />
Construction & Building Materials<br />
Forestry & Paper<br />
Steel & Other Metals<br />
Aerospace & Defence<br />
Diversified Industrials<br />
Electronic & Electrical Equipment<br />
Engineering & Machinery<br />
Stock Performance<br />
Best Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific Index Stocks (USD) Worst Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific Index Stocks (USD)<br />
Hyundai Hysco 78.9% LG Card -66.2%<br />
China Intl Marine Containers (B) 62.7% Macronix International -39.9%<br />
Pakistan Telecom 59.0% Net One -38.3%<br />
Lotte Midopa 56.2% Polaris Software Lab -36.9%<br />
Dacom Corporation 55.7% Creative Technology -35.5%<br />
Overall Index Return<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed<br />
Asia Pacific (LC/MC)<br />
Developed Asia Pacific<br />
ex Japan (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging<br />
Asia Pacific AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed<br />
Asia Pacific AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan Index (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific (LC/MC)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific MC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific SC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific LC<br />
Automobiles & Parts<br />
Household Goods & Textiles<br />
Beverages<br />
Food Producers & Processors<br />
Health<br />
Personal Care & Household Products<br />
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology<br />
Tobacco<br />
General Retailers<br />
Leisure & Hotels<br />
Media & Entertainment<br />
Support Services<br />
Transport<br />
Food & Drug Retailers<br />
Telecommunication Services<br />
Electricity<br />
Utilities - Other<br />
Banks<br />
Insurance<br />
Life Assurance<br />
Investment Companies<br />
Real Estate<br />
Speciality & Other Finance<br />
Information Technology Hardware<br />
Software & Computer Services<br />
Capital<br />
Total Return<br />
No. of Value 1 M 3 M Actual<br />
Consts Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC 7843 301.87 0.8% -1.3% 2.05%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific AC 3207 326.08 0.3% -0.5% 1.89%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific (LC/MC) 1339 184.34 0.0% -1.1% 1.91%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific LC 498 311.14 -0.2% -1.7% 1.97%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific MC 841 362.01 0.8% 1.2% 1.67%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Asia Pacific SC 1868 383.51 2.7% 5.4% 1.71%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan (LC/MC) 300 290.74 0.1% -0.5% 3.45%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Asia Pacific Index (LC/MC) 779 179.96 -0.3% -1.9% 1.74%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging Asia-Pacific 560 203.63 1.0% 1.7% 2.52%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan Index (LC/MC) 479 115.46 -0.4% -2.5% 0.98%<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
%<br />
%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global Equity Index Series – Europe Q1 2005<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> European Regional Indices Performance (EUR)<br />
108 <strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC (EUR)<br />
106<br />
104<br />
102<br />
100<br />
98<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> European Regional Indices Capital Return (EUR)<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe LC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe MC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe SC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe Sector Indices Capital Returns (EUR)<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging Europe AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurozone AC<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe<br />
ex UK AC<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurofirst 300<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 80<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 100<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
Mining<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Chemicals<br />
Construction & Building Materials<br />
Forestry & Paper<br />
Steel & Other Metals<br />
Aerospace & Defence<br />
Diversified Industrials<br />
Electronic & Electrical Equipment<br />
Engineering & Machinery<br />
Automobiles & Parts<br />
Household Goods & Textiles<br />
Beverages<br />
Food Producers & Processors<br />
Health<br />
Personal Care & Household Products<br />
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology<br />
Tobacco<br />
General Retailers<br />
Leisure & Hotels<br />
Media & Entertainment<br />
Support Services<br />
Transport<br />
Food & Drug Retailers<br />
Telecommunication Services<br />
Electricity<br />
Utilities - Other<br />
Banks<br />
Insurance<br />
Life Assurance<br />
Investment Companies<br />
Real Estate<br />
Speciality & Other Finance<br />
Information Technology Hardware<br />
Software & Computer Services<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe<br />
ex UK LC/MC (EUR)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 300 (EUR)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe AC (EUR)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 100 (EUR)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurozone LC/MC (EUR)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 80 (EUR)<br />
Capital<br />
Total Return<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
91
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
92<br />
Stock Performance<br />
Best Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe Index Stocks (EUR) Worst Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe Index Stocks (EUR)<br />
ISS A/S 52.6% Elan Corporation -87.8%<br />
Deutsche Boerse 31.0% Benetton -23.5%<br />
Fresenius AG (PFD) 29.0% MLP Ord -23.2%<br />
Banca Antonventa 28.9% Unibail -21.0%<br />
Continental 28.0% T-Online Ag -18.3%<br />
Overall Index Return (EUR)<br />
No. of Value 1 M 3 M Actual<br />
Consts Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Global AC 7843 267.45 -0.4% 3.2% 2.05%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe AC 1609 290.18 2.2% 4.8% 2.75%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe LC 210 323.89 2.0% 3.8% 2.89%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe MC 358 351.43 2.9% 6.7% 2.43%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Europe SC 1041 365.35 2.2% 8.4% 2.27%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe AC 1525 289.00 2.2% 4.7% 2.76%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Emerging Europe AC 84 392.43 2.0% 8.5% 1.73%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurobloc AC 748 301.25 2.4% 4.6% 2.66%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Developed Europe ex UK AC 1035 301.27 2.7% 4.7% 2.57%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 300 300 1085.34 2.2% 4.2% 2.86%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 80 80 3843.14 2.6% 3.8% 2.90%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 100 100 3620.82 2.1% 4.0% 3.07%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> UK Index Series – Q1 2005<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> UK Index Series Performance (GBP)<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Share Sector Indices Capital Returns (GBP)<br />
%<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
-10<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
Mining<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Chemicals<br />
Construction & Building Materials<br />
Forestry & Paper<br />
Steel & Other Metals<br />
Aerospace & Defence<br />
Electronic & Electrical Equipment<br />
Engineering & Machinery<br />
Automobiles & Parts<br />
Household Goods & Textiles<br />
Beverages<br />
Food Producers & Processors<br />
Health<br />
Personal Care & Household Products<br />
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology<br />
Tobacco<br />
General Retailers<br />
Leisure & Hotels<br />
Media & Entertainment<br />
Support Services<br />
Transport<br />
Food & Drug Retailers<br />
Telecommunication Services<br />
Electricity<br />
Utilities - Other<br />
Banks<br />
Insurance<br />
Life Assurance<br />
Investment Companies<br />
Real Estate<br />
Speciality & Other Finance<br />
Information Technology Hardware<br />
Software & Computer Services<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 100<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 250<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 350<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> SmallCap<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Share<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> AIM<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> techMARK<br />
Capital<br />
Total Return<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
Stock Performance<br />
Best Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> All-Share Index Stocks (GBP) Worst Performing <strong>FTSE</strong> All-Share Index Stocks (GBP)<br />
Elementis 73.9% Nord Anglia Education -57.6%<br />
Game Group 46.5% Danka Business Systems -48.0%<br />
RAC 46.1% Phytopharm -46.9%<br />
Xaar 45.1% Jessops -37.6%<br />
Axon Group<br />
Overall Index Return<br />
41.6% Plasmon -34.1%<br />
No. of Value 1 M 3 M Actual Net P/E<br />
Consts Div Yld Cover Ratio<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 100 100 4894.37 0.9% 1.7% 3.22% 2.15 14.48<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 250 250 7130.51 -0.5% 2.8% 2.64% 1.96 19.36<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> 350 350 2498.72 0.7% 1.8% 3.13% 2.12 15.02<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> SmallCap 355 2907.27 1.0% 5.4% 1.99% 0.28 176.89<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-Share 705 2457.73 0.7% 1.9% 3.09% 2.08 15.54<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Fledgling 350 3381.41 2.8% 7.3% 2.22% -1.86 0.00<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> AIM 1057 1088.75 1.2% 8.3% 0.41% -0.17 0.00<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> techMARK 100 100 1134.26 -8.3% -5.2% 1.47% - -<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua Index Series<br />
31st December 2004 - 31st March 2005<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua Index Series Performance (RMB/HKD) - Q1 2005<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
31-Dec-04<br />
31-Jan-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua Index Series<br />
Actual<br />
Index Name Consts Value 1 M 3 M Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>/Xinhua China 25 (HK$) 25 8254.83 1.2% -0.5% 3.03%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>/Xinhua China A50 (RMB) 50 4088.34 -0.2% -2.3% 1.67%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua All-Share (RMB) 997 2259.88 -1.9% -7.6% 1.45%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua 600 (RMB) 600 2435.58 -1.3% -6.8% 1.56%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua Small Cap (RMB) 397 1624.64 -5.0% -12.4% 0.80%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua China Government Bond Total Return Index (RMB) 27 92.13 2.8% 4.6% 3.99%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
28-Feb-05<br />
31-Mar-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>/Xinhua China 25 (HK$)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua All-Share (RMB)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua Small Cap (RMB)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong>/Xinhua China A50 (RMB)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua 600 (RMB)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Xinhua China Government<br />
Bond Total Return Index (RMB)<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
93
MARKET REPORTS BY <strong>FTSE</strong> RESEARCH<br />
94<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Index Series<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge Management Styles (USD) - 5-Year Performance<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
Mar-00<br />
Sep-00<br />
Mar-01<br />
Sep-01<br />
*March 05 figures are indicative.<br />
Mar-02<br />
Sep-02<br />
Mar-03<br />
Sep-03<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> All-World<br />
Directional<br />
Event Driven<br />
Non-Directional<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Hedge – Management Styles & Strategies (NAV Terms)<br />
Index Ann Return Volatility<br />
Level* 1 mth 3 mth (5-Year) (3-Year)<br />
Directional 3021.75 -0.6% -0.1% 8.0% 4.8%<br />
Equity Hedge 2064.91 -0.7% 1.4% 7.1% 4.3%<br />
Commodity Trading Association (CTA) / Managed Futures 2038.71 0.1% -3.3% 11.5% 15.8%<br />
Global Macro 1888.85 -0.4% -1.1% 7.3% 6.1%<br />
Event Driven 3059.01 -1.3% -0.6% 3.7% 4.6%<br />
Merger Arbitrage 1992.08 -0.4% -0.5% 2.1% 1.8%<br />
Distressed & Opportunities 2080.55 -2.1% -0.6% 5.1% 7.6%<br />
Non-directional 2969.57 -0.1% 0.3% 4.7% 1.7%<br />
Convertible Arbitrage 1945.21 -1.4% -2.7% 8.4% 5.0%<br />
Equity Arbitrage 1979.41 0.5% 1.7% 5.8% 2.9%<br />
Fixed Income Relative Value 1990.20 0.0% 0.9% 2.2% 1.4%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series Performance (Total Return) - Q1 2005<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
Dec-04<br />
Jan-05<br />
Feb-05<br />
Mar-04<br />
Sep-04<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
Mar-05<br />
Mar-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global<br />
Total Return Index ($)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT North America<br />
Total Return Index ($)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Europe<br />
Total Return Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Euro Zone<br />
Total Return Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Asia<br />
Total Return Index ($)<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Indices (Total Return)<br />
Actual<br />
Index Name Consts Value 1 M 3 M Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Global ($) 275 1618.83 -0.4% -4.9% 4.12%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT North America ($) 135 1849.07 1.4% -6.5% 4.97%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Europe (€) 78 1704.31 -0.8% 1.4% 3.34%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Euro Zone (€) 30 1711.75 0.8% 4.9% 4.41%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> EPRA/NAREIT Asia ($) 62 1256.01 -3.0% -3.3% 3.12%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Bond Indices<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Bond Indices Performance (Total Return) - Q1 2005<br />
103<br />
102<br />
101<br />
100<br />
99<br />
98<br />
97<br />
Dec-04<br />
Jan-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Bond Indices (Total Return)<br />
Index Name Consts Value 1 M 3 M<br />
Actual<br />
Div Yld<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurozone Government Bond Index (€) 251 149.12 0.0% 1.2% 3.60%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Pfandbrief (€) 311 172.26 0.3% 1.0% 3.33%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Euro Emerging Markets Bond Index (€) 44 194.88 -0.8% -0.1% 4.91%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Euro Corporate Bond Index (€) 343 139.57 -0.3% 0.7% 3.91%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Gilts Index Linked All Stocks (£) 9 1843.63 0.1% -0.1% 1.85%*<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Gilts Fixed All-Stocks (£) 29 1791.85 0.1% -0.1% 4.63%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> US Government Bond Index ($) 111 142.34 -1.1% -0.4% 4.56%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan Government Bond Index (Y)<br />
* Based on 0% inflation<br />
220 110.44 0.2% 0.7% 1.01%<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Research Team contact details<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MAY/JUNE 2005<br />
Feb-05<br />
Mar-05<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Eurozone Government<br />
Bond Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Euro Corporate<br />
Bond Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> US Goverment<br />
Bond Index ($)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Pfandbrief Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Gilts Index Linked<br />
All Stocks (£)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Japan Government<br />
Bond Index (¥)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Euro Emerging Markets<br />
Bond Index (€)<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> Gilts Fixed All-Stocks (£)<br />
Carl Beckley Bin Wu Gareth Parker<br />
Director, Research Senior Index Design Executive Head of Index Design<br />
& Development bin.wu@ftse.com gareth.parker@ftse.com<br />
carl.beckley@ftse.com +44 20 7448 8986 +44 20 7448 1805<br />
+44 20 7448 1820<br />
Oliver Whittle Jamie Perrett Andreas Elia<br />
Index Analyst Senior Index Design Executive Research Analyst<br />
oliver.whittle@ftse.com jamie.perrett@ftse.com andreas.elia@ftse.com<br />
+44 20 7448 1887 +44 20 7448 1817 +44 20 7448 8013<br />
Key: AC = All Cap, LC = Large Cap, MC = Mid Cap, SC = Small Cap, LC/MC = Large and Mid Cap<br />
95
CALENDAR<br />
96<br />
Index Reviews May-Sept 2005<br />
Date Index Series Review Type Effective Data Cut-off<br />
(Close of business)<br />
13-May Hang Seng Quarterly review 6-Jun 31-Mar<br />
17-May MSCI Annual review 31-May<br />
May/Jun NZSX 10 Quarterly review June<br />
Early Jun Russell US Indices Annual review 24-Jun 31-May<br />
Early Jun ATX Quarterly review 30-Jun<br />
Early Jun KOSPI 200 Annual review 9-Jun End of May<br />
Early Jun IBEX 35 Semi-annual review 1-Jul<br />
1-Jun KFX Semi-annual review 17-Jun<br />
3-Jun OBX Semi-annual review 17-Jun 31-May<br />
3-Jun DAX Quarterly review<br />
3-Jun OMX S30 Semi-annual review 1-Jul 30-May<br />
8-Jun <strong>FTSE</strong> UK Quarterly review 17-Jun 7-Jun<br />
10-Jun <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Annual review - Emgng Eur, ME, Africa, Latin America 17-Jun 31-Mar<br />
10-Jun <strong>FTSE</strong> techMARK 100 Quarterly review 17-Jun 31-May<br />
10-Jun <strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 300 Quarterly review 17-Jun 3-Jun<br />
10-Jun <strong>FTSE</strong> eTX Quarterly review 17-Jun 3-Jun<br />
10-Jun NASDAQ 100 Quarterly review / Shares adjustment 17-Jun<br />
14-Jun S&P MIB Quarterly review - shares only 20-Jun<br />
15-Jun S&P/ ASX 200 Quarterly review 17-Jun<br />
15-Jun S&P US Indices Quarterly review 17-Jun<br />
15-Jun S&P Europe 350/ S&P Euro Quarterly review 17-Jun<br />
15-Jun S&P 500 Quarterly review 17-Jun<br />
15-Jun DJ Global Titans 50 Annual review 17-Jun 15-Jun<br />
15-Jun S&P Midcap 400 Quarterly review 17-Jun<br />
15-Jun PSI 20 Semi-annual review 1-Jul 31-May<br />
15-Jun STOXX Quarterly share adjustment 17-Jun 1-Jun<br />
16-Jun S&P/ TSX Quarterly review 17-Jun 31-May<br />
1-Jul TOPIX New Index Series Semi-annual review 28-Jul 17-Jun<br />
7-Jul TSEC Taiwan 50 Quarterly & annual review 15-Jul 30-Jun<br />
25-Jul OMX H25 Quarterly review 29-Jul 30-Jun<br />
1-Aug CAC 40 Quarterly review 1-Sep End of Jun<br />
12-Aug Hang Seng Quarterly review 9-Sep 30-Jun<br />
17-Aug MSCI Quarterly review 31-Aug<br />
31-Aug <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Annual Review / Japan 16-Sep 30-Jun<br />
Aug/Sep NZSX 10 Quarterly review Sep<br />
Early Sep ATX Quarterly review 30-Sep 31-Aug<br />
Early Sep S&P US Indices Phase 2 float adjustment 16-Sep<br />
1-Sep SMI Index Family Semi-annual review 30-Sep 31-Jul<br />
2-5-Sep S&P MIB Semi-annual constiuent review 19-Sep<br />
5-Sep DAX Quarterly review/ Ordinary adjustment 16-Sep 31-Aug<br />
7-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong>/ Hang Seng Asiatop Semi-annual review 16-Sep 31-Aug<br />
7-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> UK Quarterly review 16-Sep 6-Sep<br />
8-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> All-World Annual review/ Developed Europe 16-Sep 30-Jun<br />
9-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> techMARK 100 Quarterly review 16-Sep 31-Aug<br />
9-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong>urofirst 300 Quarterly review 16-Sep 2-Sep<br />
9-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> eTX Quarterly review 16-Sep 2-Sep<br />
9-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> Multinational Annual review 16-Sep 30-Jun<br />
9-Sep <strong>FTSE</strong> TMT Annual review 16-Sep 6-Sep<br />
13-Sep S&P MIB Quarterly review - shares & IWF 19-Sep<br />
14-Sep STOXX Quarterly review 16-Sep 1-Sep<br />
14-Sep STOXX Blue Chips Annual review 16-Sep 1-Sep<br />
14-Sep DJ Global Titans 50 Quarterly review 16-Sep 14-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P US Indices Quarterly review 16-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P Europe 350/ S&P Euro Quarterly review 16-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P 500 Quarterly review 16-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P Midcap 400 Quarterly review 16-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P/ ASX 200 Quarterly review 16-Sep<br />
14-Sep S&P TSX Quarterly review 16-Sep 31-Aug<br />
15-Sep Russell US Indices Quarterly review 30-Sep 31-Aug<br />
Sep/Oct CAC 40 Quarterly review Oct/Nov<br />
Sources: Berlinguer, <strong>FTSE</strong>, JP Morgan, Standard & Poors, STOXX<br />
MAY/JUNE 2005 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS
The children of Darfur in<br />
Sudan are caught up in a<br />
horrific conflict which is<br />
having a devastating<br />
effect on their lives.<br />
Over 1 million people<br />
have fled their homes and<br />
entire villages have been<br />
destroyed and hundreds<br />
of lives have been lost.<br />
Children’s lives are at<br />
great risk of disease and<br />
malnutrition. Water and<br />
shelter are in short supply.<br />
Right now, children are<br />
depending on UNICEF<br />
to stay alive.<br />
To find out more about how you<br />
and your company can help UNICEF<br />
when an emergency occurs, please<br />
contact victorial@unicef.org.uk<br />
or visit:<br />
www.unicef.org.uk/emergencyrelief<br />
if you are in the UK<br />
or<br />
www.supportunicef.org<br />
if you´re outside of the UK<br />
Thank you for your support<br />
With a presence in over 190 countries, UNICEF (the<br />
United Nations Children’s Fund) is uniquely positioned<br />
to react quickly to emergency situations such as the<br />
one in Sudan. We have been working tirelessly since<br />
the emergency began, providing medical supplies and<br />
access to safe water and sanitation. To carry out our<br />
emergency work, we desperately need the help of<br />
individuals and companies.<br />
<strong>FTSE</strong> already support UNICEF (over £900,000 donated<br />
through <strong>FTSE</strong>4Good so far). In doing so, they help us<br />
to alleviate the distress and hardship caused to<br />
children who find themselves suffering because of<br />
emergency situations like the one in Darfur.<br />
UNICEF/ HQ04-0292/Christine Nesbitt