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Simple Methods and Procedures Used in Forecasting

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L<strong>in</strong>ear Trend Analysis<br />

L<strong>in</strong>ear trend equation:<br />

Y )<br />

)<br />

Y = 860988,43 −10405,27*<br />

t<br />

- Estimated or predicted value of born baby´s<br />

Interpretation of slope coefficient :<br />

Here b 1 = 10405,27 tells us that the average<br />

value of born baby´s decreases by 10405<br />

on average <strong>in</strong> each year .

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