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Simple Methods and Procedures Used in Forecasting

Simple Methods and Procedures Used in Forecasting

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Exponential Exponential Exponential Smooth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Smooth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>Methods</strong><br />

<strong>Methods</strong><br />

Exponential smooth<strong>in</strong>g has become<br />

very popular as a forecast<strong>in</strong>g method<br />

for a wide variety of time series data.<br />

The predicted value <strong>in</strong> this method is a<br />

weighted average of past observations .<br />

Weights decay geometrically as we go<br />

backwards <strong>in</strong> time .

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