Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise
Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour 3.4. Phenomenology According to poverty measures of El-Laithy presented in Table-1, poverty 12 has increased on both national and regional level between 1981/82 and 1990/91, then stabilized in 1995/96 and then started to decline in 1999/00. However, it is noticed also that the Gini coefficient increased during 1999/00 compared to 1995/96. How could this contradiction of decline in poverty and increase in the Gini coefficient be explained? At the national level the growth was not pro-poor, thus the non-poor benefited more than the poor did from the growth. Correspondingly, the Gini coefficient increased from 34.5 to 37.8 13 . Table 1 - Regional Poverty Measures (1981/82-1999/00) Region Year FONDAZIONE CENSIS Lower Poverty Line Upper Poverty Line P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2 All Egypt 1981/82 16.42 3.77 1.23 23.65 6.04 2.23 - 1990/91 30.37 8.62 3.36 39.09 11.99 5.03 - 1995/96 29.25 5.79 1.58 42.46 10.13 3.32 34.5 1999/00 16.74 2.97 0.8 37.8 All Urban 1981/82 16.75 4.25 1.52 25.99 7.26 2.88 34.8 1990/91 26.06 6.59 2.28 36.82 10.58 4.15 34.8 1995/96 29.03 6.48 1.95 42.87 11.67 4.24 33.7 All Rural 1981/82 16.60 3.20 0.87 22.95 4.89 1.49 25.8 1990/91 34.12 10.97 4.90 41.25 13.88 6.45 36.6 1995/96 29.00 5.59 1.52 41.87 9.28 2.89 24.9 Source: El-Laithy (1999, 2002) 12 Named P0. 13 WB, Op.cit., p.19 Gini Index 2
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour The Period 1981/82-1995/96 Urban poverty has increased more rapidly than rural poverty, although the rural poverty rate is still higher than urban rate. The observed increases in national and urban poverty are mainly due to the decrease in average percapita expenditure (growth component), as the decline in average per-capita expenditure neutralized improvements in distribution. However, the observed change in rural poverty is fully accounted for the improvements in expenditure distribution, at least for the poorest of the poor and this is consistent with the declining Gini coefficient and stagnant increase in rural areas. As a matter of fact, there is no lack of poverty estimates in Egypt, but debates about methods of poverty measurement are common because poverty is an elusive concept and no single measure can properly or adequately reflect its magnitude and features. Most of poverty studies in Egypt used household surveys conducted by CAPMAS, in 1974/75, 1981/82, 1990/91, 1995/96 and 1999/2000 and used the same food energy requirement, these studies adopted also the same indicator of welfare expenditure. Table 2 Poverty Incidence in Various Studies in Egypt FONDAZIONE CENSIS 1981/82 1990/91 1995/96 Urban The World Bank (1991) 21.00 Korayem (1994) 30.40 35.90 El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 33.50 39.00 45.00 Cardiff (1997) 12.60 30.80 El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.80 26.10 29.00 Rural The World Bank (1991) 25.00 Korayem (1994) 29.70 56.40 El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 26.90 39.20 50.9 Cardiff (1997) 32.20 55.2 El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.60 34.10 29.00 Source: Subjective Poverty & Social Capital (2003) 2
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- Page 75 and 76: Rank Country CPI 2002 score Surveys
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
The Period 1981/82-1995/96<br />
Urban poverty has increased more rapidly than rural poverty, although the<br />
rural poverty rate is still higher than urban rate. The observed increases in<br />
national and urban poverty are mainly due to the decrease in average percapita<br />
expenditure (growth component), as the decline in average per-capita<br />
expenditure neutralized improvements in distribution. However, the<br />
observed change in rural poverty is fully accounted for the improvements in<br />
expenditure distribution, at least for the poorest of the poor and this is<br />
consistent with the declining Gini coefficient and stagnant increase in rural<br />
areas.<br />
As a matter of fact, there is no lack of poverty estimates in Egypt, but<br />
debates about methods of poverty measurement are common because<br />
poverty is an elusive concept and no single measure can properly or<br />
adequately reflect its magnitude and features.<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>st of poverty studies in Egypt used household surveys conducted by<br />
CAPMAS, in 1974/75, 1981/82, 1990/91, 1995/96 and 1999/2000 and used<br />
the same food energy requirement, these studies adopted also the same<br />
indicator of welfare expenditure.<br />
Table 2 Poverty Incidence in Various Studies in Egypt<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
1981/82 1990/91 1995/96<br />
Urban<br />
The World Bank (1991) 21.00<br />
Korayem (1994) 30.40 35.90<br />
El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 33.50 39.00 45.00<br />
Cardiff (1997) 12.60 30.80<br />
El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.80 26.10 29.00<br />
Rural<br />
The World Bank (1991) 25.00<br />
Korayem (1994) 29.70 56.40<br />
El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 26.90 39.20 50.9<br />
Cardiff (1997) 32.20 55.2<br />
El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.60 34.10 29.00<br />
Source: Subjective Poverty & Social Capital (2003)<br />
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