Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise
Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise
Etudes par pays volume 2, PDF, 346 p., 1,4 Mo - Femise
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2<br />
F E M I S E R E S E A R C H<br />
P R O G R A M M E<br />
The Mediterranean Limes.<br />
The Social Variables of Development:<br />
Health, Poverty and Crime<br />
The Impact of the Euro-Med Partnership and<br />
Globalization on Social Imbalances between The<br />
North and the South of the Basin<br />
Volume 2<br />
2002-2004<br />
Research n°FEM21-30<br />
Directed By<br />
Carla Collicelli, CENSIS, Italie<br />
In collaboration with<br />
Faculty of Economics and Political Science - Cairo University, Egypt<br />
Royal Scientific Society, Jordan<br />
KEPE, Greece<br />
Bogazici University, Turkey<br />
Ce rapport a été réalisé avec le soutien financier de<br />
la Commission des Communautés Européennes. Les<br />
opinions exprimées dans ce texte n’engagent que les<br />
auteurs et ne reflètent pas l’opinion officielle de la<br />
Commission.<br />
Economic Research Forum<br />
For the Arab Countries, Iran and Turkey<br />
<strong>Femise</strong> Coordinators<br />
November 2003<br />
This report has been drafted with financial assistance<br />
from the Commission of the European Communities.<br />
The views expressed herein are those of the authors<br />
and therefore in no way reflect the official opinions of<br />
the Commission.<br />
Institut de la Méditerranée<br />
C A I SSE D EPA R G N E<br />
PROVENCE - ALPES - CORSE
Research in the FEMISE network<br />
STUDY D2: POVERTY, INFORMAL SECTOR, HEALTH AND LABOUR<br />
THE MEDITERRANEAN LIMES.<br />
THE SOCIAL VARIABLES OF DEVELOPMENT:<br />
HEALTH, POVERTY AND CRIME<br />
THE IMPACT OF THE EURO-MED PARTNERSHIP AND<br />
GLOBALIZATION ON SOCIAL IMBALANCES BETWEEN<br />
THE NORTH AND THE SOUTH OF THE BASIN<br />
Volume II<br />
The case-studies in the 5 countries<br />
Rome, november 2003
The study was carried out by a working <strong>par</strong>ty of the Censis Foundation with<br />
the collaboration of Abaton-Ricerca, Progetti e Studi.<br />
Working <strong>par</strong>ty:<br />
Carla Collicelli (Leader); Rosario Sapienza, Massimiliano Valerii<br />
(Coordinator); Matteo Scaramella, Marta Piccarozzi, Andrea Baglioni,<br />
Gloria Pizzichemi, Giuseppe Lubrano, Elena Mariniello, Vittoria Coletta;<br />
Maria Antonella Di Candia, Roberta Bernardi, Sabrina Pusceddu<br />
(Secretariat).
VOLUME I<br />
INDICE<br />
Foreword Pag. 1<br />
Statement of Research Issue and Literature Review “ 5<br />
Research Methodology “ 8<br />
Part One - Com<strong>par</strong>ative study of Poverty, Health and<br />
Crime in the Mediterranean Countries “ 10<br />
1. Poverty “ 11<br />
1.1. Human development “ 11<br />
1.2. Economic deprivation “ 16<br />
1.3. Social exclusion “ 23<br />
1.4. Millennium Goals directly linked to poverty “ 31<br />
2. Health “ 37<br />
2.1. General trends and figures “ 37<br />
2.2. Healthy life expectancy “ 45<br />
2.3. Access to health “ 48<br />
2.4. Spending on health “ 54<br />
2.5. Millennium Goals for health “ 72<br />
3. Crime “ 80<br />
3.1. A problem of approaches and definitions “ 80<br />
3.2. Com<strong>par</strong>ative analysis of crime statistics “ 81<br />
3.3. Governance as the habitat of security “ 84<br />
Part Two - Analysis of main factors, creation of new<br />
indicators and study of correlations “ 100<br />
1. Premises for analysis “ 101<br />
2. Methodological approach to Principal Component<br />
Analysis (PCA) “ 102<br />
2.1. Defining the concepts “ 103<br />
2.2. Definition of macro-phenomena and identification<br />
of evaluation criteria “ 104
2.3. Aggregation of indicators: Principal Component<br />
Analysis (PCA) Pag. 105<br />
2.4. Rating “ 107<br />
3. Creation of Poverty and Access Index (PAI) “ 108<br />
4. Construction of the Health System Index (HSI) “ 115<br />
5. Construction of the Governance Security Index (GSI) “ 125<br />
6. Incidence of Poverty, Health and Governance in human<br />
development in the Mediterranean region “ 128<br />
6.1. The three indicators in relation to the Human<br />
Development Index (HDI) “ 128<br />
6.2. Crossing the three indicators Health, Poverty and<br />
Governance with one another “ 133<br />
6.3. Crossing the three indicators (PAI, HSI and GSI)<br />
with a number of active variables present in each<br />
of them “ 136<br />
Research Synopsis “ 152<br />
VOLUME II - THE COUNTRY-STUDIES<br />
Egypt “ 1<br />
Jordan “ 74<br />
Greece “ 123<br />
Italy “ 189<br />
Turkey “ 291
EGYPT<br />
Alia El-Mahdi - Professor of Economics<br />
Faculty of Economics and Political Science - Cairo University<br />
Magued Osman<br />
Suzanna Sobhy<br />
Marwa Salem<br />
Anwar Abdel Aal
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. COUNTRY PROFILE: ESSENTIAL FIGURES<br />
Official Name: Arab<br />
Republic of Egypt<br />
Background: Egypt is<br />
reputed worldwide for its<br />
distinct 7,000-years-old<br />
record of history and<br />
civilization. This has made<br />
Egypt a master and pioneer<br />
of science, arts, culture,<br />
architecture as well as<br />
almost all fields of human<br />
knowledge (SIS, Year<br />
Book, 2002).<br />
1.1. Population<br />
- Population: In January 2002, the population of Egypt was estimated at<br />
65.986 million (32.220 mill males and 33.766 mill females) excluding<br />
Egyptians living abroad (CAPMAS, 2002).<br />
- Age structure (CAPMAS):<br />
- Populations below 14 years represent 34.5 % of population in 2000<br />
com<strong>par</strong>ed to 39.5% in 1986.<br />
- Population age category between 15 and 64 represents the majority of<br />
population (62%) in 2000.<br />
- Old age category, 65 years and over represent 3.6% of total population<br />
in 2000<br />
- Birth rate: Birth rate dropped from 40 per thousand in 1986 to 26.7 per<br />
thousand in 2001 (CSD, 2002).<br />
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- <strong>Mo</strong>rtality rate: <strong>Mo</strong>rtality rate in 2001/02 is 6.2 per thousand com<strong>par</strong>ed to<br />
6.3 per thousand in 2000/01 (SIS, 2002).<br />
- Natural growth rate: Normal Population Growth in 2001 was estimated at<br />
about 1.334 million i.e. one citizen / 23.6 seconds with a monthly growth<br />
of about 111,186 child and a daily increase of about 3655 child (SIS,<br />
2002). Thus, natural growth rate fell from 30.5 per thousand in 1996 to<br />
20.4 per thousand in 2001 (CAPMAS, 2002).<br />
- Population Growth Rate: 2.13 % in 2001 (CAPMAS, 2002)<br />
- Net migration rate: -0.24 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2001 est.)<br />
- Sex Ratio: 0.95 male(s)/female (MOHP, 2002)<br />
- Infant mortality rate: 60.46 deaths/1,000 live births (CAPMAS, 2002).<br />
- Life expectancy at birth: total population: 63.69 years, male: 67.1 years,<br />
female: 71.5 years (CAPMAS, 2002).<br />
- Total fertility rate: 3.5 children born/woman (1997-2000) (DHS, 2000).<br />
- Education rate: (HDR, various issues)<br />
- Primary enrolment ratio (gross) %: 91.7 (2002/2001).<br />
- Pre<strong>par</strong>atory enrolment ratio (gross) %: 92.3 (2002/2001).<br />
- Secondary enrolment ratio (gross) %: 71.1 (2002/2001).<br />
- Tertiary enrolment ratio (gross) %: 30.2 (2002/2001).<br />
- Population Density: Average population density mounted to 1096/km2 in<br />
inhabited areas and only 61/km2 if the state’s total area is utilized (SIS,<br />
2002).<br />
- Labor Force : Labor force amounted to about 19.73 million in 2001/02<br />
and about 20.26 million in 2002/03 (SIS, 2002).<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1.2. Economy and Labor<br />
Economic performance tops the government’s priorities, especially under<br />
the current global conditions affecting world economy. The state’s<br />
economic policy focuses on activating and affecting the role of the private<br />
sector in development efforts, boosting domestic and foreign investments,<br />
implementing national mega projects, promoting human development to<br />
overcome the challenges of the new era, pre<strong>par</strong>ing youth to assume their<br />
responsibilities in different fields of national action and bolstering women’s<br />
role in community development.<br />
- GDP growth rate: After several years of strong growth in the second half<br />
of1990s, Egypt’s economic growth has slowed markedly over the last<br />
three years. Real growth rate in the country’s gross domestic product<br />
(GDP) was only 3.2% in 2002, com<strong>par</strong>ed to 3.4% in 2001, and to 6.0%<br />
as recently as 2000.<br />
- GDP per capita: GDP per capita has increased from US$ 1015 in 1995 to<br />
US$ 1276 in 2002 (Ministry of Planning).<br />
- GDP per Sector (2002) :<br />
1. Commodity Sector: contributed by 49.8 percent of GDP) (HDR,<br />
2002/2003).<br />
- Agriculture: 16.5 percent of GDP.<br />
- Industry: 33.3 percent of GDP.<br />
2. Services sector: 50.2 percent of GDP.<br />
- Unemployment Rate: There are different estimates of the UER that range<br />
from 9.9% in 2002 (official estimate) to 17.5% (unpublished estimates)<br />
during 1998- 2002.<br />
- Inflation Rate: has declined sharply over the last 7 years. It was 2.4% in<br />
2002 com<strong>par</strong>ed with 9.4% in 1996. However, the inflation rate rose again<br />
to exceed 8% during the months of March to September 2003, due to the<br />
new exchange rate policy, which moved towards a more liberalized<br />
exchange rate. As a consequence, the value of the Egyptian Pound (LE)<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
versus the US$ fell from LE 4.62/ US$ to LE 6.2/US$ in September<br />
2003. A 35% drop in the value of the LE resulted in an increase in the<br />
CPI, which started to rise from 2% in April 2002 to 4.7% in April 2003 1 .<br />
- Investment: The government has taken various steps to ensure that the<br />
investment climate is as favorable as possible. The most important step to<br />
date is the Investment Law of 1997, which codifies and clarifies all<br />
provisions pertaining to investment in the country. The investment law of<br />
1997 allows foreign companies to have 100% ownership of Egyptian<br />
companies and provides for the repatriation of dividends. Another<br />
important feature of this law is the fact that it identifies 16 fields that<br />
benefit from investment incentives outlined in the law.<br />
- Trade: Historically, despite the volatility of the region in which Egypt is<br />
situated, trade has continued successfully. Egypt’s main trading <strong>par</strong>tners<br />
are the US, Italy, France, Greece, Germany, Britain and Japan. Major<br />
categories of goods imported are wheat, meat, flour, machinery and<br />
automobiles. Major categories of goods exported are petroleum, oil, gas,<br />
cotton and cotton textiles, metal products, chemicals (CBE, 2002). The<br />
share of exports of goods & services to GDP in current prices has<br />
declined from 29.5% in 1995 to 17.5% in 2001 (CBE, 2002). However,<br />
exports represented 45 percent of imports in 2002 com<strong>par</strong>ed to 32.7<br />
percent in 1996. Egypt is a member of several trade blocs (see<br />
Appendix).<br />
- Currency: Egyptian Pound (£E) consists of 100 piasters 2.<br />
1.3. Geography and territorial characteristics<br />
- Location: Egypt, a country in northeastern Africa, is located at the heart<br />
of the world, standing as a major trade and crossroads destination<br />
between Europe, the Middle East, Africa and west and south Asia. It<br />
occupies the north Eastern corner of Africa, bordered by Libya to the<br />
west, Sudan to the south, Palestine and Israel to the northeast. Its north<br />
1 CAPMAS, <strong>Mo</strong>nthly Bulletin for CPI, May 2003.<br />
2 1US$ = £E6.2 in 2003 (CBE).<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
coast is on the Mediterranean Sea, while the eastern coast is bounded by<br />
the Red Sea. The Suez canal links the Red Sea to the Mediterranean.<br />
- Geographical Borders: Egypt is bounded as follows:<br />
- To the north, by the Mediterranean with a 955-km-long coast.<br />
- To the east by the Red Sea with a 1941-km-long coast.<br />
- To the northeast, by 265-km-long borders with Palestine and Israel.<br />
- To the west, by 1115-km-long borders with Libya.<br />
- To the south, by 1280-km-long borders with Sudan.<br />
- Area: Egypt has a total area of about 1,002,000 km2, 55367 km2 (5.5%)<br />
are populated.<br />
- Capital: Cairo<br />
- Topography: The Arab Republic of Egypt is divided into four major<br />
<strong>par</strong>ts:<br />
- Nile Valley and Delta: It has an area of about 33,000 km2, i.e. less<br />
than 4% of the total area of the country, while the remaining area, i.e.<br />
96% is desert.<br />
- Western Desert: The Western Desert occupies an area of about<br />
680,000 km2, i.e. 68% of Egypt’s total area.<br />
- Eastern Desert: Its area is about 225,000 km2, i.e. 28% of Egypt’s<br />
total area.<br />
- Sinai Peninsula: With an area of about 6100 km2, i.e. 6.1% of Egypt’s<br />
total area.<br />
- Climate: Egypt lies within the dry tropical region, except for the northern<br />
<strong>par</strong>ts that lie within the warm moderate region, with a semi<br />
Mediterranean climate characterized by hot dry summers and moderate<br />
winters with little rain falls, potentially heavier along coastal areas.<br />
- Religions: Muslim (mostly Sunni) 94%, Coptic Christian and other 6%<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
- Languages: Arabic (official), English and French widely understood by<br />
educated classes<br />
- Natural Resources: Egypt possesses a wealth of major minerals,<br />
including oil, phosphate, iron, and manganese. The major products of<br />
stone quarries represented in granite, basalt, marble, limestone, sand, and<br />
glass.<br />
- Environmental Issues in Egypt:<br />
Some environmental issues represent a priority to policy makers as well as<br />
the concerned civil society organizations and they include:<br />
- Industrial Pollution (industrial liquid Wastes and industrial solid Waste).<br />
- Non- Industrial Pollution (Solid Wastes, Hospital Wastes, Sanitary<br />
Drainage and Air Pollution Generated from Vehicles Exhausts).<br />
- Archeological Environment Pollution.<br />
- Energy Consumption<br />
- Carbon and Energy-Related Emissions.<br />
- Energy and Carbon Intensity<br />
- Hydroelectric Power and the Nile River<br />
1.4. Key Issues<br />
- Economic constraints<br />
1. Economic recession, <strong>par</strong>ticularly since 1997.<br />
2. Exchange rate volatility<br />
3. <strong>Mo</strong>dest Export performance<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
4. Low productivity<br />
5. Inflationary pressures<br />
- Social constraints<br />
1. Unemployment, low standards of living and levels of income<br />
2. Low social and medical insurance coverage<br />
3. High natural population growth rates<br />
- Political constraints<br />
1. Limited political <strong>par</strong>ticipation<br />
2. <strong>Mo</strong>dest role of the civil society organizations<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
2. HEALTH<br />
2.1. Definitions<br />
The government of Egypt is adopting the World Health Organization<br />
definition of health “a state of complete physical, mental and social wellbeing<br />
and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity”.<br />
A recent survey 3 indicates measured the perception of Egyptians about their<br />
own health. The results indicated that 49% of the Egyptians feel that their<br />
health is same as people in the same age, 40% feel that their health is better<br />
or much better, 11% feel that their health is worse or much worse.<br />
2.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
The Egyptian constitution states that free health care should be available for<br />
every individual.<br />
Egypt started building health facilities in urban and rural areas to deliver<br />
primary health (PHC) services early in the nineteen twenties. In urban areas,<br />
it took the form of maternal and child health centers (MCH). In rural areas,<br />
it took the form of an old type of rural health facilities, which was followed<br />
by two types of wooden transferable health units, one to treat ophthalmic<br />
diseases, and the other to treat schistosomiasis and intestinal <strong>par</strong>asites. The<br />
national program for the rural health services started in 1942 by establishing<br />
the rural health centers, each centre was to serve about 30,000 inhabitants in<br />
one or more villages. Each centre was staffed by a health team headed by a<br />
physician and consisting of nursing staff, assistant laboratory technician,<br />
sanitarian, and other workers. The rural health centers were to offer all PHC<br />
programs to the served community including: maternal and child health<br />
3 Ministry of Health and Population 2002, Egypt Household and Health Care Utilization<br />
and Expenditure Survey.<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
services, communicable diseases control, environmental sanitation, health<br />
education, <strong>par</strong>asitic and endemic diseases control, school health services,<br />
curative and emergency care (general practitioner level), family planning<br />
and dental care.<br />
Health care is delivered throughout public facilities, non-governmental<br />
organizations and the private sector. Public health facilities include:<br />
- Ministry of Health and Population (MOHP) owned facilities, which are<br />
mostly rural facilities, urban facilities, and secondary and tertiary<br />
hospitals for curative care.<br />
- Health insurance organization owned facilities, which provide services to<br />
employees, students, widows, pensioners and new born (about 45% of<br />
the Egypt population).<br />
- Curative care organization which runs some big hospitals and offers care<br />
for fixed fee.<br />
- Teaching hospitals and Technical Institutes Organization.<br />
- University Medical Teaching Hospitals, which have two systems, either<br />
completely free of charge curative services or fixed fee for service for<br />
those who can pay.<br />
Many NGO’s have health clinics and hospitals which offer services for<br />
reasonable prices to the public.<br />
The private sector plays an important role. It includes both formal and<br />
informal sectors. It manages private clinics or well-established specialized<br />
hospitals where people pay relative high fees for what they consider better<br />
services. This network also includes general practitioners, specialists,<br />
dentists, laboratories, pharmacists etc.<br />
During the nineties, the government was committed to the objective “health<br />
for all by the year 2000”. The government placed priority on meeting<br />
children’s health needs focusing on national programs to control diarrhea<br />
and acute respiratory infections and expanded childhood immunization<br />
program. Achievements were attained in the areas of high vaccination<br />
coverage, better health indices, especially infant mortality and life<br />
expectancy, and lower prevalence of intestinal <strong>par</strong>asites and schistosomiasis.<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
A policy reform agenda was developed to expand health insurance to a<br />
larger portion of the population. Several attempts was made recently to<br />
improve the quality of health care throughout changing the compensation<br />
scheme of health workers and providing on job training for the health team.<br />
Several initiatives are under consideration including improving health<br />
planning on the district level to strengthen decentralization, cost recovery,<br />
better referral system, support for deprived areas, and efficiency in using<br />
available resources.<br />
2.3. Sources<br />
The Central Agency for Public <strong>Mo</strong>bilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) is<br />
the main provider of data in Egypt. Periodical data include a census every<br />
decade and birth and death yearly report.<br />
In addition, seven rounds of a national representative sample survey were<br />
conducted during the last fifteen years under the umbrella of the<br />
Demographic and Health Surveys with support from USAID. The surveys<br />
provided detailed information on fertility, family planning, infant and child<br />
mortality and maternal and child health and nutrition. A national survey was<br />
recently conducted on health expenditure.<br />
The Ministry of Health and Population 4 publishes regular reports on<br />
morbidity status. <strong>Mo</strong>re data are provided through the Information Centre of<br />
the Ministry and through local authorities.<br />
4 www.mohp.gov.eg<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
2.4. Data<br />
[in addition to standard health indicators that can be accessed throughout the<br />
Human Development Report the following data are provided]<br />
Adult morbidity<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>re than one third of individuals reported episodes of illness during the<br />
last two weeks 5 . Twenty percent of the individuals reported chronic<br />
illness/disability. Twenty two percent of adults Egyptians are at risk from<br />
chronic diseases that can be attributed to smoking. Seventeen percent of<br />
individuals reported chest sound wheezy/whistling and half of them<br />
experienced short of breath.<br />
Child morbidity<br />
The 2000 Egyptian Demographic and Health Survey provided data on the<br />
prevalence and treatment of two common childhood illnesses, diarrhea and<br />
acute respiratory illness. Seven percent of children under five were reported<br />
to have had diarrhea in the two weeks preceding the survey . Medical advice<br />
was sought in treating about around half of these cases. Use of ORS packets<br />
( 34 percent ) or a homemade solution of sugar, salt and water (5%) to<br />
combat the dehydration was common. Altogether some form of ORT or<br />
increased fluids was used in treating around one in two of the children<br />
suffering from diarrhea.<br />
During the two weeks preceding the survey, 10% of children had a cough<br />
accompanied by symptoms of acute respiratory illness. In the case of twothirds<br />
of the cases a health provider was consulted and three fourth of the<br />
children were given antibiotics.<br />
Child nutrition<br />
Anthropometric data collected for children in the 2000 EDHS indicate that<br />
19 percent of Egyptian children show evidence of chronic malnutrition or<br />
stunting, and 3 percent are acutely malnourished . The trend in<br />
5<br />
Ministry of Health and Population 2002, Egypt Household and Health Care Utilization<br />
and Expenditure Survey.<br />
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anthropometric indicators from EDHS surveys between 1992 and 2000<br />
shows that the nutritional status of children under age five has improved<br />
from the situation prevailing during the first half of the 1990s, when 25 – 30<br />
percent of children were found to be stunted. Large differentials in<br />
children’s nutritional status continue to be observed, however, <strong>par</strong>ticularly<br />
by residence. For example, the percentage stunted among children in rural<br />
Upper Egypt is 27 percent, three times the level found in the Urban<br />
Governorates .<br />
Macronutrient.<br />
Recent figures indicate that the coverage of the program for vitamin A<br />
supplementation for new mothers and for children is still limited. Around<br />
one ninth of mothers and one fifth of children reported receiving a vitamin<br />
A capsule. With respect to iodine, 44% of households were found not using<br />
salt containing some iodine despite the program adopted by the government<br />
to prevent iodine deficiency.<br />
Maternal health<br />
Maternal health indicators are still low. During pregnancy, only 37% saw a<br />
health provider for the recommended minimum four antenatal care visits.<br />
The pregnancy care that Egyptian mothers receive often does not include<br />
routine screening or advice that is important in detecting and preventing<br />
complications. For example, women reported that they had been weighed<br />
and their blood pressure monitored in the case of only about 60 percent of<br />
the births in which a medical provider was seen for pregnancy care. Urine<br />
and blood samples were taken in two in five births, the mother’s height was<br />
measured in about a third of births, and iron tablets/ syrup were received or<br />
bought in around a quarter of the births. <strong>Mo</strong>ther were given advice about<br />
potential pregnancy complications in 18 percent of the births and told by the<br />
provider where to seek assistance if they experienced problems in the case<br />
of 14 percent of the births.<br />
Health care during delivery can usually prevent maternal mortality and<br />
morbidity. In only 60% of the cases trained medical personnel assisted<br />
during delivery. Traditional birth attendants assisted with most of the<br />
remaining cases. Nearly one half of the deliveries took place in a health<br />
facility. In rural Upper Egypt, less than two-fifths of deliveries are<br />
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medically assisted and only one fourth of deliveries took place in a health<br />
facility.<br />
Dis<strong>par</strong>ity in health indicators<br />
Despite the improvement that has been achieved in most health indicators,<br />
one of the main concern in maternal and child health is the geographical<br />
dis<strong>par</strong>ity that continue to prevail especially between urban and rural areas<br />
and between Lower (northern) and Upper (southern) Egypt. Child mortality<br />
rate in rural Upper Egypt is twice the rate observed in Urban governorates.<br />
Prevalence of child malnutrition in rural Upper Egypt is tree folds its level<br />
in Urban governorates. With respect to maternal care during delivery, the<br />
percent of pregnant women seen by a health provider during pregnancy at<br />
least 4 times was 26% in rural area and 54% in urban areas.<br />
Health expenditure<br />
Annual per capita expenditure on health care is L.E. 205. This amount is<br />
divided to L.E. 121 on outpatient services, L.E. 15 on inpatient services and<br />
L.E. 69 on drugs 6 .<br />
2.5. Phenomenology<br />
Currently, there is a large gap between the very comprehensive set of<br />
services that the actual primary care program intends to provide and the<br />
resources available to do it. The imbalance results in low salaries, lack of<br />
supplies and substandard facilities. Dissatisfaction is widespread. Already<br />
scarce resources are spread too thin to have an impact. The poor suffer to<br />
pay private doctors and make out of pocket payments to buy medicine.<br />
Services are fragmented and referral mechanisms loose people through the<br />
cracks in the system. The existing primary care system cannot provide a<br />
family and community focus, which is necessary to achieve primary health<br />
care goals.<br />
6 Ministry of Health and Population 2002, Egypt Household and Health Care Utilization<br />
and Expenditure Survey.<br />
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The outcome of the large infrastructure of rural and urban health facilities<br />
has been far less than expected. Due to:<br />
- Lack of adequate training for the staff<br />
- Low utilization of services<br />
- Low investment in PHC, and in health in general<br />
- Bad physical status of the health facilities<br />
- Low salaries<br />
- Weak managerial skills, including lack of supervision, follow up and<br />
monitoring<br />
- Lack of effective community <strong>par</strong>ticipation and involvement in health<br />
planning, monitoring, evaluation and utilization<br />
There is a clear need for policy reform, advances in quality assurance,<br />
human resource and systems development, decentralization, improved<br />
resource allocation, and increased private sector and community<br />
<strong>par</strong>ticipation.<br />
Several health challenges are facing Egypt including lack of accessibility to<br />
adequate health care for poor and low insurance coverage among agriculture<br />
workers and unemployed. Another challenge that is due to external factor is<br />
the increasing cost for health care due to deteriorating exchange rate. If the<br />
current population growth rate continues and the economy does not recover,<br />
in the near future health problems will aggravate in the future.<br />
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3. POVERTY<br />
3.1. Definition<br />
Although poverty has many manifestations and causes, but its main driving<br />
force is the process of exclusion from access to certain basic physical,<br />
human and social assets. To define poverty it needs selection of a welfare<br />
criterion in order to put a line that divides population into poor and non-<br />
poor, this criterion could be income-based approach or non income-based<br />
approach:<br />
- Income-based approach is the commonly used measurement to define the<br />
poor, by determining a level of income 7 if not attained by a person or a<br />
family, the later is classified poor. This critical level of income that<br />
se<strong>par</strong>ates the poor from non poor is named poverty line which could be in<br />
form of any of the following:<br />
- Absolute poverty line.<br />
- Relative poverty line.<br />
- Subjective poverty line.<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>st measurements in Egypt are based on some variant of the absolute<br />
consumption-based poverty line 8 . According to this approach of<br />
definition, three main features, which, characterize the poor people: low<br />
standard of living; low income and high propensity to borrow.<br />
In fact, this approach of defining poverty has two main limitations, as it<br />
does not account for access to essential public goods and services for<br />
instance clean water or environment, education and health, which affect<br />
7 Owing to a number of well-known difficulties of collecting accurate data on income,<br />
consumption expenditure is employed instead of income levels.<br />
8 Although EHRD 1996 introduced estimation of subjective poverty based on people<br />
perceptions and their neighbor's situation.<br />
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the standard of living, also this approach does not measure the quality of<br />
life.<br />
- Non income-based approach is a broader definition of poverty that<br />
provides additional information, which reflects the actual experience of<br />
the poor; their perceptions of poverty and their own self-determined<br />
concepts and measures of poverty. This definition accounts also for<br />
human development in terms of education; health and nutritional status<br />
as well as other aspects like security and safety nets.<br />
- The Capability Poverty Measurement (CPM) 9 is an application of non<br />
income-based definition of poverty, and it is used to complement rather<br />
than to substitute the income-based definition of poverty. Although this<br />
definition is used only by a minority of respondents, Egypt has<br />
introduced, in its published EHDR 1996, the capability measurement of<br />
poverty in order to complement the income-based measurement.<br />
- The Deprivation Index is another composite index which consists of nine<br />
indicators reflecting the standard of living and welfare, this Index was<br />
constructed by (IEC 1996) based on the result of Priority Survey<br />
conducted by CAPMAS for the Social Fund for Development (SFD), and<br />
it was published in EHRD 1997/98.<br />
- A Standard of Living Index was newly constructed as a broader measure<br />
of living conditions, and it is ranged from 0 to 100. It is comprised of five<br />
dimensions in order to capture different emphases in the definition of<br />
poverty by various analysts: per-capita income, per-capita expenditures,<br />
an index of economic security/vulnerability, an index of housing<br />
conditions, and an index of affordability of basic needs.<br />
9 This was recently introduced by UNDP in the HDR 1996.<br />
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3.2. Policies<br />
As it was realized, ERSAP might have negative effects on low-income<br />
groups; many recent policies have been designed and implemented to assist<br />
the poor. Both the government and NGO’s are considered the major players<br />
in poverty alleviation in Egypt.<br />
Major Government Policies:<br />
Poverty Alleviation policies are conducted through the following ministries<br />
and agencies:<br />
i. Social Fund for Development (SFD)<br />
SFD was established in 1992 as a result of the Structural Adjustment<br />
Program that was signed between the Egyptian Government and the<br />
World Bank. The SFD has five major programs:<br />
- The Enterprise Development Program, which aims on creating longterm<br />
employment opportunities through technical or credit assistance,<br />
concentrating on new projects and newly unemployed graduates.<br />
- The Public Works Program, supports labor-intensive public works<br />
projects in the poor and high unemployment governorates<br />
- The Community Development Program, aims to improve social<br />
services and productive activities in low income areas.<br />
- The Employment and Retraining Program, provides assistance to<br />
public sector workers who are displaced, and offers training for new<br />
graduates.<br />
- The Institutional Development Program, which aims to enforce the<br />
administrative and technical capacities of the SFD.<br />
Both of the second and the third programs achieved good records in<br />
reducing poverty.<br />
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ii. Ministry of Social Affairs (MOSA)<br />
MOSA works on alleviating poverty directly through social security and<br />
welfare aid system. This system is divided into two types of assistance:<br />
a) The Islamic system of zakat , which is compulsory religious duty<br />
whereby each Muslim pay a percentage of his wealth to help the poor,<br />
this system is organized by zakat committees registered in the Nasser<br />
Social Bank under the supervision of MOSA. The zakat committees<br />
use the funds to give grants or interest-free loans to the needy people.<br />
b) Financial support to the poor through social insurance and social<br />
security schemes, whereby the first scheme covers the permanent<br />
workers in the public and government and private sectors, as well as<br />
temporary workers in industry, commerce and services. The Social<br />
Security Scheme includes temporary and casual workers who are not<br />
covered by social insurance.<br />
Sadat Pension Scheme is a direct contributory transfer of payment system<br />
introduced by MOSA, it covers those who are eligible for a regular<br />
pension and not temporary assistance, and no additional beneficiaries<br />
were added since 1980. This pension is awarded to whoever reaches the<br />
age of 65 years or who is completely handicapped, and it has a value that<br />
ranges between LE 50 and LE 60 per month.<br />
Finally, there s a special program for the destitute named by ma`ash eldaman,<br />
targets the poorest of the poor and those who are not covered by<br />
any social insurance or security program, the amount of this pension<br />
varies between LE 11 and LE 37 monthly according to the size of the<br />
family.<br />
iii. The Ministry of Local Development<br />
Shuruk Program: The National Program for Integrated Rural<br />
Development<br />
The main objective of this program is to close the gap between rural and<br />
urban areas in Egypt. The plan is to achieve this target during the period<br />
1994-2017.<br />
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The sum total of investment required for the program until 2017 is<br />
estimated at LE 267 billion; one third of this amount will be financed<br />
through the national budget.<br />
According to Shuruk projected investment, about one third of total<br />
investment will be directed to infrastructure projects and one quarter to<br />
human resources and institutional development projects, while the rest<br />
will be devoted to economic activity projects.<br />
iv. The Ministry of Trade and Supply<br />
Government programs for food subsidies<br />
It is the most expensive and widespread governmental assistance<br />
program in Egypt, administered by the Ministry of Trade and Supply.<br />
Currently subsidies are limited to bread, wheat, flour, sugar and edible<br />
oils.<br />
Non-Governmental Organizations (NGO’s) and Development<br />
Intermediaries:<br />
There are several poverty alleviation programs offered by these actors; the<br />
following are the most important:<br />
- UNICEF Supported Family Development Fund (FDF), which funds<br />
small and micro enterprise development, in order to provide<br />
socioeconomic support to the poorest of the poor living in remote rural<br />
areas in Upper Egypt. The Fund also aims to improve the standard of<br />
living for low-income women and their families.<br />
- CEOSS has an integrated program for literacy and general education,<br />
addressed to women and focused in Minia governorate and few poor<br />
communities in Cairo. Through this program, CEOSS tries to empower<br />
women and increase female leadership, as well as reinforces family ties.<br />
- The Upper Egypt Association (UEA), views the provision of affordable,<br />
but high-quality basic education, with an integrated development<br />
approach in poor villages. Despite being a Christian organization, UEA<br />
serves Christians and Muslims equally.<br />
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- The Association for the Protection of the Environment (APE), which<br />
began its work with young women in the garbage collectors community<br />
in Muqattam (Cairo), by organizing literacy classes. At a subsequent<br />
stage the APE added health awareness, leadership training, sex education<br />
and early childhood education to its services.<br />
- The Center for Egyptian Women’s Legal Assistance (CEWLA), is one of<br />
the few organizations in Egypt aims at enhancing poor women’s access<br />
to the legal system. CEWLA is located in Bulak El-Dakrur (Cairo), and<br />
offers help in issuing the identity card, obtaining of a birth or divorce<br />
certificates, as well as easing access to state social assistance for destitute<br />
women. The organization concerns with other legal issues includes<br />
representation in courts, it also organizes literacy classes to raise<br />
women’s awareness of their legal rights.<br />
- The Association of the Lawful Religious for those who behave according<br />
to the book and Muhammadan Sunna 10 , was established 12 years ago and<br />
it’s the largest network of Islamic Organizations that are currently<br />
working in Egypt. The association owns hospitals, health clinics and<br />
libraries; it adopts strict discipline and a clear division of labor. The<br />
Orphan Sponsorship Program is the association’s most important<br />
program, whose main objective is to care for the orphaned Muslim child<br />
from birth until adulthood in order to direct him to the right Islamic path<br />
and values.<br />
- CARITAS, El-Saeed Association and the Childhood and Development<br />
Association (CDA). The first two associations have the same objectives<br />
and follows similar procedures as well, as they aim at eradicating women<br />
illiteracy, increasing health awareness and alleviating poverty through<br />
provision of micro-loans to households. The CDA has wider activities<br />
than the previous two NGO’s, as it is involved in implementing a Multi-<br />
Purpose Development Program with SFD targeting poor rural women<br />
aims at upgrading their status and enhancing their <strong>par</strong>ticipation in<br />
economic activities.<br />
- Ford Project for Small Firms’ Loans, Ford has given two grants for two<br />
Egyptian banks in order to offer bank loans for existing small firms in<br />
urban areas, with concentration on women.<br />
10 Al Jam`iyyah al-shar`iyyah lil`amilin bil-kitab wal-sunnah ai-<strong>Mo</strong>hamadiyyah.<br />
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- The project of American Agency for Small Firms International<br />
Development, it offers loans for existing firms at market interest rates<br />
with no guarantees.<br />
- The project of the Association of Developing and Enhancing Women<br />
(ADEW), which offers loans to families sponsored by women<br />
3.3. Sources<br />
The main source of data for measuring poverty in Egypt are the Household<br />
Income, Expenditure and Consumption Survey (HIECS) which were carried<br />
out in 1990/91 and 1995/96 and 1999/2000 by CAPMAS, these data were<br />
used to calculate poverty indicators in the following publications:<br />
- Institute of National Planning (INP), Egypt Human Development Report<br />
1996.<br />
- Institute of National Planning (INP), Egypt Human Development Report<br />
1997/1998.<br />
- Institute of National Planning (INP), Egypt Human Development Report<br />
2003.<br />
- The World Bank, ARE, Poverty Reduction in Egypt 2002.<br />
- Subjective Poverty and Social Capital Survey (SPSC) 11 .<br />
11 This Survey is designed specially for SPSC Report, its data were collected during<br />
December 2002, the sample include 4000 households (1720 in urban and 2280 in rural<br />
areas).<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
3.4. Phenomenology<br />
According to poverty measures of El-Laithy presented in Table-1, poverty 12<br />
has increased on both national and regional level between 1981/82 and<br />
1990/91, then stabilized in 1995/96 and then started to decline in 1999/00.<br />
However, it is noticed also that the Gini coefficient increased during<br />
1999/00 com<strong>par</strong>ed to 1995/96.<br />
How could this contradiction of decline in poverty and increase in the Gini<br />
coefficient be explained?<br />
At the national level the growth was not pro-poor, thus the non-poor<br />
benefited more than the poor did from the growth. Correspondingly, the<br />
Gini coefficient increased from 34.5 to 37.8 13 .<br />
Table 1 - Regional Poverty Measures (1981/82-1999/00)<br />
Region Year<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Lower Poverty Line Upper Poverty Line<br />
P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2<br />
All Egypt 1981/82 16.42 3.77 1.23 23.65 6.04 2.23 -<br />
1990/91 30.37 8.62 3.36 39.09 11.99 5.03 -<br />
1995/96 29.25 5.79 1.58 42.46 10.13 3.32 34.5<br />
1999/00 16.74 2.97 0.8 37.8<br />
All Urban 1981/82 16.75 4.25 1.52 25.99 7.26 2.88 34.8<br />
1990/91 26.06 6.59 2.28 36.82 10.58 4.15 34.8<br />
1995/96 29.03 6.48 1.95 42.87 11.67 4.24 33.7<br />
All Rural 1981/82 16.60 3.20 0.87 22.95 4.89 1.49 25.8<br />
1990/91 34.12 10.97 4.90 41.25 13.88 6.45 36.6<br />
1995/96 29.00 5.59 1.52 41.87 9.28 2.89 24.9<br />
Source: El-Laithy (1999, 2002)<br />
12 Named P0.<br />
13 WB, Op.cit., p.19<br />
Gini<br />
Index<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
The Period 1981/82-1995/96<br />
Urban poverty has increased more rapidly than rural poverty, although the<br />
rural poverty rate is still higher than urban rate. The observed increases in<br />
national and urban poverty are mainly due to the decrease in average percapita<br />
expenditure (growth component), as the decline in average per-capita<br />
expenditure neutralized improvements in distribution. However, the<br />
observed change in rural poverty is fully accounted for the improvements in<br />
expenditure distribution, at least for the poorest of the poor and this is<br />
consistent with the declining Gini coefficient and stagnant increase in rural<br />
areas.<br />
As a matter of fact, there is no lack of poverty estimates in Egypt, but<br />
debates about methods of poverty measurement are common because<br />
poverty is an elusive concept and no single measure can properly or<br />
adequately reflect its magnitude and features.<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>st of poverty studies in Egypt used household surveys conducted by<br />
CAPMAS, in 1974/75, 1981/82, 1990/91, 1995/96 and 1999/2000 and used<br />
the same food energy requirement, these studies adopted also the same<br />
indicator of welfare expenditure.<br />
Table 2 Poverty Incidence in Various Studies in Egypt<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
1981/82 1990/91 1995/96<br />
Urban<br />
The World Bank (1991) 21.00<br />
Korayem (1994) 30.40 35.90<br />
El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 33.50 39.00 45.00<br />
Cardiff (1997) 12.60 30.80<br />
El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.80 26.10 29.00<br />
Rural<br />
The World Bank (1991) 25.00<br />
Korayem (1994) 29.70 56.40<br />
El-Laithy & Osman(1997) 26.90 39.20 50.9<br />
Cardiff (1997) 32.20 55.2<br />
El-Laithy et al (1999): Lower 16.60 34.10 29.00<br />
Source: Subjective Poverty & Social Capital (2003)<br />
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However, Table-2 shows clearly that estimates of poverty may be different<br />
even when the same data are used. Korayem (1994) stated that poverty in<br />
1990/91 reached 35.8% in urban areas, while it was 56.4% in rural areas,<br />
more than 50% higher than urban areas. El-Laithy et al (1997) showed that<br />
poverty levels in 1990/91 differed, between urban and rural areas, by not<br />
more than 0.2%. Although Cardiff (1997) used the same poverty lines as<br />
Korayem (1994), he estimated much lower poverty in 1990/91, he argued<br />
that national poverty has increased dramatically from 20.69% in 1990/91 to<br />
44.29% in 1995/96.<br />
A study by El-Laithy and Osman (1997) indicated a decline in the incidence<br />
of poverty in rural areas from 28% to 23%, during the period 1990/91-<br />
1995/96, using lower poverty lines. However, they noticed that both regions<br />
(urban and rural) experienced increases in their poverty when using upper<br />
poverty lines. These discrepancies reflect a number of limitations<br />
concerning units for welfare measurement and estimation of poverty lines 14 .<br />
The Period 1995/96-1999/2000<br />
The World Bank Report on Poverty (2002) uses a methodology that<br />
accounts for these limitations, and concludes that:<br />
Table 3 Share of the Poor Population in 1995/96 and 1999/2000<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
1995/96 1999/2000<br />
All Egypt 19.4 16.7<br />
Upper Rural 29.3 34.2<br />
Upper Urban 10.8 19.3<br />
Lower Rural 21.5 11.8<br />
Lower Urban 8.3 6.2<br />
Metropolitan 13.1 5.1<br />
Source: World Bank, ARE, Poverty Reduction in Egypt, 2002, Report No. 24234 EGT, p.vi.<br />
14 For more details about these limitations refer to Subjective Poverty and Social Capital<br />
(2003).<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. In 1999/2000 the poor in Egypt was 16.7% of the population, and this<br />
poverty is shallow which is reflected by the low values of distributionsensitive<br />
measures P1 and P2.<br />
2. The incidence of poverty is highest in Upper Egypt.<br />
3. During the periods 1995/96 and 1999/2000 overall poverty declined by<br />
2.7%, however, patterns of change were not homogenous across regions,<br />
as Metropolitan and Lower Egypt has improved their poverty status,<br />
while poverty levels increased in Upper Egypt.<br />
4. Decomposing poverty changes into growth and redistribution<br />
components, in the Metropolitan region the growth and redistribution<br />
components work in opposite directions; as the reduction in poverty<br />
resulting from increased real per-capita expenditure was lowered by<br />
deterioration in inequality. On the other hand, in both Upper and Lower<br />
Egypt the two components worked in the same direction.<br />
In Lower Egypt there was a reduction in poverty levels resulted from<br />
improvements in inequality and per-capita expenditure, while in Upper<br />
Egypt both per-capita expenditure and inequality worsened resulting in<br />
poverty increase.<br />
2002:<br />
- The latest statistics (2003) show that the largest concentration of poor<br />
and ultra-poor individuals is found in Upper Egypt in both urban and<br />
rural areas.<br />
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Table 4: Regional Poverty Measures 2002 using different poverty lines<br />
Lower Objective Lower Relative Subjective Poverty<br />
Poverty Line Poverty Line<br />
Line<br />
Region P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
% of<br />
individuals<br />
with<br />
insufficient<br />
income 15<br />
Metropolitan 5.72 1.36 0.46 4.62 0.96 0.33 42.53 12.48 5.65 22.47<br />
Lower<br />
Urban<br />
9.81 2.57 0.98 9.81 3.08 1.29 33.69 10.42 4.62 26.87<br />
Lower Rural 16.57 3.00 0.88 22.13 3.87 1.15 30.69 7.54 2.94 29.07<br />
Upper<br />
Urban<br />
19.19 4.77 1.82 15.87 4.61 1.85 36.13 10.32 4.65 36.40<br />
Upper Rural 34.87 8.22 2.77 39.02 10.29 3.64 23.32 5.67 2.14 17.75<br />
All Egypt 20.40 4.62 1.55 22.58 5.46 1.91 31.82 8.54 3.59 24.27<br />
Source: Subjective Poverty & Social Capital (2003).<br />
Rural areas in each governorate are more deprived than urban areas<br />
especially when the objective poverty is used.<br />
Metropolitan Region 16 has the highest subjective poverty, which could be<br />
explained by the fact that urban citizens are influenced by their surroundings<br />
and by “the demonstration effect”. They feel their neediness more than the<br />
rural citizens do. That is sometimes the reason why most of the government<br />
programs are biased towards Urban in developing countries 17 .<br />
- According to the newly measured (CPM) 18 , there is considerable chronic<br />
under-nutrition among Egyptian children with higher proportion in rural<br />
areas, and underweight children are common in rural Upper Egypt, on the<br />
other hand, medically assisted delivery is more common for urban births<br />
and to highly educated mothers.<br />
15 This percentage reflects the perception of the individuals, whether they consider<br />
themselves poor or not.<br />
16 Which perceive higher basic needs requirements.<br />
17 As they rely on subjective poverty.<br />
18 Capability Poverty Measurement.<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
- The education status plays a major role in determining poverty in Egypt 19 ,<br />
as poverty is inversely correlated with educational attained, it is noticed<br />
that the great majority of the poor have attained only primary level<br />
education or no education at all, and the lowest headcounts achieved by<br />
those with university education. However, poverty measures in urban<br />
areas are about 1.3 times those in rural areas in categories with low levels<br />
of education, which means that education in urban areas plays a more<br />
important role in determining poverty status.<br />
- According to statistics, real per-capita expenditure on education has<br />
increased by almost 75% for the poor, and 33% for the non-poor, this is<br />
because most of the poor household heads see education as the main<br />
escape gate out of poverty on one hand, and the reliance on “private<br />
lessons” raises the poor Household’s spending on education. Still, the<br />
distribution of the households` expenditure on education is severely<br />
skewed towards rich families and this is a reflection of low university<br />
enrolment ratios among poor households.<br />
On the other side, the Egyptian government has increased its public<br />
education expenditure in order to reduce the capability poverty, but the<br />
benefits are biased in favor of the rich especially in the higher education.<br />
- It is also evident that within each region, whether urban or rural, all<br />
objective poverty measures are highest for the private sector workers<br />
com<strong>par</strong>ed to other sectors of employment, the same thing is true if<br />
subjective poverty notion is applied, with narrower gaps between the<br />
poor and non poor, specially in rural areas.<br />
- It was noticed that families with children are worse off than families<br />
without children, and families with more children are worse off than<br />
families with few children. Combining gender of the household head<br />
with marital status and number of children shows that poverty is highest<br />
in household headed by females that are widows and have more than<br />
three children; this criterion may be a good characteristic for targeting the<br />
poor.<br />
19<br />
According to the World Bank Report on Poverty (2002), education was considered the<br />
strongest correlate of poverty, whit more than 45% of the poor are illiterate.<br />
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- Data show positive relationships between the housing conditions and percapita<br />
income levels, that’s why there is a correlation between the<br />
housing conditions index and poverty status, however the housing index<br />
for the non-poor represents 1.3 times that of the poor for objective<br />
poverty and only 1.02 times for subjective poverty.<br />
- The overall average Living Standard Index in 2002 has reached 28.55. As<br />
with most social indicators, there are urban/rural biases in favor of urban<br />
areas.<br />
- Male headed households have higher living standards than female headed<br />
households, and households with a head of lower education levels have<br />
lower living standards, and the same applies if the household head is<br />
unemployed or out of labor force.<br />
- Poor households, whether objectively or subjectively, have lower living<br />
standards than the non-poor do. However, households with unmet needs<br />
or those who are unsatisfied with their lives have a lower index,<br />
indicating that people rightly rank themselves as satisfied or not<br />
according to their living conditions and not only on their income.<br />
- Although both the non-traditional government programs and nongovernment<br />
sector’s role are expanding their poverty alleviation role in<br />
Egypt, certain government policies continue to impede such efforts and<br />
underpin the perpetuation of poverty across generations, such as<br />
centralization, lack of coordination, spread of corruption and weak<br />
institutional capacities.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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4. CRIME<br />
4.1. Definitions<br />
In general, “crime” refers to committing an act that is prohibited by law.<br />
The Egyptian penal code comprises many crimes, too many to be<br />
exhaustively covered in this section and hence only the main crimes 20 will<br />
be presented.<br />
1. Intentional homicide: is death deliberately inflicted on a person by<br />
another person.<br />
2. Non-intentional homicide is death not deliberately inflicted on a person<br />
by another person and is the result of the latter person’s negligence,<br />
recklessness or indifference towards rules and regulations. It could have<br />
been avoided if the perpetrator had had the caution of a regular person.<br />
That includes the crime of manslaughter, but unlike the definition<br />
provided by the United Nations, it also includes traffic accidents that<br />
result in the death of persons.<br />
3. Assault: is the physical attack against the body of another person.<br />
4. Rape: is forcing sexual intercourse on a female without valid consent.<br />
Egyptian law makes a distinction between sexual assault and actual<br />
penetration and the penalty for each differs.<br />
5. Theft is the removal of property without the property owner’s consent.<br />
“Theft” then comprises different crimes depending on the circumstances<br />
of the crime:<br />
20 The crimes mentioned here are those reported in the periodic United Nations Surveys of<br />
Crime Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems. The definitions provided<br />
pertain to the Egyptian Judicial System. Whenever the definitions coincide in meaning,<br />
the wording provided by the United Nations will be used. Other crimes are also added at<br />
the end.<br />
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- Robbery is the theft of property from a person, overcoming resistance<br />
by force or threat of force.<br />
- Burglary is the unlawful entry into someone else’s premises with the<br />
intention to commit a crime, or the lawful entry, but lingering with the<br />
intention of committing a crime.<br />
- Automobile theft is the removal of a motor vehicle without the consent<br />
of the owner of the vehicle.<br />
6. Fraud is the acquisition of another person’s property through deception<br />
with the intention of owning that property.<br />
7. Embezzlement is the wrongful appropriation of a public servant of public<br />
property owned by the government where the property is already in the<br />
possession of the person doing the appropriating because of his or her<br />
job.<br />
8. Drug-related crimes is intentional acts that involve the cultivation,<br />
production, extraction, pre<strong>par</strong>ation, offering for sale, distribution,<br />
purchase, sale, delivery on any terms whatsoever, brokerage, dispatch,<br />
transport, importation, exportation, possession, use or facilitating the use<br />
of internationally controlled drugs.<br />
9. Bribery and/ or corruption is requesting and/ or accepting material or<br />
personal benefits, or the promise thereof, in connection with the<br />
performance of a public function for an action, that may or may not be a<br />
violation of law and/ or promising as well as giving material or personal<br />
benefits to a public officer in exchange for a requested favor.<br />
10. Arson is the deliberate starting of fire in a property that may or may<br />
not be in the possession of the arsonist.<br />
11. Terrorism is the use of force, violence or threats in the execution of a<br />
criminal act with the intention of disrupting order and/ or jeo<strong>par</strong>dizing<br />
public safety if the result was endangering people’s lives and/ or public<br />
or private property or impeding the application of the constitution or<br />
other laws and regulations.<br />
Note that there is a general agreement regarding the aforementioned<br />
definitions among law enforcement agencies and other relevant<br />
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stakeholders. As far as the general population is concerned, there is also an<br />
agreement concerning these definitions. However, there are certain acts that<br />
the society frowns upon, but are permissible by law, such as drinking and<br />
premarital sex for people above 18 years of age. Also, as will be mentioned<br />
in section 4.5, there are some practices that are prohibited by law, but<br />
condoned by society, such as marriage below the age of 16 and female<br />
circumcision.<br />
4.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
Various measures and policies are being implemented in order to combat<br />
crime by dealing with different factors that lead to violence and criminal<br />
behavior.<br />
1. Social, economic and cultural programs and policies:<br />
As will be mentioned in section 4.5, different social and economic factors<br />
such as unemployment, unjust income distribution, poverty and poor levels<br />
of education, are some of the primary reasons for the rise in the tendency<br />
towards violence and crime. Accordingly, different measures are being<br />
implemented such as:<br />
- The government is striving towards alleviating poverty (see section 3.2).<br />
- Public policies are being carried out in order to combat unemployment.<br />
Each year, new job vacancies in government offices and public<br />
enterprises and economic authorities are being provided in an attempt to<br />
absorb the increasing new entrants to the labor market as well as the<br />
already existing pool of the unemployed.<br />
Financial and non-financial incentives are being offered to youths wishing<br />
to own their own small businesses or buy land and cultivate it as a means of<br />
securing income through the various special designed programs.<br />
- The media has played a role in fighting crime through several measures.<br />
There are television programs that deal with real- life crimes and their<br />
consequences by meeting with criminals and exposing the consequences<br />
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of crime. In addition, fictional programs and movies tackle the issues and<br />
ramifications of various types of crime. Newspapers and magazines<br />
publish and report the criminal events that take place and the penalties<br />
that the perpetrators face.<br />
2. Policies implemented by law enforcement agencies<br />
The legislation concerning fighting crime is already defined. However, the<br />
problem lies in enforcing the law and ensuring that citizens abide by the<br />
rules and regulations. Accordingly, several measures have been<br />
implemented:<br />
- Because of globalization and technological development, crimes have<br />
become more technologically advanced in nature. Due to this, the law<br />
enforcement process has been developed and provided with the<br />
technology necessary to combat crime in its new forms such as more<br />
advanced computers.<br />
- Police officers are receiving advanced training programs in combating<br />
crime. <strong>Mo</strong>re sophisticated crime- fighting techniques and training courses<br />
and workshops that are held both locally and abroad.<br />
- Due to the fact that crime is expanding in nature and involves various<br />
aspects, de<strong>par</strong>tments different from the traditional criminal and political<br />
de<strong>par</strong>tments have been added to law enforcement agencies such as<br />
economic de<strong>par</strong>tments and social de<strong>par</strong>tments.<br />
- The Ministry of Internal Affairs provides various services and incentives<br />
to police officers in order to encourage them to carry out their jobs<br />
efficiently. For example, medical and social services are provided to<br />
officers and their families.<br />
- The Ministry of Internal Affairs has also implemented programs aimed at<br />
providing job opportunities to ex- convicts in order to discourage them<br />
from re-pursuing a life of crime and to encourage them to lead an honest<br />
living by offering them work opportunities after their release .<br />
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4.3. Sources<br />
Due to the scarcity of data on the crime issues, limited sources are used in<br />
this context:<br />
- Encyclopedia of the explanation of the crimes of the penal code and<br />
special criminal statutes<br />
- Annual Reports of the Agency of Public Security<br />
- The National Center for Social and Criminal Research, 4 th Annual<br />
Conference, “The Social and Criminal Aspects of Violence in the<br />
Egyptian Society”<br />
4.4. Data<br />
The tables containing the data relevant to this chapter are displayed in the<br />
Statistical Annex in order to enable the adequate coverage of the issue of<br />
“Crime in Egypt”.<br />
4.5. Phenomenology<br />
Different factors have contributed to elevating the tendency towards crime<br />
and violence in Egypt. Social, economic and political aspects as well as<br />
factors relating to the police force and the judicial system have all played a<br />
vital role in motivating violent behavior.<br />
Social, economic and political factors:<br />
Unjust income distribution has generated a wide gap between the highincome<br />
group, a small portion of society, and the low-income group, which<br />
represents a large <strong>par</strong>t of the population, leading to feelings of repression<br />
and inferiority. This situation is aggravated by poor economic conditions<br />
(inflated cost of living and high levels of unemployment), poverty, poor<br />
quality of education and the population explosion.<br />
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Furthermore, a lack of democracy and the distrust directed towards the<br />
government lead to overall feelings of uncertainty and anxiety, which are<br />
translated into aggressive conduct.<br />
In addition, the unequal income distribution and the low incomes among the<br />
public officials lead to a growing tendency to accept bribery or unofficial<br />
commissions. The Corruption Perception Index 21 –issued by Trans<strong>par</strong>ency<br />
International – ranked Egypt as having a CPI of 3.4 and as being country<br />
number 62 out of 102 countries in 2001. The value of the CPI is considered<br />
relatively significant, as it relates to perceptions of the degree of corruption<br />
as seen by business people and risk analysts, and ranges between 10 (highly<br />
clean) and 0 (highly corrupt) 22 .<br />
Another disturbing phenomena noticed in Egypt is the discrimination and<br />
violence directed towards women. Society condones this type of behavior<br />
for different reasons such as the misguided perception of the dictates of both<br />
religion and moral behavior. Sexual harassment, marital violence, the<br />
marriage of underage females and female circumcision are all examples of<br />
acts prohibited by Egyptian law but exercised by society, which disregards<br />
judicial regulations in favor of customs and traditions.<br />
Furthermore, sexual abuse and rape, though not yet widespread phenomena,<br />
exist due to several factors. Because of deteriorating economic conditions,<br />
marriage is becoming increasingly difficult. Therefore, the age at which<br />
males and females marry is getting higher. Accompanied by the general<br />
tendency of media agencies towards less censorship and more provocative<br />
programs, these circumstances are leading to pent-up frustration among the<br />
male portion of the population. In addition to this, there is a lack of<br />
awareness, a decline in the moral standards taught to children, and a poor<br />
quality of education received in schools, which reinforces the tendency<br />
towards violence and aggression.<br />
Factors related to the police force and the judicial system:<br />
21 The TI Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) this year ranks 102 countries in terms of the<br />
degree to which corruption is perceived to exist among public officials and politicians.<br />
It is a composite index, drawing on 15 different polls and surveys from nine<br />
independent institutions carried out among business people and country analysts,<br />
including surveys of residents, both local and expatriate.<br />
22 Trans<strong>par</strong>ency International Corruption Perception Index 2002, p.5.<br />
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One of the main problems facing law enforcement in Egypt is that people do<br />
not regard or treat it with due respect. This could be due to several factors.<br />
First, the law is not penalizing enough since perpetrators of crimes are not<br />
always punished for their deeds and loopholes in the legislature are<br />
exploited to the advantage of criminals. In addition, the legal process is<br />
extremely slow so that cases are procrastinated, and take a very long time to<br />
be settled in courts. The legal system is also characterized by the existence<br />
of some corruption, whereby several judges have been found guilty of<br />
accepting bribes, were forced to resign, and in some cases were imprisoned.<br />
In addition to this, there is a general impression that law enforcement<br />
officers take advantage of their positions and are above the law in certain<br />
areas, which gives rise to public resentment directed at the police force.<br />
Furthermore, the Ministry of Internal Affairs itself suffers from several<br />
shortcomings that impede law enforcement in Egypt such as:<br />
1. Salaries granted to the majority of the police force are very low.<br />
2. Law enforcement officers are constantly racked with feelings of<br />
occupational instability and insecurity because at any time and through<br />
no fault of their own, they could be used as scapegoats and are either<br />
demoted or fired.<br />
3. There exists occupational stagnation. An officer has to spend a<br />
considerable amount of time in the same position before he could be<br />
promoted to the following rank. In addition, promotions take place<br />
according to seniority and date of graduation and not according to<br />
efficiency or merit.<br />
4. As already mentioned, society tends to view some of the police officers<br />
as corrupt, immoral members who abuse their authority in circumventing<br />
the law. Due to this, in addition to points (1), (2), and (3), we find that:<br />
- police officers lack the incentive to improve their performance and<br />
efficiently carry out their jobs.<br />
- A significant <strong>par</strong>t of the force is corrupt (bribery and immoral<br />
behavior) or misuses its power so that society’s labeling of police<br />
officers has become self-fulfilling.<br />
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5. Volunteers and a large number of those carrying out their military service<br />
suffer from illiteracy. This prohibits them from adequately grasping and<br />
executing the orders, they are given. Even if they are literate, they have<br />
not had sufficient education and hence they lack the proper sense and<br />
logic necessary to carry out their jobs efficiently.<br />
Due to these factors, the public tends to disregard the police as an effective<br />
means of obtaining their rights, which in itself impedes the police force in<br />
carrying out its job of establishing law and order.<br />
In addition to this, in the 1990s, political crime (terrorist attacks) rose<br />
disturbingly so that the police force directed most of its budget and<br />
instruments towards fighting terrorism and political crimes. Consequently<br />
new forms of crime of social and economic nature erupted during the last<br />
decade. The new types of crime require vigorous efforts to combat them.<br />
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5. TRENDS AND CORRELATION<br />
5.1. The evolution from the structural adjustment of the 80s<br />
After a period of unprecedented economic growth in Egypt during 1975-<br />
1985, the situation changed dramatically since 1984/85. The Egyptian<br />
economy enjoyed a decade of boom, mainly, due to large foreign exchange<br />
inflows because of the increased petroleum prices, export proceeds, higher<br />
Suez Canal revenues, accelerating worker’s remittances, and enhanced<br />
tourism earnings.<br />
The drop in foreign inflows was the result of unfavorable external<br />
developments, principally the decline in petroleum prices as well as in other<br />
related sources of foreign exchange, recession in the world economy, and<br />
the sharp decline in the flow of aid. Unable to respond to these external<br />
shocks due to structural weakness, Egypt experienced a dramatic fall in its<br />
growth rate and severe macroeconomic imbalances (Kheir –El-Din & El-<br />
Shawarby, 2003).<br />
It became obvious that the Egyptian economy could not meet the needs of the<br />
society without external aids. In the meantime, Egypt faced a problem with<br />
its creditors, as it was not able to maintain debt service payments. The<br />
following key indicators show the extent of the crisis in the beginning of<br />
1990, which the Egyptian economy was confronted with (CBE, 1992-1998):<br />
a) Total external debt around US $ 49 billion,<br />
b) Total external debt to GDP 150%,<br />
c) Budget deficit around 20% of GDP,<br />
d) Inflation rate higher than 20%,<br />
e) Negative real interest rate around 6%, and,<br />
f) Reserves were just over three weeks of imports.<br />
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This situation provided the background to the stabilization package in the<br />
end of the 1980s with the International <strong>Mo</strong>netary Fund (IMF), formally<br />
concluded in May 1987 (Stand–by Agreement), after a long period of<br />
protracted negotiations.<br />
The main objectives of Stand-by agreement were: (1) pre<strong>par</strong>ing the ground<br />
for sustained economic growth, (2) reducing the rate of inflation, and (3)<br />
stabilizing the current account deficit of the balance of payment. To achieve<br />
theses objectives, various measures were stipulated, covering exchange rate,<br />
monetary and fiscal policy (Abdel-Khalek, 2001, p 25).<br />
The first Stand–by Agreement with IMF was cancelled after only three<br />
months because of the failure of the Egyptian government to meet the IMF’s<br />
requirements. According to the Fund’s officials, the Egyptian government<br />
adopted a lukewarm attitude and failed to meet performance criteria (IMF,<br />
1991).<br />
However, Egypt was obliged to turn once again to the IMF for help, and go<br />
for another round of negotiations, which concluded in an economic reform<br />
program by the end of 1990. In April 1991, the Government of Egypt<br />
(GOE) launched a comprehensive stabilization and reform program<br />
(Economic Reform and Structural Adjustment Program ERSAP) with both<br />
the IMF and World Bank. The basic goal of the economic reform program<br />
was two-fold : to generate sufficient growth rates that would help buoy<br />
employment opportunities for the growing population - twin strands of a<br />
virtuous economic circle that will reduce income dis<strong>par</strong>ity and alleviate<br />
poverty.<br />
The program consisted of four overlapping phases (MOFT, 2003):<br />
1. The first phase of the stabilization program, involved fiscal and<br />
monetary tightening, exchange rate liberalization, and price deregulation.<br />
2. Phase two of the program has also seen further deregulation of prices,<br />
opening of markets, promoting investment, boosting and structuring of<br />
the financial sector, and granting a greater role to the private sector.<br />
3. The third phase of the economic reform program, which has been<br />
commended by the IMF “as an achievement that has few <strong>par</strong>allels”. A<br />
fundamental policy challenge that was facing Egypt was to consolidate<br />
and extend the ongoing recovery, <strong>par</strong>ticularly in view of increased global<br />
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challenges. This required continued strong macroeconomic policies,<br />
accelerated structural reforms, and the promotion and diversification of<br />
exports.<br />
4. The goals of phase four included continued fiscal reform, enhancing the<br />
instruments of monetary policy available to the CBE, increasing the pace<br />
of structural reform and enhancing trans<strong>par</strong>ency in the regulatory and<br />
institutional frameworks. The Government also intended to foster exportled<br />
economic growth and development. Other goals included promoting<br />
human development, improving living conditions for low-income groups<br />
and developing high skill-based industries.<br />
The key elements of this program were to (Ash, 1993; Youssef, 1996; and<br />
Road, 1997):<br />
a) Reduce the size of the public sector through privatization.<br />
b) End controls over investment and eliminate most tariffs on imports.<br />
c) Liberalize the prices of the manufactured products.<br />
d) Raise energy and transport prices to realistic levels.<br />
e) Reduce consumer subsidies and target them towards the poorest groups.<br />
f) Deregulate and simplify laws and regulations; and<br />
g) Encourage private sector activity in all sectors including financial<br />
services.<br />
In the meantime, the new agreement with the World Bank and the IMF<br />
expected the GOE to introduce several measures immediately, including<br />
(Middle East Executive Report, 1992):<br />
(1) Removing ceilings on interest rates,<br />
(2) Liberalizing exchange rates, and,<br />
(3) Introducing new sales tax.<br />
Egypt’s stand on the Gulf War did have some positive results; since it led to<br />
an increase in the international financial support (bilateral as well as<br />
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multilateral). Aid from The Gulf States flowed in for the first time since<br />
1979 combined with writing off long-term debt to Gulf States (US $ 7<br />
billion).<br />
In the same time, the United States wrote off a substantial amount of its<br />
military debt (US$ 6.7 billion). The Paris Club Agreement, reached with the<br />
other major official creditors (17 main creditor governments), provided that<br />
50 per cent of their outstanding commercial debt would be written off in<br />
stages over the succeeding three years, depending on Egypt carrying out its<br />
agreement with the IMF’s economic reform program (CBE, 1992, and<br />
Road, 1997).<br />
The second IMF agreement was concluded in 1993. At the end of the fiscal<br />
year 1996/1997, the third agreement triggered the final stake of commercial<br />
debt reduction and was supported by a further 24 months financial standby<br />
arrangement.<br />
Egypt implemented its economic reform program gradually.<br />
The success achieved by Egypt’s economic reform program can be<br />
summarized in the following points:<br />
- the Egyptian external debt has been decreased significantly from US $ 49<br />
billion in 90/91 to only US $ 26.6 billion in 97/98.<br />
- The debt ratio as a percentage of GDP has decreased significantly from<br />
151 per cent in 90/91 to only 37.7 per cent in 97/98.<br />
- The real interest rates became positive at 5 per cent in 97/98 com<strong>par</strong>ed<br />
with a negative rate of interest at 6 per cent in 90/91.<br />
- The rate of inflation has declined sharply from 23.6 per cent in 90/91 to<br />
only 4.1 per cent in 97/98.<br />
- With regard to the exchange rate, Egypt, like many other developing<br />
countries, had a multiple exchange rate system (MER). After the<br />
adoption of the economic reform program, the former multiple exchange<br />
rate system was replaced by a single-rate, market-oriented system with a<br />
managed floating of the Egyptian Pound for all public and private<br />
transactions. Although the Egyptian Pound depreciated during 1991, the<br />
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exchange rate stabilized in the range between L.E. 3.35 -3.41 to US $1<br />
from the third quarter of 1991 until the fourth quarter of 1998).<br />
- The foreign reserves increased significantly from only 3.6 billion of US $<br />
in 90/91 to 21.8 billion of US $ in 97/98, which meant a rate of increase<br />
more than 500 per cent was achieved.<br />
- The real GDP growth rate declined sharply in the first two years of the<br />
economic reform program period to 1.9 per cent and 2.5 per cent,<br />
respectively. However, starting 1993, the real GDP growth rate has<br />
grown steadily, reaching 5.7 per cent in 97/98 (CBE, 1998).<br />
- In terms of the budget deficit, there has been a significant decrease through<br />
the period from 1990/91-1997/98, the overall deficit as a percentage of<br />
GDP has declined sharply from about 18.2 per cent in 90/91 to only 0.06<br />
per cent in 97/98. In fact, the reduction in the overall deficit was obtained<br />
through both increasing the revenues and reduction in the expenditure.<br />
(CBE, 1998).<br />
- With regard to the privatization program, the first stage in the<br />
privatization process, which started in May 1991, was to cut off subsidies<br />
to the state-owned enterprises, followed by the removal of public<br />
enterprises from direct ministerial control (Field, 1995). The three<br />
hundred and fourteen public sector companies, were grouped (1991) under<br />
twenty-seven holding companies (now reduced to sixteen), that became<br />
responsible for all the affiliates in a <strong>par</strong>ticular sector (Road, 1997, and<br />
Timewell, 1991). A wide-scale privatization program started eventually.<br />
The process came almost to a halt in 1997.<br />
However, the Egyptian economy has suffered, since 1997 three well-known<br />
shocks.<br />
- The first shock was Luxor massacre in November 1997, which negatively<br />
affected tourism,<br />
- the second shock was the Far East crises June 1997, which encouraged<br />
imports from the far eastern countries and led to a massive outflow of<br />
portfolio investments,<br />
- the third shock was the sharp decline in the oil prices.<br />
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The Egyptian economy endured several additional problems (since the end<br />
of the nineties) such as the decrease in the level of savings, the decline in the<br />
level of foreign direct and indirect investment, the balance of payment<br />
deficit, the inequitable income distribution, and the increase in the public<br />
debt and accelerating budget deficit. These repercussions were coupled with<br />
a continuous lack of confidence that was associated with the serious twin<br />
crises, namely recession and foreign exchange (El-Said, Mustapha, 2003).<br />
The economic growth (5-6%) that was experienced during 1994-1997, was<br />
reduced to 3% or less in the years 2000 and afterwards.<br />
5.2. Correlation between poverty, health, crime and other<br />
development indicators in the last decade<br />
The national and the international social and economic indicators reveal<br />
contradicting results.<br />
The Human Development Index has showed significant improvement<br />
during the nineties, as it rose from 0.572 in 1990 to 0.648 in 2001.<br />
Nevertheless, this improvement in the HDI was associated with<br />
deterioration in the ranking of Egypt from 108 in the end of the nineties to<br />
120 in 2001.<br />
Data also show that the GDP per capita increased steadily from US$ 1015 in<br />
1995 to US$ 1276 in 2002 at an average growth rate of 3.2%. Despite the<br />
evident progress in the previous two indicators or variables, other variables<br />
or indicators seem to give an opposite perspective:<br />
The previous analysis on poverty, crime and health indicated:<br />
- Although income poverty has decreased, the incidence of poverty<br />
increased in the beginning of the millennium.<br />
- Urban poverty is rising at a higher rate than rural poverty, though the<br />
incidence of poverty in rural areas is still higher.<br />
- Poverty is higher in Upper Egypt, whether in rural or urban areas.<br />
- Poverty is higher among the workers in the private sector.<br />
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- Female-headed households are significantly poorer than male-headed<br />
households are.<br />
- Crimes have continued to increase at a steady rate, however, new crimes<br />
related to corruption, rape, car thefts, fraud and pick-pocketing showed<br />
significant rise in their incidence during the nineties.<br />
- Despite the fact that some improvements have been achieved in the heath<br />
sector, there is a dire need for improving the health sector’s performance<br />
and providing better primary health care services.<br />
The answer to these conflicting results could be explained by two factors:<br />
Firstly, the inaccuracy of some data concerning GDP per capita, poverty,<br />
and income distribution.<br />
Secondly, the exclusion of other relevant variables such as the<br />
unemployment rates and the inflation rates.<br />
As to the first factor, it is difficult to verify the accurate data regarding GDP<br />
per capita (see the WDR, where it is estimated by US$ 1511 in 2001 and by<br />
the Ministry of Planning US$ 1276 in 2002. This contradiction in estimates<br />
could be either due to inaccuracy or due to a drastic decrease in the GDP per<br />
capita’s growth rate {15.5%} between the two mentioned years!!!).<br />
It is also as difficult to estimate the Gini coefficient, where the exact income<br />
levels (whether for the poor or rich income households) is unknown.<br />
Although recent empirical research indicate a decline in Gini coefficient at<br />
the turn of the century.<br />
In addition, two important variables should be included in the analysis, as<br />
they act as explanatory factors to the existing contradiction in data. These<br />
two variables are the unemployment and inflation rates.<br />
The Unemployment Rates<br />
Official data reveal a steady increase in the unemployment rates. The UER<br />
declined from 9.2% in 1996 (the Population Census) to 7.7% in 2000 and<br />
then picked-up again to reach a high level of 9.9% in 2002 (Annual Labor<br />
Force Sample Surveys 1997-2002).<br />
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The main essence of this kind of information is the ap<strong>par</strong>ent trend towards<br />
growing unemployment. This phenomenon of increasing UER started to<br />
become chronic at the end of the eighties, for three reasons:<br />
1. The decreasing work opportunities for the Egyptians in the rich Gulf<br />
countries: This development came because of the saturation in the<br />
construction sectors –as well as others- in these countries. In addition, the<br />
growing trend to employ Asian labor (Pakistani, Afghan, Indian, Bengal,<br />
Philippine..) and to engage more of the educated natives in occupations<br />
that were usually filled by the Egyptian employment (teaching, medical<br />
services, accountants, lawyers) reduced the chances of Egyptians in the<br />
Gulf countries.<br />
2. The decreasing work opportunities for the growing workforce in the<br />
government ranks, which came as a repercussion of the accelerating<br />
budget deficit during the end of the eighties, and the implementation of<br />
the ERSAP in 1991. These two factors led to a decrease in the<br />
employment growth rate in the Public Sector -3% during 1988-1998- as<br />
com<strong>par</strong>ed to 8% during 1976-1986.<br />
3. The slow growth rate of employment in the large private sector and the<br />
FDI companies (1.5% during 1988-1998), because of their tendency to<br />
use advanced capital intensive techniques on one hand, and due the slow<br />
growth in investment spending since 1997 on the other hand. In fact the<br />
FDI showed a drastic decline in their inflows from US$1.656 Bill in 2000<br />
to US$ .428 Bill in 2002 23.The only sector that revealed a continuous<br />
capacity to employ was the non-agricultural micro and small enterprise<br />
sector, which achieved an average employment growth rate equal to<br />
4.8% annually during 1988-1998.<br />
Consequently, The stock of unemployment grew –according to official<br />
sources- from a modest 1.4 mill unemployed in 1996 to rise up to 2 mill<br />
unemployed in 2000. This situation was aggravated by the increase in the<br />
number of new entrants to the labor market from 600,000 in 1992/1993 to<br />
900,000 in 2000 24 .<br />
23 MOFT, Economic Bulletin, 2002.<br />
24 Fawzy, S., “Investment Policies and Unemployment in Egypt”, The Egyptian Center for<br />
Economic Studies, Cairo, WP No.68, Sept. 2002, p.10<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
In addition, the unofficial estimates of unemployment rates- which are<br />
derived from special rounds of national surveys 25 - seem to indicate that it the<br />
UER could be significantly higher than the official figures. According to<br />
some of these estimates, the UER range between 12.0%-17.5% through the<br />
end of the nineties and until 2003.<br />
The Inflation Rates<br />
The inflation rates showed a steady decline since the beginning of the<br />
nineties from a high 20% in 1990 to a low 2.4% in the first quarter of 2002.<br />
The austerity stabilization program, which was successfully implemented in<br />
1991 -1996/1997 helped in realizing this decrease.<br />
However, since mid 2002 the prices started to witness a steady increase,<br />
which were triggered by the shortage in foreign exchange that caused a<br />
steady depreciation of the Egyptian Pound, which was directly reflected on<br />
the prices of all imported goods, or products that had imported components.<br />
The inflationary spiral was further instigated by the decision to liberalize the<br />
Egyptian Pound (January 2003). Consequently, the value of the LE declined<br />
from 1US$=LE4.62 in January 2003 to LE6.2 in September 2003 or by<br />
34.8% in 7 months.<br />
The devaluation is causing an escalating increase in the price levels and is<br />
significantly raising the CPI and WPI. It has an especially negative impact<br />
on the prices of the basic consumer goods.<br />
How do these developments in the UER and inflation rates relate to the<br />
previous analysis?<br />
It is obvious that despite the government’s efforts on the human<br />
development side, and despite the ap<strong>par</strong>ent increases in the average per<br />
capita income, both the rising UER and inflation rates had an adverse effect<br />
on the population. The combination of the high UER and the accelerating<br />
25 See Fergany, N. (1999), “An Assessment of the Unemployment Situation in Egypt”, Al<br />
Mishkat Center for Research and Training, Research Notes, No. 13.<br />
Assaad, R. (2002), Labor Market in an Era of Transition, Cairo, AUC University Press.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
inflation rates has a direct impact on both the changes that are identified in<br />
the poverty results, the deterioration in income distribution(as measured by<br />
the Gini coefficient) and the high tendency towards crimes as well as the<br />
low quality of the health services.<br />
The high poverty incidence and its rapid increase in the urban areas and all<br />
other aspects that are related to it are affected by the high UER, the decline<br />
in investment and GDP growth rates, and rapid decline in the real-mostly<br />
fixed- incomes of the poor households are basically due to the price rise and<br />
unemployment.<br />
The ap<strong>par</strong>ent increase in certain crimes such as thefts, pick pocketing, rape<br />
and corruption, is connected with unemployment, poverty and inability to<br />
afford a decent living.<br />
5.3. Key issues, political agenda and perspectives<br />
Health and poverty are issues that are high on the priority list of the<br />
government’s and the National Democratic Party’s (NDP) agenda.<br />
The decentralization of service provision, the improvement of the health<br />
insurance system, the improvement and wider coverage of primary health<br />
care services, and better training of the medical service providers<br />
(physicians, nurses and administrative staff) are among the main concerns of<br />
the government and NDP.<br />
In addition, the birth control issue acquires a special attention, as the<br />
previous six years did not witness a steady reduction in the natural growth<br />
rates. The main emphasis is currently on the means to reduce the population<br />
growth rate, and thus to improve the outlook on the number of expected<br />
population in 2017, and thus to reduce the pressure on the different social<br />
services and on the budget in the near future.<br />
As to the poverty issues, they are being dealt with through the different<br />
programs, which are adopted by the various ministries, the Social Fund for<br />
Development and the NGOs working in this area of support.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
As to how the Euro-Partnership Agreement could and will affect the<br />
Egyptian economy, there are both positive and negative repercussions.<br />
Positive effects of the Euro-Partnership Agreement include the wider market<br />
scope for Egyptian exports, the access to modern machinery and equipments<br />
at relatively lower costs, the possible benefit of the Industry <strong>Mo</strong>dernization<br />
Program on the domestic factories, possible inflow of European investments<br />
to Egypt.<br />
As to the negative effects of the EPA are numerous, but the most important<br />
of which is the fear of the inflow of manufactured products to Egypt, which<br />
could threaten the domestic production and employment.<br />
Finally, the Egyptian economy is now in a state of change, more emphasis<br />
is being directed towards strengthening the private sector, promotion of<br />
exports, augmenting the <strong>par</strong>ticipation of the civil society, deregulation and<br />
simplification of the laws and rules that govern transactions, improving the<br />
investment climate and raising the quality of social services and their<br />
regional coverage.<br />
However, more serious and comprehensive policies should be designed to<br />
deal with the questions of unemployment, inflation, the slow movement<br />
towards more inequality of income distribution. In fact solving gradually the<br />
problem of unemployment could be a way to reduce income inequality<br />
between rural and urban areas, between the different regions of Egypt, and<br />
between the different income/expenditure strata.<br />
Improving the investment climate for both the large and the small<br />
companies, the domestic and the foreign companies, could be a contributing<br />
factor to help raise the share of investments to GDP to more acceptable<br />
levels. Investment policies should also take into consideration the<br />
reallocation of investments towards highly populated and poor regions that<br />
suffer from neglect.<br />
Another policy goal should be the concern with raising the efficiency and<br />
competitiveness of the production (industry and agriculture) sectors and<br />
with improving the quality of the service and trade activities. The<br />
globalization process could cause a substantial damage especially to the<br />
small and medium–scale industries, which operated for a long time in a<br />
protected environment. Therefore, special efficiency-raising programs<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
should be designed and implemented to support the small and medium<br />
enterprises.<br />
In addition, more concern should be directed towards the provision of high<br />
quality social services, as the results of empirical research indicate that<br />
better education and health services improve the chances of the individual in<br />
the labor market and raise his/her earning power.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
26
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
6. REFERENCES<br />
1. Abdel-Khalek, Gouda, (2001), Stabilization and Adjustment in Egypt:<br />
Reform or De-Industrialization?, Edward Elgar, UK & USA.<br />
2. Ash, N., (1993), Egypt Exploits its Gulf War Bonus, Euromoney, April,<br />
PP. 138-141.<br />
3. Assaad, R. & M. Rouchdy (1999), Poverty and Poverty Alleviation<br />
Strategies in Egypt, Cairo Papers in Social Sciences, Vol.22,<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>nograph 1, Spring.<br />
4. Bishay, A. (1997), Sustainable Development & Poverty Eradication, in<br />
Kishk, M. “Poverty of Environment & Environment of Poverty”,<br />
Proceeding of the National Symposium on Poverty & Environment<br />
Deterioration in Rural Egypt.<br />
5. CAPMAS, Central Authority for Public <strong>Mo</strong>bility and Statistics, 2002.<br />
6. CBE, Central Bank of Egypt, Annual Report, various Issues.<br />
7. CBE, Central Bank of Egypt, Economic Bulletin, various Issues.<br />
8. Central Bank of Egypt (CBE), Annual Economic Review, Various<br />
issues, 1992- 1998, Cairo, Egypt.<br />
9. CSD, Civil Status De<strong>par</strong>tment, 2002.<br />
10. DHS, Demographic and Health Survey, 2000.<br />
11. Egypt: Human Development Report (EHDR), 1996, Institute of<br />
National Planning (INP).<br />
12. Egypt: Human Development Report (EHDR), 1997/98, Institute of<br />
National Planning (INP).<br />
13. Egypt: Human Development Report (EHDR), 2003, Institute of<br />
National Planning (INP).<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
27
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
14. El-Laithy, H. (1999)Poverty Reduction Policies in Egypt: An overview,<br />
Eradicating Poverty Studies Series No.11.<br />
15. El-Laithy, H. (2001), Evaluating the Social Fund for Development<br />
Programs to Alleviate Poverty, in Nassar, Heba & Heba El-Laithy<br />
“Socioeconomic Policies & Alleviation Programs in Egypt”.<br />
16. El-Said Mustafa, (2003), The Twin Crises: Recession and Foreign<br />
Exchange, Presented at the Conference “Rising to the Challenge:<br />
International Crises and Economic Management in Egypt” Organized<br />
by CEFRS and USAID, Cairo, Egypt.<br />
17. Field, M., (1995), The Slow Road to Privatization, Euromoney, Middle<br />
EastMiddle East Executive Reports (1992), (Forecasts-Part One:<br />
Current Situation), Vol. 15, No. 2, February, pp. 8-12.<br />
18. Kheir –El-Din, Hanaa and El-Shawarby, Shierine, (2003), Trade and<br />
Foreign Exchange Regime in Egypt: A Policy Reform in Egypt,<br />
Proceedings of the Conference on “Institutional and Policy Challenges<br />
Facing The Egyptian Economy”, Organized by CEFRS and USAID,<br />
Cairo, Egypt.<br />
19. Metwalli, M. (2001), Poverty Alleviation Programs in Egypt: Current<br />
situation and future steps, in Nassar, Heba & Heba El-Laithy<br />
“Socioeconomic Policies & Alleviation Programs in Egypt”.<br />
20. Ministry of Foreign Trade, (2003), Egypt 2003, Cairo, Egypt.<br />
21. Ministry of Planning<br />
22. Nagi, S. Z. (2001), Poverty in Egypt: Human Needs and Institutional<br />
Capacities, Lexington Book.<br />
23. Nassar, H. (2001), Social Protection for the Poor, in Nassar, Heba & El-<br />
Laithy, H. “Socioeconomic Policies & Alleviation Programs in Egypt”.<br />
24. National Council for Negro Women (NCNW), 2000, Final Report,<br />
Egypt PVO Development Report.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
28
11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
25. Osman, M. Osman (1999), Combating Poverty in Egypt: The Role of<br />
Economic Growth and Social Spending, Arab Economic Journal, No.<br />
17, Vol. 8.<br />
26. Roads, S., (1997), Investing in Egypt, (London: Committee for Middle<br />
East Trade, June).<br />
27. SIS, State Information Service, Atlas of Egypt, 2003.<br />
28. SIS, State Information Service, Fact book, Egypt, 2002.<br />
29. Subjective Poverty and Social Capital: Towards a Comprehensive<br />
strategy to reduce poverty (2003), Ministry of Planning in cooperation<br />
with the United Nations Development program.<br />
30. The Egyptian Cabinet Information and Decision Support Center (ECI &<br />
DSC), <strong>Mo</strong>nthly Economic Bulletin, Cairo, Egypt.<br />
31. The Egyptian Ministry of Public Enterprise Sector (MPES), (1998),<br />
Privatization Program performance from the start to 24-5-1998, Cairo,<br />
Egypt.<br />
32. Timewell, S., Egypt: It is Time to Start Letting Go, (1991), Banker,<br />
Vol. 141, No. 758, July, PP. 47-48.<br />
33. Youssef, S., M., (1996), Structural Reform Program of Egyptian State-<br />
Owned Enterprises: Current Impact and Future Prospects, Journal of<br />
Management Development, Vol. 15, No. 5, May, PP. 88-100.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_02 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
7. MAIN AFFILIATIONS WITH INTERNATIONAL<br />
ORGANIZATIONS<br />
Arab Bank for Economic Development of Africa (ABEDA), African<br />
Development Bank (ADB), Arab Fund for Economic and Social<br />
Development (AFESD), League of Arab States, Arab <strong>Mo</strong>netary Fund<br />
(AMF), Council of Arab Economic Unity (CAEU), Common Market for<br />
Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), European Bank for<br />
Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Economic and Social<br />
Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA), Food and Agriculture<br />
Organization of the United-Nations (FAO), G-15, G-19, G-24, G-77,<br />
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), International Bank for<br />
Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), International Civil Aviation<br />
Organization (ICAO), International Fund for Agricultural Development<br />
(IFAD), International Labour Organization (ILO), International <strong>Mo</strong>netary<br />
Fund (IMF), International Maritime Organization (IMO), Inmarsat, Intelsat,<br />
Interpol, International Telecommunications Union (ITU), Organization of<br />
Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Organization of the Islamic<br />
Conference (OIC), Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe<br />
(OSCE) (<strong>par</strong>tner), United-Nations (UN), United-Nations Educational,<br />
Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), United-Nations Industrial<br />
Development Organization (UNIDO), Universal Postal Union (UPU),<br />
World Federation of Trade Unions (WFTU), World Health Organization<br />
(WHO), World Meteorological Organization (WMO), World Trade<br />
Organization (WTO).<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
30
APPENDIX
Table 1 - Population<br />
Year<br />
No of<br />
Population<br />
*<br />
(000)<br />
Growth<br />
Rate<br />
Rate of<br />
Births<br />
(%)**<br />
Rate of<br />
Deaths<br />
(%)**<br />
Rate of<br />
Natural<br />
increase<br />
(%)**<br />
1986 47751 40 9.5 30.5<br />
1987 48816 2.23 39 9.5 29.5<br />
1988 49826 2.07 38.4 8.6 29.8<br />
1989 50858 2.07 33.9 8.1 25.8<br />
1990 51911 2.07 32.5 7.6 24.9<br />
1991 52985 2.07 30.9 7.4 23.5<br />
1992 54082 2.07 27.7 7.1 20.6<br />
1993 55201 2.07 29 6.9 22.1<br />
1994 56344 2.07 28.6 6.8 21.8<br />
1995 57510 2.07 27.9 6.7 21.2<br />
1996 58755 2.16 28.3 6.5 21.8<br />
1997 60080 2.26 27.5 6.5 21<br />
1998 61341 2.10 27.5 6.5 21<br />
1999 62652 2.14 27 6.4 20.6<br />
2000 63976 2.11 27.1 6.3 20.8<br />
2001 65336 2.13 26.7 6.3 20.4<br />
* Central Authority for Public <strong>Mo</strong>bility and Statistics, Statistical Year Book,<br />
2002.<br />
** Civil Status De<strong>par</strong>tment
Table 2 - Population Distribution by Sex (000)<br />
Year Male Female Total<br />
r Number % Number %<br />
1986* 24709 0.51 23545 0.49 48254<br />
1996* 30352 0.51 28961 0.41 59313<br />
2002** 28068 0.43 37351 0.57 65419<br />
* Central Authority for Public <strong>Mo</strong>bility and Statistics, Statistical Year Book, 2002<br />
** Ministry of Health and Population<br />
Table 3 - Population by Broad Age Groups (in percent)<br />
Item 1986 1996 2000<br />
Less than 5 15.3 11.6 12<br />
5-14 24.4 26.2 22.5<br />
14-24 16.3 20.2 20.6<br />
25-64 36.9 38.7 41.4<br />
65- 3.9 3.4 3.6<br />
Source: CAPMAS, Statistical Yearbook, several years<br />
Table 4 - Educational Profile<br />
Item 1996/1997 1998/1999 2000/2001<br />
Primary enrolment Ratio (gross)% 105 93.7 91.7<br />
Pre<strong>par</strong>atory enrolment Ratio (gross)% 83.3 85.9 92.3<br />
Secondary enrolment Ratio (gross)% 46.9 47.5 71.1<br />
Tertiary enrolment Ratio (gross)% 26.2 29.1 30.2<br />
Source: Human Development Report, Institute of National Planning, 1997/1998 &<br />
2002/2004
Table - 5 Selected Macroeconomic Variables<br />
year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />
Real GDP Rate 5 5.3 4.1 5.4 5.9 3.4 3.2<br />
Inflation Rate 7.3 6.2 3.8 3.8 2.8 2.4 2.4<br />
Unemployment rate 9.2 8.8 8.8 8.1 7.7 8.3 9.7<br />
Source: Ministry of Planning and Central Bank of Egypt<br />
Table 6 - Distribution of GDP By Economic Activity<br />
year 1991/1992 1996/1997 2000/2001<br />
Total GDP at current price (L. E. billions) 139.1 256.3 361.8<br />
Agriculture Product (as % of GDP) 16.5 15.7 16.5<br />
Industrial Product (as % of GDP) 33.3 33.6 33.3<br />
Service Product (as % of GDP) 50.2 50.7 50.2<br />
Source: Human Development Report, Institute of National Planning, 1997/1998 &<br />
2002/2003
Table 7 Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost 1/ Current prices- Annual Profile (In Millions Egyptian Pounds)<br />
1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02<br />
GDP 108740 131056 146160 191010 162967 214,185 247,028 266,758 282,578 315,667 332,544 354,564<br />
Total Commodity Sector 55260 65373 72767 80880 93750 104,684 118,992 127,978 136,296 157,432 165,899 176,084<br />
Agriculture 19110 21680 24427 27500 32050 36,968 41,882 45,652 48,935 52,845 55,065 58,369<br />
Industry & Mining 10999 13008 13899 28030 33330 37,936 43,383 48,798 55,225 61,211 63,483 68,086<br />
Petroleum & Products 18020 21730 24420 13399 15120 14,760 17,461 15,534 12,995 23,300 26,300 27,280<br />
Electricity 1506 2220 2921 3451 3750 3,980 4,172 4,264 4,586 4,936 5,291 5,789<br />
Construction 5625 6735 7100 8500 9500 11,040 12,094 13,730 14,555 15,140 15,760 16,560<br />
Total Production Services 33962 43606 48067 52710 62250 69,850 82,889 89,072 95,573 101,794 106,858 112,911<br />
Transportation 2/ 921 2420 2675 17560 19700 21,500 22,695 24,049 25,916 27,909 30,112 32,694<br />
Trade, Finance, and Insurance 11319 14835 15926 32870 39700 45,109 56,364 61,690 63,975 68,960 71,389 75,110<br />
Hotels and Restaurants 21722 26351 29466 2280 2850 3,241 3,830 3,332 3,682 4,925 5,357 5,107<br />
Total Social Services 10416 11695 13470 3420 4140 39,651 45,147 49,708 52,709 56,441 59,787 65,268<br />
Housing and Real Estate 2141 2350 2585 2850 3450 3,816 4,375 4,860 5,412 6,003 6,879 7,575<br />
Utilities 8275 9345 10885 570 690 843 915 1,038 1,179 1,305 1,445 1,601<br />
Other services 9102 10383 11856 25957 30870 34992 39757 43810 46116 49133 51463 56493<br />
Source: Ministry of Planning. 1/ Does not include net indirect taxes. 2/ Includes Suez Canal
Table 8a Exports and Imports 1990-2002<br />
Year 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02<br />
Export (US$ millions) 3886.8 3636.4 3416.7 3337 4957 4609 5345 5128 4445 6388 7078 6643<br />
Import (US$ millions) 11425 10054 10728 10647 12811 14107 15565 16899 17008 17860 16441 14644<br />
Trade Balance* -7538 -6418 -7312 -7310 -7854 -9498 -10220 -11771 -12563 -11472 -9363 -8001<br />
Export/Import* 32.67 32.67 32.67 32.67 32.67 32.67 34.34 30.34 26.13 35.77 43.05 45.36<br />
Exports/GDP 3.6 2.8 2.3 6.5 8.20 6.80 7.10 6.20 4.90 6.50 7.60 7.60<br />
Imports/GDP 10.5 7.7 7.3 20.6 21.30 20.90 20.60 20.50 18.80 18.10 17.60 16.60<br />
Source: Ministry of Foreign Trade, Economic Bulletin, several issues.<br />
Table 8 b Foreign Investment<br />
Year 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02<br />
Foreign Direct Invest (US$ millions) 783 627 770 1104 711 1656 509 428<br />
Portfolio Investment (US$ millions) 4 258 1463 -248 174 473 261 45<br />
Source: Central Bank of Egypt, CBE’s Bulletin, 2002
Table 9 Investment and Saving during 1993-2002<br />
Year 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02<br />
National Saving/GDP(%) 15.1 15 12.7 16.9 16.7 17.2 16.3 16.3 14.9<br />
National Investment/GDP(%) 16.6 16.2 16.1 17.6 19.5 20.8 18.9 17.7 17.6<br />
Source: Ministry of Planning and CAPMAS
Table 10: Income Poverty vs. Capability Poverty (1996)<br />
Income Poverty Capability Poverty<br />
% of All Egypt Population 23 34<br />
% in Rural Egypt 23 43<br />
% in Urban Egypt 22.5 21<br />
Source: EHDR (1996)<br />
Table 11: Deprivation Index and Poverty Index by Governorates<br />
Deprivation Index Poverty Index<br />
Rank of deprivationpoverty<br />
26<br />
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural<br />
Cairo 17.18 n.a. 28.27 n.a. 3 n.a.<br />
Alexandria 20.17 n.a. 51.13 n.a. 8 n.a.<br />
Port Said 11.84 n.a. 10.85 n.a. -1 n.a.<br />
Suez 9.20 n.a. 9.71 n.a. 0 n.a.<br />
Damietta 18.43 25.34 18.45 4.65 -5 -14<br />
Dakhlia 19.06 43.35 38.92 34.17 5 -11<br />
Sharkia 17.24 71.68 49.14 42.55 11 -15<br />
Qalubia 20.62 52.39 65.74 50.61 15 -7<br />
Kafr Elsheikh 17.34 56.44 37.25 29.88 5 -17<br />
Garbia 10.73 52.25 38.53 26.66 11 -18<br />
Menofia 25.42 60.39 53.12 47.78 6 -12<br />
Behera 25.29 74.87 64.87 54.49 13 -9<br />
Ismailia 13.24 59.35 26.12 19.81 3 -23<br />
Giza 19.76 65.25 37.01 26.35 1 -24<br />
Beni Suef 45.96 99.18 62.01 64.27 2 -11<br />
Fayoum 26.23 100 60.70 68.41 7 -6<br />
Menia 40.88 98.19 78.98 66.84 15 -7<br />
Assuit 47.07 95.88 78.56 81.72 11 2<br />
Sohag 30.07 85.66 88.71 68.09 19 -3<br />
Qena 29.41 87.34 68.41 69.01 13 -1<br />
Aswan 7.613 36.02 69.62 52.53 33 1<br />
Source: El-Laity, Heba (2001)<br />
26 The rank is according to the Headcount Index P0 and the Deprivation Index, such that lower rank indicates more<br />
poverty or deprivation.
Table 12: Income, Distribution and Poverty<br />
GDP per capita (LE) 1996/97 4306.0<br />
Income share of lowest 40%:<br />
Total 1995/1996 21.9<br />
Rural 1995/96 25.7<br />
Ratio of highest 20% to lowest 20%:<br />
Total 1995/96 4.4<br />
Rural 1995/96 3.1<br />
Gini coefficient %<br />
Total 1995/96 31.6<br />
Rural 1995/96 24.0<br />
Poor households (as % of total) 1995/96 22.9<br />
Ultra poor (as % of total households) 1995/96 7.4<br />
Wages of poor households: - As % of their income<br />
1995/96 45.2<br />
- As % of total wages 1995/96 12.9<br />
Source: EHDR (1997/98)<br />
Table 13: Profile of Human Deprivation (thousands)<br />
Population without access to:<br />
- Health services<br />
1996 n.a.<br />
- Piped water<br />
1996 11006.9<br />
- Sanitation 1996 34463.4<br />
Children dying before age five<br />
Malnourished children under five<br />
Children not in basic or secondary school<br />
1996 64.8<br />
2001 105.929<br />
1997 798.8<br />
2001 161.096<br />
1996/97 3453.3<br />
2000/01 2383.526<br />
Illiterates (10+) 1996 16378.2<br />
Illiterates (15+): -Total<br />
2001 17914.971<br />
- Female 2001 11167.715<br />
Unemployed people (15+): - Total<br />
- Female<br />
Source: EHDR (1996) & (1997/98)<br />
1996 1538.0<br />
2001 1698.457<br />
1996 535.1<br />
2001 571.001
Table 14: Capability Poverty and Income Poverty in Egypt 1995(%)<br />
Under-<br />
Weight<br />
Unattended<br />
Births<br />
Female with<br />
no education<br />
People who<br />
are capability<br />
poor<br />
People who<br />
are income<br />
poor<br />
EGYPT 12.5 43.7 35.4 33.9 22.9<br />
All Urban 9.9 32.1 20.8 20.9 22.5<br />
All Rural 14.1 67.2 47.8 43.0 23.3<br />
Urban Gov. 9.1 30.8 20.4 20.1 16.0<br />
Lower Egypt 9.6 48.6 33.0 30.4 17.1<br />
-Urban 8.8 24.9 18.8 17.5 21.7<br />
-Rural 9.9 56.1 38.9 35.0 15.4<br />
Upper Egypt 16.1 67.8 48.3 44.1 34.1<br />
-Urban 11.0 40.4 24.1 25.2 35.0<br />
-Rural 17.8 77.1 59.1 51.3 33.7<br />
Source: EHDR (1996).<br />
Table15-a: Poverty measures by educational status of household for urban areas in 2000<br />
Using Upper Poverty Line Using Lower Poverty Line<br />
P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2<br />
% no. of<br />
H.Hold<br />
Illiterate 63.50 24.91 12.83 41.59 14.50 6.76 28.436<br />
Read and Write 46.70 14.06 5.85 23.83 6.13 2.29 24.434<br />
Below University 40.90 11.15 4.31 18.25 4.42 1.49 9.982<br />
University 19.90 4.91 1.69 8.16 1.60 0.44 15.464<br />
Higher than University 5.17 0.79 0.16 0.88 0.07 0.01 0.936<br />
Total 45.16 14.71 6.66 24.52 7.22 3.01 100<br />
Source: El-Laithy, Heba (2001)<br />
Table 15-b: Poverty measures by educational status of household for rural areas<br />
Using Upper Poverty Line Using Lower Poverty Line<br />
P0 P1 P2 P0 P1 P2<br />
% no. of<br />
H.Hold<br />
Illiterate 58.39 22.01 10.64 38.36 13.48 6.28 54.735<br />
Read<br />
Write<br />
and 35.64 10.08 3.56 17.82 4.36 1.43 23.5000<br />
Below<br />
University<br />
40.19 11.30 3.82 21.64 4.79 1.36 18.062<br />
University 22.08 5.82 1.86 10.10 2.21 0.61 3.642<br />
Higher than 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.061<br />
University<br />
Total 48.40 16.67 7.42 29.46 9.35 4.04 100<br />
Source: El-Laithy, Heba (2001)
Table 15-c: Poverty measures by educational status of household (2002)<br />
%Poor<br />
Objective Poverty Subjective Poverty<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All<br />
Poverty<br />
Rate<br />
%Poor<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All<br />
Poverty<br />
Rate<br />
Illiterate 41.04 27.92 30.51 26.55 32.39 29.62 30.51 33.78<br />
Read & Write only 15.79 13.82 14.21 21.93 14.55 14.05 14.21 32.58<br />
Basic Education 26.63 23.20 23.87 22.01 26.10 22.83 23.87 34.77<br />
Intermediate 14.34 22.37 20.78 13.62 19.16 21.54 20.78 29.33<br />
Above intermediate 0.79 3.34 2.84 5.50 2.58 2.96 2.84 28.95<br />
University degree 1.41 9.23 7.68 3.62 5.14 8.87 7.68 21.29<br />
Higher university 0.00 0.14 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.11 18.75<br />
Total 100 100 100 20.40 100 100 100 31.82<br />
Source: SPSC (2003)<br />
Table 16: Household's out of pocket expenditure on education 1997/98<br />
Pre-University University<br />
As <strong>par</strong>t of HH % Share As <strong>par</strong>t of HH % Share<br />
expenditure<br />
expenditure<br />
Poor 0.336 11.6 0.029 1.6<br />
Middle 1.225 42.4 0.659 35.4<br />
Rich 1.329 46.0 1.22 62.0<br />
Total 2.890 100 1.810 100<br />
Source: Osman (1999)<br />
Table 17: Share of income groups in Public Expenditure on Education 1997/98 (%)<br />
Pre-university Higher<br />
Education<br />
Poor 31.0 10.0 23.7<br />
Middle 50.0 36.3 45.2<br />
Rich 19.0 53.7 31.2<br />
Total 100 100 100<br />
Government expenditure As % of GDP 3.25 1.75 5.0<br />
Source: Osman (1999)<br />
Total
Table 18 : Distribution of Individuals by Sector of Employment and Poverty groups(2002)<br />
%Poor %Non-<br />
Poor<br />
Objective Poverty Subjective Poverty<br />
%All Poverty<br />
Rate<br />
%Poor %Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All Poverty<br />
Rate<br />
Government 13.54 26.25 23.93 10.33 23.74 24.00 23.93 27.69<br />
Economic agencies 0.19 0.49 0.44 8.00 0.63 0.36 0.44 40.00<br />
Public sector 1.83 4.03 3.63 9.18 3.64 3.62 3.63 28.02<br />
Private sector 84.15 68.78 71.58 21.45 71.55 71.60 71.58 27.90<br />
Cooperative 0.00 0.17 0.14 0.00 0.19 0.12 0.14 37.50<br />
NGOs 0.19 0.09 0.11 33.33 0.19 0.07 0.11 50.00<br />
Foreign/Joint venture 0.10 0.19 0.18 10.00 0.06 0.22 0.18 10.00<br />
Total 100 100 100 20.40 100 100 100 31.82<br />
Source: SPSC (2003)<br />
Table 19: Demographic Characteristics by Poverty Status<br />
%Poor<br />
Objective Poverty Subjective Poverty<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All P0<br />
%Poor<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All P0<br />
Gender of household head<br />
Male headed 1.53 88.63 89.22 20.93 86.19 9.64 89.22 30.74<br />
Female headed 8.47 11.37 10.78 16.03 13.81 9.36 10.78 40.78<br />
Total 100 100 100 20.4 100 100 100 31.82<br />
Demographic characteristics<br />
Household size 6.46 4.28 4.60 4.65 4.55 4.60<br />
Share of children 38.64 30.49 32.16 33.15 31.69 32.16<br />
Share<br />
males<br />
of adult<br />
31.66 32.91 32.66 31.47 33.21 32.66<br />
Share of<br />
females<br />
adult<br />
27.40 32.21 31.23 31.15 31.27 31.23<br />
Share of elderly 2.29 4.38 3.96 4.23 3.83 3.96<br />
Source: SPSC (2003)
Table 20 : Housing conditions by poverty status (2002)<br />
Objective Poverty Subjective Poverty<br />
%Poor<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All %Poor<br />
%Non-<br />
Poor<br />
%All<br />
% of individuals living in houses with<br />
Floor covered with tiles/wood 55.53 81.81 76.45 61.58 80.14 76.45<br />
Connected<br />
network<br />
to water public<br />
88.36 93.65 92.57 92.25 92.72 92.57<br />
Connected to sewerage network 28.34 58.59 52.42 57.80 49.90 52.42<br />
Private kitchen 61.12 83.34 78.80 73.46 81.30 78.80<br />
Shared kitchen 2.26 1.37 1.55 1.86 1.41 1.55<br />
No special place 36.62 15.29 19.64 24.68 17.29 19.64<br />
Area of the house 96.34 93.22 93.85 78.95 100.81 93.85<br />
Main means of transportation<br />
On foot 55.29 39.64 42.83 43.15 42.68 42.83<br />
Private car 0.00 5.61 4.47 0.96 6.10 4.47<br />
Private transport 18.56 21.95 21.26 20.36 21.68 21.26<br />
Public transport 7.09 15.79 14.02 20.00 11.23 14.02<br />
Source: SPSC (2003)<br />
Table 21 : Standard of Living Indices by Poverty Status (2002)<br />
Poor<br />
Urban Rural Total<br />
Non<br />
poor<br />
All<br />
Poor<br />
Objective poverty<br />
Housing index 86.76 94.20 93.45 49.56 56.00 54.24 56.87 73.18 69.85<br />
Basic needs index 68.09 89.52 87.36 80.14 89.32 86.82 77.77 89.41 87.03<br />
Security index 38.23 67.31 64.38 55.08 65.78 62.86 51.77 66.46 63.47<br />
Standard of living<br />
index<br />
20.76 31.59 30.50 24.03 28.48 27.27 23.39 29.88 28.55<br />
Subjective poverty<br />
Housing index 92.12 94.33 93.45 50.06 55.74 54.24 6926 71.12 69.85<br />
Basic needs index 79.23 92.78 87.36 70.90 92.52 86.82 75.07 92.61 87.03<br />
Security index 55.22 70.49 64.38 51.87 66.80 62.86 53.55 68.09 63.47<br />
Standard of living<br />
index<br />
26.32 33.29 30.50 22.05 29.14 27.27 24.19 30.59 28.55<br />
Source: SPSC (2003)<br />
Non<br />
poor<br />
All<br />
Poor<br />
Non<br />
poor<br />
All
Table 22: Projects that Assisted Women in Obtaining Legal Documents<br />
Project Birth<br />
Certificates<br />
Identity<br />
Cards<br />
Voting<br />
Cards<br />
Suhag CDA for Children with Special Needs”Women’s<br />
Civil rights in Maragha”<br />
289 735 366<br />
Jesuits and Brothers` Benevolence Association “Women<br />
Development”<br />
- 60 -<br />
Social Fund in Beni Mazar “Civil Right Women in Markaz<br />
Benimazar”<br />
232 604 0<br />
World Education Marketing Link Program - 150 -<br />
Suhag CDA for Children with Special Needs “Women Civil<br />
Rights in Suhag”<br />
1597 2302 3136<br />
Assiut Childhood and Development 300 300 450<br />
Association NGOs Service Centre in Assiut 18 90 300<br />
Total 2436 5141 4252<br />
Table 23 The Number of Crimes Reported according to Type from 1990- 1995<br />
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995<br />
Intentional homicide 839 859 824 843 797 843<br />
Battery leading to death 228 221 201 207 211 215<br />
Battery leading to disfigurement 119 136 125 85 108 91<br />
Kidnapping 6 18 15 11 16 18<br />
Sexual harassment 180 149 162 154 194 173<br />
Rape 3 15 13 8 9 6<br />
Threats<br />
Thefts:<br />
15 5 8 7 5 3<br />
Burglary 4206 4529 4904 5315 5772 5815<br />
Robbery 370 311 312 339 375 367<br />
Automobile thefts 1699 1612 1761 1503 1760 1808<br />
Burglaries from shops 1676 1889 2166 2241 2432 2780<br />
Stealing cattle 390 436 376 529 482 408<br />
Pick pocketing 1946 2078 2107 2672 2820 3166<br />
Other thefts 16066 17595 19204 20223 22353 24935<br />
Total thefts 26353 28450 30830 32822 35994 39279<br />
Arson 126 115 98 109 117 160<br />
Cattle poisoning - 1 - 1 - -<br />
Ruining crops 2 2 1 - - 3<br />
Fraud 1954 2468 2552 2589 2776 2849<br />
Embezzlement 83 119 92 99 80 68<br />
Bribery 55 49 40 39 60 61<br />
Forging official documents and<br />
seals<br />
271 245 258 270 225 199<br />
Counterfeiting currency 62 143 210 111 87 56<br />
Endangering or obstructing<br />
means of transportation<br />
2 4 1 - 1 3<br />
Other felonies 48 69 78 71 81 121
Table 24 The Number of Crimes Reported according to Type from 1996- 1998<br />
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998<br />
Automobile thefts 1699 1612 1761 1503 1760 1808 2407 2567 2828<br />
Car thefts 3742 4203 2549 4847 5246 6287 7210 6161 7813<br />
Robbery 370 311 312 339 375 367 477 429 410<br />
Burglary 4206 4529 4904 5315 5772 5815 6133 6352 6368<br />
Sexual harassment 180 149 162 154 194 173 n/a n/a 176<br />
Rape 3 15 13 8 9 6 n/a n/a 21<br />
Source: Meliguy, A., 2000 National Center for Social and Criminal Research, Crime Experiences around the World, CRIME Rates in Egypt: A Com<strong>par</strong>ative Study, Part<br />
2
Table 25 The Trans<strong>par</strong>ency International Corruption Perception Index<br />
Rank Country<br />
CPI 2002<br />
score<br />
Surveys<br />
used<br />
Standard<br />
deviation<br />
High-low<br />
Range<br />
1 Finland 9.7 8 0.4 8.9 - 10.0<br />
2 Denmark 9.5 8 0.3 8.9 - 9.9<br />
New Zealand 9.5 8 0.2 8.9 - 9.6<br />
4 Iceland 9.4 6 0.4 8.8 - 10.0<br />
5 Singapore 9.3 13 0.2 8.9 - 9.6<br />
Sweden 9.3 10 0.2 8.9 - 9.6<br />
7 Canada 9.0 10 0.2 8.7 - 9.3<br />
Luxembourg 9.0 5 0.5 8.5 - 9.9<br />
Netherlands 9.0 9 0.3 8.5 - 9.3<br />
10 United Kingdom 8.7 11 0.5 7.8 - 9.4<br />
11 Australia 8.6 11 1.0 6.1 - 9.3<br />
12 Norway 8.5 8 0.9 6.9 - 9.3<br />
Switzerland 8.5 9 0.9 6.8 - 9.4<br />
14 Hong Kong 8.2 11 0.8 6.6 - 9.4<br />
15 Austria 7.8 8 0.5 7.2 - 8.7<br />
16 USA 7.7 12 0.8 5.5 - 8.7<br />
17 Chile 7.5 10 0.9 5.6 - 8.8<br />
18 Germany 7.3 10 1.0 5.0 - 8.1<br />
Israel 7.3 9 0.9 5.2 - 8.0<br />
20 Belgium 7.1 8 0.9 5.5 - 8.7<br />
Japan 7.1 12 0.9 5.5 - 7.9<br />
Spain 7.1 10 1.0 5.2 - 8.9<br />
23 Ireland 6.9 8 0.9 5.5 - 8.1<br />
24 Botswana 6.4 5 1.5 5.3 - 8.9<br />
25 France 6.3 10 0.9 4.8 - 7.8<br />
Portugal 6.3 9 1.0 5.5 - 8.0<br />
27 Slovenia 6.0 9 1.4 4.7 - 8.9<br />
28 Namibia 5.7 5 2.2 3.6 - 8.9<br />
29 Estonia 5.6 8 0.6 5.2 - 6.6<br />
Taiwan 5.6 12 0.8 3.9 - 6.6<br />
31 Italy 5.2 11 1.1 3.4 - 7.2<br />
32 Uruguay 5.1 5 0.7 4.2 - 6.1<br />
33 Hungary 4.9 11 0.5 4.0 - 5.6<br />
Malaysia 4.9 11 0.6 3.6 - 5.7<br />
Trinidad & Tobago 4.9 4 1.5 3.6 - 6.9<br />
36 Belarus 4.8 3 1.3 3.3 - 5.8<br />
Lithuania 4.8 7 1.9 3.4 - 7.6<br />
South Africa 4.8 11 0.5 3.9 - 5.5<br />
Tunisia 4.8 5 0.8 3.6 - 5.6<br />
40 Costa Rica 4.5 6 0.9 3.6 - 5.9<br />
Jordan 4.5 5 0.7 3.6 - 5.2<br />
Mauritius 4.5 6 0.8 3.5 - 5.5<br />
South Korea 4.5 12 1.3 2.1 - 7.1<br />
44 Greece 4.2 8 0.7 3.7 - 5.5<br />
45 Brazil 4.0 10 0.4 3.4 - 4.8<br />
Bulgaria 4.0 7 0.9 3.3 - 5.7<br />
Jamaica 4.0 3 0.4 3.6 - 4.3<br />
Peru 4.0 7 0.6 3.2 - 5.0<br />
Poland 4.0 11 1.1 2.6 - 5.5<br />
50 Ghana 3.9 4 1.4 2.7 - 5.9<br />
51 Croatia 3.8 4 0.2 3.6 - 4.0
Rank Country<br />
CPI 2002<br />
score<br />
Surveys<br />
used<br />
Standard<br />
deviation<br />
High-low<br />
Range<br />
52 Czech Republic 3.7 10 0.8 2.6 - 5.5<br />
Latvia 3.7 4 0.2 3.5 - 3.9<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>rocco 3.7 4 1.8 1.7 - 5.5<br />
Slovak Republic 3.7 8 0.6 3.0 - 4.6<br />
Sri Lanka 3.7 4 0.4 3.3 - 4.3<br />
57 Colombia 3.6 10 0.7 2.6 - 4.6<br />
Mexico 3.6 10 0.6 2.5 - 4.9<br />
59 China 3.5 11 1.0 2.0 - 5.6<br />
Dominican Rep. 3.5 4 0.4 3.0 - 3.9<br />
Ethiopia 3.5 3 0.5 3.0 - 4.0<br />
62 Egypt 3.4 7 1.3 1.7 - 5.3<br />
El Salvador 3.4 6 0.8 2.0 - 4.2<br />
64 Thailand 3.2 11 0.7 1.5 - 4.1<br />
Turkey 3.2 10 0.9 1.9 - 4.6<br />
66 Senegal 3.1 4 1.7 1.7 - 5.5<br />
67 Panama 3.0 5 0.8 1.7 - 3.6<br />
68 Malawi 2.9 4 0.9 2.0 - 4.0<br />
Uzbekistan 2.9 4 1.0 2.0 - 4.1<br />
70 Argentina 2.8 10 0.6 1.7 - 3.8<br />
71 Cote d’Ivoire 2.7 4 0.8 2.0 - 3.4<br />
Honduras 2.7 5 0.6 2.0 - 3.4<br />
India 2.7 12 0.4 2.4 - 3.6<br />
Russia 2.7 12 1.0 1.5 - 5.0<br />
Tanzania 2.7 4 0.7 2.0 - 3.4<br />
Zimbabwe 2.7 6 0.5 2.0 - 3.3<br />
77 Pakistan 2.6 3 1.2 1.7 - 4.0<br />
Philippines 2.6 11 0.6 1.7 - 3.6<br />
Romania 2.6 7 0.8 1.7 - 3.6<br />
Zambia 2.6 4 0.5 2.0 - 3.2<br />
81 Albania 2.5 3 0.8 1.7 - 3.3<br />
Guatemala 2.5 6 0.6 1.7 - 3.5<br />
Nicaragua 2.5 5 0.7 1.7 - 3.4<br />
Venezuela 2.5 10 0.5 1.5 - 3.2<br />
85 Georgia 2.4 3 0.7 1.7 - 2.9<br />
Ukraine 2.4 6 0.7 1.7 - 3.8<br />
Vietnam 2.4 7 0.8 1.5 - 3.6
Rank Country<br />
CPI 2002<br />
score<br />
Surveys<br />
used<br />
Standard<br />
deviation<br />
High-low<br />
Range<br />
88 Kazakhstan 2.3 4 1.1 1.7 - 3.9<br />
89 Bolivia 2.2 6 0.4 1.7 - 2.9<br />
Cameroon 2.2 4 0.7 1.7 - 3.2<br />
Ecuador 2.2 7 0.3 1.7 - 2.6<br />
Haiti 2.2 3 1.7 0.8 - 4.0<br />
93 <strong>Mo</strong>ldova 2.1 4 0.6 1.7 - 3.0<br />
Uganda 2.1 4 0.3 1.9 - 2.6<br />
95 Azerbaijan 2.0 4 0.3 1.7 - 2.4<br />
96 Indonesia 1.9 12 0.6 0.8 - 3.0<br />
Kenya 1.9 5 0.3 1.7 - 2.5<br />
98 Angola 1.7 3 0.2 1.6 - 2.0<br />
Madagascar 1.7 3 0.7 1.3 - 2.5<br />
Paraguay 1.7 3 0.2 1.5 - 2.0<br />
101 Nigeria 1.6 6 0.6 0.9 - 2.5<br />
102 Bangladesh 1.2 5 0.7 0.3 - 2.0<br />
Explanatory notes<br />
A more detailed description of the CPI methodology is available at<br />
http://www.trans<strong>par</strong>ency.org/cpi/index.html#cpi or at www.gwdg.de/~uwvw/2002.html<br />
A CPI 2002 Score relates to perceptions of the degree of corruption as seen by business<br />
people and risk analysts, and ranges between 10 (highly clean) and 0 (highly corrupt).<br />
A Surveys Used refers to the number of surveys that assessed a country’s performance.<br />
A total of 15 surveys were used from nine independent institutions, and at least three<br />
surveys were required for a country to be included in the CPI.<br />
Standard Deviation indicates differences in the values of the sources: the greater the<br />
standard deviation, the greater the differences of perceptions of a country among the<br />
sources.<br />
High-Low Range provides the highest and lowest values of the different sources<br />
Source: www.trans<strong>par</strong>ency.org
Table 26 Maternal Health Indicators, Egypt 2000<br />
Indicator (% of ever married women 15 to 49) Urban Rural Total<br />
Care during pregnancy<br />
Anti Natal Care Any 71.2 47.2 52.9<br />
Regular 56.2 32.8 36.7<br />
One or more TT injection(s) 75.3 80.4 72.5<br />
Other medical care 9.9 13.2 11.4<br />
Any medical care 87.6 80.7 85.3<br />
Pregnancy care indicator by background<br />
characteristics<br />
Weighed 75.6 48.5 59.6<br />
Height measured 43.3 24.9 32.4<br />
Blood pressure measured 76.1 46.2 58.4<br />
Urine sample 63.6 33.4 45.7<br />
Blood sample 64.1 34.3 46.5<br />
Iron tablets/syrup 39.4 20.7 28.3<br />
Told where to go for complications 22.6 14.6 17.9<br />
Place of delivery<br />
Public health facility 33.4 15.2 22.2<br />
Private health facility 36.4 19.4 26<br />
At home 30 65.3 51.7<br />
Other 0.1 0 0<br />
Assistance during delivery<br />
Doctor 73.3 41 53.5<br />
Trained 8.1 7 7.4<br />
Birth attendant 17 47.1 35.5<br />
Relative/other 1.1 3.3 2.5<br />
No one 0.4 1.5 1.1<br />
Postnatal care by background characteristics<br />
Delivered in facility 69.8 34.6 48.2<br />
Had any postnatal checkup 2.5 5.4 4.3<br />
Had checkup within 2 days of birth 0.6 1.5 1.1
Table 27 Child health indicator, Egypt 2000<br />
Indicator (% of children below 5 years) Urban Rural Total<br />
Vaccinations by background characteristics<br />
All 92.8 91.8 92.2<br />
Prevalence of diarrhea<br />
Diarrhea in the preceding two weeks 6.1 7.8 7.1<br />
Prevalence and treatment of acute respiratory infection (ARI)<br />
Percentage of children with cough and short, rapid breathing 7.8 10.6 9.5<br />
Percentage of children ill with ARI symptoms receiving<br />
“Medical care from” Any health provider 77.4 60.6 66<br />
Percentage of children ill with ARI symptoms receiving<br />
“Medical care from” Public sector provider 23.3 25.1 24.5<br />
Percentage of children ill with ARI symptoms receiving<br />
“Medical care from” Private sector provider 56.1 36.7 42.9<br />
Antibiotics 81.6 72.5 75.4<br />
Initial breastfeeding<br />
Percentage ever breastfed 94.8 95.9 95.5<br />
Percentage who started breastfeeding Within one hour of birth 53.5 59.1 57<br />
Percentage who started breastfeeding Within one day of birth 87.6 88.5 88.1<br />
Percentage who received pre-lacteal feeding 52.2 54.4 53.6<br />
Median duration of breastfeeding<br />
Among children under age three, median duration in months<br />
Any breastfeeding 17.2 19 18.4<br />
Among children under age three, median duration in months<br />
Exclusive breastfeeding 2.2 3.6 3<br />
Among children under age three, median duration in months<br />
Full breastfeeding1 2.8 4.4 3.8<br />
Percentage of children under age two bottle fed 18.8 13.9 15.8<br />
Nutritional status by socioeconomic characteristics<br />
Severe stunting 4 7.7 6.2<br />
Severe or moderate stunting 13.8 21.8 18.7<br />
Prevalence of anemia among children 6-59 months<br />
Sever anemia 0.1 0.3 0.2<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>derate anemia 8.7 12.8 11.2<br />
Mild anemia 14.8 20.9 18.5<br />
Not anemic 74.6 64.5 68.4<br />
Missing 1.8 1.6 1.7
JORDAN<br />
Royal Scientific Society
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
METHODOLOGY<br />
According to the terms of reference, this report was conducted using the<br />
three required activities:<br />
1. Study on national literature; a list of major references is attached in<br />
annex 1.<br />
2. Analysis of data from national sources.<br />
3. Interviews with privileged witnesses and key-players (some of whom<br />
having responsibility for public policy decisions). Annex 2 presents a list<br />
of the interviewees.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. COUNTRY PROFILE: ESSENTIAL FIGURES<br />
Jordan is a small Arab country with inadequate supplies of natural<br />
resources. Since the early 1990s, Jordan has undertaken considerable<br />
stabilization and adjustment efforts. The IMF, the World Bank Group, EU,<br />
and several bilateral donors have supported these efforts. The economy’s<br />
initial response to the Government’s reform program was strong. Economic<br />
fundamentals in the first half of this decade were quite satisfactory: a high<br />
average growth rate of 7.6 percent per annum (until 1996 when it began to<br />
deteriorate). A reduction in the fiscal deficit, low inflation, and sound<br />
monetary management, which helped in the build-up of foreign exchange<br />
reserves to a healthy level (current balance of over 5 months of coverage of<br />
imports). The current account during this period remained essentially<br />
balanced. The economic situation began to deteriorate in 1996 with growth<br />
falling below the population growth rate resulting in approximately a twopercent<br />
decline in per capita income per annum during 1996-98 period. The<br />
decline occurred largely because the country faced several unfavorable<br />
factors that were outside its control, including lack of progress in the peace<br />
process, declining oil prices, thus reducing the market for Jordanian exports<br />
in neighboring countries, and spillover from the general slowdown in the<br />
Asian economies.<br />
1.1 Population 1 :<br />
5,29000<br />
Age structure:<br />
0-14 years: 36.6% (male 991,370; female 949,247)<br />
15-64 years: 60% (male 1,698,568; female 1,485,261)<br />
65 years and over: 3.4% (male 90,186; female 92,838)<br />
1 Data are for the year 2002 unless other wise mentioned.<br />
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Population growth rate: 2.8%<br />
Birth rate: 29 births/1,000 population<br />
Death rate: 5 deaths/1,000 population<br />
Net migration rate: 7.18 migrants/1,000 population (2001 est.)<br />
Sex ratio:<br />
at birth: 1.06 male(s)/female<br />
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under 15 years: 1.04 male(s)/female<br />
15-64 years: 1.14 male(s)/female<br />
65 years and over: 0.97 male(s)/female<br />
total population: 1.1 male(s)/female<br />
Infant mortality rate: 22.1 deaths/1,000 live births<br />
Life expectancy at birth: female: 72.4 years male: 70.6 years<br />
Total fertility rate: 3.7 children born/woman<br />
Ethnic groups: Arab 98%, Circassian 1%, Armenian 1% (Armenians only<br />
make 0.1% of the population. There are also Chechens, Turkmens, and<br />
Kurds).<br />
Religions: Sunni Muslim 92%, Christian 6% (majority Greek Orthodox, but<br />
some Greek and Roman Catholics, Syrian Orthodox, Coptic Orthodox,<br />
Armenian Orthodox, and Protestant denominations), other 2% (several<br />
small Shi’a Muslim and Druze communities) (2001 est.)<br />
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Literacy:<br />
definition: age 15 and over can read and write<br />
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total population: 86.6%<br />
male: 93.4%<br />
female: 79.4% (1995 est.)<br />
1.2. Economy - overview<br />
GDP: $9296 million, GDP - real growth rate: 4.9%<br />
GDP- per capita: $1745<br />
GDP - composition by sector:<br />
agriculture: 3.6%<br />
industry: 27.9%<br />
services: 68.5%<br />
Inflation rate (consumer prices): 1.9% (2001)<br />
Labor force: 1.27 million.<br />
Note: in addition, at least 300,000 workers are employed abroad (2001)<br />
Labor force - by occupation: Services 83%, industry 13%, agriculture 5%<br />
(2001 est.)<br />
Unemployment rate: 14-15%<br />
Industries: Phosphate mining, pharmaceuticals, petroleum refining,<br />
cement, potash, light manufacturing, text tile, pharmaceuticals, and tourism.<br />
Agriculture - products: Wheat, barley, citrus, tomatoes, melons, olives;<br />
sheep, goats, poultry.<br />
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Exports: $21663million.<br />
Exports - commodities: phosphates, fertilizers, potash, agricultural<br />
products, manufactured goods, pharmaceuticals, and textiles.<br />
Exports - <strong>par</strong>tners: Iraq 19.9%, US 18.8%, India 10.5%.<br />
Imports: $4974.1 million. Imports - commodities: crude oil, machinery,<br />
transport equipment, food, live animals, manufactured goods<br />
Imports - <strong>par</strong>tners: Iraq 15.5, Germany 9.2%, US 7.2%, China 6.6.<br />
Debt - external: $7544.1 million.<br />
1.3. Geography<br />
Area: 89,300 sq km, Neighbors: Iraq, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Syria, West<br />
Bank.<br />
Coastline: 26 km.<br />
Climate: <strong>Mo</strong>stly arid desert; rainy season in west (November to April).<br />
Terrain: <strong>Mo</strong>stly desert plateau in east, highland area in west; Great Rift<br />
Valley se<strong>par</strong>ates East and West Banks of the Jordan River.<br />
Elevation extremes: Lowest point: Dead Sea -408 m.<br />
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Highest point: Jabal Ram 1,734 m.<br />
Natural resources: Phosphates, potash, shale oil.<br />
Land use: arable land: 2.87%; permanent crops: 1.52%; other: 95.61% (1998<br />
est.)<br />
Natural hazards: droughts; periodic earthquakes.<br />
Environment - current issues: limited natural fresh water resources;<br />
deforestation; overgrazing; soil erosion; desertification.<br />
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Environment - international agreements: <strong>par</strong>ty to: Biodiversity, Climate<br />
Change, Climate Change-Kyoto Protocol, Desertification, Endangered<br />
Species, Hazardous Wastes, Law of the Sea, Marine Dumping, Nuclear Test<br />
Ban, Ozone Layer Protection, Wetlands. Signed, but not ratified: none of<br />
the selected agreements<br />
1.4. Key Issues<br />
The main problems facing Jordan at present are:<br />
- Regional instability<br />
- External debts<br />
- Oil supplies<br />
- High unemployment<br />
- Rising poverty<br />
- High levels of migration into the cities<br />
- Inadequate health and social services<br />
- Low <strong>par</strong>ticipation of women in the workforce<br />
- Inadequate business and entrepreneurial skills<br />
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2. HEALTH<br />
2.1. Definitions<br />
There is no special definition of Health in Jordan; the official one is the<br />
definition of the World Health Organization (WHO): “ Health is a state of<br />
complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the<br />
absence of disease or infirmity.”<br />
2.2. Policy and Legislation Orientation<br />
Health care is an important component of an economy that involves the<br />
provision of goods and services by both the private and public sectors. As<br />
health care technologies have advanced rapidly in the past few decades and<br />
the demand for health care continues to grow tremendously, the<br />
Government has decide to improve and develop the health care system.<br />
Jordan performs relatively well (in com<strong>par</strong>ison to the other similar<br />
countries) in terms of overall access to services, when measured by<br />
indicators such as infant mortality and life expectancy. However, the health<br />
care system in Jordan still suffers from some inefficiencies:<br />
- Clustered distribution of health care centers.<br />
- Cost-effectiveness.<br />
- Efficiency.<br />
- Quality of service delivery.<br />
As a result, the Government aims to reduce health care inefficiencies and<br />
contain growth in health expenditures, and increase the level of qualitative<br />
investments in healthcare services through:<br />
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- Improving the quality of services.<br />
- Improving the geographic distribution of resources and services.<br />
- Increasing private sector <strong>par</strong>ticipation in the health insurance system.<br />
- <strong>Mo</strong>dernizing health facilities and equipment.<br />
- Developing a health information and research center.<br />
- Improving purchasing systems.<br />
The Government of Jordan has decided against passive acceptance of the<br />
status quo and instead is embarking upon a long-term reform program<br />
which will bring in all major players in the sector (the Ministry of Health,<br />
the Royal Medical Services, Jordan University Hospital, and the private<br />
sector).<br />
The first phase of this reform will focus on three key areas: (i) containing<br />
growth in health expenditures; (ii) assuring the efficient utilization of<br />
physical facilities; and (iii) improving delivery and quality of health care<br />
services. Building upon this foundation, the second phase will likely be<br />
expanded to address equity (universal health insurance), quality (medical<br />
education, regulation of the private sector), management (in the context of<br />
government-wide civil-service reform), and cost effectiveness (rationalizing<br />
the public/private mix). The five components of the project to support the<br />
first phase of the reform strategy are:<br />
- Rationalizing Jordan’s Health Delivery System. Currently, most facility<br />
rehabilitation/construction decisions are based on incomplete investment<br />
strategies, which do not systematically consider the demographic and<br />
epidemiological characteristics of the population and/or the existing<br />
resources available. Similarly, there are no standards and norms applied<br />
in the construction of facilities to ensure efficiency in the allocation of<br />
space and relative proximity of services. Rationalizing the investment<br />
strategy for health facilities in Jordan is a priority need and would lead to<br />
improved economic efficiency, clinical effectiveness and quality of<br />
health services.<br />
As a tool for rationalizing investment decisions for public sector<br />
hospitals, the Government is pre<strong>par</strong>ing a health facility master-plan that<br />
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incorporates norms and standards, overall needs, and existing public and<br />
private sector capacity. The master-plan will identify and prioritize all<br />
health facility investment needs.<br />
- Developing and Implementing Health Information Systems. This<br />
component will address two sets of needs: (i) for improved public health,<br />
it will help develop a national health information system which will<br />
provide the Government with relevant and timely epidemiological data;<br />
and (ii) for improved service quality and efficiency at the health facility<br />
level, help develop management information systems for patient records,<br />
services, inventory, and personnel. Financing would be provided for<br />
equipment, technical assistance, software development/purchase, and<br />
training.<br />
- Improving Hospital Financing and Management. This component will<br />
include the development and implementation of a financing system for<br />
paying hospitals and physicians, which supports the efficient use of<br />
resources. Developing this new system will involve: (i) establishing clear<br />
and consistent accounting standards that would apply to all public health<br />
facilities; (ii) setting up hospital-based financial management systems;<br />
and (iii) adopting modern approaches to pay hospitals such as case-mix<br />
adjusted global budgets and various physician incentive arrangements.<br />
The goal would be to provide hospital managers and employees’<br />
incentives to be efficient by linking budgetary allocations to established<br />
criteria and giving managers the tools to operate autonomously and to be<br />
more responsive to current or emerging demands. The project will<br />
finance the development of management tools (e.g., financial and<br />
accounting systems), equipment, and training necessary to implement<br />
these systems.<br />
- Reforming the Pharmaceutical Sector. Pharmaceuticals account for over<br />
one-fourth of all health spending. Such high expenditures reflect<br />
inefficiency, waste, and improper use of drugs. To improve the quality<br />
and efficiency of the pharmaceutical sector, a series of reforms would be<br />
undertaken: (i) promoting generic substitution; (ii) implementing<br />
treatment protocols and training in the rational use of drugs; (iii) adopting<br />
essential drug lists; (iv) improving overall sector management and<br />
pricing policies; and (iv) reforming the processes for drug procurement,<br />
storage, distribution, and quality control. Specific inputs will include<br />
upgrading the facilities and operations of the drug quality control lab,<br />
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providing technical assistance to develop joint procurement mechanisms<br />
for the public health sector and to draft legislation which will serve as the<br />
legal framework for the pharmaceutical reform program, and providing<br />
training in the use of essential drug lists and treatment protocols.<br />
Financing would be provided for rehabilitation of the quality control<br />
laboratory, laboratory and computer equipment, technical assistance,<br />
studies, workshops, and materials development (e.g., to support treatment<br />
protocols).<br />
- Continuing the Reform Process. This project is addressing some, but not<br />
all, of the issues identified in the Health Sector Study. Sectoral reform is<br />
not a static process; it is instead to be implemented incrementally in<br />
response to evolving needs and demands. This component will support<br />
the continued pre<strong>par</strong>ation, evaluation, and monitoring of the sector<br />
reform program. The Project Management Unit (PMU) for health reform,<br />
in collaboration with the Higher Health Council (HHC) will commission<br />
studies and recruit technical expertise as needed to explore alternative<br />
reform proposals. In addition, this component will support effective<br />
implementation of the project activities by supporting the PMU and<br />
project implementation units (PIUs) to carry out their project<br />
management and monitoring functions.<br />
2.3. Sources<br />
Ministry of Health (www.moh.gov.jo)<br />
National information system (www.nic.gov.jo)<br />
Ministry of Social Development (www.mosd.gov.jo)<br />
Higher Population Council<br />
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics (www.dos.gov.jo)<br />
Ministry of planning (www.mop.gov.jo)<br />
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2.4. Phenomenology<br />
Jordan is in the midst of an epidemiological transition with acute respiratory<br />
infections and prenatal diseases still causing a large loss of productive life<br />
while non-communicable diseases and illnesses are becoming increasingly<br />
prevalent. Infant and child mortality indicators are favorable com<strong>par</strong>ed with<br />
other countries in the region and with other countries at similar levels of<br />
income, although they are still high by OECD standards. Despite significant<br />
declines in fertility in recent years (from 5.6 children per woman in 1990),<br />
Jordan’s total fertility rate (TFR) of 4.6 children per woman is still quite<br />
high. Population growth is high largely as a result of high fertility, low<br />
mortality, and migration.<br />
- The Health Sector Study highlighted that while the health system<br />
performs relatively well in terms of overall access and outcomes, it is<br />
expensive and inefficient, and there are geographic maldistributions of<br />
resources. Jordan spends about 8 percent of its GDP on health care, well<br />
in excess of most middle income and even some western industrialized<br />
countries. While Jordan provides coverage for its poor and disabled, an<br />
estimated 20 percent of the population lacks formal coverage, and<br />
Government financing for health care could be better structured to reflect<br />
ability to pay. Lack of a coordinated policy ap<strong>par</strong>atus and relevant data<br />
for decision-making preclude effective policy-making across Jordan’s<br />
multiple public and private financing arrangements and delivery systems.<br />
- There are significant inefficiencies in the service delivery system. There<br />
is excess overall capacity as evidenced by a hospital occupancy rate of 63<br />
percent (69 percent in the public sector and 49 percent in the private<br />
sector; 80 percent is the generally accepted benchmark). Inappropriate<br />
hospital use results from lack of an effective referral system and a<br />
hospital-based orientation for treatment. Inefficient case management<br />
leads to costly inpatient treatment of conditions that could be treated on<br />
an outpatient basis and excessive use of expensive drugs. The centralized<br />
allocation process for supplying and equipping facilities and paying<br />
personnel in the public sector provides few incentives for the efficient<br />
delivery of services at the individual institution level. Finally, there are<br />
inefficiencies in terms of overall management, procurement, storage,<br />
distribution, pricing policies, and the rational use of pharmaceuticals,<br />
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which account for over one-fourth of health spending and two percent of<br />
GDP.<br />
- There is limited data to evaluate the quality of care and consumer<br />
satisfaction. The rapid growth in the private sector suggests<br />
dissatisfaction with the services provided through the public sector and is<br />
leading towards a two-tiered system of care (those who can afford to pay<br />
go to the private sector while those who cannot are relegated to the public<br />
health facilities). The lack of management systems (e.g., for patient<br />
records, inventory) in the public sector do not foster good case<br />
management and follow-up. Indeed, there are few incentives in the public<br />
sector for providers to be concerned about the quality of services<br />
provided. Quality could also be jeo<strong>par</strong>dized by the lack of standards and<br />
norms for infrastructure.<br />
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3. POVERTY<br />
3.1. Definitions<br />
Poverty in Jordan was defined from the standard of living and satisfaction of<br />
basic needs perspective. The Ministry of Social Development defines<br />
poverty as a “state of physical deprivation characterized by low food<br />
consumption (quantitatively and qualitatively), and the deterioration of<br />
health and educational status, the lack of durable goods and other physical<br />
assets, in addition to the loss of reserves to face difficult conditions, like<br />
illness and disability”.<br />
The Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) defines<br />
poverty as “the inability of the individual or the family to provide necessary<br />
resources to meet its basic needs”. 2<br />
Others defined poverty as “the inability to satisfy the minimum standards of<br />
the basic needs; food, shelter, clothes, education, health, and transportation. 3<br />
Jordan River Foundation (one of the active NGOs in Jordan) defines the<br />
poorest of the poor as those families that have nothing, where the family<br />
members must take turns to eat breakfast.<br />
3.2. Policy and Legislation Orientation<br />
The Kingdom’s new comprehensive strategy, through the collaborative<br />
efforts of specialized working groups from the private and public sectors,<br />
donor <strong>par</strong>ties and non-governmental organizations, adopts a multi-sectoral<br />
approach to improving living conditions for the poor and near poor.<br />
2 The Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia ESCWA Poverty in Western Asia 1997<br />
3 Poverty Assessment Report: The case of Jordan ,<strong>Mo</strong>h’d M. Khasawneh june 2001.<br />
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The strategy, proposes a variety of programs to upgrade health, education<br />
and capacity-building opportunities for the less privileged, also builds upon<br />
existing national initiatives for poverty reduction.<br />
Investment in education, as described in the strategy, is “one of the most<br />
powerful determinants of poverty,” and unequal access to educational<br />
opportunity “a strong correlate of income equity.”<br />
In terms of access to education and formal and non-formal attainment levels,<br />
Jordan ranks high com<strong>par</strong>ed with other Arab countries, as government<br />
efforts have remained steadfast since 1989 to reform its education sector and<br />
improve school infrastructure, <strong>par</strong>ticularly in underprivileged areas.<br />
However, while efforts to reducing illiteracy have produced positive results,<br />
availability of schools remains relatively low in rural areas. This has denied<br />
communities in these areas access to education that could improve their<br />
socio-economic status.<br />
The strategy reports that illiteracy levels are as high as 15 per cent in some<br />
urban areas and 24 per cent in rural areas. The rate of illiteracy for rural<br />
women is twice as high as those for urban men and women. Adult literacy<br />
centers established by the Ministry of Education are providing sufficient<br />
education to local communities. But the national strategy suggests that these<br />
centers be used to provide other services for community development.<br />
These would include training for better employment and courses on how to<br />
run a business as well as vocational skills, especially for women.<br />
“Adult literacy and other basic skills im<strong>par</strong>ted to adults and out-of-school<br />
youth through non-formal programs directly improve family income<br />
generation and have strong impacts on family health status and children’s<br />
educational attainment and other efforts for poverty alleviation.” Similar<br />
investments are proposed to boost the vocational capacity of the near poor<br />
segments of society and young citizens, as another component of Jordan’s<br />
national strategy.<br />
Vocational training costs the government three times as much as academic<br />
education per student every year — JD600 as com<strong>par</strong>ed to JD200.<br />
While the government is working to reform and boost vocational training,<br />
the strategy points out, however, that this area has not been addressed in a<br />
satisfactory manner.<br />
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“It [vocational training] attracts mainly those who cannot afford the<br />
academic line or those seeking quick skills to get to work and generate<br />
income for the family.”<br />
To ensure sustainable development, the strategy stresses the necessity of<br />
enhancing the capacities of fresh graduates by initiating specific training<br />
programs to meet the competitive needs of the global market through closer<br />
cooperation with the private sector.<br />
In the same way, the strategy also suggests the use of school premises after<br />
hours, to give graduates of vocational training an opportunity to train and<br />
get more experience in the practical aspects of their work for better<br />
employment opportunities in the future.<br />
It suggests that the Higher Council for Vocational Training set criteria for<br />
ranking vocational training graduates and provide advisory services to<br />
companies as well as training centers as to what skills and professions are<br />
needed for the influx of new graduates and young Jordanians seeking<br />
employment every year in a tight private and public sector job market.<br />
This, as envisaged by the strategy, would in the long run minimize the need<br />
to bring in foreign workers.<br />
The strategy’s objective is “to serve the poor, alleviate destitution and make<br />
them productive individuals dependent only on themselves at the end of the<br />
day.”<br />
The government poverty alleviation policy<br />
The main foci of the national poverty alleviation are:<br />
- To understand, measure and evaluate poverty phenomena in order to<br />
direct policies and services in a better way. This can be done via drawing<br />
the poverty maps.<br />
- To increase the assistant level to the beneficiaries of National Aid Fund<br />
(NAF) and to expand the beneficiaries base through the restructuring of<br />
NAF and establishing a database to connect all aid funds in Jordan.<br />
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- <strong>Mo</strong>ving from assistant oriented program to work oriented programs via<br />
replacing cash assistance by the supplementary income program.<br />
- Coordination with the Ministry of Labor to provide the poor with training<br />
and employment opportunities.<br />
- Support the micro-finance programs<br />
- Increase the employment opportunities in rural areas through developing<br />
the rural communities.<br />
- To reduce the role of the public sector in generating jobs and establish a<br />
public – private sector <strong>par</strong>tnership to solve labor market problems.<br />
- To make sure that the poor get a better health care and family planning<br />
services.<br />
- Increase cooperation with government and NGOs and international<br />
organization to control population growth rate.<br />
- To work with local communities to identify their problems and to<br />
enhance their health conditions using several programs like the Health<br />
Village Program.<br />
- To ensure the educational system response to the needs of the poor<br />
through: improving the school infrastructure, provide children feed<br />
programs; provide the poor children with school requirements, etc.<br />
- Widen awareness of the effort to alleviate poverty.<br />
- Develop and activate the social development centers<br />
3.3. Sources<br />
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics (www.dos.gov.jo)<br />
National Information System (www.nic.gov.jo)<br />
Ministry of Social Development (www.mosd.gov.jo)<br />
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The Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA)<br />
(www.escwa.org.lb)<br />
3.4. Phenomenology<br />
In the struggle to fight poverty, several challenges will be facing Jordan in<br />
the coming years. The first one is to reach a widely acceptable definition for<br />
poverty, and to come up with solid poverty line or lines according to the<br />
different geographical areas. The second challenge is to move from the<br />
concept of poverty to the concept of deprivation. Many researchers tends to<br />
believe that Jordan has reached a state of development that enables it to<br />
make this move. Another aspect to be mentioned is the equality issue. There<br />
is a wide belief that development in the last decade caused an increase in<br />
inequality, and the fall of the middle class. The results of the income &<br />
expenditures survey of 2002/2003 may answer most of these questions.<br />
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4. CRIME<br />
4.1. Definitions<br />
In Jordan, crime is every act that the law considers to be a crime. No<br />
punishment can be imposed without a statement in the law.<br />
Jordanian Criminal Code<br />
The Criminal Code adopted in 1956, which had been amended many times,<br />
contained the bulk of the country’s criminal law. In addition, certain<br />
codified civil statutes also prescribed penalties for acts such as libel,<br />
adultery, and publication of material endangering the security of the<br />
kingdom. Individuals could not be punished except for acts made criminal<br />
by virtue of penalties prescribed by law. Other than where specified, a<br />
person could also not be punished for committing a criminal act in the<br />
absence of criminal responsibility or intent, both of which were defined by<br />
the code. As a safeguard of personal liberty, the government had the burden<br />
of proving both the defendant’s commitment of the act and the admissible<br />
intent of the defendant before guilt could be established.<br />
The criminal code, in traditional French form, divided criminal offenses into<br />
three categories according to the severity of the applicable punishments. In<br />
English common law these categories are equated roughly to felonies,<br />
misdemeanors, and minor violations. Punishments for felonies ranged from<br />
death by hanging to imprisonment for periods ranging from three years to<br />
life. Punishments for misdemeanors included imprisonment for periods<br />
ranging from three weeks to three years and a variety of fines. Minor<br />
violations could be punished by imprisonment for less than three weeks,<br />
small fines, or reprimands by the court. In cases involving misdemeanors or<br />
minor violations, a judge also could invoke preventive measures including<br />
detention for psychiatric examination, forfeiture of material goods, or<br />
closure of a place of business. The Criminal Code provided for minimum<br />
penalties for all major infractions rather than relying on the discretion of the<br />
courts.<br />
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The death penalty was authorized for murder, arson of an inhabited<br />
building, assassination of the king (or attempts on his life), and a broad<br />
range of serious crimes defined as threats to the security of the state. These<br />
latter offenses included acts such as treason, espionage on behalf of an<br />
unfriendly foreign power, and armed insurrection.<br />
Imprisonment for life was imposed for such felonies as lesser crimes against<br />
national security, homicide during commission of a misdemeanor or that<br />
resulted from torture, and the more serious forms of theft. Shorter<br />
imprisonment was prescribed for these same offenses if mitigating<br />
circumstances are warranted. Such punishment also was authorized for<br />
terrorist activity, membership in subversive organizations, counterfeiting,<br />
forgery of official documents, and abduction.<br />
Misdemeanors included such offenses as gambling in public places, bribery,<br />
perjury, simple forgery, slander, embezzlement, assault and battery, and<br />
disturbing the peace. The influence of sharia was still evident in the<br />
imposition of prison sentences for desertion of a child, abortion, marrying a<br />
girl under the age of sixteen, openly ridiculing the Prophet Muhammad, and<br />
breaking the fast of Ramadan. Sharia also was important in the criteria for<br />
justifiable homicide. No penalty was imposed for the immediate killing of<br />
someone who defiled a person’s or a family’s honor.<br />
Minor violations covered by the code included traffic violations, seeking<br />
redress for a crime without recourse to civil authorities, public drunkenness,<br />
and violations of administrative regulations such as licensing and safe<br />
housing requirements. These infractions were punishable with or without<br />
proven intent. <strong>Mo</strong>st minor violations resulted in fines being assessed against<br />
the offender.<br />
4.2. Policy and Legislation Orientation<br />
The government policy to face crime and to protect the Jordanian<br />
community from its evils is divided into two tracks; the first is to adopt<br />
preventive measures throughout the development of the justice authorities<br />
and the continuous support to the security forces in Jordan and providing it<br />
with its needs in terms of advanced weapons and equipments, and to<br />
develop its manpower throughout the extensive training programs. In<br />
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addition to monitoring criminal statistics, which is the main way to<br />
understand the crime phenomena and its relation with other socio-economic<br />
indicators. The second track is the capture of criminals and the imposition of<br />
legal punishments. In 1986, the concept of the prison system was<br />
revolutionized with the establishment of modern and well-equipped<br />
rehabilitation centers overseen by a specialized de<strong>par</strong>tment – the<br />
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Rehabilitation Centers, with the following duties and<br />
objectives:<br />
1. Overseeing the procedures of inmate admission and release.<br />
2. Overseeing the legal and administrative procedures concerning the<br />
treatment of inmates.<br />
3. Administering aftercare for released inmates and their families.<br />
4. Providing vocational training and literacy classes.<br />
5. Pre<strong>par</strong>ing statistical reports relating to inmates.<br />
Objectives:<br />
- Reinforcing the positive aspects of an inmate’s character, with the aim to<br />
transform him/her into a sociable, law-abiding citizen.<br />
- Administering medical care to convicts.<br />
- Narrowing down the chances of inmates becoming repeat offenders.<br />
- Providing religious education to inmates.<br />
Presently, there are 10 rehabilitation centers in Jordan.<br />
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4.3. Sources<br />
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics (www.dos.gov.jo)<br />
National Information System (www.nic.gov.jo)<br />
Ministry of Social Development (www.mosd.gov.jo)<br />
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Public Security www.psd.gov.jo<br />
Interpol: www.interpol.com<br />
4.5. Phenomenology<br />
The most critical issue regarding crime prevention in Jordan is the challenge<br />
of facing the continuous growth in the crime phenomena and their<br />
increasing cost. The incidence of crime has increased in Jordan from 626<br />
crimes per 100,000 in 1988 to 1,016 in 1997, while the cost to the<br />
governmental de<strong>par</strong>tments involved in crime prevention formed 6.5% of the<br />
total governmental expenditures in 1997. Organized crime in Jordan is<br />
growing, and it is no longer limited to smuggling or drugs, which is causing<br />
strains in the judicial system, which needs more improvements.<br />
One of the most critical and debatable issues in Jordan nowadays is the<br />
phenomenon of the so-called crime of honor. The law in Jordan reduces the<br />
punishment of the man who finds his wife or close relatives with another<br />
man in an indecent situation and commits murder as a result, and many<br />
times he would get off scot-free. The original intent of the law was to help<br />
those who were forced to commit such a crime because they are very angry<br />
and can’t control their acts. However, this right was misused, as several<br />
women were killed by their husbands or relatives for reasons that had no<br />
relation to ethics or honor. The Government amended the law in the absence<br />
of the <strong>par</strong>liament, but the new <strong>par</strong>liament rejected it, and the issue is still<br />
pending.<br />
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5. TRENDS AND CORRELATIONS<br />
5.1. The evolution from the structural adjustment of the<br />
1980s<br />
Economic Developments<br />
During the 1970s and early 1980s, Jordan enjoyed relatively high growth<br />
rates in real GDP; as well as an expansion in the basic infrastructure and<br />
welfare services. These achievements were assisted by external assistance,<br />
mainly from oil-exporting Arab countries as a result of the increase of oil<br />
prices, workers’ remittances, and the expansion of the Jordanian agricultural<br />
and manufacturing exports to these markets. However, despite these<br />
achievements, Jordan could not overcome the basic imbalances in its<br />
economic structure, namely budget and balance of trade deficits. The<br />
increase in GNP led to increase in total consumption to levels higher than<br />
GDP levels, resulting in negative domestic savings and large imports.<br />
Accordingly, dependency on external resources increased to bridge the<br />
consumption gab and to finance the gross domestic capital formation. As a<br />
result of the decline in oil prices in 1983, the region was hit with recession.<br />
The economy of Jordan was affected negatively by the reduced demand for<br />
its exports to these markets, lowering the demand for Jordanian workers,<br />
and reducing regional assistance to Jordan due to the decline in revenues.<br />
These factors produced a decline in real GDP growth rates from about 11<br />
percent in the 1973-1980 period, to about 2.5 percent during 1983-1987, and<br />
as a result per capita income decreased and unemployment increased to<br />
about 9 percent in 1988. As the situation continued to deteriorate, and grants<br />
and workers’ remittances continued to decline. In addition to the withdrawal<br />
of foreign exchange reserves at the Central Bank, the government covered<br />
its deficits (trade and budget deficits) by internal and external borrowing,<br />
where total external debt constituted about 173 percent of the GDP, and 303<br />
percent of the exports of goods and services in 1988. As a result, the foreign<br />
reserves at the Central Bank declined considerably and the Jordanian Dinar<br />
devalued by about 50 percent. In consequence, the cost of living increased<br />
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by 6.6 percent com<strong>par</strong>ed with zero percent in 1986 and 1987. As the<br />
measures taken by the government to improve the foreign exchange position<br />
and the budget deficit were not sufficient without debt rescheduling and<br />
external resources, the costs of these measures would prove to be too high.<br />
Accordingly, the government reached an agreement with IMF and the WB<br />
for an economic adjustment program for the 1989-1993 period in order to<br />
revitalize economic activity and overcome the economic crisis. This<br />
program was amended in the 1992-1998 period, because of the Gulf Crisis<br />
in 1990. These measures included rationing public expenditure, increasing<br />
the tax base to include more items and increasing tax rates for certain items.<br />
Due to a weak industrial base, the performance of the Jordanian economy on<br />
average during the program period was below the targeted levels. Therefore,<br />
the government adopted a privatization program in order to enhance the<br />
efficiency of the economy by greater role of the private sector. This program<br />
was extended on a yearly basis until this year 2003. The government stated<br />
that next year a national reform program will replace the previous<br />
arrangements with the IMF and WB.<br />
Poverty in Jordan<br />
Before mid-1980s, poverty in Jordan was not seen as a problem, where the<br />
interest was to emphasize income distribution. Due to the economic and<br />
social achievements during the 1970s and early 1980s, Gini (?) co-efficient<br />
decreased from about 38 percent in 1973 to about 32 percent in 1982<br />
(Haddad, 1990). However, since the mid-1980s poverty became one of the<br />
challenges facing the Jordanian economy, due to certain policies and<br />
procedures undertaken to tackle the economic deterioration. These policies,<br />
which were a helpful ones from an economic perspective, were harmful<br />
ones for low-income and vulnerable groups in society.<br />
Combating Poverty<br />
Within the national policy framework to alleviate poverty, nongovernmental<br />
organizations (NGOs) and international agencies were<br />
encouraged to <strong>par</strong>ticipate to support governmental programs. The main<br />
concern of the NGOs is to help certain groups to improve their quality of<br />
life, by enhancing voluntary work and women’s <strong>par</strong>ticipation, especially in<br />
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the rural and poor areas. This is done through soft loans for family projects<br />
and training programs. However, due to weak performance of some current<br />
programs, the government adopted in 1997 a Social Productivity Program. A<br />
minimum wage Law was approved, where the minimum wage was set at JD 80 per<br />
month 4 .<br />
Health<br />
Despite the fiscal constraints, strong Government commitments to health,<br />
education, and other social programs, have resulted in impressive social<br />
indicators. With a literacy rate of over 80 percent and well-developed<br />
human resource base, Jordan has compensated for its poor natural resource<br />
endowments by exporting its surplus labor to the neighboring oil-exporting<br />
countries. This proposed project focuses on Jordan’s health sector, a sector<br />
with critical human and economic implications that currently accounts for<br />
almost 8 percent of Jordan’s economy.<br />
The Health Sector Studies highlighted that while the health system performs<br />
relatively well in terms of overall access and outcomes, it is expensive and<br />
inefficient, and there are geographic maldistributions of resources. Jordan<br />
spends about 8 percent of its GDP on health care, well in excess of most<br />
middle income and even some western industrialized countries. While<br />
Jordan provides coverage for its poor and disabled, an estimated 20 percent<br />
of the population lacks formal coverage, and Government financing for<br />
health care could be better structured to increase this coverage. Lack of a<br />
coordinated policy ap<strong>par</strong>atus and relevant data for decision-making preclude<br />
effective policy-making across Jordan’s multiple public and private<br />
financing arrangements and delivery systems.<br />
As a result of the expansion of the health services provided all over the<br />
country, as well as public awareness campaigns regarding family planning,<br />
and the increasing number of doctors and technical assistant staff, the infant<br />
mortality rate declined from about 7.8 percent in 1973 to about 2.8 percent<br />
in 1999. The life expectancy at birth increased, for both male and female,<br />
from about 57.4 years for males and 59.8 years for females in 1973, to about<br />
4 <strong>Mo</strong>h’d M. Khasawneh, ‘Poverty Assessment Report: The case of Jordan’, June 2001.<br />
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69 for males and 71 for females in 1999 (DOS, 1999). Due to the increase in<br />
number of doctors and assistants staff, the number of inhabitants per doctor<br />
decreased from about 2,480 in 1973 to about 506 in 1999, and that per nurse<br />
from about 870 in 1973 to about 334 in 1999.<br />
However, these services have been provided, in addition to the Ministry of<br />
Health, by both the private sector and the military through 84 hospitals with<br />
8,726 beds (population/bed ratio is 566 persons/bed), and comprehensive<br />
health centers (46), primary health centers (335), peripheral health centers<br />
(266), and maternity and childhood centers (337).<br />
5.2. Correlations between poverty, health, crime and other<br />
development indicators in the last decade<br />
During the last decade, poverty became the major issue for policy-makers<br />
and to society. Crime incidence witnessed some increase following the first<br />
Gulf War and the return of 300,000 Jordanians, most of whom were born<br />
and raised outside Jordan. In addition, health services started to face<br />
increasing pressure.<br />
These three phenomena are interrelated, but poverty remains the father of all<br />
evil. <strong>Mo</strong>st of the studies that deal with poverty in Jordan reported a bad<br />
health situation in the poor communities, and the relation between health<br />
and poverty can go in both directions. Poverty produces poor health<br />
condition, and bad health conditions (serious disease or bad injuries) can<br />
drive semi- or near poor individuals and their families under the poverty<br />
line.<br />
Thanks to strong government commitment for socio-economic development<br />
for protecting Jordan from the hazardous effects of such phenomena, Jordan<br />
developed a social protection net, to protect the poor from the negative<br />
impacts of such a program. Cash assistance to the poor, training and<br />
retraining programs play a major role in this regard. Of course, these<br />
reforms have strong impacts on the low-income groups in Jordanian society,<br />
and many steps need to be taken in this regards.<br />
As for crime, it is well known theoretically that poverty and unemployment<br />
can be motives for committing crimes. In Jordan, criminal statistics show<br />
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that the unemployed formed about 36% of the total crime offenders in 1997.<br />
In the last decade, when economic growth was relatively very slow in<br />
Jordan, the crime rate increased from 626 crimes per 100,000 citizens in<br />
1988 to 1,016 in 1997, and to 1,255 in 1999.<br />
Maybe the question is this: how can we improve the current situation<br />
regarding these themes? Are they heavily interrelated? Can we identify one<br />
theme to focus on and make improvements? Or do we need a<br />
comprehensive strategy to alleviate poverty and crime and to improve or<br />
increase the health and welfare.<br />
5.3. Key issues, political agenda and perspectives<br />
Regarding the current situation of the three themes of this report, namely<br />
health, poverty, and crime, it can be characterized as acceptable; of course<br />
there are several difficulties and insufficiency here and there, but if we<br />
com<strong>par</strong>e Jordan to other countries with similar levels of income and<br />
conditions, we find that Jordanian achievements were amazing.<br />
Unfortunately, Jordanian figures lay behind those of the European countries,<br />
especially in health and poverty. Therefore, one can expect in the near future<br />
a sincere effort from our <strong>par</strong>tners in Europe to help Jordan in improving the<br />
socio-economic conditions in order to achieve a higher growth rates, which<br />
in turn would enable Jordan to improve the health services provided to<br />
Jordanian citizens, and to alleviate poverty. As for crime, it is true that the<br />
Jordanian figures is below the international levels, but the rapid increase in<br />
crime, helped by the incredible development in communication, which have<br />
turned the world into a small village, requires international cooperation to<br />
stop or fight the new types of crimes, such as money laundry, internet<br />
crimes, and international terrorism. Therefore, Jordan is looking forward to<br />
the <strong>par</strong>tnership agreement with the EU countries to provide the necessary<br />
financial and technical assistance to improve its performance in all the three<br />
themes health, poverty, and crime.<br />
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ANNEX 1: REFERENCES<br />
- The central Bank of Jordan, Annual Report, 2002.<br />
- The Ministry of Health, Annual Report, 2002.<br />
- Ministry of Planning, unpublished data (this is not accept acceptable as a<br />
reference?).<br />
- Ministry of Social Development, Poverty Alleviation for a Stronger<br />
Jordan: A Comprehensive National Strategy, May 2002.<br />
- Poverty in Western Asia The Economic and Social Commission for<br />
Western Asia (ESCWA), 1997.<br />
- Poverty Assessment Report: The case of Jordan, <strong>Mo</strong>h’d M. Khasawneh,<br />
the Royal scientific society, June 2001.<br />
- The Cartographic Crime Science , Brakat al-Nemer, Dar Majdalawi Pub.<br />
& Dis. 2000.<br />
- Abdel Ellah Jae’fer, ‘The Cost of Crime and its Consequences on the<br />
Development of Jordanian Society’, The Arab Magazine for Security &<br />
Training, issue 30, November 2000.<br />
- The General Security De<strong>par</strong>tment, unpublished data.<br />
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ANNEX 2: INTERVIEWS<br />
In order to complete the report, the team has met with several Jordanian<br />
experts in the three themes of the report: health, poverty, and crime.<br />
For the poverty <strong>par</strong>t the experts were:<br />
- Dr. <strong>Mo</strong>hammad el Saqour, a former minister of social development in<br />
Jordan and the head of the team who conducted the first poverty<br />
assessment study in Jordan in 1987.<br />
- Mr. <strong>Mo</strong>hammad Khasawneh from the Ministry of Planning, a wellknown<br />
expert on poverty in Jordan.<br />
For the health section, the expert was Dr. Ayyob S. As-Sayaideh from the<br />
Ministry of Health/the <strong>par</strong>tnership restructuring program of the health sector<br />
in Jordan.<br />
As for the crime section, the expert was Dr. Barakat Al–Nemer from the<br />
Ministry of Interior (researcher in the science of crime).<br />
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STATISTICAL ANNEX
Population Projection 2000 – 2005<br />
Year Estimated<br />
Population in 000<br />
Estimated Growth Rate<br />
1998 4756 3.32<br />
1999 4900 3.0<br />
2000 5039 2.8<br />
2001 5182 2.8<br />
2002 5323 2.7<br />
2003 5468 2.7<br />
2004 5617 2.7<br />
2005 5770 2.7<br />
* DOS Home * DOS-NIS: Population and Housing * DOS-NIS: Population<br />
Copyright 2001 by De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics, Amman (Jordan). All rights reserved.<br />
Source: De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics (Jordan)
De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics (Jordan) - NIS Focal Point: Housing and Population<br />
Population Changes<br />
Population Density 51.5 Person / km 2<br />
Source: (Technical Notes on Population Projections of Jordan 1995-2025 )<br />
By: Dr. Arjoon Adlakha, Dr Timothey Flowler & DOS Staff<br />
Crude Birth Rate (C.B.R) 30 Per Thousand<br />
Crude Death Rate (C.D.R) 5 Per Thousand<br />
Life Expectancy at Birth 68 Years for Male<br />
70 Years for Female<br />
Natural Increase 25 Per Thousand<br />
Source: Jordan Population Family Health Survey (J.P.F.H.S.) 1997<br />
Total Fertility Rate (T.F.R) 4.4 Birth / Woman<br />
Infant <strong>Mo</strong>rtality Rate (I.M.R) 29 Per Thousand<br />
DOS Home * DOS-NIS: Population and Housing * DOS-NIS: Population<br />
Copyright 2001 by De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics, Amman (Jordan). All rights reserved.<br />
Source: Statistical Year Book 1997
Distribution of Population Living in Jordan by Age (in Single Years), Nationality and Sex<br />
Total Jordanians Non jordanians<br />
Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female<br />
0 123,768 63,282 60,486 117,258 59,947 57,311 6,510 3,335 3,175<br />
1 128,980 66,220 62,760 122,303 62,751 59,552 6,677 3,469 3,208<br />
2 126,301 64,596 61,705 119,753 61,237 58,516 6,548 3,359 3,189<br />
3 121,521 62,497 59,024 115,336 59,316 56,020 6,185 3,181 3,004<br />
4 115,454 59,249 56,205 109,489 56,218 53,271 5,965 3,031 2,934<br />
5 116,653 59,686 56,967 110,922 56,746 54,176 5,731 2,940 2,791<br />
6 115,412 58,911 56,501 110,076 56,227 53,849 5,336 2,684 2,652<br />
7 112,461 57,484 54,977 107,301 54,938 52,363 5,160 2,546 2,614<br />
8 112,206 57,499 54,707 107,137 54,897 52,240 5,069 2,602 2,467<br />
9 109,103 55,869 53,234 104,196 53,352 50,844 4,907 2,517 2,390<br />
10 110,953 56,354 54,599 106,238 53,930 52,308 4,715 2,424 2,291<br />
11 105,756 54,454 51,302 101,395 52,222 49,173 4,361 2,232 2,129<br />
12 107,454 55,087 52,367 103,112 52,799 50,313 4,342 2,288 2,054<br />
13 103,099 52,760 50,339 99,009 50,606 48,403 4,090 2,154 1,936<br />
14 101,297 52,267 49,030 97,198 50,080 47,118 4,099 2,187 1,912<br />
15 101,663 51,926 49,737 97,465 49,724 47,741 4,198 2,202 1,996<br />
16 99,158 50,780 48,378 94,989 48,460 46,529 4,169 2,320 1,849<br />
17 95,167 49,634 45,533 90,123 46,610 43,513 5,044 3,024 2,020<br />
18 93,270 48,635 44,635 86,609 44,190 42,419 6,661 4,445 2,216<br />
19 91,237 47,622 43,615 83,670 42,438 41,232 7,567 5,184 2,383<br />
20 92,127 48,107 44,020 83,484 42,070 41,414 8,643 6,037 2,606<br />
21 89,166 46,595 42,571 81,121 41,093 40,028 8,045 5,502 2,543<br />
22 90,806 47,749 43,057 81,749 41,322 40,427 9,057 6,427 2,630<br />
23 85,850 45,845 40,005 76,034 38,500 37,534 9,816 7,345 2,471<br />
24 87,073 47,828 39,245 74,581 37,848 36,733 12,492 9,980 2,512<br />
25 83,489 45,848 37,641 70,714 35,603 35,111 12,775 10,245 2,530<br />
26 78,953 43,368 35,585 67,157 33,866 33,291 11,796 9,502 2,294<br />
27 73,545 40,302 33,243 61,821 30,952 30,869 11,724 9,350 2,374<br />
28 69,503 37,954 31,549 59,315 29,955 29,360 10,188 7,999 2,189<br />
29 66,754 35,854 30,900 57,327 28,544 28,783 9,427 7,310 2,117<br />
30 64,<strong>346</strong> 34,667 29,679 53,851 26,582 27,269 10,495 8,085 2,410<br />
31 56,587 29,682 26,905 49,263 24,218 25,045 7,324 5,464 1,860<br />
32 56,338 29,977 26,361 49,037 24,528 24,509 7,301 5,449 1,852
Total Jordanians Non jordanians<br />
Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female<br />
33 43,769 23,043 20,726 38,250 18,978 19,272 5,519 4,065 1,454<br />
34 47,740 25,018 22,722 41,420 20,364 21,056 6,320 4,654 1,666<br />
35 40,477 20,709 19,768 34,780 16,603 18,177 5,697 4,106 1,591<br />
36 40,543 20,424 20,119 35,826 17,100 18,726 4,717 3,324 1,393<br />
37 38,043 20,259 17,784 33,939 17,450 16,489 4,104 2,809 1,295<br />
38 34,613 18,174 16,439 30,543 15,414 15,129 4,070 2,760 1,310<br />
39 33,255 17,431 15,824 29,861 15,108 14,753 3,394 2,323 1,071<br />
40 32,655 17,024 15,631 28,439 14,112 14,327 4,216 2,912 1,304<br />
41 27,429 14,173 13,256 24,684 12,305 12,379 2,745 1,868 877<br />
42 28,002 14,490 13,512 24,881 12,329 12,552 3,121 2,161 960<br />
43 25,488 13,185 12,303 23,077 11,581 11,496 2,411 1,604 807<br />
44 26,590 13,422 13,168 23,823 11,547 12,276 2,767 1,875 892<br />
45 23,050 11,477 11,573 20,629 9,849 10,780 2,421 1,628 793<br />
46 26,822 12,711 14,111 24,502 11,256 13,246 2,320 1,455 865<br />
47 25,417 12,707 12,710 23,496 11,466 12,030 1,921 1,241 680<br />
48 24,989 12,661 12,328 23,263 11,523 11,740 1,726 1,138 588<br />
49 26,244 12,928 13,316 24,455 11,820 12,635 1,789 1,108 681<br />
50 26,945 14,003 12,942 25,032 12,778 12,254 1,913 1,225 688<br />
51 22,321 12,282 10,039 21,017 11,448 9,569 1,304 834 470<br />
52 22,163 11,967 10,196 20,839 11,122 9,717 1,324 845 479<br />
53 18,255 10,231 8,024 17,321 9,630 7,691 934 601 333<br />
54 23,813 12,012 11,801 22,458 11,167 11,291 1,355 845 510<br />
55 19,479 10,516 8,963 18,467 9,846 8,621 1,012 670 342<br />
56 19,068 9,826 9,242 18,216 9,335 8,881 852 491 361<br />
57 15,970 8,460 7,510 15,203 7,978 7,225 767 482 285<br />
58 18,195 9,841 8,354 17,354 9,373 7,981 841 468 373<br />
59 18,341 9,249 9,092 17,593 8,839 8,754 748 410 338<br />
60 16,201 7,928 8,273 15,291 7,422 7,869 910 506 404<br />
61 12,694 6,831 5,863 12,187 6,558 5,629 507 273 234<br />
62 12,570 6,750 5,820 12,048 6,459 5,589 522 291 231<br />
63 9,814 5,596 4,218 9,410 5,371 4,039 404 225 179<br />
64 16,432 7,953 8,479 15,781 7,663 8,118 651 290 361<br />
65 10,112 5,543 4,569 9,643 5,294 4,349 469 249 220<br />
66 8,877 4,790 4,087 8,590 4,653 3,937 287 137 150<br />
67 8,163 4,618 3,545 7,787 4,409 3,378 376 209 167<br />
68 6,610 3,671 2,939 6,331 3,523 2,808 279 148 131
Total Jordanians Non jordanians<br />
Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female<br />
69 8,329 4,088 4,241 8,022 3,954 4,068 307 134 173<br />
70 8,567 3,653 4,914 8,130 3,463 4,667 437 190 247<br />
71 4,692 2,475 2,217 4,504 2,395 2,109 188 80 108<br />
72 4,710 2,349 2,361 4,487 2,242 2,245 223 107 116<br />
73 3,703 1,878 1,825 3,565 1,824 1,741 138 54 84<br />
74 7,867 3,229 4,638 7,611 3,129 4,482 256 100 156<br />
75 3,698 1,763 1,935 3,567 1,712 1,855 131 51 80<br />
76 3,500 1,959 1,541 3,420 1,917 1,503 80 42 38<br />
77 2,552 1,315 1,237 2,445 1,270 1,175 107 45 62<br />
78 2,220 1,212 1,008 2,146 1,182 964 74 30 44<br />
79 2,501 1,242 1,259 2,442 1,221 1,221 59 21 38<br />
80 3,318 1,278 2,040 3,173 1,224 1,949 145 54 91<br />
81 1,236 639 597 1,198 624 574 38 15 23<br />
82 1,435 715 720 1,370 688 682 65 27 38<br />
83 1,182 630 552 1,143 612 531 39 18 21<br />
84 3,062 1,341 1,721 2,954 1,297 1,657 108 44 64<br />
85 1,175 506 669 1,129 494 635 46 12 34<br />
86 783 413 370 759 402 357 24 11 13<br />
87 642 354 288 616 343 273 26 11 15<br />
88 604 359 245 582 344 238 22 15 7<br />
89 732 376 356 701 366 335 31 10 21<br />
90 1,038 427 611 992 415 577 46 12 34<br />
91 327 199 128 316 195 121 11 4 7<br />
92 338 185 153 328 179 149 10 6 4<br />
93 392 206 186 383 204 179 9 2 7<br />
94 634 317 317 606 310 296 28 7 21<br />
95 105 44 61 101 43 58 4 1 3<br />
96 42 25 17 40 24 16 2 1 1<br />
97 35 15 20 35 15 20 0 - -<br />
98+ 685 286 399 667 278 389 18 8 10<br />
Unspec. 3,318 1,870 1,448 2,155 963 1,192 1,163 907 256<br />
TOTAL 4,110,0 2,135,8 1,974,1 3,795,0 1,926,7 1,868,2 314,965 209,068 105,897<br />
21 39 82 56 71 85<br />
* Definitions * DOS Home * DOS-NIS: Population and Housing * DOS-NIS: Population * How to Download/Print the Table? *<br />
Note: All values are absolute figures collected in the above-mentioned census<br />
Source: General Census of Population and Housing of Jordan 1994
Table 2 Economic Growth Rates (Percentages)<br />
Current Prices<br />
GDP at<br />
market GNDI*<br />
prices<br />
Constant Prices<br />
(1994=100)<br />
GDP at<br />
market GNDI*<br />
prices<br />
1997 4.6 5.1 3.3 3.8<br />
1998 9.2 6.6 3.0 0.6<br />
1999 2.8 5.5 3.1 5.8<br />
2000 (1) 3.9 7.7 4.0 7.8<br />
2001 (1) 4.5 2.8 4.2 2.6<br />
*: Represents GDP at market prices plus net workers’ remittances,<br />
net investment income, and net current transfers.<br />
(1) : Preliminary.
Table 3 - Growth Rates of Economic Sectors (at Constant Basic Prices)* (Percentages)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 (1) 2001 (1)<br />
Agriculture -8.5 13.0 -29.3 6.4 1.1<br />
Mining and quarrying 13.2 1.8 2.8 -1.3 4.1<br />
Manufacturing 10.8 9.3 4.9 5.8 4.9<br />
Electricity and water 5.5 2.8 6.6 4.0 2.3<br />
Construction -7.9 -17.0 7.0 1.9 11.1<br />
Total commodity producing sectors 3.2 3.2 -0.2 4.3 5.2<br />
Trade, restaurants, and hotels 5.2 -14.3 5.0 8.6 4.4<br />
Transport and communications 1.6 18.8 6.4 4.6 5.6<br />
Finance, real estate, and business services 2.6 5.3 0.1 4.1 3.7<br />
Social services 20.9 10.7 7.9 1.8 5.9<br />
Producers of government services 3.2 2.0 3.3 6.6 1.7<br />
Non-profit institutions -0.8 3.3 2.3 -16.2 7.1<br />
Domestic services of households -10.5 27.5 20.0 25.5 -4.9<br />
Total services sectors 3.8 3.1 4.1 5.0 3.8<br />
GDP at constant basic prices 3.6 3.1 2.8 4.8 4.2<br />
*: Based on the De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics data.<br />
(1): Preliminary.
Table 4 The Relative Importance of Economic Sectors to GDP (at Constant Basic Prices)* (Percentages)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 (1) 2001 (1)<br />
Agriculture 4.5 4.9 3.3 3.4 3.3<br />
Mining and quarrying 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0<br />
Manufacturing 14.5 15.3 15.7 15.8 15.9<br />
Electricity and water 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6<br />
Construction 6.3 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.5<br />
Total commodity-producing sectors 31.1 31.1 30.2 30.0 30.3<br />
Trade, restaurants, and hotels 13.5 11.2 11.5 11.9 11.9<br />
Transport and communications 14.7 17.0 17.5 17.5 17.8<br />
Finance, real estate, and business services 20.2 20.6 20.1 20.0 19.8<br />
Producers of government services 17.4 17.2 17.3 17.6 17.2<br />
Other services 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.0 3.0<br />
Total services sectors 68.9 68.9 69.8 70.0 69.7<br />
GDP at basic prices 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />
* : Based on the De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics data.<br />
(1) : Preliminary.
Contribution of Economic Sectors to Economic Growth (at Constant Basic Prices)*<br />
(Percentage Points)<br />
1999 2000 (1) 2001 (1)<br />
Agriculture -1.44 0.21 0.03<br />
Mining and quarrying 0.09 -0.04 0.12<br />
Manufacturing 0.76 0.91 0.77<br />
Electricity and water 0.17 0.11 0.06<br />
Construction 0.36 0.10 0.57<br />
Total commodity producing sectors -0.06 1.29 1.55<br />
Trade, restaurants, and hotels 0.56 0.98 0.52<br />
Transport and communications 1.09 0.81 0.99<br />
Finance, real estate, and business services 0.02 0.83 0.74<br />
Producers of government services 0.57 1.14 0.30<br />
Other services 0.62 -0.25 0.10<br />
Total services sectors 2.86 3.51 2.65<br />
GDP at constant basic prices 2.80 4.80 4.20<br />
* : Based on the De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics data.<br />
(1): Preliminary.<br />
Inflation Rates of Main Component Groups of the Cost of Living Index (Percentages)<br />
Percentage change in the index<br />
Groups 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Food items 6.6 4.0 -0.9 -0.7 0.3<br />
Housing 0.8 1.8 0.8 1.4 1.8<br />
Clothing and footwear -3.6 3.8 5.3 0.6 1.2<br />
Other goods and services 1.8 2.6 2.0 2.8 4.7<br />
General index 3.0 3.1 0.6 0.7 1.8
Economic developments in 2001<br />
Table 1 Main Economic Indicators (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Population (In Thousands) 4,600 4,756 4,900 5,039 5,182<br />
Output and Prices<br />
Gross National Product (GNP) at Current Market Prices 5,090.2 5,604.0 5,758.6 6,087.6 6,391.5<br />
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Current Market Prices 5,137.6 5,609.8 5,767.3 5,992.1 6,258.8<br />
Growth Rate of GDP at Constant Market Prices (%) 3.3 3.0 3.1 4.0 4.2<br />
Nominal Gross National Disposable Income (GNDI) 6,302.3 6,718.3 7,086.9 7,636.1 7,851.1<br />
Growth Rate of GNDI at Constant Market Prices (%) 3.8 0.6 5.8 7.8 2.6<br />
Change in Cost of Living Index (%) 3.0 3.1 0.6 0.7 1.8<br />
Change in GDP Deflator (%) 1.2 6.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.3<br />
Ratio of Total Consumption to GDP at Current Market Prices (%) 96.5 97.6 92.7 99.5 N.A<br />
Ratio of Gross Fixed Investment to GDP at Current Market Prices (%) 25.8 21.2 23.5 25.6 N.A<br />
Ratio of Domestic Saving to GDP at Current Market Prices (%) 3.5 2.4 7.3 0.5 N.A<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>ney and Banking (1)<br />
Average JD Exchange Rate against US Dollar 1.410 1.410 1.410 1.410 1.410<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>ney Supply (M2) 5,576.6 6,026.3 6,747.6 7,434.7 7,866.1<br />
Net Foreign Assets of Banking System 2,263.5 2,374.8 3,003.4 3,852.1 3,991.0<br />
Net Domestic Assets of Banking System 3,313.1 3,651.5 3,744.2 3,582.6 3,875.1<br />
Claims on Government (Net) 501.1 1,052.3 1,157.3 1,070.8 1,276.0<br />
Claims on Private Sector (Resident) 3,535.3 3,872.6 4,062.1 4,243.9 4,723.6<br />
Other Items (Net) (2) -723.3 -1,273.4 -1,475.2 -1,732.2 -2,124.5<br />
Deposits in JD Held at Banks 4,076.7 4,178.5 4,681.4 5,000.2 5,203.7<br />
Deposits in F.C Held at Banks 2,311.2 2,632.9 2,821.0 3,224.3 3,517.6<br />
Rediscount Rate (%) 7.75 9.00 8.00 6.50 5.00<br />
Interest Rate on 3-month Treasury Bills (%) 8.90 9.20 - - -<br />
Interest Rate on 6-<strong>Mo</strong>nth Treasury Bills (%) - - 6.00 5.88 3.924<br />
Interest Rate on 3-<strong>Mo</strong>nth CDs (%) (3) 6.25 9.45 6.00 6.00 3.90<br />
Interest Rate on 6-<strong>Mo</strong>nth CDs (%) (3) 6.50 9.50 8.25 6.05 4.00
Table 1 Main Economic Indicators (Contd.) (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Public Finance<br />
Total Revenues and Grants 1,574.9 1,699.5 1,783.8 1,800.9 1,885.1<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) 30.7 30.3 30.9 30.0 30.1<br />
Total Expenditures and Net Lending 1,906.1 2,055.1 2,007.4 2,004.7 2,075.5<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) 37.1 36.6 34.8 33.5 33.2<br />
Deficit/ Surplus (Excluding Grants) -536.2 -558.6 -422.1 -444.0 -437.4<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) -10.4 -10.0 -7.3 -7.4 -7.0<br />
Deficit/ Surplus (Including Grants) -331.2 -355.6 -223.6 -203.8 -190.4<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) -6.4 -6.3 -3.9 -3.4 -3.0<br />
Gross Domestic Public Debt - 1,119.0 1,024.0 1,203.0 1,369.0<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) - 19.9 17.8 20.1 21.9<br />
External Public Debt Outstanding (4) 4,580.6 5,009.8 5,186.2 4,794.7 4,742.8<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) 89.2 89.3 89.9 80.0 75.8<br />
External Trade and Balance of Payments<br />
Commodity Exports (f.o.b.) 1,301.4 1,277.9 1,298.8 1,<strong>346</strong>.6 1,625.7<br />
Commodity Imports (c.i.f.) (5) 2,906.5 2,712.4 2,622.5 3,245.2 3,407.3<br />
Trade Deficit -1,605.1 -1,434.5 -1,323.7 -1,898.6 -1,781.6<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) -31.2 -25.6 -23.0 -31.7 -28.5<br />
Workers’ Remittances Receipts 1,173.5 1,093.8 1,179.8 1,308.2 1,426.0<br />
Current Account 20.8 15.5 287.1 41.5 40.1<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) 0.4 0.3 5.0 0.7 0.6<br />
Capital Account 211.9 205.3 133.3 408.1 -86.5<br />
Ratio to GDP (%) 4.1 3.7 2.3 6.8 -1.4<br />
Change in Net Foreign Assets/ Surplus (-) -499.1 -127.5 -656.4 -840.7 -130.8<br />
(1): New classification for both government and public entities accounts at the banking system has been adopted since January 2000. Data for<br />
1998 and 1999 was reclassified accordingly.<br />
(2): Includes claims on public entities, claims on financial institutions, and other items (net) as shown in the <strong>Mo</strong>netary Survey Table.<br />
(3): Represents unified interest rate on the last issue.<br />
(4): Figures represent disbursed loans minus repayments (excluding collateralized Brady Bonds).<br />
(5): Excluding imports of non-residents.<br />
Sources : <strong>Mo</strong>nthly Statistical Bulletin / Central Bank of Jordan.
Table 1 Industrial Origin of Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 (1) 2001 (1)<br />
Agriculture 148.3 144.7 115.9 116.7 115.9<br />
Mining and Quarrying 169.9 170.4 163.8 157.4 156.9<br />
Manufacturing 621.6 742.0 750.2 792.0 828.7<br />
Electricity and Water 117.9 121.2 129.4 134.6 135.1<br />
Construction 240.5 214.6 207.1 203.9 227.2<br />
Trade, Restaurants, and Hotels 510.4 532.4 543.2 602.5 650.5<br />
Transport and Communications 672.7 717.1 762.2 831.6 876.7<br />
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate,<br />
and Business Services 918.6 979.1 990.5 1,071.2 1,136.2<br />
Social and Personal Services 178.3 200.3 224.3 242.9 265.0<br />
Producers of Government Services 896.1 943.2 995.7 1,079.1 1,112.7<br />
Producers of Private Non-Profit<br />
Services for Households 52.9 56.1 57.4 63.2 73.5<br />
Domestic Household Services 5.2 6.6 7.9 9.7 9.2<br />
Less: Imputed Bank Service Charge -81.0 -107.5 -93.5 -108.5 -116.6<br />
GDP at Basic Prices 4,451.4 4,720.2 4,854.1 5,196.3 5,471.0<br />
Net Taxes on Products 686.2 889.6 913.2 795.8 787.8<br />
GDP at Market Prices 5,137.6 5,609.8 5,767.3 5,992.1 6,258.8<br />
Net Factor Income from Abroad -47.4 -5.8 -8.7 95.5 132.7<br />
GNP at Market Prices 5,090.2 5,604.0 5,758.6 6,087.6 6,391.5<br />
Source : De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics.<br />
(1) : Preliminary.
Table 2 Expenditure on Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 (1)<br />
Total Consumption 4,959.7 5,477.4 5,348.2 5,964.2<br />
Public 1,312.5 1,367.0 1,386.7 1,502.9<br />
Private 3,647.2 4,110.4 3,961.5 4,461.3<br />
Gross Capital Formation 1,321.8 1,225.4 1,451.6 1,630.4<br />
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1,325.1 1,189.8 1,353.5 1,532.3<br />
Buildings and Constructions 809.7 656.4 688.1 677.5<br />
Machines and Equipments 515.4 533.4 665.4 854.8<br />
Change in Stocks -3.3 35.6 98.1 98.1<br />
Total Domestic Demand 6,281.5 6,702.8 6,799.8 7,594.6<br />
Net Exports of Goods and Non-Factor Services -1,143.9 -1,093.0 -1,032.5 -1,602.5<br />
Exports 2,532.8 2,515.7 2,505.4 2,507.0<br />
Imports 3,676.7 3,608.7 3,537.9 4,109.5<br />
GDP at Market Prices 5,137.6 5,609.8 5,767.3 5,992.1<br />
Source : De<strong>par</strong>tment of Statistics.<br />
(1): Preliminary.
Table 28 Summary of Government Budget (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000<br />
Budget<br />
Law<br />
2001<br />
Preliminary<br />
Total Revenues and Grants 1,574.9 1,699.5 1,783.8 1,800.9 2,079.1 1,885.1<br />
Domestic Revenues 1369.9 1496.5 1585.3 1560.7 1,837.1 1,638.1<br />
Tax Revenues 798.5 858.6 884.2 961.9 1,059.0 1,020.0<br />
Non-tax Revenues 571.4 637.9 701.1 598.8 778.1 618.1<br />
Foreign Grants 205.0 203.0 198.5 240.2 242.0 247.0<br />
Total Expenditures and Net Lending 1,906.1 2,055.1 2,007.4 2,004.7 2,257.6 2,075.5<br />
Current Expenditures, of which: 1,524.8 1,644.6 1,643.1 1,718.3 1,843.1 1,786.9<br />
Interest Payments (Commitment) 268.7 247.7 278.1 293.1 300.0 275.0<br />
Capital Expenditures 287.4 365.5 299.0 288.4 445.1 325.5<br />
Net Lending 93.9 45.0 65.3 -2.0 -30.6 -36.9<br />
Primary Deficit/Surplus -267.5 -310.9 -144.0 -150.9 -120.4 -162.4<br />
Current Deficit/Surplus -154.9 -148.1 -57.8 -157.6 -6.0 -148.8<br />
Current Deficit/Surplus, Excluding Interest 113.8 99.6 220.3 135.5 294.0 126.2<br />
Overall Deficit/Surplus, Excluding Grants -536.2 -558.6 -422.1 -444.0 -420.5 -437.4<br />
Overall Deficit/Surplus, Including Grants -331.2 -355.6 -223.6 -203.8 -178.5 -190.4<br />
Rescheduled Interest 67.8 59.0 83.2 84.0 73.6 68.8<br />
Overall Deficit/ Surplus (Cash Basis) -263.4 -296.6 -140.4 -119.8 -104.9 -121.6<br />
Source : Ministry of Finance.
Table 30 Components of Public Expenditures (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 (1)<br />
1- Current Expenditures 1,524.8 1,644.6 1,643.1 1,718.3 1,786.9<br />
Wages and Salaries 342.0 339.0 343.4 366.0 380.3<br />
Purchases of Goods & Services 68.5 63.1 72.6 72.2 81.7<br />
Interest Payments (Commitment Basis) 268.7 247.7 278.1 293.1 275.0<br />
Internal 19.1 26.0 47.3 48.6 56.0<br />
External 249.6 221.7 230.8 244.5 219.0<br />
Food Subsidies 71.2 38.0 15.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Other Transfers 287.9 371.4 376.7 408.4 452.5<br />
Pensions 213.4 235.0 238.5 268.6 292.7<br />
Social Security 7.2 8.2 9.3 9.8 10.7<br />
Decentralized Agencies 44.8 62.7 66.8 67.2 77.4<br />
Relief Operations 7.9 5.8 5.1 5.0 9.0<br />
Universities & Municipalities - 43.0 43.0 43.0 48.0<br />
Other 14.6 16.7 14.0 14.8 14.7<br />
Defense and Security 444.5 491.0 512.1 531.2 537.2<br />
Others 42.0 94.4 (2) 45.2 47.4 60.2<br />
2- Capital Expenditures 287.4 365.5 299.0 288.4 325.5<br />
Wages and Salaries 18.6 19.8 18.9 19.9 20.3<br />
Studies and Research 5.2 4.3 6.3 5.7 5.3<br />
Equipment, Machines, Ap<strong>par</strong>atuses, and Supplies 46.7 45.5 46.4 40.9 40.2<br />
Lands, Buildings & Constructions, and Other 216.9 295.9 227.4 221.9 259.7<br />
3- Net Lending 93.9 45.0 65.3 -2.0 -36.9<br />
Gross Lending 139.8 77.6 97.4 47.4 35.1<br />
Repayments -45.9 -32.6 -32.1 -49.4 -72.0<br />
Total Expenditures and Net Lending 1,906.1 2,055.1 2,007.4 2,004.7 2,075.5<br />
Source Ministry of Finance.<br />
(1) : Preliminary.<br />
(2) : Includes JD 64.0 million for domestic payments arrears on public sector.
Table 31 Central Government Domestic Debt (Budgetary Central Government and Own-Budget Agencies) (JD Million)<br />
1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Gross Domestic Debt 1,119 1,024 1,203 1,369<br />
1) Budgetary Central Government 1,007 889 1,120 1,261<br />
A) Treasury Bills and Bonds 238 330 480 740<br />
Bank Sources 184 319 412 629<br />
Non-Bank Sources 54 11 68 111<br />
B) Development Bonds 156 137 172 160<br />
Bank Sources 80 74 85 69<br />
Non-Bank Sources 76 63 87 91<br />
C) Loans & Advances 613 422 468 361<br />
Central Bank 509 322 272 272<br />
Licensed Banks 79 79 119 79<br />
Non-Bank Sources 25 21 77 10<br />
2) Own-Budget Government Agencies 112 135 83 108<br />
A) Corporate Bonds 25 61 31 63<br />
Bank Sources 18 32 22 51<br />
Non-Bank Sources 7 29 9 12<br />
B) Direct Credit Facilities 87 74 52 45<br />
Bank Sources 87 74 52 45<br />
Gross Government's Deposits with the Banking System 300 146 291 250<br />
1) Budgetary Central Government's Deposits 142 -8 114 94<br />
A) Ministry of Finance -92 -318 -225 -256<br />
With the Central Bank (1) -118 -345 -277 -307<br />
With Licensed Banks 26 27 52 51<br />
B) Other Ministries 234 310 339 350<br />
With the Central Bank 141 187 195 207<br />
With Licensed Banks 93 123 144 143<br />
2) Own-Budget Government Agencies Deposits 158 154 177 156<br />
Net Budgetary Central Government Domestic Debt (2) 865 897 1,006 1,167<br />
Net Central Government Domestic Debt (3)<br />
(Budgetary and Own-Budget Agencies) 819 878 912 1,119<br />
Source : Ministry of Finance.<br />
(1): Represents net treasury overdraft (treasury overdraft account minus Ministry of Finance gross deposits with<br />
the Central Bank).<br />
(2): epresents gross domestic debt of budgetary central government minus gross budgetary central government's<br />
deposits with the banking system.<br />
(3): Represents gross domestic debt minus gross government's deposits with the banking system.
Table 32 Outstanding External Public Debt (1) (JD Million)<br />
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
1) Long-Term Loans 4,276.1 4,698.8 4,868.2 4,669.0 4,634.9<br />
A) Arab and Foreign Governments, of which: 2,913.7 3,142.6 3,179.5 3,036.5 2,963.4<br />
Saudi Arabia 120.4 120.5 88.5 - -<br />
Germany 286.4 316.6 270.5 233.3 219.3<br />
Japan 1,121.0 1,270.4 1,438.6 1,270.4 1,106.1<br />
France 493.0 533.2 478.9 410.4 408.3<br />
United Kingdom 398.1 408.7 417.7 397.7 382.6<br />
United States 109.6 89.2 87.1 232.8 280.8<br />
B) Multilateral Institutions, of which: 1,289.0 1,506.6 1,646.2 1,597.0 1,643.1<br />
Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development 218.1 266.4 337.7 339.3 341.7<br />
Islamic Development Bank 86.5 88.3 87.1 81.7 72.1<br />
IBRD and IDA 540.2 580.1 647.9 633.5 705.6<br />
IMF 286.8 332.5 353.4 328.1 307.1<br />
European Investment Bank 90.9 163.7 154.6 162.5 164.4<br />
C) Foreign Banks & Companies 73.4 49.6 42.5 35.5 28.4<br />
2) Short-Term Loans - - - - -<br />
3) Other (2) 304.5 311.0 318.0 125.7 107.8<br />
Outstanding External Public Debt (Excluding collateralized Brady Bonds) 4,580.6 5,009.8 5,186.2 4,794.7 4,742.8<br />
Collateralized Brady Bonds 417.5 323.9 323.9 251.0 226.6<br />
Outstanding External Public Debt (Including Collateralized Brady Bonds) 4,998.1 5,333.7 5,510.1 5,045.7 4,969.4<br />
Source : Ministry of Finance.<br />
(1): Represents balance of disbursed loans minus repayments.<br />
(2): Includes bonds and leases.
Table 33 Distribution of External Loans Disbursed in 2001 According to Source<br />
Source<br />
Disbursements<br />
(JD Million)<br />
Relative Share<br />
(%)<br />
Industrial Countries: 80.6 28.4<br />
United States 39.8 14.0<br />
Spain 13.8 4.9<br />
Japan 11.0 3.9<br />
Germany 6.3 2.2<br />
Denmark 3.5 1.2<br />
Italy 3.2 1.1<br />
Other 3.0 1.1<br />
Multilateral Institutions, of which: 203.0 71.6<br />
IBRD 112.5 39.7<br />
IMF 27.3 9.6<br />
Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development 22.5 7.9<br />
European Investment Bank 16.7 5.9<br />
Arab <strong>Mo</strong>netary Fund 14.0 4.9<br />
Islamic Development Bank 6.1 2.2<br />
Other 3.9 1.4<br />
Total 283.6 100.0<br />
Source : Ministry of Finance.
Table 34 Distribution of External Loans Contracted in 2001 According to Source and Economic Sector (JD Million)<br />
Foreign<br />
Governments<br />
Multilateral<br />
Institutions<br />
Total<br />
Relative<br />
Share (%)<br />
Adjustment Program 6.7 126.5 133.2 56.4<br />
Imports Financing 39.7 - 39.7 16.8<br />
Education 30.4 - 30.4 12.9<br />
Water & Irrigation 7.1 16.5 23.6 10.0<br />
Health 5.0 - 5.0 2.1<br />
Transportation 4.1 - 4.1 1.8<br />
Total 93.0 143.0 236.0 100.0<br />
Source : Ministry of Finance
GREECE<br />
Dr. Nicholas P. Glytsos
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. COUNTRY PROFILE: ESSENTIAL FIGURES<br />
1.1. Population<br />
According to the 2001 Greek population census, the population of Greece<br />
was 10,964,020, of which 5,431,816 were men and 5,532,204 were women.<br />
The population is aged, with people over 65 representing 17.1 per cent of<br />
the total and children below 14 representing 5.4 per cent, whereas 31 per<br />
cent of the population is between 40 and 64 years of age (Table A1).<br />
Between 1991 and 2001, population grew at an annual average rate of 0.67<br />
per cent com<strong>par</strong>ed to a corresponding growth rate, in the previous decade,<br />
of 0.52 per cent. Greece, as the other Western European countries, has been<br />
experiencing a declining natural population growth. During the period 1991-<br />
2001, the average annual growth rate was of the order of 0.4 per cent.<br />
Particularly in recent years, the situation has been aggravated, with the<br />
number of deaths exceeding since 1997 the number of births. The birth rate,<br />
in 2001, has dropped to 0.98 per cent and the death rate has climbed to 1.01<br />
per cent. The total fertility rate per woman of reproduction age, from an<br />
average of 2.3 children, during 1970-75, dropped to 1.3 children during<br />
1995-2000. Thus, if it wasn’t for immigration, the Greek population would<br />
have been roughly at the same level as 10 yeas ago.<br />
Net migration, calculated as the difference of population between 1991 and<br />
2001 minus the total number of births plus the total number of deaths during<br />
the decade, was of the order of 700,223. The 2001 census of population<br />
registered 796,713 persons (436,225 men and 360,488 women) with a<br />
foreign citizenship, the Albanians representing 56 per cent of all foreigners<br />
(Table A2). In reality, however, the number of foreigners in Greece is<br />
believed to approach 1,000,000, given first, the considerable number that<br />
did not apply for legalization in the recent government call, becoming thus<br />
‘’invisible” during the census day, and second, the additional arrivals in the<br />
meantime.<br />
The overwhelming majority (98 per cent) of population is ethnic Greeks and<br />
94 per cent belong to the Greek Orthodox Christian persuasion. The official<br />
and spoken language is Greek of which the immigrants of various<br />
nationalities seem to get rather quickly at least a minimum knowledge for<br />
the bare communication with the native population.<br />
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Due to the demographic deterioration and the ageing population, the number<br />
of children in primary education decreased from about 900,000 in 1981 to<br />
647,000 in 1999 and remained pretty stable thereafter, most probably<br />
because of the rising enrollments of immigrant children. The number of<br />
pupils in secondary general education is also down, from 716,000 in 1991 to<br />
590,000 in 2002. However, at the same time, the number of students in<br />
secondary technical and vocational education has increased by about 16.5<br />
per cent, from 135,000 in 1991 to 157,000 in 2001, pushed by the rising<br />
unemployment of youth with only secondary general education.<br />
In tertiary education, despite the demographic hold down effect of<br />
enrollments at the earlier educational levels, the demand for higher<br />
education has been rising to a considerable degree. Thus, the number of<br />
students in Universities from 86,000 in 1981 climbed to 117,000 in 1991<br />
and to 149,000 in 2001, experiencing an increase of 27.4 per cent in the last<br />
ten years. Analogous is the situation with the third level technical education,<br />
in which the number of students increased from 29,000 in 1981 to 78,000 in<br />
1991 and to 91,000 in 2001. In addition, due to the numerus clausus<br />
restriction in Greek tertiary education, a very substantial number of Greek<br />
students are studying currently in foreign universities.<br />
Illiteracy is now insignificant in Greece and concerns very high ages. The<br />
adult literacy rate (% of age 15 and above), although high even by mid-<br />
1980s (93.2 per cent), has increased by the year 2000 to 97.2 per cent,<br />
whereas the youth literacy rate (% of ages 15-24) is now 99.8 per cent, up<br />
from 99.4 per cent in 1985. Adult women literacy rate is only very slightly<br />
lower than that of men (female/male ratio 0.97 in 2000), while female youth<br />
literacy is the same as male youth. We may note in this context, that the<br />
female enrollment in secondary and tertiary education is higher than the<br />
enrollment of male (female as a % of male 103 and 107, respectively for the<br />
two levels of education, in 1998). Although the inability to read and write<br />
has been eradicated in Greece, the ‘’functional illiteracy’’ is widespread,<br />
creating problems of integration in the labour market.<br />
1.2. Economy and Labour<br />
The Greek GDP was, in 2002, of the order of 141 billion Euros, divided by<br />
major economic sector as follows: agriculture 9.1 billion (6.4 per cent);<br />
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industry 27.7 billion (19.6 per cent); and services 104.3 billion (74.0 per<br />
cent) (table 1).<br />
In the same year, the gross national per capita income was 12,923 Euros and<br />
the net per capita national disposal income 11,957 Euros. The average<br />
annual growth rate of GDP per capita was, 0.9 per cent, during the period<br />
1975-2000, doubled to1.8 per cent, between 1990 and 2000. The share of<br />
investment in GDP has been rising in recent years, ending up in 2002 with a<br />
23.2 per cent. The share of private consumption expenditure has been<br />
declining since 1995 to reach 67.3 per cent in 2002, while public<br />
consumption expenditure is more or less stable around 15.5 per cent. The<br />
share of exports in GDP declined by almost 4.5 percentage points, but the<br />
share of imports declined even more, by 5.0 percentage points (Table 2). As<br />
table 1 shows, employment amounted to 3,917,500 persons, in 2001,<br />
representing 52.8 per cent of the 15-64 years old population. The lion’s<br />
share in employment 61.8, in 2002, belongs to services, 15.8 per cent to<br />
agriculture and 13.7 per cent to industry. The unemployment rate was, in<br />
2002, 9.6 per cent, dropping from 11.7 per cent in 1999. Female<br />
unemployment rate is more than double the male unemployment rate (14.6<br />
per cent as against 6.2 per cent). Youth unemployment is much higher than<br />
the average for the whole population. At the end of 2002, the less than 25<br />
years old youth had an unemployment rate of 21.0 per cent. Inflation<br />
(change in the consumer price index) averaged, during the period 1990-<br />
2000, 9.0 per cent per annum, dropping to an average of 3.2 per cent over<br />
the 1999-2000 period, whereas in 2002 rose by 3.6 per cent.<br />
Exports of goods from Greece amounted, in 2002, to 29.0 billion Euros and<br />
imports of goods to 37.9 billion Euros, generating a trade deficit of 8.9<br />
billion Euros. Exports were equal to 20.5 per cent of GDP and imports equal<br />
26.8 per cent of GDP. Com<strong>par</strong>ed to 2001, exports decreased by 2.4 per cent<br />
and imports by 1.2 per cent, widening thus the balance of trade deficit. But<br />
things have subsequently changed. During the first quarter of 2003, despite<br />
the increased exports, the increased value of imports including oil led to a<br />
deterioration in the overall balance of current account, raising the deficit<br />
from 3.7 billion EUR, the first quarter of 2002 to 4.3 billion EUR in the first<br />
quarter of 2003 (Table 3).<br />
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Table 1 - Industrial Composition (%) of GDP and Employment in Greece, in selected years of the period 1980-2002<br />
Economic<br />
GDP Employment<br />
Sector 1980 1990 2000 2002 1981 1991 2001 2002<br />
Primary 25.0 10.5 6.6 6.4 30.7 22.2 16.015.8<br />
Mining 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5<br />
Manufacturing 15.2 15.3} 12.5} 12.2 19.3 19.2 14.2 13.7<br />
Utilities 1.8 2.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8<br />
Construction 7.7 7.6 6.5 7.4 8.3 6.8 7.3 7.4<br />
Services 49.7 63.0 74.4 74.0 40.4 50.3 61.1 61.8<br />
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />
Size 1 4,477 34,729 121,628 141,132 3,529.3 3,632.4 3,917.5 3,948.9<br />
Sources: Ministry of Economics and Finance, National Accounts Statistics (various issues) Statistical Service of<br />
Greece (NSSG), Labour Force Survey (various issues)<br />
1 GDP at current prices, in million EUR. Employment in thousand persons
Table 2 - The Composition of Greek GDP by Expenditure Category, 2000-2002 (At current prices)<br />
Expenditure Category Years<br />
1995 2000 2001 2002<br />
Private Consumption 73.1 69.5 68.4 67.3<br />
Public Consumption 15.3 15.7 15.3 15.8<br />
Investment 18.9 22.5 22.9 23.2<br />
Exports 17.6 24.1 22.7 20.5<br />
Imports -24.9 -31.8 -29.3 -26.8<br />
GDP 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />
Size of GDP (million EURO) 79,927 121,628 130,927 141,132<br />
Source: Greek National Accounts Statistics (www.statistics.gr tables/S900).
Table 3. Greek Balance of Payments (million EUR)<br />
January-April<br />
Items 2001 2002 2003 2003/2002<br />
(%)<br />
Balance of Current Account -2,441.7 -3,722.1 -4,330.9 16.35<br />
Balance of Trade (without oil) -6,057.6 -6,381.8 -5,856.5 -8.23<br />
Balance of Oil -1,143.1 -1,156.7 -1,687.0 45.85<br />
Exports 3,712.7 3,350.5 3,627.5 8.27<br />
Imports 10,913.4 10,889.0 11,171.0 2.59<br />
Source: Kathimerini, 21.6.2003 (original source: Bank of Greece)
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1.3. Geography and Territorial Characteristics<br />
Greece’s surface is 131,957 sq. km. Islands – more than 2000 in number of<br />
which only 170 are inhabited – occupy 20 per cent of this surface. Eighty<br />
per cent of the land is mountainous, whereas Greece’s very long coastline<br />
sums to 13,700 km. Cultivated fields and orchards occupy about 30 per cent<br />
of the territory. The climate of Greece varies substantially among its<br />
regions. In southern and central Greece the climate is Mediterranean with<br />
hot dry summers and mild winters. In northern Greece, winters are colder.<br />
Regions in the west receive far more rain com<strong>par</strong>ed to the east. The average<br />
annual rainfall in Athens and central Greece is 400 mm, whereas the<br />
mountains receive much snow. The average temperature in Athens is in<br />
January 10 degrees centigrade and in July 28 degrees centigrade. Greece is<br />
divided into 9 geographic de<strong>par</strong>tments, the two of which, Attica and<br />
Macedonia are respectively dominated by the two large cities of the country,<br />
Athens and Thessaloniki, with a corresponding population of 3.0 and 2.3<br />
million, representing 52 per cent of the country’s 11 million population. The<br />
third major de<strong>par</strong>tment is Peloponnesos with 1.2 million, while the other 6<br />
de<strong>par</strong>tments have each a population ranging between 215,000 and 796,000<br />
inhabitants (Clogg, 2003).<br />
The principal natural resources of the country include lignite, with an annual<br />
production of 58 to 62 million tons. The certain reserves of lignite number<br />
9,500 million tons, but are not all exploitable. Lignite is used almost<br />
exclusively for electricity production. There is also bauxite, whose<br />
production, in recent years, reaches roughly 1.8-1.9 million tons a year.<br />
Minerals, such as chromium, copper, uranium and magnesium are also<br />
present in small quantities. Petroleum also exists in very small quantities<br />
while there are no considerable reserves of natural gas (ibid.). Mild forms of<br />
energy, i.e. solar, aeolic and geothermic, exist in substantial quantities bur<br />
are only very little exploited. Water resources give annually about 65-69<br />
trillion m 3 , of which 80-84 per cent are used for irrigation, 13-15 per cent in<br />
households and 2.5-4.0 per cent for energy production. However, the<br />
distribution of water resources is unequal and creates often tensions,<br />
although things are getting better over time. Greece cannot cover all its<br />
energy needs from local natural sources and depends on imported energy.<br />
Finally, the islands and the coasts of Greece supporting the tourist industry<br />
are also, in a way, <strong>par</strong>t of its natural resources.<br />
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Concerning the environment, the per capita emissions of carbon dioxide<br />
from a level that was 10 per cent lower than the European average, in 1990,<br />
today it exceeds substantially that average, despite the lower than the<br />
European per capita consumption of energy. This is due to the heavily<br />
polluting energy mix of lignite for electricity production and the<br />
conventional oil use in transportation. Air pollution becomes at times severe<br />
in the larger cities, Athens being the champion. Due to the industrial activity<br />
and the densely populated city, in conjunction with the great number of<br />
circulating automobiles com<strong>par</strong>ed to the capacity of the streets, Athens<br />
suffers considerably from air pollution, which has implications to the health<br />
of its inhabitants, <strong>par</strong>ticularly those suffering from respiratory problems. It<br />
also damages the Greek antiquities, primarily Parthenon. The city’s<br />
industrial wastes and sewage find an outlet in the gulf of Saronikos in the<br />
vicinity of Athens (Clogg, 2003). It is true that as a result of an antipollution<br />
policy, poisonous air emissions have been reduced in recent years, but<br />
Greece is still far above the European average.<br />
In respect to solid wastes, Greece has doubled in ten years’ time the<br />
production of wastes, which is though lower than in Europe as a whole.<br />
Furthermore, the increased use of fertilizers and pesticides in agriculture<br />
deteriorates the water horizon, whereas industry has a rather low share in air<br />
pollution, i.e. 17 per cent in carbon dioxide and 16 per cent in sulphur<br />
dioxide emissions.<br />
It is evident, that the energy sector has the main responsibility for all<br />
categories of pollutants. Overall, the ratio of energy consumption to GDP is<br />
about double the European average, indicating the non-efficient use of<br />
energy in the Greek economy (Kathimerini, 20.6.2003, referring to a report<br />
of the National Center of Environment).<br />
Regarding the social consciousness on environmental issues and the reaction<br />
of people to environmental problems, a recent opinion poll conducted at the<br />
New York College in Athens showed that these issues are placed seventh in<br />
terms of importance on a priority list of contemporary problems.<br />
Environment is preceded by unemployment, the economy, education,<br />
criminality, drugs and poverty. Emphasis was given in this poll on the lack<br />
of adequate information concerning the nature and the various aspects of<br />
environmental degradation, as well as the factors that cause it. A majority of<br />
73 per cent of the interviewees are of the opinion that despite the efforts<br />
made by the state, the environment continues to deteriorate, due primarily to<br />
industrial activity and to a lesser extent the automobiles. The poll further<br />
showed that the <strong>par</strong>ticipation of youth in environmental organizations is<br />
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practically non-existed, while the <strong>par</strong>ticipation in volunteer programmes for<br />
environmental issues is small.<br />
1.4. Key Issues<br />
A<strong>par</strong>t from the significant problems of health, poverty and crime to be<br />
discussed shortly, some other important issues for consideration are<br />
highlighted in this section. The ‘’historical’’ paternalism and nepotism<br />
characterizing Greek politics dominates the ‘’way of doing things’’ in<br />
Greece. This, and the large scale interconnection between politicians and the<br />
business community do not allow the healthy development of class politics<br />
and the unaffected decision making in government for the general good.<br />
This kind of situation makes often politicians shy away from the real<br />
practical problems of the people, while the political debate often refers<br />
either to the general abstract ideals of freedom, democracy and socialism or<br />
to the past historical behaviour of opposing political <strong>par</strong>ties, taking<br />
sometimes the form of personal confrontation.<br />
Related to this is the corruption, at a small or larger scale, of public officials.<br />
Due to the bureaucracy and the malfunctioning of the various government<br />
de<strong>par</strong>tments, citizens are often forced by the circumstances to pay either for<br />
avoiding delays in having their problems solved or bribing for illegal or<br />
irregular favours. The GRECO (2002) group of the Council of Europe<br />
maintains that ‘’corruption appears to merge into the much more global<br />
problem of administrative malfunctioning, in which individual acts of<br />
corruption pass unnoticed’’. It continues to say that ‘’the problem of<br />
trans<strong>par</strong>ency of rules and regulations seem to be crucial and is likely to<br />
contribute to the persistence of certain forms of corruption’’ (page 18). In<br />
regard to trans<strong>par</strong>ency, GRECO is placing Greece as 42 nd on a list of<br />
countries, which is the lowest place among EU members. Particular Public<br />
Services that are often discussed in the press as nests of corruption are the<br />
city planning authorities, the internal revenue service and the police, among<br />
others.<br />
The ageing population and the low reproduction rate have become chronic<br />
problems of concern in the Greek society. Any rise in population comes<br />
from the inflow of immigrants in the country. However, as it is generally<br />
accepted, immigration cannot, in the long run, contain demographic<br />
deterioration.<br />
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The environment, already touched upon earlier, <strong>par</strong>ticularly the pollution in<br />
the larger cities, notably Athens, although reduced a little in recent years as<br />
a result of appropriate policies, its level is still unacceptable and much<br />
higher than the European average.<br />
At the macroeconomic level, a <strong>par</strong>ticular problem that raises concern is the<br />
difficulty to overcome low competitiveness of the Greek economy vis-à-vis<br />
its <strong>par</strong>tners in the EU and the third countries that are associated with it. The<br />
low productivity and the relatively higher inflation of Greece com<strong>par</strong>ed to<br />
its European <strong>par</strong>tners are major contributing factors. This leads to the<br />
chronic problems in the balance of payments, accumulating the external<br />
public debt.<br />
Persisting unemployment, especially of youth even educated youth, but also<br />
women, is a disturbing and painful problem affecting a considerable number<br />
of households, has economic, social and psychological implications and is a<br />
factor contributing to deviance and crime.<br />
The large number of illegal immigrants that still exist, despite the recent two<br />
efforts for their legalization, is a concern both of the government and the<br />
general public, and is also a source of poverty and crime, as will be further<br />
discussed in this report.<br />
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2. HEALTH<br />
2.1. Definitions, Facts and Figures<br />
The health care services are provided in Greece by a mixed public-private<br />
system consisting of the National Health System (NHS), established in<br />
1983, the health units of certain Social Insurance Funds - the largest of<br />
which is IKA, covering just about half of the population – the military<br />
hospitals and a private network of health care facilities, which include<br />
physicians with specialties, clinics, diagnostic centers and laboratories. Part<br />
of the NHS are the Health Centers, located all over the country, <strong>par</strong>ticularly<br />
for servicing the countryside, providing primary health care and prevention.<br />
In the NHS that includes the public hospitals and the primary health care<br />
centers, all services are provided free of charge to everyone.<br />
In 2002, the health care capacity of the country consisted of 59,518 hospital<br />
beds, of which 36,621 (67.7 per cent) belonged to the NHS and 15,397 (25.9<br />
per cent), contained in 234 hospitals, to the private sector. Primary health<br />
care is serviced by about 25,000 private practices and laboratories, and 250<br />
diagnostic centers. Half of these centers are situated in Athens and are<br />
equipped with high quality expensive medical technology. They are<br />
financed by signing contracts with the social insurance Funds, on a case by<br />
case basis. <strong>Mo</strong>st of the private hospitals are general and maternity units and<br />
are financed, as the diagnostic centres, by the social insurance funds through<br />
contracted arrangements and also by the patients themselves. Greece, with<br />
5.44 hospital beds per 1000 inhabitants holds a low place among the EU<br />
countries. It has however the lowest occupancy rate (70.4 per cent), stable<br />
over the last decade.<br />
Concerning the medical and nursing staff of health care delivery in Greece,<br />
a study by the National School of Public Health in Athens shows the<br />
existence of a ‘disequilibrium’ between physicians with specialties and<br />
general physicians and family doctors. According to this study, Greece has<br />
41.5 physicians per 10,000 inhabitants, but only one general practitioner.<br />
General practitioners make up 1.8 per cent of the total number of physicians<br />
in the country. This com<strong>par</strong>es very badly with, for instance, Great Britain<br />
where 46 per cent of all physicians are general practitioners. Analogous,<br />
unfavorable for Greece, is the com<strong>par</strong>ison with other countries, such<br />
Austria, Portugal and Italy, with correspondingly 50, 31 and 34 per cent of<br />
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general practitioners (Kathimerini, 22.6.2003). <strong>Mo</strong>re specifically, the above<br />
study finds a ‘surplus’ of 34 per cent of special physicians and a great<br />
shortage of general and family doctors who should increase six times if this<br />
gap is to be bridged. Nurses and related personnel are also lacking and<br />
should be doubled to come to a satisfactory level. This study is also pointing<br />
out the lop-sided emphasis on the NHS hospitals and the neglect of<br />
preventive efforts concerning the risks of the modern way of living<br />
(smoking, lack of exercise, overweight, drugs, etc.), which are responsible,<br />
as it is noted, for the 90 per cent of premature deaths. Finally, the study<br />
recommends the connection between the health care services and the social<br />
services, given that several health problems, especially the chronic ones, are<br />
related to social factors.<br />
One very important aspect of the health insurance in Greece is the inequality<br />
in insurance benefits among different insurance funds, and consequently, the<br />
different burden on family budgets for health cost. Among the 40 or so<br />
health insurance funds, 5 are the major ones (Table 4). Each one of these<br />
funds has its own rules and regulations; some funds are healthier and more<br />
generous to their beneficiaries, others weaker and less generous. This has<br />
implications on health care delivery, <strong>par</strong>ticularly with respect to the primary<br />
health care. Despite the efforts made by the government for the unification<br />
of some of these funds, the task is difficult, facing the opposition of the<br />
beneficiaries of the more wealthy funds.<br />
The IKA that is the major fund for private employees, having by far the<br />
largest number of beneficiaries, of the order of 5.5 million people, has, as<br />
we noted, its own polyclinics for the delivery of health care. However, the<br />
quality of services offered and the accessibility of patients to this system is<br />
not satisfactory. In a survey, it was found that 40 per cent of patients at the<br />
IKA clinics visit at least once a year a private physician either because of<br />
lack of confidence (41.1 per cent) or for getting a second opinion (19.4 per<br />
cent) (Theodorou, 1993, p.127).<br />
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Table 4: Health (and Pension) Insurance Funds in Greece, 2001<br />
Insurance Funds Insured Population Proportion of Beneficiaries<br />
(%)<br />
Social Insurance Fund (IKA) 5,530,000 46.5<br />
Social Insurance Fund for Farmers (OGA ) 2,150,000 18.1<br />
Fund for Merchants, Business Owners, taxi and Lorry drivers, etc. 1,422,000 12.0<br />
(OAEE)<br />
Fund for Civil Servants (OPAD) 1,289,000 10.8<br />
Fund for Sailors and Shipment 203,000 1.7<br />
Rest of Funds 1,300,000 10.9<br />
TOTAL 11,894,000 2 100.0<br />
Source: Ministry of Health and Welfare, Health, Health Care and welfare in Greece, 2003,<br />
p.39 (Adjusted and complemented).<br />
2 The number of beneficiaries of all funds together exceeds, the size of the population, due to the fact that, for<br />
various reasons, in some cases one person may be registered to more than one fund.
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
The OGA for farmers, with 2.2 million insured persons, has no clinics of its<br />
own, its beneficiaries having a free access to the Health Centers of the NHS.<br />
The beneficiaries of the fund for civil servants have a free of charge access<br />
to any physician on a list of contracting physicians paid by the fund on a<br />
case by case basis with very low fixed fees. Finally, the beneficiaries of the<br />
fund for merchants and business owners may visit physicians of 9<br />
specialties who are paid by the fund according to the number of patients<br />
registered with them.<br />
A<strong>par</strong>t from these, the rest of the numerous funds cover special groups of<br />
beneficiaries, such as employees of banks, public utilities, or certain<br />
occupational groups, such as lawyers, physicians, engineers, etc. Among<br />
them, they offer health insurance coverage to about 1.3 million people. A<br />
few of them have their own clinics.<br />
Turning to the financial issues of health care, we may note that the NHS is<br />
financed by the state budget, the Social Insurance Funds in a case by case<br />
manner and the households that make use of the health services. Despite the<br />
supposedly free of charge services to all citizens by the NHS, a high share<br />
of the overall cost for health is incurred by households, feeding a flourishing<br />
private sector supply of health services. By 1989, the share of each of the<br />
above three sources of finance was roughly one-third of total expenditure.<br />
These shares changed however over time. In 2000, social insurance funds<br />
represented 46 per cent of total health expenditure, the private sector 42 per<br />
cent and the rest 12 per cent came directly from the government budget. In<br />
other words, the two major sources of finance took a much higher burden<br />
than in the past. Concerning the allocation of expenditure, the non-private<br />
spending, i.e. social insurance funds plus the government budget, goes<br />
mostly to hospital treatment (56 per cent in 1998), whereas primary health<br />
care absorbed only 28 per cent. Households’ medical expenses are heavily<br />
(72 per cent) directed to the primary health care, including dental treatment<br />
that takes almost half of it (34 percentage points). Households spent 12 per<br />
cent of their health expenditure for hospital treatment and 15 per cent for<br />
pharmaceuticals, just about the same proportion as paid by the public sector<br />
at large (table 5).<br />
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Table 5: Composition (%) of Health Care Expenditure in Greece, 1998<br />
Category<br />
Hospital<br />
Expenses<br />
Primary<br />
Health<br />
Pharmaceuticals<br />
Care<br />
Total<br />
Public expenditure (Including social<br />
insurance)<br />
55.91 28.27 15.82 100.0<br />
Private expenditure 12.36 72.26 15.38 100.0<br />
Total Expenditure 37.11 47.26 15.63 100.0<br />
Source: Ministry of Health and Welfare, Health, Health Care and Welfare in Greece, 2002.
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In 2000, total public and private health care expenditure in Greece<br />
represented 9.1 per cent of GDP, up from 4.2 per cent in 1990. This figure is<br />
considered by researchers as an underestimate of the actual expenses by 1-<br />
1.5 per cent of GDP, due to the inaccurate calculation of the private<br />
expenditure – missing the underground economy in health care in the form<br />
of expenses not included in GDP or tax evasion. These expenses are under<br />
the table payments for quicker access to NHS or extra charges by the<br />
physicians in public hospitals, e.g. for an operation or tips to nurses. For<br />
instance, by mid-1990s, the ‘’unregistered’’ expenditure on health was<br />
estimated to represent 1.1 per cent of GDP (table 6).<br />
2.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
The NHS was established in 1983 (L. 1397/1983) after the socialist<br />
government took office, setting as a basic principle that health care is a<br />
social good not subjected to the laws of profit and is offered free of charge<br />
equally to each and every citizen independently of his or her socioeconomic<br />
position. The protection of the citizens’ health is the exclusive responsibility<br />
of the state. The law sets in motion a process of decentralization of health<br />
services; their integrated planning; the development of primary health care<br />
at the Health Centers; and the institution of the hospital physician with ‘full<br />
and exclusive’ employment. Private hospitals that until then were subsidized<br />
by the government were turned into state hospitals.<br />
Over time, it was realized that the NHS was not functioning in the way<br />
expected and the provisions of the law were, for a number of reasons, not<br />
properly implemented. Thus, in 1992, a new law (L. 2071/1992) was passed<br />
by the conservative government that came to power, for the ‘modernization’<br />
and organization of the NHS. Changing <strong>par</strong>tly the philosophy of the<br />
previous system, the new legislation moved towards a more ‘neoliberal’<br />
approach. They tried, in effect, to fix some of the weaknesses and flaws of<br />
the NHS after ten years’ experience with it.<br />
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Table 6 Estimated ‘’Unregistered’’ Health Expenditure as a Proportion of GDP and<br />
of Total Expenditure on Health<br />
Unregistered health Expenditure as % of<br />
Years GDP Total health expenditure<br />
1982 1.06 17.5<br />
1988 1.56 25.1<br />
1994 1.13 16.9<br />
Note: Unregistered health expenditure is taken as the difference between expenditure on<br />
health given in the household survey and income from the National Accounts Statistics.<br />
Source: Souliotis, 2002
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The new legislation made an effort for a more competitive market in health<br />
care services and a better control of public expenditure, limiting the<br />
responsibility of the state. This resulted in a greater share of households in<br />
health care expenditure. The new legislation introduced, in <strong>par</strong>allel with the<br />
‘full and exclusive’ employment of the previous regime, the practice of<br />
‘<strong>par</strong>t-time employment’ of physicians, allowing them in compensation to<br />
have also a private practice. Every physician of the NHS had, in effect, the<br />
option of either of the two possibilities. Due to the much lower wages of the<br />
<strong>par</strong>t-time alternative, the response of physicians to it was very small.<br />
Furthermore, the new law allowed, under certain qualitative conditions, the<br />
operation of private clinics and hospitals.<br />
After the socialist government returned to power anew, legislation (L.<br />
2194/1994) was passed to restore the NHS to its original philosophy,<br />
abolishing, in effect, the 1992 law, but with the ambition of setting the NHS<br />
to a new operational framework. Subsequently, with the purpose of fixing<br />
some of the malfunctioning of the system, after consideration of the findings<br />
of a Commission of International Experts, a new legislation (L. 2519/1997)<br />
was voted, in 1997. This law established some Organs for the protection of<br />
the rights of hospital patients; emphasized the preventive health care and the<br />
need for more and better information, and it provided for the development<br />
of facilities for the care of children’s health. Attention was also given to the<br />
continuous training of the health personnel and the cooperation of public<br />
health services with the welfare and social protection services. The new<br />
legislation further provided for regional workshops of public health and a<br />
better finance management and control of hospitals and other medical units.<br />
In this framework, physicians of general practice were hired in clinics and<br />
Health Centers of primary health care, while as an innovative initiative,<br />
networks of primary health care were connected with the NHS hospitals.<br />
Finally, the National Organization of Drugs pre<strong>par</strong>ed an exclusive list of<br />
medicines that could be financed by the various health insurance funds, on<br />
behalf of their beneficiaries.<br />
One step further, new legislation (L. 2889/2001) followed, in 2001, with the<br />
main objective of changing the organizational structure and management of<br />
the NHS. Administrative managers were appointed in all public hospitals,<br />
while health care facilities were further decentralized, by creating a<br />
‘Regional Health System’ (PeSYs). The purpose was to create unified and<br />
comprehensive quality regional services in all stages of health care,<br />
including medical care at home. The PeSYs, 17 in number, have, according<br />
to the law, extensive responsibilities for the coordination of regional<br />
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activities and the effective organization and management of all health care<br />
units within their jurisdiction. All health care units operate as decentralized<br />
and independent units of the PeSYs they belong to (Ministry of Health and<br />
Welfare Report). Specific actions in this context include the ‘’Asterias<br />
Programme’’, which promotes networking between local authorities in order<br />
to strengthen services to citizens and the ‘’Hippocrates Programme’’ that<br />
improves the access of small islands to health care services (EC, 2002, p.<br />
66). Another important innovation of this legislation is the instituted<br />
possibility of physicians to receive patients in hospitals after regular hours<br />
in the afternoon, charging a predetermined fee that is allocated to the<br />
hospital and those involved in the after hours practice. At no other<br />
circumstances may the physicians of the NHS exercise private practice in or<br />
out of the hospital.<br />
According to a recent statement of the undersecretary of the Ministry of<br />
Health and Welfare, the main policy objective for 2003 is prevention,<br />
subscribing to the philosophy that it is better to have fewer patients in<br />
hospitals rather than more hospital beds. A ‘’smoke free environment<br />
everywhere’’ and a warning to people, especially the young generation,<br />
about the harmful effects of modern dietic habits and alcohol, as well as the<br />
benefits of more exercise are the primary concern. Building new hospitals in<br />
various <strong>par</strong>ts of the country and staffing them with the appropriate medical<br />
and nursing personnel are also in the agenda of this year’s activities.<br />
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3. POVERTY<br />
3.1. Definitions, Facts and Figures<br />
The EU considers as poor “persons, families or groups of persons who have<br />
so limited means (material, cultural and social) that they are excluded from<br />
the minimum bearable mode of life in the countries where they live” (OKE,<br />
2000, p.20). This abstract conception is conventionally quantified by<br />
Eurostat, defining as “the line of poverty the 50 per cent of the arithmetic<br />
mean of equivalent adult per capita net monetary income, on the basis of a<br />
country’s measurement”. The 50 per cent definition seems to be preferred in<br />
Greece, for policy purposes, as also in most of the EU countries and the<br />
OECD. We may note here the emphasis given by the Greek Economic and<br />
Social Committee (OKE) on the qualitative rather than the quantitative<br />
aspect of poverty, claiming that ‘’the qualitative dimension of poverty refers<br />
to the inability of access of an individual in the basic social, political,<br />
cultural and professional opportunities and possibilities of a society at a<br />
<strong>par</strong>ticular time period’’ (OKE, 2000, p.3). On the basis of this definition,<br />
Eurostat data from a European wide investigation show that, by the end of<br />
2000, 1,000,000 people, i.e. 10 per cent of the population fell, for three<br />
consecutive years, below the poverty line (http://ta-nea.dolnet.gr).<br />
Although this seems to be the prevalent, it is not the only quantification of<br />
the poverty line, since the alternative of the 60 per cent mean is also used,<br />
giving 17 per cent of Greeks below the poverty line (Eurostat August,<br />
2000). Of them, one-fourth were 16-24 years of age, 61 per cent 25-49 and<br />
14 per cent 50-64 (the corresponding figures for the EU were 20, 62 and 19<br />
per cent) (www.in gr/news,2000/Greece). As is noted, however, these figures<br />
underestimate the true poverty, because official statistics don’t include the<br />
foreigners, who would raise, as is guessed, the proportion of poor by 43 per<br />
cent.<br />
Being that as it may, the NAP for social inclusion makes it clear that Greece<br />
has neither adopted an official definition of poverty line nor has it arranged<br />
for a universal minimum guaranteed income. We may note in this context<br />
that a Eurostat Task Force on Social Exclusion and Poverty Statistics<br />
‘’declined to define social exclusion arguing that this was just not possible’’<br />
(Micklewright, 2000, p.8). Although in Greece, relative poverty is measured<br />
by various studies on the basis of either consumption or income, the use of<br />
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consumption is justified, because it incorporates to some extent some of<br />
these missing elements (EC, 2002, p. 79). However, as it appears, this<br />
consumption-income dichotomy in calculating poverty in Greece has some<br />
meaning only for the 50 per cent definition or below, concerning people for<br />
whom the non-inclusive elements just described are relatively more<br />
noticeable (Table 7).<br />
In counter<strong>par</strong>t, and aside from official income statistics, a more accurate<br />
assessment of the actual dimensions of poverty, <strong>par</strong>ticularly for international<br />
com<strong>par</strong>isons, would require the consideration of some additional elements<br />
not included in these figures. Such elements refer to the high proportion of<br />
self-occupancy housing, even among poor households, the still considerable<br />
agricultural sector and the extra non-registered income of various groups,<br />
such as farmers working seasonally in tourism or others in jobs in the<br />
unregistered economy that is flourishing in Greece (it is estimated to about<br />
30 per cent of GDP). As noted in the Greek Action Plan for Social Inclusion<br />
2001-2003, counting the contribution of the owner-occupied housing alone,<br />
would reduce the proportion of poor by 3 percentage points, or 15 per cent.<br />
This suggests that the poverty measured by the official statistics is very<br />
likely overestimated, especially when it is calculated from the internal<br />
revenue data collection.<br />
Among the causes of poverty, it is found that unemployment is, <strong>par</strong><br />
excellence, the major contributor, whereas 31 per cent of the pensioners live<br />
at the margin of poverty. What is even more disturbing is that these<br />
proportions tend to increase over time. Other groups exposed to poverty<br />
include the uninsured, the elderly, the ill and persons with disabilities (The<br />
Nea, 17.10.2000). The incidence of poverty is much lower for working<br />
household heads, while is not terribly different from the overall average for<br />
unemployed household heads, given that the majority of unemployed in the<br />
country do not belong to this group. In contrast, poverty is found to be<br />
remarkably higher for households with female than male head (Glytsos and<br />
Kanellopoulos, 1999).<br />
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Table 7 Poverty line in Greece according to alternative<br />
definitions. (Calculated from the Greek Household<br />
Survey 1998/1999)<br />
Definition of Proportion of people<br />
below the poverty line:<br />
On the basis<br />
of<br />
consumer<br />
On the basis<br />
of income<br />
expenditure<br />
poverty line<br />
40% of median income 4.9 6.0<br />
50% of median income 10.7 11.2<br />
60% of median income 17.9 17.3<br />
70% of median income 25.6 25.1<br />
Gini coefficient 0.307 0.322<br />
Source: Adapted from the Greek National Action Plan for Social<br />
Inclusion<br />
Note: Expenditure and income are per equivalent adult in the<br />
household, taking account of the size and the age composition of the<br />
household, on the basis of the OECD scale.
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Com<strong>par</strong>ing Greece with the EU average shows that the risk of poverty (60<br />
per cent definition) is 23 per cent against 16 per cent for the Union. The risk<br />
of poverty varies among different groups of people. For example,<br />
unemployed males have a risk of 45 per cent-the highest- the retired females<br />
40 per cent; and the economically inactive males 29 per cent. The<br />
corresponding average figures for the Union are, 43, 19 and 25 per cent.<br />
While the figures for unemployed males and inactive males are only a little<br />
higher than those of the Union, the risk of poverty of retired females is<br />
double the figure of the Union (EC, 2002, pp.186, 188). In Greece, 46 per<br />
cent of one-person households over 65 live below the poverty line as against<br />
an average of 27 per cent for the EU (50 per cent definition of poverty line).<br />
Poor men over 65 represent 37.8 per cent of all aged men and poor women<br />
59.6 per cent of all aged women. It is <strong>par</strong>ticularly interesting that the level<br />
of education of the Greeks who are below the poverty line is much higher<br />
than the corresponding average of the EU. About 23 per cent of the poor<br />
Greeks have a relatively higher level of education com<strong>par</strong>ed to a<br />
corresponding 9 per cent in the EU (Eurostat, August, 2000).<br />
3.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
Let me note at the outset the interesting observation that the Greek National<br />
Action Plan for Social Inclusion, which is, in effect, directly and indirectly a<br />
plan for poverty, is the responsibility of five ministries, namely Labour and<br />
Social Security as coordinator; Health and Welfare; Interior, Public<br />
Administration and Decentralization; National Education and Religion; and<br />
the National Economy and Finance. The lack of a specific official definition<br />
of poverty for policy purposes, explains, according to the NAP for social<br />
inclusion, the co-existence of a great variety of policies and income transfer<br />
schemes to certain population groups, which in fact include people with a<br />
high incidence of poverty (Glytsos and Kanellopoupos, 1999). Such<br />
measures, with evidently other objectives that in reality alleviate poverty<br />
include welfare assistance; jobs for the unemployed; training; solidarity pay<br />
to low pension beneficiaries; tax reductions; family allowances based on the<br />
number of children, or income transfers to persons with disabilities,<br />
unemployed, ex-prisoners, uninsured, women, etc. It must be emphasized in<br />
this context that the <strong>par</strong>ticular weight of the Greek social security system on<br />
work, is making it incapable of sufficiently covering those with a poor<br />
employment record, including young job seekers, the long term unemployed<br />
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and persons with disabilities. The unification of policies and the application<br />
of uniform criteria to the dis<strong>par</strong>ate benefits, as the Plan goes, remains a task<br />
for the future (p. 106). The NAP for Social Inclusion identifies key issues<br />
and concentrates on certain target groups in a nexus of economic,<br />
employment and social reforms. New targeted initiatives, such as income<br />
support to households, and low pension receivers, or cash benefits to long–<br />
term unemployed aged 45-65 and to families with children in school up to<br />
16 years of age, are all <strong>par</strong>t of this effort.<br />
The Eurostat Task Force, mentioned above, suggests that the statistical<br />
analysis concerning exclusion should focus on the labour market, given<br />
‘’the importance of employment as the core of the social tie, as the entrance<br />
to social protection, as it gives a social identity, social status, satisfaction<br />
social contacts and prevents families from long term poverty’’<br />
(Micklewright, 2000, p. 8). This, and the recognition that ‘’<strong>par</strong>ticipation in<br />
employment is emphasized by most member states [including Greece] as the<br />
best safeguard against poverty and social exclusion’’ (EC, 2000, p.12), led<br />
to a two-way link between the NAP for Social Inclusion and the NAP for<br />
Employment. On the one hand, the aim is to increase employability and<br />
create new job opportunities, and on the other to focus on actions facilitating<br />
<strong>par</strong>ticipation in employment for individuals, groups, or communities found<br />
at a distance from the labour market. The trend towards more active and<br />
preventive policies reflects experience gained under the Luxembourg<br />
process (ibid.).<br />
In this spirit, the Greek Action Plan for Social Inclusion considers as the<br />
major challenge and a policy priority the preservation of social cohesion,<br />
including measures for the smooth integration of immigrants. The policies<br />
adopted in the NAP for Employment for the purpose of fighting<br />
unemployment are to the direction of meeting this challenge. But a<strong>par</strong>t from<br />
these rather general measures, the NAP for Social Inclusion proposes also a<br />
series of more concrete reforms linked to exclusion (health, welfare,<br />
education, social security, public administration and decentralization).A<br />
case in point is the development of a system in schools offering second<br />
opportunities for the reintegration of persons over 18 in the educational<br />
system through individual teaching, as an alternative to basic qualifications.<br />
Furthermore, for acquainting people in remote areas and islands with<br />
computers, certain internet information centers are conveniently located for<br />
the promotion of ‘’eInclusion’’, including possibilities that favour the access<br />
of persons with disabilities to information and communications<br />
technologies.<br />
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Adopting the proposition of ‘higher employment for lower poverty’, the<br />
Action Plan for Health and Welfare initiates and encourages policies<br />
“aiming primarily at the prevention and eradication [sic] of phenomena of<br />
poverty and social exclusion”. In this respect, the plan discusses active<br />
measures for employment and social inclusion on an “individual basis” and<br />
promotes equal opportunities to employment, improving the access of<br />
sensitive groups of people and of women to the labour market. This is<br />
pursued with family-friendly measures of employment in a decentralized<br />
system of social protection, aiming at the “support of the individual or<br />
groups of individuals in a context of self-determination and active<br />
involvement vis-à-vis the problem emerged”. The welfare system favours<br />
the “open” as opposed to institutionalized care of sensitive groups, making<br />
also provisions for the association of the welfare services with the NHS and<br />
the psychiatric health services, as well as with the services that promote<br />
employment and the prevention of social, economic and labour market<br />
exclusion.<br />
The OKE report, mentioned above, maintains that although poverty in<br />
Greece is considerable, the attention given to it by the political and social<br />
dialogue is not up to the severity of the problem, maintaining that ‘’the<br />
Greek state but also the Greek society never had a comprehensive policy for<br />
poverty as an autonomous phenomenon’’(p. 6). They continue to suggest<br />
that existing policies on poverty involve passive financial assistance without<br />
offering outlets of escaping it. Poverty is basically attributed by OKE to<br />
technological unemployment, globalization and, to a considerable extent,<br />
the inadequacy of the educational system to reorient the labour force to<br />
alternative directions of employment. Relevant active policies ought, as the<br />
report goes, to fight poverty along with social exclusion, the two being an<br />
undivided issue.<br />
The EU project EQUAL for fighting discrimination and inequalities with<br />
respect to the labour market is certainly expected to have some relief on<br />
poverty. This programme is targeted to groups that are usually consisting of<br />
persons exposed to high risks of poverty, such as high unemployment youth<br />
and women; persons with low education; asylum seekers; deviants; exprisoners;<br />
drug addicts etc. In this project Greece <strong>par</strong>ticipates with 40<br />
<strong>par</strong>tnerships most of which concern ‘’employability’’. Among the objectives<br />
of several of these <strong>par</strong>tnerships are the access and return to the labour<br />
market of discriminated against workers and the fighting against racism and<br />
xenophobia in respect to the labour market. The theme “equal opportunities<br />
for men and women’’ concerns family-friendly employment projects and the<br />
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eradication of professional distinction between the sexes. Some of the more<br />
specific actions taken are the cooperation and networking of bodies<br />
supportive of employment; improvement of the systems that promote<br />
employment of disadvantaged persons; programmes of long-term training<br />
for such groups, and many more.<br />
In the framework of adopted or planned policies just discussed, a sample of<br />
very specific measures, taken or proposed, targeted to various disadvantaged<br />
groups, but working towards alleviating poverty, are now presented. Some<br />
of them are ‘’passive’’ and others ‘’active’’. To begin with, since 1996, all<br />
receivers of low pensions (below 6,340 Euros in 2003) get an Allowance of<br />
Social Solidarity (EKAS), ranging inversely according to the level of<br />
pensioner’s income, between 27.80 to 111.18 Euros in 2003, under the<br />
condition that the family taxable income is below a certain level (11,511<br />
Euros in 2003). About 360,000 persons are currently the beneficiaries of this<br />
allowance.<br />
In the summer of 2002 started a new programme providing financial<br />
assistance to 270,000 household heads of extremely poor families in<br />
mountainous and disadvantaged areas. The allowance amounts to 300-600<br />
Euros annually, depending on the beneficiaries’ income. In addition, a<br />
school allowance of 300 Euros is given per child of poor families until<br />
finishing the 9-year compulsory education, in case the annual family income<br />
is below 3,000 Euros (Kathimerini, 3.7.2002).<br />
One recent active measure, on which special emphasis is given in the draft<br />
of the Action Plan for Employment 2003, is <strong>par</strong>t-time employment – in<br />
Greece it is only 5 per cent of total employment - in the public sector, with<br />
the expressed objective of containing poverty and safeguarding social<br />
cohesion (Kathimerini, 24.7.2003. The <strong>par</strong>t-time employment is considered<br />
appropriate by the government on grounds that an unemployed person is<br />
2.15 times more at risk of being poor com<strong>par</strong>ed to someone holding a job.<br />
Furthermore, a housewife who welcomes <strong>par</strong>t-time employment is given<br />
this outlet, reducing substantially her household risk of poverty and social<br />
exclusion.<br />
Currently, the Greek government is pre<strong>par</strong>ing a bill – to be submitted to the<br />
<strong>par</strong>liament this Fall – that proposes a three-year programme of incentives,<br />
for the establishment of ‘’social cooperatives’’. These incentives - social<br />
security contribution allowances - are addressed to ‘’groups of high<br />
unemployment’’ and to ‘’socially vulnerable groups’’. <strong>Mo</strong>re specifically,<br />
the beneficiaries are planned to be mainly women, young people, long-term<br />
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unemployed, persons with disabilities, one-<strong>par</strong>ent families and ex-drug<br />
addicts. These cooperatives of social scope may offer a range of services<br />
and products. They will be able to contract with private enterprises, the<br />
public sector and local authorities for the purpose of developing the ‘’third<br />
sector’’, which in other Mediterranean countries is known to have<br />
contributed to employment creation, as claimed by the planners of this<br />
policy.<br />
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4. CRIME<br />
4.1. Definitions, Facts and Figures<br />
In the last 20 or so years crime has been rising at a rather fast pace. Figures<br />
presented by the Vice-Chief of Police show a rapid rise of criminal activity,<br />
<strong>par</strong>ticularly of heavy crimes. Until the late 1980s, 87-90 homicides were<br />
committed annually. In 1990, homicides reached 104, in 1997, 251 and in<br />
1998, 258. He concluded that foreigners, especially the Albanians, had a<br />
significant share in these crimes. Analogous has been the situation with<br />
robberies. As he stated, until 1995, there were 825 robberies on the average<br />
per annum. From 1996 onwards, the number started to increase, reaching<br />
2,368 robberies in1998. The Vice-chief further stated that the organized<br />
crime has no solid organizational structures and strategies in Greece and<br />
does not operate through an integrated and stable network.<br />
(www.patris.gr/archive/99/10/23/1stpage.htm). This exacerbation of criminal<br />
activity has subsequently receded, at least for heavy crime. In 2002,<br />
homicides were 94; attempted homicides 115, rapes 222 and robberies<br />
2,266, but other crimes have increased. Per 100,000 of population, total<br />
recorded crimes were 834.62, in 2002, which is the same as in 1996 (Table<br />
8). We may point out that with reference to 1996, although homicides<br />
dropped substantially by the year 2002 - and the same is true for thefts and<br />
burglaries - rapes and robberies have increased.<br />
Referring to more recent years, the major opposition <strong>par</strong>ty of New<br />
Democracy suggested that criminal activity of heavy crime has increased in<br />
2002.They presented data in the <strong>par</strong>liament, according to which, in the 11month<br />
period of 2002 the number of burglaries amounted to 44,211<br />
com<strong>par</strong>ed to 41,000 in the corresponding period of the previous year,<br />
robberies reached 1,800 up from 1,500 in 2001. Without disputing these<br />
figures - they are official in any case – the Minister of<br />
Public Order stated in the <strong>par</strong>liament that, nevertheless, ‘’Greece is the last<br />
country in criminal activity and the more secure in Europe. It is the least<br />
violent country in the world’’. He went on to say that criminality, especially<br />
homicides, has decreased in recent years. In the city of Thessaloniki alone, the drop<br />
reached 50 per cent, com<strong>par</strong>ed to the previous year, recognizing, however, that the<br />
problem exists with robberies in Greater Athens.<br />
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Table 8 Crimes recorded in criminal (police) statistics, including attempts to commit crimes<br />
Crime category Number of Crimes Rate per 100,000 inhabitants<br />
1991 1996 2002 1991 1996 2002<br />
Grand total of recorded crimes 59,897 87,312 90,874 587.22 834.32 834.62<br />
Homicides completed 138 169 94 1.35 1.61 0.86<br />
Homicides attempted 93 149 115 0.91 1.42 1.05<br />
Frauds 587 544 821 5.75 5.20 7.54<br />
Rapes 243 183 222 2.38 1.75 2.04<br />
Animal thefts 575 599 559 5.64 5.72 5.13<br />
Thefts-Burglaries 42,938 63,699 49,641 420.96 608.68 455.92<br />
Automobile thefts 8,653 12,498 17,889 84.83 119.42 164.30<br />
Contraband 99 186 471 0.97 1.78 4.32<br />
Robberies 1,207 1,531 2,266 11.83 14.63 20.81<br />
Sexual assault 974 564 409 9.55 5.39 3.76<br />
Drug offences 2,449 4,695 10,424 24.00 44.86 95.74<br />
Other crimes 3 1,941 2,495 7,963 19.03 23.84 73.14<br />
Source: Ministry of Public Order, Crime Statistics (http://www.ydt.gr/main).<br />
3 Includes smuggling of antiquities, blackmail, beggaring, copyright, forgery, guns.
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One important issue widely debated in Greece is the extent to which<br />
immigrants are involved in criminal activities. Popular belief, formed <strong>par</strong>tly<br />
by exaggerating TV reports, has it that illegal immigrants are responsible for<br />
the majority of crimes. Relevant figures show that among arrested criminals,<br />
illegal immigrants committed, in 1999, 34 per cent of homicides, 25 per cent<br />
of rapes, 42 per cent of thefts-burglaries and 35 per cent of robberies<br />
(Eleftherotypia, 5.4.2000, presenting data of the Ministry of Public Order).<br />
It is believed that these com<strong>par</strong>ative figures give an underestimate of the<br />
true share of foreigners in crime, due to the relative difficulty of<br />
apprehending them (no papers, no fingertips, no specific address, etc). Data<br />
from the ministry of Public Order, referring to the wanted by the police<br />
criminals in Athens and Thessaloniki show that out of the 643 robberies, in<br />
2002, 64 per cent were committed by foreigners, and out of 105 rapes, 51<br />
were committed by foreigners too. In the attempted 47 homicides, the<br />
offenders are foreigners in 33, whereas of the 266 premeditated murders,<br />
207 were committed by foreigners, in which the Albanians have the higher<br />
share. For the ‘’lighter’’ crimes, on the other hand, such as theft and drugs,<br />
the Greeks have the greater responsibility (Ethnos, 25.10.2000). A report<br />
submitted by the ministry of Public Order to the President of the Greek<br />
Parliament, indicates a high share of foreigners in organized crime, pointing<br />
out the <strong>par</strong>ticular threat of Albanian, Russian and Turkish gangs (1998).<br />
It is very disturbing that, according to the special Juvenile Tribunal of<br />
Athens, juvenile crime climbed up in the region of Attica, mostly Athens<br />
conurbation, by 23 per cent in 2001. Of the 5,106 cases processed by the<br />
court, 4,885 concerned boys over half of which aged 13-17 years. Robberies<br />
increased by 23 per cent and violence (body injuries) by 14 per cent.<br />
Driving misdemeanors went up by 56 per cent, beggaring 21 per cent, and<br />
theft 9 per cent. Drugs concerned only 5 per cent of the cases in the Juvenile<br />
court, but the problem is believed to be in reality much more severe. <strong>Mo</strong>st<br />
of young criminals have a low educational level, including dropouts and<br />
they come from disturbed families, living mostly in the poor<br />
neighbourhoods of Greater Athens. There is a great concern about the<br />
criminality of teenagers 15-19 years of age that is related to drugs. Some<br />
consider TV as a major causing factor, acquainting youth with crime as a<br />
means of success. Data show that the deaths o youngsters below 17 caused<br />
by the use of drugs have increased, in ten years’ time, 1987-97, by a factor<br />
of 11, while the access to drugs of 16 year olds increased 20 times, between<br />
1991 and 1997, and of people of all ages the access has tripled.<br />
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A study of the Council of Europe by GRECO, referring to the case of<br />
Greece, maintains that corruption is not limited to the ‘’little envelop’’ got<br />
by certain civil servants for complementing their income, but it has become<br />
wide scale, taking advantage of international networks, including those of<br />
organized crime. This is the case, for instance, with illegal migration<br />
trafficking and prostitution networks (p. 17). According to this report, no<br />
official study exists on corruption in Greece. The GRECO evaluation team<br />
(GET) refers however to a 1998 study, drafted on the initiative of a<br />
<strong>par</strong>liamentarian, showing that ‘’corruption was on a larger scale than had<br />
been imagined, affecting in <strong>par</strong>ticular the police, the tax authorities and the<br />
construction sector’’. Furthermore, from the replies to a questionnaire,<br />
corruption takes the form of bribery (passive or active). Among the different<br />
forms is the bribery of public officials to assist people to get subsidies or aid<br />
from the EU funds, or to help immigrants from Central and Eastern Europe<br />
to obtain the Greek citizenship. On the basis of these developments, it is<br />
suggested that Greece needs a global comprehensive strategy, not a<br />
fragmentary one, against corruption (p.25). <strong>Mo</strong>ney laundering is a se<strong>par</strong>ate<br />
criminal offense (L. 2331/1995). This law has established a body<br />
responsible for centralizing information on laundering operations (GRECO,<br />
p.6). The ‘’Section 7 Committee’’ is an independent administrative<br />
authority funded by the ministry of finance.<br />
Crime is proved to be a lucrative business endeavour. Data presented in a<br />
colloquy at the Technical University of Crete in Greece, in 1999, show that<br />
about 1000 persons were murdered, in the preceding five years and 6,200<br />
were injured by criminals during the process of crimes and terrorists’<br />
attacks. It is estimated that out of the 292,000 criminal acts, robberies,<br />
burglaries, etc, criminals made about 323 million Euros. This figure does<br />
not include the proceeds from the sale of drugs and the trafficking of women<br />
and illegal migrants, neither the proceeds from the counterband of<br />
cigarettes, cosmetics and alcoholic beverages, all of which are a flourishing<br />
business in Greece. On a world-wide basis, UNICEF presents data of the<br />
annual trafficking of women and children for the purpose of prostitution,<br />
amounting respectively to 700,000 and 1,000,000, with Greece having a fare<br />
share at least for women trafficking from Central and Eastern Europe. Out<br />
of this global crime, it is noted that traffickers make about 30,000 USD per<br />
head, totaling a revenue of the order of 51 billion USD annually.<br />
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4.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
In support of the government efforts, the Minister of Public Order claims<br />
that the policy adopted in recent years against crime was effective and has<br />
decreased considerably criminal activity. He admits, nevertheless, the rising<br />
uneasiness of citizens regarding crime. Summarizing the measures taken<br />
against crime, the Vice-chief of the police referred <strong>par</strong>ticularly to the steps<br />
made for the modernization of police methods and technology;<br />
improvement in the organization of the police and the training and retraining<br />
of the police force; the disengagement of police from non-policing services;<br />
the learning from the good practices applied in other EU countries; the<br />
putting into effect already signed bilateral agreements with neighbouring<br />
countries and other Central and Eastern European countries for deterring<br />
trafficking of people, drugs and guns and he pointed out the active<br />
involvement of citizens in fighting crime. Recent legislation (L. 2928/2001)<br />
on the ‘’Protection of Citizens from Criminal Acts committed by Criminal<br />
Organizations’’ is a law against organized crime and terrorism, providing<br />
new court practices and much stiffer penalties than the previous legislation.<br />
The Vice-chief of the police also drew the attention to the priority given in<br />
enhancing the pedestrian and mounted police patrols as a deterrent to<br />
robberies, theft and other crimes. For small crime prevention, the<br />
‘’neighbourhood policeman’’ in cooperation with people and local bodies<br />
intervenes for solving problems of security and reassuring the feeling of<br />
safety to the citizens. This new police service was put in force on a pilot<br />
basis on 17 March this year in 35 police precincts in Attica and 2 in<br />
Thessaloniki, involving 354 policemen in an equal number of<br />
neighbourhoods. Before starting, these policemen attended special seminars<br />
on the philosophy of this institution and their specific duties. So far, the<br />
results of this experiment are judged encouraging by the competent ministry<br />
and they plan to expand the project to the rest of the country (Table A3).<br />
A new institution, announced by the Minister of Public Order, is the<br />
establishment of Local Councils of Criminal Prevention, which is a policy,<br />
decided three years ago, but had not the expected appeal to the<br />
municipalities. Through the Councils, the government offers its support for<br />
the drafting of local preventive programmes. As the minister explained, the<br />
idea is not that the Councils ‘’take the law in their own hands, neither to<br />
create islands of informers’’. Their main role is to register and study the<br />
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criminality in their neighbourhood and pre<strong>par</strong>e an annual report; to<br />
encourage citizens to <strong>par</strong>ticipate in programmes of prevention; to assist in<br />
the social action of the police; to develop social solidarity; to establish<br />
centers of assistance and information, in cooperation with local social<br />
bodies, for the crime victims (Kathimerini, 19.5.2002). These Councils can<br />
be created in localities with more than 3,000 inhabitants and are staffed with<br />
volunteer scientists and functionaries of the region. As the initiators of this<br />
idea note, the experience of other countries has shown that this is a difficult<br />
task to accomplish, since the Councils run the risk of becoming bureaucratic<br />
and have their role confused with that of the police.<br />
The prevention of youth criminality falls under the domain of the ministry<br />
of justice and its Societies of Adolescence Protection (EPA), established<br />
in1940 and brought up to date with recent legislation (L. 2298/1995, L.<br />
2331/1995). These societies are public entities under the supervision and<br />
finance – except of some donations - of the ministry of justice, and they are<br />
situated at the seats of the courts of First Instance. Their task is to prevent<br />
the commitment of juvenile crimes by the antisocially behaving youth, or<br />
youth who, according to their family and social conditions, are in danger of<br />
becoming offenders or victims. Another body with responsibilities ‘’after<br />
the fact’’ is the Supervisor Service (L. 378/1976 and Presidential Decree<br />
49/1979) at the Juvenile Courts. This is the most important noninstitutionalized<br />
caretaker of adolescences who have committed offenses or<br />
are in danger of doing so. In the competence of the ministry of justice also<br />
belong the 2 Special Centers for Therapy (L. 2721/1999) of imprisoned<br />
youth with drug offenses. These centers can accommodate in all 610<br />
persons. Their therapy goes through four different stages of treatment of 26<br />
month duration until they are pre<strong>par</strong>ed and ready to reintegrate into the<br />
society. For helping the discharged persons to integrate into the labour<br />
market, the ministry of justice in cooperation with the ministry of labour and<br />
social security has programmes of subsidizing new jobs for them.<br />
Speaking on behalf of the EU, in a UN conference for the prevention of<br />
crime, during the recent Greek presidency, the Greek Minister of Justice<br />
emphasized the role of the newly established European Network for the<br />
Prevention of Crime, pointing out its significance for juvenile delinquency<br />
and the criminality in the cities. He praised the progress made in dealing<br />
with the trafficking of women and children and its connection with the<br />
cross-border organized crime, which is this year’s primary objective. This<br />
effort, as he stated, cannot be successful without cooperation between the<br />
state and the citizens and without international cooperation. Greece is<br />
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greatly concerned with this kind of criminal activity and welcomes and<br />
shares in any EU relevant policies and interventions. In this respect, Greece<br />
supports and has <strong>par</strong>ticipated actively in the project of ‘’small arms and<br />
light weapons’’ (SALW) control concerning the South East Europe.<br />
Technical support was also offered and seminars were given to the Albania<br />
police, and in addition, Greece is financing the SALW programme for<br />
Albania with 50,000EUR annually for the period 2002-2006. Furthermore,<br />
Greece is cooperating under a bilateral agreement with Bulgaria police on<br />
border control issues. Similar agreements are also signed with Russia and<br />
Ukraine (europa.eu.int/smartapi/cgi/sga_doc).<br />
The two consecutive legalizations of immigrants in 1998 (Presidential<br />
Decrees 357 and 358/1997) and in 2001 (L. 2910) seem to have contributed<br />
to the containment of their criminal activity, by offering them the possibility<br />
of making some first steps to their gradual integration into the Greek<br />
economy and society. A byproduct of this legalization is that it facilitates<br />
the search and control of immigrants’ criminal activity through the<br />
requirement that the applicants are fingerprinted. The legalization also<br />
contributes to the reduction of their poverty and the related to it tendency of<br />
offensive behaviour and criminal actions.<br />
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5. TRENDS AND CORRELATION<br />
5.1. Evolution and Structural Developments over time<br />
Health: Five major laws for the reformation of the health care system in<br />
Greece were passed in the last 20 years (1983-2003). This series of<br />
legislation started up, in1983, with the establishment of the NHS and ended<br />
in 2001, with the setting up of major Regional Health Systems. The creation<br />
of the NHS in 1983 was by itself, despite its several weaknesses and<br />
inefficiencies, a great step towards the democratization of health care<br />
delivery in Greece. It put an order to the previous situation of a disorganized<br />
and inaccessible to all citizens health care system, and offered a relief to the<br />
low income and poor people. Of <strong>par</strong>ticular interest has been the<br />
decentralization introduced with the establishment of NHS, which was more<br />
recently enhanced by the regional organisation and coordination of health<br />
care by the creation of the Regional Health System (PeSYs). The increasing<br />
attention over time to the primary health care and the connection of primary<br />
health care networks to the NHS hospitals has also been a welcomed<br />
development. The improvement in the management of the system by<br />
appointing, in 2001, administrative managers in the NHS hospitals and the<br />
hiring of more physicians of general practice filled <strong>par</strong>tly a long standing<br />
gap in primary health care. Positive is also the cooperation of public health<br />
services with the welfare and social protection services, introduced in 1997.<br />
The <strong>par</strong>t-time employment of NHS physicians, introduced in 1992, did not<br />
seem to work due to low wages, whereas the possibility of full-time<br />
physicians to receive private patients in after hours inside the hospitals they<br />
work is a controversial issue, standing to criticism on grounds that it refutes<br />
the essential NHS philosophy of free health services for all. It serves<br />
however the practical purpose of keeping the interests of good doctors to the<br />
NHS alive, without an excessive financial burden to the system that would<br />
have been necessary for raising salaries to a competitive level. The rising<br />
share of the state, over time, in total health expenditure, although very far<br />
from satisfying the principle of free health services for all, is in the right<br />
direction. The establishment of the exclusive list of approved medicines, to<br />
be paid by the social insurance funds for their beneficiaries, is an effort to<br />
control the tremendous expenses for pharmaceuticals, aiming at a more<br />
efficient use of the funds’ financial resources devoted to health care.<br />
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Without disregarding the various weaknesses of the health care system, the<br />
government seems to be content with the progress made so far. They<br />
consider as a satisfactory development the creation of modern infrastructure<br />
at the regional level, succeeding in covering geographically the needs of the<br />
population and reducing regional inequalities, as a result of which the flow<br />
of patients to the city hospitals has been declined. They believe that the<br />
regional improvements in the health care facilities are ‘’a prerequisite for<br />
the balanced social and economic development of the regions’’ (Action Plan<br />
for Health and Welfare, p. 20). The government finds also adequate the<br />
coverage of needs in the secondary and tertiary health care. All these<br />
developments and improvements in the health care supply services leave,<br />
however, much to be done for satisfying the patients and restore their<br />
confidence in NHS. Their dissatisfaction is very vividly indicated by the<br />
still high ‘unofficial’ private health expenses, representing, as we have<br />
mentioned, 1.1 per cent of GDP.<br />
Poverty: Although, in the 1970s, poverty was mostly a characteristic of<br />
farmers, it has increasingly become, in the 1980s and 1990s, an urban<br />
characteristic as well, due mainly to the rise of urban unemployment.<br />
Between 1982 and 1994, poverty of scientists and executives more than<br />
doubled, has increased for office clerks, and has declined a little for farmers<br />
and blue collar workers. This notwithstanding, farmers continued to have<br />
the highest incidence of poverty, 36.3 per cent (1994) as com<strong>par</strong>ed to<br />
scientists and executives who carry the lowest incidence rate, 19.0 per cent<br />
(Table A4).<br />
Using the Greek Household Survey data, an econometric study found that,<br />
between 1974 and 1994, income inequality and poverty (absolute and<br />
relative) was reduced. The reduction took place <strong>par</strong>ticularly during the<br />
period 1974-82, then, after an intermittent increase it was reduced again<br />
(Mitrakos and Tsakloglou 2000). Taking, in addition, into account a number<br />
of non-monetary welfare indexes (housing conditions, durable consumer<br />
goods, etc), the standard of living of the poor has been continuously<br />
improving. A primary contributing factor is considered by these authors the<br />
rise of the educational level and the greater urbanization (ibid. p. 46).<br />
According to other econometric findings (Sarris and Zografakis, 1997),<br />
presented in table A4, education is indeed a reducing factor of poverty in<br />
Greece. In 1994, the incidence of poverty for household heads without<br />
primary education was 40.8 per cent; for those with primary education 28.4<br />
per cent; with secondary education 13.6 per cent and with tertiary education<br />
7.7 per cent. However, over time, especially since 1989, the situation of<br />
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secondary and tertiary education degree holders has substantially<br />
deteriorated, while people with primary education have seen their poverty to<br />
decline slightly. The intensity of poverty changes are inversely related with<br />
age. For persons under 24, the incidence of poverty almost doubled,<br />
whereas for ages 55-64 poverty has increased slightly and for persons over<br />
65 declined a bit.<br />
A distinctive and varied role in poverty has been played over time by<br />
emigration from and immigration to Greece. First, the exodus of Greeks, in<br />
the 1960s and early 1970s, reduced the number of poor, while the inflows of<br />
migrant remittances raised the incomes of their poor families at home.<br />
Second, the termination of the great emigration had on both counts a reverse<br />
negative impact on poverty. Third, the great inflows of unskilled foreigners,<br />
starting in the early 1990s and continued to the present time, raise both<br />
inequality and poverty. A<strong>par</strong>t from adding to the cohorts of poor with their<br />
presence, the illegal immigrants among them, working often for low wages,<br />
displace to some extent unskilled Greek workers (see, for instance, Glytsos<br />
and Katseli, 2003).<br />
To answer the question whether the various government transfers to low<br />
income people reduces poverty and to what extent, if any, consider the<br />
following information. According to Eurostat data presented by ESSPROS,<br />
Greece has increased social protection expenditure to 24.5 per cent of GDP<br />
in 1998 (EU average is 27.7 per cent). <strong>Mo</strong>re than half of social expenditure<br />
goes to old age and survivors’ pensions (52.6 per cent, as against 45.7 per<br />
cent in EU), leaving fewer resources for funding other social transfers. The<br />
greater proportion of pensions in Greece, such as the minimum IKA pension<br />
and the farmers’ (OGA) pensions, which are at or near the poverty line, are,<br />
in fact, for their major <strong>par</strong>t, social welfare payments. They are justified as a<br />
means of reducing poverty for people over 65, which is the main age group<br />
affected by poverty. It has been estimated that this kind of state<br />
‘’intervention’’, including the EKAS, i.e. the allowance of social solidarity<br />
for receivers of low pensions, has cut in half the 1999 proportion of poor (50<br />
per cent definition), from 22.6 per cent without these transfers to 11.4 per<br />
cent after they are counted in the relevant calculations. As a result, the<br />
proportion of poor was kept stable in the face of an increasing poverty trend<br />
(1988-1999) without these transfers (National Action Plan for Social<br />
Inclusion, 2001). In absolute terms, on the basis of the 1994 poverty line,<br />
the proportion of poor has been reduced by 34 per cent, the above transfers<br />
having contributed to this reduction (ibid.). Let me note, in this context, the<br />
government’s claim that the cost for Greece’s accession to the European<br />
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<strong>Mo</strong>netary Union was not borne by the poor since their economic conditions<br />
had improved during the adjustment period for satisfying the Maastricht<br />
criteria. They explained this by the increasing social expenditure that took<br />
place, notwithstanding the efforts for the accession.<br />
Eurostat’s findings show, however, that, a<strong>par</strong>t from the redistributing impact<br />
of pensions, any other state transfers, in the context of the welfare policies,<br />
have very weak redistributive effects, reducing the proportion of people<br />
below the poverty line only by one percentage point. This figure is the<br />
lowest among the EU countries, in which such transfers reduce poverty even<br />
up to 18 percentage points. In the same spirit, the Greek Economic and<br />
Social Committee (OKE) has expressed the ‘’opinion’’ that the taxation<br />
system in Greece is incapable of playing its redistributive role, on grounds<br />
that the share of the indirect taxes in total tax revenue is high. In addition,<br />
the great tax evasion, <strong>par</strong>ticularly within the extensive unregistered<br />
economy, is not a poverty reducing factor. In the same tone, the leading<br />
daily newspaper Kathimerini (20.11.2002), discussing the 2003 Greek<br />
government budget, expressed doubts about its poverty relieving<br />
possibilities. As the argument goes, the expected increase of indirect taxes,<br />
weighing heavily on total tax burden falls unequally on the poor, whereas<br />
the proposed income tax cut, does not in reality concern the poor without a<br />
taxable income. On the other hand, the proposed increases in wages and<br />
pensions or the unemployment benefits would give only a marginal relief to<br />
the main <strong>par</strong>t of the poor who are chronically in that situation.<br />
Crime: Up until the 1980s, Greece was a country experiencing a very<br />
limited criminal activity, mainly light offenses and minimal heavy crime,<br />
the offenders being Greeks, without imported crime. Along with economic<br />
development and the restructuring of the economy towards more urbanized<br />
production, in the following years, there came higher urban unemployment,<br />
greater income inequality and urban poverty, as well as the invasion of<br />
drugs and the uncontrolled flocking of illegal immigrants from neighbouring<br />
and Eastern European countries. These developments and the collapsed<br />
regimes in the countries just referred to, have also opened up the possibility<br />
of a lucrative business of cross-boarder trafficking of illegal workers,<br />
women for prostitution and drugs, through established inter-country<br />
networks of smugglers and traffickers, as well as a rising mobilization of<br />
foreign criminals within Greece. As a result, criminal activity of all sorts<br />
was accelerated, <strong>par</strong>ticularly in the 1990s. Foreigners and foreign organized<br />
gangs – mostly from Central and Eastern Europe – have more than a fare<br />
share in the criminal activity in Greece, <strong>par</strong>ticularly in homicides, robberies<br />
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and burglaries. Juvenile crime, which is an altogether different type of<br />
crime, to some extent with different motives and modes of operation, has, in<br />
recent years, increased greatly, especially in certain Athens neighbourhoods.<br />
The overwhelming majority of these crimes are not however related to<br />
drugs, despite their tremendous proliferation in these years.<br />
Several measures have been taken for fighting crime in the past couple of<br />
years, including legislation for improving courts efficiency, prison<br />
infrastructure and management and providing for more stiffening penalties<br />
for certain crimes. The police have been reorganized, better equipped with<br />
modern technology and adopted new police practices for policing and<br />
investigation. Many illegal immigrants have been legalized, which helps<br />
them to be better integrated in the Greek economy and society, and by<br />
implication, reduce their poverty and the tendency to commit crime. All<br />
these measures seem to have contributed to the drop of crime. Although in<br />
2002 a resurgence of burglaries and robberies is observed, homicides, as<br />
well as the overall criminal activity are reduced considerably com<strong>par</strong>ed to<br />
the 1998 level.<br />
Despite the recession in criminal activity, Greeks consider crime as one of<br />
the most serious problems in the country (Kathimerini, 19.5.2002). A<br />
relevant opinion poll, in 1999, indicated that crime is the second most<br />
serious problem after the economy but before unemployment. They are not<br />
generally convinced, about this crime setback, and they connect the overall<br />
rising criminality, in the last decade, to the presence of large numbers of<br />
immigrants in the country. Newspaper reports suggest, however, that despite<br />
the impressions given by TV, statistics show that the crimes committed by<br />
foreigners are a much lower proportion than the crimes committed by<br />
Greeks. One of the reasons for the ‘’explosive’’ criminality is, according to<br />
this view, the unpre<strong>par</strong>ed police, including the inadequate training, despite<br />
the serious steps of improvements made. It is suggested – and this is another<br />
angle to the problem in hand - that the police has been socially disgraced,<br />
originally during the seven-year dictatorship, but also afterwards by the<br />
socialist and leftist political <strong>par</strong>ties. It is interesting, however, that today<br />
there is no political <strong>par</strong>ty of the extreme right persuasion to have<br />
extravagant views and propose ‘’radical’’ measures against crime,<br />
especially with respect to immigrants.<br />
The Youth Club of the New Democracy <strong>par</strong>ty, now in opposition,<br />
underlines the increasing criminality after 1994 and the inability of the<br />
government to deal with it. Referring to a recent opinion poll, they note that<br />
76.9 per cent of people are scared and feel unprotected even in their own<br />
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neighbourhood. The Club is disputing the international statistics, which<br />
show that Greece occupies a low position on a list of European countries<br />
regarding crime. They explain their view on grounds that the Greeks don’t<br />
trust the effectiveness of the police to resort to when they become victims of<br />
certain criminal acts.<br />
An opinion poll by the Greek section of Trans<strong>par</strong>ency International, in<br />
February 2001, presented evidence that 83 per cent of the 920 interviewees<br />
considered Greek society to be infected by corruption, 45 per cent had given<br />
a bribe or ‘’backhander’’ and 18 per cent admitted of having used<br />
connections. This survey found however no connection between corruption<br />
and organized crime. On a scale of 0-10 (10 being the best – the least<br />
corrupted), Greece with a score of 4.2, occupied, in 2001, the 42 nd place in<br />
the Trans<strong>par</strong>ency International Corruption Perception Index, which is the<br />
lowest place among the EU countries.<br />
5.2. Correlation Between poverty, Health and Crime<br />
Despite the improvements made in the poverty front, the EC maintains that<br />
‘’as a result of the problems in labour market, and of structural<br />
developments – such as the change from a rural to an urban society, the<br />
ageing population, the weakening of family support mechanisms and the<br />
strong immigration flows – poverty and social exclusion continue to<br />
represent a serious challenge’’ (EC, 2002). Greece is experiencing the wellknown<br />
connection between long –term unemployment and low income,<br />
which makes it vulnerable to poverty, in fact, ‘’this risk is considered as a<br />
major factor behind poverty and social exclusion [in Greece]’’ (ibid., p. 24).<br />
The malfunctioning of the Greek labour market and the related to it<br />
unemployment are key factors in generating poverty and of keeping many<br />
young people for lengthy period of times out of work. Economically<br />
suffering households constitute an unhappy and miserable environment for<br />
raising children who become vulnerable to bad influences that may push<br />
them to social deviance and crime. A good experiment that economic and<br />
social exclusion tends to offensive behaviour, and, conversely, that<br />
economic and social integration and employment contains criminality. For<br />
instance, the legalization of immigrants may affect their social conduct.<br />
Stepping out of illegality and being treated equally with the Greeks in the<br />
labour market, they won’t have to resort to crime for their survival. Not that<br />
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legalization solves all the problems of immigrants, but it makes them equal<br />
at least in the eyes of the law, giving them the opportunity to have social<br />
insurance, better paid jobs and working conditions, in other words, a first<br />
serious step for their integration into the Greek society and the sense of<br />
belonging and not being always on the run.<br />
Several studies confirm the a priori positive association of economic growth<br />
with poverty reduction. This connection varies among countries according<br />
to income inequality. In countries of low income inequality, ‘’growth is<br />
twice as effective in reducing poverty as in countries with high inequality’’<br />
(Lusting and Stern, 2000, p.3). And inversely, reducing inequalities in<br />
people’s assets, including land and education, can improve efficiency and<br />
growth, while reforms bringing down inflation and raising growth are good<br />
for the poor (ibid. p.4). These authors also suggest that the containment of<br />
bureaucracy and corruption encourages private investment. Pursuing<br />
policies that benefit small firms and small producers makes market work<br />
better for the poor (ibid.). Other writers maintain as a general corollary that<br />
growth benefits the poor and poverty reduction is good for growth. In<br />
general, policies such as investment in primary education; rural<br />
infrastructure; health and nutrition that increase the income of the poor tend<br />
to enhance the productive capacity of the whole economy, boosting the<br />
incomes of all groups (Rodrik, 2000, p.8). This seems to fit the case of<br />
Greece. The NAP for social inclusion, highlights the strong correlation<br />
between poor health and poverty and exclusion. An EU-wide survey found<br />
that of people below the poverty line, 13 per cent had bad health as against 9<br />
per cent of people above the poverty line.<br />
On the controversial issue of the connection between globalization and<br />
poverty, Berg and Krueger (2002), discussing cross-country evidence and<br />
reviewing some of the vast microeconomic literature on the effects of trade<br />
liberalization on income distribution, reached the conclusion that ‘’there is<br />
no systematic relationship between openness and the income of the poorest,<br />
beyond the positive effect of openness on overall growth’’ (p.18). The<br />
income of the poor is growing one-for -one with average income. They note,<br />
however, that in some countries the poor do better than average and in<br />
others worse than average. It has been argued that corruption is higher in<br />
countries where domestic firms are sheltered from foreign competition,<br />
while trade liberalization ‘’combats the corruption that flourishes wherever<br />
there is too much red tape and protectionism’’ (Sutherland, 2002).<br />
A report of the ‘’Trans<strong>par</strong>ency International’’, called ‘’World Barometer of<br />
Corruption’’ concludes that, generally, ‘’the poor suffer more seriously and<br />
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more directly from political corruption com<strong>par</strong>ed with their privileged<br />
fellow countrymen’’. In this context, interpreted properly, our preceding<br />
analysis gives some clues as to the implications of various factors, such as<br />
macroeconomic development, social and political changes, and the policies<br />
adopted on health, poverty and crime, on Greece’s structural development,<br />
growth and quality of life. Inferences may also be made regarding the<br />
interconnection among these three issues and their feedback effects on the<br />
economy and society.<br />
The linking of the NAPs for Social Inclusion, Employment and Health and<br />
Welfare in a concerted action for attacking this complex set of problems is<br />
evidence that the Greek government is well aware of the connection<br />
between employment and social exclusion, with all the undesirable<br />
ramifications that entails with respect to poverty and crime and their<br />
interrelationships. However, in certain respects, a better tighting of policies<br />
would probably be needed. The NAP for Social Inclusion gives some hints<br />
on such inconsistencies, noting that the measures proposed ‘’to prevent the<br />
risks of exclusion’’ cover most population groups at risk of poverty, but<br />
they appear to be fragmented and not tied up to the measures proposed for<br />
employment and the access to resources. For instance, the policy ‘’to help<br />
the most vulnerable’’ has ‘’no evident link between the actions foreseen and<br />
the accompanying social support services that are needed for the specific<br />
groups’’ (ibid.).<br />
Although most of the <strong>par</strong>ticular measures are targeted to specific population<br />
groups, some of them are innovative with an integrated approach. A case in<br />
point is the Integrated Action Plan for Roma, which combines<br />
infrastructural investment and investment in human and social capital. In the<br />
administrative context, the Plan provides a decentralized delivery<br />
mechanism of 50 Employment Promotion Centers. As it has been observed,<br />
if decentralization is accompanied by the provision of financial resources,<br />
technical assistance and <strong>par</strong>ticipatory mechanisms ‘’can make state<br />
institutions more responsive to poor people by increasing the interaction<br />
with them’’ (Lusting and Stern, 2000, p.6).<br />
The mixture of the policies, in this framework, concern economic and social<br />
measures; the improvements made in the NHS and the educational system;<br />
the legalization of immigrants; the technical and organizational updating of<br />
police methods and practices for crime prevention and the apprehension of<br />
criminals; and the intensified <strong>par</strong>ticipation of Greece in transnational<br />
projects and networks against crime. This collection of policies has the<br />
potentials – and there are already some good signs – of improving the<br />
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economic wellbeing of disadvantaged people and of weakening the povertycrime-poverty<br />
vicious circle in the years to come.<br />
One characteristic of the Greek society and its mode of operation, which<br />
needs <strong>par</strong>ticular consideration in the context of this report, is that many<br />
problems are beautifully solved in paper by laws and regulations, but if one<br />
looks at the real world, things are not working as they are supposed to. Law<br />
requires, for instance, that all workers, irrespective of nationality etc, should<br />
be treated equally, are socially insured and they and their employers pay<br />
social security contributions. And yet, the reality is different for thousands<br />
of Greeks and legalized immigrants alike, who may still work without social<br />
security and at wages below the legal minimum, or long hours without<br />
analogous pay. Thence, equality and regularization in paper may solve some<br />
of the problems of workers in general, but do not necessarily help them<br />
escape poverty or remove the causes of crime.<br />
The ‘paper-versus-reality’ situation is vivid in Greece in the case of the<br />
NHS. Its philosophy expressed practically in the law by the declaration that<br />
all citizens have a free of charge access to the NHS is in its implementation,<br />
for various reasons, far from being true. As a result, poor people who cannot<br />
afford the private health care services may not have the appropriate medical<br />
attention, with implications on their health condition. By the same token,<br />
people are inadequately protected against various diseases by the ineffective<br />
primary health care and the unsuccessful efforts of preventive medicine, in<br />
respect to smoking, drinking, drugs, dietary habits, lack of exercise, which<br />
are all important factors of sickliness. Recall the non-negligible proportion<br />
of poor that are found with health problems. People found in that situation<br />
have difficulties with the labour market, which in turn leads to more poverty<br />
with feedbacks in a process of poverty-health-poverty vicious circle.<br />
Another ‘’free of charge’’ public good supposed to be equally accessible to<br />
all, according to the law, is education from kindergarten all the way up to<br />
the university. In reality, however, students bear a considerable cost of their<br />
education for extra-school private tutorials, which is an old tradition in<br />
Greece, signalizing the inadequacies in all levels of public education. In<br />
addition, students enrolling in higher education institutions incur additional<br />
living expenses - especially when they have to study in a place other than<br />
the place of their <strong>par</strong>ents’ residence - or are deprived of their education by<br />
lack of family finance or the non-affordable foregone income. This situation<br />
is equivalent to an actual inequality in the access to education, raising the<br />
risk of unemployment, with further implications on poverty, youth<br />
delinquency and crime, already mentioned. As our earlier presentation has<br />
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shown, low education workers with low wages, at the margin of the labour<br />
market, have a high <strong>par</strong>ticipation in the cohorts of poor people.<br />
The taxation system in Greece is not generally a successful policy<br />
instrument for redistributing income in favour of the poor. Although various<br />
income tax arrangements are often made in the name of low income<br />
households, the exceptionally high proportion of indirect taxes in total tax<br />
revenue renders the taxation system as a whole regressive, turning it against<br />
the poor. Furthermore, any transfers by the government to low income<br />
people, except pensions, have only a marginal beneficial effect on poverty.<br />
5.3. Key issues, political agenda and perspectives<br />
Health: Although the chain legislation of the last 20 years brought<br />
considerable improvements in health care delivery, it has been incapable of<br />
resolving certain chronic problems and inadequacies of the system. A<br />
Commission of foreign experts appointed by the government in 1994 to<br />
study the NHS drew the attention to the underdevelopment of the system;<br />
the unprofessional behaviour of the staff; the excessive number of<br />
specialists; the unsatisfactory organization of the supply of primary health<br />
care; and the low satisfaction of patients. They also noted the problems<br />
generated by the discontinuity and inconsistency of health care policies and<br />
legislation over time. Such inadequacies that pose today a big challenge<br />
concern the infra-structure, staffing and management of the NHS, in<br />
<strong>par</strong>ticular the excessive number of physicians in hospitals and clinics in the<br />
large cities and the shortages in regional and rural areas; the general<br />
shortages of nurses all around; and the inadequacies of primary and<br />
preventive health care. While the Health Centers in the countryside are<br />
inadequately staffed with personnel that lacks the appropriate professional<br />
experience, in the cities the problem is that there is no integrated network<br />
system of primary health care, which has negative implications on the<br />
quality and the cost of the services offered (Action Plan on Health and<br />
Welfare). Furthermore, the traditional form of management and the slow<br />
introduction of information technologies, <strong>par</strong>ticularly in the public sector,<br />
contain the effectiveness and efficiency of the primary health care system.<br />
The lack of a coherent system with a core stable framework has left<br />
unresolved major problems, such as great inequalities in the accession to<br />
health care services, which among others is the consequence of the<br />
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inequality in health insurance by different social security funds, resulting in<br />
unequal health care coverage and imposing excessive financial burdens on<br />
the beneficiaries of the weaker funds. It is thus pertinent to improve the<br />
efficiency and accessibility for all in the NHS, so that low and middle<br />
income patients are not forced to resort to the expensive private clinics. This<br />
is a problem to which relatively more attention should be given both in the<br />
cities and the countryside. The situation could be improved by the merging<br />
of certain funds, a difficult task that has been unsuccessfully attempted by<br />
the government, meeting strong opposition by the more wealthy funds and<br />
their beneficiaries. For avoiding some of the disadvantages in the supply of<br />
health services, it has been suggested that it would be better – less expensive<br />
and more efficient - that certain social security funds, which have their own<br />
clinics, such as IKA, ‘buy’ health services at good prices and offer them to<br />
their beneficiaries. Certain efforts made by the government to that direction<br />
were, however, met with strong opposition by the management and the<br />
employees’ organizations, having reservations as to the ways of<br />
implementing this cooperation, or simply opposing the idea of surrendering<br />
their sovereignty.<br />
Our analysis has shown that appropriate staffing of hospitals and clinics<br />
should be a priority. Particularly pertinent is the increase in the ratio of<br />
general physicians over specialists, which at present is extremely low, and<br />
the setting into operation the institution of the ‘’family doctor’’. At the<br />
regional level, and in the framework of the recent Regional Health System,<br />
a more complete and balanced staffing with physicians and nurses is<br />
needed, safeguarding a necessary minimum of specialties in regional<br />
hospitals –recall that in Athens they are in surplus. This way, the large city<br />
hospitals, notably in Athens and Thessaloniki, would not be overcrowded by<br />
patients from all over the country. Particular attention should be given, in<br />
this respect, to the reformation of the IKA clinics – the major social security<br />
fund in the country – in all aspects of health care delivery, but more so in<br />
staffing and the accessibility of patients to the system without long delays<br />
and queues.<br />
According to a survey of the Greek National Center for the Quality of Life,<br />
concerning the satisfaction of patients with the NHS, half of the<br />
interviewees characterize as ‘’very bad’’ the cleanness of the hospitals and<br />
39 per cent as ‘’very bad’’ the information offered inside the hospitals.<br />
Thirty-five per cent characterize the accessibility of the hospital health<br />
services as below average. Only 6.8 per cent is satisfied with the<br />
accessibility to these facilities (Medical Press, 1999). This forces several<br />
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people to resort to expensive health services abroad. According to an older<br />
opinion poll, 72.3 per cent of those hospitalized in Greece expressed their<br />
intention of going abroad (Douli et al, 1992). I believe that things have<br />
improved materially since then, so that the number of patients to seek<br />
hospitalization in other countries has decreased. This is indicated by an<br />
opinion poll, a couple of years ago, which showed that 85,9 per cent of the<br />
sample were satisfied with the standards of the private health services, as<br />
against 59.2 per cent with the NHS hospitals (Souliotis, 2000, p.260). Some<br />
of the more specific aspects of these inadequacies, detected by the Greek<br />
ombudsman concern great delays in medical appointments for planned nonemerging<br />
tests, both at the NHS hospitals and the IKA clinics The fact that<br />
all appointments are fixed for the same hour, results to a long waiting until<br />
one’s turn comes around, whereas absenteeism or delays in arrival of<br />
physicians in their posts are also witnessed. All these inefficiencies can<br />
explain why patients are resorting to private health care services.<br />
Poverty: There is no specific official definition of poverty for policy<br />
purposes in Greece, probably because there is no targeted policy for poverty<br />
per se. This notwithstanding, various measures addressed to different groups<br />
of people, such as the unemployed, the low educated, the low pension<br />
receivers, the large families, persons with disabilities or ex-prisoners, to<br />
mention only some, seem to cut across the poor segment of society, given<br />
that these are the groups with a high incidence of poverty in any way it may<br />
be conceived. As we have seen, the unemployed workers, <strong>par</strong>ticularly men,<br />
experience the highest risk of poverty along with retired women and people<br />
over 65 years of age.<br />
Several of the measures that, one way or another, may alleviate poverty<br />
offer passive relief assistance rather than constituting an active effort for<br />
helping the poor escape long-term poverty. On the side of active policies are<br />
the measures proposed by the link between the NAP for Employment and<br />
the NAP for Social Inclusion, offering a potential outlet from poverty.<br />
Measures related to education and training, or ‘’family friendly<br />
employment’’, such as the currently decided <strong>par</strong>t-time employment<br />
openings in the public sector, favouring especially women, are pointing to<br />
this direction. How effective they would be remains to be seen, since until<br />
now no follow up studies exist to give some clues.<br />
One important corollary of our presentation is that the poverty line, defined<br />
on the basis of official statistics, leaves out some significant elements of<br />
income or wellbeing, which in a country as Greece are contributing to the<br />
standard of living of individuals and families. The non-inclusion of these<br />
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elements in the calculation of poor results in an overestimation of the extent<br />
of poverty computed from official statistics. Missing wellbeing elements of<br />
this category include self-consumption by the still high number of farmers;<br />
the high proportion of owner-occupied housing; probably the unregistered<br />
incomes from the extensive underground economy in Greece; and, finally,<br />
certain incomes from the seasonal and occasional employment in tourism.<br />
This situation is problematic both for knowing the extent of the true poverty<br />
in the country and for valid international com<strong>par</strong>isons with countries in<br />
which such sources of income or wellbeing are limited.<br />
EC has proposed for fighting poverty in Greece what seems to be the<br />
obvious to say but not so easy to implement, by suggesting that ‘’the major<br />
challenge lying ahead is to elaborate and implement specific policies to<br />
improve the interventions in the social protection area in favour of all those<br />
citizens at risk of social exclusion and poverty. Other major challenges are<br />
to promote the employment prospects of the most vulnerable population<br />
groups, given the link between unemployment and situations of poverty and<br />
social exclusion, and the need for a major pensions reform to safeguard<br />
pensions adequacy and sustainability in the long term’’ (EC, 2002, p. 104).<br />
In this framework, one must take seriously into consideration that Greece is<br />
moving rapidly towards the knowledge economy.<br />
New technologies have the power of restructuring the skill pattern of labour<br />
demand – rendering obsolete certain traditional skills - and of increasing<br />
productivity, but the bad news come first. The various inflexibilities in the<br />
Greek labour market and the educational system prolong the required<br />
restructuring of the labour force, as a result of which the response of supply<br />
is dragging behind the new labour demand. This process may hold back the<br />
positive effects of the new technologies and most probably postpone the<br />
‘’eInclusion’’ process, with further implications on labour market<br />
mismatches, persisting unemployment and a slow moving exit from poverty.<br />
Any emerging low pay job opportunities for unskilled workers are filled by<br />
immigrants, since Greeks have relatively high reservation wages for this<br />
kind of jobs. They can afford this through the protective role of the family<br />
that finances the waiting during the search for good employment<br />
opportunities. The Greek government itself admits, in its Action Plan for<br />
Employment 2001, that ‘’despite the implementation of a plethora of<br />
measures for the labour market, unemployment and <strong>par</strong>ticularly the<br />
discrimination and inequalities in the labour market are sustained at high<br />
levels’’.<br />
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The increasing flow of immigrants in Greece has accumulated a<br />
disproportional number of foreign workers com<strong>par</strong>ed to the native<br />
workforce. This is <strong>par</strong>ticularly the case in certain depopulated and small<br />
areas of the country, e.g. islands. This concentration, although economically<br />
desirable, generates various cultural, religious and educational problems that<br />
may have potential serious implications on policies that aim at social<br />
inclusion and the strengthening of social cohesion (EC, 2002). The<br />
Commission has stressed that ‘’failure to develop an inclusive and tolerant<br />
society which enables different ethnic minorities to live in harmony with the<br />
local population of which they form <strong>par</strong>t leads to discrimination, social<br />
exclusion and the rise of racism and xenophobia’’ (ibid. p. 23).<br />
Crime: Although overall criminal activity has dropped substantially in the<br />
very recent years, juvenile crime, e.g. robberies, body injuries and theft is in<br />
the rising in the large cities. Drugs are only a limited cause of this increase<br />
Youth with low education coming from unstable family environments and<br />
poor city neighbourhoods are mainly the criminal offenders. Organized<br />
crime has no deep roots in Greece and there is no network to operate<br />
through. Corruption exists in various de<strong>par</strong>tments of the Greek<br />
administration, some forms of which, such as trafficking of illegal<br />
immigrants and women for the purpose of prostitution, are connected to<br />
international networks. And yet, the knowledge concerning the extent of the<br />
various forms of corruption is still scanty, since there is no comprehensive<br />
study on the issue but only bits and pieces of evidence and popular belief.<br />
Efforts for fighting crime come from various directions, namely the EU;<br />
international cooperation; bilateral agreements between Greece and Central<br />
and Eastern European countries; and at the national level, the Greek<br />
legislation and the Greek police. Policies concern both the prevention of<br />
crime and the apprehension of criminals. Preventive measures with<br />
reference to youth are taken by the Ministry of Justice, while for the<br />
population as a whole, new police practices are introduced, including<br />
pedestrian police patrols and the ‘’neighbourhood policeman’’. The latter, in<br />
cooperation with local authorities, various local bodies and the citizens has<br />
the job of preventing light crimes and provide relief assistance to victims.<br />
The experience is still short to have any solid information on the<br />
effectiveness of these practices. The legalization of immigrants seems also<br />
to play some positive role in containing their criminal activity.<br />
Some important policy actions concern as much the courts, as the police and<br />
the prison system, all of which are characterized by major inefficiencies and<br />
need adjustment and reformation. Legal regulations have become recently<br />
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more severe for crimes committed by ‘’criminal organizations’’. A recent<br />
law (L. 2928/2001) is passed for expediting the prosecution of cases related<br />
to organized crime and terrorism. These cases are judged in the Court of<br />
Appeals by professional judges without jury. The heavy burden of cases to<br />
be processed, in conjunction with the inadequate staffing of the courts, make<br />
for a very slowly moving award of justice and a long waiting before cases<br />
come to the hearing. The prison system needs great reformation both in<br />
terms of improving its operational effectiveness and for preventing prisons -<br />
overcrowded as they are - of becoming schools of crime and drug<br />
trafficking. In this respect, the idea of privatized prisons of the type already<br />
existing in France and England has been thrown on the table to be tried on a<br />
pilot basis. The proponents of this idea evoke the experience of good<br />
practice in these two countries. A<strong>par</strong>t from the com<strong>par</strong>atively lower cost of<br />
running these prisons, they are very effective in reforming prisoners, as<br />
evidenced by the fact that only 3 per cent of the discharged convicts from<br />
these prisons revert to criminal activity. Despite its potential benefits, this is<br />
an institution that, for reasons of trust, would probably be difficult to<br />
introduce in Greece.<br />
At the police level, new technologies, new training and new more<br />
systematic methods of investigation have made the police more effective in<br />
fighting crime and eradicating terrorism. Witness to this is the successful<br />
dismantling of the terrorist group 17N. This progress notwithstanding, there<br />
are still several technical and organizational inadequacies and practical<br />
malfunctioning to fix, so that police becomes up to date. A case in point is<br />
police corruption that should be dealt with the development and<br />
improvement of Internal Affairs, a service introduced in recent years in the<br />
Greek police.<br />
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6. SOURCES AND DATA<br />
6.1. Health<br />
Sources<br />
WHO, The World Health Statistics (annual)<br />
WHO, The World Health Report 2000: Health Systems, Improving<br />
Performance<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare, Yearbook of Statistics on Health<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare (various pieces of information)<br />
Ministry of Labour and Social Security, Social Budget (annual)<br />
[Data on number of beneficiaries, pensioners, social security agencies,<br />
expenditure on health and social welfare]<br />
NSSG, Social Welfare and Health Statistics (Series)<br />
NSSG, Annual Survey of Activities of Organizations of Social Security<br />
NSSG, Household Surveys<br />
Social Insurance Fund (IKA)<br />
Social Insurance Fund for Civil Servants<br />
Social Insurance Fund for Farmers (OGA)<br />
Various Surveys and Opinion Polls<br />
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Data<br />
Let me note, in a way of introduction, that the Greek data on health are<br />
inadequate or, in certain cases, unreliable or non-existed. As a consequence,<br />
the figures provided to European and international organizations, such as<br />
Eurostat or WHO, often cover a limited spectrum of statistical information,<br />
thence the blank spaces in data presentation.<br />
Category Years Number Proportion<br />
Population using adequate sanitation facilities n.a. 4<br />
Population using improved water resources n.a.<br />
Population with access to essential drugs 1999 95- 100<br />
Oral rehydration therapy use rate n.a.<br />
Contraceptive prevalence n.a.<br />
Births attended by skilled health staff n.a.<br />
Physicians (per 100, 000 people) 1990-02 392<br />
Health expenditure per capita 2000 1,349<br />
(PPP.USD)<br />
Undernourished people n.a.<br />
Children underweight of age (% under 5) n.a.<br />
Infants with low birth weight (%) 1995-00 7.00<br />
People living with HIV/AIDS 15-49 years of<br />
age<br />
2001 0.17<br />
Malaria cases 1998 18<br />
Tuberculosis cases (per 100,000people) 2001 11<br />
Cigarette consumption per adult (annual<br />
1992-00 3,230<br />
average)<br />
Health expenditure, public (%GDP) 2000 4.6<br />
Health expenditure, private (%GDP) 2000 3.7<br />
Source: U.N. Development Report: Greece 2003 (www.undp.org)<br />
NSSG, Household Survey, 1998/99<br />
NSSG, Social Welfare and Health Statistics, 1997 (published 2001).<br />
4 not available<br />
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6.2. Poverty<br />
Sources<br />
NSSG, Household Surveys<br />
[This is the main statistical source, appearing at four to five years’ intervals,<br />
from which one can calculate income distribution and poverty, on the basis<br />
of income or expenditure. The figures given in this publication have some<br />
advantages of better accuracy com<strong>par</strong>ed to the European Community<br />
Household Panel (ECHP). This is because, as we maintained earlier, in a<br />
country like Greece, at least some of the incomes generated in the still<br />
considerable small agriculture and the related self-consumption, the<br />
seasonal employment of farmers and the incomes in the significant<br />
unregistered economic activity, as well as the value of the high owneroccupied<br />
housing, are calculated in the Greek Household Survey but not in<br />
the European.]<br />
Ministry of Finance, Internal Revenue Service<br />
[The taxation figures of the Internal Revenue Service can and, on occasion,<br />
have been used in research on income distribution and poverty. However,<br />
using these data, one runs the risk of getting a gravely distorted picture of<br />
income distribution and poverty due to the high income tax evasion of the<br />
more wealthy people.]<br />
Eurostat, European Social Statistics: Income, poverty and Social Exclusion,<br />
Luxembourg, EC<br />
Eurostat Task Force, Recommendations on Social Exclusion and Poverty<br />
Statistics, CPS 98/31/2, December 1998, Eurostat, Luxembourg, 1998.<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Data<br />
Category Year Figures<br />
Human poverty index (HPI) value n.a.<br />
Probability at birth of not surviving to age 60 (% cohort) 2000-05 9.1<br />
Adult illiteracy rate (% age 15+) 2001 2.7<br />
% of population not using improved drinking water sources n.a.<br />
Underweight children under age-five n.a.<br />
Population below income poverty line -50% definition-(%) 1998/99 11.2<br />
Human poverty index rank n.a.<br />
People who are functionally illiterate n.a.<br />
Long-term unemployment (as % of labour force) 2002 5.1<br />
Sources: U.N. Human Development Report, 2003.<br />
NSSG, Labour Force Survey, 2002 (www.statistics.gr)<br />
6.3. Crime<br />
Sources<br />
Ministry of Public Order, Statistical Yearbook<br />
[Criminal statistics, police statistics, statistics on foreigners].<br />
Juvenile Tribunal of Athens<br />
[Data on juvenile delinquency and crime]<br />
Ministry of Justice, Supervisor Services for Adolescence).<br />
[It provides figures on adolescence criminal activities, the number of cases<br />
and the causes of adolescence deviant behavior.]<br />
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Data<br />
Category<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Year Figures<br />
Proportion per<br />
100,000<br />
Population<br />
Police<br />
Offenses Committed 1999 373,680 3,809<br />
crimes 1999 4,994 51<br />
Prosecution<br />
indictable offenses 1999 368,686 3,758<br />
Number of cases presented for trial<br />
(Administrative courts)<br />
Courts<br />
1996 214,147 2,185<br />
Decisions issued 1996 72,228 737<br />
Persons sentenced (For indictable offenses 1996 88,974 908<br />
or crime)<br />
Prison<br />
Accommodating capacity of prisons<br />
(1/1/2001)<br />
4,825<br />
Number of prisoners # 8,295<br />
Prisoners pending trial # 2,296<br />
Foreign prisoners # 3,783<br />
Juvenile # 570<br />
Crimes<br />
Property crimes (see table 8)<br />
Robbery #<br />
Sexual assault #<br />
Assault #<br />
Bribery (corruption) n.a.<br />
Sources: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook for Greece, 2001 (published 2002).<br />
177
7. STATISTICAL ANNEX
Table A1. Population of Greece by sex and age, 2001<br />
Age<br />
brackets<br />
Both sexes Age<br />
Composition<br />
(%)<br />
Males Females<br />
0-4 531,636 4.8 272,548 259,088<br />
5-9 547,241 5.0 281,642 265,599<br />
10-14 588,011 5.4 306,528 281,483<br />
15-19 728,440 6.6 382,115 <strong>346</strong>,325<br />
20-24 834,026 7.6 436,128 397,898<br />
25-29 843,609 7.7 436,427 407,182<br />
30-34 871,496 7.9 443,413 428,083<br />
35-39 784,426 7.2 393,477 390,949<br />
40-44 781,319 7.1 388,232 393,087<br />
45-49 711,697 6.5 356,192 355,505<br />
50-54 684,288 6.2 338,540 345,748<br />
55-59 553,901 5.1 272,177 281,724<br />
60-64 630,687 5.8 299,755 330,932<br />
65-69 615,964 5.6 291,567 324,397<br />
70-74 547,672 5.0 246,413 301,259<br />
75-79 337,373 3.1 143,230 194,143<br />
80-84 195,493 1.8 76,444 19,049<br />
85-89 114,571 1.0 43,813 70,758<br />
90-94 45,047 0.4 16,594 28,453<br />
95-99 11,944 0.1 4,385 7,559<br />
100+ 5,179 0.05 2,196 2,983<br />
Total<br />
Population<br />
10,964,020 100.0 5,431,816 5,532,204<br />
Source: Greek Census of Population, 2001
Table A2 - Population in Greece by Country of Citizenship<br />
Country of citizenship Both sexes Males Females<br />
Total population 10,964,020 5,431,816 5,532,204<br />
Greek citizenship 10,077,722 4,955,613 5,122,109<br />
Greek and other (double) 89,207 39,796 49,411<br />
Australia 8,699 4,020 4,679<br />
Georgia 8,666 4,070 4,596<br />
USA 13,314 6,146 7,168<br />
Canada 7,111 3,351 3,760<br />
Cyprus 3,280 1,457 1,823<br />
Ukraine 3,083 1,027 2,056<br />
Russian federation 9,507 4,207 5,300<br />
Rest of the world 35,547 15,518 20,029<br />
Foreign Citizenship 796,713 436,225 360,488<br />
Albania 443,550 261,502 182,048<br />
Bulgaria 37,230 15,058 22,172<br />
Germany 15,303 6,525 8,778<br />
Georgia 23,159 9,980 13,179<br />
USA 22,507 11,013 11,494<br />
United Kingdom 15,308 6,450 8,858<br />
Cyprus 19,084 9,031 10,053<br />
Ukraine 14,149 3,633 10,516<br />
Pakistan 11,192 10,703 489<br />
Poland 13,378 6,140 7,238<br />
Rumania 23,066 13,176 9,890<br />
Russian Federation 18,219 6,901 11,318<br />
Turkey 8,297 4,338 3,959<br />
Philippines 6,861 1,942 4,919<br />
Egypt 7,846 6,087 1,759<br />
Armenia 7,808 3,648 4,160<br />
Australia 9,677 4,580 5,097<br />
France 6,513 2,733 3,780<br />
India 7,409 6,876 533<br />
Iraq 7,188 5,062 2,126<br />
Italy 7,953 3,962 3,991<br />
Canada 6,909 3,337 3,572<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>ldavia 5,898 1,799 4,099<br />
Syria 5,638 4,464 1,174<br />
Rest of the world 52,571 27,285 25,286<br />
Source: NSSG, Census of Population, 2001
Table A3 - Activities of the Neighborhood Policeman in the Region of Attica in Greece,<br />
during the period 17.3-30.5.2003)<br />
Action Taken Number of<br />
Cases<br />
Communication with representatives of Local Authorities, Associations, Institutes,<br />
Organizations and other bodies and citizens<br />
31,550<br />
Response to requests by various bodies and citizens 2,493<br />
Cooperation with pedestrian and riding police patrols 919<br />
Intervention in cases of offenses and conduct with victims 856<br />
Interventions or assistance in various occurrences 828<br />
Participation in local events 455<br />
Direct intervention in other Services, public and private Organizations or public<br />
enterprises<br />
270<br />
Reports on problems in neighborhoods, with actions taken and results 165<br />
Cases of intervention from the office 123<br />
Cooperation with Psychologists and Social Workers 66<br />
Source: Ministry of Public Order (www.ydt.gr/main/Article.jsp?)
Table A4 - Incidence of Poverty (Percentage of people below the poverty line of<br />
corresponding categories)<br />
Household Head Characteristics Incidence of poverty (%)<br />
1982 1988 1994<br />
Education<br />
Tertiary 4.2 5.1 7.7<br />
Secondary 9.6 9.6 13.6<br />
Primary 29.1 29.4 28.4<br />
Not-completed Primary 38.0 39.5 40.8<br />
Age<br />
Under 24 7.7 4.2 14.2<br />
25-34 25.4 22.2 19.5<br />
35-44 27.6 24.6 27.2<br />
45-54 23.3 22.5 22.1<br />
55-64 21.3 21.0 23.5<br />
65-74 26.8 29.1 25.7<br />
75+ 37.5 38.6 35.0<br />
Occupation<br />
Scientists and Executives 7.5 8.5 19.0<br />
Office Clerks 11.5 11.0 16.2<br />
Farmers 40.4 41.5 36.3<br />
Blue collar workers 27.6 24.6 26.4<br />
Not employed 24.4 27.1 24.7<br />
Source: Adapted from Sarris and Zografakis, 1997
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
8. ESSENTIAL BIBLIOGRAPHY<br />
General<br />
Clogg Richard, (2003). ‘Greece’ Microsoft ® online Encyclopedia 2003<br />
(http: //Encarta.msn.com)<br />
GRECO, Council of Europe, 17.5.2002.<br />
Kathimerini, 20.6.2003<br />
Kathimerini, 21.6.2003 (original source: Bank of Greece)<br />
Ministry of Economics and Finance, National Accounts Statistics (various<br />
issues)<br />
Ministry of Economics and Finance, National Accounts Statistics<br />
(www.statistics.gr tables/S900).<br />
National Statistical Service of Greece (NSSG), Labour Force Survey<br />
(various issues)<br />
NSSG, Census of Population, 2001<br />
Health<br />
Douli A, B. Kyritsis, N. Polyzos and N. Christopoulou (1992). ‘’Demand<br />
for Health Services Abroad’’, Health Review, vol.3, No. 2, March-April,<br />
Athens (in Greek).<br />
ΕΚΠΟΙΖΩ (1999). ‘’The Satisfaction from the Health Services in Greece’’.<br />
Medical Press, No. 211, January, Athens (in Greek).<br />
European Commission (2002). Joint Report on Social Inclusion.<br />
Employment and Social Affairs, Social Security and Social Integration,<br />
European Commission, Belgium.<br />
Georgoussi E. Kyriopoulos G. and Bearoglou (Editors) (2000). Society and<br />
Health, Themelio, Athens (in Greek).<br />
ICAP (1999). Sectoral Studies: Private Health Services, Athens, February<br />
(in Greek).<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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Kathimerini, 22.6.2003<br />
Kyriopoulos G. and Geitona M. (1995). The Crossborder Flow of Patients in<br />
Greece and Europe, Exantas, Athens (in Greek).<br />
Medical Press , January 1999 (in Greek) (no author)<br />
Ministry of Health (1999). Health Care in Greece, Athens.<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare (2001). National Action Plan: Health-<br />
Welfare. 3 rd Community Support Framework, 2000-2006, Athens (in<br />
Greek).<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare (2003). Health, Health Care and Welfare in<br />
Greece, Report, Athens.<br />
Niakas D. (1994).‘’The Health Policy in Greece and the Suggestions of the<br />
Foreign Experts’ Committee’’. In Society, Economy and Health, vol.3, No.<br />
3, July-September. (in Greek).<br />
NSSG, Household Survey, 1998/99<br />
NSSG, Social Welfare and Health Statistics, 1997 (published 2001).<br />
Review on Health (2003).( Various articles – no authors), March-April (in<br />
Greek).<br />
Soulis S. (1998). Economics of Health, Papazissis, Athens (in Greek).<br />
Souliotis K. (2000), The Role of Private Sector in the Greek Health System.<br />
Papazissis, Athens.(in Greek).<br />
Themelion (publisher) Health Policy in Greece: At the cross-road of choices<br />
(no author, no date) (in Greek).<br />
Theodorou, M. (1993). “Primary Health Care in IKA: A Com<strong>par</strong>ative<br />
Investigation of two Types of Organising the Family Doctor”, IMOSY (in<br />
Greek).<br />
Theodorou M, M. Sarris and S. Soulis (1996). Systems of Health and the<br />
Greek Reality, Athens (in Greek).<br />
Tountas, John (2003). ‘’Primary Health Care at a Critical Crosssroad’’.<br />
Eleftherotypia (daily newspaper), 21.2.2003.<br />
U.N. Development Report: Greece 2003 (www.undp.org)<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Poverty<br />
Berg A. and a. Krueger (2002). ‘’Lifting All Boats: Why Openness Helps<br />
Curb Poverty’’. Finance and Development, September.<br />
Case, Anne and Angus Deaton (2003), Consumption, Health, Gender and<br />
Poverty, World Bank Policy Research, Working Paper 3020, Washington<br />
DC, April.<br />
Chryssakis M. (1999). ‘’Social Exclusion and Educational Inequalities ‘In<br />
Karantinos et al. (in Greek).<br />
Economic and Social Committee (OKE) (2000). Poverty in Greece, Report,<br />
Athens, 13 July (in Greek).<br />
ESSPROS (European System of integrated Social Protection Statistics).<br />
European Commission (2002). Joint Report on Social Inclusion.<br />
Employment and Social Affairs, Social Security and Social Integration,<br />
European Commission, Belgium.<br />
Eurostat (2000), August. (www.in gr/news,2000/Greece).<br />
Glytsos, Nicholas P. and C. Kanellopoulos (1999).Aspects of Inequality and<br />
Poverty in Greece: Conceptual Approaches and Measurement. Report on<br />
behalf of the <strong>Femise</strong> Project on Poverty, Athens, November, mimeo<br />
Glytsos, Nicholas P. and Louka T. Katseli, (2003). “Greek Migration: The<br />
Two Faces of Janus”. In K.F.Zimmermann (editor), European Migration:<br />
What Do We Know? , Oxford University Press (forthcoming.<br />
Greek National Action Plan (NAP) for Fighting Poverty and Social<br />
Exclusion, Athens<br />
Kanellopoulos, C. (Coordinator) (1999). Distribution, Redistribution and<br />
Poverty, KEPE, Athens, December (in Greek), mimeo.<br />
Karantinos D, I.Maratou-Alipranti, and E. Fronimou (Editors) (1999).<br />
Dimensions of Social Exclusion in Greece: Main Issues, vols I and II,<br />
Athens, EKKE, Second Edition (in Greek).<br />
Kathimerini, 3.7.2002; 20.11.2002; 24.7.2003.<br />
Katsejopoulou M. and N.Bouras (1999). ‘’Labour Market Function and<br />
Social Exclusion’’. In Karantinos et al. (in Greek).<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
185
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Lusting Nora and N. Stern (2000). ‘’Broadening the Agenda for Poverty<br />
Reduction: Opportunity, Empowerment, Security’’. Finance and<br />
Development, IMF, December.<br />
Micklewright John (2002). Social Exclusion and Children: A European<br />
View for a US Debate. Innocenti Working Papers, No.90, Unicef, February.<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare (2001), National Action Plan for Social<br />
Inclusion<br />
Ministry of Health and Welfare (2001). National Action Plan: Health-<br />
Welfare. 3 rd Community Support Framework, 2000-2006, Athens (in<br />
Greek).<br />
Ministry of Labour and Social Security (2001) National Action Plan for<br />
Employment<br />
Ministry of Labour and Social Security (2003). Draft National Action Plan<br />
for Employment<br />
Mitrakos T. and P. Tsakloglou (2000), ‘’Changes in Total Inequality and<br />
Poverty in Greece, after the Restoration of Democracy’’’. In EMOP (in<br />
Greek).<br />
Nolan B. (1999).’’Targeting Poverty: Lessons from Ireland on Setting a<br />
National Poverty Target’’. New Economy, 6(1): 44-49.<br />
NSSG, Labour Force Survey, 2002 (www.statistics.gr)<br />
Rodrik Dani (2000). ‘’Growth versus Poverty Reduction: A Hollow<br />
Debate’’. Finance and Development, IMF, December<br />
Rowlands D. (1998), ‘’Poverty and Environmental Degradation as Root<br />
Causes of International Migration: A Critical Approach’’. In UN-IOM,<br />
Technical Symposium on International Migration and Development. The<br />
Hague, 29 June.<br />
Sarris A. and zografakis S. (1997). ‘’Poverty and Income Inequality in<br />
Greece after the Restoration of Democracy’’. Paper presented at the 5 th<br />
Colloquy of IMOP (in Greek), mimeo.<br />
The Nea, 17.10.2000.<br />
Tsakloglou P. and G. Panopoulou (1998), ‘’Who are the Poor in Greece:<br />
Analysing Poverty under Alternative Concepts of Resources and<br />
Equivalence Scales’’, Journal of European Social Policy, 8, pp.229-252.<br />
U.N. Human Development Report, 2003.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
186
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Workshop of Economic Policy Studies (EMOP) (2000). The Redistributive<br />
Role of the State in Greece, No. 5 (in Greek).<br />
World Bank (2001). World Development Report 2000/2001: Attacking<br />
Poverty, Washington DC.<br />
World Bank (2002). Globalisation, Growth and Poverty, A World Bank<br />
Policy Research Report, Washington, DC.<br />
www.in gr/news, 2000/Greece<br />
Crime<br />
Eleftherotypia, 14.3.1998; 5.4.2000; 5.11.2000<br />
Ethnos, 25.10.2000<br />
europa.eu.int/smartapi/cgi/sga_doc<br />
GRECO (Group of States against corruption), Council of Europe,<br />
Evaluation Report on Greece, Strasbourg, 17.5.2002.<br />
Kathimerini, 25.4 1998; 19.5.2002;<br />
Ministry of Public Order (www.ydt.gr/main/Article.jsp?)<br />
Ministry of Public Order, Crime Statistics (http://www.ydt.gr/main).<br />
NSSG, Statistical Yearbook for Greece, 2001 (published 2002).<br />
Pontiki, 9.9.1999.<br />
Sutherland, P. D. (2002). “Why We Should Embrace Globalisation”,<br />
Finance and Development, September.<br />
The Nea, 18.12.1999.<br />
U.N. Office of Drugs and Crime, Seventh U.N. Survey of Crime Trends and<br />
Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, Covering the Period 1998-2000.<br />
http://ministryofjustice.gr/modules.php?<br />
http://www.patris.gr/archive/99/10/23/1 stpage.html<br />
http://www.petsalnikos.gr/delt 130503.htm<br />
http://www.prin.gr/561/561_18.htm<br />
http://www.medium.gr/articles<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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http://www.e-grammes.gr/ideology/immigration.htm<br />
http://ta-nea.dolnet.gr/neaweb/<br />
www.ydt.gr/main/Article.jsp?Article<br />
www.onned.gr/Text/politikh.doc<br />
www.presspoint.gr/release.asp?.id=18619<br />
www.unodc.org/unodc/index<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
188
ITALY<br />
Dr. Rosario Sapienza<br />
Dr. Marta Picarozzi
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. PROFILO DEL PAESE: DATI ESSENZIALI<br />
1.1. Popolazione<br />
La popolazione italiana al 1 gennaio 2001 conta 57.844.017 persone, di cui<br />
29.749.160 femmine e 28.094.857 maschi. L’Italia è oggi il Paese con<br />
l’indice di vecchiaia più alto del mondo (133 persone di 65 anni e oltre ogni<br />
100 persone sotto i 15 anni). Quasi un italiano su cinque ha più di 65 anni (il<br />
18,5% della popolazione). La popolazione con meno di 15 anni rappresenta<br />
soltanto il 14,4% del totale (Istat). Secondo stime Eurostat, l’indice di<br />
accrescimento della popolazione italiana è nel 2001 del 3 per mille.<br />
La presenza degli stranieri in Italia è in crescita. Tuttavia, rispetto agli altri<br />
paesi dell’Unione Europea, la popolazione straniera residente in Italia, che<br />
conta 1.464.589 persone, rappresenta ancora una quota poco rilevante della<br />
popolazione (2,5% nel 2001 rispetto alla media europea del 5,2).<br />
Il tasso di natalità del 2001 è del 9,4 per mille mentre quello di mortalità del<br />
9,3. Il numero medio di figli per donna è in diminuzione e questo calo della<br />
riproduttività risulta agli studi come un fenomeno di lungo periodo, il più<br />
radicato fra tutti i Paesi sviluppati, associato alla progressiva posticipazione<br />
del momento del primo <strong>par</strong>to nella vita media delle donne. L’età media delle<br />
madri alla nascita del primo figlio è, infatti, di oltre 27 anni (Istat). Nel<br />
2001, secondo stime Eurostat, il numero medio di figli per donna è di 1,24,<br />
con livelli leggermente più elevati al Sud Italia e più bassi al Centro e al<br />
Nord Italia. Il tasso di mortalità infantile, relativo al primo anno di vita, è<br />
del 4,3 per 1000 nati vivi.<br />
La speranza di vita alla nascita ha raggiunto quasi i 77 anni per gli uomini e<br />
83 per le donne, senza grandi differenze a livello regionale.<br />
Il legame tra nuzialità e riproduttività è ancora molto forte, oltre il 90% dei<br />
figli nasce ancora all’interno del matrimonio (Istat). Le unioni coniugali<br />
sono instabili: ogni anno, ogni quattro matrimoni celebrati viene<br />
pronunciata una sentenza di se<strong>par</strong>azione e sono quasi 2,5 milioni gli italiani<br />
che hanno sperimentato nel corso della loro vita lo scioglimento del<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
matrimonio (Istat, 2001). Il numero di famiglie è aumentato negli ultimi<br />
anni (sono quasi 22 milioni nel 2001, secondo l’Istat), sebbene le loro<br />
dimensioni si stiano riducendo (2,6 componenti in media).<br />
1.2. Economia e lavoro<br />
I dati sull’economia italiana nel 2001 rispecchiano l’andamento negativo del<br />
ciclo economico mondiale e in <strong>par</strong>ticolare dei Paesi più industrializzati. La<br />
crescita del Prodotto interno lordo nel 2001 è dell’1,8%, mentre quella del<br />
2000 era stata del 2,9%. La crescita dell’agricoltura nel 2001 è negativa, -<br />
1%, mentre l’industria cresce dello 0,5% e i servizi del 2,5% (Istat).<br />
L’andamento dell’inflazione in Italia ha risentito della conversione dei<br />
prezzi dalla lira all’euro, la moneta unica europea entrata in circolazione nel<br />
gennaio del 2002. In base a stime Eurostat, il tasso di inflazione è stato del<br />
2% nel 1998, 1,7% nel 1999, 2,6% nel 2000 e 2,3% nel 2001, mentre<br />
secondo l’Istat è stato del 2,5% nel 2000, 2,7% nel 2001 e 2,5% nel 2002.<br />
Tuttavia, l’inflazione percepita dagli italiani e le stime delle associazioni<br />
dei consumatori sono di molto superiori alle stime ufficiali.<br />
Il rallentamento della congiuntura internazionale ha prodotto nel 2001 una<br />
battuta d’arresto del commercio internazionale. Le esportazioni, dopo<br />
l’eccezionale incremento del 17,8% registrato nel 2000, sono cresciute nel<br />
2001 solo del 3,6%. Le importazioni sono invece cresciute nello stesso<br />
anno dello 0,6%, un valore modesto grazie soprattutto al calo dei prezzi dei<br />
prodotti energetici. L’ammontare delle esportazioni nel 2001 è di 269.634<br />
milioni di euro, mentre l’ammontare delle importazioni è di 260.162<br />
milioni di euro. Il saldo tra esportazioni e importazioni è quindi positivo e<br />
ammonta a 9.472 milioni di euro. Lo stesso dato nel 2000 era di 1.852<br />
milioni di euro e nel 1999 di 14.679 milioni di euro (Istat). La pressione<br />
fiscale nel 2002 è <strong>par</strong>i al 41,6% del prodotto interno lordo (Istat).<br />
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1.3. Geografia e caratteristiche territoriali<br />
L’Italia è una penisola di 301.333<br />
Kmq, con una estensione massima di<br />
1.200 Km. Il 35% del territorio è<br />
montagnoso e il 42% collinare. Gran<br />
<strong>par</strong>te del territorio è bagnata dal<br />
mare e l’estensione delle coste<br />
marine è pertanto molto elevata,<br />
7.375 Km, di cui il 65,7%<br />
balneabile.<br />
Da un punto di vista<br />
amministrativo, l’Italia si divide in<br />
20 regioni, 103 province e 8.100<br />
comuni. La densità media della<br />
popolazione è di 192 abitanti per<br />
Kmq. Le città più popolose sono<br />
Milano (4.251.000 abitanti), Napoli<br />
(3.012.000 abitanti), la capitale Roma (2.646.000 abitanti) e Torino<br />
(1.294.000 abitanti).<br />
La superficie forestale è di 68.475 Kmq. Il patrimonio boschivo, che nel<br />
2000 è di 6.853 migliaia di ettari, è ubicato per il 59,4% in montagna, per il<br />
35,5% in collina e per il 5,1% in pianura. La superficie italiana ad alta<br />
sismicità è <strong>par</strong>i a 14.463 Kmq, quasi il 23% della superficie totale.<br />
A luglio 2000, le aree protette iscritte nell’Elenco ufficiale risultano 669<br />
con un’estensione territoriale <strong>par</strong>i a 3.013.944 ettari. Il clima in Italia è<br />
generalmente temperato. Solo raramente si hanno temperature più alte di 40<br />
gradi centigradi d’estate, o temperature inferiori ai 10 gradi sotto lo zero<br />
d’inverno. Essendo molto estesa da Nord a Sud, l’Italia può essere divisa in<br />
tre fasce climatiche distinte: a) il Nord, ovvero la <strong>par</strong>te compresa tra le Alpi<br />
e l’Appennino Tosco-Emiliano, è la zona meno influenzata dall’azione<br />
temperante del mare e ha un clima molto rigido d’inverno, mentre l’estate è<br />
molto calda e con alti livelli di umidità; b) il Centro, compreso<br />
approssimativamente tra la Liguria e Roma, ha un clima temperato, che non<br />
presenta grandi differenze tra le stagioni estreme, anche se si può passare da<br />
un inverno piuttosto rigido ad una stagione estiva molto calda; c) il Sud (che<br />
comprende anche le isole maggiori, la Sicilia e la Sardegna) ha un clima<br />
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secco e generalmente caldo, con scarse precipitazioni e periodi di vera e<br />
propria siccità. Il Mediterraneo ha una grande influenza sul clima italiano: le<br />
zone costiere sono meno calde durante l’estate e meno fredde durante<br />
l’inverno rispetto alle zone interne. Le differenze climatiche contribuiscono<br />
ad aumentare le differenze socioeconomiche nelle tre aree della penisola.<br />
I minerali di cui l’Italia è ricca sono mercurio, potassio, marmo e zolfo. Nel<br />
2000 le riserve di greggio ammontano a 621,8 milioni di barili. La<br />
produzione di energia elettrica è di 247.679 milioni di kWh nel 2001. La<br />
quota di produzione interna di energia rispetto all’offerta totale, necessaria a<br />
soddisfare le esigenze del paese, è più limitata che negli altri paesi europei.<br />
Nel 1990 la quota di produzione di energia sull’offerta totale di energia<br />
primaria è del 16,2%, all’incirca uguale a quella del 1999 (16,4%). La<br />
produzione in Italia di energia da fonti rinnovabili costituisce il 38% circa<br />
della produzione totale.<br />
I risultati di un’indagine Istat sulle famiglie nel 2001 mostrano come i<br />
problemi ambientali maggiormente sentiti dalle famiglie sono il traffico<br />
(47,6%), la possibilità di bere acqua dal rubinetto (42,0%), la difficoltà di<br />
<strong>par</strong>cheggio (41,6%), l’inquinamento dell’aria (39,9%) e il rumore (38,5%).<br />
Minore rilevanza viene data ad aspetti quali la sporcizia nelle strade<br />
(33,8%), il rischio di criminalità (30,8%) e le difficoltà di collegamento con<br />
i mezzi pubblici (30,9%), mentre l’irregolarità nell’erogazione dell’acqua<br />
viene considerato un problema dal 16,3% delle famiglie. Quest’ultimo<br />
fenomeno è molto più diffuso nel Mezzogiorno ed in <strong>par</strong>ticolare in Calabria<br />
(51,1%), Sardegna (42,8%) e Sicilia (39,6%).<br />
1.4. Temi chiave<br />
La bassa fecondità e l’invecchiamento della popolazione espongono<br />
l’Italia a grandi rischi per quanto riguarda la sostenibilità dei sistemi di<br />
welfare e in <strong>par</strong>ticolare di quelli pensionistici. L’economia è specializzata in<br />
settori a basso contenuto tecnologico. Le imprese sono scarsamente<br />
propense a una crescita di dimensioni e hanno spesso una visione locale del<br />
mercato. Il Sud Italia versa ancora in grandi difficoltà rispetto al resto del<br />
Paese, nonostante alcuni segnali positivi in anni recenti come una riduzione<br />
del tasso di disoccupazione e una crescita del Pil superiore alla media<br />
nazionale: le migrazioni verso il Centro-Nord del paese sono ricominciate e<br />
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la quota di disoccupati di lunga durata è sensibilmente più alta rispetto al<br />
resto d’Italia. Si possono notare alcuni segnali positivi quali la vitalità delle<br />
piccole e medie imprese e lo sviluppo dell’occupazione femminile, che ha<br />
trainato il mercato del lavoro.<br />
1.5. Fonti<br />
- Censis, 36° Rapporto sulla situazione sociale del Paese 2002,<br />
(www.censis.it)<br />
- Istat, Annuario Statistico Italiano 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Italia in cifre 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Rapporto annuale sulla situazione del Paese 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Relazione Generale sulla Situazione Economica del Paese<br />
(www.istat.it)<br />
- Eurostat (europa.eu.int/comm/eurostat)<br />
- Istituto Tagliacarne (www.tagliacarne.it)<br />
- Nucleo di valutazione spesa previdenziale (www.welfare.gov.it)<br />
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2. HEALTH<br />
2.1. Definitions<br />
Secondo l’Art. 32, la Repubblica Italiana tutela la salute come fondamentale<br />
diritto dell’individuo e interesse della collettività, e garantisce cure gratuite<br />
agli indigenti. Al di là di questo presupposto generale la legislazione in<br />
ambito sanitario è estesa e in continua evoluzione perché rincorre i<br />
cambiamenti che si susseguono in campo medico e nella ricerca scientifica i<br />
quali arrivano a mutare ruoli e contesti tradizionali, implicano maggiore<br />
attenzione al rapporto medico paziente e aprono sempre nuovi interrogativi<br />
sul diritto universale alla Salute.<br />
2.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
Le principali leggi che attualmente ordinano la materia sono:<br />
Legge 23.12.1978, n. 833 Istituzione del servizio sanitario nazionale<br />
D. Lgs. 30.12.1992, n. 502<br />
Riordino della disciplina in materia sanitaria, a norma<br />
dell’articolo 1 della legge 23 ottobre 1992, n. 421.<br />
Razionalizzazione della organizzazione delle<br />
Decreto Legge 03.02.1993, n. 29<br />
amministrazioni pubbliche e revisione della disciplina in<br />
materia di pubblico impiego a norma dell’art. 2 della<br />
legge 23 ottobre 1992, n.421.<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>dificazioni al Decreto Legislativo 30.12.1992 n. 502<br />
D. Lgs. 07.12.1993, n. 517 recante riordino della disciplina in materia sanitaria, a<br />
norma dell’art. 1 della Legge 23.10.1992 n. 421.<br />
Norme per la razionalizzazione del Sistema Sanitario<br />
D. Lgs. 19.06.1999, n. 229 Nazionale, a norma dell’art. 1 della legge 30.11.1998, n.<br />
419 (riforma Bindi).<br />
D. Presidente consiglio<br />
Ministri 29.11.2001<br />
dei<br />
Definizione dei livelli essenziali di assistenza.<br />
Piano sanitario nazionale 2002-<br />
Presentato al Consiglio dei Ministri il 28/03/2002<br />
2004<br />
D.P.R. 23/05/2003<br />
Approvazione del Piano Sanitario Nazionale 2003-2005<br />
(G.U. n. 139 del 18/06/2003).<br />
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2.3. Fonti<br />
- Istat, Indagine Multiscopo (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Stili di vita e condizioni di salute, anno 2001 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Sistema sanitario e salute della popolazione, anno 2002<br />
(www.istat.it)<br />
- Istituto Superiore di Sanità (www.iss.it)<br />
- Ministero della Salute (www.ministerosalute.it)<br />
- Farmindustria (www.farmindustria.it)<br />
2.4. Dati<br />
In base a un’indagine effettuata dall’Istat, il 74,9% della popolazione<br />
italiana dichiara nel 2001 di essere in buona salute, mentre il resto della<br />
popolazione è affetto da una o più malattie croniche. Rispetto al totale dei<br />
cronici, il 19,1% di essi è affetto da artrosi o artrite, l’11,7% da ipertensione,<br />
l’8,2% da malattie allergiche. Sono invece scarsamente diffusi il diabete<br />
(3,9% dei malati cronici), le malattie del cuore (3,7%) e i disturbi nervosi<br />
(4%). Oltre il 90% della popolazione con meno di 35 anni e oltre il 50% di<br />
quella con meno di 65 anni è in stato di buona salute. La fascia di età<br />
compresa tra i 65 e i 74 anni è in buona salute per il 43,3% mentre oltre i 75<br />
anni la percentuale di persone in buona salute scende al 27,5%. La<br />
percentuale di uomini in buona salute è superiore in media di quasi 7 punti<br />
percentuali a quella delle donne e questa differenza tra i sessi è più<br />
accentuata nelle fasce di età più elevate.<br />
Secondo l’Istituto Superiore di Sanità, nel 2001 i casi notificati di Aids in<br />
Italia sono 2,9 ogni 1000 residenti, più al Nord e al Centro Italia (3,6)<br />
rispetto al Sud (1,4). Dal 1995 (in cui ogni 1000 residenti si avevano 9,6<br />
casi) ad oggi i casi sono costantemente diminuiti.<br />
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La causa principale di decessi è attribuibile alle malattie del sistema<br />
circolatorio (41,6 decessi ogni 10.000 abitanti nel 2000), seguita dai tumori<br />
(27,7 decessi ogni 10.000 abitanti). Tutte le altre cause di decesso<br />
provocano meno di 6,5 decessi ogni 10.000 abitanti. I dati riguardanti i<br />
decessi a causa di malattie del sistema circolatorio e di tumori sono rimasti<br />
sostanzialmente invariati negli ultimi sei anni.<br />
In Italia esistono 778 istituti di cura pubblici e 530 istituti accreditati che,<br />
rispettivamente, hanno a disposizione 236.308 e 51.317 posti letto, 5,05<br />
ogni 1.000 abitanti (dati del Ministero della Sanità, 2001). Il numero più<br />
elevato di posti letto si registra al Centro Italia (5,51 ogni 1.000 abitanti) e il<br />
più basso al Sud (4,41). Il Sud dispone tuttavia di un numero più elevato di<br />
strutture sanitarie pubbliche diverse dagli ospedali, 4.036, rispetto al Centro<br />
(3.399) e al Nord (3.472).<br />
Sempre secondo i dati del Ministero della Sanità, nel 2001 ogni medico<br />
generico aveva 1.065 adulti residenti e ogni pediatra 1.075 bambini in cura,<br />
con differenze scarsamente rilevanti tra le aree geografiche del paese.<br />
Secondo dati Farmindustria, la spesa farmaceutica pubblica e privata in<br />
Italia nel 2001 ammonta a 296.805 milioni di euro ed è in crescita (nel 1999<br />
era di 247.726 milioni di euro e nel 2000 di 264.460 milioni di euro).<br />
2.5. Phenomenology<br />
«Più mercato e meno Stato» è lo slogan che, dalla seconda metà degli anni<br />
Ottanta, accompagna anche in Italia una radicale rivisitazione della Pubblica<br />
Amministrazione. L’Italia è attualmente in una fase di drastico<br />
ridimensionamento delle spese sanitarie per ridurre il debito pubblico.<br />
L’orientamento liberista ha però in Italia un profilo meno esplicito che nel<br />
mondo anglossassone. Il ripensamento nei confronti del vecchio “Stato<br />
sociale” si è soprattutto concentrato a ridurre le disfunzioni ed anche le<br />
degenerazioni del sistema politico che sono culminate negli scandali della<br />
fase di Tangentopoli nella prima metà degli anni ‘90.<br />
La spinta a contenere la spesa e a correggere alcune involuzioni gestionali<br />
trova in Italia una mai risolta esigenza di riforme che dalla prima metà degli<br />
anni ‘90 hanno affrontato le principali questioni lasciate irrisolte dalla Legge<br />
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n. 833, che nel 1978 aveva istituito il Servizio Sanitario Nazionale (SSN).<br />
Tali questioni possono essere così riassunte:<br />
- il problema di se<strong>par</strong>are le funzioni di finanziamento e di programmazione<br />
da quelle di gestione e di organizzazione dei servizi;<br />
- la regionalizzazione della spesa;<br />
- l’incremento di un sistema misto, attraverso la creazione di Aziende<br />
Sanitarie Locali (ASL) in competizione tra loro e con le strutture private<br />
accreditate;<br />
- l’introduzione del sistema di rimborso più funzionale e meno oneroso da<br />
<strong>par</strong>te degli utenti;<br />
Tali argomenti, delicati e difficili da risolversi, sono inseriti in un contesto<br />
politico e legislativo instabile e contraddittorio, soprattutto per quel che<br />
riguarda i rapporti tra pubblico e privato, e in un quadro di drastica<br />
contrazione delle risorse pubbliche per la salute.<br />
La Legge 502/1992 segna, ad esempio, il passaggio da un diritto alla<br />
tutela della salute costituzionalmente garantito a un diritto<br />
finanziariamente condizionato. A <strong>par</strong>tire dalla riforma del 1992 la spesa<br />
diventa una variabile indipendente (stabilita annualmente dal Governo in<br />
funzione delle compatibilità economiche e finanziarie del Paese), mentre i<br />
bisogni di salute rappresentano una variabile dipendente. Alle nuove<br />
Aziende Sanitarie Locali (ASL) viene affidato il compito di garantire<br />
anzitutto il <strong>par</strong>eggio del bilancio, a prescindere dai risultati di salute degli<br />
assistiti. Il metodo delle risorse definite ex ante produce una inevitabile e<br />
costante riduzione dei fondi a disposizione e il finanziamento pubblico<br />
risulta decisamente sottostimato rispetto al fabbisogno.<br />
Per quanto riguarda il rapporto tra pubblico e privato, la competizione è<br />
affidata a un modello di accreditamento delle strutture private debole,<br />
svincolato dalla programmazione, ancorato ai soli criteri quantitativi; sul<br />
versante pubblico, essa fa perno sulla se<strong>par</strong>azione degli ospedali dalle<br />
aziende territoriali e sulla loro trasformazione in aziende ospedaliere<br />
autonome, le cui prestazioni sono pagate secondo tariffe prestabilite. È il<br />
primo passo verso la se<strong>par</strong>azione tra la funzione di programmazione e di<br />
tutela della salute e la funzione di erogazione delle prestazioni. La<br />
concorrenza tra aziende pubbliche e strutture private accreditate non è<br />
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compiuta ma risulta fittizia perché chi finanzia, ovvero rimborsa la struttura<br />
pubblica e quella privata accreditata, è alla resa dei conti sempre il Servizio<br />
Sanitario Nazionale. In definitiva, il mercato sanitario è un mercato<br />
assistito in cui non esiste un vero e proprio rischio d’impresa.<br />
Altro aspetto problematico, l’organizzazione dei servizi privilegia le<br />
strutture ospedaliere piuttosto che la prevenzione, la medicina di base, la<br />
riabilitazione, e più in generale tutti i servizi territoriali (salute mentale, cura<br />
tossicodipendenze, consultori familiari, assistenza a persone portatrici di<br />
handicap, ecc.).<br />
Anche sul versante della spesa i tentativi di riforma sono tutt’altro che<br />
«virtuosi» e, insieme al drastico sottofinanziamento della Sanità,<br />
comportano un aumento considerevole dei deficit delle Regioni.<br />
Anche la regionalizzazione del sistema procede in modo del tutto<br />
insoddisfacente, pur essendo la Sanità il terreno più avanzato di autonomia<br />
organizzativa e gestionale. La maggiore autonomia locale produce<br />
conflittualità a tutti i livelli: tra Regioni e Comuni, perché i sindaci non<br />
hanno alcuna voce in capitolo sulle scelte regionali; tra Governo centrale e<br />
Governi regionali, impegnati soprattutto in una estenuante contrattazione<br />
delle risorse sempre più scarse. Le Regioni procedono in ordine s<strong>par</strong>so e il<br />
Ministero non ha né strumenti efficaci di verifica e controllo sullo stato di<br />
attuazione del processo di riordino, né poteri per sanzionare i ritardi e le<br />
omissioni. Ad esempio, dal 1988 al 1996, la maggioranza delle Regioni ha<br />
utilizzato poco o male i fondi per l’edilizia sanitaria e il Ministero non aveva<br />
strumenti per sanzionare i ritardi. Si accentuano il divario tra Nord e Sud del<br />
Paese e le disuguaglianze nelle opportunità di cura.<br />
Si impone l’esigenza di correggere le ambiguità e le contraddizioni di un<br />
modello di aziendalizzazione e regionalizzazione che rischia di aggravare il<br />
debito senza migliorare la qualità. La Sanità italiana si trova oggi davanti a<br />
un bivio: abbandonare il sistema universalistico, sostituendolo con forme<br />
assicurative private più o meno estese, o rafforzare il SSN e gli strumenti di<br />
governo del sistema.<br />
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3. POVERTY<br />
3.1. Definitions<br />
Sono molti gli strumenti forniti dalla Costituzione della Repubblica Italiana<br />
a sostegno delle politiche contro la povertà e l’esclusione sociale:<br />
Articoli 1, 4, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40 per il diritto al lavoro<br />
Articoli 29, 30, 31 - diritti della famiglia, matrimonio, tutela genitoriale,<br />
maternità, l’infanzia e la gioventù<br />
Articoli 3, 37, 38, per le <strong>par</strong>i dignità sociali ed i diritti di <strong>par</strong>i opportunità<br />
per categorie svantaggiate<br />
Articoli 34, diritto all’istruzione<br />
E’ probabilemte l’Articolo 3 quello che più incarna il principio ispiratore<br />
delle politiche di welfare e di inclusione sociale : “Tutti i cittadini hanno<br />
<strong>par</strong>i dignità sociale e sono eguali davanti alla legge, senza distinzione di<br />
sesso, di razza, di lingua, di religione, di opinioni politiche, di condizioni<br />
personali e sociali. È compito della Repubblica rimuovere gli ostacoli di<br />
ordine economico e sociale, che, limitando di fatto la libertà e l’eguaglianza<br />
dei cittadini, impediscono il pieno sviluppo della persona umana e l’effettiva<br />
<strong>par</strong>tecipazione di tutti i lavoratori all’organizzazione politica, economica e<br />
sociale del Paese.”<br />
3.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
Anche il sistema del welfare sta subendo una rapida e drastica evoluzione e i<br />
principali più recenti provvedimenti legislativi riguardano il diritto al lavoro<br />
e la previdenza sociale, il diritto alla cittadinanza degli immigrati e alle <strong>par</strong>i<br />
opportunità per categorie svantaggiate. Anche il sistema della pubblica<br />
istruzione è al centro di una serie di dibattiti <strong>par</strong>lamentari e di riforme. Per<br />
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ciascuno di questi ambiti sono allo studio nuove proposte di legge e i temi<br />
vengono discussi intorno ad alcune questioni chiave:<br />
- Per le politiche sul lavoro e sulla previdenza sociale la recente Legge 14<br />
febbraio 2003, n.30 “Biagi” apre a nuovi scenari di flessibilità rispetto ad<br />
un sistema tradizionale italiano caratterizzato da forti garanzie per i<br />
lavoratori e buone condizioni previdenziali per gli ex lavoratori che non<br />
risulta però più sostenibile;<br />
- Per le <strong>par</strong>i opportunità ed il diritto alla cittadinanza degli immigrati la<br />
recente Legge 30 luglio 2002 n.189 “Bossi/Fini” ha legato strettamente i<br />
flussi di entrata allo status di lavoratore, inasprendo le sanzioni contro la<br />
immigrazione irregolare e imponendo l’emersione dalla black economy;<br />
- Il sistema della pubblica istruzione in seguito alla legge del Legge 28<br />
marzo 2003, n. 53 sta sperimentando nuove forme in sintonia con il resto<br />
delle politiche del welfare verso una maggiore autonomia degli organi<br />
periferici ed un’apertura al settore privato;<br />
E’ opinione diffusa il fatto che su tutti questi ambiti si sia in mezzo ad un<br />
processo avviato ma i cui risultati a regime stentano a percepirsi.<br />
3.3. Fonti<br />
- Censis, 36° Rapporto sulla situazione sociale del Paese 2002,<br />
(www.censis.it)<br />
- Istat, La povertà in Italia nel 2002, 2003 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Quanto hanno speso le famiglie nel 2002, (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Annuario Statistico Italiano 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Italia in cifre 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Rapporto annuale sulla situazione del Paese 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
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3.4. Data<br />
Nel 2002, in base a dati Istat, l’11% delle famiglie italiane e 7.140 mila<br />
individui vivono sotto una soglia relativa di povertà, fissata a 823,45 euro di<br />
spesa mensile per una famiglia di due componenti; il 4,2% delle famiglie e<br />
2.916 mila individui vivono invece al di sotto di una soglia assoluta di<br />
povertà basata sul valore monetario di un paniere di beni e servizi fissato a<br />
573,63 euro mensili per una famiglia di due componenti.<br />
La povertà colpisce soprattutto il Mezzogiorno, le famiglie più numerose e<br />
le famiglie di anziani. Al Sud Italia il 22,4% delle famiglie è al di sotto della<br />
povertà relativa. Le famiglie con tre o più figli sono povere nel 25% dei casi<br />
all’incirca. Le famiglie con due o più anziani sono povere nel 17,4% dei<br />
casi.<br />
Riguardo all’Istruzione, in Italia la scuola è obbligatoria dai 6 ai 15 anni.<br />
Nel 2002, secondo i dati dell’Istat, la popolazione italiana senza alcun titolo<br />
di studio o con la sola licenza elementare è il 30% (il 24,8% dei maschi e il<br />
34,8% delle femmine) mentre il 32,9% ha raggiunto la licenza media (il<br />
36,4% dei maschi e il 29,7% delle femmine); il 29,6% della popolazione ha<br />
terminato la scuola superiore (il 30,8% dei maschi e il 28,5% delle<br />
femmine) mentre solamente il 7,5% ha concluso gli studi universitari (l’8%<br />
dei maschi e il 7,1% delle femmine).<br />
Il reddito pro capite del 2001 è di 15.037 euro, con differenze rilevanti tra<br />
le aree geografiche del paese: 17.903 euro al Nord-Ovest, 16.977 euro al<br />
Nord-Est, 16.620 euro al Centro e 11.100 euro al Sud.<br />
Nel 2002, in base a dati Istat, l’11% delle famiglie italiane e 7.140 mila<br />
individui vivono sotto una soglia relativa di povertà, fissata a 823,45 euro<br />
di spesa mensile per una famiglia di due componenti, e il 4,2% delle<br />
famiglie e 2.916 mila individui vivono al di sotto di una soglia assoluta di<br />
povertà basata sul valore monetario di un paniere di beni e servizi fissato a<br />
573,63 euro mensili per una famiglia di due componenti. La povertà<br />
colpisce soprattutto il Mezzogiorno, dove il 22,4% delle famiglie è al di<br />
sotto della povertà relativa, le famiglie più numerose e le famiglie di<br />
anziani. Circa il 25% delle famiglie con tre o più figli risulta povero. Le<br />
famiglie con due o più anziani sono povere nel 17,4% dei casi.<br />
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Il tasso di disoccupazione negli ultimi anni ha iniziato a scendere. Nel 2001<br />
le persone disoccupate erano 2.267.000 (9,1% in meno rispetto al 2000) e il<br />
tasso di disoccupazione era del 9,5% (10,6% nel 2000, dati Istat). Nel 2002<br />
i disoccupati sono 2.163.000 (4,6% in meno rispetto al 2001) e il tasso di<br />
disoccupazione è del 9%. Tuttavia, il tasso di disoccupazione tocca livelli<br />
preoccupanti al Sud, dove è ancora del 18,3% nel 2002 (al Nord e al Centro<br />
è rispettivamente del 4% e del 6,6%, secondo dati Istat). La disoccupazione<br />
riguarda le donne più degli uomini: nel 2002 il tasso di disoccupazione<br />
femminile è del 12,2%, rispetto al 7% degli uomini, e al Sud Italia è<br />
addirittura del 26,4%. I lavoratori indipendenti sono nel 70,8% dei casi<br />
uomini e i lavoratori dipendenti di alto livello (dirigenti e direttivi-quadri)<br />
sono ugualmente, nel 70,7% dei casi, uomini (Istat 2002).<br />
Il tasso di disoccupazione giovanile in Italia è del 27,2%, 31,4% tra le<br />
donne e 24% tra gli uomini. Anche in questo caso le differenze regionali<br />
sono notevoli: al Sud i giovani tra 15 e 24 anni sono disoccupati nel 49,4%<br />
dei casi (Istat, 2002). Si può tuttavia osservare negli ultimi anni una<br />
tendenza decrescente del tasso di disoccupazione giovanile: nel 1999 era<br />
infatti del 56,6%, nel 2000 del 55% e nel 2001 del 50,8% (Istat).<br />
La spesa pensionistica per i lavoratori dipendenti ha raggiunto nel 2001 i<br />
138.015 milioni di euro (nel 2000 l’importo era di 130.846 milioni di euro).<br />
La pensione media annua è di 17.250 euro (nel 2000 era di 16.500 euro) ma<br />
esistono differenze a seconda delle tipologie di lavoratori: il fondo pensioni<br />
lavoratori dipendenti dell’Inps dà diritto in media a soli 8.000 euro l’anno<br />
mentre l’istituto giornalisti a 44.000 euro l’anno (dati del Nucleo di<br />
valutazione spesa previdenziale).<br />
Per quanto riguarda i lavoratori autonomi e i professionisti, la spesa nel<br />
2001 ammonta a 26.161 milioni di euro (25.043 milioni nel 2000) con una<br />
pensione media annua di 5800 euro l’anno (dati del Nucleo di valutazione<br />
spesa previdenziale).<br />
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3.5. Phenomenology<br />
La crisi che dagli anni ‘70 si è sempre più configurata nei termini di una<br />
rottura dell’equilibrio che la protezione sociale, attraverso la sua continua<br />
espansione, garantiva nei decenni precedenti caratterizzati da una fotre<br />
espansione economica. Questa crisi sembra avere, in linea di principio, due<br />
ordini di cause: a) il problema della crisi fiscale dello Stato, dello squilibrio<br />
tra le entrate e le spese delle istituzioni; b) l’unificazione dei mercati delle<br />
monete e del credito e l’accelerazione dell’innovazione tecnologica ed<br />
organizzativa<br />
Entrambe queste cause hanno ridotto i margini di manovra a disposizione<br />
degli Stati nazionali per trasformare i vincoli generati dall’economia<br />
mondiale in opportunità di sviluppo da cogliere localmente. I nuovi scenari<br />
sembrano inoltre minare gli equilibri storici del mercato del lavoro e<br />
produrre nuova incertezza per quote sempre più ampie della popolazione<br />
locale, anche nelle asce medie tradizionalmente al ri<strong>par</strong>o da regimi di<br />
incertezza sconosciuti negli ultimi 50 anni.<br />
Lo stesso mercato del lavoro premia la soggettività personale, declinata in<br />
termini di individualismo e di flessibilità, in un contesto che ap<strong>par</strong>e<br />
contraddistinto da una crescita esponenziale della competitività, il cui effetto<br />
è un sempre più accentuato declino delle coscienze collettive e delle<br />
solidarietà di classe, dei corpi intermedi e di tutti gli organi di<br />
rappresentanza, con una segmentazione molecolare dei gruppi sociali che<br />
esprimono domande e bisogni sempre più spesso diversificati, se non<br />
addirittura opposti, e la creazione di una fascia di “nuova povertà” formata<br />
da esclusi spesso incapaci di, o impossibilitati a, far sentire la propria<br />
presenza sullo scenario della politica sociale. L’effetto di tale crisi è<br />
dirompente e trascende l’impressione di un semplice malfunzionamento. I<br />
fattori di crisi più sopra richiamati sembrano avere l’effetto di svuotare di<br />
contenuti la stessa concezione di Welfare. L’Italia è entrata in un’epoca di<br />
transizione perpetua, nella quale il cambiamento non è più immediatamente<br />
interpretabile in termini di progresso, di sviluppo dell’individuo e della<br />
società, ma è piuttosto generatore di incertezza, di confusione, di<br />
insicurezza, di disintegrazione sociale. La fase di crisi, che si è acuita dagli<br />
anni ‘90, non riguarda soltanto l’ambito dei diritti sociali, ma investe anche<br />
le dimensioni dei diritti politici con una spirale che coinvolge e si alimenta<br />
nello svuotamento di contenuti della <strong>par</strong>tecipazione politica. Persino i diritti<br />
civili, a causa dell’aumento dell’incertezza personale in tutti gli ambiti<br />
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connessi al well-being producono ulteriori incertezze, fragilità, esclusione<br />
sociale e devianza, con la conseguente perdita del controllo e della perdita di<br />
efficacia dell’intero impianto della protezione sociale.<br />
In simili circostanze è sempre più difficile, in Italia così come negli altri<br />
paesi con una economia avanzata, “quadrare il cerchio” che i principi laici e<br />
democratici hanno legato, almeno nella concezione della Repubblica, il<br />
benessere economico alla coesione sociale ed alla libertà politica. Tale<br />
difficoltà diventa macroscopica ed ancora più scomoda se proiettata nelle<br />
contraddizioni del sistema nazionale di protezione sociale, dove ad un<br />
periodo di espansione del welfare, della cittadinanza, della spesa pubblica, si<br />
va gradatamente sostituendo un sistema che è stato beffardamente definito<br />
“Stato asociale” (Boeri 2000), che dissemina di “trappole” (cfr. Ferrera<br />
1998) il percorso di sviluppo della società italiana, anziché promuovere<br />
garanzie.<br />
Nuove opportunità di inserimento sociale – ad esempio per le donne -, e<br />
nuove speranze di riscatto della povertà – per gli immigrati che provengono<br />
dalle società “in via di sviluppo” – si accompagnano a crescenti rischi di<br />
emarginazione o di autentica esclusione in una società che – con maggiore<br />
evidenza nei contesti urbani - diviene sempre più complessa, sempre più<br />
interdipendente, sempre più pervasa da ambiguità e incertezze che troppo<br />
spesso vengono declinate in termini di precarietà nelle chances di vita.<br />
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4. CRIME<br />
4.1. Definitions<br />
Nella Costituzione della Repubblica Italiana l’Articolo 27 precisa che “la<br />
responsabilità penale è personale. L’imputato non è considerato colpevole<br />
sino alla condanna definitiva. Le pene non possono consistere in trattamenti<br />
contrari al senso di umanità e devono tendere alla rieducazione del<br />
condannato. Non è ammessa la pena di morte, se non nei casi previsti dalle<br />
leggi militari di guerra. Altri articoli, (111, 112 e 113) regolano le “Norme<br />
sulla giurisdizione” ed il primo di essi regola i diritti dell’accusato: “Nel<br />
processo penale, la legge assicura che la persona accusata di un reato sia, nel<br />
più breve tempo possibile, informata riservatamente della natura e dei<br />
motivi dell’accusa elevata a suo carico; disponga del tempo e delle<br />
condizioni necessari per pre<strong>par</strong>are la sua difesa; abbia la facoltà, davanti al<br />
giudice, di interrogare o di far interrogare le persone che rendono<br />
dichiarazioni a suo carico, di ottenere la convocazione e l’interrogatorio di<br />
persone a sua difesa nelle stesse condizioni dell’accusa e l’acquisizione di<br />
ogni altro mezzo di prova a suo favore; sia assistita da un interprete se non<br />
comprende o non <strong>par</strong>la la lingua impiegata nel processo”. La legge penale<br />
italiana è regolata dal Codice penale ed obbliga tutti coloro che, cittadini o<br />
stranieri, si trovano ne l territorio dello Stato, salve le eccezioni stabilite dal<br />
diritto pubblico interno o dal diritto internazionale.<br />
4.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
La legge penale italiana obbliga altresì tutti coloro che, cittadini o stranieri,<br />
si trovano all`estero, ma limitatamente ai casi stabiliti dalla legge medesima<br />
o dal diritto internazionale. Le pene principali stabilite per i delitti sono<br />
l’ergastolo, la reclusione (fino a 24 anni), la multa, l’arresto e l’ammenda.<br />
Sotto la denominazione di pene detentive o restrittive della libertà personale<br />
la legge comprende: l’ergastolo, la reclusione e l’arresto. Sotto la<br />
denominazione di pene pecuniarie la legge comprende: la multa e<br />
l’ammenda.<br />
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4.3. Fonti<br />
- Censis, Sviluppo e legalità nel Mezzogiorno (www.svileg.censis.it)<br />
- Istat, Annuario Statistico Italiano 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Italia in cifre 2002 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Statistiche giudiziarie penali, anno 2001 (www.istat.it)<br />
- Istat, Statistiche giudiziarie civili, anno 2001 (www.istat.it)<br />
4.4. Data<br />
Secondo i dati dell’Istat, nel 2001 i reati denunciati alle autorità giudiziarie<br />
dalle forze dell’ordine sono 2.163.826, 41.956 in meno rispetto al 2000.<br />
Sempre nel 2001, al Nord sono denunciati 1.048.781 reati, al Centro<br />
459.419 e al Sud 655.626. Le denunce sono in media 38 ogni 1.000 abitanti,<br />
più frequenti al Nord e al Centro (rispettivamente 41 e 42,1 ogni 1.000<br />
abitanti), rispetto al Sud (32 denunce ogni 1.000 abitanti).<br />
La popolazione carceraria, secondo dati Istat relativi al 2001, ammonta a<br />
55.751 persone, 16.511 delle quali straniere (il 29,6%). Solamente il 4,3%<br />
delle persone detenute è di sesso femminile; tra le donne detenute, la<br />
percentuale delle straniere è molto più alta rispetto agli uomini (il 41,5%<br />
rispetto al 29,1%). Nel complesso, nel 2001, i detenuti sono il 16,7% in più<br />
rispetto al 1995 e gli stranieri detenuti, addirittura il 102,7% in più rispetto<br />
allo stesso anno. Il numero più elevato di detenuti si registra al Sud (23.441<br />
rispetto ai 21.243 del Nord e i 11.067 del Centro) ma il numero maggiore di<br />
detenuti stranieri si trova al Nord (8.709 rispetto ai 4.322 del Centro e i<br />
3.480 del Sud).<br />
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4.5. Phenomenology<br />
Il delicato rapporto tra giustizia e politica, seppure in questi ultimi anni ha<br />
acceso molte polemiche e fratture fra alti rappresentanti del potere esecutivo<br />
e giudiziario del Paese, ha posto le condizioni per una riflessione sui mali<br />
della giustizia penale italiana. Fra le questioni recentemente in Italia emerse<br />
nel dibattito sulla Giustizia degli ultimi anni:<br />
- la riforma di una sentenza di assoluzione attraverso la mera rivisitazione<br />
dei giudici d’appello degli stessi elementi di prova raccolti nel<br />
contraddittorio e nell’oralità dai primi giudici;<br />
- la se<strong>par</strong>azione delle carriere tra giudici e pubblici ministeri;<br />
- l’immunità <strong>par</strong>lamentare;<br />
- la possibilità, in condizioni di “legittimo sospetto”, di rimette il processo<br />
ad altro giudice, su richiesta motivata del procuratore generale, del<br />
pubblico ministero o dell’imputato stesso;<br />
- la pronuncia di una sentenza di condanna a più di 20 anni dal fatto;<br />
- l’abuso del ricorso allo strumento della misura cautelare.<br />
Numerose sono le voci che hanno espresso la volontà di affrontare<br />
costruttivamente le delicate questioni oggetto del dibattito su una riforma<br />
della Giustizia nella convinzione della necessità di una riforma organica che<br />
renda il sistema più rapido ed efficiente e che allo stesso tempo garantisca la<br />
se<strong>par</strong>azione ed autonomia del potere giudiziario dai sistemi esecutivo e<br />
legislativo del Paese.<br />
Le condizioni per tale riforma non sono <strong>par</strong>ticolarmente propizie nell’Italia<br />
di oggi, dove la questione della Giustizia assume delle accese valenze di<br />
carattere politico, e dove le obiezioni espresse e le soluzioni auspicate<br />
fuoriescono dagli ambiti tecnici di una riforma e trovano cassa di risonanza<br />
sull’acceso dibattito politico di questi ultimi anni. Se da un lato le forze<br />
politiche di maggioranza si sono impegnate in interventi riformatori di breve<br />
respiro, spesso ispirati al soddisfacimento di interessi <strong>par</strong>ticolari, d’altro lato<br />
le forze politiche di minoranza non hanno saputo immaginare alternative<br />
alla tentazione di demonizzare ogni ipotesi di riforma anche prescindendo<br />
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dal suo contenuto. Il coinvolgimento della stessa Magistratura in tale<br />
dibattito politico non gioca a favore di una riflessione costruttiva. Superare<br />
le sterili contrapposizioni e affrontare con concretezza i nodi del sistema<br />
giudiziario italiano ap<strong>par</strong>e una scommessa tanto auspicabile quanto ardua.<br />
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5. TRENDS AND CORRELATIONS<br />
5.1. The evolution from the ‘80s<br />
Al di là delle problematiche connesse al funzionamento dei sistemi<br />
previdenziali, sanitari e giudiziari, nell’ultimo ventennio l’Italia ha<br />
attraversato una fase caratterizzata da fenomeni di una certa stabilità.<br />
Nonostante i grossi cambiamenti intercorsi nell’economia, nella sfera<br />
politica e nella congiuntura internazionale, la ricchezza procapite è andata<br />
aumentando in modo costante, fino ad una prima recente battuta d’arresto<br />
nel 2002 (tab. 1).<br />
Tab. 1 - Analisi della povertà in Italia - Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico di ricchezza<br />
(valore aggiunto per ab.in mgl di euro<br />
a prezzi 1995)<br />
1980 11,6<br />
1981 11,6<br />
1982 11,7<br />
1983 11,8<br />
1984 12,1<br />
1985 12,4<br />
1986 12,7<br />
1987 13,0<br />
1988 13,5<br />
1989 13,9<br />
1990 14,1<br />
1991 14,5<br />
1992 14,6<br />
1993 14,4<br />
1994 14,7<br />
1995 15,2<br />
1996 15,3<br />
1997 15,6<br />
1998 15,8<br />
1999 16,1<br />
2000 16,5<br />
2001 17,0<br />
2002 17,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat<br />
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18,0<br />
17,0<br />
16,0<br />
15,0<br />
14,0<br />
13,0<br />
12,0<br />
11,0<br />
10,0<br />
1980<br />
1982<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
La ricchezza in Italia (v.a. per abitante in migliaia di euro)<br />
Anni 1980-2002<br />
1984<br />
1986<br />
1988<br />
1990<br />
1992<br />
Anni<br />
Anche la spesa delle famiglie per salute e spese sanitarie, sebbene si<br />
dimostra meno lineare dell’incremento della ricchezza, registra una<br />
tendenza positiva e piuttosto ciclica, con delle avanzate della spesa negli<br />
anni 1987, 1993, 1995-96, un calo evidente nel 2000 ed una netta ripresa<br />
negli ultimi anni (tab. 2).<br />
1994<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
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Tab.2 – Analisi della salute in Italia (spesa delle famiglie) -<br />
Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico salute<br />
(spesa delle famiglie per servizi<br />
sanitari in mln di euro a prezzi<br />
1995 per 100.000 famiglie)<br />
1980 35,8<br />
1981 37,2<br />
1982 37,2<br />
1983 38,3<br />
1984 40,3<br />
1985 39,6<br />
1986 43,2<br />
1987 43,1<br />
1988 47,0<br />
1989 50,1<br />
1990 51,4<br />
1991 56,6<br />
1992 65,3<br />
1993 66,8<br />
1994 73,7<br />
1995 81,2<br />
1996 82,3<br />
1997 84,1<br />
1998 85,0<br />
1999 84,4<br />
2000 84,0<br />
2001 87,4<br />
2002 89,4<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat<br />
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90,0<br />
80,0<br />
70,0<br />
60,0<br />
50,0<br />
40,0<br />
30,0<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Spesa delle famiglie residenti in Italia<br />
per servizi sanitari (milioni di euro)<br />
Anni 1980-2002<br />
1980<br />
1982<br />
1984<br />
1986<br />
1988<br />
1990<br />
1992<br />
1994<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
Anni<br />
La diffusione della criminalità, invece, registrata attraverso in numero di<br />
delitti per abitante, dimostra un andamento assai più irregolare, con un picco<br />
mai più eguagliato nel 1991 di quasi 47 delitti ogni 1000 abitanti, un netto<br />
calo fino al 1994, e poi una netta ripresa seguita da una morbida flessione<br />
fino al 2001, anno in cui ha inizio una ripresa che arriva ad oggi (tab. 3). Le<br />
oscillazioni non sono semplici da spiegare, specialmente a causa delle<br />
diverse concause fra le quali è possibile elencare:<br />
- le evoluzioni legislative, con importanti modificazioni delle leggi penali<br />
vigenti;<br />
- l’aumento della compagine sociale e dell’incidenza di popolazione<br />
immigrata irregolare con basse possibilità di inserimento regolare;<br />
- il frammentarsi della criminalità organizzata ed il suo evolversi verso<br />
crimini diversi;<br />
- l’aumento della microcriminalità ed il suo distribuirsi nella penisola<br />
rispetto a fenomeni classici di maggiore concentrazione nelle aree<br />
metropolitane meridionali.<br />
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Tab. 3 – Analisi della criminalità in Italia - Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indice di diffusione della criminalità<br />
(delitti per 1.000 abitanti)<br />
1988 32,9<br />
1989 35,7<br />
1990 43,3<br />
1991 46,7<br />
1992 42,0<br />
1993 39,6<br />
1994 38,0<br />
1995 39,5<br />
1996 42,2<br />
1997 42,4<br />
1998 42,1<br />
1999 41,2<br />
2000 38,1<br />
2001 38,0<br />
2002 38,9<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat e Ministero dell’interno<br />
50,0<br />
45,0<br />
40,0<br />
35,0<br />
30,0<br />
25,0<br />
Il livello di difusione della criminalità in italia (delitti per 1.000 abitanti)<br />
Anni 1988-2002<br />
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />
Anni<br />
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Oltre a quanto rilevato per l’indicatore sintetico di ricchezza, calcolato<br />
attraverso il valore aggiunto per abitanti, è possibile calcolare anche<br />
l’indicatore sintetico di povertà che stabilisce l’incidenza delle famiglie<br />
povere sul totale delle famiglie italiane. Dal 1995 al 2001 l’incidenza oscilla<br />
intorno ad una media dell’11,5% e sembra indifferente all’incremento della<br />
ricchezza, all’aumento della spesa per la salute delle famiglie (tab. 4).<br />
L’indice di criminalità diffusa, calcolato sulla percentuale dei “piccoli<br />
crimini” su quelli più gravi, segue un andamento tendente all’incremento del<br />
tutto sganciato da quello della criminalità in generale, e quasi speculare, con<br />
incrementi nel 1998 e 1999 anni in cui la criminalità in generale era stabile o<br />
in decremento, e con una espansione nel 1997 che non trova riscontro nei<br />
dati complessivi dei reati rispetto alla popolazione.<br />
Tab. 4 - Analisi della povertà, salute e criminalità in Italia - Anni 1995-2001<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico povertà<br />
(incidenza % delle famiglie<br />
povere)<br />
Indice di criminalità diffusa<br />
(furti e rapine meno gravi in %<br />
dei delitti)<br />
1995 10,6 60,1<br />
1996 10,3 58,6<br />
1997 12,0 58,6<br />
1998 11,8 62,3<br />
1999 11,9 63,8<br />
2000 12,3 63,5<br />
2001 12,0 61,8<br />
Fonte: dati Istat<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
12,5<br />
12,0<br />
11,5<br />
11,0<br />
10,5<br />
10,0<br />
9,5<br />
9,0<br />
65,0<br />
64,0<br />
63,0<br />
62,0<br />
61,0<br />
60,0<br />
59,0<br />
58,0<br />
57,0<br />
56,0<br />
55,0<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Famiglie povere in Italia (val. %) Anni 1995-2001<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Indice di criminalità diffusa in Italia (val. %) Anni 1995-2001<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
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5.2. Correlation between poverty, health crime and other<br />
development indicators in the last decades<br />
Alta ed indiscutibile è la correlazione fra ricchezza e spesa sanitaria delle<br />
famiglie italiane, con un tasso di correlazione dello 0,9216. L’aumento della<br />
ricchezza delle famiglie si traduc, pressochè automaticamente, in un<br />
aumento della spesa per servizi sanitari (tab. 5).<br />
Tab. 5 - Analisi della povertà e salute in Italia - Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico di richezza<br />
(valore aggiunto per ab.in mgl di<br />
euro)<br />
Indicatore sintetico salute (spesa<br />
delle famiglie per servizi sanitari in<br />
mln di euro per 100.000 famiglie)<br />
1980 11,6 35,8<br />
1981 11,6 37,2<br />
1982 11,7 37,2<br />
1983 11,8 38,3<br />
1984 12,1 40,3<br />
1985 12,4 39,6<br />
1986 12,7 43,2<br />
1987 13,0 43,1<br />
1988 13,5 47,0<br />
1989 13,9 50,1<br />
1990 14,1 51,4<br />
1991 14,5 56,6<br />
1992 14,6 65,3<br />
1993 14,4 66,8<br />
1994 14,7 73,7<br />
1995 15,2 81,2<br />
1996 15,3 82,3<br />
1997 15,6 84,1<br />
1998 15,8 85,0<br />
1999 16,1 84,4<br />
2000 16,5 84,0<br />
2001 17,0 87,4<br />
2002 17,0 89,4<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat<br />
217
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100,0<br />
90,0<br />
80,0<br />
70,0<br />
60,0<br />
50,0<br />
40,0<br />
30,0<br />
20,0<br />
10,0<br />
0,0<br />
La ricchezza e la spesa sanitaria delle famiglie residenti in Italia<br />
Anni 1980-2002<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
R 2 = 0,9216<br />
10,0 11,0 12,0 13,0 14,0 15,0 16,0 17,0 18,0<br />
Viceversa, un dato significativo è rappresentato dalla completa mancata<br />
correlazione, né positiva né negativa, dell’aumento della ricchezza con<br />
l’aumento, o il diminuire, dell’indice di diffusione della criminalità, <strong>par</strong>i all<br />
0,0089. Indipendentemente dal cambiare della condizione di ricchezza delle<br />
famiglie, l’indice di criminalità sembra rispondere ad altre logiche che non<br />
comunicano con l’incremento o la riduzione della ricchezza. Una debolezza<br />
simile, anche se meno accentuata si riscontra fra criminalità e presenza o<br />
meno di famiglie povere, dove il tasso di correlazione sale allo 0,3842 (tab.<br />
6).<br />
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Tab. 6 - Analisi della povertà e criminalità in Italia - Anni 1988-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico di richezza<br />
(valore aggiunto per ab.in mgl di<br />
euro)<br />
Indice di diffusione della criminalità<br />
(delitti per abitante per 1.000 abitanti)<br />
1988 13,5 32,9<br />
1989 13,9 35,7<br />
1990 14,1 43,3<br />
1991 14,5 46,7<br />
1992 14,6 42,0<br />
1993 14,4 39,6<br />
1994 14,7 38,0<br />
1995 15,2 39,5<br />
1996 15,3 42,2<br />
1997 15,6 42,4<br />
1998 15,8 42,1<br />
1999 16,1 41,2<br />
2000 16,5 38,1<br />
2001 17,0 38,0<br />
2002 17,0 38,9<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat e Ministero dell’interno<br />
50,0<br />
48,0<br />
46,0<br />
44,0<br />
42,0<br />
40,0<br />
38,0<br />
36,0<br />
34,0<br />
32,0<br />
30,0<br />
La ricchezza e il livello di diffusione di criminalità in Italia<br />
Anni 1988-2002<br />
R 2 = 0,0089<br />
12,0 13,0 14,0 15,0 16,0 17,0 18,0<br />
219
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Analisi della povertà, salute e criminalità in Italia - Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico povertà<br />
(incidenza % delle famiglie<br />
povere)<br />
1995 10,6 60,1<br />
1996 10,3 58,6<br />
1997 12,0 58,6<br />
1998 11,8 62,3<br />
1999 11,9 63,8<br />
2000 12,3 63,5<br />
2001 12,0 61,8<br />
2002<br />
Fonte: dati Istat<br />
65,0<br />
64,0<br />
63,0<br />
62,0<br />
61,0<br />
60,0<br />
59,0<br />
58,0<br />
Famiglie povere in Italia e livello di diffusione di criminalità -<br />
Anni 1995-2001<br />
Indice di criminalità diffusa<br />
(furti e rapine meno gravi in<br />
% dei delitti)<br />
R 2 = 0,3842<br />
10,0 10,5 11,0 11,5 12,0 12,5<br />
Analoga debolezza di correlazione si riscontra fra la spesa della salute delle<br />
famiglie ed I tassi di criminlaità rispetto alla popolazione, confermando<br />
l’esistenza di 3 elementi la cui correlazione non è nè diretta nè lineare e che<br />
per essere rintracciata ha bisogno di tecniche di analisi più articolate come<br />
l’analisi della correlazione delle componenti principali (ACP) che è stata<br />
condotta sul compesso dei paesi del Mediterraneo nella Parte Seconda della<br />
presente ricerca.<br />
220
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Tab. Analisi della salute e criminalità in Italia - Anni 1980-2002<br />
Anno<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Indicatore sintetico salute<br />
(spesa delle famiglie per<br />
servizi sanitari in mln di<br />
euro a prezzi 1995 per<br />
100.000 famiglie)<br />
Indice di diffusione della<br />
criminalità (delitti per<br />
abitante per 1.000 abitanti)<br />
1988 47,0 32,9<br />
1989 50,1 35,7<br />
1990 51,4 43,3<br />
1991 56,6 46,7<br />
1992 65,3 42,0<br />
1993 66,8 39,6<br />
1994 73,7 38,0<br />
1995 81,2 39,5<br />
1996 82,3 42,2<br />
1997 84,1 42,4<br />
1998 85,0 42,1<br />
1999 84,4 41,2<br />
2000 84,0 38,1<br />
2001 87,4 38,0<br />
2002 89,4 38,9<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat e Ministero dell’interno<br />
50,0<br />
48,0<br />
46,0<br />
44,0<br />
42,0<br />
40,0<br />
38,0<br />
36,0<br />
34,0<br />
32,0<br />
30,0<br />
La spesa sanitaria delle famiglie residenti in Italia e il livello di diffusione di criminalità -<br />
Anni 1988-2002<br />
R 2 = 0,0208<br />
40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0<br />
221
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5.3. Key issues, political agenda and perspectives<br />
L’analisi teorica ed empirica sulla protezione sociale, sulla possibile<br />
ridefinizione del punto di equilibrio fra esigenze di welfare e crisi dello<br />
sviluppo economico e sue interconnessioni con la sicurezza individuale e la<br />
criminalità, è di immediato e condiviso interesse per la comunità scientifica<br />
internazionale, sia quella afferente a contesti sulla via dello sviluppo sia<br />
quella che riflette sul cammino dei Paesi più avanzati del bacino del<br />
mediterraneo. La sfida che sta di fronte a studiosi e ricercatori ap<strong>par</strong>e<br />
triplice:<br />
- per un verso si tratta di combinare una varietà di concetti e di strumenti<br />
prelevati dalla “cassetta degli attrezzi” delle scienze sociali – e dunque<br />
della sociologia, dell’economia, della scienza politica, della statistica,<br />
della giurisprudenza, della demografia – per interpretare i processi in<br />
corso, individuare le cause dei problemi, valutare le possibili alternative,<br />
proporre ipotesi di intervento;<br />
- per un altro, bisogna tenere presente una varietà di livelli di analisi e di<br />
proposta: dal livello globale, al quale già si affaccia l’ipotesi di una<br />
cittadinanza mondiale portatrice di istanze di riequilibrio della sovranità<br />
del mercato mondiale autoregolato, a quello delle istituzioni<br />
sovranazionali, che riguarda <strong>par</strong>ticolarmente l’Italia in quanto impegnata<br />
nel processo di costruzione di una “cittadinanza europea”, a quello dello<br />
Stato nazionale, che in ciascun Paese rappresenta tuttora la porzione più<br />
cospicua del sistema della protezione sociale; a quello dei contesti locali,<br />
sui quali paiono scaricarsi i costi umani e sociali dei cambiamenti in<br />
questione e che tuttavia presentano opportunità che è importante cogliere<br />
per la riattivazione di interventi di protezione sociale e di percorsi di<br />
inserimento e di <strong>par</strong>tecipazione che possono assumere un’importanza<br />
notevole nel quadro delle trasformazioni in corso;<br />
- per un altro ancora, occorre studiare, con l’ausilio degli strumenti in<br />
precedenza menzionati, ai diversi livelli sopra citati, e con il ricorso ad<br />
una metodologia com<strong>par</strong>ativa d’indagine, gli effetti prodotti dai<br />
mutamenti che intervengono nella protezione sociale sugli assetti e sugli<br />
orizzonti dei contesti più avanzati, in maniera da delineare i livelli di<br />
sicurezza e di coesione disponibili e l’articolazione di questi in rapporto<br />
alle diverse fasce della popolazione.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
222
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Il che significa ricondurre il problema della cittadinanza sociale alla<br />
questione della “giusta tutela”, e quindi in sostanza dei contenuti<br />
effettivamente fruibili dei diritti che definiscono la cittadinanza in ciascun<br />
contesto storico-sociale e che possono consentire di difendere, e forse anche<br />
di promuovere, la libertà e l’eguaglianza nel rispetto della diversità. Il che<br />
significa affrontare, con strumenti interdisciplinari ed avendo riguardo alle<br />
interazioni ed alle interferenze tra i molteplici livelli territoriali dell’analisi e<br />
della ricerca sul campo, il problema dell’integrazione tra i diversi com<strong>par</strong>ti<br />
della politica sociale – il sistema dell’istruzione e della formazione<br />
professionale, le misure di inserimento sociale ed occupazionale, il settore<br />
della previdenza, la politica dell’abitazione ecc. – e tra questa e la più<br />
generale politica del Paese – ad esempio, l’interazione tra la politica sociale,<br />
la politica fiscale, la politica economica, la politica di coesione regionale e<br />
di sviluppo.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
223
6. ANNESSO STATISTICO
DATI GENERALI
Tab. 1 - Struttura per età della popolazione residente in Italia per ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale al 01/01/2001, Maschi - (v.a. e val. %)<br />
0 - 14 15 - 64 65 e oltre Totale<br />
v.a. % v.a. % v.a. % v.a. %<br />
Nord 1.670.278 13,3 8.857.299 70,7 2.008.999 16,0 12.536.576 100,0<br />
Centro 747.908 13,9 3.727.130 69,2 913.735 17,0 5.388.773 100,0<br />
Sud e isole 1.852.400 18,2 6.928.785 68,1 1.388.323 13,7 10.169.508 100,0<br />
Italia 4.270.586 15,2 19.513.214 69,5 4.311.057 15,3 28.094.857 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 2 - Struttura per età della popolazione residente in Italia per ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale al 01/01/2001, Femmine - (v.a. e val. %)<br />
0 - 14 15 - 64 65 e oltre Totale<br />
v.a. % v.a. % v.a. % v.a. %<br />
Nord 1.576.008 11,9 8.680.992 65,3 3.040.707 22,9 13.297.707 100,0<br />
Centro 705.548 12,2 3.772.163 65,4 1.293.099 22,4 5.770.810 100,0<br />
Sud e isole 1.751.762 16,4 7.017.809 65,7 1.911.072 17,9 10.680.643 100,0<br />
Italia 4.033.318 13,6 19.470.964 65,5 6.244.878 21,0 29.749.160 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 3 - Struttura per età della popolazione residente in Italia per ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale al 01/01/2001, Totale - (v.a. e val. %)<br />
0 - 14 15 - 64 65 e oltre Totale<br />
v.a. % v.a. % v.a. % v.a. %<br />
Nord 3.246.286 12,6 17.538.291 67,9 5.049.706 19,5 25.834.283 100,0<br />
Centro 1.453.456 13,0 7.499.293 67,2 2.206.834 19,8 11.159.583 100,0<br />
Sud e isole 3.604.162 17,3 13.946.594 66,9 3.299.395 15,8 20.850.151 100,0<br />
Italia 8.303.904 14,4 38.984.178 67,4 10.555.935 18,2 57.844.017 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 4 - Struttura demografica dei Paesi dell'Unione Europea - Anni 1995-2002 (v.a.e val. %)<br />
Popolazio<br />
ne al 1<br />
gennaio in<br />
migliaia di<br />
abitanti<br />
Quota %<br />
sul totale<br />
Eur15<br />
Tasso di<br />
accrescime<br />
nto per<br />
1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
Quota %<br />
0-19 anni<br />
Quota %<br />
20-59 anni<br />
Quota %<br />
60 anni e<br />
oltre<br />
Anni Belgio Danimarca Germania Grecia Spagna Francia Irlanda Italia Lussemburgo Paesi Bassi Austria Portogallo Finlandia Svezia Regno Unito Eur 15<br />
1995 10.130,6 5.215,7 81.538,6 10.442,9 39.177,4 58.020,1 3.594,7(1) 57.268,6 406,6 15.424,1 8.039,9 9.912,1 5.098,8 8.816,4 58.500,2<br />
371.586,7<br />
(2)<br />
1996 10.143,0 5.251,0 81.817,5 10.465,1 39.241,9<br />
58.255,9<br />
(1)<br />
3.615,6(1) 57.333,0 412,8 15.493,9 8.054,8 9.920,8 5.116,8 8.837,5 58694,0 (1)<br />
372.653,6<br />
(1)<br />
1997 10.170,2 5.275,1 82.012,2 10.486,6 39.298,6<br />
58.491,6<br />
(1)<br />
3.652,2 (1) 57.461,0 418,3 15.567,1 8.067,8 9.934,1 5.132,3 8.844,5 58.901,8 (1)<br />
373.713,4<br />
(1)<br />
1998 10.192,3 5.294,9 82.057,4 10.511,0 39.347,9<br />
58.726,9<br />
(1)<br />
3.694,0 (1) 57.563,4 423,7 15.654,2 8.075,0 9.957,3 5.147,3 8.847,6 59.089,6 (3)<br />
374.582,8<br />
(2)<br />
1999 10.213,8 5.313,6 82.037,0 10.521,7 39.394,3<br />
58.494,0<br />
(1)<br />
3.734,9 57.612,6 429,2 15.760,2 8.082,8 9.979,5 5.159,6 8.854,3 59.391,1 (3)<br />
374.978,6<br />
(2)<br />
2000 10.239,1 5.330,0 82.163,5 10.542,8 39.441,7<br />
58.744,1<br />
(1)<br />
3.776,6 57.679,9 435,7 15.864,0 8.102,6 9.997,6 5.171,3 8.861,4 59.623,4<br />
375.973,6<br />
(2)<br />
2001 10.263,4 5.349,2 82.259,5 10564,7 (1) 40.127,7<br />
59.037,2<br />
(1)<br />
3.826,2 (1) 57.844,0 441,3 15.987,1 8.121,3 10.262,9 5.181,1 8.882,8 59.894,2 (3)<br />
378.036,6<br />
(2)<br />
2002<br />
10.307,3<br />
(2)<br />
5.638,4 82.431,0 10.598,3<br />
(2)<br />
40.409,3 59.344,0<br />
(1)<br />
3.884,2<br />
(2)<br />
58.017,9<br />
(2)<br />
446,4<br />
(2)<br />
16.100,3<br />
(1)<br />
8.140,0<br />
(2)<br />
10.355,6<br />
(1)<br />
5.194,9 8.909,1 60.113,9<br />
(3)<br />
379.600,7<br />
(2)<br />
2002 2,7 1,5 21,7 2,8 10,6 15,6 1,0 15,3 0,1 4,2 2,1 2,7 1,4 2,3 15,8 100,0<br />
1995 1,2 6,8 3,4 2,1 1,6 4,1(1) 5,8(1) 1,1 15,1 4,5 1,9 0,9 3,5 2,4 3,3(2) 2,9<br />
1996 2,7 4,6 2,4 2,1 1,4 4,0 (1) 10,1 2,2 13,3 4,7 1,6 1,3 3,0 0,8 3,4 (1) 2,8 (1)<br />
1997 2,2 3,7 0,6 2,3 1,3 4,0 (1) 11,4 (1) 1,8 12,8 5,6 0,9 2,3 2,9 0,4 3,1 2,3 (1)<br />
1998 2,1 3,5 -0,2 (1) 1,0 1,2 3,3 (1) 11,0 (1) 0,9 12,9 6,7 1,0 2,2 2,4 0,8 5,1 (1) 2,2 (1)<br />
1999 2,5 3,1 1,5 2,0 1,2 4,3 11,1 1,2 15,0 6,6 2,4 1,8 (3) 2,3 0,8 3,9 2,7 (1)<br />
2000 2,4 3,6 1,2 1,0 (1) 9,7 4,9 (1) 13,0 (1) 2,8 12,8 7,7 2,3 6,3 1,9 2,4 4,5 (3) 4,1 (2)<br />
2001 4,3 (2) 3,6 2,1 (3) 3,2 (3) 7,1 5,2 (1) 15,1 (2) 3,0 (2) 11,4 (2) 7,1 (1) 2,3 (2) 7,1 (1) 2,7 3,0 3,7 (3) 4,1 (2)<br />
1990 24,8 24,3 21,8 27,0 28,8 27,8 36,7 24,5 23,2 25,7 24,3 29,3 25,4 24,5 25,9 25,5<br />
1995 24,1 23,6 21,5 24,4 25,0 26,1 33,8 21,5 23,8 24,4 23,3 26,1 25,5 24,7 25,3 23,9<br />
1998 23,8 23,6 21,5 22,8 22,8 25,8 (1) 32,0 20,2 24,2 24,3 23,1 24,3 25,0 24,4 25,4 23,3 (1)<br />
1999 23,7 23,6 21,4 22,3 22,2 25,7 31,4 20,0 24,3 24,4 23,0 23,9 24,8 24,3 25,4 23,1<br />
2000 23,6 23,7 21,3 21,8 21,7 25,6 30,8 19,8 24,4 24,4 22,8 23,5 24,7 24,2 25,3 23,0<br />
1990 54,7 55,3 57,9 53,3 52,5 53,2 48,0 55,0 57,9 57,1 55,5 52,2 56,2 52,6 53,3 54,6<br />
1995 54,6 56,6 57,8 54,1 54,4 53,8 51,0 56,2 57,1 57,9 57,0 54,0 55,6 53,3 54,2 55,5<br />
1998 54,5 56,8 56,6 54,6 55,8 53,9 (1) 52,8 56,7 56,7 57,8 57,2 55,4 55,6 53,6 54,2 55,5 (1)<br />
1999 54,5 56,7 56,2 54,9 56,3 53,9 53,4 56,5 56,6 57,6 57,2 55,6 55,6 53,6 54,2 55,5<br />
2000 54,5 56,6 55,7 55,1 56,7 53,9 54,1 56,3 56,5 57,5 56,8 55,9 55,5 53,6 54,3 55,4<br />
1990 20,5 20,4 20,3 19,7 18,7 19,0 15,3 20,5 18,9 17,2 20,2 18,5 18,4 22,9 20,8 19,9<br />
1995 21,3 19,8 20,7 21,5 20,6 20,1 15,2 22,3 19,1 17,7 19,7 19,9 18,9 22,0 20,5 20,6<br />
1998 21,7 19,6 21,9 22,6 21,4 20,3 15,2 23,1 19,1 17,9 19,7 20,3 19,4 22,0 20,4 21,2<br />
1999 21,8 19,7 22,4 22,8 21,5 20,4 15,2 23,5 19,1 18,0 19,8 20,5 19,6 22,1 20,4 21,4<br />
2000 21,9 19,7 23,0 23,1 21,6 20,5 15,1 23,9 19,1 18,1 20,4 20,6 19,8 22,2 20,4 21,6<br />
(1) Dati provvisori; (2) Stima Eurostat; (3) Stima nazionale<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Eurostat
Tab. 5 - Principali indicatori socio-demografici europei - Anni 1970-2001 (v.a.e val. %)<br />
Tasso di<br />
natalità (nati<br />
per 1.000<br />
abitanti)<br />
Tasso di<br />
mortalità<br />
(decessi per<br />
1000 abitanti)<br />
Tasso<br />
migratorio per<br />
1000 abitanti<br />
Nati fuori dal<br />
matrimonio<br />
(per 1.000 nati<br />
vivi)<br />
Segue tab. 5<br />
Anni Belgio Danimarca Germania Grecia Spagna Francia Irlanda Italia Lussemburgo<br />
Paesi<br />
Bassi<br />
Austria Portogallo Finlandia Svezia<br />
1970 14,7 14,4 13,4 16,5 19,7 16,8 21,9 16,8 13,0 18,4 15,1 20,8 14,0 13,8 16,3 16,2<br />
1980 12,6 11,2 11,1 15,5 15,3 14,9 21,8 11,4 11,5 12,9 12,0 16,3 13,2 11,7 13,4 13,1<br />
1990 12,4 12,4 11,4 10,1 10,3 13,5 15,1 10,0 13,0 13,3 11,8 11,7 13,2 14,5 13,9 12,0<br />
1995 11,3 13,4 9,4 9,7 9,2 12,5 13,5 9,1 13,3 12,4 11,0 10,8 12,4 11,7 12,5 10,8<br />
1996 11,4 (1) 12,9 9,7 9,6 9,1 12,6 (1) 13,9 9,2 13,7 12,2 11,0 11,1 11,8 10,8 12,5 10,8 (1)<br />
1997 11,4 12,8 9,9 9,7 9,2 (1) 12,4 (1) 14,2 (1) 9,2 (1) 13,1 12,3 10,4 11,4 11,5 10,2 12,3 10,8 (1)<br />
1998 11,2 12,5 9,6 9,6 9,2 (1) 12,7 (1) 14,4 9,3 12,6 12,7 10,1 11,4 11,1 10,1 12,1 10,7 (1)<br />
1999 11,1 12,4 9,4 9,6 9,6 (1) 12,7 (1) 14,2 9,1 12,9 12,7 9,7 11,6 (3) 11,1 10,0 11,8 10,6 (1)<br />
2000 11,3 (1) 12,6 9,3 9,6 (3) 9,9 (1) 13,2 (1) 14,3 (1) 9,4 13,1 13,0 9,6 11,7 11,0 10,2 11,4 (3) 10,8 (3)<br />
2001 11,2 (2) 12,2 8,9 (3) 9,5 (2) 10,1 (3) 13,1 (1) 15,0 (2) 9,4 (2) 12,3 (2) 12,7 (1) 9,3 (2) 10,9 (1) 10,8 10,3 11,2 (3) 10,6 (2)<br />
1970 12,3 9,8 12,5 8,4 8,3 10,7 11,4 9,7 12,3 8,5 13,3 10,7 9,6 10,0 11,8 10,8<br />
1980 11,5 10,9 12,2 9,1 7,8 10,2 9,9 9,8 11,3 8,1 12,3 9,8 9,3 11,1 11,8 10,5<br />
1990 10,5 11,9 11,6 9,3 8,6 9,3 8,9 9,6 9,9 8,7 10,8 10,4 10,1 11,2 11,2 10,2<br />
1995 10,3 12,1 10,8 9,6 8,7 9,2 8,8 9,6 9,3 8,8 10,1 10,5 9,7 10,7 11,0 10,0<br />
1996 10,4 (1) 11,6 10,8 9,6 8,9 9,2 (1) 8,7 9,5 9,4 8,9 10,0 10,8 9,6 10,6 10,8 10,0 (1)<br />
1997 10,2 11,3 10,5 9,5 8,9 (1) 9,1 (1) 8,6 (1) 9,6 (1) 9,3 8,7 9,8 10,6 9,6 10,6 10,7 9,8 (1)<br />
1998 10,2 11,0 10,4 (3) 9,7 (3) 9,1 (1) 9,2 (1) 8,3 (1) 10,0 (1) 9,0 8,7 9,7 10,7 9,5 10,5 10,6 (3) 9,9 (1)<br />
1999 10,3 11,1 10,3 9,8 9,4 (1) 9,2 (1) 8,4 9,9 8,8 8,9 9,7 10,8 (3) 9,6 10,7 10,6 9,9 (1)<br />
2000 10,2 10,9 10,2 9,8 (2) 9,0 (1) 9,1 (1) 8,2 (1) 9,7 8,6 8,8 9,5 10,3 9,5 10,5 10,2 (3) 9,7 (2)<br />
2001 10,1 (2) 10,9 10,0 (3) 9,7 (2) 8,7 (3) 8,9 (1) 7,7 (2) 9,3 (2) 8,4 (2) 8,7 (1) 9,2 (2) 10,6 (1) 9,4 10,5 10,1 (3) 9,5 (2)<br />
1995 0,3 (1) 5,5 4,9 2,0 1,2 (1) 0,7 (1) 1,1 1,6 (1) 11,2 1,0 0,9 0,5 0,8 1,3 1,8 (1) 2,1<br />
1996 1,6 (1) 3,3 3,4 2,1 1,2 (1) 0,6 (1) 3,7 (1) 2,6 (1) 8,9 1,4 0,6 1,0 0,8 0,7 1,7 (1) 2,0 (1)<br />
1997 0,9 2,3 1,1 2,1 0,9 (1) 0,7 (1) 5,7 (1) 2,2 (1) 9,1 1,9 0,4 1,5 0,9 0,7 1,5 1,4 (1)<br />
1998 1,1 (1) 2,1 0,6 (3) 1,2 (3) 1,1 (1) -0,1 (1) 5,0 (1) 1,6 (1) 9,4 2,8 0,6 1,5 0,9 1,2 3,6 (1) 1,4 (1)<br />
1999 1,6 1,8 2,5 2,3 1,0 (1) 0,8 (1) 5,3 2,0 10,9 2,8 2,4 1,0 (3) 0,7 1,5 2,8 2,0 (1)<br />
2000 1,3 (1) 1,9 2,0 1,2 (3) 8,8 (3) 0,8 (1) 7,0 (2) 3,1 8,3 3,6 2,1 4,9 0,5 2,7 3,3 (3) 3,1 (2)<br />
2001 3,2 (2) 2,3 3,2 (3) 3,3 (2) 5,8 (3) 1,0 (1) 7,8 (2) 2,9 (2) 7,5 (2) 3,1 (1) 2,2 (2) 6,3 (1) 1,2 3,2 2,6 (3) 3,1 (2)<br />
1970 27,7 110,3 72,3 11,1 13,6 68,6 26,5 21,8 40,1 20,8 127,7 73,3 58,3 185,6 80,4 55,9<br />
1980 41,2 331,7 118,9 14,6 39,3 113,8 50,3 42,9 59,7 41,1 177,8 92,0 130,8 397,2 115,2 96,3<br />
1990 116,1 464,0 153,2 21,7 96,1 300,5 146,4 64,7 127,8 113,8 235,5 147,1 252,4 470,0 279,0 195,5<br />
1995 150,0 464,7 160,6 30,4 107,6 372,0 227,4 80,6 131,3 155,2 273,7 186,7 331,2 529,6 335,7 233,6<br />
1996 - 462,8 171,2 32,7 117,0 388,0 (1) 247,7 (1) 83,4 (1) 149,6 169,9 280,2 186,6 353,8 538,8 355,1 243,3 (1)<br />
1997 186,0 451,0 180,0 35,0 131,0 401,0 (1) 266,0 (1) 89,0 (1) 168,0 192,0 288,0 196,0 365,0 541,0 367,0 251,0 (2)<br />
1998 - 448,0 200,0 38,0 - 407,0 (1) 283,0 87,0 (1) 175,0 208,0 295,0 201,0 (1) 372,0 547,0 376,0 260,0 (2)<br />
1999 201,0 (2) 449,0 221,0 39,0 141,0 (2) 417,0 309,0 92,0 186,0 227,0 305,0 208,0 387,0 553,0 388,0 272,0 (2)<br />
2000 220,0 (2) 446,0 234,0 41,0 (2) 170,0 (2) 426,0 318,0 (1) 96,0 (2) 219,0 249,0 313,0 222,0 392,0 553,0 395,0 284,0 (2)<br />
2001 - 446,0 236,0 (3) - - - 312,0 (1) - 223,0 277,0 (1) 331,0 238,0 395,0 555,0 401,0 (1) -<br />
Regno<br />
Unito<br />
Eur 15
Segue tab. 5<br />
Tasso di<br />
mortalità<br />
infantile (morti<br />
primo anno di<br />
vita per 1.000<br />
nati vivi)<br />
Anni Belgio Danimarca Germania Grecia Spagna Francia Irlanda Italia Lussemburgo<br />
Paesi<br />
Bassi<br />
Austria Portogallo Finlandia Svezia<br />
1970 21,1 14,2 22,5 29,6 28,1 18,2 19,5 29,6 24,9 12,7 25,9 55,5 13,2 11,0 18,5 23,4<br />
1980 12,1 8,4 12,4 17,9 12,3 10,0 11,1 14,6 11,5 8,6 14,3 24,3 7,6 6,9 12,1 12,4<br />
1990 8,0 7,5 7,0 9,7 7,6 7,3 8,2 8,2 7,3 7,1 7,8 11,0 5,6 6,0 7,9 7,6<br />
1995 6,1 5,1 5,3 8,1 5,5(2) 4,9(1) 6,4 6,2(1) 5,5 5,5 5,4 7,5 3,9 4,1 6,2 5,6<br />
1996 5,6 (1) 5,6 5,0 7,2 6,0 4,8 5,5 5,9 4,9 5,7 5,1 6,9 4,0 4,0 6,1 5,5(1)<br />
1997 6,1 5,3 4,9 6,4 5,6(1) 4,8 (1) 6,2(1) 5,5(1) 4,2 5,0 4,7 6,4 3,9 3,6 5,9 5,3(1)<br />
1998 5,6 4,7 4,7 (1) 5,7 (3) 5,7 (1) 5,2 (1) 6,2 (1) 5,3 (1) 5,0 5,2 4,9 6,0 4,2 3,5 5,7 (1) 5,2 (2)<br />
1999 4,9 4,4 4,5 6,2 4,9 (1) 4,8 (1) 5,5 5,2 4,7 5,2 4,5 5,6 3,6 3,4 5,8 5,0 (1)<br />
2000 4,8 (1) 5,3 4,4 6,1 (3) 3,9 (1) 4,6 (2) 5,9 (1) 4,5 5,1 5,1 4,8 5,5 3,8 3,4 5,6 (1) 4,7 (2)<br />
2001 5,0 (1) 4,9 4,5 (3) 5,9 (3) 3,9 (2) 4,6 (2) 5,8 (1) 4,3 (2) 5,9 5,3 (1) 4,8 5,0 3,2 3,2 5,5 (1) 4,6 (2)<br />
(1) Dati provvisori<br />
(2) Stima Eurostat<br />
(3) Stima nazionale<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Eurostat<br />
Regno<br />
Unito<br />
Eur 15
Tab.5 (segue)- Principali indicatori socio-demografici europei - Anni 1970-2001 (v.a.e val. %)<br />
Tasso di<br />
fecondità<br />
totale (nati<br />
per donna<br />
in età<br />
feconda)<br />
Tasso di<br />
nuzialità<br />
(per 1.000<br />
abitanti)<br />
Segue tab. 5<br />
Anni Belgio Danimarca Germania Grecia Spagna Francia Irlanda Italia<br />
Lussemburgo<br />
Paesi<br />
Bassi<br />
Austria Portogallo Finlandia Svezia<br />
1970 2,25 1,95 2,03 2,39 2,9 2,47 3,93 2,42 1,98 2,57 2,29 2,83 1,83 1,92 2,43 2,38<br />
1980 1,68 1,55 1,56 2,21 2,2 1,95 3,25 1,64 1,49 1,6 1,62 2,18 1,63 1,68 1,9 1,82<br />
1990 1,62 1,67 1,45 1,39 1,36 1,78 2,12 1,34 1,61 1,62 1,45 1,57 1,78 2,13 1,83 1,57<br />
1995 1,55(2) 1,8 1,25 1,32 1,18(1) 1,7(1) 1,86(2) 1,17 1,69 1,53 1,4 1,4 1,81 1,73 1,7(2) 1,43<br />
1996 1,55 (3) 1,75 1,32 1,3 1,15 (3) 1,72(1) 1,88 (1) 1,21 (3) 1,76 1,53 1,42 1,43 1,76 1,6 1,72 1,44 (2)<br />
1997 1,55 1,75 1,37 1,31 1,16(1) 1,71(1) 1,92(1) 1,22(1) 1,71 1,56 1,37 1,46 1,75 1,52 1,72 1,45(2)<br />
1998 1,53 (1) 1,72 1,36 1,29 1,15 1,75 (1) 1,93 (1) 1,20 (1) 1,68 1,63 1,34 1,46 1,7 1,51 1,72 1,45(2)<br />
1999 1,61 1,74 1,37 1,3 1,20 (1) 1,77 (1) 1,89 1,23 1,71 1,64 1,32 1,49 1,73 1,5 1,68 1,45 (1)<br />
2000 1,66 1,77 1,36 (3) 1,29 (3) 1,23 (1) 1,88 (1) 1,89 (1) 1,24 (3) 1,78 1,72 1,34 1,52 1,73 1,54 1,64 1,48 (2)<br />
2001 1,65 (2) 1,74 1,29 (2) 1,29 (3) 1,25 (3) 1,90 (1) 1,98 (1) 1,24 (2) 1,70 (1) 1,69 (1) 1,29 (2) 1,42 (2) 1,73 1,57 1,63 (3) 1,47 (2)<br />
1970 7,6 7,4 7,4 7,7 7,3 7,8 7 7,3 6,4 9,5 7,1 9,4 8,8 5,4 8,5 7,7<br />
1980 6,7 5,2 6,3 6,5 5,9 6,2 6,4 5,7 5,9 6,4 6,2 7,4 6,1 4,5 7,4 6,3<br />
1990 6,5 6,1 6,5 5,8 5,7 5,1 5,1 5,6 6,1 6,4 5,8 7,2 5 4,7 6,5 6<br />
1995 5,1 6,6 5,3 6,1 5(1) 4,4 4,3(1) 4,9(1) 5,1 5,3 5,3 6,6 4,6 3,8 5,5(1) 5,1<br />
1996 5 6,8 5,2 4,3 4,9 4,8 (1) 4,5 4,7 5,1 5,5 5,2 6,4 4,8 3,8 5,4 5,1 (1)<br />
1997 4,7 6,5 5,2 5,8 4,9 4,9 (1) 4,3 4,8 (1) 4,8 5,4 5,1 6,6 4,6 3,7 5,3 (1) 5,1 (1)<br />
1998 4,4 6,5 5,1 5,3 5,1 (1) 4,8 (1) 4,5 4,8 (1) 4,8 5,5 4,7 6,9 4,7 3,6 5,1 (1) 5,0 (2)<br />
1999 4,3 6,7 5,2 5,8 5,2 (1) 4,9 (1) 4,9 - 4,8 5,7 4,9 6,9 (3) 4,7 4 5,1 5,1 (1)<br />
2000 4,4 7,2 5,1 4,3 (3) 5,3 (1) 5,2 (1) 5,0 (1) 4,9 4,9 5,5 4,8 6,2 5,1 4,5 5,1 5,1 (2)<br />
2001 4,1 (2) 6,6 4,7 (3) 5,4 (2) 5,2 (3) 5,1 (1) 5,0 (2) - 4,5 (2) 5,1 (1) 4,2 (2) 5,7 (1) 4,8 4 - -<br />
Regno<br />
Unito<br />
Eur 15
Segue tab. 5<br />
Età media<br />
al primo<br />
matrimoni<br />
o (uomini)<br />
Età media<br />
al primo<br />
matrimoni<br />
o (donne)<br />
Tasso di<br />
divorzialit<br />
à (divorzi<br />
per 1.000<br />
abitanti)<br />
Anni Belgio Danimarca Germania Grecia Spagna Francia Irlanda Italia<br />
Lussemburgo<br />
Paesi<br />
Bassi<br />
Austria Portogallo Finlandia Svezia<br />
1970 24,4 25,3 24,9 28,7 27,4 24,7 27,4 27,4 - 25 25,6 26,6 25,3 26,4 25,9<br />
1980 24,3 27,2 25,7 27,9 25,9 25,1 27,1 27,1 - 25,5 25,9 25,4 26,5 28,6 25,2 26<br />
1990 26,3 30 27,9 28,7 27,5 27,5 28,3 28,6 26,9 28,2 27,4 26 27 29,9 27,2 27,8<br />
1995 27,4 31,4 29,1 29,8 28,9 28,9 29,7 29,6 28,9 29,4 28,6 26,7 28,9 31,1 28,5 29<br />
1996 27,7 32 29,2 29,9 29,2 29,4 - 29,8 28,8 29,2 28,8 26,9 29,2 31,3 28,8 -<br />
1997 27,8 31,6 29,3 30,2 29,4 29,6 30 30 29,3 29,8 28,9 27 29,3 31,6 29 29,5<br />
1998 27,8 31,7 29,5 30,3 (1) 29,4 29,6 30,0 (1) 30,0 (1) 29,6 30 29,2 27,1 29,5 31,7 29,2 29,6 (1)<br />
1999 28,9 32,5 30,9 - 29,5 31,2 - - 30,7 30,7 30,3 27,2 30,5 32,9 29,6 30,3 (3)<br />
1970 22,4 22,8 22,5 23,7 24,7 22,6 25,3 23,9 - 22,9 22,9 24,3 23,4 23,9 - 23,2<br />
1980 22,3 24,6 22,9 - 23,5 23 24,7 23,9 - 23,2 23,2 23,1 24,4 26 - 23,3<br />
1990 24,3 27,6 25,3 24,7 25,3 25,6 26,5 25,6 25,4 25,9 24,9 23,9 25 27,5 25 25,3<br />
1995 25,4 29 26,4 25,7 26,8 26,9 27,9 26,7 26,6 27,1 26,1 24,8 27 28,7 26,4 26,5<br />
1996 25,6 29,7 26,6 26 27,1 27,4 - 26,8 26,5 26,7 26,3 24,9 27,3 28,9 26,7 -<br />
1997 25,7 29,9 26,7 26,3 27,4 27,6 28,2 27,1 27,1 27,4 26,5 25 27,3 29,1 26,9 27,2<br />
1998 25,7 29,4 26,9 26,5 (1) 27,4 27,6 28,2 (1) 27,1 (1) 27,2 27,6 26,7 25,1 27,5 29,3 27 27,3 (1)<br />
1999 26,6 30,1 28,2 - 27,6 29,1 - - 28,3 28,3 27,9 25,5 28,3 30,4 27,5 28,1 (3)<br />
1970 0,7 1,9 1,3 0,4 - 0,8 - - 0,6 0,8 1,4 0,1 1,3 1,6 1,1 0,8<br />
1980 1,5 2,7 1,8 0,7 - 1,5 - 0,2 1,6 1,8 1,8 0,6 2 2,4 2,8 1,4<br />
1990 2 2,7 2 0,6 0,6 1,9 - 0,5 2 1,9 2,1 0,9 2,6 2,3 2,9 1,7<br />
1995 3,5 2,5 2,1 1,1 0,8(1) 2(1) - 0,5 1,8 2,2 2,3 1,2 2,7 2,6 2,9(1) 1,8<br />
1996 2,8 2,4 2,1 0,9 0,8 2,1 (1) - 0,6 2 2,3 2,2 1,4 2,7 2,4 2,9 1,8 (3)<br />
1997 2,6 2,4 2,3 0,9 0,9 2,0 (1) - 0,6 2,4 2,2 2,2 1,4 2,6 2,4 2,7 (1) 1,8 (2)<br />
1998 2,6 2,5 2,3 0,8 0,9 (1) 2,0 (1) - 0,6 (1) 2,4 2,1 2,2 1,5 2,7 2,3 2,7 (1) 1,8 (2)<br />
1999 2,6 2,5 2,3 0,9 - 2 - 0,6 2,4 2,1 2,3 1,8 (3) 2,7 2,4 2,7 1,8 (2)<br />
2000 2,6 2,7 2,4 0,9 (1) 1 2,0 (4) 0,7 (1) 0,7 2,3 2,2 2,4 1,9 2,7 2,4 2,6 1,9 (2)<br />
2001 2,9 (2) 2,7 - 0,9 (2) - - - - 2,3 (2) 2,3 (1) - 1,8 (1) 2,6 2,4 - -<br />
(1) Dati provvisori<br />
(2) Stima Eurostat<br />
(3) Stima nazionale<br />
(4) 1999<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Eurostat<br />
Regno<br />
Unito<br />
Eur 15
Tab. 6 - Cittadini stranieri residenti in Italia per ri<strong>par</strong>tizione geografica (al 1° gennaio dell'anno) - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a. e val. per 1000 ab.)<br />
1995<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
1996<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
1997<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
1998<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
1999<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
2000<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
2001<br />
per<br />
v.a. 1.000<br />
abitanti<br />
Nord-Ovest 216.086 14,4 231.351 15,4 272.806 18,2 316.674 21,1 366.491 24,3 420.423 27,8 489.038 32,3<br />
Nord-Est 133.309 12,8 149.176 14,3 179.109 17,1 205.725 19,5 236.616 22,4 279.442 26,3 332.034 31,1<br />
Centro 212.269 19,3 226.338 20,6 274.894 24,9 296.830 26,9 328.910 29,7 363.433 32,8 417.890 37,4<br />
Sud ed Isole 123.805 5,9 130.928 6,3 157.746 7,5 172.449 8,2 184.377 8,8 207.255 9,9 225.627 10,8<br />
Italia 685.469 12,0 737.793 12,9 884.555 15,4 991.678 17,2 1.116.394 19,4 1.270.553 22,0 1.464.589 25,3<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis Istat
Tab. 7 - Popolazione per classe d'età e titolo di studio - Maschi - Anno 2002 (val%)<br />
Senza titolo e<br />
licenza elementare<br />
Licenza<br />
Media<br />
Diploma Laurea Totale<br />
15-19 4,7 82,0 13,3 0,0 100,0<br />
20-24 2,9 31,9 64,1 1,1 100,0<br />
25-29 3,4 35,4 51,7 9,6 100,0<br />
30-59 15,3 40,1 33,8 10,8 100,0<br />
60 e oltre 63,7 18,7 11,8 5,8 100,0<br />
Totale 24,8 36,4 30,8 8,0 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 8 - Popolazione per classe d'età e titolo di studio -Femmine- Anno 2002 (val%)<br />
Senza titolo e<br />
licenza elementare<br />
Licenza<br />
Media<br />
Diploma Laurea Totale<br />
15-19 3,9 81,0 15,1 0,0 100,0<br />
20-24 2,6 23,0 72,4 1,9 100,0<br />
25-29 3,6 29,6 53,8 13,0 100,0<br />
30-59 21,4 35,2 32,8 10,5 100,0<br />
60 e oltre 76,4 13,0 8,0 2,5 100,0<br />
Totale 34,8 29,7 28,5 7,1 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 9 - Popolazione per classe d'età e titolo di studio -Totale-Anno 2002 (val%)<br />
Senza titolo e<br />
licenza elementare<br />
Licenza<br />
Media<br />
Diploma Laurea Totale<br />
15-19 4,3 81,5 14,2 0,0 100,0<br />
20-24 2,7 27,5 68,2 1,5 100,0<br />
25-29 3,5 32,5 52,7 11,3 100,0<br />
30-59 18,4 37,7 33,3 10,7 100,0<br />
60 e oltre 71,0 15,5 9,7 3,9 100,0<br />
Totale 30,0 32,9 29,6 7,5 100,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 10 - Andamento del Prodotto Interno Lordo - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a. in mld di lire dal 1995, mln di euro e mld di lire per gli anni<br />
1999-2000-2001, var. %)<br />
PIL ai prezzi di mercato<br />
PIL ai prezzi di mercato<br />
(prezzi 1995)<br />
Numero indice<br />
(1995=100)<br />
var. %<br />
(in termini reali)<br />
1995 1.787.278 1.787.278 100,0 2,9<br />
1996 1.902.275 1.806.815 101,1 1,1<br />
1997 1.987.165 1.843.426 103,1 2,0<br />
1998 2.077.654 1.876.497 105,0 1,8<br />
1999 lire 2.146.350 1.906.388 106,7 1,6<br />
euro 1.108.497 984.567<br />
2000 lire 2.255.303 1.961.058 109,7 2,9<br />
euro 1.164.767 1.012.802<br />
2001 lire 2.355.634 1.996.120 111,7 1,8<br />
euro 1.216.583 1.030.910<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Relazione Generale sulla Situazione Economica del Paese
Tab. 11 - Valore aggiunto ai prezzi di mercato - Valori a prezzi correnti - Anni 1995-2002 (milioni di euro dal 1999; milioni di eurolire per gli anni precedenti)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />
Agricoltura, silvicoltura e pesca 26.285 27.121 26.984 27.286 27.631 27.131 28.132 28.068<br />
Industria in senso stretto 251.345 257.877 265.875 276.279 279.920 288.625 299.441 300.947<br />
Costruzioni<br />
Commercio, ri<strong>par</strong>azioni, alberghi e ristoranti, trasporti e<br />
45.704 49.218 49.562 49.959 51.502 54.172 58.051 60.584<br />
comunicazioni<br />
Intermediazione monetaria e finanziaria; attività immobiliari ed<br />
206.408 217.585 225.303 235.111 239.305 252.774 267.310 273.514<br />
imprenditoriali 211.967 233.658 246.900 258.596 272.356 293.880 308.815 328.303<br />
Altre attività di servizi 167.007 182.247 192.286 198.670 206.169 214.214 227.007 236.085<br />
Valore aggiunto ai prezzi di mercato (al lordo SIFIM) 908.716 967.706 1.006.909 1.045.902 1.076.883 1.130.796 1.188.756 1.227.501<br />
Valore aggiunto ai prezzi di mercato (al netto SIFIM) 868.856 926.986 965.800 1.005.078 1.037.844 1.087.365 1.140.754 1.176.596<br />
Prodotto interno lordo ai prezzi di mercato 923.052 982.443 1.026.285 1.073.019 1.107.994 1.166.548 1.220.147 1.258.349<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 12 - Reddito disponibile - Anno 2001 (v. a. in mln di euro e v.pro capite in euro)<br />
V.A. V. pro capite<br />
Piemonte 73.092 17.348<br />
ValleAosta 2.147 17.959<br />
Lombardia 162.294 17.966<br />
Trentino Alto Adige 14.238 15.138<br />
Veneto 71.141 15.705<br />
Friuli Venezia Guilia 19.903 16.816<br />
Liguria 29.880 19.032<br />
Emilia Romagna 75.325 18.904<br />
Toscana 60.160 17.203<br />
Umbria 12.323 14.915<br />
Marche 22.587 15.354<br />
Lazio 86.279 16.861<br />
Abruzzo 16.501 13.071<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 4.004 12.495<br />
Campania 62.308 10.929<br />
Puglia 44.687 11.118<br />
Basilicata 6.286 10.522<br />
Calabria 21.871 10.883<br />
Sicilia 53.101 10.694<br />
Sardegna 18.880 11.577<br />
Nord-Ovest 267.413 17.903<br />
Nord-Est 180.607 16.977<br />
Centro 181.349 16.620<br />
Sud 227.638 11.100<br />
Italia 857.008 15.037<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istituto Tagliacarne
Tab. 13 - Variazione armonizzata dei prezzi al consumo nei principali paesi europei - Anni 1998-2002 (var. %)<br />
Italia Germania Francia Regno Unito UE 15<br />
1998 2,0 0,8 0,7 1,6 1,3<br />
1999 1,7 0,6 0,6 1,3 1,2<br />
2000 2,6 2,1 1,8 0,8 2,1<br />
2001 2,3 2,4 1,8 1,2 2,3<br />
2002* 2,5 1,7 2,1 1,5 2,2<br />
*Media aritmetica dei dati relativi ai mesi di gennaio, febbraio, marzo, aprile, maggio.<br />
Per il Regno Unito il dato relativo al mese di maggio non è disponibile.<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Eurostat.
Tab. 14 - Popolazione secondo la ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale e la condizione socio-economica -Anni 2000-2002 (v.a. in migliaia e var.%)<br />
1999 2000 20001 2002<br />
Nord Cemtro Sud Italia<br />
Var.%<br />
01-02 1999 2000 20001 2002<br />
Var.%<br />
01-02 1999 2000 20001 2002<br />
Var.%<br />
01-02 1999 2000 20001 2002<br />
Forze di<br />
lavoro 11.316 11.442 11.553 11.675 1,1 4.594 4.638 4.693 4.737 0,9 7.451 7.495 7.535 7.581 0,6 23.361 23.575 23.781 23.993 0,9<br />
Occupati 10.704 10.907 11.090 11.213 1,1 4.172 4.255 4.345 4.424 1,8 5.816 5.918 6.079 6.192 1,9 20.692 21.080 21.514 21.829 1,5<br />
Persone in<br />
cerca di<br />
occupazione 611 535 463 462 -0,2 422 384 348 313 -10,1 1.636 1.576 1.456 1.389 -4,6 2.669 2.495 2.267 2.163 -4,6<br />
- Disoccupati<br />
e in cerca I°<br />
occupazione 426 370 315 320 1,6 317 288 265 241 -9,0 1.333 1.266 1.178 1.126 -4,4 2.076 1.924 1.758 1.687 -4,1<br />
- Altre<br />
persone in<br />
cerca di lavoro 185 165 148 142 -4,1 105 96 83 72 -13,8 303 310 278 263 -5,3 593 571 509 477 -6,4<br />
Non forze di<br />
lavoro 14.035 14.005 14.020 13.986 -0,2 6.365 6.356 6.353 6.354 0,0 13.317 13.252 13.194 13.141 -0,4 33.717 33.614 33.567 33.482 -0,3<br />
In eta' 15-64<br />
anni 6.315 6.170 6.054 5.940 -1,9 2.937 2.886 2.842 2.815 -0,9 6.535 6.492 6.440 6.382 -0,9 15.787 15.548 15.336 15.137 -1,3<br />
- cercano<br />
lavoro non<br />
attivamente 227 202 204 192 -5,7 217 205 187 179 -4,1 759 804 784 754 -3,9 1.203 1.211 1.175 1.125 -4,2<br />
-disposte a<br />
lavorare a<br />
<strong>par</strong>tic. condiz. 737 736 506 (1) 299 (2) -40,9 363 361 286 162 -43,3 941 937 839 634 -24,4 2.041 2.034 1.631 1.095 -32,8<br />
- non aventi<br />
poss. o<br />
interesse a<br />
lavorare (*) 5.351 5.233 5344 (1) 5448 (2) 2,0 2.357 2.320 2.369 2.474 4,4 4.835 4.751 4.817 4.994 3,7 12.543 12.304 12.530 12.916 3,1<br />
In eta' non<br />
lavorativa 7.720 7.835 7.966 8.046 1,0 3.428 3.470 3.511 3.539 0,8 6.782 6.760 6.753 6.759 0,1 17.930 18.066 18.230 18.345 0,6<br />
Popolazione<br />
presente 25.351 25.447 25.573 25.661 0,3 10.959 10.995 11.046 11.091 0,4 20.768 20.747 20.729 20.722 0,0 57.078 57.189 57.348 57.474 0,2<br />
(*) Con riferimento all'anno 2002 la definizione è la seguente: "non vogliono lavorare o non immediatamente<br />
(1) Con la rilevazione di aprile 2001 è stata modificata la domanda relativa alla disponibilità al lavoro che è richiesta essere immediata.<br />
(2) Con la rilevazione di aprile 2002 la disponibilità viene rilevata solo se sussiste il desiderio di lavorare.<br />
Fonte : elaborazione Censis su dati Istat<br />
Var.%<br />
01-02
Tab. 15 - Occupati per posizione nella professione e sesso - Anno 2002 (val.% e var. %)<br />
Val.%<br />
2002<br />
Var %<br />
2000-2002<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
Imprenditori 78,8 21,2 100,0 16,2 20,0 17,0<br />
Liberi professionisti 73,9 26,1 100,0 5,4 15,0 7,8<br />
Lavoratori in proprio 75,8 24,2 100,0 -3,5 -4,1 -3,6<br />
Soci di cooperativa di produzione 62,6 37,4 100,0 -29,8 -17,4 -25,6<br />
Coadiuvanti 45,8 54,2 100,0 7,9 5,1 6,4<br />
Totale indipendenti 70,8 29,2 100,0 0,0 1,9 0,5<br />
Dirigenti 78,3 21,7 100,0 -6,3 0,3 -5,0<br />
Direttivi-Quadri 63,1 36,9 100,0 5,3 8,6 6,5<br />
Impiegati o Intermedi 47,9 52,1 100,0 5,8 9,7 7,8<br />
Operai, Subalterni ed assimilati 68,5 31,5 100,0 1,8 4,0 2,5<br />
Apprendisti 59,4 40,6 100,0 -6,1 1,6 -3,1<br />
Lavoranti a domicilio per conto imprese 22,2 77,7 100,0 -23,7 -16,0 -17,9<br />
Totale dipendenti 59,0 41,0 100,0 3,1 7,3 4,7<br />
Totale 62,3 37,7 100,0 2,1 6,1 3,6<br />
Fonte: elaborazioni Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 16 - Tassi di disoccupazione per sesso e ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale - Anni 1999-2002 (val.%)<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />
Nord-Ovest 3,8 3,4 2,9 3,0 9,2 8,0 6,3 6,4 6,0 5,3 4,3 4,4<br />
Nord-Est 2,8 2,4 2,3 2,2 7,1 5,9 5,4 4,9 4,6 3,8 3,6 3,3<br />
Centro 6,6 6,1 5,4 4,7 13,2 11,6 10,3 9,4 9,2 8,3 7,4 6,6<br />
Sud 17,3 16,3 14,8 14,1 31,3 30,4 28,1 26,4 22,0 21,0 19,3 18,3<br />
Italia 8,8 8,1 7,3 7,0 15,7 14,5 13,0 12,2 11,4 10,6 9,5 9,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 17 - Tassi di disoccupazione giovanile (15-24) della popolazione per sesso e ri<strong>par</strong>tizione territoriale - Anni 1999-2002 (val.%)<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />
Nord-Ovest 14,1 12,4 11,1 11,5 22,3 20,2 14,3 15,6 18,0 16,1 12,6 13,3<br />
Nord-Est 8,9 7,6 7,2 6,4 14,6 12,9 11,9 9,9 11,6 10,1 9,3 8,0<br />
Centro 24,6 21,0 21,3 18,7 35,8 32,4 27,6 26,0 29,6 26,3 24,2 22,0<br />
Sud 51,0 49,3 44,2 42,6 64,5 63,1 60,0 59,5 56,6 55,0 50,8 49,4<br />
Italia 29,2 27,6 25,0 24,0 37,4 35,4 32,2 31,4 32,9 31,1 28,2 27,2<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 18 - Assicurati e pensionati, spesa pensionistica (Lavoratori dipendenti) - Anni 2000-2001 (v.a. in mgl, mgl di<br />
euro e mln di euro)<br />
Numero assicurati<br />
Numero pensioni<br />
Pensione media<br />
annua<br />
Importo pensioni<br />
*<br />
2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001<br />
mgl mgl mgl mgl mgl € mgl € mln € mln €<br />
Inps<br />
Fondo Pensioni Lavoratori<br />
Dip. 11.380 11.520 10.020 10.047 8 8 79.154 82.385<br />
Fondo Trasporti 113 115 121 121 16 16 1.929 1.977<br />
Fondo Telefonici 91 83 52 55 20 21 1.052 1.157<br />
Fondo Elettrici 77 72 94 97 19 20 1.792 1.895<br />
Fondo Volo 12 12 5 5 31 32 138 145<br />
Fondo Imposte di consumo 2 2 11 11 13 13 133 138<br />
Fondo Enti Pubblici Creditizi 74 74 32 32 25 25 816 816<br />
Totale dipendenti Inps 11.747 11.877 10.334 10.368 8 9 84.740 89.161<br />
Altri fondi<br />
Istituto Dirigenti di Azienda 80 82 84 87 39 40 3.239 3.488<br />
Istituto Giornalisti 14 15 5 5 43 44 213 223<br />
Ente Lavoratori Spettacolo 211 214 57 56 11 12 640 657<br />
Totale dipendenti altri<br />
fondi 305 311 145 148 28 30 4.097 4.366<br />
Inpdap<br />
Cassa Dipendenti Enti Locali 1.350 1.350 875 894 13 14 11.643 12.339<br />
Cassa Insegnanti di Asilo 20 20 12 12 13 13 153 162<br />
Cassa Sanitari 113 113 44 46 31 33 1.370 1.519<br />
Cassa Ufficiali Giudiziari 6 6 2 2 14 14 30 32<br />
Dipendenti dello Stato 1.800 1.794 1.379 1.412 17 18 23.584 24.985<br />
Totale dipendenti Inpdap 3.289 3.283 2.313 2.366 16 17 36.775 39.044<br />
Altri fondi pubblici<br />
Dipendenti delle FFSS 111 107 268 268 14 15 3.858 3.987<br />
Dipendenti delle Poste e Tel. 183 173 103 108 13 14 1.364 1.467<br />
Totale dipendenti altri<br />
fondi pubblici 293 280 371 376 14 15 5.234 5.445<br />
* Ottenuto moltiplicando la pensione media per il numero delle pensioni<br />
Fonte: elaborazioni Censis su dati del Nucleo di valutazione spesa previdenziale
Tab. 19 - Assicurati e pensionati, spesa pensionistica (Lavoratori autonomi e professionisti) - Anni 1999-2000 (v.a. in mgl, mgl di euro e mln di euro )<br />
Numero assicurati Numero pensioni<br />
Pensione media<br />
annua<br />
Importo pensioni *<br />
2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001<br />
mgl mgl mgl mgl mgl € mgl € mln € mln €<br />
Inps<br />
Fondo Artigiani 1.833 1.850 1.162 1.186 6,3 7 7.319 7.946<br />
Fondo Commercianti 1.785 1.800 1.035 1.068 5,6 6 5.798 6.304<br />
Fondo CDCM 652 646 2.033 2.000 4,9 5 9.960 10.201<br />
Totale autonomi Inps 4.271 4.296 4.230 4.255 5,5 5,7 23.263 24.251<br />
Liberi professionisti<br />
Cassa Avvocati 89 94 20 21 14,8 16 299 323<br />
Cassa Notai 5 5 2 2 44,7 50 107 120<br />
Cassa Ingeneri e Architetti 87 93 14 14 9,9 11 139 154<br />
Cassa Geometri 94 96 18 19 8,4 9 150 165<br />
Cassa Dottori Commercialisti 33 35 3 4 16,1 19 55 67<br />
Cassa Ragionieri e P. C. 31 31 3 4 16,4 17 56 60<br />
Ente Consulenti Lavoro 19 19 5 5 5,6 6 26 28<br />
Ente Veterinari 18 19 6 6 3,1 3 20 20<br />
Ente Farmacisti 61 63 26 26 5,1 5 131 134<br />
Fondo Spedizionieri - - 2,1 2 9,5 9,6 20 20<br />
Totale liberi professionisti 436 455 100 102 10 10,7 999 1.086<br />
Medici 303 304 121 123 5,7 5,9 692 728<br />
Clero 21 21 15 15 5,8 6,1 89 91<br />
Parasubordinati 1.897 2.070 5 8,7 -- 0,5 -- 4<br />
* Ottenuto moltiplicando la pensione media per il numero delle pensioni<br />
Fonte: elaborazioni Censis su dati del Nucleo di valutazione spesa previdenziale
SALUTE
Tab. 20 - Andamento della condizione di salute della popolazione italiana - Anni 1993-2001 (val %)<br />
% sul totale dei residenti % sul totale dei cronici<br />
In buono stato di<br />
salute (*)<br />
Con una malattia<br />
cronica o più<br />
Con due malattie<br />
croniche o più<br />
Cronici in buona<br />
salute<br />
1993 72,0 35,4 18,2 44,0<br />
1994 76,0 35,4 18,1 47,1<br />
1995 75,3 36,0 18,1 46,3<br />
1996 75,9 36,9 18,8 47,8<br />
1997 76,0 35,3 17,6 48,0<br />
1998 75,2 33,5 16,6 47,0<br />
1999 75,5 34,9 16,8 46,0<br />
2000 73,7 36,1 18,7 45,8<br />
2001 Nord 74,0 35,9 17,7 48,4<br />
Centro 72,2 37,3 19,4 45,3<br />
Sud 77,4 34,6 19,4 48,3<br />
Italia 74,9 35,7 18,6 47,8<br />
(*) Esprimono un voto 4 o 5 in una scala 1=stato peggiore; 5=stato migliore<br />
Fonte: indagine Multiscopo, Istat
Tab. 21 - Andamento della diffusione delle principali malattie croniche nella popolazione italiana -Anni 1993-2001 (val. %)<br />
Diabete Ipertensione<br />
Bronchite<br />
cronica*<br />
Artrosi<br />
Artrite<br />
Osteoporosi<br />
Malattie<br />
del cuore<br />
Malattie<br />
allergiche<br />
Disturbi<br />
nervosi<br />
Ulcera<br />
gastrica e<br />
duodenale<br />
1993 3,4 10,0 7,4 20,5 4,6 3,7 6,8 5,1 3,8<br />
1994 3,4 9,7 6,9 19,7 4,6 4,0 6,3 5,2 4,0<br />
1995 3,4 10,2 6,9 20,3 4,8 3,8 6,8 4,9 3,9<br />
1996 3,4 10,3 6,9 20,6 5,2 3,8 7,2 4,9 3,9<br />
1997 3,4 10,3 6,3 19,3 5,2 3,8 7,1 4,4 3,5<br />
1998 3,5 10,3 6,0 17,8 5,0 3,7 6,6 3,8 3,0<br />
1999 3,5 11,1 6,0 18,1 5,3 3,8 7,7 4,2 3,2<br />
2000 3,8 12,1 6,4 19,0 6,4 3,9 8,1 4,3 3,6<br />
2001 Nord 3,4 11,7 5,8 17,5 5,6 3,9 8,6 3,6 3,1<br />
Centro 4,1 11,8 6,4 20,4 7,1 3,4 8,6 3,8 3,4<br />
Sud 4,3 11,7 6,9 20,4 6,8 3,6 7,7 4,7 3,1<br />
Italia 3,9 11,7 6,3 19,1 6,3 3,7 8,2 4,0 3,2<br />
* Inclusa asma bronchiale<br />
Fonte: indagine Multiscopo, Istat
Tab. 22 - Condizioni di salute della popolazione italiana per sesso e classi di età - Anno 2001 (val. %)<br />
In buono stato di salute (*)<br />
% sul totale dei residenti % sul totale dei cronici<br />
Con una malattia<br />
cronica o più<br />
Con due malattie<br />
croniche o più<br />
Cronici in buona salute<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale Maschi Femmine Totale Maschi Femmine Totale Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
0-14 91,6 92,3 91,9 9,0 6,9 8,0 1,2 0,9 1,0 85,7 84,5 85,2<br />
15-17 95,0 94,9 94,9 11,4 10,3 10,9 1,6 1,1 1,4 88,6 91,1 89,8<br />
18-19 93,0 95,0 94,0 10,6 11,7 11,2 2,2 1,9 2,1 83,1 87,6 85,4<br />
20-24 93,7 91,9 92,8 12,5 13,4 13,0 2,4 2,6 2,5 82,7 77,2 79,9<br />
25-34 91,6 88,8 90,2 15,7 15,1 15,4 3,1 3,6 3,3 78,4 71,0 74,8<br />
35-44 86,1 83,7 84,9 23,1 24,8 23,9 6,2 7,8 7,0 67,0 64,5 65,8<br />
45-54 78,4 72,0 75,2 37,0 43,0 40,1 13,7 19,4 16,6 59,3 53,8 56,3<br />
55-59 68,1 62,0 65,0 51,2 60,9 56,1 24,3 34,8 29,6 52,1 48,4 50,1<br />
60-64 60,8 52,6 56,6 62,2 71,3 66,9 32,3 45,3 39,0 49,1 41,4 44,9<br />
65-74 47,7 39,7 43,3 71,8 79,9 76,3 44,5 58,7 52,4 38,4 32,7 35,1<br />
75 e più 31,4 25,2 27,5 80,1 87,5 84,8 57,6 69,2 64,9 23,5 21,3 22,0<br />
Totale 78,3 71,6 79,9 32,3 38,9 35,7 14,7 22,4 18,6 52,5 44,0 47,8<br />
(*) Esprimono un voto 4 o 5 in una scala 1=stato peggiore; 5=stato migliore<br />
Fonte: Indagine Multiscopo, Istat
Tab. 23 - Andamento dei casi di Aids notificati (1) per regione - Anni 1995-2001 e I semestre<br />
2002 (val. per 1000 abitanti)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 (2)<br />
I semestre<br />
2002 (2)<br />
Piemonte 8,6 8,1 5,3 3,7 3,2 3,1 2,8 0,5<br />
Valle d'Aosta 5,9 8,4 2,5 4,2 4,2 1,7 2,5 0,0<br />
Lombardia 18,7 16,8 10,5 7,1 6,9 6,1 5,4 1,6<br />
Trentino A.A. 6,8 6,0 4,4 2,9 1,7 1,7 1,4 0,6<br />
Bolzano 5,3 5,9 3,7 2,8 1,5 2,4 1,5 0,2<br />
Trento 8,2 6,0 5,1 3,0 1,9 1,0 1,3 1,0<br />
Veneto 7,2 6,3 4,0 2,6 2,3 1,7 1,8 0,6<br />
Friuli V.G. 3,3 4,1 2,4 1,3 1,9 1,5 0,8 0,3<br />
Liguria 17,1 15,6 9,7 6,6 5,2 4,4 4,9 0,8<br />
Emilia Romagna 14,5 12,6 7,9 5,7 4,2 5,2 4,2 1,3<br />
Toscana 10,3 8,1 5,8 4,0 4,5 3,1 3,0 1,2<br />
Umbria 5,8 6,3 3,2 2,9 2,3 2,5 1,7 0,9<br />
Marche 6,2 5,5 3,8 3,1 2,9 2,8 2,5 0,8<br />
Lazio 14,1 12,7 9,4 6,8 5,8 4,7 4,7 1,1<br />
Abruzzi 3,7 3,2 2,4 1,4 1,9 1,2 1,3 0,6<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 1,5 0,6 0,6 0,9 0,3 1,5 0,6 0,3<br />
Campania 3,6 3,1 2,3 2,2 1,6 1,6 1,2 0,5<br />
Puglia 5,4 5,6 3,7 2,5 2,2 2,0 1,7 0,7<br />
Basilicata 3,1 3,3 1,1 1,8 1,3 0,5 0,7 0,2<br />
Calabria 2,7 2,9 1,5 1,3 0,7 0,5 1,2 0,4<br />
Sicilia 4,3 3,4 3,1 2,5 1,7 1,8 1,4 0,3<br />
Sardegna 11,3 8,8 5,6 3,1 2,7 2,4 2,4 1,0<br />
Nord-Ovest 15,5 14,1 8,8 6,0 5,7 5,0 4,6 1,2<br />
Nord-Est 9,4 8,4 5,3 3,7 2,9 3,0 2,5 0,8<br />
Centro 11,3 9,8 7,1 5,1 4,7 3,8 3,6 1,1<br />
Sud 4,6 4,1 2,9 2,2 1,7 1,6 1,4 0,5<br />
Italia 9,6 8,6 5,7 4,0 3,6 3,2 2,9 0,8<br />
(1) casi notificati al 31/12 dell'anno di riferimento, riguardanti i residenti in Italia per i quali sia stato<br />
accertato il luogo di residenza<br />
(2) la popolazione di riferimento è quella del Censimento 2001<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati dell'Istituto Superiore di Sanità
Tab. 24 - Andamento dei decessi per causa - Anni 1995-2000 (val. per 10.000 abitanti<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />
Malattie infettive e <strong>par</strong>assitarie 0,5 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,6 0,6<br />
Tumori<br />
Disturbi psichici e malattie del sistema nervoso e degli<br />
26,9 27,3 27,3 27,6 27,5 27,7<br />
organi dei sensi 3,3 3,4 3,6 3,9 3,9 4,0<br />
Malattie del sistema circolatorio 42,4 41,8 42,4 43,9 42,7 41,6<br />
Malattie dell'ap<strong>par</strong>ato respiratorio 5,9 5,6 6,2 6,5 6,8 6,5<br />
Malattie dell'ap<strong>par</strong>ato digerente 4,7 4,6 4,5 4,6 4,5 4,3<br />
Altri stati morbosi 7,1 7,2 6,7 6,6 6,5 6,4<br />
Sintomi segni e stati morbosi mal definiti 1,5 1,4 1,4 1,2 1,3 1,2<br />
Cause esterne dei traumatismi e avvelenamenti 4,9 4,9 4,9 4,8 4,7 4,5<br />
Totale 97,1 96,6 97,5 99,7 98,5 97,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 25 - Distribuzione degli istituti di cura pubblici e privati accreditati e dei posti letto per regione - Anno 2001 (v.a. e val.%)<br />
Numero istituti<br />
Pubblici Accreditati<br />
Non<br />
acceditati<br />
Day<br />
Hospital<br />
Numero posti letto pubblici effettivi<br />
% Day<br />
Hospital<br />
sul totale<br />
Degenza<br />
ordinaria<br />
Degenza<br />
pagamento<br />
Totali<br />
Day<br />
Hospital<br />
Numero posti letto accreditati<br />
% Day<br />
Hospitals<br />
ul totale<br />
Degenza<br />
ordinaria<br />
Totali<br />
% posti<br />
letto<br />
pubblici<br />
sul totale<br />
Piemonte 44 38 7 1.927 11,0 15.289 224 17.440 81 2,2 3.556 3.637 82,74 5,00<br />
Valle d'Aosta 1 0 0 45 8,8 467 2 514 0 0,0 0 0 100,00 4,30<br />
Lombardia 71 54 11 3.554 8,7 36.639 578 40.771 477 5,3 8.465 8.942 82,01 5,50<br />
Trentino A.A. 21 10 4 423 9,1 4.146 80 4.649 0 0,0 692 692 87,04 5,68<br />
Bolzano 7 5 4 111 5,0 2.031 80 2.222 0 0,0 259 259 89,56 5,36<br />
Trento 14 5 0 312 12,9 2.115 0 2.427 0 0,0 433 433 84,86 5,99<br />
Veneto 75 16 3 2.065 9,4 19.068 722 21.855 56 4,4 1.206 1.262 94,54 5,10<br />
Friuli V.Giulia 19 5 0 517 9,0 5.041 213 5.771 28 4,4 608 636 90,07 5,41<br />
Liguria 25 2 9 818 9,6 7.680 28 8.526 0 0,0 128 128 98,52 5,51<br />
Emilia Romagna 42 41 5 2.007 11,5 15.311 117 17.435 112 2,3 4.732 4.844 78,26 5,59<br />
Toscana 41 28 5 1.496 10,0 13.116 344 14.956 124 5,3 2.229 2.353 86,41 4,95<br />
Umbria 11 5 0 506 14,6 2.944 16 3.466 18 6,9 244 262 92,97 4,51<br />
Marche 38 14 0 547 8,4 5.920 29 6.490 0 0,0 1.074 1.074 85,80 5,14<br />
Lazio 75 94 37 2.559 11,7 19.171 113 21.843 378 3,9 9.351 9.729 69,18 6,17<br />
Abruzzo 23 13 0 484 8,8 4.803 196 5.483 1 0,3 294 295 94,89 4,58<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 7 2 0 21 1,4 1.457 0 1.478 0 0,0 93 93 94,08 4,90<br />
Campania 66 76 6 1.327 8,8 13.761 63 15.151 236 3,5 6.518 6.754 69,17 3,84<br />
Puglia 68 30 5 1.236 7,2 15.623 210 17.069 58 2,9 1.910 1.968 89,66 4,74<br />
Basilicata 11 1 0 184 7,1 2.378 15 2.577 0 0,0 60 60 97,72 4,41<br />
Calabria 37 38 0 703 10,9 5.755 13 6.471 26 0,8 3.335 3.361 65,82 4,89<br />
Sicilia 70 50 10 2.107 12,0 15.377 77 17.561 0 0,0 3.725 3.725 82,50 4,29<br />
Sardegna 33 13 0 574 8,4 6.164 64 6.802 18 1,2 1.484 1.502 81,91 5,09<br />
Nord Ovest 141 94 27 6.344 9,4 60.075 832 67.251 558 4,4 12.149 12.707 84,11 5,35<br />
Nord Est 157 72 12 5.012 10,1 43.566 1.132 49.710 196 2,6 7.238 7.434 86,99 5,37<br />
Centro 165 141 42 5.108 10,9 41.151 502 46.755 520 3,9 12.898 13.418 77,70 5,51<br />
Sud 315 223 21 6.636 9,1 65.318 638 72.592 339 1,9 17.419 17.758 80,35 4,41<br />
Italia 778 530 102 23.100 9,8 210.110 3.104 236.308 1.613 3,1 49.704 51.317 82,16 5,05<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Ministero della Salute<br />
posti letto<br />
pubblici e<br />
privati x<br />
1.000<br />
abitanti
Tab. 26 - Distribuzione regionale delle strutture sanitarie pubbliche per tipo di assistenza erogata - Anno 2001 (*) (v.a.)<br />
Attività<br />
clinica<br />
Diagnostica<br />
strumentale<br />
Attività di<br />
laboratorio<br />
Consultorio<br />
maternoinfantile<br />
Assistenza<br />
psichiatrica<br />
Assistenza per<br />
tossicodipendenti<br />
Assistenza<br />
Aids<br />
Assistenza<br />
anziani<br />
Assistenza<br />
disabili fisici<br />
Assistenza<br />
disabili<br />
psichici<br />
Piemonte 353 129 127 261 211 0 0 50 15 24 1.170<br />
Valle d'Aosta 6 3 2 24 5 1 0 0 0 0 41<br />
Lombardia 455 194 155 336 628 97 24 52 38 90 2.069<br />
Trentino A.A. 174 74 23 74 19 5 1 1 1 4 376<br />
Bolzano 142 59 12 57 8 4 1 0 0 4 287<br />
Trento 32 15 11 17 11 1 0 1 1 0 89<br />
Veneto 242 99 96 318 256 50 7 21 54 79 1.222<br />
Friuli V.G. 101 24 20 31 82 22 5 21 6 23 335<br />
Liguria 239 76 30 124 71 27 3 16 4 8 598<br />
Emilia<br />
Romagna 236 74 69 194 201 50 2 182 72 53 1.133<br />
Toscana 444 107 82 266 242 71 8 119 56 84 1.479<br />
Umbria 88 28 23 47 52 13 2 15 13 22 303<br />
Marche 158 68 65 45 67 22 3 34 11 21 494<br />
Lazio 313 165 123 200 222 44 9 6 5 36 1.123<br />
Abruzzo 103 43 51 34 22 5 0 3 0 2 263<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 22 16 12 6 11 5 0 1 1 0 74<br />
Campania 286 119 118 152 139 39 4 14 10 20 901<br />
Puglia 261 99 89 142 80 29 1 0 13 18 732<br />
Basilicata 60 16 17 32 12 2 1 0 6 5 151<br />
Calabria 199 61 63 45 45 14 1 2 15 17 462<br />
Sicilia 290 147 130 163 216 36 6 7 5 12 1.012<br />
Sardegna 169 53 42 73 58 13 0 1 11 21 441<br />
Nord Ovest 1.053 402 314 745 915 125 27 118 57 122 3.878<br />
Nord Est 753 271 208 617 558 127 15 225 133 159 3.066<br />
Centro 1.003 368 293 558 583 150 22 174 85 163 3.399<br />
Sud 1.390 554 522 647 583 143 13 28 61 95 4.036<br />
Italia 4.199 1.595 1.337 2.567 2.639 545 77 545 336 539 14.379<br />
(*) Dal totale è esclusa una struttura sanitaria rilevata in Toscana ed una in Calabria che erogano assistenza idrotermale<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Ministero della Salute<br />
Totale<br />
strutture
Tab. 27 - Attività di medicina di base - Medici generici e pediatri. Assistibili per medico generico e per<br />
pediatra - Anno 2001 (v.a.)<br />
V.A. INDICI<br />
Medici generici Pediatri<br />
Adulti residenti<br />
per medico<br />
generico<br />
Bambini per<br />
pediatra<br />
Piemonte 3.544 416 1.075 1.157<br />
Valle D'Aosta 104 15 1.020 965<br />
Lombardia 7.310 956 1.095 1.170<br />
Trentino A.A. 590 112 1.359 1.262<br />
Bolzano 230 41 1.699 1.815<br />
Trento 360 71 1.141 943<br />
Veneto 3.517 522 1.129 1.089<br />
Friuli V.G. 1.027 102 1.035 1.231<br />
Liguria 1.394 171 1.049 929<br />
Emilia Romagna 3.225 477 1.110 902<br />
Toscana 3.077 396 1.028 973<br />
Umbria 710 102 1.049 938<br />
Marche 1.206 169 1.072 1.046<br />
Lazio 4.700 713 980 980<br />
Abruzzo 1.033 196 1.078 856<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 280 38 1.012 1.150<br />
Campania 4.509 780 1.055 1.313<br />
Puglia 3.275 592 1.051 1.091<br />
Basilicata 506 72 1.019 1.241<br />
Calabria 1.722 295 999 1.095<br />
Sicilia 3.971 845 1.068 988<br />
Sardegna 1.327 230 1.079 940<br />
Nord-Ovest 12.352 1.558 1.083 1.138<br />
Nord-Est 8.359 1.213 1.126 1.043<br />
Centro 9.693 1.380 1.012 983<br />
Sud 16.623 3.048 1.053 1.097<br />
Italia 47.027 7.199 1.065 1.075<br />
Fonte: elaborazione Censis su dati Ministero della Salute
Tab. 28 - Spesa farmaceutica pubblica e privata in diversi Paesi - Anni 1999-2001 (mld di lire correnti e mln di euro)<br />
Spesa totale Spesa pro-capite Indice spesa % spesa farmaceutica<br />
1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001<br />
lire euro lire euro lire euro lire euro lire euro lire euro<br />
Italia 27.623 14.266 29.536 15.254 33.240 17.167 479.664 247.726 512.066 264.460 574.694 296.805 100,0 100,0 100,0 1,30 1,31 1,41<br />
Francia 43.047 22.232 46.776 24.158 51.447 26.570 734.539 379.358 776.062 400.803 873.582 451.167 153,1 151,6 152,0 1,66 1,73 1,82<br />
Germania 53.120 27.434 56.265 29.058 60.192 31.087 647.383 334.345 685.425 353.992 732.807 378.463 135,0 133,9 127,5 1,39 1,43 1,52<br />
Regno Unito 30.303 15.650 35.585 18.378 38.870 20.075 513.543 265.223 600.723 310.248 653.266 337.384 107,1 117,3 113,7 1,20 1,20 1,26<br />
Belgio 6.452 3.332 6.890 3.558 7.245 3.742 633.702 327.280 674.066 348.126 706.554 364.905 132,1 131,6 122,9 1,45 1,44 1,45<br />
Olanda - - 7.000 3.615 7.689 3.971 - - 451.984 233.430 482.795 249.343 - 88,3 84,0 - 1,08 1,01<br />
Spagna 16.952 8.755 18.524 9.567 19.604 10.125 431.086 222.637 469.938 242.703 496.731 256.540 89,9 91,8 86,4 1,54 1,58 1,56<br />
USA 266.792 137.787 512.562 264.716 629.764 325.246 1.011.219 522.251 1.878.357 970.090 2.286.957 1.181.115 210,8 366,8 397,9 2,29 2,45 2,87<br />
Giappone 159.235 82.238 216.312 111.716 148.163 76.520 1.262.107 651.824 1.707.466 881.833 1.167.382 602.902 263,1 333,4 203,1 1,55 1,54 1,64<br />
Fonte: Farmindustria
POVERTÀ
Tab. 29<br />
POVERTÀ NEL TEMPO E SUL TE<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 30<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 31<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 32<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 33<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 34<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 35<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 36<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 37<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 38<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 39<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 40<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 41<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 42<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 43<br />
Fonte: Istat
CRIMINALITÀ
Tab. 44 - Reati denunciati alle Autorità giudiziarie dalle Forze dell'ordine, provincia - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a.)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Torino 102.850 107.551 137.561 130.270 119.270 133.330 134.364<br />
Vercelli 7.336 4.332 4.022 5.476 5.150 5.377 4.669<br />
Biella - 6.264 4.921 5.942 6.935 6.945 6.339<br />
Verbano-Cusio-Ossola - 5.175 5.675 5.144 5.813 5.810 5.509<br />
Novara 11.441 9.139 8.356 9.605 11.230 11.708 12.423<br />
Cuneo 13.119 15.158 15.548 17.126 17.392 17.813 17.035<br />
Asti 4.902 8.066 9.179 7.816 9.490 9.145 7.914<br />
Alessandria 10.466 12.081 12.290 11.015 12.926 12.406 13.715<br />
PIEMONTE 150.114 167.766 197.552 192.394 188.206 202.534 201.968<br />
Aosta 3.492 4.316 4.320 4.368 3.693 2.951 3.684<br />
VALLE D'AOSTA 3.492 4.316 4.320 4.368 3.693 2.951 3.684<br />
Varese 27.756 27.160 25.773 28.379 30.813 28.628 27.762<br />
Como 24.014 16.312 17.065 18.064 20.552 17.225 17.305<br />
Lecco - 12.104 12.714 12.996 10.616 10.116 9.280<br />
Sondrio 4.760 5.122 4.891 4.881 5.178 3.821 4.073<br />
Milano 259.825 288.042 299.723 265.146 249.325 187.720 190.947<br />
Bergamo 28.088 27.380 27.703 29.560 31.458 24.839 28.633<br />
Brescia 40.468 61.925 37.891 39.405 52.178 45.032 43.163<br />
Pavia 12.384 12.212 13.451 13.918 14.597 16.176 14.847<br />
Lodi - 5.920 7.747 7.042 6.869 4.757 5.003<br />
Cremona 8.389 8.175 9.747 8.874 9.254 8.003 7.320<br />
Mantova 5.419 6.302 6.737 8.887 7.900 7.883 6.648<br />
LOMBARDIA 411.103 470.654 463.442 437.152 438.740 354.200 354.981<br />
Bolzano 14.784 13.633 13.637 14.482 14.528 12.023 11.946<br />
Trento 11.240 12.174 10.574 10.951 12.712 10.685 10.812<br />
TRENTINO-ALTO ADIGE 26.024 25.807 24.211 25.433 27.240 22.708 22.758<br />
Verona 25.864 27.977 31.006 37.468 38.737 25.880 24.639<br />
Vicenza 26.508 27.708 24.534 28.038 26.798 25.529 23.747<br />
Belluno 5.832 5.914 5.508 5.654 6.509 6.562 7.029<br />
Treviso 21.582 29.155 26.289 34.041 23.986 25.206 24.322<br />
Venezia 37.586 38.198 37.800 41.608 46.956 36.954 38.733<br />
Padova 26.340 33.447 32.761 34.560 36.112 28.300 31.781<br />
Rovigo 5.665 5.093 5.061 4.973 5.632 7.101 6.482<br />
VENETO 149.377 167.492 162.959 186.342 184.730 155.532 156.733<br />
Pordenone 8.811 8.570 8.867 8.061 8.364 7.571 7.825<br />
Udine 23.834 25.854 21.433 22.513 17.838 14.704 15.187<br />
Gorizia 4.088 5.921 6.497 7.453 7.589 5.987 6.319<br />
Trieste 13.608 14.741 12.877 12.517 10.916 10.199 11.056<br />
FRIULI-VENEZIA GIULIA 50.341 55.086 49.674 50.544 44.707 38.461 40.387<br />
Imperia 11.820 11.340 12.580 13.392 19.401 11.510 12.820<br />
Savona 10.972 15.276 13.829 18.714 15.685 16.451 17.496<br />
Genova 57.822 65.151 62.590 66.117 53.452 57.655 50.209<br />
La Spezia 6.473 7.744 6.780 7.266 7.221 6.766 7.327<br />
Segue tab. 44
Segue tab. 44<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
LIGURIA 87.087 99.511 95.779 105.489 95.759 92.382 87.852<br />
Piacenza 5.572 6.359 6.592 6.301 7.174 6.905 7.038<br />
Parma 9.625 9.462 8.614 9.527 9.309 11.487 12.944<br />
Reggio nell'Emilia 10.011 10.613 12.360 15.300 12.607 13.999 14.435<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>dena 18.533 19.259 25.018 24.828 23.708 24.315 24.244<br />
Bologna 56.495 60.864 78.050 75.780 63.240 62.242 62.328<br />
Ferrara 10.851 13.097 15.436 12.173 12.839 12.209 12.344<br />
Ravenna 17.850 17.237 13.605 16.760 19.949 16.791 15.833<br />
Forlì-Cesena 32.394 9.719 12.301 11.013 13.354 13.530 11.975<br />
Rimini - 28.688 29.707 24.810 19.421 19.433 19.277<br />
EMILIA - ROMAGNA 161.331 175.298 201.683 196.492 181.601 180.911 180.418<br />
Massa-Carrara 5.558 5.944 7.184 6.635 6.794 6.575 5.382<br />
Lucca 14.859 15.368 14.962 9.831 10.239 10.345 11.839<br />
Pistoia 9.350 10.291 10.990 10.582 9.886 6.491 7.549<br />
Firenze 51.581 58.215 59.129 62.003 52.800 48.746 46.183<br />
Prato - 9.650 12.838 12.478 10.654 8.612 9.049<br />
Livorno 12.017 14.317 13.009 12.855 13.094 13.384 13.514<br />
Pisa 12.630 14.998 12.348 12.943 13.481 12.412 12.769<br />
Arezzo 5.767 6.093 7.046 9.287 9.949 9.259 8.105<br />
Siena 5.110 6.137 6.216 6.198 6.590 6.903 6.436<br />
Grosseto 4.503 5.651 4.896 5.287 5.341 6.100 6.642<br />
TOSCANA 121.375 146.664 148.618 148.099 138.828 128.827 127.468<br />
Perugia 13.850 16.016 15.476 14.658 19.412 18.891 20.085<br />
Terni 4.234 3.784 4.279 5.233 6.582 5.613 6.601<br />
Segue tab. 44
Segue tab. 44<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
UMBRIA 18.084 19.800 19.755 19.891 25.994 24.504 26.686<br />
Pesaro e Urbino 7.321 7.395 7.038 6.334 7.781 9.182 8.220<br />
Ancona 9.381 9.879 8.987 10.218 9.899 12.062 10.212<br />
Macerata 7.201 7.611 7.024 8.652 8.994 8.721 7.292<br />
Ascoli Piceno 9.098 11.079 11.355 11.702 11.699 11.173 10.603<br />
MARCHE 33.001 35.964 34.404 36.906 38.373 41.138 36.327<br />
Viterbo 7.232 7.195 8.943 7.969 8.197 7.229 8.767<br />
Rieti 3.224 3.460 3.948 2.993 3.625 4.190 3.253<br />
Roma 276.944 284.909 252.605 235.465 241.933 227.960 225.529<br />
Latina 16.637 16.847 18.897 20.783 18.107 18.238 19.109<br />
Frosinone 9.537 10.146 11.001 10.954 11.070 11.693 12.280<br />
LAZIO 313.574 322.557 295.394 278.164 282.932 269.310 268.938<br />
L'Aquila 4.936 5.886 5.692 6.243 6.689 7.295 6.521<br />
Teramo 10.744 9.718 8.973 10.997 8.604 9.167 9.313<br />
Pescara 9.649 10.293 11.831 11.506 10.952 10.476 10.481<br />
Chieti 6.965 6.406 6.477 6.705 7.185 7.431 7.087<br />
ABRUZZO 32.294 32.303 32.973 35.451 33.430 34.369 33.402<br />
Isernia 1.589 1.353 1.200 1.209 973 1.508 1.532<br />
Campobasso 4.774 5.249 5.646 4.520 4.732 4.277 3.895<br />
MOLISE 6.363 6.602 6.846 5.729 5.705 5.785 5.427<br />
Caserta 18.430 23.836 31.694 32.909 23.441 23.198 23.092<br />
Benevento 5.568 6.170 4.655 4.857 4.582 5.508 4.845<br />
Napoli 163.635 158.269 185.818 181.263 149.603 127.743 122.802<br />
Avellino 10.211 10.211 8.741 8.660 9.307 8.135 8.719<br />
Salerno 31.314 30.773 28.911 26.554 33.739 33.837 31.420<br />
CAMPANIA 229.158 229.259 259.819 254.243 220.672 198.421 190.878<br />
Foggia 22.812 21.978 22.740 21.734 23.338 27.218 24.726<br />
Bari 74.895 70.922 52.521 58.673 57.946 53.903 50.838<br />
Taranto 28.494 22.175 16.840 17.182 20.172 16.498 16.448<br />
Brindisi 15.056 14.179 13.540 17.142 18.217 18.870 16.385<br />
Lecce 20.461 21.466 20.148 19.887 20.467 21.672 22.841<br />
PUGLIA 161.718 150.720 125.789 134.618 140.140 138.161 131.238<br />
Potenza 7.786 7.225 6.855 6.782 6.847 6.162 7.813<br />
Matera 4.592 4.315 4.353 4.430 3.720 3.875 4.451<br />
Segue tab. 44
Segue tab. 44<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
BASILICATA 12.378 11.540 11.208 11.212 10.567 10.037 12.264<br />
Cosenza 15.651 13.936 16.150 17.097 18.335 17.221 19.166<br />
Crotone - 5.059 5.153 5.122 5.610 5.963 5.818<br />
Catanzaro 18.334 11.029 10.245 12.125 12.458 12.886 12.040<br />
Vibo Valentia - 5.674 5.409 5.644 6.065 5.203 5.108<br />
Reggio di Calabria 21.807 20.851 19.915 20.107 19.926 16.860 20.534<br />
CALABRIA 55.792 56.549 56.872 60.095 62.394 58.133 62.666<br />
Trapani 14.827 14.205 13.013 13.457 12.052 12.256 12.891<br />
Palermo 56.799 62.405 60.124 64.339 63.085 68.268 49.787<br />
Messina 19.617 19.355 20.107 19.752 20.967 21.518 20.174<br />
Agrigento 9.837 10.577 9.642 9.548 9.867 8.667 9.137<br />
Caltanissetta 7.887 8.877 8.866 8.698 9.414 8.991 7.839<br />
Enna 4.198 4.078 4.447 3.811 3.918 3.722 3.388<br />
Catania 38.337 39.906 40.799 39.642 41.883 42.452 40.945<br />
Ragusa 7.518 6.942 6.522 8.000 7.752 7.625 7.331<br />
Siracusa 17.266 16.113 23.276 13.054 16.261 13.277 12.013<br />
SICILIA 176.286 182.458 186.796 180.301 185.199 186.776 163.505<br />
Sassari 18.591 15.452 15.007 16.366 19.199 17.884 18.342<br />
Nuoro 7.643 7.809 7.843 8.975 9.492 8.962 8.926<br />
Oristano 3.565 3.854 4.909 4.562 4.303 4.846 3.655<br />
Cagliari 38.797 35.530 34.901 32.922 32.062 28.950 25.323<br />
SARDEGNA 68.596 62.645 62.660 62.825 65.056 60.642 56.246<br />
Nord 1.038.869 1.165.930 1.199.620 1.198.214 1.164.676 1.049.679 1.048.781<br />
Centro 486.034 524.985 498.171 483.060 486.127 463.779 459.419<br />
Sud e Isole 742.585 732.076 742.963 744.474 723.163 692.324 655.626<br />
Italia 2.267.488 2.422.991 2.440.754 2.425.748 2.373.966 2.205.782 2.163.826<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab.45-Reati denunciati alle Autorità giudiziarie dalle Forze dell'ordine, provincia - Anni 1995-2001 (valori per 1.000 abitanti)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Torino 46,3 48,4 62,0 58,8 53,9 60,2 62,1<br />
Vercelli 40,2 23,8 22,2 30,3 28,5 29,8 26,4<br />
Biella - 32,9 25,9 31,4 36,6 36,7 33,9<br />
Verbano-Cusio-Ossola - 32,1 35,2 31,9 36,2 36,2 34,7<br />
Novara 33,7 26,8 24,5 28,0 32,7 33,9 36,2<br />
Cuneo 23,8 27,4 28,0 30,8 31,2 31,9 30,6<br />
Asti 23,4 38,4 43,7 37,2 45,1 43,4 38,0<br />
Alessandria 24,2 27,8 28,4 25,5 30,0 28,9 32,8<br />
PIEMONTE 35,0 39,1 46,0 44,9 43,9 47,2 47,9<br />
Aosta 29,4 36,2 36,1 36,4 30,7 24,5 30,8<br />
VALLE D'AOSTA 29,4 36,2 36,1 36,4 30,7 24,5 30,8<br />
Varese 34,4 33,5 31,7 34,9 37,7 34,9 34,2<br />
Como 45,2 30,6 31,9 33,6 38,1 31,7 32,2<br />
Lecco - 39,7 41,6 42,3 34,3 32,5 29,8<br />
Sondrio 26,9 28,9 27,6 27,5 29,2 21,5 23,0<br />
Milano 69,8 77,3 80,2 70,6 66,4 49,7 51,5<br />
Bergamo 30,0 29,0 29,2 30,9 32,6 25,5 29,4<br />
Brescia 38,0 57,7 35,1 36,2 47,5 40,5 38,9<br />
Pavia 25,0 24,6 27,2 28,0 29,3 32,4 30,1<br />
Lodi - 30,9 40,1 36,2 35,1 24,1 25,3<br />
Cremona 25,3 24,7 29,4 26,6 27,7 23,8 21,8<br />
Mantova 14,7 17,0 18,2 23,9 21,1 21,0 17,6<br />
LOMBARDIA 46,1 52,5 51,6 48,4 48,4 38,8 39,3<br />
Bolzano 32,7 30,0 29,8 31,5 31,4 25,8 25,8<br />
Trento<br />
TRENTINO-ALTO<br />
24,3 26,2 22,6 23,3 26,8 22,4 22,6<br />
ADIGE 28,5 28,1 26,2 27,4 29,1 24,1 24,2<br />
Verona 32,3 34,7 38,2 45,9 47,2 31,2 29,8<br />
Vicenza 34,7 36,0 31,7 35,9 34,0 32,1 29,9<br />
Belluno 27,5 27,9 26,0 26,8 30,8 31,1 33,6<br />
Treviso 28,5 38,2 34,2 43,9 30,6 31,8 30,5<br />
Venezia 46,0 46,8 46,3 51,1 57,6 45,3 47,8<br />
Padova 31,5 39,9 38,9 40,9 42,5 33,2 37,4<br />
Rovigo 23,1 20,8 20,7 20,4 23,1 29,2 26,7<br />
VENETO 33,7 37,6 36,5 41,5 40,9 34,3 34,6<br />
Pordenone 31,9 31,0 32,0 29,0 29,8 26,8 27,3<br />
Udine 45,8 49,8 41,3 43,4 34,4 28,3 29,3<br />
Gorizia 29,6 43,0 47,1 54,0 54,9 43,1 46,3<br />
Trieste<br />
FRIULI-VENEZIA<br />
53,4 58,3 51,3 50,3 44,1 41,4 45,7<br />
GIULIA 42,3 46,4 41,9 42,7 37,7 32,4 34,1<br />
Imperia 54,5 52,2 58,0 61,8 89,7 53,2 62,5<br />
Savona 38,8 54,2 49,2 66,7 56,1 58,8 64,2<br />
Genova 62,0 70,3 68,0 72,4 58,9 63,8 57,3<br />
La Spezia 28,7 34,5 30,3 32,7 32,5 30,5 34,0<br />
Segue tab. 45
Segue tab. 45<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
LIGURIA 52,5 60,3 58,3 64,6 58,9 57,0 56,0<br />
Piacenza 20,9 23,9 24,8 23,7 27,0 25,9 26,7<br />
Parma 24,6 24,0 21,9 24,1 23,4 28,7 32,9<br />
Reggio nell'Emilia 23,3 24,4 28,2 34,5 28,1 30,7 31,7<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>dena 30,4 31,4 40,6 40,0 37,9 38,4 38,2<br />
Bologna 62,4 67,0 85,7 83,0 69,0 67,5 68,1<br />
Ferrara 30,5 37,0 43,9 34,8 36,8 35,1 35,9<br />
Ravenna 51,0 49,3 38,9 47,9 56,9 47,7 45,5<br />
Forlì-Cesena 92,5 27,7 35,0 31,2 37,7 37,9 33,4<br />
Rimini - 107,7 110,9 92,2 71,4 70,8 70,8<br />
EMILIA - ROMAGNA 41,1 44,5 51,1 49,6 45,6 45,1 45,3<br />
Massa-Carrara 27,6 29,6 35,9 33,2 34,0 33,0 27,3<br />
Lucca 39,6 40,9 39,8 26,2 27,3 27,5 31,8<br />
Pistoia 35,2 38,6 41,1 39,5 36,7 24,0 28,1<br />
Firenze 54,1 61,2 62,1 65,2 55,3 51,0 49,5<br />
Prato - 43,3 57,2 55,2 46,7 37,4 39,6<br />
Livorno 35,7 42,6 38,8 38,4 39,2 40,1 41,4<br />
Pisa 32,8 39,0 32,1 33,6 34,9 32,0 33,2<br />
Arezzo 18,2 19,2 22,1 29,0 30,9 28,6 25,1<br />
Siena 20,3 24,4 24,7 24,6 26,1 27,2 25,5<br />
Grosseto 20,8 26,1 22,6 24,5 24,8 28,3 31,5<br />
TOSCANA 34,4 41,6 42,1 42,0 39,3 36,3 36,5<br />
Perugia 23,0 26,4 25,4 24,0 31,7 30,6 33,1<br />
Terni 18,9 16,9 19,2 23,5 29,5 25,2 30,0<br />
UMBRIA 21,9 23,9 23,8 23,9 31,1 29,2 32,3<br />
Pesaro e Urbino 21,6 21,7 20,6 18,5 22,6 26,4 23,4<br />
Ancona 21,3 22,4 20,3 23,1 22,3 27,0 22,8<br />
Macerata 24,1 25,4 23,4 28,7 29,7 28,6 24,2<br />
Ascoli Piceno 24,9 30,2 30,9 31,7 31,6 30,1 28,7<br />
MARCHE 22,9 24,8 23,7 25,4 26,3 28,0 24,7<br />
Viterbo 25,0 24,8 30,7 27,3 28,0 24,6 30,3<br />
Rieti 21,4 23,0 26,2 19,9 24,1 27,7 22,0<br />
Roma 73,4 75,3 66,4 61,8 63,4 59,2 60,9<br />
Latina 33,4 33,5 37,4 40,9 35,5 35,5 38,9<br />
Frosinone 19,5 20,7 22,4 22,2 22,4 23,7 25,3<br />
LAZIO 60,3 61,8 56,3 52,9 53,7 50,8 52,6<br />
L'Aquila 16,2 19,3 18,7 20,6 22,0 24,0 21,9<br />
Teramo 37,5 33,8 31,0 38,0 29,6 31,4 32,4<br />
Pescara 33,0 35,2 40,4 39,2 37,2 35,5 35,5<br />
Chieti 17,9 16,5 16,6 17,2 18,4 19,0 18,6<br />
ABRUZZO 25,4 25,4 25,8 27,8 26,1 26,8 26,5<br />
Isernia 17,2 14,7 13,0 13,2 10,6 16,5 17,1<br />
Campobasso 20,0 22,0 23,7 19,1 20,0 18,1 16,9<br />
MOLISE 19,2 20,0 20,8 17,4 17,4 17,7 16,9<br />
Caserta 21,9 28,1 37,2 38,5 27,4 27,1 27,1<br />
Benevento 18,8 20,9 15,8 16,5 15,6 18,8 16,9<br />
Napoli 52,8 50,9 59,6 58,3 48,3 41,2 40,1<br />
Avellino 23,1 23,1 19,8 19,6 21,1 18,5 20,3<br />
Salerno 28,8 28,2 26,5 24,3 30,9 31,0 29,3<br />
Segue tab. 45
Segue tab. 45<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
CAMPANIA 39,8 39,6 44,8 43,9 38,2 34,3 33,5<br />
Foggia 32,6 31,4 32,6 31,2 33,6 39,3 35,8<br />
Bari 48,0 45,3 33,5 37,3 36,8 34,1 32,6<br />
Taranto 48,1 37,5 28,5 29,2 34,3 28,1 28,4<br />
Brindisi 36,4 34,3 32,6 41,5 44,3 45,9 40,7<br />
Lecce 25,0 26,2 24,6 24,3 25,1 26,6 29,0<br />
PUGLIA 39,6 36,9 30,8 32,9 34,3 33,8 32,7<br />
Potenza 19,4 18,1 17,0 16,9 17,1 15,4 19,9<br />
Matera 22,1 20,8 21,0 21,4 18,0 18,8 21,8<br />
BASILICATA 20,3 19,0 18,4 18,4 17,4 16,6 20,5<br />
Cosenza 20,8 18,5 21,5 22,8 24,6 23,2 26,1<br />
Crotone - 28,4 29,0 29,0 32,2 34,4 33,6<br />
Catanzaro 47,7 28,7 26,6 31,6 32,6 33,8 32,6<br />
Vibo Valentia - 31,7 30,2 31,7 34,3 29,6 30,0<br />
Reggio di Calabria 37,7 36,0 34,4 34,9 34,8 29,6 36,4<br />
CALABRIA 26,9 27,3 27,5 29,1 30,4 28,5 31,2<br />
Trapani 34,2 32,6 29,9 31,0 27,8 28,3 30,3<br />
Palermo 45,8 50,2 48,3 51,8 51,0 55,3 40,3<br />
Messina 28,7 28,4 29,5 29,1 31,0 31,9 30,5<br />
Agrigento 20,7 22,3 20,3 20,2 21,0 18,6 20,4<br />
Caltanissetta 27,9 31,3 31,2 30,7 33,4 31,8 28,7<br />
Enna 22,6 22,1 24,2 20,8 21,6 20,6 19,1<br />
Catania 35,2 36,5 37,2 36,1 38,1 38,5 38,8<br />
Ragusa 25,3 23,2 21,7 26,6 25,7 25,2 24,8<br />
Siracusa 42,5 39,7 57,4 32,2 40,3 33,0 30,3<br />
SICILIA 34,6 35,8 36,6 35,4 36,4 36,8 32,9<br />
Sassari 40,5 33,6 32,6 35,7 41,8 39,0 40,5<br />
Nuoro 28,0 28,7 28,8 33,2 35,2 33,4 33,7<br />
Oristano 22,5 24,3 31,0 28,9 27,4 30,9 23,9<br />
Cagliari 50,4 46,0 45,3 42,9 41,9 37,9 33,3<br />
SARDEGNA 41,3 37,7 37,7 38,0 39,4 36,8 34,5<br />
Nord 40,8 45,7 46,9 46,7 45,3 40,6 41,0<br />
Centro 44,2 47,6 45,1 43,6 43,8 41,6 42,1<br />
Sud e Isole 35,6 35,0 35,5 35,6 34,7 33,2 32,0<br />
Italia 39,5 42,2 42,4 42,1 41,2 38,1 38,0<br />
Fonte: elaborazioni Censis su dati Istat
Tab. 46 - Detenuti Presenti al 31 dicembre negli istituti di prevenzione e di pena per adulti, per cittadinanza, sesso e regione - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a.)<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Piemonte 3.838 3.695 3.854 3.755 4.222 4.039 4.230 179 162 160 133 175 150 152 4.017 3.857 4.014 3.888 4.397 4.189 4.382<br />
Valle d'Aosta 115 141 168 135 218 242 232 11 4 0 0 1 0 0 126 145 168 135 219 242 232<br />
Lombardia 6.642 6.468 6.309 6.144 6.598 6.747 7.412 504 477 442 431 495 532 597 7.146 6.945 6.751 6.575 7.093 7.279 8.009<br />
Trentino-Alto Adige 296 320 309 283 352 345 332 26 23 8 0 18 17 15 322 343 317 283 370 362 347<br />
Veneto 1.847 1.841 1.892 2.021 2.148 2.269 2.416 111 118 131 120 146 192 171 1.958 1.959 2.023 2.141 2.294 2.461 2.587<br />
Friuli-Venezia<br />
Giulia<br />
506 576 699 706 701 750 743 40 26 31 30 21 21 24 546 602 730 736 722 771 767<br />
Liguria 1.078 1.041 1.311 1.480 1.614 1.536 1.523 57 71 73 77 97 86 87 1.135 1.112 1.384 1.557 1.711 1.622 1.610<br />
Emilia-Romagna 2.831 2.644 2.884 2.849 3.107 3.201 3.197 97 104 87 79 86 132 112 2.928 2.748 2.971 2.928 3.193 3.333 3.309<br />
Toscana 3.519 3.597 3.596 3.426 3.615 3.980 3.950 102 117 138 113 157 145 164 3.621 3.714 3.734 3.539 3.772 4.125 4.114<br />
Umbria 775 814 884 776 846 948 1.020 70 60 53 44 40 38 51 845 874 937 820 886 986 1.071<br />
Marche 752 609 672 734 853 815 731 11 13 9 6 9 18 14 763 622 681 740 862 833 745<br />
Lazio 4.210 4.342 4.813 4.481 4.842 4.899 4.771 289 325 336 326 355 344 366 4.499 4.667 5.149 4.807 5.197 5.243 5.137<br />
Abruzzo 1.170 1.353 1.396 1.314 1.519 1.627 1.544 37 34 32 29 54 44 52 1.207 1.387 1.428 1.343 1.573 1.671 1.596<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 238 294 286 303 342 361 362 3 7 6 5 10 8 4 241 301 292 308 352 369 366<br />
Campania 5.493 5.975 6.021 6.135 6.358 6.544 6.663 261 210 207 221 229 222 230 5.754 6.185 6.228 6.356 6.587 6.766 6.893<br />
Puglia 2.958 3.238 3.783 3.166 3.456 3.486 4.121 132 106 120 93 100 144 151 3.090 3.344 3.903 3.259 3.556 3.630 4.272<br />
Basilicata 419 496 498 505 576 590 586 9 11 9 6 25 19 17 428 507 507 511 601 609 603<br />
Calabria 1.510 1.597 1.822 1.852 1.890 2.070 1.986 24 15 16 16 15 27 30 1.534 1.612 1.838 1.868 1.905 2.097 2.016<br />
Sicilia 5.116 5.368 5.554 5.551 5.895 5.880 5.900 116 114 95 113 112 127 125 5.232 5.482 5.649 5.664 6.007 6.007 6.025<br />
Sardegna 2.304 2.106 1.783 1.680 1.528 1.394 1.611 63 52 40 35 45 50 59 2.367 2.158 1.823 1.715 1.573 1.444 1.670<br />
Nord<br />
17.153 16.726 17.426 17.373 18.960 19.129 20.085<br />
1.02<br />
5<br />
985 932 870<br />
1.03<br />
9<br />
1.13<br />
0<br />
1.15<br />
8<br />
18.178 17.711 18.358 18.243 19.999 20.259 21.243<br />
Centro 9.256 9.362 9.965 9.417 10.156 10.642 10.472 472 515 536 489 561 545 595 9.728 9.877 10.501 9.906 10.717 11.187 11.067<br />
Sud e isole 19.208 20.427 21.143 20.506 21.564 21.952 22.773 645 549 525 518 590 641 668 19.853 20.976 21.668 21.024 22.154 22.593 23.441<br />
Italia<br />
segue<br />
45.617 46.515 48.534 47.296 50.680 51.723 53.330<br />
2.14<br />
2<br />
2.04<br />
9<br />
1.99<br />
3<br />
1.87<br />
7<br />
2.19<br />
0<br />
2.31<br />
6<br />
2.42<br />
1<br />
47.759 48.564 50.527 49.173 52.870 54.039 55.751
segue<br />
Maschi Femmine Totale<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Di cui stranieri<br />
Piemonte 805 837 910 1.159 1.420 1.463 1.575 25 24 24 32 55 60 76 830 861 934 1.191 1.475 1.523 1.651<br />
Valle d'Aosta 33 50 54 45 90 132 110 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 34 52 54 45 90 132 110<br />
Lombardia 1.390 1.600 1.819 1.903 2.205 2.188 2.677 105 115 108 151 170 205 255 1.495 1.715 1.927 2.054 2.375 2.393 2.932<br />
Trentino-Alto Adige 99 120 127 121 143 164 153 4 0 2 0 9 4 4 103 120 129 121 152 168 157<br />
Veneto 495 603 751 881 996 1.089 1.188 29 27 50 41 57 92 88 524 630 801 922 1.053 1.181 1.276<br />
Friuli-Venezia Giulia 155 168 264 356 339 397 353 8 10 6 16 11 10 8 163 178 270 372 350 407 361<br />
Liguria 353 393 534 651 695 745 737 13 13 24 16 39 36 39 366 406 558 667 734 781 776<br />
Emilia-Romagna 724 726 943 990 1.081 1.292 1.382 20 29 30 31 42 80 64 744 755 973 1.021 1.123 1.372 1.446<br />
Toscana 946 990 1.086 1.101 1.263 1.517 1.578 21 33 41 27 61 67 79 967 1.023 1.127 1.128 1.324 1.584 1.657<br />
Umbria 149 177 247 214 213 343 424 16 12 11 12 11 8 27 165 189 258 226 224 351 451<br />
Marche 104 103 176 211 286 275 251 4 2 3 1 4 11 9 108 105 179 212 290 286 260<br />
Lazio 1.112 1.242 1.455 1.490 1.697 1.791 1.758 95 122 134 143 176 191 196 1.207 1.364 1.589 1.633 1.873 1.982 1.954<br />
Abruzzo 236 301 360 333 384 505 468 4 6 2 1 9 9 12 240 307 362 334 393 514 480<br />
<strong>Mo</strong>lise 22 53 34 47 66 81 73 0 2 2 5 3 5 2 22 55 36 52 69 86 75<br />
Campania 446 403 473 446 453 574 718 31 38 41 35 34 49 56 477 441 514 481 487 623 774<br />
Puglia 106 165 351 297 462 441 462 8 4 6 14 26 53 48 114 169 357 311 488 494 510<br />
Basilicata 11 38 54 107 191 216 180 0 0 0 0 17 13 9 11 38 54 107 208 229 189<br />
Calabria 31 57 112 140 272 397 358 2 2 2 5 1 3 9 33 59 114 145 273 400 367<br />
Sicilia 148 222 203 382 731 797 686 3 3 5 7 4 14 8 151 225 208 389 735 811 694<br />
Sardegna 392 547 299 435 325 252 376 1 2 1 2 9 13 15 393 549 300 437 334 265 391<br />
Nord 4.054 4.497 5.402 6.106 6.969 7.470 8.175 205 220 244 287 383 487 534 4.259 4.717 5.646 6.393 7.352 7.957 8.709<br />
Centro 2.311 2.512 2.964 3.016 3.459 3.926 4.011 136 169 189 183 252 277 311 2.447 2.681 3.153 3.199 3.711 4.203 4.322<br />
Sud e isole 1.392 1.786 1.886 2.187 2.884 3.263 3.321 49 57 59 69 103 159 159 1.441 1.843 1.945 2.256 2.987 3.422 3.480<br />
Italia<br />
Fonte: Istat<br />
7.757 8.795 10.252 11.309 13.312 14.659 15.507 390 446 492 539 738 923<br />
1.00<br />
4<br />
8.147 9.241 10.744 11.848 14.050 15.582 16.511
Tab. 47 - Condannati per distretto di Corte di Appello - Maschi - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a.)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Torino 17.259 18.281 23.233 22.599 19.589 12.704 14.449<br />
Milano 15.820 18.472 21.624 25.607 16.877 14.751 22.691<br />
Brescia 5.597 7.481 5.715 7.993 6.129 4.766 6.035<br />
Trento 3.407 1.659 1.613 1.545 1.254 1.077 1.313<br />
Bolzano (Sez.) - 1.612 2.086 1.837 1.859 1.150 1.730<br />
Venezia 16.286 14.461 12.984 14.745 11.564 8.784 13.673<br />
Trieste 5.580 6.680 5.345 5.831 4.994 3.382 4.725<br />
Genova 8.927 8.967 10.197 8.690 7.620 6.844 9.169<br />
Bologna 17.596 11.582 12.846 12.946 12.543 10.065 12.447<br />
Firenze 16.395 12.737 12.345 13.009 11.403 8.983 12.457<br />
Perugia 2.625 2.246 2.714 2.459 2.120 1.558 2.537<br />
Ancona 5.479 4.737 4.870 5.285 4.144 2.773 3.988<br />
Roma 21.055 16.444 18.821 23.135 37.321 102.502 21.738<br />
L'Aquila 6.293 5.618 5.879 5.739 5.498 2.863 4.615<br />
Campobasso 2.212 1.329 1.467 1.622 1.184 785 1.242<br />
Napoli 20.237 14.866 29.448 28.295 26.384 16.734 15.566<br />
Salerno 3.355 3.409 5.269 5.626 4.488 3.329 3.220<br />
Bari 11.059 9.179 9.681 10.448 8.698 6.013 7.667<br />
Lecce 4.779 6.496 4.455 5.425 4.510 3.637 4.832<br />
Taranto (Sez.) 4.730 3.429 6.600 4.440 5.209 3.780 4.006<br />
Potenza 1.967 2.190 2.305 2.407 1.978 1.591 1.673<br />
Catanzaro 3.557 2.481 5.866 5.910 4.319 3.103 2.974<br />
Reggio di Calabria 2.134 2.239 2.086 1.764 1.919 2.795 1.633<br />
Palermo 8.325 9.358 13.743 13.447 10.694 10.977 11.118<br />
Messina 3.849 2.154 2.446 2.225 1.540 2.504 3.208<br />
Caltanissetta 1.941 1.265 1.295 1.461 1.993 1.247 1.723<br />
Catania 8.179 8.531 12.329 9.320 8.987 8.162 7.366<br />
Cagliari 5.204 4.613 4.193 4.353 5.304 2.336 4.901<br />
Sassari (Sez.) 1.877 1.850 1.529 3.099 2.677 2.256 2.112<br />
Italia 225.724 204.366 242.984 251.262 232.799 251.451 204.808<br />
(a) I dati si riferiscono alle iscrizioni che vengono effettuate, nel corso dell'anno di riferimento, presso il Casellario Centrale Giudiziale e<br />
risentono, pertanto, del <strong>volume</strong> di attività svolto.<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 48 - Condannati per distretto di Corte di Appello - Femmine - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a.)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Torino 3.<strong>346</strong> 3.604 4.945 4.360 3.599 2.079 2.286<br />
Milano 3.276 4.529 4.386 5.220 2.965 2.129 3.000<br />
Brescia 1.165 1.755 1.230 1.555 1.109 806 982<br />
Trento 559 290 254 209 182 175 214<br />
Bolzano (Sez.) - 293 <strong>346</strong> 300 293 170 235<br />
Venezia 2.703 2.833 2.520 2.991 1.929 1.569 2.431<br />
Trieste 1.131 1.229 1.064 1.257 1.005 617 836<br />
Genova 941 1.855 1.953 1.585 1.309 1.044 1.358<br />
Bologna 1.276 2.252 2.521 2.463 2.013 1.661 2.007<br />
Firenze 3.262 2.893 2.700 2.928 2.525 1.920 2.<strong>346</strong><br />
Perugia 561 505 564 508 447 297 477<br />
Ancona 1.255 1.004 1.059 1.078 790 493 676<br />
Roma 2.989 2.976 3.506 4.640 9.029 30.486 4.024<br />
L'Aquila 1.341 1.359 1.385 1.336 1.273 573 892<br />
Campobasso 290 258 290 316 205 132 240<br />
Napoli 4.510 3.046 6.768 6.779 5.819 3.312 2.754<br />
Salerno 635 667 1.104 1.379 904 618 542<br />
Bari 673 1.322 1.536 1.539 1.142 586 866<br />
Lecce 671 962 795 957 452 406 501<br />
Taranto (Sez.) 634 343 597 531 706 560 537<br />
Potenza 260 353 355 378 276 241 267<br />
Catanzaro 621 529 1.149 1.088 752 518 460<br />
Reggio di Calabria 330 556 807 353 375 891 257<br />
Palermo 1.327 2.112 3.420 3.357 2.670 2.278 2.504<br />
Messina 236 424 537 501 259 499 845<br />
Caltanissetta 309 253 250 267 423 209 333<br />
Catania 1.743 1.935 3.160 2.445 2.303 1.824 1.490<br />
Cagliari 556 680 555 618 699 343 658<br />
Sassari (Sez.) 236 239 240 466 408 413 348<br />
Italia 36.836 41.056 49.996 51.404 45.861 56.849 34.366<br />
(a) I dati si riferiscono alle iscrizioni che vengono effettuate, nel corso dell'anno di riferimento, presso il Casellario Centrale Giudiziale e<br />
risentono, pertanto, del <strong>volume</strong> di attività svolto.<br />
Fonte: Istat
Tab. 49 - Condannati per distretto di Corte di Appello - Totale - Anni 1995-2001 (v.a.)<br />
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
Torino 20.605 21.885 28.178 26.959 23.188 14.783 16.735<br />
Milano 19.096 23.001 26.010 30.827 19.842 16.880 25.691<br />
Brescia 6.762 9.236 6.945 9.548 7.238 5.572 7.017<br />
Trento 3.966 1.949 1.867 1.754 1.436 1.252 1.527<br />
Bolzano (Sez.) - 1.905 2.432 2.137 2.152 1.320 1.965<br />
Venezia 18.989 17.294 15.504 17.736 13.493 10.353 16.104<br />
Trieste 6.711 7.909 6.409 7.088 5.999 3.999 5.561<br />
Genova 9.868 10.822 12.150 10.275 8.929 7.888 10.527<br />
Bologna 18.872 13.834 15.367 15.409 14.556 11.726 14.454<br />
Firenze 19.657 15.630 15.045 15.937 13.928 10.903 14.803<br />
Perugia 3.186 2.751 3.278 2.967 2.567 1.855 3.014<br />
Ancona 6.734 5.741 5.929 6.363 4.934 3.266 4.664<br />
Roma 24.044 19.420 22.327 27.775 46.350 132.988 25.762<br />
L'Aquila 7.634 6.977 7.264 7.075 6.771 3.436 5.507<br />
Campobasso 2.502 1.587 1.757 1.938 1.389 917 1.482<br />
Napoli 24.747 17.912 36.216 35.074 32.203 20.046 18.320<br />
Salerno 3.990 4.076 6.373 7.005 5.392 3.947 3.762<br />
Bari 11.732 10.501 11.217 11.987 9.840 6.599 8.533<br />
Lecce 5.450 7.458 5.250 6.382 4.962 4.043 5.333<br />
Taranto (Sez.) 5.364 3.772 7.197 4.971 5.915 4.340 4.543<br />
Potenza 2.227 2.543 2.660 2.785 2.254 1.832 1.940<br />
Catanzaro 4.178 3.010 7.015 6.998 5.071 3.621 3.434<br />
Reggio di Calabria 2.464 2.795 2.893 2.117 2.294 3.686 1.890<br />
Palermo 9.652 11.470 17.163 16.804 13.364 13.255 13.622<br />
Messina 4.085 2.578 2.983 2.726 1.799 3.003 4.053<br />
Caltanissetta 2.250 1.518 1.545 1.728 2.416 1.456 2.056<br />
Catania 9.922 10.466 15.489 11.765 11.290 9.986 8.856<br />
Cagliari 5.760 5.293 4.748 4.971 6.003 2.679 5.559<br />
Sassari (Sez.) 2.113 2.089 1.769 3.565 3.085 2.669 2.460<br />
Italia 262.560 245.422 292.980 302.666 278.660 308.300 239.174<br />
(a) I dati si riferiscono alle iscrizioni che vengono effettuate, nel corso dell'anno di riferimento, presso il Casellario Centrale Giudiziale e<br />
risentono, pertanto, del <strong>volume</strong> di attività svolto.<br />
Fonte: Istat
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
7. BIBLIOGRAFIA ESSENZIALE<br />
GENERALE<br />
- Censis, 36° Rapporto sulla situazione sociale del Paese 2002, Franco<br />
Angeli<br />
- Istat, Annuario Statistico Italiano 2002<br />
- Istat, Italia in cifre 2002<br />
- Istat, Rapporto annuale sulla situazione del Paese 2002<br />
SALUTE<br />
- Bucci R. Loiudice M.T., Il dibattito sulla qualità in ambito sanitario,<br />
Collana I quaderni di Mecosan<br />
- Censis, 36° Rapporto sulla situazione sociale del Paese 2002, Franco<br />
Angeli<br />
- Geddes M., Berlinguer G. (a cura di), La salute in Italia. Rapporto 1997,<br />
Roma, Ediesse, 1997<br />
- Mapelli V., Il sistema sanitario italiano, Bologna, Il Mulino, 1999<br />
- Ministero della Salute, Relazione sullo stato sanitario del Paese 2001 –<br />
2002<br />
- Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri - Di<strong>par</strong>timento per l’informazione e<br />
l’editoria, Medicina e Migrazioni - Traumi e Problemi di Salute Fisica e<br />
Mentale in Immigrati e Rifugiati,1992<br />
- WHO, The World Health Report 2002<br />
POVERTÀ<br />
- Beckerman W., Stime della povertà in Italia nel 1975, Rivista<br />
Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, n. 2, 1980<br />
- Censis, 36° Rapporto sulla situazione sociale del Paese 2002, Franco<br />
Angeli<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
288
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- P. Calza Bini, D. Maddaloni, La politica del lavoro e la cittadinanza<br />
sociale in un’epoca di transizione: alcune riflessioni, IRiDiSS Research<br />
Paper, 2000<br />
- A.Ciocia, The New Italian Pension System <strong>Mo</strong>del, Paper presentato al<br />
Seminar of the European Network for Research on Supplementary<br />
Pensions (ENRSP), Roma, 17-18 dicembre 1998<br />
- D. Maddaloni, Economia della <strong>par</strong>tecipazione e configurazioni<br />
occupazionali flessibili. Alcune osservazioni con riferimento<br />
all’esperienza italiana, IRiDiSS-CNR Research Paper, 1998<br />
- M. Falivene, Innovazione tecnologica e processo lavorativo. Il caso del<br />
telelavoro, IRiDiSS-CNR Research Paper, 1998<br />
- G. Ponzini, Alcune note a proposito del dibattito sulla bioetica, Relazione<br />
presentata al Convegno “Etica e comunità”, Chieti, 22-23 aprile 1989<br />
- G. Ponzini, Towards a New Social Contract?, IRiDiSS Cnr, Research<br />
Paper, 1997<br />
- S. Turcio, La qualità dei servizi in un processo di mutamento sociale,<br />
intervento presentato al seminario internazionale “Change in Health<br />
Policy: A European Perspective”, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche,<br />
Roma 16 e 17 dicembre 1996<br />
- Disuguaglianza e stato sociale. Riflessioni sulla crisi del welfare italiano,<br />
a cura di E. Bartocci, Donzelli, Roma, 1996<br />
- Commissione Gorrieri di indagine sulla povertà, Primo rapporto e studi<br />
base, Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri, Roma, 1985<br />
- Istat, Anziani in Italia, Il Mulino, Bologna, 1997<br />
- Pace D., Pisani S., Le condizioni economiche degli anziani, VII Rapporto<br />
Cer-Spi, La Terza, Bari, 1998<br />
- Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri, Terzo rapporto sulla povertà in<br />
Italia, Istituto Poligrafico e Zecca dello Stato, Roma, 1993<br />
- Rizzi D., Poverty in Italy: 1984, Ricerche Economiche, XLIII, 3, 1989<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
289
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- Rossi N. (a cura di), Competizione e giustizia sociale:1994-1995, Terzo<br />
rapporto CNEL sulla distribuzione e redistribuzione del reddito in Italia,<br />
Il Mulino, Bologna<br />
- Sarpellon G., La povertà in Italia, Franco Angeli, Milano, 1982<br />
CRIMINALITÀ<br />
- AA. VV., Rapporti degli ispettori europei sullo stato delle carceri in Italia<br />
che vale anche da manuale da istruzioni per carcerieri, carcerati e<br />
cittadini in libertà provvisoria, Palermo, Sellerio, 1995<br />
- Campelli E., Faccioli F., Giordano V., Pitch T., Donne in carcere.<br />
Ricerca sulla detenzione femminile in Italia, Feltrinelli, Milano 1992<br />
- Censis, Cultura dello sviluppo, cultura della legalità - Programma<br />
integrato per il Mezzogiorno, Roma, Gangemi, 1997<br />
- Censis-Cds, Contro e dentro - Criminalità, istituzioni, società, Milano,<br />
Franco Angeli, 1992<br />
- Centorrino M., La Spina A. e Signorino G., Il nodo gordiano -<br />
Criminalità mafiosa e sviluppo nel Mezzogiorno, Bari, Laterza, 1999<br />
- Chinnici G., Santino U., La violenza programmata, Milano, Franco<br />
Angeli, 1989<br />
- Commissione Parlamentare Antimafia, Economia e criminalità, Forum<br />
del 14-15 Maggio 1993, Camera dei Deputati<br />
- Giovani Imprenditori Confindustria, Sviluppo, criminalità e corruzione in<br />
Quale impresa, n. XIV, 1994<br />
- Lupo S., Storia della mafia, Roma, Donzelli, 1993<br />
- Occhiogrosso F., Introduzione a Mastropasqua I., I minori e la giustizia.<br />
Operatori e servizi dell’area penale, Liguori, Napoli 1997<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
290
TURKEY<br />
Selahattin Bekmez, Ph.D. - Cem Mehmet Baydur, Ph.D.<br />
İbrahim Tokatlıoğlu, Ph.D. - Fatih Türe, Ph.D.<br />
Necla Ayaş - Bayram Coskun
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1. COUNTRY PROFILE<br />
This chapter intends to introduce a brief recapitulation of social, economic<br />
and geographical caracteristics of Turkey.<br />
1.1. Population<br />
Turkey is the most densely populated country in the Middle East. According<br />
to the 2000 census, the population of Turkey amounted to 67.8 million. 33.6<br />
million of the population are female and 34.2 million are male. While the<br />
annual average population increase was 24.9 %o in the 1980-85 period and<br />
21.7 %o in the 1985-90 period , this figure dropped to 18.3 %o in the 1990-<br />
2000 period. This rate is expected to drop to 14.5 %o in the 2000-2005<br />
period.<br />
Since the 1960’s, Turkey has been considered to be among the countries<br />
which registered the greatest progress in urbanization. Thi 2000 census<br />
indicated that 44 million people live in provinces and administrative<br />
centers, and 23.7 million people live in districts and villages. Of the 81<br />
provinces in the country , three most densely populated are Istanbul with a<br />
population of 10 million, Ankara with a population of 4 million, and Izmir<br />
with a population of 3.4 million.<br />
Turkey is a country with a young population. The 0-14 age group comprise<br />
30% of Turkey’s population, the 15-64 age group 64.4% and the 65+ age<br />
group 5.6% of the population. When these figures are com<strong>par</strong>ed with those<br />
of European Union (EU) countries it is observed that the 0-14 age group in<br />
the EU countries, with a mere 17.2% is approximately half of that of<br />
Turkey. Conversely, the 65+age group in EU countries is almost thee-fold<br />
of that in Turkey with 15.7%.<br />
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Table 1: Developments in Demographic Indicators 1<br />
Demographic Indicators Unit 1997 2001 2005 2<br />
Total Population (Midyear)<br />
1000 persons 63.7 67.8 71.7<br />
Total Population Growth<br />
Rate<br />
Per thousand 16.4 14.6 13.1<br />
Approximate Birth Rate Per thousand 21.6 20.2 19.0<br />
Approximate <strong>Mo</strong>rtality<br />
Rate<br />
Per thousand 6.5 6.5 6.5<br />
Total Fertility Rate No. of Children 2.5 2.3 2.2<br />
Average Age for Child<br />
Bearing<br />
Year 26.8 26.3 26.0<br />
Infant <strong>Mo</strong>rtality Rate Per thousand 40 33.9 28.8<br />
Life Expectancy at Birth Year 68.2 69.1 70.3<br />
According to 2000 general census 88 people live in 1 kilometre square.<br />
Thus it can be said that country is not crowded. Basic problem of the<br />
population is high growth rates. While Turkey’s population was one of the<br />
rapid growing in the world in last fifty years, now this rate shows a<br />
decreasing tendency in the last decade. Other dimension of the population<br />
composition related to birth ant mortality rates. These rate reflects health<br />
conditions and family planning in the country. Although birth rates are<br />
decreasing they are stil high. Birth rates are decreasing because of<br />
exploitation of better education and increasing <strong>par</strong>ticipation fo the woman to<br />
the employment and production.<br />
1 State Statistical Institute<br />
2 Projection<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Table 2 : Proportion of Population by Age Group<br />
Demographic Indicators Unit 1997 2000 2005<br />
0-14 Age Group Percentage 31.7 30.0 28.3<br />
15-64 Age Group Percentage 63.1 64.4 65.8<br />
65 + Age Group Percentage 5.1 5.6 5.9<br />
Age composition is important in education programs, demographic<br />
investments, social activities and to determine social needs. Produvticity and<br />
needs of the people changes in age groups.<br />
Migration<br />
Turkey has growing and dynamic structure, and migration is an important<br />
social and economic factor. The reasons of the migration are; poverty, low<br />
life standarts in rural areas, labor demand in urban centres. It must be added<br />
that the war in eastern and south-eastern <strong>par</strong>t of the country until midnienties<br />
was the cause of strong movement ou the people in this areas. In<br />
recent years this movement from rural areas to urban centres turned to<br />
opposite: in a slow pace the pouple returning to their original settlements.<br />
In the last 30 years, the population in the western and southern regions has<br />
increased, while it has decreased in the central, northern and eastern<br />
regions.The changes in the regional distribution of population in Turkey<br />
resulted from migration from the eastern and northern regions to the western<br />
and southern metropolises.<br />
External migration began in 1960’s first to Europe and than to the world. So<br />
called “Guest worker” from Turkey continued and today about 3.6 million<br />
Turks are working and living in Europe, Australia, USA, Asia and Africa.<br />
This migration movement abroad slowed after 1990’s. Better economic<br />
possibilities in Turkey, restrictions of receiving countries are the main<br />
reasons of slowing external migration from Turkey.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
294
Table 3: Turkish Citizen Working and Living Abroad<br />
Turkish Citizen<br />
LIVING<br />
abroad<br />
Turkish Citizen<br />
WORKING<br />
abroad<br />
Countries 1995 1999 1995 1999<br />
European countries<br />
Germany 1.965.577 2.110.223 742.566 740.530<br />
France 268.000 287.343 102.900 78.965<br />
Holland 264.763 *279.786 84.500 *48.000<br />
Austria 150.000 138.860 51.297 54.711<br />
Belgium 85.303 73.818 26.764 26.855<br />
Sweden 35.948 35.943 24.800 5.300<br />
Great britain 51.390 66.000 15.746 37.600<br />
Danmark 34.967 38.055 14.445 13.639<br />
Italy 15.000 8.500 5.000 -<br />
Finland 1.800 2.000 1.400 -<br />
Spain 848 904 500 -<br />
Switzerland 78.615 79.478 35.828 32.944<br />
Norway 10.000 10.000 6.000 6.000<br />
Luxemburg - 220 - 60<br />
Lichtenstein - 809 - 339<br />
Total<br />
Middle-East and North Africa<br />
2.962.211 3.131.939 1.111.746 1.044.943<br />
Saudi Arabia 130.000 120.000 120.000 115.000<br />
Libia 6.236 3.000 5.802 2.600<br />
Quveyt 3.500 3.500 3.300 3.300<br />
Irak - - - -<br />
Israel 4.114 5.000 4.114 -<br />
Jordan 1.591 1.600 200 200<br />
Total 145.441 133.100 133.416 121.100<br />
Other countries 1995 1999 1995 1999<br />
Union of independent states. 40.000 40.000<br />
Russian federation 13.000 10.514<br />
Turkik republics 26.300 13.381<br />
Australia 49.375 49.342 31.000 12.890<br />
Usa 135.000 85.505 - -<br />
Canada 35.000 18.130 -<br />
Japan 1.729 1.729<br />
Rest of the world 1.648 3.170 7.324 1.504<br />
Grand total 3.368.675 3.462.215 1.323.486 1.206.061<br />
* Double passport holders included<br />
Source:Ministry of Social Security and Employment
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Migration to Turkey mainly from neighboring countries continuing. In<br />
1989-1990 345 thousand people came to Turkey during the Iran-Iraq war<br />
and the population flow of Turkish origin from Bulgaria were the main<br />
sources.<br />
Turkey became in recent years one of the main routes of illegal migration<br />
from Asia and Africa to Europe. Now after the normalization of the<br />
conditions in southern and south-eastern <strong>par</strong>t of the country the flow of<br />
illegal migrants slowed drastically. Interior Ministry is now better equipped<br />
and well trained specialists are in the scene against the illegal migration.<br />
Ethnic, Religion compositions and Spoken Language 3<br />
Turkish is the language of %90 of the population of Turkey. The Caucasian<br />
and several Kurdish dialects, Greek, Ladino and Armenian are among the<br />
other 70 languages and dialects spoken in the country. The Turkish spoken<br />
in Turkey is an agglutinative language similar to other Ural-Altaic<br />
languages and is the modern form of Ottoman Turkish . Turkish is the<br />
seventh most spoken and widespread language among the approximately<br />
4000 languages spoken in the world today. <strong>Mo</strong>re than 200 million people<br />
speak Turkish.<br />
There are no exact data on religious composition of the country. Researchs<br />
about ethnic structure and spoken language shows %94 of the population is<br />
moslem and other % 6 is christians mainly belonging the Greek, Armenian,<br />
Assyrian churches and jewish.<br />
Education<br />
In Turkey, education is carried out under the supervision and control of the<br />
state.According the Constitution, everyone has the right to receive an<br />
education.<br />
After 1997 compulsory education increased from five to eight years.<br />
Investments in school building and equipment increased steadily afterwards.<br />
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11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
In the 2001-2002 scholastic year, a total of 18.6 million students, composed<br />
of 289 thousend preschool students, 10.5 million primary school students,<br />
2.8 million secondary/middle-high school students, 1.7 million higher<br />
education students and 3.2 million non-formal education students, were<br />
educated in 60.057 formal and non-formal educational institutions.<br />
Table : 4 – Composition of Education<br />
Level of Education<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Number of<br />
Students<br />
(‘000)<br />
1995-1996 1999-2000 2000-2005 (1)<br />
Rate of<br />
Schoolarization<br />
(%)<br />
Number of<br />
Students<br />
(‘000)<br />
Rate of<br />
Schoolarization<br />
(%)<br />
Number of<br />
Students<br />
(‘000)<br />
297<br />
Rate of<br />
Schoolarization<br />
(%)<br />
Pre-school education 199 7,7 252 9,8 690 25,0<br />
Primary school 9.564 89,8 10.053 97,6 10.328 100,0<br />
Secondary school 2.223 55,0 2.444 59,4 2.886 75,0<br />
Collage 1.277 31,6 1.506 36,6 1.539 40,0<br />
Technical school- 946 23,4 938 22,8 1.<strong>346</strong> 35,0<br />
University and other<br />
higher schools<br />
1.226 23,8 1.492 27,8 2.002 37,3<br />
(*) Graduate Students included.<br />
(1) Projection<br />
Source : State Planning Organization<br />
Literacy rate gradually increasing. During the tumultouse years from mideighties<br />
to mid-nienties educational institutionals were main targets of<br />
terror. This had an negative impact on the rate of literacy. According the<br />
General Census of 2000 literacy rate is %87.30 and continuing to decrease.<br />
1.2. Economy and labor<br />
Prior to 1980, Turkey followed an economic policy based on the<br />
substitution of import. Instead of importing her goal was to manufacture<br />
products in the country which would meet the domestic demand. Domestic
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
production and producers were protected by customs tariffs, import<br />
restrictions for manufactured goods, and other equally efective taxes.<br />
But on January 24, 1980 a comprehensive Stability Program with the<br />
objective of providing radical economic reforms was introduced. Thus,<br />
Turkey abondoned the planned economic development model and adopted<br />
an industrialization model concentrating on, and giving priority to export<br />
industries. Since then the process of implementing the Free Market<br />
Economy continuing.<br />
The foreign exchange regime was liberalized to a great extent as of<br />
1984.Today, Turkey is one of the laeding countries in terms of liberal<br />
foreign exchange regimes in the world.<br />
According to World Data Bank daka, Turkey was in sixteenth place among<br />
127 countries with her 2.9% increase in the annual average per capita GNP<br />
between 1980-1991.<br />
The GNP achieved an average increase of 5.3% per annum between 1980-<br />
1990, 3.2% between 1995-1997, and an average of 7.9% between 1995-<br />
1997, which is above woryd average. However, from August 1998 until<br />
mid-1999, the Turkish economy which felt the negative impact of the<br />
Russian crises in every sector, and especially in exports, was also hard<br />
pressed by the tax reform and the tight monatery and fiscal policies<br />
embraced withen the context of the disinflation program. With the delaying<br />
of some of the liabilities in the Tax Law and the government package to<br />
support the small and medium- size producers and exporters in the middle<br />
of 1999, the economic indicators showed signs of picking up; but with the<br />
earthquake disaster Turkey suffered yet another schock. Even though in<br />
2001 the economy shrunk by 9.4%, as of March 2002, industrial production<br />
rose by 18.8% and there were indicators that the situation was picking up.<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
298
Table 5: Real GNP by Main Kind of Economic Activity (Billion TL)<br />
Year Agriculture Industry Construction Services GDP<br />
1990 13.746 21.873 48.973 84.592<br />
1991 13.663 22.504 48.720 84.887<br />
1992 14.249 23.911 52.163 90.323<br />
1993 14.129(1) 26.260 6.271 44.307 96.591<br />
1994 14.358(1) 24.775 6.144 42.615 91.321<br />
1995 14.640(1) 27.766 5.857 45.803 97.888<br />
1996 15.395(1) 29.743 6.141 48.949 104.927<br />
1997 14.509(1) 32.337 6.415 67.988 111.249<br />
1998 16.176(2) 33.494 6.560 54.454 116.114<br />
1999 15.369(2) 31.814 5.739 47.329 110.646<br />
2000 15.962(2) 33.738 5.991 56.540 118.789<br />
2001 14.923(2) 31.207 5.662 53.179 109.885<br />
(1) Turkish economy statistics and analysis August 1997, State Institue Of Statistic Prime<br />
Ministry Republic Of Turkey<br />
(2) Turkish economy statistics and analysis January-march 2003, State Institue Of<br />
Statistic Prime Ministry Republic Of Turkey<br />
Table 6: National Per capita incomes, Unemployment, Inflation Rates<br />
Per Capita<br />
GNP(Dolar)<br />
Unemployment<br />
Rates<br />
Inflation Rates(%)<br />
1990 2175 8.0<br />
1991 2666 8.1 66.1<br />
1992 2774 8.3 70.1<br />
1993 3091 8.8 66.4<br />
1994 2192 8.4 106.3<br />
1995 2759 7.5 88.1<br />
1996 2928 6.5 80.3<br />
1997 3079 6.7 85.8<br />
1998 3255 6.8 84.6<br />
1999 2879 7.7 64.9<br />
2000 2948 6.6 54.9<br />
2001 2160 8.5 54.4<br />
2002 2584 10.6 45.0<br />
IMF (World Economics Outloc) DİE 2002, DİE 1996.
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Unemployment rate in 2001was about 8.5% (1,902,000 people). In terms of<br />
gender, 8.8% of males and 7.9% of females in Turkey were unemployed in<br />
2001. In cities the total unemployment rate is 11.5%, 10.3% for men and<br />
16.8% for women. In rural areas, this reta is a total of 4.8%, with 6.5% for<br />
men and 1.6% for women. In 2001, the rate of unemployment among<br />
educated youth was 25.8%.<br />
Foreign Trade<br />
Turkey eliminated all trade barriers on imports of industrial goods from<br />
members of the European Union (EU) with the Customs Union established<br />
with the EU as of the 1st of January 1996 and also the EU’s Common<br />
Customs Tariff has started to be applied in trade with other countries. As a<br />
result , the balance of foreign trade yielded a deficit of 20 billon dollars in<br />
1996. In 1997, exports increased by 13% reaching 26.2 billion dollars and<br />
imports insreased by 11.3% amounting to 48.6 billion dollars. As of the end<br />
of 2001, imports decraesed to 40 billion dollars and exports reached 30<br />
billion dollars.<br />
An important structural change occurred in Turkey’s exports in the 1980s.<br />
The share of agricultural products in total exports, which was at a high level<br />
of 75% in 1970 and 57% in 1980, was 7.2% in 2001. On the other hand, the<br />
share of industrial products in exports, which was 18% in 1970 and 36% in<br />
1980, insreased rapidly and reached 91.6% in 2001.<br />
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300
Table :7 İmport-Export Values (million dolar)<br />
Export(Fob) İmport(Cif) Foreign Trade<br />
Balance<br />
Export/ımport<br />
1990 12.959 22.302 -9.343 30.581<br />
1991 13.593 21.047 -7.454 64.6<br />
1992 14.715 22.871 -8.156 64.3<br />
1993 15.345 29.428 -14.080 52.1<br />
1994 18.106 23.270 -5.164 77.8<br />
1995 21.636 35.709 -14.073 60.6<br />
1996 23.224 43.627 -20.403 53.2<br />
1997 26.261 48.559 -22.298 54.1<br />
1998 26.973 45.992 -18.949 58.7<br />
1999 26.588 39.773 -13.185 66.8<br />
2000 27.775 54.012 -26.237 51.4<br />
2001 31.340 39.748 -8.408 78.8<br />
2002 35.753 51.203 -15.450 69.8<br />
DİE 2001, T.C. Maliye Bakanlığı, 1996 Yıllık Ekonomik Rapor. (State Statistical Institute<br />
2001 and Ministry of Fiunance Report)
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
1.3. Geography and territorial characteristics<br />
Geography and territorial patterns of Turkey composite of geographical<br />
surface, geographical distribution of population, principle Natural<br />
Resources, climate characteristics and environmental Issues.<br />
Geographical Surface<br />
The Republic of Turkey spans two continents. The seas which surround the<br />
country on three sides are the Black Sea, the Aegean and the Mediterranean.<br />
Turkey has borders with Georgia, Armenia, Nakhicevan (Azerbaidjan) and<br />
Iran to the east, Bulgaria, and Greece to the west and Iraq and Syria to the<br />
south.<br />
Turkey has an area of 814,578 km square. 3% of the area of Turkey is<br />
located in Thrace in Europe, and the remaining 97%, which is referred to as<br />
Anatolia, is located in Asia. The legth of the land borders of the country is<br />
2,875 km. and the length of the coastline is 8,333 km. Turkey has a width of<br />
app. 550 km. and a length of app. 1,500 km.<br />
Turkey has seven geographical regions: The Black Sea, the Marmara, the<br />
Aegean, the Mediterranean, the Central, East and Southeast Anatolia<br />
Regions. The Regions are not definiteve demarcations, but markers of<br />
gradually changing geographical and climatic features.<br />
Principle Natural Resources<br />
Turkey has large and varied mineral deposits and resources.Turkey holds<br />
28th place in terms of total production among 132 countries in the world<br />
who are involved in mining activities and 10th place in terms of the type of<br />
minerals produced. Today 53 different metals and minerals are being<br />
produced in the mining sector.<br />
While the public sector predominates in the production of mineral fuels ano<br />
metallic ores, the private sector has concentrated on industrial minerals.<br />
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Some of the most important minerals produced in Turkey are as follows:<br />
Coal :reserves around 1.3 billion tons, and 72% of it is coke.<br />
Lignite: there are lignite deposits in almost every region of the country.Total<br />
reserves are 8.3 billion tons; annual production is around 65-70 million tons.<br />
Crude oil and natural gas : Turkey is a net importer of crude oil and natural<br />
gas. Petroleum reserves are about one billion barrels and 14 billion metric<br />
cubes of exploitable natural gas reserves are in the country. 2,5 million tons<br />
of crude oil were produced in 2001. Again in 2001 311,5 million metric<br />
cubes of natural gas were produced.<br />
Iron ore is extracted from various regions in Turkey. The annal production<br />
is over 6 million tons.<br />
Chromium ore and other important minerals: Turkey is one of the leading<br />
countries in the production and export of chromium ore. With its 40 million<br />
tons of reserves, Turkey places fourth in the world. In recent years marble<br />
production has also been increasing gradually, along with copper, boron,<br />
aluminium,lead, mercury, sulfur, emery and meerschaum.<br />
Climate Characteristics<br />
Turkey is located along a moderate climate belt. In spite ou this, there are<br />
differences in climate from region to region, the reason being that<br />
mountains are <strong>par</strong>allel to the coast and there is diversification in the surface<br />
morpholdgy. The coastal regions have a moderate maritime climate, while<br />
the central regions, surrounded by mountains, have a continental climate.<br />
The Mediterranean region experiences hot and arid summers, while in the<br />
winter it is mild and rainy.The Mediterranean climate also manifest itself in<br />
the Aegean region and in the south of the Marmara region. A more<br />
moderate and rainy climate predominates in the Black Sea region. In the<br />
interior regions, the summers are hot and slightly rainy and a steppe climate<br />
is observed in the winter which is cold and snowy. In the Eastern Anatolia<br />
region, the summers are cool and the winters are very cold and there is<br />
snow. In the Southeastern Anatolia region, the summers are hot and arid,<br />
and winters not very cold.<br />
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Environmental Issues<br />
Turkey faced environmental issues more late for being late to<br />
industrialization. Rapid urbanization and industrialization caused at the<br />
same time envirenmental problems like weather pollution, water pollution,<br />
land degredation, coastal pollution, exhausting natural and cultural<br />
resources, forest degredation, decreasing bio diversity and solid waste<br />
problems in the metropolitan and urban areas.<br />
Environmental policies becam than one of the important issues in the<br />
country. Even a Ministry of Environment was established.<br />
In the harmonization process with the EU which began with the Helsinki<br />
Summit of 1999, pre<strong>par</strong>atory studies aimed at intensifying cooperation with<br />
the EU on environmental issues gained momentum. A national plan is being<br />
pre<strong>par</strong>ed for the harmonization of environmental regulations. Regulations<br />
concerning motor vehicles and chemical substances have already been made<br />
to conform.<br />
References<br />
(1) Aslan Eren, Türkiye’nin Ekonomik Yapısı ve Güncel Sorunları,<br />
Muğla. Muğla Üniversitesi Yayını, 2002<br />
(2) Kemal Görmez, Çevre Sorunları ve Türkiye, Ankara: Gazi Kitabevi,<br />
1997.<br />
(3) Orhan Türkdoğan, Etnik Sosyoloji, İstanbul: Timaş Yayınları, 1999<br />
(4) Peter Alford Andrews Türkiye’de Etnik Gruplar, çev. Mustafa<br />
Küpüşoğlu, Ant Yayınları, 1993.<br />
(5) Rıdvan Karluk, Türkiye Ekonomisi, İstanbul. Beta Yayınları, 1995.<br />
(6) Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, Türkiye Ekonomisi Sektörel Analiz,<br />
Ankara: İmaj Yayınları, 2001.<br />
(7) Turkish economy statistics and analysis January-march 2003, State<br />
Institue Of Statistic Prime Ministry Republic Of Turkey.<br />
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(8) Turkish economy statistics and analysis January-march 2003, State<br />
Institue Of Statistic Prime Ministry Republic Of Turkey.<br />
(9) Statiatical Year Book Of Turkey 2001, State Institue Of Statistic<br />
Prime Ministry Republic Of Turkey.<br />
(10) Statiatical Year Book Of Turkey 1997, State Institue Of Statistic<br />
Prime Ministry Republic Of Turkey.<br />
(11) TC. Maliye Bakanlığı, 2001 Yıllık Ekonomik Rapor.<br />
(12) TC. Maliye Bakanlığı, 1996 Yıllık Ekonomik Rapor.<br />
(13) Turkey 2002, Directorate General of Press and Information of the<br />
Prime Ministry.<br />
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2. HEALTH<br />
According to the Turkish constitution, everybody has right to live in a<br />
healthy and nutrious environment and the government has to provide<br />
physical and physiological health services for the public (no:56). For that<br />
reason, providing a healthy environment, and financing the health services<br />
are a constitutional responsibility of the government. The law accepted in<br />
1930 called “General Law of Health” ensures that government should<br />
increase the living conditions of the public, solve the problems related to<br />
public health and provide a better environment for the future generations<br />
(no: 1).<br />
The responsibility of public health is belong to the ministry of health.<br />
Ministry of health has all the authority concerning public health, and a<br />
healthy environment. One of the main objective of this organization is to<br />
create “a healthy individual and healthy society, an improved health system,<br />
a protection for diseases, and a planned health system”. The headquarters of<br />
the ministry is in the capital, Ankara, and it has sub-offices in all 81 cities of<br />
Turkey.<br />
In additon to the “General Law of Public Health” and “Ministry of Health<br />
foundation Law” there are more than 30 laws concerning health issues in<br />
Turkey. Also, there are considerable amount of governmental decisions<br />
regardin health problems.<br />
The definition of health in Turkey generally is taken from the World Heatlh<br />
Organization. Within this context, Nusret Fisek (1983:1) has defined the<br />
heatlh as “health is not only to have a body without any physical desease,<br />
but also it is mentally and socially the case of goodness.” However, in<br />
practice health is considered as a goodness in terms of physical body<br />
(Medicana: 379-380).<br />
The main indicators in Health Sector in Turkey and some projections for<br />
2005 as follow:<br />
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Table 1: Existing Status and Objectives of VII.Plan at Health Indicators<br />
Criterions Existing Status<br />
Targets of 2005<br />
at VIII.Plan<br />
Bed Capacity (*) (2001) 175.190 200.000<br />
Population per Bed (2001) 392 351<br />
Bed Occupancy Rate (%) (2001) 60,2 75<br />
Health Manpower (2001)<br />
Number of Physicians 85.117 89.000<br />
Population per Physician 797 789<br />
Number of Dentists 16.002 16.000<br />
Population per Dentist 4.237 4.389<br />
Number of Pharmacist 23.266 -<br />
Population per Pharmacist 2.914 -<br />
Number of Sanitarian and Health 46.528 -<br />
Population per Sanitarian 1.457 -<br />
Number of Nurses 71.612 77.100<br />
Population per Nurse 947 910<br />
Number of Midwives 41.590 -<br />
Population per Midwife 1.630 -<br />
(*) Ministry of National Defense is included<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/apk2001/002.htm
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
The big amount of hospitals in Turkey operate under the directions of<br />
Ministry of Heath. However, there are small number of hospitals operate<br />
under the directions of Ministry of Labor, universities, municipals and other<br />
public institutions. The distribution of hospitals in terms of organizations as<br />
follows:<br />
Figure 1: Distribution of Hospitals in terms of Organizations, 2002<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/ytkiy2002/elektronikkitap/grafik1.htm<br />
As shown in Figure 1, following the Ministry of Health, as a public<br />
institutions the Social Insurance Institute (SSK) has the most of the<br />
hospitals. Individuals who are working under coverage of Labor Low can<br />
benefit from these hospitals. However, in 2003, the existing government<br />
made possible for those people to use other public and private hospitals as<br />
well. With this application, the burden of SSK hospitals has substially<br />
lessened.<br />
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Table 2: Number of Doctors an number of persons per doctor<br />
Years Population (1000) Number of Doctors People per doctor<br />
1988 53715 42502 1276<br />
1989 54893 46708 1270<br />
1990 56473 50639 1115<br />
1991 57326 53264 1076<br />
1992 58584 56985 1028<br />
1993 58869 61050 980<br />
1994 61183 65832 929<br />
1995 61444 69349 886<br />
1996 62697 70947 883<br />
1997 62610 73659 850<br />
1998 64786 77344 872<br />
1999 65819 81988 838<br />
2000 66834 85117 785<br />
2001 68610 88456 776<br />
2002 69749 93586 745<br />
Soruce: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/ytkiy2002/elektronikkitap/tablo4.htm
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Due to an increse in education expenses in last decades, the number of<br />
people per doctor has decreased. As can be seen in Table 2, in the last 14<br />
years this decrease continued. While this number in 1988 was 1276, it<br />
decreased to 745 in 2002. This improvement has been reached inspite of a<br />
24% increase in population.<br />
An increase in the health expenses in last years created an increase in heatlh<br />
expenditure per person as well. Health expenditure per person has increase<br />
by 38% in last ten years (tab. 3).<br />
Even though there is an improvement in health expenditures in Turkey, it<br />
still is too low when it comes to com<strong>par</strong>e with the OECD countries. This<br />
huge differences has been shown in Tabloe 4 below.<br />
However, the same increasing trend cannot be seen in Ministry of Health’s<br />
share from the general budget. In last ten years, the Ministry of Health’s<br />
share from general budget fluctuates between 4.5% and 2.5%. The decrease<br />
in health expenditure in last years is a result of economic crisis experienced<br />
during last years (tab. 5).<br />
Table 6 and 7 show the data for some contagious illnesses. According to<br />
2001 data the AIDS incidents experienced is 1325. The number of men with<br />
AIDS is more than the number of women with AIDS. According to 1999<br />
data total number of cancer detected in Turkey is 25,942.<br />
Medicine and medicine related imports show an incresing trend in terms of<br />
years. In 1990, import of medicine and medicine related row materials is<br />
about $470 million. This number reached to $1.5 million in 2001 (tab. 8).<br />
The evaluation of mother-baby health issues in Turkey shows that the rate<br />
of giving birth with the help of a specialist increases rapidly. The amount of<br />
giving birth at home has decreased more than 50% in the period between<br />
1999 and 2001 (tab. 9).<br />
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Table 3: Heath Expenditures per year<br />
Years<br />
Total Health<br />
Expenditure GDP<br />
(%)<br />
Public ( % ) Per person Hearlth<br />
Expenditure ( $ )<br />
Per person Health<br />
expenses $/SAGP)<br />
1991 3.7 63.5 97.8 182.4<br />
1992 3.9 66.2 107.7 207.0<br />
1993 4.4 68.2 130.1 247.1<br />
1994 4.0 64.7 85.2 161.9<br />
1995 3.9 64.3 106.5 234.3<br />
1996 3.7 64.0 111.4 251.1<br />
1997 3.6 63.0 119.8 259.1<br />
1998 4.0 63.0 139.9 279.1<br />
1999 4.1 79.9 116.4 220.0<br />
2000 4.3 80.0 135.3 250.0<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/ytkiy2002/elektronikkitap/tablo10.htm<br />
Table 4: Heath Expenditures of Selected OECD Countries, 2000<br />
Country Heath Expenditure<br />
The share of<br />
Public in GDP<br />
(%)<br />
Private<br />
Expenditures (%)<br />
The rate of Heath<br />
Expenditures in<br />
GDP (%)<br />
Canada 72,0 28,0 9,1<br />
Czeck Republic 91,4 8,6 7,2<br />
Frans 76,0 24,0 9,5<br />
Germany 75,1 24,9 10,6<br />
Greese 55,5 44,5 8,3<br />
Italy 73,7 26,3 8,1<br />
Japan 76,7 23,3 7,8<br />
Mexico 46,4 53,6 5,4<br />
Portuqual 71,2 28,8 8,2<br />
Spain 69,9 30,1 7,7<br />
Turkey 71,1 28,9 5,0<br />
England 81,0 19,0 7,3<br />
U.S.A 44,3 55,7 13,0<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/ytkiy2002/elektronikkitap/tablo24.htm
Table: 5 Ratio of Budget of Ministry of Health To Budget State (Thousand TL)<br />
Years Budget of State<br />
Budget of<br />
Minis. of Health<br />
Ratio of Budget of<br />
Minis.of Health<br />
To Budget of State<br />
1992 207.545.328.000 9.783.005.000 4,71<br />
1993 398.710.000.000 18.184.911.000 4,56<br />
1994 823.396.387.000 30.639.327.000 3,72<br />
1995 1.335.978.053.000 49.417.951.000 3,70<br />
1996 3.558.506.822.000 98.064.401.000 2,76<br />
1997 6.344.685.500.000 204.499.276.000 3,22<br />
1998 14.753.000.000.000 390.891.701.000 2,65<br />
1999 23.570.000.000.000 663.123.501.000 2,81<br />
2000 46.843.000.000.000 1.059.825.001.000 2,26<br />
2001 48.060.000.000.000 1.280.660.000.000 2,66<br />
2002 97.831.000.000.000 2.345.447.691.000 2,40<br />
Table 6: Distribution of AIDSCases Cases and Carriers By Age Group and Sex<br />
Age Group Total Male Female<br />
Total 1.325 919 406<br />
0 7 6 1<br />
1 – 4 6 2 4<br />
5 – 9 10 3 7<br />
10 - 12 4 3 1<br />
13 - 14 2 1 1<br />
15 - 19 37 13 24<br />
20 -24 189 88 101<br />
25 - 29 219 150 69<br />
30 - 34 255 203 52<br />
35 - 39 157 128 29<br />
40 - 49 169 131 38<br />
50 - 59 91 62 29<br />
60 + 46 33 13<br />
Unknown 133 96 37<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/apk2001/073.htm
Table 7: Distribution of Cancer Cases with respect to Age and Sex, 1999<br />
Age<br />
Groups<br />
Number Incidence Number<br />
Male<br />
Incidence<br />
Number<br />
Female<br />
Incidence<br />
Total 25.942 39.41 16.023 48,30 5.051 30,38<br />
0 – 4 342 5,17 205 6,08 137 4,21<br />
5 – 9 313 5,54 189 5,65 124 3,87<br />
10 - 14 266 4,00 154 4,52 112 3,44<br />
15 - 19 353 5,22 180 5,21 173 5,23<br />
20 - 24 408 6,26 215 6,48 193 6,16<br />
25 - 29 507 8,79 244 8,31 263 9,57<br />
30 - 34 739 14,46 <strong>346</strong> 13,35 393 15,75<br />
35 - 39 1240 25,77 576 23,45 664 29,14<br />
40 - 44 1767 44,.46 916 88,5 851 45,46<br />
45 - 49 2400 73,78 1.349 81,66 1.051 68,42<br />
50 - 54 2810 111,02 1.720 135,97 1.090 90,08<br />
55 - 59 3139 158,46 2.019 211,64 1.120 110,56<br />
60 - 64 3284 184,49 2.254 269,94 1.030 109,34<br />
65 - 69 3872 241,4 2.718 352,07 1.154 141,6<br />
70 - 74 2701 260,46 1.805 394,97 896 167,79<br />
75 + 1801 209,91 1.133 303,75 668 144,28<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/apk2001/089.htm<br />
Table 8: Imports of drug and drug raw material by years in Turkey (USA $)<br />
Years Total Raw Material Manufactured Drug<br />
1990 470.114.087 386.257.785 83.856.302<br />
1992 522.394.938 425.530.447 96.864.491<br />
1993 510.532.307 400.532.307 110.000.000<br />
1994 489.174.620 371.174.620 118.000.000<br />
1995 729.565.587 565.785.587 163.780.000<br />
1996 978.504.000 716.755.000 261.749.000<br />
1997 981.953.471 667.728.360 314.225.111<br />
1998 1.180.592.194 769.378.609 411.213.585<br />
1999 1.242.129.545 808.003.771 434.125.774<br />
2000 1.511.000.000 828.000.000 683.000.000<br />
2001 1.491.579.320 831.857.360 659.721.960<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/apk2001/107.htm
Table 9: Maternal and Child Health Services of Health Centers<br />
Years<br />
Investigation of Pregnant and Child Birth<br />
Pregnant<br />
Infant<br />
0-11 <strong>Mo</strong>nths<br />
Child<br />
1-6 Ages<br />
Total<br />
With the Help<br />
of Health<br />
Personnel<br />
By<br />
Herself<br />
1990 2.380.544 4.886.821 6.503.311 508.634 428.257 80.377<br />
1994 2.944.022 5.116.693 5.650.572 542.994 474.786 68.208<br />
1995 2.667.850 5.109.084 5.996.169 577.703 511.214 66.489<br />
1996 2.759.365 4.995.731 6.010.649 589.159 533.519 55.640<br />
1997 2.626.591 4.877.703 6.032.435 586.108 536.593 49.515<br />
1998 2.146.736 4.064.790 4.899.265 505.725 469.981 35.744<br />
1999 2.376.280 4.573.632 5.500.351 578.065 542.334 35.731<br />
2000 2.261.896 4.363.537 5.368.475 557.315 525.163 32.152<br />
2001 2.535.632 4.726.729 5.726.902 602.219 567.792 34.427<br />
Source: http://www.saglik.gov.tr/extras/istatistikler/apk2001/071.htm<br />
Table 10: Data regarding General Health, Fertility and Nutrition<br />
Indicators 1991 (%) 1998 (%)<br />
The rate of contraception use 62.6 63.9<br />
The rate of births with the assist of Health Personnal 75.9 80.6<br />
Fertiliy rate of women in the age betwee 15-19 56 60<br />
Persons who know how to use contraceptions 99.1 98.9<br />
The rate of children that has taken measles shot 77.9 78.5<br />
The rate of underweight childeren 9.5 8.3<br />
Source: www.die.gov.tr
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Table 10 indicates that the rate of underweight children has decreased,<br />
immunization rate for some illnesses has increased, and the use of<br />
contraceptives has increased.<br />
In addition to above given data there is a resarch conducted by Osman Gazi<br />
University in 2002 (Aksam Newspaper, August 12, 2002).<br />
- In Turkey, 20.2% of the population is not covered by the social security<br />
- 2.7% of all babies die for several reasons.<br />
- 25% of all drugs wasted.<br />
- Import of drugs 10 times more than that of export.<br />
- Only 1.2% of people give blood..<br />
- Annual drug expenditure is 2.5 billion and annual drug consumption per<br />
person is $38.<br />
- The rate of people who has no healthy water is 26.5%.<br />
- One third of 27 million children cannot receive appropriate nutritions.<br />
Even though this research gives a pecimistic view, the official numbers<br />
show an increase in health quality in Turkey. However, some people in<br />
Turkey still cannot receive health protection, while some people are not<br />
happy with their protection. Unfortunately, in most cases a health service<br />
covering every <strong>par</strong>t of Turkey cannot be given as it is planned. Especially,<br />
data for rural and urban areas and data for east and west differ a lot. For that<br />
reason, we cannot mention a standard health quality all over the country.<br />
There are more than one reason for this. The reasons can be summarized as<br />
follow (Ministry of Health, YKP, Special Council for Health, 2001, pp:4).<br />
The whole authority in the health services belongs to the Ministry of Health<br />
in Turkey. For that reason, it is widely open to political misuse. Decisions<br />
are made according to political views of the government and thus, a long<br />
run policies sometimes may not be possible to implement. Projections do<br />
not imply the actual data in most cases due to political decisions. The<br />
coordination cannot be reached among critical institutions for public health.<br />
These institutions become a political arena for the <strong>par</strong>ties in power, and<br />
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expected coordination and services cannot be provided to the public. Some<br />
problems experienced in Turkey regarding health services are following:<br />
- Health sector cannot be organized adequately due to spread structure of<br />
institutions. The main reasons for this disorganization can be stated as<br />
follow: misuse of human resources, political views, erroneous definitions<br />
of duties, and lack of inspections in health sector. Another reason for<br />
disorganization is that lack of information due to problems in the flow of<br />
information among institutions.<br />
- The share of health in GDP is not enough. Lack of building, resoruces<br />
and other tools used in health servises are them main reasons of hardship<br />
in health. İn other words, most of the problems in health sector is due to<br />
financial problems.<br />
Turkey is one of candidate countries for full membership to the European<br />
Union. As analyzed from this point of view, Turkey has not yet reached to<br />
the level of EU countries (Isik, 2001, pp: 106-107). However, efforts in this<br />
area is notable in last five years. In addition to that, health institutions<br />
belong to NGO in last years has increased. Also, people who have no health<br />
securities, if they are eligible, can get health services free of charge from the<br />
Ministry of Health. According to 2001 data 1.3 million people receive free<br />
health services in Turkey.<br />
But after the <strong>par</strong>lamentary elections last year Turkey has now a “one <strong>par</strong>ty<br />
government”. It seems that some of the notorious problems in the health<br />
sector are going to be solved. Reorganization of the sector is already<br />
underway. Health Reform activities can be summarized as : the initiation of<br />
the application of General Health Insurence as soon as possible; to se<strong>par</strong>ate<br />
the service supplier from the financing organization; to give autonomy to<br />
hospitals to help them provide high quality and efficient services; to adopt<br />
the Family Medicine model in primary health services; to help the Ministry<br />
of Health acquire a new structure and to harmonize Turkish health<br />
regulations with EU norms.<br />
The information and statistics in Turkey is collected and stored by the<br />
Ministry of Health and State Institute for Statistics. The web addresses of<br />
these institutions are:<br />
- T.R. Ministry of Health: www.saglik.gov.tr<br />
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- State Institute for Statistics: www.die.gov.tr<br />
References<br />
- Aksam Newspaper, August 12, 2002<br />
- Fisek, Nusret , Introduction to Public Health, Hacettepe University press,<br />
Ankara 1983<br />
- Isik, Nilufer Avci, The relations of Turkey-EU and the Health, Minsitry of<br />
Health , EU coordination de<strong>par</strong>tment, Ankara, 2001.<br />
- Medicana General Health Ansiklopedia, Milliyet press, Vol:12, 1993<br />
- VIII. Five year Development Plan: Efficiency in the Health Services, The<br />
special commission for Health Report, State Planning Organization, Press No:<br />
2561, Ankara, 2001.<br />
- http://www.saglik.gov.tr<br />
- http://www.die.gov.tr<br />
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3. POVERTY<br />
3.1. Definitions<br />
There are various definitions of poverty in literature, but three of which are<br />
being used in Turkey. These definitions are: i) half of median income ii)<br />
minimum food need to be purchased, and iii) basic needs approach.<br />
Definition according to “Minimum Calorie need to be taken” approach<br />
(minimum food basket): The poverty calculations are made based on<br />
proposed calorie per person for all population in the country. People who<br />
receive lower calories than propesed calorie are considered as poor (absolute<br />
poverty definition).<br />
Definition accordign to “minimum food need to be purchased” approacah:<br />
In order for a person to continue his/her life there are some basic needs such<br />
as nutrition, cloth, housing, education and health services that need to be<br />
purchased. İt shows the border for poverty calculations made by using these<br />
above mentioned criteria (absolute povery definition).<br />
Definition accordign to “median or avarege income” approach: This<br />
definiton uses average income created by whole society, takes half of this<br />
median income, and considers those people who receive less than that as<br />
poor (relative poverty definition).<br />
State Planning Organization uses median income approach, but some<br />
organizations suhc as Turk-Is labor Union use basic needs definition for<br />
their calculations.<br />
3.2. Policy and Legislation<br />
One of the most efficient ways to prevent povery is to provide minimum<br />
needs for live by providing social benefits for those considered as poor.<br />
Given the main reason for poverty is lack of human capital, social benefits<br />
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such as education and health become the most efficient tool for preventiong<br />
poverty. Government is the most active player in social benefits in Turkey.<br />
In other words, payments for social benefits are paid by governments budget<br />
from an item called “social transfer payments.”<br />
However, these payments cannot be thought as enough given the magnitude<br />
of poverty in Turkey. Usually the poor has no social security for themselves<br />
and their families. Only those people who work with daily and/or monthly<br />
salery have social security. The reminder of the population has no socail<br />
security at all.<br />
Table 1: Distribution of the poor in terms of Social Security Institutions (%) (2001)<br />
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20 PERCENTILE Total<br />
1 2 3 4 5<br />
Ssk 2,17% 4,96% 7,75% 16,10% 16,31% 9,58%<br />
Emekli sandiği 0,00% 0,41% 0,39% 1,50% 1,77% 0,83%<br />
Bağ-kur 2,53% 3,72% 4,26% 6,37% 9,22% 5,28%<br />
Private 0,00% 0,00% 0,39% 0,00% 0,71% 0,23%<br />
Non-registere 95,31% 90,91% 87,21% 76,03% 71,99% 84,09%<br />
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%<br />
Source: Authors’ calculations from 2001 Household Labor Survey<br />
As can be seen from Table 1, most of the poor are not covered by any social<br />
security benefits. This means that government does not provide enough<br />
social security benefits for its workers.<br />
It is going to be meaningful to see the development of transfer policies with<br />
respect to years.<br />
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Table 2: Percentage rates of transfer payments in General Budget<br />
Health Education<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Domestic Debt<br />
interest payments<br />
Total<br />
Transfers/Budget<br />
1980 4.4 16.1 2 36.6<br />
1985 2.8 12.3 5 40.6<br />
1990 4.7 18.8 14 36.6<br />
1994 3.5 13.4 26 53.2<br />
1999 2.4 11.8 35 61.8<br />
2000 2.3 9.4 28 65.5<br />
Source: Derdiyok, Turkmen, “Debt Policies after 1980” XVI.Turkish Public Finance<br />
Symposium, May 28-31 2001. Antalya, Financial Policies after 1980 in Turkey<br />
As can be seen from Table 2, between 1980 and 1999, the rate of interest<br />
payments for domestic debts in general budget shows an increase, while the<br />
rate of expenditures for education and health decreases. This numbers show<br />
that Turkish officials use their choices in favor of those who receive capital<br />
income. In addition, the poor gets poorer every year due to unsatisfactory<br />
transfer payments of the government.<br />
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Figure 1: Percentage shares in Total Transfers<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
53.8<br />
43.1<br />
52.1<br />
7.1 5.3 5.4 5.4 6.2<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
41.9<br />
67.5<br />
63.2<br />
58.2<br />
55.8<br />
57.7<br />
52.9 51.3<br />
10.4 13.5 15.7 16.3 14.2 12.4<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
Socail Transfers<br />
Interest Payments for Domesti Debts<br />
Source: Derdiyok, Turkmen, “Debt Policies after 1980” XVI.Turkish Public Finance<br />
Symposium, May 28-31 2001. Antalya, Financial Policies after 1980 in Turkey<br />
When transfer payments in domestic national product is investigated, it can<br />
be seen that while interest payments show a very sharp increase, security<br />
payments show relatively very small increases. The share of social transfers<br />
in total transfers was 12% in 2000. However, the same rate for domestic<br />
interest payments was 67.5%.<br />
Bu tablolar göstermektedir ki kamunun bozuk gelir dağılımını düzeltmek ve<br />
yoksullukla mücadele etmekte önemli bir politika aracı olan transfer<br />
ödemelerinin yapısı bu amacı gerçekleştirmekten uzaktır. Transfer<br />
ödemelerinin yapısı, piyasa başarısızlığını gidermekten uzak ve hükümet<br />
başarısızlığıyla sorunu derinleştirecek niteliktedir.<br />
All the Tables mentioned above show that public sectors tranfer payments<br />
are far away from providing equity in income distribution. The structure of<br />
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transfer payments has lack of ability in providing a justice in income<br />
distribution, and it deepens the problem if we add the unorganized<br />
goverments.<br />
3.3. Sources<br />
For definations and data of poverty in Turkey<br />
www.die.gov.tr<br />
For definations and policy and legislation issues<br />
www.dpt.gov.tr<br />
Different defination of poverty from Non-goverment organisations and data<br />
www.turkis.org.tr<br />
www.denizfeneri.com.tr<br />
3.4. Data<br />
Human Development Report (2001)<br />
Human Poverty Index Rank: 22<br />
Human Poverty Index Value: 12.4<br />
Probability at birth of not surviving to age 60: 8.0<br />
Adult illiteracy rate: 14.5<br />
% of population not using improved drinking water sources: 18<br />
Underweight children under age-five: 8<br />
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Population below income poverty line ($2 per day): 10.3<br />
Long-term unemployment (as % of labour force):2.5<br />
Table 3: Poverty Indecise<br />
1994<br />
2001<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Number of<br />
Head<br />
Indecies<br />
Yoksulluk<br />
Açığı<br />
Endeksi Sen Index<br />
Average<br />
Poor<br />
income(TL)<br />
Poverty<br />
Trashhold<br />
(TL)<br />
Gini<br />
coefficient<br />
Nutrition<br />
Poverty 0,07 0,37 0,039 490993 782899 0,31<br />
Basic Needs<br />
Poverty 0,33 0,46 0,218 818137 1520386 0,34<br />
Income<br />
Poverty 0,18 0,69 0,144 446219 1461220 0,22<br />
Nutrition<br />
Poverty 0,08 0,25 0,048 27000000 36090420 0,31<br />
Basic Needs<br />
Poverty 0,41 0,45 0,260 47500000 86198920 0,33<br />
Income<br />
Poverty 0,18 0,73 0,140 23900000 86939760 0,24<br />
Soruce: SIS, 1994 and Authros’ calculations from 2001 household Labor Survey<br />
Income distribution for all categories worsened under the criteria mentioned<br />
above for years 1994 and 2001. While the Gini Coefficient for whole<br />
Turkey was 0.46 in 1994, Gini Coefficient in 2001 increased to 0.49. if the<br />
Gini coefficient for the poor is investigated we see an equity in income<br />
distribution among the poor. However, this equity tends to worsen with the<br />
economic crises experienced in recent years.<br />
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Table 4: Expenditure Distribution for the Poor Household (%)<br />
Second 20th Third 20th Fourth 20th<br />
First 20th percentile percentile percentile percentile Fifth 20th percentile<br />
1994 2001 1994 2001 1994 2001 1994 2001 1994 2001<br />
Health 3,65 4,68 3,37 2,25 2,75 1,83 1,92 2,08 2,02 2,64<br />
Education 0,31 0,18 0,11 0,07 0,26 0,09 0,25 0,23 0,23 0,21<br />
Others 96,04 95,13 96,52 97,69 96,98 98,09 97,83 97,70 97,75 97,15<br />
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100<br />
Sorce: SIS, 1994 and Authros’ calculations from 2001 household Labor Survey<br />
It can be easily seen form Table 4 that there is a great diffusion in human<br />
capital after economic crises. The share for education in total income is the<br />
highest in the fifth 20 th percentile. However, this share is not even equal to<br />
1% in total. The share of education for all 20 th percentile worsened from<br />
1994 to 2001. This shows the greatness of the problem that the Turkish<br />
economy facing and the stickiness, and intergenerational distribution of the<br />
poverty.<br />
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4. CRIME<br />
4.1. Definitions<br />
In theory and in law, it is quite difficult to agree on a common definition of<br />
crime. For example; according to the positivist school, in the law order an<br />
action that requires a punishment in the end is a crime. This definition is not<br />
wrong but incomplete. To be more clear, it is a definition that is related to<br />
how itiis done, not to the essence. As the law order may change according to<br />
place and time, actions that are planned as normative actions are accepted<br />
‘crime’. With respect to this point, the definition is true just in shape.<br />
Crime is the action that destroys the morality and as a result ,cannot be<br />
tolerated by the government. This definition is also incomplete. Because<br />
there are some actions that do not destroy morality, yet, are accepted as<br />
crime. For example; political crimes are not accepted as moral crimes. Or<br />
vice versa: Some actions are morally corrupted but are not accepted as<br />
‘crime’ . For example: adultry.<br />
The most reasonable way to find a common definition is to head off with the<br />
elements of crime. In Turkish Crime law – the main source of crime law in<br />
Turkey – there is no definition of crime but there are elements of it.<br />
According to it, there are three basic elements of crime :<br />
1. The physical element<br />
2. The spiritual element<br />
3. The element of being against law.<br />
There are three levels in the physical element: 1. action 2. result 3. cause<br />
and effect relationship To be more clear: An active or passive human action,<br />
a change that is felt in the outer world as a result of this action and the cause<br />
and effect relationship between the action and the mentioned change form<br />
the physical element.<br />
On the other hand, the spiritual element is a concept that implies personal<br />
responsibility. It means that the person who does the action, which forms<br />
the physical element, does it on purpose. In other words; a person<br />
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deliberately and willingly does something that is “forbidden” by law or vice<br />
versa: deliberately and willingly does not do the thing that he is supposed to<br />
“do” by law.<br />
The universal principal of the crime law: ‘there cannot be a crime and a<br />
punishment without law.’ necessarily brings the the element of being against<br />
law. A law that puts crime and punishment has to determine the action,<br />
which is called ‘ crime’ and its prohibited result. This situation in the law is<br />
called ‘the type’. An action that is fitting to the type is a crime. As a result<br />
of the principal of legality, crime and punishment cannot be created by<br />
anything except for the law. An action might be condemned or morally<br />
blamed but if it is not fitting to the type, then it is impossible to talk about<br />
crime and punishment.<br />
With the reference to the mentioned elements of crime, we can describe it as<br />
the following: “A faulty action that is fitting to the type and against law”.<br />
This definition is very commonly accepted by official and non- official<br />
authorities in Turkey.<br />
4.2. Policy and legislation<br />
According to the second article of the Constitution; “ Turkish Republic is a<br />
... democratic, secular and social law state”. The inevitable and obligatory<br />
result of being a law state is to bind those who rule and those who are being<br />
ruled equally and to guarantee and develop human rights and freedom at the<br />
highest level.<br />
The fifth article of the Constitution says that “The fundamental aims and<br />
duties of the state are ... to strive for the removal of political, social and<br />
economic obstacles which restrict the fundamental rights and freedoms of<br />
the individual in a manner incompatible with the principles of justice and of<br />
the social state governed by the rule of law; and to provide the conditions<br />
required for the development of the individual’s material and spiritual<br />
existence”. Philosophically liberal state stands for it.<br />
When it is analysed through the perspective of crime and punishment<br />
concepts, these principles in the Constitution and the texts of the acts that<br />
regulate the mentioned area should be <strong>par</strong>allel. <strong>Mo</strong>re clearly, the acts that<br />
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regulate the area of crime and punishment should equally protect the<br />
essential rights and freedom of both the victim and the guilty in the sense of<br />
justice. But up to recent years, it is difficult to say that primarily the Turkish<br />
Punishment Law and other acts that regulate the crime and punishment area<br />
have been applied in the way mentioned above.<br />
For example; in punishment acts, the area of crimes that are committed<br />
against the State has been thoıght very wide and to express the ideas that are<br />
against the official ideology were accepted as crime. So the freedom of<br />
expressing your opinion- one of the basic human rights- was dramatically<br />
restricted. From this perspective, up to the end of 1990s , Turkey reflected<br />
itself as an authoritarian state rather than a state that is respectful to human<br />
rights.<br />
In December 1999, Turkey, which had been trying to be a member of the<br />
European Union (EU) since 1960s, got the status of being a candidate<br />
country to it. A<strong>par</strong>t from political, economic, and social rules, naturally<br />
there are legal rules to be a member of the EU. These rules are called<br />
Copenhagen Criteria and to carry them out is the pre-condition of the<br />
membership. For this reason, since the beginning of 2002 to make its law<br />
regulations concordant with the EU regulations, Turkey have pre<strong>par</strong>ed<br />
seven adaptation packets including changes in some acts.<br />
Again for the same reason,there have been significant changes in crime acts.<br />
For example; Death Penalty has been abolished, and the area of political<br />
crimes – icluding the crime of expressing opinion- has been restricted. In<br />
short, The Turkish Grand National Assembly has enthusiastically been<br />
working to make Turkish Law Regulations concordant with the EU. Also<br />
the governments in recent years have been very careful and extremely<br />
sensitive about the matter and are trying to make it the general policy of the<br />
country.<br />
A<strong>par</strong>t from the process of integration with the EU, the studies that have<br />
been carried out since the mid 1980s to update the Turkish Crime Law – the<br />
basic source of crime law in Turkey - are due to be completed.<br />
In Turkey the basic rules that regulate the crime and punishment area are in<br />
the Constitution and in the Turkish Crime Law. In the Constitution the<br />
principles at the highest level about this subject are arranged in the 37th and<br />
38th articles:<br />
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“No one may be tried by any judicial authority other than the legally<br />
designated court. Extraordinary tribunals with jurisdiction that would in<br />
effect remove a person from the jurisdiction of his legally designated court<br />
shall not be established (art. 37)”<br />
“No one shall be punished for any act which does not constitute a criminal<br />
offence under the law in force at the time committed; no one shall be given<br />
a heavier penalty for an offence other than the penalty applicable at the time<br />
when the offence was committed. The provisions of the above <strong>par</strong>agraph<br />
shall also apply to the statute of limitations on offences and penalties and<br />
one the results of conviction. Penalties, and security measures in lieu of<br />
penalties, shall be prescribed only by law. No one shall be held guilty until<br />
proven guilty in a court of law. No one shall be compelled to make a<br />
statement that would incriminate himself or his legal next of kin, or to<br />
present such incriminating evidence. Criminal responsibility shall be<br />
personal. General confiscation shall not be imposed as a penalty. The death<br />
penalty shall not be imposed excluding the cases in time of war, imminent<br />
threat of war and terrorist crimes. Findings obtained through illegal methods<br />
shall not be considered as evidence. No one shall be deprived of his liberty<br />
merely on the ground of inability to fulfil a contractual obligation. No<br />
citizen shall be extradited to a foreign country on account of an offence (art.<br />
38)”.<br />
There are basic three <strong>par</strong>ts in the Turkish Crime Law that was accepted in<br />
1926. The first <strong>par</strong>t, which was titled as ‘ Genaral Judgements’ contains the<br />
basic rules that are valid for all crimes. For example; the application rules of<br />
crime acts, types of punishments, the situations that decrease, abolish or<br />
increase the crime and punishment, prescription, the principle of legality<br />
can be counted among them.<br />
The second <strong>par</strong>t, which is titled as’ Crimes’ regulate the more serious crimes<br />
that necessitate life imprisonment, heavy imprisonment and heavy fine.<br />
The third <strong>par</strong>t, which is titled as ‘ Offenses’ regulate the petty crimes that<br />
necessitate lenient imprisonment and light fine.<br />
A<strong>par</strong>t from the Turkish Crime Law, there are some special acts to regulate<br />
the crime and punishment area. The Act For Struggling Against Terrorism,<br />
The Act of Forests, The Act of Traffic and The Act of Fire Arms can be<br />
counted among these special acts.<br />
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4.3. Sources<br />
In Turkey, the basic sources of official statistics and non- official<br />
information sources about crime and punishment are the following:<br />
4.3.1. Official sources<br />
www.adli-sicil.gov.tr/istatist.htm<br />
www.adalet.gov.tr/cte/istatistikler.htm<br />
www.die.gov.tr<br />
www.egm.gov.tr<br />
4.3.2. Non-official sources<br />
www.idealhukuk.com<br />
www.hukukcu.com<br />
www.hukukrehberi.net<br />
www.turkhukuksitesi.com<br />
www.hukuk.gen.tr<br />
www.kriminoloji.com<br />
www.e-akademi.org<br />
4.4. Data<br />
In Turkey the number of majors and juveniles in prisons and reformatories<br />
can be indicated as the following:<br />
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TABLE I – Convicts Received Into Prison by Type of Crime, 1990-2000<br />
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />
Againts Government Administration (Debt,<br />
Bribery, Misuse of Duty)<br />
550 469 452 519 559 574 583 690 822 905 888<br />
Againts Public Decency and Family Order<br />
(Rape, Crime About Family)<br />
3222 2681 2336 2303 2123 2197 2282 2359 2348 2323 2071<br />
Againts Individual (Homicide, Assault, Insult<br />
and Swear)<br />
5723 5879 5290 5453 6684 6770 6832 6999 7475 7471 7293<br />
Againts Property (Theft, Surindle, Robbery) 8276 8369 9509 8407 9071 9640 10230 11139 12315 12498 13861<br />
Source: Statistical Yearbook of Turkey, State Institute Statistics Prime Ministry Republic of Turkey, publication number: 2690, Ankara, 2001, p.187
TABLE II - Sentenced Juveniles Received Into Reformatory by Type of Crime, 1990-1999<br />
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999<br />
Homicide 70 86 77 84 133 140 123 157 142 118<br />
Theft 161 115 170 153 213 239 280 231 309 215<br />
Rape 68 63 46 44 41 49 54 64 59 42<br />
Sodomy 56 56 66 73 72 53 70 60 50 23<br />
Battery 16 11 11 13 12 19 14 16 15 10<br />
Robbery 73 69 69 110 115 138 112 77 102 120<br />
Other 21 10 16 17 39 33 38 25 29 57<br />
Source: Judicial Statistics 1999, State Institute Statistics Prime Ministry Republic of Turkey, publication number: 2450, Ankara, 1999, p.6
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4.5. Phenomenology<br />
After talking about the basic policies and information about the area of<br />
crime and punishment in Turkey, it will be right to make its critical analysis.<br />
Clearly to analyse the general character of the Turkish crime law and to<br />
summarise the basic structure of the crime act will help us understand the<br />
matter better.<br />
When we functionally look at the history of crime law, it is possible to say<br />
that there are three different concepts of crime law. These are the oppressive<br />
crime law, the preferential crime law, and the crime law that is in favor of<br />
freedom.<br />
The Oppressive Crime Law is the crime law of monarchic systems.This type<br />
of crime law, which is also seen in totalitarian regimes in modern times, is a<br />
means of excessive political powers. The fundemental aim is to preserve<br />
the political power and to eliminate the ideas that are contrary to the idea<br />
that is accepted the unique truth by the state. The area of crime and the<br />
discretionary power of judges are wide. As the guilty person is regarded as<br />
an aggressive brutal man who attacks on the physical and spiritual<br />
possessions of others, he is very severely punished. Among his<br />
punishments, death penalty, torture, cutting off an organ and imprisonment<br />
in dungeon can be counted.<br />
Preferential Crime Law developed after the French Revolution. With the<br />
revolution, a shift from the mınarchic system to the liberal state, naturally<br />
brought a change in the social structure.The priviliged classes that depended<br />
on the base of blood and religion lost their authority and new social classes<br />
that depended on wealth replaced them.Thus, the preferential crime law<br />
emerged and developed during the time of the liberal state and functioned as<br />
the protector of the rich classes and their priviliges. <strong>Mo</strong>reover, it defended<br />
these priviliged classes against the poor who were regarded as ‘ dangerous<br />
classes ‘ . When opposing social rights are in conflict, this crime law<br />
protected the rights of the more powerful, no matter how much<br />
disadvantegous it was for the less powerful and it guaranteed the freedom<br />
not among the non-equals but among the equals.<br />
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On the other hand, the crime law that is in favor of freedom is the last<br />
milestone on the way of the development of crime law. Its most important<br />
characteristic is its being equal to all classes without being in favor of any of<br />
them. <strong>Mo</strong>re clearly, this crime law is not a means of restrictions of human<br />
rights. On the contrary, it is a means of protecting them equally against the<br />
private and especially judicial ( state-oriented) attacks.<br />
In 1926, The Turkish Crime law was pre<strong>par</strong>ed and accepted as a product of<br />
a liberal- conservative ideology. But this law lost its this characteristic on<br />
account of the modifications that took place in 1936. As a result of it, it was<br />
transformed into an oppressive and preferential crime law. <strong>Mo</strong>reover, in the<br />
following years, on the pretext of solving the problems caused by the<br />
frequent, extra-ordinary situations that the society underwent, its oppressive<br />
and preferential characteristics were increased by the new modifications and<br />
reforms.<br />
By the process of adaptation to the EU, it is inevitable to re-arrange the<br />
present turkish Crime Law in order to make it more liberal and respectful to<br />
freedom. Anyway, the draft crime law is under discussion. Non<br />
Governmental Organizations, Universities, Lawyears Associations,<br />
Producer Organizations etc. are taking <strong>par</strong>t vividly to the discussions.<br />
Government itself shows a democratic position, in favor of a modern<br />
criminal law. Opposition is also in the same path.<br />
Time will show us what will change in this structure on account of the<br />
adaptation process to the EU.<br />
Literature<br />
ALACAKAPTAN, Uğur, Elements of Crime, Ankara, 1970.<br />
DÖNMEZER, Sulhi, Criminology, 8th edit., İstanbul, 1994.<br />
DÖNMEZER, Sulhi-ERMAN, Sahir, Theoretical and Practical Criminal Law,<br />
10th edit., İstanbul, 1987.<br />
ERDURAK, Y. Güngör, Turkish Punishment Law by Doctrine, Ankara, 1984.<br />
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EREM, Faruk, Turkish Criminal Law (General Rules), 12nd edit., Ankara,<br />
1984.<br />
ERMAN, Sahir-ÖZEK, Çetin, Turkish Criminal Law (Special Rules), İstanbul,<br />
1992.<br />
ÖNDER, Ayhan, Punishment Law (General Rules, General Theory of Crime),<br />
İstanbul, 1989.<br />
ÖZGEN, Eralp, Crime and Crime Judgemental Law, Eskişehir, 1988.<br />
TOROSLU, Nevzat, Punishmental Law, Ankara, 1988.<br />
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5. TRENDS AND CORRELATIONS<br />
This chapter of the research analyzes the relationship among health,<br />
poverty, crime, and other socioeconomic factors. We initially provided brief<br />
explanations, definitions, and appropriate data and data sources, then, gave<br />
the rates of interrelations among those factors mentioned above.<br />
As it is the case in the whole world, Turkish health organizations spent<br />
considerable efforts to prevent diseases that risk public health. Especially in<br />
last two decades these efforts reached to its maximum. The idea of<br />
improved health system in Turkey is not new. It actually started just after<br />
the foundation of modern Turkish Republic. For instance, in 1947 the first<br />
of “Ten year domestic health plan” had been published. This plan<br />
emphasized the importance of health services in small villages and provided<br />
solutions to this problem. In this plan, a health specialist and a midwife for<br />
each 10 villages, and one hospital for each 40 villages had been aimed. In<br />
1954, another master plan has been pre<strong>par</strong>ed, but unfortunately, this plan<br />
did not become as successful as expected.<br />
After 1960’s, centrally planned Turkish economy came into effect. As a<br />
result of centrally planned services, enough consideration has been given to<br />
health services. The services have reached to densely populated areas as<br />
well as small villages. Also, the quality of health services aimed to be<br />
increased during these years.<br />
Last two decades were golden years of the Turkish health system, even<br />
though there still are some unsolved issues. Within these years, non-optional<br />
public and private insurance programs have been introduced. Social welfare<br />
programs have been introduced, and free health system called “green card”<br />
application provided for those who have below average income level.<br />
Table 1 below shows some indicators of Turkish economy in the last two<br />
decades regarding education, crime, income level, unemployment rate, and<br />
health services.<br />
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Table 1: Health, Education, Crime, and Economic Indicators of Turkey<br />
Years<br />
Number of beds<br />
in hospitals<br />
Number of<br />
students per<br />
School (high<br />
schood)<br />
Number of<br />
persons convicted<br />
Per capita income<br />
($)<br />
Number of<br />
unemployed<br />
persons<br />
1980 99117 480 31518 1539 1255<br />
1981 97765 458 36920 1570 1290<br />
1982 96138 462 36520 1375 1200<br />
1983 99396 443 32955 1264 1275<br />
1984 100496 445 27929 1204 1388<br />
1985 103918 478 29443 1330 1490<br />
1986 107152 489 34931 1462 1530<br />
1987 111135 500 39657 1636 1637<br />
1988 113010 486 45821 1684 1709<br />
1989 116061 478 41028 1959 1611<br />
1990 120738 462 44826 2682 1663<br />
1991 123706 450 53912 2621 1729<br />
1992 126611 474 54400 2708 1725<br />
1993 131874 490 53618 3004 1774<br />
1994 1<strong>346</strong>65 498 60742 2184 1607<br />
1995 136072 541 63103 2759 1416<br />
1996 139919 547 61120 2928 1463<br />
1997 144984 504 62946 3079 1527<br />
1998 148987 445 69077 3255 1773<br />
1999 139388 505 8<strong>346</strong>6 2879 1720<br />
2000 131748 578 98969 2965 1840<br />
Source: State Institue of Statistics, Annual Report for Turkish Statistics, 2000-2001 and, www.tcmb.gov.tr
11873_2002 Study D2: Poverty, Informal Sector, Health and Labour<br />
Providing all the data for last two decades from a single source was not<br />
possible. <strong>Mo</strong>st of data are not quite organized, and for more recent years.<br />
For that reason, we collected the date from different source, and showed<br />
extra efforts to eliminate inconsistencies. Improvements in the health sector<br />
are represented by the number of beds in hospitals and the improvements in<br />
education are represented by the number of schools and the number of<br />
students per school. The main logic behind this is because only 5% of all<br />
students can have chance to go to higher education institutions.<br />
Correlation Coefficients<br />
The primary aim in this chapter is to find interrelations among crime,<br />
income and other socio-economic factors. The easiest way to know these<br />
relations is to find the correlation coefficients of mentioned variables. A<br />
correlation coefficient measures the value of interrelations between two<br />
variables. If this coefficient receives a value between 0 and 1, we call it a<br />
positive correlation, and if it receives a value between –1 and 0, we call it a<br />
negative correlation. Actually, correlation coefficient receiving exactly the<br />
value of zero implies that there is no relationship whatsoever between two<br />
variables. In other words, a correlation coefficient is always between the<br />
value of –1 and 1, and it gives only the magnitude of the relations, not<br />
reasons of the relations. The following table has been pre<strong>par</strong>ed with this<br />
logic.<br />
Table 2 - The correlation coefficients for people convicted and some economic<br />
indicators<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Number of<br />
persons<br />
imprisoned<br />
Per capita<br />
income Unemployment Education<br />
No of persons imprisoned 1 .823** .628** .653**<br />
Kişi Başına Düşen Gelir .823** 1 .650** .436*<br />
İşsizlik .628** .650** 1 0.258<br />
Eğitim .653** .436* 0.258 1<br />
** % 1<br />
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There is a positive correlation between per capita income and the number of<br />
people imprisoned. In other words, $1 increase in per capita income results<br />
a 0.82 increase in the number of people imprisoned. This result is of course,<br />
contradicts with expectations, since people expect that if per capita income<br />
increases, the imprisonment level should decrease. However, number tells a<br />
different story for Turkey. The reason for that is because, even though total<br />
income level increases, the distribution of income has some problems. If the<br />
distribution of income works against most of the population, and the<br />
structure of economy makes the rich even richer while making the poor ever<br />
poorer, the number of people imprisoned expected to increase. Per capita<br />
income increased from $1500 to $2900 in last twenty years. Increase in per<br />
capita income is 93.3%, while increase in the number of people imprisoned<br />
is 200% in last twenty years. Table 3 and 4 below show inadequate income<br />
distribution for 1987 and 1994.<br />
Table 3: Income distribution Results for 1987 and 1994<br />
Income groups 1987 1994<br />
1.%20 5,2 4,9<br />
2.%20 9,6 8,6<br />
3.%20 14 12,6<br />
4.%20 21,2 19<br />
5.%20 50 54,9<br />
Gini Katsayısı 0,43 0,49<br />
Source: SIS, Household income and consumption expenses Survey results, 1987, p:63 and<br />
1997, p:79<br />
As can be seen from Table 3, the com<strong>par</strong>ison of both 20% shares and Gini<br />
coefficients for 1980 and 1990 show that inequity in income distribution<br />
increases over time. As Gini coefficient gets close to one, the inequity in<br />
income distribution increases. If we look at the fifth 20% of the population,<br />
they receive 50% of all income in 1987, and almost 55% of all income in<br />
1994. This means that the remaining 80% of the population receives the rest<br />
of the income, and thus, they are poor. According to our point of view, the<br />
main reason of positive correlation between income level and the rate of<br />
crime is because of inequity in income distribution. Fortunately, event<br />
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though it is not enough, decreases in Gini coefficient in some extent has<br />
been experience in last year.<br />
Table 4: Share of the Biggest 500 Industry workers from Value Added (%)<br />
Years 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998<br />
Wage 42 49 37 34 25 23 23 29 32 39 29 27 20 16 16 18<br />
Sources: ISO.500 Biggest Industry Survey, August, 1998, İstanbul, pp: 42.<br />
If Table 4 is used to calculate correlation coefficient for income and crime<br />
rates, above mentioned inconsistencies can be eliminated. The correlation<br />
results have been shown in Table 5.<br />
Table 5 - Correlation between Income distribution and the number of people<br />
imprisoned<br />
Number<br />
imprisoned<br />
of people<br />
Share of workers from total<br />
income<br />
FONDAZIONE CENSIS<br />
Number of people<br />
imprisoned<br />
Share of workers from total<br />
income<br />
1 -0.780**<br />
-0.780** 1<br />
With use of this information above, we can also use regression method to<br />
estimate if the coefficient is reliable. The results obtained can be reported as<br />
follow:<br />
PI = 69014 – 575.75 * PVA (1)<br />
Where PI stands for persons imprisoned, and PVA stands for share of workers from<br />
income<br />
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T Statistics: (13.72) (-2.92)<br />
P value: (000) (0.04)<br />
R 2 : 0.68, F: 8.57, P value: (000)<br />
In words, above statistical terms indicate that if the share of workers from<br />
income increases by 1%, persons imprisoned decreases by 57%. This rate<br />
looks a little high, but it could be the case in economic terms.<br />
A positive correlation between the number of unemployed and the number<br />
of people imprisoned also strengthen empirical results above. A regression<br />
analysis between these two variables are shown below:<br />
PI = 4450 + 30.88 * U, where U stands for unemployed people (-2) (2)<br />
T Statistics: (2.52) (-2,18)<br />
P Value: (0,03) (0.06)<br />
R 2 : 0.40, F: 4,78, P value: (0.06)<br />
In equation (2), a high level of autocorrelation between these two variables<br />
has been detected. Thus, we took the first differences. Also, we used<br />
Schwarz information criterion to know the lag value of unemployment. Our<br />
test showed that the effect of unemployment on people imprisoned is can be<br />
seen with lag of two periods. Equation (2) also can be interpreted as<br />
equation (1).<br />
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6. BIBLIOGRAPHY<br />
Kaynak:<br />
Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsü, Türkiye İstatistik Yıllığı, 2000-2001<br />
DİE, Hane Halkı Gelir ve Tüketim Harcamaları Anketi Gelir Dağılımı 1987<br />
DİE, Hane Halkı Gelir ve Tüketim Harcamaları Anketi Gelir Dağılımı,1998<br />
İSO.500 Büyük Sanayi Kuruluşu Anketi, Ağostos 1998, İstanbul, s.42.<br />
www.tcmb.gov.tr/veri dağıtım sistemi)<br />
Akyüz Ferhat, 1980 Sonrası Dönemde Türkiye’deki Gelir Dağılımı ve<br />
Dengesizliği ve Yoksulluğun Boyutlarını Etkileyen Faktörlerin<br />
İncelenmesi,Muğla Ün. Sos. Bil. Ens. Yayınlanmaış Yüksek Lisans Tezi,<br />
2002<br />
Bulutay Tuncer, Timur S., Ersel Hasan, Türkiye’de Gelir Dağılımı, SBF<br />
Yayını, Ankara 1971<br />
Süleyman Özmucur, “Yeni Milli Gelir Serisi ve Gelirin Fonksiyonel<br />
Dağılımı:1968-1984” ODTÜ Gelişim Dergisi, Sayı 23, 1994<br />
Tusiad, www.tusiad.org.tr<br />
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