PDF, GB, 139 p., 796 Ko - Femise

[3.67]*** [1.83]*
Yi (partner) 1.149 1.168 1.166 1.176 1.155 1.144 1.182
[44.52]*** [51.44]*** [56.40]*** [44.80]*** [46.40]*** [54.63]*** [50.40]***
Yj (reporting) -0.309 -1.072 -0.684 -1.156 1.263 -0.368
[0.89] [3.88]*** [1.82]* [3.35]*** [4.05]*** [1.12]
K/Li (partner) 0.706 0.488 0.501 1.052 0.586 0.629 0.691
[14.47]*** [11.26]*** [11.73]*** [20.82]*** [14.01]*** [15.68]*** [16.57]***
K/Lj (reporting)
DISTANCEij -0.752 -0.846 -1.014 -0.626 -0.799 -1.235 -0.958
[13.49]*** [15.69]*** [21.26]*** [9.88]*** [14.96]*** [27.10]*** [16.42]***
COLONYij 1.795 1.488 1.155 -0.113 1.14
[10.31]*** [8.47]*** [7.43]*** [0.66] [10.24]***
COLONIZERij 1.617 0.89 0.9 0.083 0.515 -1.032 0.991
[11.15]*** [6.14]*** [8.24]*** [0.59] [5.80]*** [7.93]*** [6.18]***
ARABICij -0.153 0.534 0.919 0.496 0.751 0.386
[1.22] [4.23]*** [8.18]*** [3.68]*** [4.74]*** [3.03]***
TURKISHij -0.782
[2.46]**
CONTIGUITYij 0.294 -0.971 -1.379 -0.095 0.393 1.112 -0.439
[0.78] [1.86]* [5.63]*** [0.18] [1.26] [7.39]*** [1.55]
Constant -19.743 -10.454 8.781 -7.414 7.476 -47.58 -9.113
[21.59]*** [1.21] [1.28] [0.77] [0.92] [5.72]*** [1.06]
Observations 2597 2779 2730 2402 2351 2936 2782
R-squared 0.62 0.64 0.68 0.69 0.64 0.72 0.64
F test: time dum. 4.05 1.24 0.46 0.91 1.03 1.77 1.39
Prob > F 0.00 0.20 0.99 0.59 0.42 0.01 0.10
Notes: - ***, **, * significant at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels of statistical significance,
respectively.
We find that not all the MPCs were able to benefit equally from the EU Association
Agreements. In the case of bilateral imports we obtain positive and statistically significant
coefficients of the indicator variables for the EU Association Agreements only for Israel,
Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia, and in the case of bilateral exports only for Tunisia. The results
obtained for bilateral trade agreements concluded between the future members of the Agadir
group where not robust.
In particular, when we looked at their bilateral imports it turned out that the only bilateral
agreement that stimulated imports of both countries was the agreement concluded between
Jordan and Morocco. However, when we looked at bilateral exports it turned out that this
agreement was effective only for Morocco and Jordan’s exports to Morocco did not increase
as the previous set of estimates might suggest. Similarly, the results obtained for the
agreement concluded between Jordan and Tunisia suggest that it was effective in stimulating
exports of both countries while when we looked at the results obtained for bilateral imports it
turned out that this agreement was effective only in stimulating exports from Tunisia to
Jordan.
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