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PDF, GB, 139 p., 796 Ko - Femise

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of the ACC on bilateral trade flows was not robust. A very similar result can be reported for<br />

the agreement concluded with the EFTA countries. Also the estimation results obtained for<br />

particular bilateral agreements of Israel and Turkey as well as between themselves are not<br />

robust. Out of the agreements concluded with the NAFTA countries only the agreement with<br />

the US seems to affect bilateral exports of the MPCs.<br />

Summing up, in contrast to bilateral imports the new generation EU Association<br />

Agreements do not seem to contribute positively to the expansion of exports from the MPCs<br />

to the EU. This means that the EU countries will be the main beneficiaries of these<br />

agreements, at least in the short run, as the EU markets for industrial products have been open<br />

to the MPCs since the 1960s and the 1970s while the markets for agricultural products still<br />

remain relatively closed.<br />

Estimates for particular MPCs<br />

To gain a deeper insight into what drives our empirical results we split our sample into seven<br />

subsamples for particular MPCs and estimate the gravity equations for their bilateral exports<br />

and imports separately for each country using the traditional OLS method with robust<br />

standard errors. 31 The estimation results for bilateral imports of the individual MPCsare<br />

presented in Table 4 while for bilateral exports in Table 5.<br />

31 Unfortunately, in the case of single country regressions it is not possible to use panel data estimation<br />

techniques as the indicator variables are then collinear with the country-pair specific fixed effects.<br />

59

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