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PDF, GB, 139 p., 796 Ko - Femise

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1995 0.00202 [2.04]** -0.00199 [2.00]* 58 1.02 1.00199 4.02 0.05<br />

1999 -0.00210 [3.19]*** -0.00100 [0.42] 58 -2.10 1.00101 0.18 0.67<br />

2002 -0.00217 [2.51]** 0.00093 [0.37] 58 2.34 0.99907 0.14 0.71<br />

2003 -0.00361 [3.87]*** 0.00368 [2.97]*** 58 0.98 0.99632 8.87 0.00<br />

Periods X/M I*X/M(invest/L) Obs. alpha_l Beta Beta=1 p-val<br />

All 0.00049 [1.46] -0.00086 [1.69]* 232 0.57 1.00086 2.84 0.09<br />

1995 0.00004 [0.04] 0.00004 [0.04] 58 -1.15 0.99996 0.00 0.97<br />

1999 0.00036 [0.49] -0.00307 [1.40] 58 0.12 1.00307 1.95 0.17<br />

2002 -0.00003 [0.05] -0.00401 [1.41] 58 -0.01 1.00403 1.96 0.17<br />

2003 -0.00008 [0.18] -0.00509 [1.78]* 58 -0.02 1.00511 3.14 0.08<br />

Robust t statistics in brackets<br />

* significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%<br />

One possible reason for these disappointing results may be the limited data availability on<br />

capital and subsidies 57 . Another may come from the specific profile of Israeli trade policy.<br />

The estimations are performed on tariff data, while the protection may exist in many forms of<br />

non-tariff measures (licences, kosher laws, as mentioned in the trade policy review). This type<br />

of trade restrictions were not included in our database. Therefore we may not find plausible<br />

interpretation of the results for the influence of the lobbies on Israeli trade policy schedules.<br />

The last possible and the most optimistic explanation is that the Israeli industries were not<br />

well organized or sufficiently efficient in lobbing for their sectoral interests. As a result, the<br />

government was able to follow fairly liberal trade policy increasing welfare of the whole<br />

society.<br />

57<br />

The most recent data on capital stock could be obtained only for 1.1.1992. The 90’s, however, were marked by<br />

a rapid economic growth, significant industrial changes (both in organization and technology), therefore this data<br />

could not be used as an estimator.<br />

102

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