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Dairy's role in sustaining New Zealand - Fonterra

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Appendices<br />

Figures<br />

Tables<br />

H Dairy’s <strong>role</strong> <strong>in</strong> generat<strong>in</strong>g growth<br />

Appendix A CGE modell<strong>in</strong>g framework 25<br />

A.1 The MONASH-<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> CGE model: overview 25<br />

A.2 Dynamics of the MONASH-NZ model 26<br />

A.3 Database structure 26<br />

A.4 Production structure (Horridge, 2008b) 28<br />

A.5 Regional extension 29<br />

Appendix B CGE and multiplier analysis 30<br />

Appendix C Limitations of analysis 32<br />

Appendix D References 33<br />

Appendix E Dairy employment statistics 34<br />

Appendix F Value of regional dairy production 38<br />

Appendix G Chang<strong>in</strong>g dairy export markets 39<br />

Figure 1 Impacts of dairy growth on the rest of the economy F<br />

Figure 2 Growth <strong>in</strong> dairy exports over past decades 4<br />

Figure 3 Importance of dairy to regional employment 5<br />

Figure 4 Model structure of the sector 6<br />

Figure 5 Change <strong>in</strong> milk solids price: 1998-2009 11<br />

Figure 6 Processed milk solids 11<br />

Figure 7 Gross regional product impacts 17<br />

Figure 8 Dairy ga<strong>in</strong>s s<strong>in</strong>ce 1998/99 21<br />

Figure 9 2009 Gross regional product impacts 23<br />

Figure 10 Components of a CGE model 25<br />

Figure 11 The MONASH-NZ database 27<br />

Figure 12 Production structure 28<br />

Figure 13 Chang<strong>in</strong>g markets for <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>’s dairy exports 39<br />

Table 1 Value of regional dairy production 2<br />

Table 2 Export values 3<br />

Table 3 Farm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry structure 7<br />

Table 4 Dairy process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry structure 7<br />

Table 5 Indirect impacts 2010 15<br />

Table 6 National results 16<br />

Table 7 Increase <strong>in</strong> gross regional product 17<br />

Table 8 Average Cap Farm Cashflow 18<br />

Table 9 Indirect impacts 2008/09 21<br />

Table 10 National results 2009 22<br />

Table 11 Increase <strong>in</strong> gross regional product 23<br />

Table 12 IO vs. CGE multipliers 31

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