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Dairy's role in sustaining New Zealand - Fonterra

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At the activity level, <strong>in</strong>termediate goods, primary factors and other costs are comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a Leontief production function. This means the proportion of production <strong>in</strong>puts does<br />

not change. On the output side, there are two further constant elasticity of transformation<br />

(CET) 13 nests. The production mix of each <strong>in</strong>dustry is dependent on the relative prices of each<br />

commodity. Similarly, the export nest determ<strong>in</strong>es local and export market shares depend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

on relative prices.<br />

A.5 Regional extension<br />

Policy impacts are often unevenly spread across <strong>in</strong>dustries and regions. To capture these<br />

heterogeneous effects, the model is extended to <strong>in</strong>clude a regional component. A ‘topdown’approach<br />

is used to decompose national impacts to the regional level, us<strong>in</strong>g regional<br />

employment data as weight<strong>in</strong>g. If a region has a high share of national output, then its<br />

regional <strong>in</strong>dustry output will be proportionally affected. The exception is <strong>in</strong>dustries that<br />

produce commodities (mostly services) that are largely consumed with<strong>in</strong> a region. These are<br />

deemed to be local <strong>in</strong>dustries, and it is assumed that their output moves <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with the local<br />

demand for the correspond<strong>in</strong>g commodity, rather than with the national <strong>in</strong>dustry output.<br />

Note that an <strong>in</strong>herent assumption <strong>in</strong> the ‘top-down’approach is that <strong>in</strong>dustries use the same<br />

production technology across all regions (Horridge, 2008).<br />

13. A CET function is identical to a CES function except that the transformation parameter has the opposite sign (i.e. <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g price<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases output <strong>in</strong> a CET; <strong>in</strong> a CES, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g price reduces demand)<br />

Dairy’s <strong>role</strong> <strong>in</strong> generat<strong>in</strong>g growth<br />

29

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