"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.
"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.
"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.
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Certainly, <strong>Mr</strong>. Big!<br />
I used to cross the United States in my automobile every summer, trying to make<br />
it to the Pacific Ocean. But, for various reasons, I would always get stuck somewhere <br />
usually in Las Vegas.<br />
I remember the first time, particularly, I liked it very much. Then, as now, Las<br />
Vegas made its money on the people who gamble, so the whole problem for the hotels<br />
was to get people to come there to gamble. So they had shows and dinners which were<br />
very inexpensive almost free. You didn't have to make any reservations for anything:<br />
you could walk in, sit down at one of the many empty tables, and enjoy the show. It was<br />
just wonderful for a man who didn't gamble, because I was enjoying all the advantages <br />
the rooms were inexpensive, the meals were next to nothing, the shows were good, and I<br />
liked the girls.<br />
One day I was lying around the pool at my motel, and some guy came up and<br />
started to talk to me. I can't remember how he got started, but his idea was that I<br />
presumably worked for a living, and it was really quite silly to do that. "Look how easy it<br />
is for me," he said. "I just hang around the pool all the time and enjoy life in Las Vegas."<br />
"How the hell do you do that without working?"<br />
"Simple: I bet on the horses."<br />
"I don't know anything about horses, but I don't see how you can make a living<br />
betting on the horses," I said, skeptically.<br />
"Of course you can," he said. "That's how I live! I'll tell you what: I'll teach you<br />
how to do it. We'll go down and I'll guarantee that you'll win a hundred dollars."<br />
"How can you do that?"<br />
"I'll bet you a hundred dollars that you'll win," he said. "So if you win it doesn't<br />
cost you anything, and if you lose, you get a hundred dollars!"<br />
So I think, "Gee! That's right! If I win a hundred dollars on the horses and I have<br />
to pay him, I don't lose anything; it's just an exercise it's just proof that his system<br />
works. And if he fails, I win a hundred dollars. It's quite wonderful!"<br />
He takes me down to some betting place where they have a list of horses and<br />
racetracks all over the country. He introduces me to other people who say, "Geez, he's<br />
great! I won a hunerd dollas!"<br />
I gradually realize that I have to put up some of my own money for the bets, and I<br />
begin to get a little nervous. "How much money do I have to bet?" I ask. "Oh, three or<br />
four hundred dollars." I haven't got that much. Besides, it begins to worry me: Suppose I<br />
lose all the bets?<br />
So then he says, "I'll tell you what: My advice will cost you only fifty dollars, and<br />
only if it works. If it doesn't work, I'll give you the hundred dollars you would have won<br />
anyway." I figure, "Wow! Now I win both ways either fifty or a hundred dollars! How<br />
the heck can he do that?" Then I realize that if you have a reasonably even game forget<br />
the little losses from the take for the moment in order to understand it the chance that<br />
you'll win a hundred dollars versus losing your four hundred dollars is four to one. So out<br />
of five times that he tries this on somebody, four times they're going to win a hundred<br />
dollars, he gets two hundred (and he points out to them how smart he is); the fifth time he<br />
has to pay a hundred dollars. So he receives two hundred, on the average, when he's