23.10.2012 Views

"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.

"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.

"Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman!" - unam.

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Certainly, <strong>Mr</strong>. Big!<br />

I used to cross the United States in my automobile every summer, trying to make<br />

it to the Pacific Ocean. But, for various reasons, I would always get stuck somewhere ­­<br />

usually in Las Vegas.<br />

I remember the first time, particularly, I liked it very much. Then, as now, Las<br />

Vegas made its money on the people who gamble, so the whole problem for the hotels<br />

was to get people to come there to gamble. So they had shows and dinners which were<br />

very inexpensive ­­ almost free. You didn't have to make any reservations for anything:<br />

you could walk in, sit down at one of the many empty tables, and enjoy the show. It was<br />

just wonderful for a man who didn't gamble, because I was enjoying all the advantages ­­<br />

the rooms were inexpensive, the meals were next to nothing, the shows were good, and I<br />

liked the girls.<br />

One day I was lying around the pool at my motel, and some guy came up and<br />

started to talk to me. I can't remember how he got started, but his idea was that I<br />

presumably worked for a living, and it was really quite silly to do that. "Look how easy it<br />

is for me," he said. "I just hang around the pool all the time and enjoy life in Las Vegas."<br />

"How the hell do you do that without working?"<br />

"Simple: I bet on the horses."<br />

"I don't know anything about horses, but I don't see how you can make a living<br />

betting on the horses," I said, skeptically.<br />

"Of course you can," he said. "That's how I live! I'll tell you what: I'll teach you<br />

how to do it. We'll go down and I'll guarantee that you'll win a hundred dollars."<br />

"How can you do that?"<br />

"I'll bet you a hundred dollars that you'll win," he said. "So if you win it doesn't<br />

cost you anything, and if you lose, you get a hundred dollars!"<br />

So I think, "Gee! That's right! If I win a hundred dollars on the horses and I have<br />

to pay him, I don't lose anything; it's just an exercise ­­ it's just proof that his system<br />

works. And if he fails, I win a hundred dollars. It's quite wonderful!"<br />

He takes me down to some betting place where they have a list of horses and<br />

racetracks all over the country. He introduces me to other people who say, "Geez, he's<br />

great! I won a hunerd dollas!"<br />

I gradually realize that I have to put up some of my own money for the bets, and I<br />

begin to get a little nervous. "How much money do I have to bet?" I ask. "Oh, three or<br />

four hundred dollars." I haven't got that much. Besides, it begins to worry me: Suppose I<br />

lose all the bets?<br />

So then he says, "I'll tell you what: My advice will cost you only fifty dollars, and<br />

only if it works. If it doesn't work, I'll give you the hundred dollars you would have won<br />

anyway." I figure, "Wow! Now I win both ways ­­ either fifty or a hundred dollars! How<br />

the heck can he do that?" Then I realize that if you have a reasonably even game ­­ forget<br />

the little losses from the take for the moment in order to understand it ­­ the chance that<br />

you'll win a hundred dollars versus losing your four hundred dollars is four to one. So out<br />

of five times that he tries this on somebody, four times they're going to win a hundred<br />

dollars, he gets two hundred (and he points out to them how smart he is); the fifth time he<br />

has to pay a hundred dollars. So he receives two hundred, on the average, when he's

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!