the rollback of south africa's biological warfare program

the Angolan and Rhodesian conflicts, conventional arms remained the primary
instruments by combatants. The South African case illustrates that the threat
perceptions of top political leaders are the determining factors in whether they
decide to undertake costly, covert CBW programs. The South African case
also supports the proposition that once a political regime has CBW
capabilities, they will use these capabilities against political enemies at home
and abroad.
The South African case also dramatically shows how thin the line is
between defensive and offensive weapons. First the Iraqi and now the South
African cases suggest that it is prudent to assume that if a country is suspected
of developing covert nuclear capabilities, it is probably supporting research
into the offensive uses of chemical and biological weapons as well.
South African CBW programs also underscore the importance of control
by civilians, of transparency, and of accountability. Some aspects of the
apartheid regime’s management of their CBW programs may be unique.
However this case vividly illustrates what will happen when there is loose
accountability of covert NBC research and development by senior military and
political leaders.
The efforts to dismantle the South African CBW program illustrate how
difficult effective NBC non-proliferation agreements will be to enforce. The
discovery that Wouter Basson secretly kept some of the classified documents
is deeply disturbing to those who believe that South Africa developed highly
sophisticated CBW capabilities during the Project Coast years. For others, the
science involved in the 10 years of research conducted by Project Coast was so
pedestrian that they are not worried about the possibility of proliferation.
Perhaps, some of the differences among interviewees in this study about the
scope and level of sophistication can be reconciled and understood as a matter
of differing priorities, interpretations, and policy lessons. Dr. Daan Goosen, the
former manager of RRL, was one of a very small group of scientists-mangers
88