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The Economic Impact of Electricity Price Increases on ... - Eskom

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Services dominate the SA ec<strong>on</strong>omy accounting for over two-thirds <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

GDP and employment. However relatively energy-intensive primary and<br />

sec<strong>on</strong>dary industries still c<strong>on</strong>tribute around 28% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GDP<br />

4<br />

South African GDP by sector (2010)<br />

Pers<strong>on</strong>al services<br />

6.2%<br />

General<br />

government<br />

services<br />

15.1%<br />

Finance, real<br />

estate and<br />

business services<br />

23.5%<br />

Source: Frost and Sullivan, Rec<strong>on</strong>structed: Stats SA<br />

Pers<strong>on</strong>al services<br />

12%<br />

General<br />

government<br />

services<br />

11%<br />

Finance, real<br />

estate and<br />

business services<br />

14%<br />

Transport, storage<br />

and communicati<strong>on</strong><br />

10.2%<br />

Agriculture, forestry<br />

and fishing<br />

2.5%<br />

Mining and<br />

quarrying<br />

6.0%<br />

Manu-facturing<br />

17.2%<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Electricity</str<strong>on</strong>g>, gas and<br />

water<br />

2.1%<br />

C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong><br />

3.5%<br />

Retai, trade and<br />

hospitality<br />

13.7%<br />

Sectoral c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to total employment<br />

Transport, storage<br />

and communicati<strong>on</strong><br />

6%<br />

Source: Q3 2011, Quarterly Labour Force Survey - StatsSA<br />

(2011)<br />

Agriculture, forestry<br />

and fishing<br />

5%<br />

Mining and<br />

quarrying<br />

3%<br />

Retail trade and<br />

hospitality<br />

25%<br />

Manufacturing<br />

14%<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Electricity</str<strong>on</strong>g>, gas and<br />

water<br />

1%<br />

C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong><br />

9%<br />

Key points<br />

Current Structure<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> SA Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> South African ec<strong>on</strong>omy is dominated by<br />

services-related activity – 67% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GDP<br />

• Of the five largest sectors <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the ec<strong>on</strong>omy in 2010,<br />

four were services-related<br />

• It is however important to note that manufacturing<br />

remained the sec<strong>on</strong>d-largest individual sector<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tributor at 17.2% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GDP in 2010 and together<br />

with other relatively energy-intensive sectors<br />

(mining, electricity and other utilities, and<br />

agriculture), 28% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GDP.<br />

• Some sectors <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the South African ec<strong>on</strong>omy are<br />

by nature, more labour-intensive (high<br />

employment to GDP ratios) than others.<br />

• Sectors like c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, agriculture and<br />

wholesale\retail make a much larger proporti<strong>on</strong>al<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to employment than to GDP.<br />

• While sectors like finance and business services,<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tribute 23.5% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GDP in 2010 but accounted<br />

for <strong>on</strong>ly 14% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> employment in 2011.<br />

Some sectors, including c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, agriculture and wholesale\retail trade are important in that they make a much<br />

larger proporti<strong>on</strong>al c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to employment than to GDP<br />

©2012 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited. All rights reserved.<br />

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