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Part 1 Revenue Application: Multi-Year Price Determination ... - Eskom

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Overview of <strong>Multi</strong>-<strong>Year</strong> <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Determination</strong><br />

2013/14–2017/18 (MYPD 3)<br />

Page 47 of 144<br />

possible impact of higher electricity prices on the economy and consumers on the other. It<br />

supported <strong>Eskom</strong>‟s ultimate goal of being able to raise funding for capacity expansion based<br />

on the strength of its own balance sheet, as opposed to using the government‟s support, as<br />

is currently the case. The National Treasury concurred with <strong>Eskom</strong>‟s assumption that no<br />

dividends would be paid out to the shareholder during MYPD 3.<br />

The returns generated over the MYPD 3 period are less than the returns determined by<br />

Nersa and achieve an appropriate balance between the needs of <strong>Eskom</strong> and its customers.<br />

They therefore remain as projected in the proposed submission.<br />

Macroeconomic indicators<br />

Some of the proposed application‟s macroeconomic assumptions were questioned.<br />

Specifically, the National Treasury‟s CPI projections were lower. It believed the proposed<br />

electricity price increases would have a more pronounced effect on the CPI than <strong>Eskom</strong><br />

predicted because of the planned reweighting of the CPI basket, adding between 0.7 and 1<br />

percentage points to CPI as opposed to <strong>Eskom</strong>‟s projected 0.3 to 0.6 percentage points.<br />

The National Treasury requested that further information on the economic impact be<br />

included in the application. This has been done.<br />

Assumptions regarding coal costs and the Energy Conservation Scheme<br />

There were concerns regarding <strong>Eskom</strong>‟s assumption of single-digit coal cost increases. It<br />

was suggested that the macroeconomic impact – specifically the possible unintended<br />

consequences of securing coal supplies for <strong>Eskom</strong> and limiting the increase in coal prices to<br />

single-digit increases – be assessed.<br />

Since primary energy constitutes a third of <strong>Eskom</strong>‟s costs, it is critical for the company to<br />

exhaust all avenues to keep these cost increases within single digits. The broader economic<br />

impact will be assessed further.<br />

It was suggested that introducing a mandatory ECS required prior policy decisions by the<br />

DoE. <strong>Eskom</strong> accepts that there are certain policy decisions needed to inform the way<br />

forward on these matters.

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