Part 1 Revenue Application: Multi-Year Price Determination ... - Eskom

Overview of Multi-Year Price Determination
2013/14–2017/18 (MYPD 3)
Integrated Resource Plan 2010 – 2030
Page 29 of 144
The IRP 2010 sets out South Africa‟s long-term energy needs and discusses the generating
capacity, technologies, timing and costs associated with meeting that need. The plan assumes
average electricity demand growth of 2.9% up to 2030, with an average GDP growth of 3.5%.
During this period, about 16,000MW of older generating capacity is projected to be
decommissioned. The targets for new capacity build are outlined in Table 8.
Table 8: IRP 2010 new capacity targets (MW)
TECHNOLOGY
Nuclear 0 9,600
Coal 0 4,368
Gas 0 3,269
Wind 0 5,200
Solar and CSP 0 6,300
Other renewables 0 -
DoE peaker -
Cogen -
Import Hydro -
Capacity (MW) -
* In the 100% scenario, Eskom will build the 2700MWs which is circled in.Table 8
The 9210MW is disclosed in the yellow highlights. This is the renewable capacity assumed to
be procured from IPPs as proposed by the DoE.
ESKOM (assumed) IPPs (assumed) IRP 2010
MYPD 3 POST MYPD 3 MYPD 3 POST MYPD 3 TOTAL MWs
For illustrative purposes, Eskom has provided the implications of a scenario that assumes
the company will ultimately be responsible for 65% of the IRP 2010 projected capacity, with
IPPs accounting for the remainder. The 35% allocation to IPPs includes 3,725MW of the
DoE‟s renewable energy IPP programme, 1 020MW of DoE‟s peaking station and a further
-
-
-
28,737
-
2,442
672
2,547
3,321
173
1,008
1,019
-
11,182
-
-
2,300
400
-
-
-
-
2,609
5,309
65% 35%
16,491MW
*
9,600
6,810
6,241
8,147
9,621
173
1,008
1,019
2,609
45,228