Hawkesbury-Nepean River Environmental Monitoring Program
Hawkesbury-Nepean River Environmental Monitoring Program
Hawkesbury-Nepean River Environmental Monitoring Program
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a relatively poor fit to the data (explaining less than 20% of the variance in the data).<br />
This summary therefore indicates both the direction of the (non-linear) trend in time<br />
and the explanatory power of the model for a specific water quality variable at a<br />
specific site. A graphical example of the measured data and the results of the<br />
modelled time trends are provided in Figures 5.7, 5.8 and 5.9.<br />
Figure 5.7: Time series plot of chlorophyll-a levels at North Richmond<br />
Figure 5.8: Non-linear time trend in chlorophyll-a levels at North Richmond, modelled<br />
using GAMs. Values on the y-axis represent partial residuals; Time = 1 on the x-axis<br />
corresponds to 1/1/1984; Time = 8614 is 1/8/07<br />
20 <strong>Hawkesbury</strong> <strong>Nepean</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Monitoring</strong> <strong>Program</strong>: Final Technical Report