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Hawkesbury-Nepean River Environmental Monitoring Program

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Figure 5.6: Empirical distribution function showing percentile flows for Penrith Weir.<br />

Black = Penrith Weir for entire period (1891-2007); Red = Penrith Weir after 1/6/05, when<br />

environmental flows were halved; Green = Penrith Weir after 1/1/60, i.e. after<br />

Warragamba Dam was built<br />

General conclusions<br />

• There has been a significant reduction in flows over Penrith Weir as a result of<br />

the ongoing drought and subsequent government policy that has seen interim eflows<br />

halved. 4<br />

• <strong>River</strong> flow levels are now much less than the long-term (>100-year) average.<br />

• <strong>River</strong> regulation is not the sole factor involved in this decline, since similar<br />

declines are also noticeable in the flow record for the unregulated Colo <strong>River</strong>.<br />

However, regulation is still important, since the smoothed trend line for flow at<br />

Penrith Weir (blue line in Figure 5.4) has now consistently fallen below that of the<br />

Colo <strong>River</strong> (green line in Figure 5.4) for the first time since records began.<br />

• Since many water quality variables are significantly affected by flow,<br />

assessments of changes and/or trends in water quality necessarily need to<br />

consider variation in flow.<br />

• Because river extraction also affects flow, there is a need to understand<br />

quantitatively where, when and how much water is extracted from the<br />

<strong>Hawkesbury</strong>-<strong>Nepean</strong> <strong>River</strong>.<br />

Temporal trends in water quality at individual sites<br />

In many cases the length of time for which water quality records have existed for the<br />

<strong>Hawkesbury</strong>-<strong>Nepean</strong> <strong>River</strong> is much shorter than that for flow. Water quality records<br />

4 Full environmental flows (e-flows) from Warragamba Dam have now been reinstated.<br />

16 <strong>Hawkesbury</strong> <strong>Nepean</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Monitoring</strong> <strong>Program</strong>: Final Technical Report

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