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UNIVERSITÄT POTSDAM - Prof. Dr. Paul JJ Welfens

UNIVERSITÄT POTSDAM - Prof. Dr. Paul JJ Welfens

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EUR-12 4.9 5.1 5 5.1 5.2 5.5 6 6.5 6.9<br />

EU-15 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 6 6.4 6.9 7.2<br />

US 7.1 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.7 8 8.1 8.3<br />

Source: EITO OBSERVATORY (2000); D = Germany<br />

Tab A5: ICT Production Effects - Contribution to TFP Growth over the 1990’s (%<br />

Points)<br />

62<br />

TFP Growth Increase in the<br />

EU’s ICT Sector identical to<br />

that in the US<br />

1990-1995 1995-1998<br />

Two Scenarios for 1995-1998<br />

No TFP Growth<br />

Increase in the<br />

EU’s ICT Sector<br />

TFP Growth<br />

Increase in EU<br />

ICT Sector =<br />

50% of that in<br />

the US<br />

Belgium 0.16 0.22 0.14 0.18<br />

Denmark 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.05<br />

Germany 0.13 0.19 0.12 0.16<br />

Greece 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03<br />

Spain 0.09 0.14 0.09 0.12<br />

France 0.14 0.25 0.15 0.20<br />

Ireland 1.09 2.17 1.41 1.79<br />

Italy 0.13 0.19 0.12 0.15<br />

Netherlands 0.18 0.27 0.18 0.22<br />

Austria 0.10 0.18 0.11 0.14<br />

Portugal 0.11 0.22 0.13 0.17<br />

Finland 0.16 0.38 0.25 0.31<br />

Sweden 0.15 0.27 0.17 0.22<br />

UK 0.17 0.33 0.21 0.27<br />

EU15 0.14 0.24 0.15 0.19<br />

US 0.23 0.50<br />

Source: McMORROW, K. / RÖGER, W.(2000): Potential Output: Measurement Methods, “New” Economy<br />

Influences and Scenarios for 2001-2010 – A Comparison of the EU15 and the US; Economic Papers<br />

No. 150, April 2001, p. 69.

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