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s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> mid-1990s, with Namibia's proposed water extraction plans. Similar fears<br />

are reflected <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> common claim that <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> high floodwaters dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> past<br />

two decades was due to <strong>the</strong> alleged construction <strong>of</strong> dams <strong>in</strong> Angola and <strong>the</strong> Caprivi<br />

Strip (which are completely unfounded). However, fears <strong>of</strong> reduced and changed<br />

patterns <strong>of</strong> flow, regardless <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cause, are <strong>in</strong>deed warranted as so much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

river system's function<strong>in</strong>g depends on regular strong flows and flood<strong>in</strong>g that, for<br />

example, carries sediment <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Delta and enables fish to breed <strong>in</strong> floodpla<strong>in</strong>s.<br />

The variety <strong>of</strong> habitats <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Delta is <strong>in</strong> fact directly <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> chang<strong>in</strong>g water<br />

levels, ma<strong>in</strong>ly because different plant communities occupy different flood zones<br />

(Mendelsohn and el Obeid, 2004).<br />

The whole Okavango River system is characterised by low nutrient levels. Greater<br />

levels <strong>of</strong> nutrients, for <strong>in</strong>stance <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> nitrogen and phosphorous fertilisers<br />

wash<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>of</strong> large agricultural projects, would lead to more biological production,<br />

particularly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Delta where <strong>the</strong> extra nutrients would accumulate. Beds <strong>of</strong><br />

papyrus might expand, caus<strong>in</strong>g channels to close more quickly and rapid changes to<br />

<strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> water. It is also likely that <strong>the</strong> occurrence <strong>of</strong> Kariba weed (Salv<strong>in</strong>ia<br />

mo/esta) would <strong>in</strong>crease. This could have severe impacts on <strong>the</strong> Delta, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong><br />

weed forms dense mats cover<strong>in</strong>g large surface areas <strong>of</strong> calm water. The mats cause<br />

a reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> water's oxygen content, which would have disastrous<br />

consequences for all life <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Delta (Mendelsohn and el Obeid, 2004).<br />

Higher levels <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r chemicals such as calcium, magnesium, sodium and silica,<br />

would probably accompany nutrient <strong>in</strong>creases. In this case, a severe reduction <strong>in</strong><br />

papyrus could result from concentrations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se harmful solutes. Patterns <strong>of</strong><br />

sediment accumulation and <strong>the</strong> way <strong>in</strong> which water is distributed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Delta could<br />

change, habitat diversity may decl<strong>in</strong>e, and <strong>the</strong> Delta might gradually transform, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

worst case scenario, from a freshwater to a sal<strong>in</strong>e wetland. Levels <strong>of</strong> pollution from<br />

urban effluent and o<strong>the</strong>r sources are still too low <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Okavango to do any serious<br />

harm, but every effort needs to be made to safeguard <strong>the</strong> river from <strong>the</strong>se and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

toxic chemicals, such as pesticides. It is widely agreed that Botswana's use <strong>of</strong><br />

endosulphan to kill tsetse flies reduced fish stocks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Delta between <strong>the</strong> 1970s<br />

and <strong>the</strong> early 1990s (Mendelsohn and el Obeid, 2004).<br />

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