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Application of Behavior Change Theory to the Development

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20<br />

BEHAVIOR CHANGE THEORY<br />

Both six and twelve month results for <strong>the</strong> four groups were based upon <strong>the</strong> proportion<br />

<strong>of</strong> drivers who remain “trouble free” (successes), which was defined <strong>to</strong> mean any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

following: no entry for any traffic violation during <strong>the</strong> relevant time period; only minor<br />

violations such as equipment infractions, excessive noise, and axle overload; and no<br />

chargeable accidents. Comparisons involved successes <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three treatment<br />

groups versus controls. No differences were detected for <strong>the</strong> standard letter. At <strong>the</strong><br />

end <strong>of</strong> six months, significantly fewer traffic involvements were recorded for <strong>the</strong> group<br />

receiving <strong>the</strong> personalized letter; and at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> one year, significantly fewer traffic<br />

entries were made <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> driving records <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> group receiving <strong>the</strong> personalized, s<strong>of</strong>tsell<br />

letter. The superior results <strong>of</strong> those receiving ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> personalized or s<strong>of</strong>t-sell<br />

letters was attributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> more favorable reception given <strong>the</strong> correspondence, which<br />

resulted in a more positive response <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> message. However, an age-gradient was<br />

reported since all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> identified differences were due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> population <strong>of</strong> drivers<br />

under <strong>the</strong> age <strong>of</strong> 25. According <strong>to</strong> Prochaska and DiClemente (1982), an age-gradient<br />

can be viewed as a proxy for any number <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r differential effects, including<br />

“readiness <strong>to</strong> change”.<br />

Kaestner et al. (1965) reported that <strong>the</strong> results, “support <strong>the</strong> contention that it is in fact<br />

possible <strong>to</strong> modify long range, nonverbal behavior by one shot verbal appeals.<br />

However, it must be recognized that <strong>the</strong> content and, <strong>to</strong> at least as great an extent, <strong>the</strong><br />

formal appearance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> appeal is <strong>of</strong> critical importance.” This quotation implies that<br />

quantum change (Miller & C’de Baca, 1994) is a realistic goal for negligent opera<strong>to</strong>r<br />

treatment systems.<br />

Marsh, 1969<br />

RATINGS:<br />

Design Quality: 16/24<br />

Warning Letter: 16/33<br />

In 1966, <strong>the</strong>re were 415,000 reported collisions on California’s roadways, which<br />

accounted for 4,830 deaths and approximately 230,000 injuries. The California<br />

Department <strong>of</strong> Mo<strong>to</strong>r Vehicles calculated associative costs <strong>to</strong>taling $764,000,000, or<br />

$1,800 per reported collision (1968).<br />

In this study, <strong>the</strong> California Department <strong>of</strong> Mo<strong>to</strong>r Vehicles evaluated eight driver<br />

improvement techniques, including a warning letter. Between December 1965 and<br />

September 1966, 15,293 California drivers were selected from pre-established criteria,<br />

including <strong>the</strong> condition that <strong>the</strong> driver had no record <strong>of</strong> previous contact by DMV in<br />

regard <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Negligent Opera<strong>to</strong>r Program. Each driver was assigned <strong>to</strong> one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> eight<br />

techniques or <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> control group. However, “clerical dis<strong>to</strong>rtions” may have<br />

introduced a bias in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> selection process causing significant differences in subject<br />

characteristics between treated and control subjects. Therefore, a determination was<br />

made that insufficient information existed <strong>to</strong> ascertain whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> researcher<br />

was blinded <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> randomization schedule. Concerning o<strong>the</strong>r design characteristics,<br />

<strong>the</strong> participation rate exceeded 70 percent, <strong>the</strong>re was a no-contact control condition, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> treatment clearly preceded <strong>the</strong> outcome.<br />

Each subject in <strong>the</strong> treatment group was sent <strong>the</strong> standard warning letter that was in<br />

use as part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regular driver improvement program. In 1965, <strong>the</strong> standard warning

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