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NEPA--Environmental Assessment

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equires that a cause and effect relationship be established that is not merely speculative or based on<br />

remote possibilities. Principals of population ecology using the concept of species limiting factors<br />

as they relate to reproduction, growth, mortality rates, and distribution of MIS are applied whenever<br />

possible.<br />

Most MIS species analyzed in detail have either been observed or reported on NFS lands in the<br />

Silverton Landscape. Additionally, most MIS species have habitat that is well distributed across the<br />

San Juan National Forest, with the exception of Colorado River cutthroat trout and Uncompahgre<br />

fritillary butterfly. It should also be noted that within and adjacent to NFS lands in the Silverton<br />

Landscape there are large amounts of habitat in similar condition, and this habitat is well distributed<br />

across the landscape and connected to the larger National Forest administrative unit. The Silverton<br />

Landscape does not provide unique or isolated habitats within which discrete populations are<br />

restricted. Aside from Canada lynx and southwestern willow flycatcher, most MIS are not species at<br />

risk nor are they species that are trending towards protected status and are well distributed across the<br />

San Juan National Forest.<br />

For some species, such as mule deer and elk, there appears to be no relationship between habitat<br />

trends and population trends, with population trends regulated by State hunting season structures.<br />

For other species, such as Canada lynx and river otter, population trends are dependant primarily on<br />

the results of Colorado Division of Wildlife reintroduction efforts, rather than the amount or<br />

distribution of habitat on National Forest System lands. For other species, such as deer mouse,<br />

populations are highly variable and regulated primarily by local annual weather patterns, rather than<br />

the amount or distribution of habitat. Again, MIS regulations do not apply to non-National Forest<br />

System lands and thus this analysis will be limited solely to those species and acres of habitat that<br />

occur on National Forest System lands.<br />

AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT<br />

There are 23 species identified as MIS in the SJNF Forest Plan. Some species are not present in the<br />

Silverton Landscape due to the absence of suitable habitat, or, suitable habitat is present in the<br />

landscape but the proposed action (domestic sheep grazing) will not affect the species or its key<br />

habitat components. Table C-3 (Appendix C) provides rationale for why some MIS species were<br />

brought forward for detailed project analysis and other species were not. A total of five species have<br />

habitat present in the Silverton Landscape and may be affected by domestic sheep grazing (Table 3-<br />

1, below). The five species brought forward for detailed analysis for this range analysis project<br />

include: Canada lynx, elk, mule deer, green-tailed towhee, and mountain bluebird. Affects of<br />

domestic sheep grazing to federally listed species (Canada lynx) was also discussed in the project’s<br />

Biological <strong>Assessment</strong>. Affects to Forest Service designated Sensitive Species were also discussed<br />

in the project’s Biological Evaluation.<br />

Existing habitat for each MIS was determined by the use of a computer mapping model using<br />

vegetative information described in Forest-wide MIS <strong>Assessment</strong>s on National Forest System lands.<br />

Habitat modeling was conducted using habitat structural stage matrices described by Towry (1984).<br />

In addition, information on species’ distribution across the Forest, professional judgment of FS<br />

wildlife biologists, coordination with CDOW biologists, coordination with the U.S. Fish and<br />

Wildlife Service, and field reconnaissance of the project area was also used.<br />

A brief description of suitable habitat for each MIS species brought forward for detailed project<br />

analysis, their likely period of use, and Forest-wide habitat and population trend estimates for each<br />

of these MIS species are provided in the Wildlife Review (Schultz 2009c) in the project record.<br />

More detailed information about species natural history requirements, distribution, and habitat and<br />

population trends is on file at the Columbine Ranger District Office located in Bayfield, Colorado<br />

87

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