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NEPA--Environmental Assessment

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Silverton Grazing Risk <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

infer a lower risk rating. The fact that contact has not been observed, or a bighorn disease<br />

event has not been detected, does not imply a lower risk for such events happening in the<br />

future. For this reason, the allotment would still receive a rating of “High Risk”. A rating<br />

of “Moderate Risk” indicates that physical contact between bighorn and domestic sheep<br />

may occur at some point in the future, but effective separation may be achieved and/or<br />

maintained for many years. The risk of physical contact between bighorn and domestic<br />

sheep, with the subsequent potential for a bighorn disease outbreak, is thought to be<br />

substantially less than for allotments in the “High Risk” category. Factors that reduce the<br />

apparent risk of contact could include: application of herding techniques, bighorn sheep<br />

distribution patterns, presence of towns, presence of habitat features that act as barriers<br />

to bighorn sheep movement (Schommer and Woolever 2001). A rating of “Low Risk”<br />

indicates that physical contact between domestic and bighorn sheep is believed to be<br />

unlikely or irregular and unpredictable with the subsequent potential for a bighorn<br />

disease outbreak thought to be unlikely or unpredictable in the future under the current<br />

circumstances.<br />

Where overlap exists between active domestic sheep allotments and mapped bighorn<br />

sheep summer range or summer concentration areas (see Figures 1 and 2, below), the<br />

risk of contact between domestic sheep and bighorn sheep, with the potential for<br />

subsequent disease transmission, is “High” (see Figures 3 and 4, below). In vacant<br />

allotments, the risk of contact is “Low” when the allotment is vacant, but becomes “High”<br />

when the allotment is restocked.<br />

Where overlap exists between active domestic sheep allotments and mapped bighorn<br />

sheep summer range but domestic sheep are not actively grazed in that portion of the<br />

allotment, the risk of contact between domestic sheep and bighorn sheep, with the<br />

potential for subsequent disease transmission, may be either “High” or “Moderate”,<br />

depending on the circumstances. The risk level assigned to the allotment depends on<br />

whether or not there are mitigating factors such as distance to actively grazed portions of<br />

the allotment, terrain features providing separation, presence of broad bands of dense<br />

forest or presence of towns providing barriers to bighorn sheep movement, etc.<br />

A risk rating of “High” could be mitigated down to a rating of “Moderate” with the<br />

application of design criteria, changes in domestic sheep herding practices, not grazing<br />

certain portions of the allotment, application of design criteria designed to reduce the<br />

potential for contact, etc.<br />

After assigning an initial risk rating, additional factors from the list provided below were<br />

considered and a determination was made whether to change the initial risk rating.<br />

Factors such as the application of project design criteria differ between Alternative 2 and<br />

Alternative 3, leading to potentially different risk ratings for the same allotment among<br />

the two alternatives.<br />

D-10

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