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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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82<br />

Health economics<br />

disability. Data for non-responders were based on<br />

an observational study by Young and colleagues. 46<br />

This study does not report specifically on DMARD<br />

responders and non-responders and it is unclear<br />

how <strong>the</strong>se data were obtained. In addition, <strong>the</strong><br />

study is a hospital-based study <strong>of</strong> early RA patients<br />

where data were collected annually. As HAQ is<br />

especially labile in this population, single annual<br />

measurements have limited reliability.<br />

Patient HAQ scores are updated every 6 months<br />

and <strong>the</strong> mean level <strong>of</strong> HAQ improvement was<br />

obtained from clinical trial data and published<br />

literature. HAQ scores are converted to QALYs by<br />

using regression <strong>of</strong> HAQ against utility from trial<br />

data. The relationship between HAQ and utility<br />

scores was given as U = 0.76 – (0.28 × HAQ) +<br />

0.05 × Female. This relationship was derived from<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> Health Utility Index (HUI) 3 data<br />

obtained from <strong>the</strong> <strong>adalimumab</strong> trials.<br />

Data on <strong>the</strong> incidence <strong>of</strong> mild, moderate and<br />

serious adverse events were estimated from an<br />

observational study. The same study and a <strong>review</strong><br />

provided data on long-term withdrawal; <strong>the</strong><br />

limitations <strong>of</strong> using data from Geborek 171 are<br />

discussed above. Mortality risk for patients with RA<br />

was adjusted by HAQ score and Gompertz models<br />

were fitted, with <strong>the</strong> minimum age set at 50 years.<br />

The 6-monthly hazard rate was calculated in <strong>the</strong><br />

model for patients’ age and midpoint HAQ score<br />

during each <strong>the</strong>rapy line. This simplification may<br />

be acceptable; however, exploratory analyses would<br />

be worthwhile to test this assumption.<br />

Resource use and costs were derived from<br />

published data, costing BSR guidelines and expert<br />

clinical opinion. In addition, some healthcare<br />

resource use was estimated based on HAQ-DI<br />

scores. Costs and benefits were discounted at 6%<br />

and 1.5%, respectively. Costs were calculated from<br />

a healthcare perspective. Both simple one-way and<br />

probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken.<br />

The base-case results using ACR50 suggest that<br />

<strong>adalimumab</strong> is cost-effective as fourth line <strong>the</strong>rapy,<br />

TABLE 27 Treatment sequences: etanercept<br />

with an ICER <strong>of</strong> £17,860. In total, 32 one-way<br />

sensitivity analyses were conducted, all giving<br />

ICERs under £30,000 per QALY. Probabilistic<br />

sensitivity analysis showed <strong>adalimumab</strong> in<br />

combination with methotrexate to have a 99.8%<br />

probability <strong>of</strong> being cost-effective at a willingnessto-pay<br />

threshold <strong>of</strong> £30,000 per QALY.<br />

Comparison with etanercept gave a lower ICER <strong>of</strong><br />

£14,388 and a 96% probability <strong>of</strong> being costeffective<br />

at £30,000 per QALY.<br />

Secondary analyses were also reported. Using an<br />

ACR20 response <strong>the</strong> cost per QALY for<br />

<strong>adalimumab</strong> plus methotrexate was £19,251. Cost<strong>effectiveness</strong><br />

ratios at different lines <strong>of</strong> entry were<br />

also explored for ACR50 and ACR20.<br />

The ICERs for ACR50 are:<br />

● first line: £19,095 per QALY<br />

● second line: £18,166 per QALY<br />

● third line: £18,479 per QALY.<br />

The ICERs for ACR20 are:<br />

● first line: £21,228 per QALY<br />

● second line: £19,794 per QALY<br />

● third line: £19,596 per QALY.<br />

The study concluded that <strong>adalimumab</strong> “should be<br />

considered cost-effective when compared against<br />

conventional DMARDs” and on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> this<br />

“<strong>the</strong> cost-<strong>effectiveness</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>adalimumab</strong> is very<br />

similar to that <strong>of</strong> etanercept and infliximab”.<br />

Wyeth submission (etanercept)<br />

A sequential model was developed whereby a<br />

simulated patient receives a given treatment until<br />

DMARD switching occurs as a result <strong>of</strong> ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

failure <strong>of</strong> <strong>effectiveness</strong> or SAEs. The main<br />

treatment sequences considered are shown in<br />

Table 27, but o<strong>the</strong>rs were explored and are not<br />

presented in <strong>the</strong> report.<br />

The submission indicates that “<strong>the</strong> aim <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

economic model and treatment sequences was to<br />

demonstrate that etanercept + MTX is a costeffective<br />

intervention when used earlier in <strong>the</strong><br />

Therapy line Treatment sequence (1st line) Comparator sequence<br />

First Etan + MTX MTX<br />

Second MTX SSZ<br />

Third SSZ LEF<br />

Fourth LEF GST<br />

Fifth GST DMARD (non-specified)<br />

Sixth Salvage <strong>the</strong>rapy Salvage <strong>the</strong>rapy

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