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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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172<br />

Appendix 8<br />

TABLE 86 Kobelt et al., 2005 167<br />

Authors Kobelt, Lindgren, Singh, Klareskog<br />

Date 2005<br />

Type <strong>of</strong> economic evaluation Cost–utility analysis<br />

Country <strong>of</strong> origin Sweden, France, USA<br />

Currency used Euros<br />

Year to which costs apply 2004<br />

Perspective Societal<br />

Study population Patients with active RA who failed to respond to at least two DMARDs, o<strong>the</strong>r than MTX.<br />

Patients who had been previously exposed to MTX were included provided <strong>the</strong>y were<br />

deemed to be appropriate candidates for MTX treatment at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> enrolment to <strong>the</strong><br />

study<br />

Intervention 1 Etanercept<br />

Intervention 2 MTX<br />

Intervention 3 Etanercept and MTX<br />

Source <strong>of</strong> <strong>effectiveness</strong> data A double-blind randomised clinical trial <strong>of</strong> 682 patients (TEMPO). Disease progression is<br />

based on observed transitions in <strong>the</strong> clinical trial for patients with an HAQ measurement<br />

used at both <strong>the</strong> start and <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> each year for <strong>the</strong> first 2 years. Transition probabilities<br />

for <strong>the</strong> model beyond <strong>the</strong> trial data are based on <strong>the</strong> average reported annual progression <strong>of</strong><br />

HAQ (0.03). Disease activity and severity was measured in TEMPO by correlating <strong>the</strong><br />

patient global VAS with <strong>the</strong> DAS28. As a result, it was found that a DAS28 <strong>of</strong> 3.2<br />

corresponds to a score <strong>of</strong> 41 on <strong>the</strong> global VAS<br />

Cost data handled Yes: direct resource use included all healthcare and community services, as well as<br />

appropriately investments, devices, transportation and informal help. Indirect costs included early<br />

retirement due to RA, long- and short-term sick leave, and loss <strong>of</strong> leisure time. Costs and<br />

benefits were discounted at 3%. Cost data came from a survey <strong>of</strong> 616 Swedish patients,<br />

related to function and disease activity, plus 1810 patients’ early retirement data<br />

Modelling summary A Markov model was developed, with five main functional states and cut-<strong>of</strong>f points at HAQ<br />

0.6, 1.1, 1.6 and 2.1. Each state is fur<strong>the</strong>r separated into two substrates representing high<br />

and low disease activity. All resulting ten states are fur<strong>the</strong>r subdivided according to those<br />

receiving study treatments or not. Changes in disease status are modelled as transitions<br />

between <strong>the</strong> states at intervals <strong>of</strong> 1 year (cycles). Costs and utility are assigned to each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

20 states, and <strong>the</strong> model estimates expected costs and QALYs for defined cohorts <strong>of</strong> patients<br />

over given periods. A Monte Carlo simulation was run and bootstrapping was used to<br />

estimate uncertainty around input values. The model was run for 10 years <strong>of</strong> treatment, or<br />

for treatment in trial only for 2 years and extrapolation to 10 years<br />

Outcome measures used in Data related to function and disease activity (EQ-5D) obtained from a survey <strong>of</strong> 1016<br />

economic evaluations patients with confirmed RA, carried out in 1997, and a more recent follow-up survey,<br />

conducted in 2002, <strong>of</strong> 616 patients. EQ-5D was related to HAQ scores and disease activity<br />

using multiple regression<br />

Direction <strong>of</strong> result with NE quadrant. Treatment for 2 years, extrapolation to 10 years: etanercept alone dominated.<br />

appropriate quadrant location Etanercept/MTX vs MTX €37,331 per QALY<br />

Treatment for 2 years, extrapolation to 5 years: etanercept alone dominated.<br />

Etanercept/MTX vs MTX €54,548 per QALY<br />

Treatment for 10 years: etanercept/MTX vs MTX €46,494 per QALY<br />

Treatment for 5 years, extrapolation to 10 years: etanercept/MTX vs MTX €47,316 per<br />

QALY<br />

Statistical analysis for Not undertaken<br />

patient-level stochastic data<br />

Appropriateness <strong>of</strong> statistical NA<br />

analysis<br />

Uncertainty around Yes<br />

cost-<strong>effectiveness</strong> expressed<br />

Appropriateness <strong>of</strong> method Yes: <strong>the</strong> methods used were appropriate. A Monte Carlo simulation was run and<br />

dealing with uncertainty bootstrapping was used to estimate <strong>the</strong> uncertainty around <strong>the</strong> model parameter values.<br />

around cost <strong>effectiveness</strong> Cost <strong>effectiveness</strong> acceptability curves were also used<br />

continued

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