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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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118<br />

Discussion<br />

heterogeneity found between <strong>the</strong> studies in any <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> outcomes being meta-analysed. Subgroup<br />

analyses within TEMPO also indicated that<br />

treatment effects do not vary substantially between<br />

early RA and late RA patients.<br />

TEMPO was unique in that it was <strong>the</strong> only trial<br />

that allowed head-to-head comparison between a<br />

TNF inhibitor and methotrexate, in a population<br />

that included both early RA and established RA.<br />

While it provides useful insight in many aspects,<br />

<strong>the</strong> generalisability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> results, at least in <strong>the</strong><br />

UK, is not clear. In this trial half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> patients<br />

were reported as having previously received<br />

methotrexate without toxicity or lack <strong>of</strong> efficacy<br />

and yet <strong>the</strong>se patients had not been treated with<br />

methotrexate for at least 6 months before <strong>the</strong><br />

study. Such patients are uncommon in real<br />

practice. Consequently, <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> results from this<br />

trial in <strong>the</strong> economic model to give an estimate <strong>of</strong><br />

improvement with <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> combination <strong>of</strong><br />

etanercept plus methotrexate in established RA,<br />

would exaggerate <strong>the</strong> treatment benefit as most<br />

real patients would have failed treatment with<br />

methotrexate at this stage.<br />

TNF inhibitors versus placebo<br />

The majority <strong>of</strong> RCTs included in this <strong>review</strong><br />

compared TNF inhibitors with placebo.<br />

Adalimumab, etanercept and infliximab are all<br />

effective treatments, compared with placebo, in<br />

terms <strong>of</strong> improving symptoms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> disease and<br />

preventing radiographic damage due to disease.<br />

The relative risk for ACR20 for etanercept versus<br />

placebo showed a decreasing pattern in trials in<br />

which patients: (1) were not receiving any<br />

concurrent DMARDs; (2) were receiving<br />

concurrent DMARDs which had failed to provide<br />

adequate disease control; and (3) were receiving<br />

concurrent, newly initiated methotrexate (see<br />

Figure 24, p. 48). This reflects increasing response<br />

rates in <strong>the</strong> control (placebo) arms ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

differential response rates in <strong>the</strong> intervention<br />

(etanercept) arms. Statistically significant<br />

differences were found in most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> efficacy<br />

outcomes (but not necessarily safety outcomes)<br />

between (3) and <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two analyses. This<br />

confirmed <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> separating<br />

comparisons in which newly initiated methotrexate<br />

was involved. The difference between (1) and (2),<br />

however, was only marginal (test for heterogeneity<br />

p = 0.10). This is consistent with <strong>the</strong> suggestion<br />

that <strong>the</strong> presence or absence <strong>of</strong> concurrent<br />

DMARDs that had failed to provide adequate<br />

control <strong>of</strong> disease activity does not have a<br />

significant influence on <strong>the</strong> treatment effect <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>adalimumab</strong> or etanercept. Fur<strong>the</strong>r observations<br />

from direct comparison within etanercept trials, in<br />

Codreanu 103 (replacing ongoing sulfasalazine with<br />

etanercept or adding etanercept to ongoing<br />

sulfasalazine) and ADORE 107 (replacing ongoing<br />

methotrexate with etanercept or adding etanercept<br />

to ongoing methotrexate) are also consistent with<br />

this interpretation: <strong>the</strong>re were generally no<br />

significant differences between etanercept-alone<br />

arms and combination arms in efficacy and safety<br />

outcomes in <strong>the</strong>se two trials. No <strong>adalimumab</strong> trial<br />

allowed such observation, and <strong>the</strong> current licence<br />

stipulates that <strong>adalimumab</strong> should be given in<br />

combination with methotrexate unless it is not<br />

tolerated, possibly on <strong>the</strong> basis that <strong>the</strong> absolute<br />

improvement observed in <strong>adalimumab</strong> trials was<br />

larger when <strong>adalimumab</strong> was given with<br />

methotrexate.<br />

The pooled risk <strong>of</strong> malignancies for <strong>adalimumab</strong><br />

compared with placebo approached statistical<br />

significance in <strong>the</strong> meta-analysis. Malignancies<br />

were also observed more frequently in infliximabtreated<br />

patients in placebo-controlled trials. While<br />

<strong>the</strong>se findings were based on a small number <strong>of</strong><br />

cases and do not appear to be supported by<br />

observational studies, continuous vigilance<br />

regarding this potential adverse effect is<br />

warranted. Observational studies published to date<br />

have compared <strong>the</strong> incidence <strong>of</strong> malignancies for<br />

TNF inhibitor-treated patients with ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

incidence observed in general population or that<br />

observed in cohorts <strong>of</strong> RA patients. Comparisons<br />

have ignored <strong>the</strong> well-known ‘healthy patient’<br />

effect <strong>of</strong> trials and, indeed, patients who entered<br />

trials <strong>of</strong> TNF inhibitors or who received TNF<br />

treatment in practice were a subgroup <strong>of</strong> RA<br />

patients in which patients with risk factors<br />

associated with malignancies (such as past history<br />

<strong>of</strong> malignancy; chronic obstructive pulmonary<br />

disease, viral hepatitis and HIV infection) were<br />

excluded. The patients who received TNF<br />

inhibitors in observational studies were <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

likely to have a lower risk <strong>of</strong> malignancies (with<br />

<strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> lymphoma) compared with<br />

general population or general RA population.<br />

Future observational studies should attempt to<br />

adjust for such potential confounding.<br />

TNF inhibitor plus methotrexate versus<br />

methotrexate<br />

Four trials 102,127,135,141 compared <strong>the</strong> combination<br />

<strong>of</strong> a TNF inhibitor plus methotrexate with<br />

methotrexate alone in patients naïve to<br />

methotrexate or patients who did not have a<br />

history <strong>of</strong> treatment failure with methotrexate.<br />

The combinations were significantly more effective<br />

than methotrexate alone for all three TNF

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