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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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TABLE 67 Sensitivity analyses: TNF inhibitors in third place, late RA values<br />

© Queen’s Printer and Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO 2006. All rights reserved.<br />

Health Technology Assessment 2006; Vol. 10: No. 42<br />

Scenario Adal – Base Etan – Base Adal+MTX – Etan+MTX – Infl+MTX –<br />

Base Base Base<br />

Base case 141,000 47,400 64,400 49,800 139,000<br />

No HAQ progression on TNF inhibitors 41,500 24,400 30,200 24,600 39,400<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all DMARDs 535,000 68,500 101,000 69,600 462,000<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all treatments Base 90,200 150,000 93,300 Base<br />

Fast HAQ progression on all treatments Base 95,400 147,000 96,100 Base<br />

No effect <strong>of</strong> HAQ on mortality 97,700 43,300 53,800 43,900 92,900<br />

Mortality ratio 2.73 per unit HAQ 680,000 53,000 84,400 53,400 329,000<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

58,400 31,200 40,500 31,600 56,900<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

Base 87,500 136,000 90,700 Base<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

66,700 34,200 42,300 35,000 61,900<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

324,000 57,900 84,600 59,700 246,000<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors down 50% 120,000 46,400 62,300 46,600 124,000<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors up 50% 149,000 47,700 63,200 48,900 130,000<br />

Review at 12 weeks 145,000 47,000 62,800 48,200 125,000<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

down 50%<br />

134,000 45,800 64,200 48,800 115,000<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

up 50%<br />

151,000 47,100 59,400 48,100 135,000<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs down 50%<br />

165,000 48,900 60,700 48,700 132,000<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs up 50%<br />

99,200 42,800 55,600 43,800 94,600<br />

Include <strong>of</strong>fset costs 135,000 45,400 60,300 46,600 116,000<br />

Base: baseline option dominates option with TNF inhibitor.<br />

111

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