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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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110<br />

Health economics<br />

TABLE 66 Sensitivity analyses: TNF inhibitors in third place, early RA values<br />

Scenario Adal – Base Etan – Base Adal+MTX – Etan+MTX – Infl+MTX –<br />

Base Base Base<br />

Base case 34,600 30,400 30,200 28,500 30,400<br />

No HAQ progression on TNF inhibitors 21,200 18,700 19,100 17,800 19,500<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all DMARDs 43,000 38,800 36,300 36,000 39,000<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all treatments 54,600 45,600 43,200 42,000 45,300<br />

Fast HAQ progression on all treatments 49,400 45,200 40,500 41,000 42,100<br />

No effect <strong>of</strong> HAQ on mortality 32,200 29,200 28,400 27,400 29,200<br />

Mortality ratio 2.73 per unit HAQ 36,100 31,400 31,000 29,400 31,200<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

26,600 22,600 23,100 22,100 24,300<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

49,600 43,400 40,200 39,000 41,300<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

27,800 24,900 25,100 23,800 25,200<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

39,200 34,400 34,300 33,400 34,300<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors down 50% 36,700 32,000 32,200 29,600 33,400<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors up 50% 33,200 29,800 28,200 27,700 28,800<br />

Review at 12 weeks 33,700 30,400 29,700 28,500 30,300<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

down 50%<br />

35,300 30,800 30,700 29,000 31,300<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

up 50%<br />

33,800 30,500 29,200 28,300 30,200<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs down 50%<br />

34,100 30,800 29,900 28,300 30,900<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs up 50%<br />

32,500 29,100 28,600 27,300 28,900<br />

Include <strong>of</strong>fset costs 32,400 28,900 28,100 27,100 28,400

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