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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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86<br />

Health economics<br />

TABLE 30 Base-case cost-<strong>effectiveness</strong> results (Schering-Plough)<br />

Population Incremental cost (£) Incremental QALYs ICER<br />

MTX experienced (ATTRACT) 17,370 2.79 6,228<br />

MTX-naïve (ASPIRE) 23,808 1.42 16,766<br />

MTX-naïve with high CRP (ASPIRE) a 23,926 1.84 13,000<br />

a Represent early progressive RA.<br />

stabilisation. ACR20 was used for <strong>the</strong> stopping<br />

rules in this analysis; however, <strong>the</strong> stopping rule<br />

recommended by NICE stipulates use <strong>of</strong> DAS28<br />

scores only. Although <strong>the</strong> two are related, it is<br />

not clear that ACR20 can substitute for DAS28<br />

changes in practice. Assumptions concerning<br />

<strong>the</strong> duration <strong>of</strong> radiographic benefit were shown<br />

to be a possible driver <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost-<strong>effectiveness</strong><br />

results.<br />

Clinical advice recommended that strategies<br />

where dose escalation with infliximab occurred<br />

should be excluded owing to greatly increased<br />

cost while adding very little benefit. The analysis<br />

in this report also does not consider dose<br />

escalation, <strong>the</strong>refore <strong>the</strong> ICERs reported for<br />

infliximab will underestimate drug costs. In<br />

reality, dose escalation is common and ideally<br />

should be incorporated in cost-<strong>effectiveness</strong><br />

analyses.<br />

Summary <strong>of</strong> industry submissions<br />

● The submission by Wyeth suggests that<br />

etanercept is highly cost-effective.<br />

● The submission by Schering-Plough suggests<br />

that infliximab is highly cost-effective.<br />

● The submission by Abbott suggests that<br />

<strong>adalimumab</strong> is highly cost-effective.<br />

● All three submissions report a model-based<br />

cost–utility analysis with a lifetime horizon, and<br />

all three have undertaken extensive sensitivity<br />

analyses. The results <strong>of</strong> all sensitivity analyses<br />

broadly support <strong>the</strong> base-case findings <strong>of</strong><br />

TABLE 31 TNF inhibitors in late and early RA<br />

support for <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new <strong>the</strong>rapy/product<br />

in question.<br />

● Two <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three submissions (those from Wyeth<br />

and Abbott Laboratories) have considered drug<br />

sequences and <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new <strong>the</strong>rapy as<br />

part <strong>of</strong> an existing sequence.<br />

Economic analysis used in this<br />

report<br />

Summary <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Birmingham economic<br />

evaluation<br />

A simulation model, which considered<br />

improvements in quality <strong>of</strong> life and mortality, but<br />

assumed no effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> TNF inhibitors on <strong>the</strong><br />

need for joint replacement, was used.<br />

For use in accordance with current NICE<br />

guidance, as <strong>the</strong> third DMARD in a sequence <strong>of</strong><br />

DMARDs, <strong>the</strong> base-case ICER depended on<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> <strong>effectiveness</strong> data were taken from<br />

early RA or late RA patients, as shown in Table 31<br />

(in clinical practice <strong>the</strong>re will be a mixture <strong>of</strong><br />

both). Sensitivity analyses showed that <strong>the</strong> results<br />

were most sensitive to figures for HAQ progression<br />

on TNF inhibitors and <strong>the</strong> <strong>effectiveness</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

DMARDs, but not particularly sensitive to changes<br />

in mortality ratios used per unit HAQ.<br />

When TNF inhibitors were used as <strong>the</strong> last active<br />

<strong>the</strong>rapy, <strong>the</strong> equivalent results were as shown in<br />

Table 32.<br />

Cost per QALY (£) Sensitivity analyses:<br />

late RA data (early RA data) (£)<br />

TNF inhibitor Comparator Late RA Early RA Lowest Highest<br />

Adal (no MTX) Base strategy <strong>of</strong> 141,000 35,000 41,000 (21,000) Dominated (55,000)<br />

Etan (no MTX) DMARDs with no 47,000 30,000 24,000 (19,000) 95,000 (46,000)<br />

Adal (with MTX) TNF inhibitors 64,000 30,000 30,000 (19,000) 150,000 (43,000)<br />

Etan (with MTX) 50,000 29,000 25,000 (18,000) 96,000 (42,000)<br />

Infl (with MTX) 139,000 30,000 39,000 (19,000) Dominated (45,000)

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