Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A)
Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A)
Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A)
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<strong>KCE</strong> <strong>reports</strong> vol.45 Screen<strong>in</strong>g for Colorectal Cancer 41<br />
risk of CRC was 1/23 <strong>in</strong> men and 1/40 <strong>in</strong> women. In males, 0,5% <strong>in</strong> the 55 - 59<br />
age group and 4,5% <strong>in</strong> the 70 - 74 age group developped a CRC. The<br />
correspond<strong>in</strong>g values <strong>in</strong> females were 0,4% and 2,5%. The cumulative risk at age<br />
74 varied between 7,7% (one family member affected) and 25,6% (two affected)<br />
<strong>in</strong> males, and 4,3% and 14,3% respectively <strong>in</strong> females. The risk <strong>in</strong> the 40 - 44<br />
year age group for <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>with</strong> one first degree relative affected before 45<br />
years of age was 0,5%, similar to that of those aged 45 - 49 <strong>with</strong> one first<br />
degree relative affected <strong>with</strong> a colorectal cancer or a large adenoma (> 1 cm).<br />
The study results suggested that screen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the general population should<br />
start at 50 or 55. In <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>with</strong> one affected first degree relative before age<br />
45, or <strong>with</strong> at least two affected first degree relatives, the lifetime risk appeared<br />
high enough (over 10%) to warrant colonoscopic screen<strong>in</strong>g and relatives of<br />
these patients should enter screen<strong>in</strong>g programs at age 40 to 44.<br />
Family history as a risk factor for colorectal cancer <strong>in</strong> Inflammatory Bowel<br />
Disease (IBD) was studied <strong>in</strong> a population-based cohort study of 19.876<br />
<strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>with</strong> ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease born between 1941 and<br />
1995 137. Familial CRC was associated <strong>with</strong> a more than 2-fold risk of CRC (RR<br />
= 2,5, 95% CI: 1,4 - 4,4) and an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> absolute risk (AR) of CRC at 54<br />
years from 3,8% to 6,9%. Patients <strong>with</strong> a first-degree relative diagnosed <strong>with</strong><br />
CRC before 50 years of age had a higher RR (9,2, 95% CI: 3,7 - 23) and the<br />
highest AR (29%). No association <strong>with</strong> familial IBD was observed.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ally, a retrospective analysis of the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results<br />
(SEER) program database for the period 1974 through 1995 identified 101.734<br />
white and African-American women, age 25 yr, <strong>with</strong> prior cervical,<br />
endometrial, or ovarian cancer 141. Subsequent follow-up demonstrated no<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased risk of colorectal cancer <strong>in</strong> women <strong>with</strong> cervical cancer. For<br />
endometrial cancer patients, <strong>in</strong>creased risk of colorectal cancer was conf<strong>in</strong>ed to<br />
women whose diagnosis of endometrial cancer was before age 50, but the<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased risk was substantial <strong>in</strong> this group (RR 3,39; 95% CI: 2,73 - 4,17). For<br />
ovarian cancer patients, <strong>in</strong>creased risk for colorectal cancer was substantial for<br />
those diagnosed <strong>with</strong> ovarian cancer before age 50 (RR 3,67; 95% CI: 2,74 -<br />
4,80), and there was some <strong>in</strong>creased risk for women diagnosed at ages 50 - 64<br />
yr (RR 1,52; 95% CI: 1,25 - 1,83).<br />
3.3.4 Systematic reviews <strong>with</strong> meta-analysis<br />
Some of the retrieved publications were based on systematic reviews of the<br />
literature <strong>with</strong> meta-analysis146, 147, 48, 114, 148, 47.<br />
The Web published NCI Colorectal Cancer (pDQ) Genetics update 47 recalls<br />
the estimated relative and absolute risks of develop<strong>in</strong>g CRC based on a<br />
systematic review and meta-analysis of familial colorectal cancer risk by Johns &<br />
Houlston 146, published <strong>in</strong> 2001 (Table 7).