Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A)
Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A) Report in English with a Dutch summary (KCE reports 45A)
110 Screening for Colorectal Cancer KCE reports vol.45 persons per screening round and were included as a mark-up of 2,55 (19,65DKK) per invitation, corresponding to the calculated mark-up at the fourth screening round in the Danish study (Gyrd-Hansen, 1998, 1999). Flanagan used a sample of approximately 7 million people in the simulation, and included a cost for head office, satellite and promotion of 10.500.000 21.000.000 per year. In the Australian study 502, with a population of 18 million people, infrastructure costs amount 4.740.000 (AUD7.900.000). Lejeune mentions organizational costs of 1,26 per target individual. Treatment costs are a following cost component. Several studies took into account the cost differences according to the stage of colorectal cancer. In the study of Helm, costs attributable to treatment of colorectal cancer from diagnosis until death or 15 years were assumed to be about 38.150 ($48.300) for Dukes stage A and B, 53.300 ($67.500) for stage C, and 46.850 ($59.300) for stage D. In the Australian study this was 8400 (AUD14.000) for stage A and B, 13.200 (AUD22.000) for stage C, and 11.400 (AUD19.000) for stage D. In the French study, treatment costs were 17.579 k , 21.858, 31.110, and 17.384 for respectively stage I to IV colorectal cancer (see chapter on epidemiology for details about staging of colorectal tumors). Gyrd-Hansen (1998, 1999) made the opposite reasoning. Cost savings of 15.470 (119.000DKK) were taken into account for patients who did not develop a cancer as a result of screening. For patients who would develop cancer with or without the screening program, they argue trial evidence has shown that treatment costs of screen-detected cancers do not differ significantly from the treatment costs of symptomatic cancers 511-513. Since the introduction of screening programs has no effect on the costs of treatment for these patients, these could be left out of the analysis. The treatment of screendetected cancers would only incur a cost because it takes place earlier in time. The lead time, however, which is estimated at 2,1 years 514, makes this effect minimal. For cancers avoided, the cost of a hospital day on the surgical ward was estimated at 552,5 (4250DKK) and the average number of bed-days was 28 for a cancer patient. Another important cost component, often forgotten in economic evaluations, are those caused by complications. Flanagan modelled complications associated with colonoscopy, i.e. perforation (0,17%), hemorrhage (0,03%) and death (0,02%) 515. However, no costs associated with the first two side-effects were mentioned. Only the Australian study by Stone explicitly mentioned a cost of 9000 (AUD15.000) per perforation. Cost-effectiveness ratios The estimated incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of FOBT screening versus no screening lies in the range of 1975 per life-year saved (study of Helm et al. relying on the Nottingham trial) and 30.000 per disability adjusted life year (the study of Stone et al. for a target population of 45-49 years). All evaluated screening programs therefore, seem to be cost-effective health care interventions using commonly accepted threshold ranges for ICERs. The study of Whynes (1998, 1999) estimated that based on the median eightyear follow-up of the Nottingham trial, cost per QALY gained as a result of k For treating stage A colorectal cancer a cost of 15.579 was mentioned in the article, probably due to a typing mistake. Since the confidence interval mentioned by Berchi was 14.063 - 21.095 and mean estimate 17.579, the latter was probably the correct amount.
KCE reports vol.45 Screening for Colorectal Cancer 111 CRC screening using hemoccult was approximately 8470 (£5685) for males and 7380 (£4951) for females. Longer-term simulations, which relied on modelling, estimated these costs at approximately 3050 (£2047) per QALY gained for males and 2040 (£1371) per QALY gained for females. Screening in women was more cost-effective than screening of men mainly due to the longer life expectancy. Gyrd-Hansen analysed alternative programs depending on combinations of different target populations, i.e. inviting different age groups, and screening intervals. Fifty-four of the 60 programs were found to be inefficient as being subject to extended dominance. The estimated incremental costs per life-year gained of the identified programs lying on the efficiency frontier ranged from 2210 to 5525 (17.000 42.500DKK). The six most efficient programs evaluated included biennial screening of 65-74 year olds, of 60-74 year-olds, and of 55-74 year olds; screening 55-74 year olds every 1,5 years; and annual screening of 55-74 year-olds and 50-74 year-olds. The highest incremental cost occurred when expanding the program from screening the 55 74 year olds every year to include also the 50 54 year olds in the program. Helm estimated costs per life year saved to be on average approximately 16.195 ($20.500) for screening based on the Minnesota protocol, 2150 ($2700) for screening based on the Funen-1 protocol, and 1975 ($2500) for screening based on the Nottingham protocol. The high estimate for the Minnesota-based result was probably explained by the smaller survival benefit associated with the trial s healthy volunteer recruitment and the practice of FOBT rehydration, which increased the number of false positive results and generated substantial numbers of unnecessary endoscopic investigations. The Canadian study 498 estimated the incremental cost per life year saved due to FOBT screening, compared with no screening, at 8335 (CAD11.907). The most recent study of Whynes and colleagues (2004) was in line with previous long-term simulations (see above). A screening program based on the Nottingham trial protocol was estimated to have an incremental costeffectiveness ratio of 2360 (£1584) (Whynes, 2004). The Australian study 502 estimated net cost per DALY at 7200 (AUD12.000) for a target population of individuals aged 55-69 years. This cost per DALY was lower for older age groups, i.e. 3180 (AUD5300) and 3980 (AUD6600) for respectively 70-74 and 75+ year olds, and higher for younger persons, i.e. 14.400 (AUD24.000) and 30.000 (AUD50.000) for respectively 50-54 and 45-49 year old persons. Finally, the French study of Lejeune estimated the incremental cost per life year gained at 4705 when calculated over a 10-year period and 3357 when this period was extended to 20 years. Sensitivity analysis Robustness of results is checked through sensitivity analysis. In several studies, cost items, discount rates, screening intervals, age, compliance, sensitivity and specificity of the screening tests, survival, and complications were varied to see how results could be influenced. All but one (Stone) only performed one waysensitivity analysis. Helm only performed sensitivity analysis on costs derived from the 10 th and 90 th percentile of charges. The ICER was found to vary within about 50% of the base values. Costs per life year saved ranged from approximately 9000 to 25.675 (baseline 16.195) for screening based on the Minnesota protocol, 1250 to
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<strong>KCE</strong> <strong>reports</strong> vol.45 Screen<strong>in</strong>g for Colorectal Cancer 111<br />
CRC screen<strong>in</strong>g us<strong>in</strong>g hemoccult was approximately 8470 (£5685) for males<br />
and 7380 (£4951) for females. Longer-term simulations, which relied on<br />
modell<strong>in</strong>g, estimated these costs at approximately 3050 (£2047) per QALY<br />
ga<strong>in</strong>ed for males and 2040 (£1371) per QALY ga<strong>in</strong>ed for females. Screen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
women was more cost-effective than screen<strong>in</strong>g of men ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to the longer<br />
life expectancy.<br />
Gyrd-Hansen analysed alternative programs depend<strong>in</strong>g on comb<strong>in</strong>ations of<br />
different target populations, i.e. <strong>in</strong>vit<strong>in</strong>g different age groups, and screen<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>tervals. Fifty-four of the 60 programs were found to be <strong>in</strong>efficient as be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
subject to extended dom<strong>in</strong>ance. The estimated <strong>in</strong>cremental costs per life-year<br />
ga<strong>in</strong>ed of the identified programs ly<strong>in</strong>g on the efficiency frontier ranged from<br />
2210 to 5525 (17.000 42.500DKK). The six most efficient programs<br />
evaluated <strong>in</strong>cluded biennial screen<strong>in</strong>g of 65-74 year olds, of 60-74 year-olds, and<br />
of 55-74 year olds; screen<strong>in</strong>g 55-74 year olds every 1,5 years; and annual<br />
screen<strong>in</strong>g of 55-74 year-olds and 50-74 year-olds. The highest <strong>in</strong>cremental cost<br />
occurred when expand<strong>in</strong>g the program from screen<strong>in</strong>g the 55 74 year olds<br />
every year to <strong>in</strong>clude also the 50 54 year olds <strong>in</strong> the program.<br />
Helm estimated costs per life year saved to be on average approximately<br />
16.195 ($20.500) for screen<strong>in</strong>g based on the M<strong>in</strong>nesota protocol, 2150<br />
($2700) for screen<strong>in</strong>g based on the Funen-1 protocol, and 1975 ($2500) for<br />
screen<strong>in</strong>g based on the Nott<strong>in</strong>gham protocol. The high estimate for the<br />
M<strong>in</strong>nesota-based result was probably expla<strong>in</strong>ed by the smaller survival benefit<br />
associated <strong>with</strong> the trial s healthy volunteer recruitment and the practice of<br />
FOBT rehydration, which <strong>in</strong>creased the number of false positive results and<br />
generated substantial numbers of unnecessary endoscopic <strong>in</strong>vestigations.<br />
The Canadian study 498 estimated the <strong>in</strong>cremental cost per life year saved due to<br />
FOBT screen<strong>in</strong>g, compared <strong>with</strong> no screen<strong>in</strong>g, at 8335 (CAD11.907). The<br />
most recent study of Whynes and colleagues (2004) was <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>with</strong> previous<br />
long-term simulations (see above). A screen<strong>in</strong>g program based on the<br />
Nott<strong>in</strong>gham trial protocol was estimated to have an <strong>in</strong>cremental costeffectiveness<br />
ratio of 2360 (£1584) (Whynes, 2004).<br />
The Australian study 502 estimated net cost per DALY at 7200 (AUD12.000)<br />
for a target population of <strong>in</strong>dividuals aged 55-69 years. This cost per DALY was<br />
lower for older age groups, i.e. 3180 (AUD5300) and 3980 (AUD6600) for<br />
respectively 70-74 and 75+ year olds, and higher for younger persons, i.e.<br />
14.400 (AUD24.000) and 30.000 (AUD50.000) for respectively 50-54 and<br />
45-49 year old persons.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ally, the French study of Lejeune estimated the <strong>in</strong>cremental cost per life year<br />
ga<strong>in</strong>ed at 4705 when calculated over a 10-year period and 3357 when this<br />
period was extended to 20 years.<br />
Sensitivity analysis<br />
Robustness of results is checked through sensitivity analysis. In several studies,<br />
cost items, discount rates, screen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tervals, age, compliance, sensitivity and<br />
specificity of the screen<strong>in</strong>g tests, survival, and complications were varied to see<br />
how results could be <strong>in</strong>fluenced. All but one (Stone) only performed one waysensitivity<br />
analysis.<br />
Helm only performed sensitivity analysis on costs derived from the 10 th and 90 th<br />
percentile of charges. The ICER was found to vary <strong>with</strong><strong>in</strong> about 50% of the base<br />
values. Costs per life year saved ranged from approximately 9000 to 25.675<br />
(basel<strong>in</strong>e 16.195) for screen<strong>in</strong>g based on the M<strong>in</strong>nesota protocol, 1250 to