Achieving a low carbon future - IUCN
Achieving a low carbon future - IUCN
Achieving a low carbon future - IUCN
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A LOW CARBON FUTURE<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Mapping biodiversity’s role<br />
Sue Mainka, <strong>IUCN</strong><br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Projected Carbon Future<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Climate change and biodiversity<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Species<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Climate change and biodiversity<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Ecosystems<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Climate change and biodiversity<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Source: Dai, Wiley<br />
Review, 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Climate change and biodiversity<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Ecosystem<br />
services<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Climate change and biodiversity<br />
Trophic mismatches<br />
– caribou calving and forage<br />
Post et al., Phil Trans Roy Soc B, 2008<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Post<br />
-Different scales of response<br />
-Tipping points and thresholds<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Where<br />
are we<br />
now?<br />
www.co2now.org<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
386 ppm 450 ppm 750 ppm<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
What do<br />
temp<br />
increases<br />
mean?<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
<strong>Achieving</strong> a <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong><br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
• Mitigation<br />
through<br />
decreased<br />
emissions<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
<strong>Achieving</strong> a <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong><br />
• Mitigation<br />
through <strong>carbon</strong><br />
sequestration<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
Source: Canadell, PNAS 2007<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
But our<br />
sequestration<br />
potential is<br />
decreasing as<br />
CO2 increases.<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
<strong>Achieving</strong> a <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong><br />
Ecosystem-based Adaptation (a <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> mechanism)<br />
Physical infrastructure Ecosystem-based adaptation<br />
Long term startup and impacts Can be implemented quickly<br />
limited flexibility should<br />
conditions change<br />
Often requires significant<br />
technology and training<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Adaptation to changing conditions<br />
can be quick<br />
Usually uses techniques already<br />
known and understood by local<br />
people<br />
Often high investment costs Relatively <strong>low</strong> initial investments<br />
Scalability? Easily scalable<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
<strong>Achieving</strong> a <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong><br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Changing people’s<br />
behaviour<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
A <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong> - opportunities<br />
The potential of new<br />
energy sources and<br />
technology<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature<br />
Photo: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/06/070618134342.htm, June 2007
A <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong> = a resilient <strong>future</strong><br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Diversity Governance<br />
Sustainable infrastructure/<br />
technologies<br />
Resilience<br />
Learning<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
A <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong> – what now?<br />
<strong>IUCN</strong>’s approach in the coming years<br />
– Continue to explore all energy options and their<br />
impact on biodiversity<br />
– Support development of tools and guidelines to<br />
implement ecosystem-based adaptation that are<br />
relevant to all sectors<br />
– Support industry in their efforts to improve<br />
environmental performance<br />
– Support <strong>IUCN</strong> members, governments and civil<br />
society with their <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> development strategies<br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature
A <strong>low</strong> <strong>carbon</strong> <strong>future</strong><br />
Shell Steering Committee, November 2010<br />
Thank you for your attention.<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature