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Table IX.C.1-1<br />

Fossil fuel impacts <strong>of</strong> increased use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels in the<br />

transportation sector in 2012, relative to the 2012 reference case<br />

RFS Required Projected Volume:<br />

volume: 7.5 Bgal 9.9 Bgal<br />

Reduction (quadrillion Btu) 0.2 0.3<br />

Percent reduction 0.5 % 0.8 %<br />

Table IX.C.1-2<br />

Petroleum impacts <strong>of</strong> increased use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels in the<br />

transportation sector in 2012, relative to the 2012 reference case<br />

RFS Required Projected Volume:<br />

volume: 7.5 Bgal 9.9 Bgal<br />

Reduction (billion gal) 2.3 3.9<br />

Percent reduction 1.0 % 1.6 %<br />

2. Greenhouse Gases And Carbon Dioxide<br />

One issue that has come to the forefront in the assessment <strong>of</strong> the environmental<br />

impacts <strong>of</strong> transportation fuels relates to the effect that the use <strong>of</strong> such fuels could have<br />

on emissions <strong>of</strong> greenhouse gases (GHGs). The combustion <strong>of</strong> fossil fuels has been<br />

identified as a major contributor to the increase in concentrations <strong>of</strong> atmospheric carbon<br />

dioxide (CO2) since the beginning <strong>of</strong> the industrialized era, as well as the build-up <strong>of</strong><br />

trace GHGs such as methane (CH4) <strong>and</strong> nitrous oxide (N2O). This lifecycle analysis<br />

evaluates the impacts <strong>of</strong> renewable fuel use on greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

The relative global warming contribution <strong>of</strong> emissions <strong>of</strong> various greenhouse<br />

gases is dependant on their radiative forcing, atmospheric lifetime, <strong>and</strong> other<br />

considerations. For example, on a mass basis, the radiative forcing <strong>of</strong> CH4 is much<br />

higher than that <strong>of</strong> CO2, but its effective atmospheric residence time is much lower. The<br />

relative warming impacts <strong>of</strong> various greenhouse gases, taking into account factors such as<br />

atmospheric lifetime <strong>and</strong> direct warming effects, are reported on a ‘CO2-equivalent’ basis<br />

as global warming potentials (GWPs). The GWPs used by GREET were developed by<br />

the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as listed in their Third<br />

Assessment Report 95 , <strong>and</strong> are shown in Table IX.C.2-1.<br />

95 IPCC “Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis”, Chapter 6; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate<br />

Change; J.T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, C.A. Johnson, <strong>and</strong><br />

K. Maskell, eds.; Cambridge University Press. Cambridge, U.K. 2001.<br />

http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/index.htm<br />

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