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Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard ...

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intended to help fuel producers estimate the lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> fossil<br />

energy use for all stages in the development <strong>of</strong> their specific fuel. EPA will evaluate<br />

whether the FUEL-CO2 model would be an appropriate tool for fuel providers who wish<br />

to demonstrate their actual reductions in greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> fossil energy use.<br />

This may also be the best way for ethanol producers to quantify the benefits <strong>of</strong> their<br />

renewable process energy use when qualifying corn ethanol as cellulosic biomass ethanol<br />

(an option for ethanol producers, stipulated in the Act).<br />

1. Modifications To GREET Assumptions<br />

GREET is subject to periodic updates by ANL, each <strong>of</strong> which results in some<br />

changes to the inputs <strong>and</strong> assumptions that form the basis for the lifecycle estimates <strong>of</strong><br />

emissions generated <strong>and</strong> energy consumed. These updates generally focus on those input<br />

values for those fuels or vehicle technologies that are the focus <strong>of</strong> ANL at the time. As a<br />

result there are a variety <strong>of</strong> other inputs related to ethanol <strong>and</strong> biodiesel that have not<br />

been updated in some time. In the context <strong>of</strong> the RFS program, we determined that some<br />

<strong>of</strong> the GREET input values that were either based on outdated information or did not<br />

appropriately reflect market conditions under a renewable fuels m<strong>and</strong>ate should be<br />

examined more closely, <strong>and</strong> updated if necessary.<br />

In the timeframe available for developing this proposal, we chose to concentrate<br />

our efforts on those GREET input values for ethanol that had significant influence on the<br />

lifecycle emissions or energy estimates <strong>and</strong> that were likely to be based on outdated<br />

information. We reviewed the input values only for ethanol made from corn, since this<br />

particular renewable fuel is likely to continue to dominate the renewable fuel pool<br />

through at least 2012. For cellulosic ethanol <strong>and</strong> biodiesel the GREET default values<br />

were used in this proposal. However, we have also initiated a contract with ANL to<br />

investigate a wider variety <strong>of</strong> GREET input values, including those associated with the<br />

following fuel/feedstock pathways:<br />

• Ethanol from corn<br />

• Ethanol from cellulosic materials (hybrid populars, switchgrass, <strong>and</strong> corn stover)<br />

• Biodiesel from soybean oil<br />

• Methanol from renewable sources<br />

• Natural gas from renewable sources<br />

• <strong>Renewable</strong> diesel formulations<br />

The contract focuses on the potential fuel production developments <strong>and</strong> efficiency<br />

improvements that could occur within the time-frame <strong>of</strong> the RFS program. The GREET<br />

input value changes resulting from this work are projected to be available in the fall <strong>of</strong><br />

2006, not in time for this proposal, but they will be incorporated into revised lifecycle<br />

assessments for the final rule.<br />

We did not investigate the input values associated with the production <strong>of</strong><br />

petroleum-based gasoline or diesel fuel in the GREET model for this proposal. However,<br />

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