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Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard ...

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Table VIII.A.1.b-1<br />

Effect <strong>of</strong> RFG on Per Mile Emissions from Tier 0 Vehicles<br />

Relative to a Typical 9psi RVP Conventional Gasoline a<br />

Pollutant Source Non-Oxy<br />

RFG<br />

11 Volume<br />

Percent MTBE<br />

10 Volume<br />

Percent Ethanol<br />

VOC EPA Predictive<br />

Exhaust Emissions<br />

-7.7% -11.1% -12.9%<br />

NOx<br />

Models -1.7% 2.4% 6.3%<br />

CO MOBILE6.2 -24% -28% -32%<br />

Exhaust EPA Predictive -18% -30% -35%<br />

Benzene <strong>and</strong> Complex<br />

Formaldehyde Models<br />

7% 11% 2%<br />

Acetaldehyde 7% -8% 143%<br />

1,3-Butadiene<br />

22% 2% -7%<br />

Non-Exhaust Emissions<br />

VOC MOBILE6.2 &<br />

CRC E-65<br />

-30% -30% -18%<br />

Benzene MOBILE6.2 &<br />

Complex Models<br />

-5% -15% -7%<br />

a<br />

Average per vehicle effects for the 2012 fleet during summer conditions<br />

As can be seen, the oxygenated RFG blends are predicted to produce a greater reduction<br />

in exhaust VOC <strong>and</strong> CO emissions than 9 RVP conventional gasoline, but a larger<br />

increase in NOx emissions. This comparison assumes that all gasoline meets EPA’s Tier<br />

2 gasoline sulfur st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>of</strong> 30 ppm. Prior to this program, RFG contained less sulfur<br />

than conventional gasoline <strong>and</strong> produced less NOx emissions. Non-exhaust VOC<br />

emissions with the exception <strong>of</strong> permeation are roughly the same due to the fact that the<br />

RVP level <strong>of</strong> the three blends is the same. However, the increased permeation emissions<br />

associated with ethanol reduces the overall effectiveness <strong>of</strong> ethanol RFG.<br />

An increase in ethanol use will also impact emissions <strong>of</strong> air toxics. We evaluated<br />

effects on four air toxics affected by fuel parameter changes in the Complex Model –<br />

benzene, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde <strong>and</strong> 1,3-butadiene. The most notable effect on<br />

toxic emissions in percentage terms is the increase in acetaldehyde with the use <strong>of</strong><br />

ethanol. Acetaldehyde emissions more than double. However, as will be seen below,<br />

base acetaldehyde emissions are low relative to the other toxics. Thus, the absolute<br />

increase in total emissions <strong>of</strong> these four air toxics is still relatively low.<br />

Table VIII.A.1.b-2 presents the effect <strong>of</strong> blending either MTBE or ethanol into<br />

conventional gasoline while matching octane.<br />

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