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CDC History of Tuberculosis Control - Medical and Public Health ...

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(If annual incidence rates rather than case<br />

numbers had been presented, the trends would<br />

have been the same).<br />

Here is my explanation for the trends shown<br />

in the figure. At the national level, we are now<br />

reaping the harvest <strong>of</strong> reinvesting in good TB<br />

control. We have secured the necessary<br />

funding <strong>and</strong> have applied those funds<br />

strategically throughout the country to<br />

strengthen surveillance <strong>and</strong> case finding, to<br />

exp<strong>and</strong> directly observed therapy for TB cases<br />

in order to increase completion rates <strong>and</strong><br />

reduce acquired drug resistance, <strong>and</strong> to stop<br />

nosocomial transmission <strong>and</strong> other pockets <strong>of</strong><br />

current transmission <strong>of</strong> TB.<br />

Speaking in terms <strong>of</strong> a theory <strong>of</strong> TB control,<br />

our investment has allowed us to regain the<br />

ground that was lost during the resurgence by<br />

applying to their best advantage our current<br />

tools (this fact was noted in a JAMA editorial<br />

written in 1997 by Drs. Bess Miller <strong>and</strong> Ken<br />

Castro <strong>of</strong> the Division <strong>of</strong> TB Elimination). In<br />

that sense, the drop in cases <strong>and</strong> case rates<br />

nationally represent a reduction in “excess<br />

morbidity” that arose during the time when<br />

the national infrastructure was weakened in<br />

relation to the strength <strong>of</strong> the dual epidemics<br />

<strong>of</strong> TB <strong>and</strong> HIV, increased immigration from<br />

high-prevalence areas, <strong>and</strong> person-to-person<br />

transmission <strong>of</strong> TB, including nosocomial<br />

transmission.<br />

Some places such as Seattle, however, did not<br />

experience the full power <strong>of</strong> the TB<br />

resurgence. For example, we were only<br />

modestly impacted by the HIV/TB<br />

phenomenon, with rapid person-to-person<br />

spread <strong>of</strong> disease, <strong>and</strong> MDR TB. Our<br />

infrastructure had not been dismantled, <strong>and</strong><br />

we experienced less excess morbidity in those<br />

bad days. In the decade <strong>of</strong> the 1990s, however,<br />

even though we believe we have a good<br />

program structure, a talented staff, <strong>and</strong><br />

funding sufficient to allow us to do good TB<br />

control work, we have failed to effect a<br />

meaningful reduction in TB morbidity in our<br />

TB <strong>Control</strong> at the Millennium<br />

38<br />

community. In other words, we appear to<br />

have reached an equilibrium with our target<br />

disease, given its current epidemiological<br />

pattern in our community. This experience is<br />

the basis for my suggestion that it is possible<br />

that the nation as a whole will also reach such<br />

an equilibrium point, once its excess TB<br />

morbidity has been “mopped up.” When that<br />

point may be reached, <strong>and</strong> at what level <strong>of</strong><br />

morbidity, I <strong>of</strong> course cannot say.<br />

I don’t want to leave the impression that we<br />

have passively accepted the current status quo<br />

in Seattle. We are aggressively attempting to<br />

disrupt the equilibrium between TB <strong>and</strong> TB<br />

control by learning more about the<br />

epidemiology <strong>of</strong> TB in our community <strong>and</strong> by<br />

increasing the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> our communitybased<br />

TB control plan. For example, in our<br />

community, persons born outside the US<br />

account for 70%-75% <strong>of</strong> cases, <strong>and</strong> RFLP<br />

survey data suggest that nearly all <strong>of</strong> our cases<br />

in foreign-born persons arise through<br />

reactivation <strong>of</strong> latent infection, including<br />

persons who have received preventive therapy.<br />

This information suggests that we need to<br />

exp<strong>and</strong> treatment <strong>of</strong> latent TB infection in<br />

high-risk foreign-born persons; to accomplish<br />

that, we have established a Preventive Therapy<br />

Partnership Program with a number <strong>of</strong> health<br />

care facilities that provide primary health care<br />

to high-risk foreign-born persons. Also, given<br />

that we regularly see TB occur in foreign-born<br />

persons who have received preventive therapy<br />

in the past, we are reevaluating the traditional<br />

approach to preventive therapy, <strong>and</strong> have<br />

secured funding to develop new approaches to<br />

increase the uptake <strong>and</strong> completion <strong>of</strong><br />

preventive therapy by newly-arrived<br />

immigrants <strong>and</strong> refugees.<br />

Should the nation encounter such a “mud<br />

hole” in the road to TB elimination, similar<br />

strategies will be required to move beyond it.<br />

ACET, in its recent publication, TB<br />

Elimination Revisited: Obstacles, Opportunities,<br />

<strong>and</strong> a Renewed Commitment, has made several<br />

practical suggestions, including the need for

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