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Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ...

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Conclusions 211<br />

<strong>and</strong> steam turbines was fur<strong>the</strong>rmore stimulated by <strong>the</strong> increasing attention<br />

<strong>to</strong>wards energy efficiency <strong>and</strong> energy saving offset by <strong>the</strong> energy crises in<br />

<strong>the</strong> 1970s. But most importantly, <strong>the</strong> introduction of <strong>the</strong> gas turbine was<br />

driven by its usefulness <strong>to</strong> serve peak loads (<strong>and</strong> its better performance<br />

relative <strong>to</strong> competitive components such as diesel engines) <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

improving <strong>the</strong> load fac<strong>to</strong>r of larger power plants.<br />

Table 8.1 Assessment of paths taken in <strong>the</strong> electricity system<br />

Path taken Relative Diver- Nature of <strong>change</strong> due <strong>to</strong> new practice<br />

success gence<br />

Shift from<br />

coal <strong>to</strong> gas<br />

The nuclear<br />

route<br />

Hybridisation<br />

of gas <strong>and</strong><br />

steam turbines<br />

Coal<br />

gasification<br />

Distant<br />

heating<br />

Decentral<br />

cogeneration<br />

Wind power<br />

Solar power<br />

Biomass<br />

Green<br />

electricity<br />

++<br />

-<br />

++<br />

-/+<br />

+/-<br />

+<br />

-/+<br />

-/+<br />

+/-<br />

+<br />

Low<br />

Medium<br />

Low<br />

Medium<br />

Medium<br />

High<br />

High<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

High<br />

Resource <strong>change</strong> requiring some adaptation of<br />

key components (turbines)<br />

Key technological <strong>change</strong> involving alteration of<br />

mode of production<br />

Technological component added <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> system<br />

requiring some fine-tuning in mode of production<br />

Key technological <strong>change</strong> involving alteration of<br />

mode of production<br />

Significant <strong>change</strong> in mode of provision <strong>and</strong><br />

infrastructure as heat is distributed <strong>to</strong> users<br />

Major alteration of <strong>the</strong> design of <strong>the</strong> system, local<br />

co-production of heat <strong>and</strong> electricity<br />

Key technological <strong>change</strong> involving significant<br />

<strong>change</strong>s in mode of production <strong>and</strong> coordination<br />

Key technological <strong>change</strong> involving significant<br />

<strong>change</strong>s in mode of production <strong>and</strong> coordination<br />

Key logistical <strong>change</strong> of resource use <strong>and</strong> supply,<br />

alteration <strong>and</strong> adaptation of key technologies<br />

Key <strong>change</strong> in mode of provision in combination<br />

with varying technological <strong>change</strong>s<br />

The pattern of breakthrough of <strong>the</strong> gas turbine serves as a relevant example<br />

of <strong>the</strong> way a <strong>transition</strong> path may unfold. The basic pattern is that of changing<br />

path dependence from within. The first step involved creating a symbiosis<br />

with <strong>the</strong> existing system <strong>and</strong> its dominant path. The introduction of <strong>the</strong> gas<br />

turbine as a new element within <strong>the</strong> system was successful due <strong>to</strong> its ability<br />

<strong>to</strong> serve a specific functional role in an existing configuration with <strong>the</strong> result<br />

of improvement of overall performance of <strong>the</strong> system. This also facilitated<br />

<strong>the</strong> built-up of experience, skills <strong>and</strong> competence with regard <strong>to</strong> gas turbine<br />

technology <strong>and</strong> applications. The second step involved extending <strong>the</strong><br />

function of <strong>the</strong> gas turbine within <strong>the</strong> system. As international experience

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