Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ...
Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ... Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ...
Exploring transitions through sociotechnical scenarios 207 The primary aim of this chapter is to show the promise of sociotechnical scenarios as a reflexive tool for transition policy. Sociotechnical scenarios can help design more robust transition oriented policies, in the sense that these policies can contribute to multiple transition paths and do not facilitate one path while blocking others. The approach can also help select promising niches that can form the seeds for a transition and thus are good options for experimentation in the near term. In particular the STSc tool is well-suited to explore how combinations of niches may open up different pathways. Transition policy should not just look at individual technologies, but also at processes of hybridisation and linkages between technologies and specific user preferences. The STSc tool is not an automaton that provides a detailed prescription of instruments. We characterize STSc as a ‘tool’ rather than as a ‘method’. The use of a tool requires skills on the part of the user, while a method refers to a sequence of steps that automatically lead to the end result. STSc is a tool, because it requires at least two kinds of skills: empirical knowledge of the relevant domain and theoretical sensitivity regarding the co-evolution of technology and society. Maybe this hampers the transfer of the tool to others. But mindful use of the tool may also lead to more interesting outcomes. As a weakness, the tool in its present shape is that it is not well suited to compute the effects of (combinations of) policy instruments. For instance, it does not render suggestions for the exact level of eco-tax, adoption subsidies etc. Other methods may be better suited for that (e.g. computer models). This means that sociotechnical scenarios do not replace other methods, but provide an additional tool to the arsenal of future exploration.
208 Chapter 7
- Page 167 and 168: 156 Chapter 5 the existing system a
- Page 169 and 170: 158 Chapter 5 add, not a sufficient
- Page 171 and 172: 160 Chapter 5
- Page 173 and 174: 162 Chapter 6 signify a process of
- Page 175 and 176: 164 Chapter 6 a liberalised market.
- Page 177 and 178: 166 Chapter 6 were allowed to produ
- Page 179 and 180: 168 Chapter 6 in the municipality o
- Page 181 and 182: 170 Chapter 6 became in turn one of
- Page 183 and 184: 172 Chapter 6 Table 6.1 Milestones
- Page 185 and 186: 174 Chapter 6 6.4 Liberalisation of
- Page 187 and 188: 176 Chapter 6 After the opening of
- Page 189 and 190: 178 Chapter 6 Renewable Energy Cert
- Page 191 and 192: 180 Chapter 6 2001b). The company w
- Page 193 and 194: 182 Chapter 6 infancy, energy compa
- Page 195 and 196: 184 Chapter 6 What is striking that
- Page 197 and 198: 186 Chapter 6
- Page 199 and 200: 188 Chapter 7 meaning, infrastructu
- Page 201 and 202: 190 Chapter 7 Figure 7.2 Social gro
- Page 203 and 204: 192 Chapter 7 Figure 7.3 A dynamic
- Page 205 and 206: 194 Chapter 7 7.3 Strengths and wea
- Page 207 and 208: 196 Chapter 7 Table 7.3 shows that
- Page 209 and 210: 198 Chapter 7 The process of libera
- Page 211 and 212: 200 Chapter 7 towards resource inde
- Page 213 and 214: 202 Chapter 7 improvement of cable
- Page 215 and 216: 204 Chapter 7 project. The high ene
- Page 217: 206 Chapter 7 of the promising nich
- Page 221 and 222: 210 Chapter 8 gain stability as a c
- Page 223 and 224: 212 Chapter 8 with the application
- Page 225 and 226: 214 Chapter 8 Table 8.2 Institution
- Page 227 and 228: 216 Chapter 8 growth rates of insta
- Page 229 and 230: 218 Chapter 8 This involved changes
- Page 231 and 232: 220 Chapter 8 contributes to a bett
- Page 233 and 234: 222 Chapter 8 decisions and rates o
- Page 235 and 236: 224 Chapter 8 The applicability of
- Page 237 and 238: 226 Chapter 8 8.5 Lessons for trans
- Page 239 and 240: 228 Chapter 8 ideas. Moreover, the
- Page 241 and 242: 230 Chapter 8 and decentral cogener
- Page 243 and 244: 232 Chapter 8
- Page 245 and 246: 234 References Arentsen, M.J., and
- Page 247 and 248: 236 References Bressers, H.Th.A. an
- Page 249 and 250: 238 References De Jong, J.J., E. We
- Page 251 and 252: 240 References EPRI (1999) Electric
- Page 253 and 254: 242 References Geels, F.W. (2002b)
- Page 255 and 256: 244 References Henderson, R.M. and
- Page 257 and 258: 246 References Islas, J. (1999) The
- Page 259 and 260: 248 References Dependence and Creat
- Page 261 and 262: 250 References Nelson, R.R. (1995a)
- Page 263 and 264: 252 References Quarles van Ufford,
- Page 265 and 266: 254 References Schmidheiny S. (1992
- Page 267 and 268: 256 References SNM (2000) Frisse Wi
208 Chapter 7