Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ...
Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ... Innovation and institutional change: the transition to a sustainable ...
Exploring transitions through sociotechnical scenarios 203 problems of increasing two-way electricity flows in the local low voltage networks as these networks were designed to carry flows from central production units to users. The projects did not discern between the different heat and power demand profiles of users, leading to surplus heat production that needed to be stored. Power equipment producers began to work on designs for micropower systems with different heat-power ratios, while distributors in collaboration with producers of domestic appliances began to focus on smart appliances that could be switched on and off at the most feasible periods. As growth of electricity demand was rather concentrated, such as in areas with many ICT companies, the capacity of the grid was insufficient to serve this power demand. This led to collaboration of ICT companies and energy distributors to develop local systems that were able to serve high electricity demand and a high level of reliability. 2010-2025: Decentral combined heat and power production and micropower gained momentum Climate change gained priority as the Netherlands had been unable to realise the Kyoto targets and Dutch government aimed to intensify its climate policy. The policy to exempt combined heat and power production partly from the regulatory energy tax came into operation, while the regulatory energy tax was now also applicable for large energy users. In the electricity regime central producers were faced with increasingly obsolete power plants that needed replacement. The relative share of central power generation continued to fall as various energy technologies provided opportunities to produce power efficiently locally. At the niche level, leading edge companies followed examples in the USA and installed fuel cell stacks to secure their electricity supply. Several users needed more reliable power delivery for on-line financial transactions, exchanges and ICT operations. These companies installed local power back up that could handle short black outs. Also electricity contracts were settled between ICT, financial companies and energy companies that combined high reliability with high liability, and energy companies installed reliable local capacity with fuel cells for these companies. Microturbines became more widespread as the coalition of energy distributors and gas utilities spread the application of combined heat and power systems to smaller companies, neighbourhoods and households. In several projects users were involved in the design phase of these houses to improve the balance between individual demand and the micropower system installed. Smart electrical equipment was used to improve utilisation. Leading edge users were able to effectively reduce their energy costs. This led to more users wanting to be involved in the early stage of the housing
204 Chapter 7 project. The high energy efficiency of these houses also led to sharpened energy performance standards in energy and housing policy. After installation companies gained experience with the design and installation of micropower in new housing districts they became convinced of its potential to replace conventional heating systems in existing houses. Users became increasingly accustomed to the use of micropower as it slowly became available in companies that provided household equipment. Marketing campaigns convinced customers of the economic and environmental benefits. The rise of micropower for neighbourhoods and of more reliable local power supply led energy distributors to focus on the design and management of local electricity networks. In these market niches the role of energy distributors shifted towards managing local electricity flows. Until then, development of photovoltaics and wind power had been relatively independent of the development towards micropower. This started to change, as further progress was necessary to tackle the climate problem. Energy distributors played a central role in the emergence of local systems with combined use of fuel cells, photovoltaics in urban areas and wind plus photovoltaics in rural areas. WWF now aimed for housing districts that were emission free and used renewable sources for hydrogen production. The fuel cells in the cars that used hydrogen both served as a source for mobile power and for stationary power in the districts. Especially Greenpeace had been involved in getting these cars to the market in collaboration with car companies. The systems made balanced use of renewable energy production from photovoltaics, wind and biomass, and use hydrogen as an important intermediary resource. Photovoltaics and wind could either produce electricity for the households, or, in periods that power demand was low, hydrogen through electrolysis for the fuel cell. 2025-2050: Regime transformation towards distributed generation Gas was still exploited as a resource for the production of hydrogen but its share in power generation was falling. Alternative options for the production of hydrogen steadily increased their share, such as hydrogen from biomass sources, wind energy and solar energy. Investments in power generation virtually all took place in flexible power systems that offered power close to the customers and were based on sources varying from wind and sun, to biomass and hydrogen. The systems were designed for specific local or regional demand for electricity, with connections to specific industrial users, commercial users and neighbourhoods. Also micropower systems continued to take a significant share of the power market. Investment in central capacity was absent in this period, although some larger power plants were built related to specific electricity and heat demand of industrial users.
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- Page 245 and 246: 234 References Arentsen, M.J., and
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- Page 249 and 250: 238 References De Jong, J.J., E. We
- Page 251 and 252: 240 References EPRI (1999) Electric
- Page 253 and 254: 242 References Geels, F.W. (2002b)
- Page 255 and 256: 244 References Henderson, R.M. and
- Page 257 and 258: 246 References Islas, J. (1999) The
- Page 259 and 260: 248 References Dependence and Creat
- Page 261 and 262: 250 References Nelson, R.R. (1995a)
- Page 263 and 264: 252 References Quarles van Ufford,
204 Chapter 7<br />
project. The high energy efficiency of <strong>the</strong>se houses also led <strong>to</strong> sharpened<br />
energy performance st<strong>and</strong>ards in energy <strong>and</strong> housing policy. After<br />
installation companies gained experience with <strong>the</strong> design <strong>and</strong> installation of<br />
micropower in new housing districts <strong>the</strong>y became convinced of its potential<br />
<strong>to</strong> replace conventional heating systems in existing houses. Users became<br />
increasingly accus<strong>to</strong>med <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> use of micropower as it slowly became<br />
available in companies that provided household equipment. Marketing<br />
campaigns convinced cus<strong>to</strong>mers of <strong>the</strong> economic <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />
benefits.<br />
The rise of micropower for neighbourhoods <strong>and</strong> of more reliable local power<br />
supply led energy distribu<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> focus on <strong>the</strong> design <strong>and</strong> management of<br />
local electricity networks. In <strong>the</strong>se market niches <strong>the</strong> role of energy<br />
distribu<strong>to</strong>rs shifted <strong>to</strong>wards managing local electricity flows. Until <strong>the</strong>n,<br />
development of pho<strong>to</strong>voltaics <strong>and</strong> wind power had been relatively<br />
independent of <strong>the</strong> development <strong>to</strong>wards micropower. This started <strong>to</strong> <strong>change</strong>,<br />
as fur<strong>the</strong>r progress was necessary <strong>to</strong> tackle <strong>the</strong> climate problem. Energy<br />
distribu<strong>to</strong>rs played a central role in <strong>the</strong> emergence of local systems with<br />
combined use of fuel cells, pho<strong>to</strong>voltaics in urban areas <strong>and</strong> wind plus<br />
pho<strong>to</strong>voltaics in rural areas. WWF now aimed for housing districts that were<br />
emission free <strong>and</strong> used renewable sources for hydrogen production. The fuel<br />
cells in <strong>the</strong> cars that used hydrogen both served as a source for mobile power<br />
<strong>and</strong> for stationary power in <strong>the</strong> districts. Especially Greenpeace had been<br />
involved in getting <strong>the</strong>se cars <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> market in collaboration with car<br />
companies. The systems made balanced use of renewable energy production<br />
from pho<strong>to</strong>voltaics, wind <strong>and</strong> biomass, <strong>and</strong> use hydrogen as an important<br />
intermediary resource. Pho<strong>to</strong>voltaics <strong>and</strong> wind could ei<strong>the</strong>r produce<br />
electricity for <strong>the</strong> households, or, in periods that power dem<strong>and</strong> was low,<br />
hydrogen through electrolysis for <strong>the</strong> fuel cell.<br />
2025-2050: Regime transformation <strong>to</strong>wards distributed generation<br />
Gas was still exploited as a resource for <strong>the</strong> production of hydrogen but its<br />
share in power generation was falling. Alternative options for <strong>the</strong> production<br />
of hydrogen steadily increased <strong>the</strong>ir share, such as hydrogen from biomass<br />
sources, wind energy <strong>and</strong> solar energy. Investments in power generation<br />
virtually all <strong>to</strong>ok place in flexible power systems that offered power close <strong>to</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> cus<strong>to</strong>mers <strong>and</strong> were based on sources varying from wind <strong>and</strong> sun, <strong>to</strong><br />
biomass <strong>and</strong> hydrogen. The systems were designed for specific local or<br />
regional dem<strong>and</strong> for electricity, with connections <strong>to</strong> specific industrial users,<br />
commercial users <strong>and</strong> neighbourhoods. Also micropower systems continued<br />
<strong>to</strong> take a significant share of <strong>the</strong> power market. Investment in central<br />
capacity was absent in this period, although some larger power plants were<br />
built related <strong>to</strong> specific electricity <strong>and</strong> heat dem<strong>and</strong> of industrial users.