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Holocene records of the significance of ENSO on vegetation and fire ...

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Holocene</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>records</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>significance</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> vegetati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>fire</strong> regimes in<br />

deserts <strong>and</strong> semi-arid grassl<strong>and</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

United States <strong>and</strong> Mexico<br />

Andrea Brunelle<br />

Collaborators/C<strong>on</strong>tributors:<br />

Jose Delgadillo- Universidad Aut<strong>on</strong>oma de Baja California<br />

Thomas Minckley - University <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Wyoming<br />

Sh Shawn Bli Blissett tt & DDustin ti GGarrett tt - UUniversity i it <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> f Ut Utah h<br />

Brenda Guzman - Universidad Aut<strong>on</strong>oma de Baja California<br />

Vance Holliday – University <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ariz<strong>on</strong>a


So, what am I going to be talking about?<br />

L<strong>on</strong>g-term histories (~3000-8000 years)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fenvir<strong>on</strong>mental i t l change h<br />

Wh Where? ? DDesert t wetl<strong>and</strong>s tl d or “ “ciénegas.” ié ”<br />

Cloverdale, NM<br />

C. Springer<br />

Ciénega de San Bernardino, S<strong>on</strong>ora


Objectives?<br />

Utili Utilize sediment di t <str<strong>on</strong>g>records</str<strong>on</strong>g> d tto provide id<br />

paleoecological rec<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>s for<br />

management bbaselines. l<br />

Underst<strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> history <strong>and</strong> interplay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

vegetati<strong>on</strong>, g , large g scale climate<br />

phenomena, <strong>and</strong> <strong>fire</strong> history.


Canelo Hills Cienega g<br />

San Bernardino Nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Wildlife Refuge<br />

Cloverdale Cienega


Coastal Sage Scrub<br />

Dry Coastal Matorral<br />

S<strong>on</strong>oran Basin <strong>and</strong> Range<br />

Chaparral<br />

Central Desert<br />

Vizcaino Desert<br />

Lower Colorado Desert<br />

Madrean Archipelago<br />

Chihuahuan Deserts<br />

Ecoregi<strong>on</strong>s Map- EPA<br />

http://www.alcoa.com/global/en/community/fellow_details/final_reports/Charlotte_G<strong>on</strong>zalez_Abraham.pdf


The Basis for Sedimentary Research


Youngest sediment<br />

Oldest sediment


First….June 2004<br />

The Methods<br />

In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Field


A different approach<br />

AAugust t 2004


MMay 2005<br />

2 5<br />

JJust a bbit more mud…. d


Now we have it figured out (we think)<br />

November 2009, March 2010


PalDat<br />

http://pollen.usda.gov<br />

Stacy Morris<br />

Shar<strong>on</strong> Leopardi<br />

Stacy Morris<br />

Shawn Blissett<br />

PalDat<br />

In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Lab


What h we are llearning?


Fire & Vegetati<strong>on</strong>


www.wea<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rpix.com<br />

www.gatewaytosed<strong>on</strong>a.com


Bar<strong>on</strong> et al. 2004; 2005


Nature, 2002<br />

Changes in<br />

frequency <strong>and</strong><br />

amplitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> events t<br />

at ~6k


Winter taxa:<br />

Ephedra (Morm<strong>on</strong> tea) after Martin (1963) <strong>and</strong><br />

www.nazflora.org<br />

Artemisia cf. ludoviciana (white sagebrush),<br />

Anem<strong>on</strong>e, Brassicaceae, <strong>and</strong> Geraniaceae after<br />

Mehringer (1965)<br />

Summer taxa:<br />

Asteraceae (sunflower family),<br />

www.missouriplants.com<br />

p<br />

Chenopodiaceae/Amaranthaceae<br />

(goosefoot/amaranth families) after Hevly (1964),<br />

Poaceae (grass family) after Mehringer (1965),<br />

Larrea divaricata (creosote) <strong>and</strong> Acacia greggii (cat<br />

claw) as identified from Thomps<strong>on</strong> et al. (1999).<br />

www.nazflora.org<br />

sbsc.wr.usgs.gov<br />

www.wnmu.edu<br />

www.<strong>fire</strong>flyforest.com


RSBA<br />

SBBNWR<br />

Age (cal yr B.PP.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

8000<br />

0.001<br />

0.010<br />

CHAR Background Frequency<br />

Peaks Winter:Summer<br />

0.100<br />

1.000<br />

10.000<br />

100.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

100.000<br />

10.000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

0.001<br />

More winter<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

SBC3<br />

SBC4<br />

SBC5


RSBAA<br />

SBNWR<br />

Age (cal yrr<br />

B.P.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

0.001<br />

0.0<br />

CHAR Background Frequency<br />

Peaks Winter:Summer<br />

8000 0.0<br />

10<br />

0.1<br />

00<br />

1.0<br />

00<br />

10. 000<br />

1000.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

1000.000<br />

10. 000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

01<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

Less winter<br />

NAM +/- ??<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

Little charcoal<br />

SSummer ttaxa<br />

More winter<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

SBC3<br />

SBC4<br />

SBC5


RSBAA<br />

SBNWR<br />

Age (cal yrr<br />

B.P.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

0.0<br />

CHAR Background Frequency<br />

Peaks Winter:Summer<br />

8000 0.0<br />

0.001<br />

10<br />

0.1<br />

00<br />

1.0<br />

00<br />

10. 000<br />

1000.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

1000.000<br />

10. 000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

01<br />

NAM <strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong><br />

↑ charcoal<br />

↑ winter taxa<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

Less winter<br />

More winter<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

SBC3<br />

SBC4<br />

SBC5<br />

NAM +/- / ??<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

Little charcoal<br />

Summer taxa


RSBAA<br />

SBNWR<br />

Age (cal yrr<br />

B.P.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

0.0<br />

CHAR Background Frequency<br />

Peaks Winter:Summer<br />

8000 0.0<br />

0.001<br />

10<br />

0.1<br />

00<br />

1.0<br />

00<br />

10. 000<br />

1000.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

1000.000<br />

10. 000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

01<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

Less winter<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

↓NAM<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> modern<br />

SBC3<br />

Charcoal C a coa high g with t var. a<br />

More winter taxa<br />

NAM <strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> SBC4<br />

↑ charcoal<br />

↑ winter taxa<br />

More winter<br />

SBC5<br />

NAM +/- / ??<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

Little charcoal<br />

Summer taxa


RSBAA<br />

SBNWR<br />

Age (cal yrr<br />

B.P.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

0.0<br />

CHAR Background Frequency<br />

Peaks Winter:Summer<br />

8000 0.0<br />

0.001<br />

10<br />

0.1<br />

00<br />

1.0<br />

00<br />

10. 000<br />

1000.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

1000.000<br />

10. 000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

01<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

Less winter<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

↓NAM<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong><br />

SBC3<br />

Charcoal C a coa high g with t var. a<br />

Winter:Summer 50-100 yr<br />

NAM <strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> SBC4<br />

↑ charcoal<br />

↑ winter taxa<br />

More winter<br />

SBC5<br />

NAM +<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

Little charcoal<br />

Summer taxa


RSBAA<br />

SBNWR<br />

Age (cal yrr<br />

B.P.)<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

0.0<br />

CHAR Background Peaks Frequency Winter:Summer<br />

warmer MCA<br />

↑background & freq<br />

More variability in veg veg.<br />

8000 0.0<br />

0.001<br />

10<br />

0.1<br />

00<br />

1.0<br />

00<br />

10. 000<br />

1000.000<br />

interbedded fluvial/wetl<strong>and</strong> sediments<br />

1000.000<br />

10. 000<br />

1.000<br />

0.100<br />

0.010<br />

01<br />

0 1 2 3 0 0.05 0.1<br />

particles/cm 2 /year <strong>fire</strong> episodes/100 years<br />

Less winter<br />

SBC1<br />

SBC2<br />

↓NAM<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong><br />

SBC3<br />

Charcoal C a coa high g with t var. a<br />

Winter:Summer 50-100 yr<br />

NAM <strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> SBC4<br />

↑ charcoal<br />

↑ winter taxa<br />

More winter<br />

SBC5<br />

NAM +/- / ??<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

Little charcoal<br />

Summer taxa


age (cal yr BP) 4_110<br />

0<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

Cloverdale, NM<br />

Winter Wet<br />

Artemisia<br />

Ephedra<br />

Anem<strong>on</strong>e<br />

Brassicaceae<br />

Geraniaceae cf<br />

Chenopodiaceae<br />

Asteraceae<br />

Ambrosia<br />

Cirsium<br />

Poaceae<br />

Summer Wet<br />

Larrea<br />

Caltrop<br />

Sidalcea neomexicana<br />

Polyg<strong>on</strong>aceae<br />

Eriog<strong>on</strong>um<br />

Euphorbiaceae<br />

Rosaceae<br />

Quercus<br />

Ericaceae<br />

Prosopis<br />

Agave<br />

Yucca<br />

Polyg<strong>on</strong>um<br />

Cyperaceae<br />

Low pollen preservati<strong>on</strong><br />

Aquatics<br />

Typhaceae/Sparganiaceae<br />

Typha latifolia<br />

Aquatic Sum<br />

20 40 20 40 20 40 20 20 40 20 40<br />

Low pollen preservati<strong>on</strong> from ~3500-45oo cal yr BP…..<br />

Fabaceae<br />

Oxytropis<br />

Loranthaceae<br />

Lilliaceae<br />

Cephalanthus (cf)<br />

Saxifragaceae (cf)<br />

Corylus<br />

Celtis<br />

Ulmus<br />

Acer<br />

Salix<br />

Populus<br />

Total pine


age (cal yr BP)<br />

-100<br />

0<br />

100<br />

200<br />

300<br />

400<br />

500<br />

600<br />

700<br />

800<br />

900<br />

1000<br />

1100<br />

1200<br />

1300<br />

1400<br />

1500<br />

1600<br />

1700<br />

1800<br />

1900<br />

2000<br />

2100<br />

2200<br />

2300<br />

2400<br />

2500<br />

2600<br />

2700<br />

2800<br />

2900<br />

3000<br />

Canelo Hills, AZ<br />

Winter Wet<br />

Artemisia S WW W<br />

Geraniaceae e H<br />

Brassicaceae ae H WW<br />

Amaranthace ceae H SW<br />

Asteraceae H H SW<br />

Summer Wet<br />

Ambrosia H SW S<br />

Cirsium H SW SW<br />

Chicory H SW SW<br />

Poaceae H SW S<br />

Euphorbiacea eae H SW<br />

Rosaceae SSW S S<br />

Cyperaceae WL W<br />

Aquatic<br />

total Pinaceae ae E<br />

herbs<br />

SUMS<br />

shrubs<br />

trees<br />

20 40 20 40 60 20 40 20 40 60 80 20 40 60 80 100 20<br />

The initiati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Canelo Hills cienega (or reactivati<strong>on</strong>) at ~3000 cal yr BP,<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same time that it gets wet again at Cloverdale


How do<br />

0<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sites 500<br />

compare?<br />

age (cal yr y BP)<br />

1000<br />

1500<br />

2000<br />

2500<br />

3000<br />

3500<br />

4000<br />

4500<br />

5000<br />

5500<br />

6000<br />

6500<br />

7000<br />

7500<br />

8000<br />

Canelo Hills<br />

San Bernardino<br />

Cloverdale<br />

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000<br />

charcoal accumulati<strong>on</strong> rate (particles/cm 2 /year)<br />

Moy et al. 2002<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> events<br />

Winter Wet


Fire & Vegetati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Fire occurrence in desert shrubl<strong>and</strong> seems to be associated<br />

with cycles y <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wetting g<strong>and</strong> drying y g<br />

• Similar to southwestern forests, a relati<strong>on</strong>ship is<br />

observed between <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> variability <strong>and</strong> <strong>fire</strong><br />

• No <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> no <strong>fire</strong><br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g>stable <strong>fire</strong> regime, vegetati<strong>on</strong> shifts<br />

• Warmer with <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> (e.g. MCA) even more frequent <strong>fire</strong><br />

• OOnset <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> f<str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> iis c<strong>on</strong>current with i hperennial i lst<strong>and</strong>ing di water<br />

at Cloverdale <strong>and</strong> low pollen preservati<strong>on</strong> marks a decrease<br />

in El Nino events. events<br />

• Canelo Hills Cienega initiates at ~3000 cal yr BP when El<br />

Nino event frequency q yincreases.


Implicati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• DData t ffor restorati<strong>on</strong> t ti (<strong>fire</strong>s (fi & resilience) ili )<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> important for <strong>fire</strong> in desert ecosystems.<br />

• Future <strong>fire</strong> regimes in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> desert? Presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ciénegas?<br />

• Likely linked to future <str<strong>on</strong>g>ENSO</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Current IPCC inc<strong>on</strong>clusive ` due to model limitati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Wara et al. (2005) show c<strong>on</strong>tinued El Nino- like<br />

c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s in Pliocene (~4.5-3.0 milli<strong>on</strong> years ago &<br />

warmer-than-modern)<br />

h d )<br />

• Seager et al. (2007) suggest greater winter drought<br />

<strong>and</strong> persistent La Nina<br />

• Increased drought <strong>and</strong> heat predicted (IPCC, 2007)- but <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

impact p <strong>on</strong> <strong>fire</strong> regime g will depend p <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> seas<strong>on</strong>ality y<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> invasive species (e.g.<br />

lohmans lovegrass, cheatgrass <strong>and</strong> buffelgrass)


Fish Lake Wetl<strong>and</strong>, MN<br />

U.S. Fish <strong>and</strong> Wildlife Prescribed Burn


What Next?<br />

• Dt Data ffrom Ciénega Cié San S Bernardino B di <strong>and</strong> dCl Cloverdale dl suggest t<br />

that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ecosystem resp<strong>on</strong>se (<strong>fire</strong> regime, vegetati<strong>on</strong><br />

compositi<strong>on</strong> compositi<strong>on</strong>, hydrology) is variable depending <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

vegetati<strong>on</strong> community, even within “desert” systems.<br />

•Complete p <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> analyses y <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sediments from Canelo Hills<br />

<strong>and</strong> Babocamari (two cienegas in close proximity) to see<br />

how <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y register <str<strong>on</strong>g>Holocene</str<strong>on</strong>g> variati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> how <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y<br />

compare to existing i i sites. i<br />

• Add additi<strong>on</strong>al sites fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r east, fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r west, fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r south<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>on</strong> Baja California to develop gradients based <strong>on</strong><br />

vegetati<strong>on</strong> community, elevati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r variables.


Acknowledgements<br />

EPA SCERP<br />

Bill Radke<br />

Joe <strong>and</strong> Valer Austin<br />

Bob Minckley<br />

Owen Davis<br />

Todd Daines<br />

Shi Shizuo Ni Nishizawa hi<br />

Jessica Spencer


QUESTIONS?<br />

!<br />

Muchas Gracias!


Sierra Juarez<br />

Sierra san Pedro Martir

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