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Political Parties in Africa: Challenges for Sustained Multiparty

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International Idea<br />

Table 3.1: Percentage of the largest language group identify<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with the govern<strong>in</strong>g party <strong>in</strong> 12 <strong>Africa</strong>n countries<br />

No. Country Largest language groups Percentage identify<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with the govern<strong>in</strong>g party<br />

1 Namibia Oshiwambo 71.4<br />

2 Tanzania Swahili 56.1<br />

3 Malawi Chewa 49.6<br />

4 Botswana Setswana 45.5<br />

5 Nigeria Hausa 32.2<br />

6 Lesotho Sesotho 34.5<br />

7 Zambia Bemba 34.2<br />

8 Mali Bambara 33.7<br />

9 Zimbabwe Shona 31.3<br />

10 South <strong>Africa</strong> Zulu 29.8<br />

11 Ghana Akan 29.3<br />

12 Uganda Luganda 13.4<br />

Average 38.7<br />

Notes:<br />

1. Q: ‘Let’s th<strong>in</strong>k <strong>for</strong> a moment about the languages that you use. What language do you speak most at<br />

home?’. Note that dialects with<strong>in</strong> languages are not counted separately <strong>in</strong> this classification, hence<br />

‘Sesotho’ <strong>in</strong>cludes Sotho and S.Sotho. ‘Setswana’ <strong>in</strong>cludes Tswana. Groups less than 1 per cent of the<br />

sample are also excluded <strong>for</strong> the calculation of the ethno-l<strong>in</strong>guistic fractionalization (ELF).<br />

2. Norris and Mattes’ data are more elaborate, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g up to the seventh-largest ethnic group, as<br />

well as a munltitude of m<strong>in</strong>ority ethnic groups classified as ‘all others’.<br />

Source: Norris, Pippa and Robert Mattes, ‘Does Ethnicity Determ<strong>in</strong>e Support <strong>for</strong> the Govern<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Party?’, Afrobarometer Paper no. 26, March 2003, p. 9.<br />

One of the present authors, M. A. Mohamed Salih, reached similar conclusions <strong>in</strong><br />

his research on ethnicity and quasi-polyarchy (Mohamed Salih 2001), where he<br />

also <strong>in</strong>cluded some of the countries studied by Norris and Mattes (2003). Table 3.2<br />

complements the picture presented by Norris and Mattes (2003) <strong>in</strong> that it shows<br />

clearly that the back<strong>in</strong>g of their ethnic group—the dom<strong>in</strong>ant ethnicity—has won<br />

the political parties <strong>in</strong> question their majority, but also that the elections were fought<br />

not only on the basis of ethnic affiliation but also by secur<strong>in</strong>g alliances with and the<br />

votes of the smaller ethnic groups <strong>in</strong> the electoral district.<br />

Salih concluded, first, that although each political party has an ethnic base or is part<br />

of a pact of ethnic groups, ethnicity is more prom<strong>in</strong>ent <strong>in</strong> some countries than others.<br />

The manifestations of ethnicity also differ greatly. We can f<strong>in</strong>d examples of religious,<br />

regional and l<strong>in</strong>guistic manifestations, such as m<strong>in</strong>ority ethnic groups with<strong>in</strong> the<br />

Context

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